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At least 91 records · Page 5

Validation and Sensitivity Analyses of Arc-Jet Performance of Woven Thermal Protection Entry Systems

Woven thermal protection materials for the Adaptable, Deployable, Entry and Placement Technology (ADEPT) entry system are simulated using a dual layer formalism in a finite volume implicit framework. The model developed and demonstrated here includes multi-dimensional and time-varying thermal response of the material to arc-jet test conditions. This work further demonstrates the sensitivities of the macro-scale thermal response to the through-thickness and in-plane conductivities of the carbon fabric, and to other experimental measurements such as cloth emissivity and thickness. The modeling can be extended to the ADEPT system that would encompass a single-piece woven heat shield configuration

Pratibha Raghunandan

Thermal and Structural Performance of Woven Carbon Cloth For Adaptive Deployable Entry and Placement Technology

Arcjet testing and analysis of a three-dimensional (3D) woven carbon fabric has shown that it can be used as a thermal protection system and as a load bearing structural component for a low ballistic coefficient hypersonic decelerator called ADEPT (Adaptive Deployable Entry and Placement Technology). Results of arcjet tests proved that the 3D woven carbon fabric can withstand flight-like heating while under flight-like biaxial mechanical loads representative of those encountered during shallow entry flight path angles into the atmosphere of Venus. Importantly, the arcjet test results have been used to extend a preliminary material thermal response model based on previous testing of the same 3D woven carbon fabric under uni-axial mechanical loading.

Carbon fabric

Out-of-Distribution Detection and Radiological Data Monitoring Using Statistical Process Control

Abstract Machine learning (ML) models often fail with data that deviates from their training distribution. This is a significant concern for ML-enabled devices as data drift may lead to unexpected performance. This work introduces a new framework for out of distribution (OOD) detection and data drift monitoring that combines ML and geometric methods with statistical process control (SPC). We investigated different design choices, including methods for extracting feature representations and drift quantification for OOD detection in individual images and as an approach for input data monitoring. We evaluated the framework for both identifying OOD images and demonstrating the ability to detect shifts in data streams over time. We demonstrated a proof-of-concept via the following tasks: 1) differentiating axial vs. non-axial CT images, 2) differentiating CXR vs. other radiographic imaging modalities, and 3) differentiating adult CXR vs. pediatric CXR. For the identification of individual OOD images, our framework achieved high sensitivity in detecting OOD inputs: 0.980 in CT, 0.984 in CXR, and 0.854 in pediatric CXR. Our framework is also adept at monitoring data streams and identifying the time a drift occurred. In our simulations tracking drift over time, it effectively detected a shift from CXR to non-CXR instantly, a transition from axial to non-axial CT within few days, and a drift from adult to pediatric CXRs within a day—all while maintaining a low false positive rate. Through additional experiments, we demonstrate the framework is modality-agnostic and independent from the underlying model structure, making it highly customizable for specific applications and broadly applicable across different imaging modalities and deployed ML models.

Zamzmi, Ghada

Uncertainty quantification of graph convolution neural network models of evolving processes

The application of neural network models to scientific machine learning tasks has proliferated in recent years. In particular, neural networks have proved to be adept at modeling processes with spatial–temporal complexity. Nevertheless, these highly parameterized models have garnered skepticism in their ability to produce outputs with quantified error bounds over the regimes of interest. Hence there is a need to find uncertainty quantification methods that are suitable for neural networks. In this work we present comparisons of the parametric uncertainty quantification of neural networks modeling complex spatial–temporal processes with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and Stein variational gradient descent and its projected variant. Specifically we apply these methods to graph convolutional neural network models of evolving systems modeled with recurrent neural network and neural ordinary differential equations architectures. We show that Stein variational inference is a viable alternative to Monte Carlo methods with some clear advantages for complex neural network models. For our exemplars, Stein variational interference gave similar pushed forward uncertainty profiles through time compared to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, albeit with generally more generous variance. As a result, projected Stein variational gradient descent also produced similar uncertainty profiles to the non-projected counterpart, but large reductions in the active weight space were confounded by the stability of the neural network predictions and the convoluted likelihood landscape.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Object detection with deep learning for rare event search in the GADGET II TPC

In the pursuit of identifying rare two-particle events within the GADGET II Time Projection Chamber (TPC), this paper presents a comprehensive approach for leveraging Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and various data processing methods. To address the inherent complexities of 3D TPC track reconstructions, the data is expressed in 2D projections and 1D quantities. This approach capitalizes on the diverse data modalities of the TPC, allowing for the efficient representation of the distinct features of the 3D events, with no loss in topology uniqueness. Additionally, it leverages the computational efficiency of 2D CNNs and benefits from the extensive availability of pre-trained models. Given the scarcity of real training data for the rare events of interest, simulated events are used to train the models to detect real events. To account for potential distribution shifts when predominantly depending on simulations, significant perturbations are embedded within the simulations. This produces a broad parameter space that works to account for potential physics parameter and detector response variations and uncertainties. These parameter-varied simulations are used to train sensitive 2D CNN object detectors. When combined with 1D histogram peak detection algorithms, this multi-modal detection framework is highly adept at identifying rare, two-particle events in data taken during experiment 21072 at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB), demonstrating a 100% recall for events of interest. Here, we present the methods and outcomes of our investigation and discuss the potential future applications of these techniques.

