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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2025

Exploring Electrode-Level State-of-Charge and State-of-Health Dynamics in Lithium-Ion Battery Cells: Modeling and Experimental Identification

A computationally efficient model serves as a critical prerequisite for battery performance analysis and advanced battery management algorithm design. Although battery models that capture cell-level behavior have been widely explored in existing literature, electrode-level battery models have received much lesser attention till to date. However, such electrode-level models can significantly increase battery performance and life by enabling electrode-level health-conscious control. Such electrode-level control can effectively expand usable energy and power limits of the battery cells by utilizing the knowledge of individual electrodes' charge and health. In this context, this paper presents a comprehensive battery model developed with a reference electrode insertion that captures (i) electrode-level charge/discharge dynamics, (ii) stoichiometric and temporal dependencies of electrode-level resistances, (iii) solid electrolyte interface (SEI) layer growth as key degradation phenomenon, and (iv) capacity fade and resistance rise in each electrode due to nominal battery aging. The proposed model is identified, and a preliminary validation is performed utilizing terminal voltage and negative electrode potential data collected from a pouch cell under one continuous cycling and accelerated aging conditions where the cell experienced 14% capacity loss.

aging↗
DOE OSTI1994

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 35, No. 2, July-December 1994]

Nuclear Safety is a journal that covers significant issues in the field of nuclear safety. Its primary scope is safety in the design, construction, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear power reactors worldwide and the research and analysis activities that promote this goal, but it also encompasses the safety aspects of the entire nuclear fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing and handling, and nuclear waste disposal, the handling of fissionable materials and radioisotopes, and the environmental effects of all these activities. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 179 Consideration of Postaccident Consequences in the Determination of Safety Objectives for Future Nuclear Power Plants in France, D. Queniart, A. Sugier, and J. Lochard; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 187 Nuclear Safety Research: The Phebus FP Severe Accident Experimental Program, P. von der Hardt, A. V. Jones, C. Lecomte, and A. Tattegrain; 205 Containment Performance Analysis of the Advanced Neutron Source Reactor at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, S. H. Kim, R. P. Taleyarkhan, and V. Georgevich; 213 Assessment of Fission Product Deposits in the Reactor Coolant System: The DEVAP Program, G. Le Marois and M. Megnin; 222 Erratum to “A Review of the Available Information on the Triggering Stage of a Steam Explosion," Vol. 35, No. 1, CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 223 Effects of Normal Aging on Calibration and Response Time of Nuclear Plant Resistance Temperature Detectors and Pressure Sensors, H. M. Hashemian; DESIGN FEATURES: 235 Defense in Depth Against the Hydrogen Risk—A European Research Program, F. Fineschi; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS: 246 Technical Note: A Preliminary Analysis of the Risks to Hong Kong Resulting from Potential Accidents of Daya Bay Nuclear Power Plant, Z. Shi and X. Wei; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 253 Reactor Shutdown Experience, Compiled by J. W. Cletcher; SPECIAL SECTION ON TMI-2 VESSEL INVESTIGATION PROJECT: 256 Three Mile Island—New Findings 15 Years After the Accident A. M. Rubin and E. Beckjord; 269 Relocation of Molten Material to the TMI-2 Lower Head, J. R. Wolf, D. W. Akers, and L. A. Neimark; 280 Insight Into the TMI-2 Core Material Relocation Through Examination of Instrument Tube Nozzles, L. A. Neimark; 288 Physical and Radiochemical Examinations of Debris from the TMI-2 Lower Head, D. W. Akers and B. K. Schuetz; 301 Results of Metallographic Examinations and Mechanical Tests of Pressure Vessel Samples from the TMI-2 Lower Head, D. R. Diercks and G. E. Korth; 313 Margin-to-Failure Calculations for the TMI-2 Vessel, J. Rempe, L. Stickler, S. Chavez, G. Thinnes, R. Witt, and M. Corradini; U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION INFORMATION AND ANALYSES: 328 1993 Accident Sequence Precursor (ASP) Program Results, L. N. Vanden Heuvel, J. W. Cletcher, D. A. Copinger, J. W. Minarick, B. W. Dolan, and P. D. O’Reilley; RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: 339 Reports, Standards, and Safety Guides, D. S. Queener; 345 Proposed Rule Changes as of June 30, 1994; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 234 Thirty-First Annual Meeting of the National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements; 356 1995 International Incineration Conference; 358 Fifth International Controls and Instrumentation Conference; 359 ANS International Topical Meeting on Safety of Operating Reactors; 359 Fifth International Conference on Nuclear Criticality Safety; 360 International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment Methodology and Applications; 351 The Authors; 357 Reviewers of Nuclear Safety, Vol. 35.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Multi-Metrics In Situ Aging Detector for SiC Power MOSFET Modules with Full Driver-Integration Capability

In this paper, the concept and prototype of an aging detector for silicon carbide (SiC) power metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistor (MOSFET) are proposed and described. It leverages the resonant peak values of gate-source voltage at different instants during the switching transients to decode the change of multiple aging indicators, such as the increases of on-state resistance and threshold voltage. Modeling-based analysis is conducted to support the idea. The detector can be fully integrated into gate drivers without any additional connection to the power stage and is functional during normal power stage operation. A prototype unit was built, and preliminary tests were conducted to validate the idea and the practicality of the detector.

aging↗
DOE OSTI2025

Age hardening response of Cu-30Ni alloys: The role of Si microalloying additions

Cu-30Ni alloys offer high strength and excellent corrosion resistance for maritime applications. While primarily a solid solution system, industrial alloys typically include microalloying additions of Fe, Mn, Nb and/or Si to enable age hardening. However, an understanding of the microstructural evolution during age hardening remains incomplete. Here, we conduct systematic ageing treatments and report the resulting hardness and microstructures. The Cu-30Ni alloy with Si aged at 650 °C for 6 h demonstrates significantly enhanced Vickers hardness, reaching ∼201 HV 1 compared to 103 HV 1 for the as-homogenised sample. Si-rich clusters and γ′ precipitates are identified, with their composition, size, and volume fraction quantified to determine their strengthening contributions. First-principles atomistic simulations elucidate the underlying formation mechanisms of these clusters and precipitates, highlighting the critical role of Si in driving their nucleation and growth. This study advances the design of high-strength, Cu alloys with the potential for corrosion resistance in demanding maritime environments.

Age hardening↗
DOE OSTI2023

Stability of Cu(In x Ga 1− x )Se 2 Solar Cells Utilizing RbF Postdeposition Treatment under a Sulfur Atmosphere

Alkali halide postdeposition treatments (PDTs) have become a key tool to maximize efficiency in Cu(In x Ga 1− x )Se 2 (CIGS) photovoltaics. RbF PDTs have emerged as an alternative to the more common Na‐ and K‐based techniques. This study utilizes temperature‐dependent current–voltage ( JVT ) measurements to study a unique RbF PDT performed in a S atmosphere. The samples are measured before and after 6 months in a desiccator to study device stability. Both samples contain Na and K which diffuse from the soda–lime glass substrate. A reference sample and a RbF + S PDT sample both show the development of a rear contact barrier after aging. The contact barrier is higher for the RbF + S PDT sample, leading to decreased current in forward bias. Series resistance is also higher in the RbF + S PDT device which leads to lower fill factor. However, after aging the reference sample has a larger decrease in open‐circuit voltage ( V OC ). Ideality factor measurements suggest Shockley–Read–Hall recombination dominates both samples. V OC versus temperature and a temperature‐dependent activation energy model are used to calculate diode activation energies for each sample condition. Both techniques produce similar values that indicate recombination primarily occurs within the bulk absorber.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Economics of Generation 3 CSP System Components Through Fabrication and Application of High Temperature Nickel-Based Alloys

To improve the efficiency and lower the cost of Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants, new Generation 3 ‘Gen 3’ CSP concepts using novel salts, solids, or gas heattransfer media envisaged to integrated with a supercritical CO 2 (sCO 2 ) power block at temperatures >715ºC are being investigated. Regardless of the specific pathway, critical components including receivers, piping, and heat-exchangers (HXs) will require the use of heat-resistant nickel-based alloys. Furthermore, the use of age-hardenable alloys, such as INCONEL® alloy 740H® (alloy 740H) may be needed to reduce capital cost. The unique challenges presented by CSP plants to material manufacture, such as small diameter thin-walled tubing in receivers, large diameter thin wall piping, and thin sheet and tubes for HXs can add to the cost to produce such alloys when compared to traditional wrought and cast processing. The goal of this project was to facilitate a reduction of plant cost by developing alternate manufacturing routes and quantifying the performance and economic benefits for alloy 740H in comparison to other candidate nickel-based alloys through fabrication trials, high-temperature mechanical property studies, and interactions with technology developers and codes and standards.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Characterization of pitch carbon coating properties affecting the electrochemical behavior of silicon nanoparticle lithium-ion battery anodes