Convolutional neural network

Rapid characterization of MSW and RDF feedstocks for waste-to-energy process using LIBS and ML techniques

The heterogeneity in the composition of municipal solid wastes (MSW) poses significant challenges in the production of biofuel and bioproducts. This research aims to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of waste analysis and characterization by introducing a fast characterization approach for MSW-derived refuse-derived fuels (RDF) by combining Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) with advanced machine learning (ML) techniques. The approach combines data pre-processing of LIBS spectra of RDF, and the development of ML models trained on domain and theory-based spectral features for predicting process parameters. These models are adept at predicting key process parameters like High Heating Value (HHV), carbon content, and volatile matter. This approach can achieve an average RRMSE of 2.13% and R 2 of 0.98 or higher for all considered parameters on testing data. This work demonstrates significant potential for improving waste sorting, processing efficiency, and environmental compliance over traditional labor- and time-intensive laboratory waste analysis and characterization.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

Organophosphorus Binding Thermodynamics in Metal–Organic Frameworks: Interplay between Oxidation State, Lewis Acidity, and Node Structure

Organophosphorus compounds, including nerve agents and pesticides, represent a class of toxic chemicals causing harm to troops, civilians, and the environment. Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) have emerged as a class of highly porous, crystalline, tunable materials adept at both capturing and catalytically neutralizing these harmful toxins. In particular, MOFs whose nodes display strong Lewis acidic character can hydrolyze such chemicals nearly instantaneously. However, without the help of a basic buffer to regenerate the active site, the benign organophosphorus product strongly binds to the node and prevents catalyst turnover. Here, we investigate a series of MOFs whose nodes contain metals of varying Lewis acidities and employ isothermal titration calorimetry (ITC) to directly measure the heat from the binding of an organophosphorus probe molecule, allowing the construction of a full thermodynamic binding profile (ΔH, ΔS, ΔG, K a ). We couple this with potentiometric titrations and solid state 31 P magic angle spinning (MAS) NMR to gain a clearer picture of how node identity, structure, and Lewis acidity interplay to impact binding strength and favorability. Furthermore, this study is the first to integrate these three complementary techniques to investigate binding interactions in MOFs, further showcasing the viability of ITC for probing MOF systems, which is still relatively underexplored.

Lewis acidity

Solving tricky quantum optics problems with assistance from large language models

The capabilities of modern artificial intelligence (AI) as a “scientific collaborator” are explored by engaging it with three nuanced problems in quantum optics: state populations in optical pumping, resonant transitions between decaying states (the Burshtein effect), and degenerate mirrorless lasing. Through iterative dialogue, the authors observe that AI models–when prompted and corrected–can reason through complex scenarios, refine their answers, and provide expert-level guidance, closely resembling the interaction with an adept colleague. The findings highlight that AI can democratize access to sophisticated modeling and analysis, shifting the focus in scientific practice from technical mastery to the generation and testing of ideas, and reducing the time for completing research tasks from days to minutes.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS

Unlocking the potential: machine learning applications in electrocatalyst design for electrochemical hydrogen energy transformation

Machine learning (ML) is rapidly emerging as a pivotal tool in the hydrogen energy industry for the creation and optimization of electrocatalysts, which enhance key electrochemical reactions like the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), the oxygen evolution reaction (OER), the hydrogen oxidation reaction (HOR), and the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR). This comprehensive review demonstrates how cutting-edge ML techniques are being leveraged in electrocatalyst design to overcome the time-consuming limitations of traditional approaches. ML methods, using experimental data from high-throughput experiments and computational data from simulations such as density functional theory (DFT), readily identify complex correlations between electrocatalyst performance and key material descriptors. Leveraging its unparalleled speed and accuracy, ML has facilitated the discovery of novel candidates and the improvement of known products through its pattern recognition capabilities. This review aims to provide a tailored breakdown of ML applications in a format that is readily accessible to materials scientists. Hence, we comprehensively organize ML-driven research by commonly studied material types for different electrochemical reactions to illustrate how ML adeptly navigates the complex landscape of descriptors for these scenarios. We further highlight ML's critical role in the future discovery and development of electrocatalysts for hydrogen energy transformation. Potential challenges and gaps to fill within this focused domain are also discussed. As a practical guide, we hope this work will bridge the gap between communities and encourage novel paradigms in electrocatalysis research, aiming for more effective and sustainable energy solutions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