Silicon is an exciting material for next-generation lithium-ion battery anodes, due to its high theoretical capacity and availability, but its widespread implementation has been limited by extensive volume changes during cycling that causes mechanical damage and limits cycle life. One approach to mitigating these deleterious effects while still maintaining silicon's benefits is the addition of a pitch carbon coating to nanometer-sized silicon particles. Here, in this study, we present characterization of pitch-coated silicon electrodes without annealing and annealed at 700 °C and 1000 °C to determine the optimum temperature treatment, as well as pitch-only and silicon-only electrodes with and without annealing to elucidate the impacts of each component on early electrochemical behavior. Using Fourier transform infrared and Raman spectroscopies, atomic force and scanning spreading resistance microscopy, and electrochemical analysis, we find 700 °C to be the optimal annealing temperature, as amorphous carbon is created, which improves conductivity prior to cycling and facilitates ion storage during cycling that increases capacity. We also present in situ Raman spectroscopy data demonstrating the heterogeneous aging that occurs across the electrode surface during cycling.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Microstructure and mechanical properties of hypoeutectic Al–6Ce–3Ni-0.7Fe (wt.%) alloy

Here, a hypoeutectic, Fe-modified Al–Ce–Ni alloy (Al–6Ce–3Ni-0.7Fe, wt.%) is studied in terms of microstructure, thermal stability, ambient temperature strengthening, and creep resistance. The as-cast microstructure consists of primary Al dendrites and interdendritic binary eutectic regions (Al–Al11Ce3 and/or Al–Al9(Fe,Ni)2), with micron/submicron lamellar spacing, depending on the location along the height of the ingot. The cast alloy exhibits excellent coarsening resistance at 400 °C, with mostly unchanged microstructure and microhardness after 6 weeks of aging, indicating good thermal stability of Al11Ce3 and Al9(Fe,Ni)2. Orowan strengthening and load transfer are identified as strengthening mechanisms at ambient and elevated temperature. A high volume fraction of the intermetallic phases (providing load transfer) and relatively coarse eutectic spacing (for modest Orowan strengthening) result in a moderate as-cast microhardness of 566 ± 32 MPa. Creep resistance at 300 and 350 °C is similar to a binary Al-12.5Ce eutectic alloy (with twice the Ce content) because of two countering effects: Al–6Ce–3Ni-0.7Fe shows a higher volume fraction of strengthening intermetallic phases, but it also exhibits a large fraction of primary Al dendrites which weaken the alloy. By contrast, the alloy, when laser-remelted at the surface, has a fully eutectic microstructure without primary aluminum dendrites achieved by high undercooling on solidification, with a refined network of eutectic phases that doubles the microhardness as compared to the cast alloy. Whereas coarsening is faster due to the shorter diffusion distances between the eutectic phases, hardness remains ~30% higher than the as-cast alloy after ~6 weeks aging at 400 °C.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Nanoscale Three-Dimensional Imaging of Degradation in Composite Si-Containing Anodes

The use of silicon (Si) in next-generation lithium-ion battery (LIB) anodes has the potential to dramatically improve electrochemical performance over current LIB graphite (Gr) anodes, due to silicon’s higher specific capacity.1 However, widespread implementation of Si-containing anodes is inhibited by issues such as significant Si volume expansion during lithiation and an unstable solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI), resulting in unreliable performance and poor cycle life. Currently, composite anodes with both Si and graphite active materials are used to increase capacity and mitigate some of the limitations associated with Si. In composite electrodes with a heterogeneous distribution of components with varying electrical properties (including Si, Gr, conductive carbon additive, and binder), it is important to understand the local distribution of each component to correlate with electrochemical processes, particularly localized degradation and heterogeneous aging, and to optimize performance. To investigate Si-containing composite anodes in the nanoscale, we use scanning spreading resistance microscopy (SSRM), a form of scanning probe microscopy (SPM) that probes local electronic resistivity. By examining the intrinsic electronic resistivity contrast between the anode components, separate phases can be distinguished and understood within the composite structure.2 This work studies the effect of electrochemical cycling in two different electrolytes on component distribution and aging by comparing the electrical and structural evolution of composite Si-graphite electrodes and SEI before and after charge-discharge cycling. 1. W. J. Zhang. A review of the electrochemical performance of alloy anodes for lithium-ion batteries J. Power Sources 196 13–24 (2011). 2. C. Stetson, Z. Huey, A. Downard, Z. Li, B. To, A. Zakutayev, C.-S. Jiang, M. Al-Jassim, D. Finegan, S.-D. Han and S. DeCaluwe: Three-Dimensional Mapping of Resistivity and Microstructure of Composite Electrodes for Lithium-Ion Batteries. ACS Nano Letters Accepted (2020).

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Independence of Environmental and Mechanical Damages on Silicone Adhesive Stored in a Thermo-Oxidative Environment

Abstract Elastomeric polymer materials hold a special place in today’s industrial sectors with respect to structural application needs. Low quality materials are detrimental to industries like aerospace, and automotive engineering. Assessment of the durability of elastomers for structural applications has been of much interest among the literary circles for decades and new materials keep outperforming the existing ones. Polymeric adhesives are one of the most abundantly used materials in these industries. All polymeric materials get damaged when in contact with aggressive environments in presence of high temperature and oxygen. Commonly referred to as thermo-oxidation, this environment exposes the material to heat and oxidation reactions in presence of oxygen. Resultantly, during service life, the damage to the polymer matrix is primarily caused by two factors: mechanical damage and environmental aging. Environmental aging is an irreversible phenomenon caused by changes in the molecular structure while mechanical damage maintains the shape of the polymer matrix, and the deterioration is mostly due to polymer chain mobility. Environmental aging can be caused by a single environmental agent or by a synergized impact of several environmental elements. Increasing temperature is found to be proportional to decreasing tensile strength and toughness of material. The rate and extent of degradation can be accessed by scrutinizing the changes in constitutive behavior of material through mechanical and chemical properties. Accelerated thermal aging is among the most common modes of process related degradation, leading generally to chain scission, and crosslinking phenomena and reduced resistance to fracture stress, and strain. In this experimental study, our goal is to separate the environmental degradation from mechanical damage. A silicone-based adhesive was aged in thermo-oxidative at (0%RH) aging environment. The damage and decay mechanisms have been used to draw a distinction between environmental degradation and mechanical damage. Material characterization included uniaxial tensile test (failure and cyclic) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) tests on as-received and aged samples. Aging was conducted at three different temperatures (60°C, 80°C and 95°C) and six different exposure durations (1, 3, 10, 30, 90 and 200 days). This work confirms that environmental damage is superposed on top of the mechanical damage, and thus, they are separable. The total mechanical and environmental damage is a synergized effect of all exposure conditions and parameters involved i.e., aging time, temperature, and oxygen. The chemistry and mechanics of the polymer degradation were found to be in good agreement with each other.

Alazhary, Sharif↗
DOE OSTI2024

An experimentally validated electro-thermal EV battery pack model incorporating cycle-life aging and cell-to-cell variations

Lithium-ion batteries are used in a wide variety of applications. To meet the power and energy demands of these applications battery packs are composed of hundreds to thousands of cells. The electrical and thermal interactions between cells introduce additional complexity in the pack dynamics. To capture these effects, a battery pack model composed of 192 cells based on a first-generation (2012) Nissan Leaf battery pack is developed in MATLAB/Simulink/Simscape. Here, with this model, we simulate the electrical dynamics (using a first-order equivalent-circuit model), the thermal dynamics (using a first-order lumped-parameter thermal model), and the aging dynamics (using a semi-empirical severity factor-based model) of every cell in the pack and we also create a pack thermal model that explicitly captures the heat exchange between the modules, and the cells contained within, during operation. The models are calibrated and validated, both at the cell and pack level, with experimental data. Two different case studies of this pack model are investigated. In the first case study, an initial, normally-distributed, cell-to-cell capacity variation is introduced and its effect on the pack voltage and module temperatures is studied. In the second case study, we deliberately insert cells with lower than nominal capacity into the pack and we investigate how this type of initial cell-to-cell capacity variation affects the pack’s ability to deliver energy over time. Finally, we also study how parallel-connected cells can reduce the effects of cell-to-cell variations at the expense of increased aging of the pack overall.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