GPU-friendly surface model for Monte-Carlo detector simulations

The demands for Monte-Carlo simulation are drastically increasing with the Large Hadron Collider’s high-luminosity upgrade, and are expected to exceed the currently available compute resources. At the same time, modern high-performance computing has adopted powerful hardware accelerators, particularly GPUs. The AdePT and Celeritas projects aim to address the demanding computational needs by leveraging these heterogeneous computing architectures. While both have successfully ported realistic detector simulations to GPUs using the VecGeom library, the complexity of geometry modeling emerged as a bottleneck. Thread divergence and high register usage were degrading the GPU performance. Therefore, a new, GPU-friendly surface-based model has been introduced in the VecGeom library that decomposes the divergent code of the 3D primitive solids into simpler and more balanced surface algorithms. In this work, we present the latest developments, focusing on the additions required to efficiently model complex setups like the CMS Phase-2 geometry. This includes memory reduction techniques, and adding accelerating structures for faster traversal.

Diederichs, Severin [CERN]

Harnessing large language models’ zero-shot and few-shot learning capabilities for regulatory research

Abstract Large language models (LLMs) are sophisticated AI-driven models trained on vast sources of natural language data. They are adept at generating responses that closely mimic human conversational patterns. One of the most notable examples is OpenAI's ChatGPT, which has been extensively used across diverse sectors. Despite their flexibility, a significant challenge arises as most users must transmit their data to the servers of companies operating these models. Utilizing ChatGPT or similar models online may inadvertently expose sensitive information to the risk of data breaches. Therefore, implementing LLMs that are open source and smaller in scale within a secure local network becomes a crucial step for organizations where ensuring data privacy and protection has the highest priority, such as regulatory agencies. As a feasibility evaluation, we implemented a series of open-source LLMs within a regulatory agency’s local network and assessed their performance on specific tasks involving extracting relevant clinical pharmacology information from regulatory drug labels. Our research shows that some models work well in the context of few- or zero-shot learning, achieving performance comparable, or even better than, neural network models that needed thousands of training samples. One of the models was selected to address a real-world issue of finding intrinsic factors that affect drugs' clinical exposure without any training or fine-tuning. In a dataset of over 700 000 sentences, the model showed a 78.5% accuracy rate. Our work pointed to the possibility of implementing open-source LLMs within a secure local network and using these models to perform various natural language processing tasks when large numbers of training examples are unavailable.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology

Model emulation and closure tests for (3+1)D relativistic heavy-ion collisions

In nuclear and particle physics, reconciling sophisticated simulations with experimental data is vital for understanding complex systems like the Quark Gluon Plasma (QGP) generated in heavy ion collisions. However, computational demands pose challenges, motivating using Gaussian Process emulators for efficient parameter extraction via Bayesian calibration. We conduct a comparative analysis of Gaussian Process emulators in heavy-ion physics to identify the most adept emulator for parameter extraction with minimal uncertainty. Furthermore, our study contributes to advancing computational techniques in heavy-ion physics, enhancing our ability to interpret experimental data and understand QGP properties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS

Bidding Curve Design for Hybrid Power Plants with Uncertain Solar Forecast

This paper presents a novel bidding curve design algorithm tailored for hybrid power plants (HPPs) to participate in the wholesale electricity market. Utilizing forecasts for photovoltaic (PV) generation and available battery power, our algorithm strategically computes the bidding curve to maximize HPP profit while adeptly managing the inherent uncertainty associated with PV power generation. In addition, the introduction of the penalty cost in HPP bidding curves provides the system operator a tool to effectively manage the system-level uncertainty that caused by HPPs. Numerical analysis through Monte Carlo simulations confirms that our bidding curve methodology outperforms the benchmark across various scenarios.

bidding curve

Development and Evaluation of a Cost-Effective Behind-the-Meter Synchronized Measurement Unit for Enhanced Grid Integration

This paper presents the development of the Inverter Based Resource Monitor (IBRM), an innovative behind-the-meter synchronized measurement unit (SMU) tailored for integration with inverter-based resources (IBRs). The IBRM distinguishes itself as a highly accurate and cost-effective SMU, offering facile deployment and connectivity to IBRs. It is equipped to conduct real-time voltage and current waveform analyses, serving as a phasor measurement unit (PMU) with exceptionally rapid synchrophasor transmission capabilities. The device incorporates a cutting-edge dual-core architecture designed to minimize sampling delays inherent to its microprocessor, thereby enhancing the precision of synchronized waveform measurements. Moreover, the IBRM is adept at recording high-fidelity waveform data, capturing nuances such as waveform distortions, high-order harmonics, and wide-band oscillations prevalent in power grids with substantial IBR presence. A prototype of the IBRM has been constructed and subjected to rigorous testing to assess its functional capabilities and measurement precision, utilizing both idealized signal generators and a real-world off-grid inverter setup as benchmarks.

Wu, Ori [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000326723410)

Integration of New Technology Considering the Trade-Offs Between Operational Benefits and Risks: A Case Study of Dynamic Line Rating

Electric grid operators are adept at handling complexity and uncertainty. However, with increasing introduction of renewable generation, distributed energy resources, and more frequent severe weather events, operators will experience new workload and challenging decision scenarios. Here, this paper quantifies risks and benefits from an operator's perspective of introducing weather based forecast Dynamic Line Ratings (DLR) using variable wind conditions in addition to ambient temperature to relieve transmission congestion and facilitating more offshore wind (OSW). A concept of operations (CONOPS) applied to a forecast DLR implementation and its integration with OSW is defined. A method for evaluating tradeoffs of derating to make the rating more conservative but decreasing the benefit was developed and applied to a case study for two existing overhead transmission lines on Long Island, New York. The CONOPS uses historical day-ahead and hour-ahead High Resolution Rapid Refresh weather forecasts and weather station data to support planning and real-time operations. The analysis determines the risk of downgrades in real-time operational rating compared to the forecast and quantifies the frequency and severity of last-minute downgrades. The risk is compared against the benefits in increased capacity to provide insights on the additional amount of uncertainty DLR and OSW will add to the operator's workload.

17 WIND ENERGY

Scalable Risk Assessment of Rare Events in Power Systems With Uncertain Wind Generation and Loads

Risk assessment of rare events has become increasingly important in power system planning and operation with the increasing integration of renewable energy and the presence of system uncertainties. However, quantifying the risk posed by rare events via the traditional method, i.e., Monte Carlo sampling (MCS), incurs substantial computational expense stemming from the vast ensemble of power flow simulations. To accelerate the assessment, this paper proposes a Deep Neural Network (DNN)-kernelized vector-valued Gaussian Process (VVGP) approach with excellent computational efficiency while maintaining high accuracy. Consequently, serving as a surrogate model for the power flow solver, the DNN-kernelized VVGP enables significantly faster but accurate risk assessment compared to the power flow solver. The developed surrogate model evaluates low-order N - k events that contain more than 90% instances by adeptly capturing the topological features while the high-order N - k events are assessed via a power flow solver, thereby striking a balance between computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification accuracy. Moreover, the model incorporates a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier to resample concerning low-probability tail events to counteract the biases potentially introduced during the DNN-kernelized VVGP evaluations. Simulations conducted on the modified IEEE 24-bus, 118-bus, and European 1354-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed method maintains the accuracy benchmark set by MCS while significantly reducing computational demands in large-scale power systems as compared to other state-of-the-art methods.

17 WIND ENERGY

Linac_Gen: Integrating Machine Learning and Particle-in-Cell Methods for Enhanced Beam Dynamics at Fermilab

Here, we introduce Linac_Gen, a tool developed at Fermilab, which combines machine learning algorithms with Particle-in-Cell methods to advance beam dynamics in linacs. Linac_Gen employs techniques such as Random Forest, Genetic Algorithms, Support Vector Machines, and Neural Networks, achieving a tenfold increase in speed for phase-space matching in Linacs over traditional methods, through the use of genetic algorithms. Crucially, Linac_Gen's adept handling of 3D field maps elevates the precision and realism in simulating beam instabilities and resonances, marking a key advancement in the field. Benchmarked against established codes, Linac_Gen demonstrates not only improved efficiency and precision in beam dynamics studies but also in the design and optimization of Linac systems, as evidenced in its application to Fermilab's PIP-II Linac project. This work represents a notable advancement in accelerator physics, marrying ML with PIC methods to set new standards for efficiency and accuracy in accelerator design and research. Linac_Gen exemplifies a novel approach in accelerator technology, offering substantial improvements in both theoretical and practical aspects of beam dynamics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS

"Forward" Projects Boost U.S. Leadership in Advanced Computing and Artificial Intelligence

High-performance computing (HPC) has been an indispensable research tool for accessing physical realms difficult, or impossible, achieve with experiment alone. For several decades, the Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Office of Science has deployed sophisticated HPC systems for solving the nation’s most pressing grand challenge problems in energy, climate change, and human health. In addition, DOE’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) has adeptly applied HPC in support of key national security objectives, such as nuclear science and stockpile modernization and stewardship. Over time, HPC systems have become increasingly more complex and capable, and as each new machine has come online, scientists and engineers have taken advantage of vast increases in compute power to accelerate scientific discoveries and engineering innovation.

42 ENGINEERING