PNNL ARENA Cable Motor Test Bed Update

A major focus of the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Cable Nondestructive Examination (NDE) 2021 research is to acquire new equipment and integrate it with existing NDE instruments for a cable motor test bed which has been dubbed the Accelerated and Real Time Experimental Nodal Analysis or “ARENA”. All the primary components have been received and are being staged in the 2410 Stevens building on PNNL’s Richland campus. Building modifications to support a plug-in 480VAC receptacle have been completed and details of the system operating procedure (SOP) are in review. The approved SOP is required before the system is energized but is expected before July 2021. The ARENA system will support planned cable tests for 2021 and beyond that cannot conveniently be performed with on-site installations of cable test equipment including: (1) NDE Tests including Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR), Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR), Tan Delta (TD) Impedance measurements, Low Frequency Dielectric Spectroscopy (DS) measurements, standard multi-meter resistance checks, withstand tests and other bulk and distributed tests from the instrument panel with and without motors connected. (2) Online energized live wire tests using partial discharge instruments and LIVE-WIRE spread-spectrum TDR instruments. (3) Cable tests with partially submerged cable segments (including ability to submerge live cable segments). (4) Cable tests with partially or completely thermally aged segments (including ability to expose energized cable segments to thermal aging and use online monitoring instruments to monitor cable performance. (5) Ability to introduce low resistance simulations of connector or splice faults to off-line and on-line instrument setups.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Active and Stable PtPd Diesel Oxidation Catalysts under Industry‐Defined Test Protocols

Nanoparticle-supported Pt and Pd catalysts are employed industrially to convert CO and hydrocarbon residue from incomplete diesel fuel combustion into more environmentally-benign products. However, these catalysts deactivate over time due to sintering, especially for Pt nanoparticles which readily generate volatile species under high operating temperatures. Here, we turned the detrimental vapor-mediated sintering of Pt into an advantage by using a physical mixture of Pt and Pd catalysts prepared using a raspberry-colloid-templating (RCT) method. The RCT method produced Pt/Al 2 O 3 and Pd/Al 2 O 3 catalysts with partially embedded NPs to inhibit surface-mediated sintering pathways. As validated using an industry-defined emission control test protocol, aging a physical mixture of Pt/Al 2 O 3 and Pd/Al 2 O 3 at high temperature produced an alloyed PtPd/Al 2 O 3 catalyst that outperformed the fresh catalyst mixture and both individual catalysts for hydrocarbon conversion, while exhibiting high catalytic stability and resistance to sintering and to SO 2 poisoning. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy revealed that in the aged catalyst mixture, half of the Pd content existed in the more active metallic state, compared to the less active oxide forms in the fresh mixture and both individual catalysts, explaining the unusual activity enhancement. Our results represent a practical approach to producing active and stable PtPd/Al 2 O 3 diesel oxidation catalysts for emission control applications.

Lim, Kang Rui Garrick [Harvard University, Cambrid↗
DOE OSTI2020

Effect of aging on failure mechanism of Alloy 709 at various temperatures

Alloy 709 is a novel austenitic stainless steel with high temperature creep strength, weldability, and corrosion resistance. These properties make the material suitable for applications in the structure of next-generation nuclear power plants. Enduring high temperatures for an extended period of time in the harsh environments of a nuclear power plant results in thermal aging of the material. Therefore, it is imperative to study the effect of thermal aging on the microstructure and mechanical properties of Alloy 709 before its application in the next generation power plants. In this study, hot-processed (forged + rolled), annealed and quenched ingots of Alloy 709 are aged at 650 °C for 2000 h in air and then tested at various temperatures up to 850 °C in an in-situ heating-loading Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM) equipped with Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy (EDS) and Electron Backscatter Diffraction (EBSD). The effect of testing temperature and aging on microstructural evolutions during tensile testing of as-received and aged samples are studied. Furthermore, both as-received and aged samples displayed serrations and drop in ductility at elevated temperatures, due to the effect of dynamic strain aging (DSA). The occurrence of DSA activity was found within temperatures range of 500 °C–750 °C in as-received and 550 °C - 650 °C in aged samples. The aged samples showed less elongation accompanied by shallower dimples on the fractured surface, indicating less ductile failure mechanism compared to as-received samples. Failure mechanism observations on the fracture surface using SEM fractography are correlated to the observations made on the sample surface using in-situ SEM to achieve a complementary set of information to better understand the failure mechanism of this novel alloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Physics-Based Analysis of Cell Imbalances and Aging in Lithium-Ion Battery Modules and Packs

Lithium-ion battery (LIB) packs are a key solution for grid-scale energy storage, enabling grid resilience and supporting critical infrastructure. LIB modules and packs experience current imbalances and uneven cell aging due to various design and operational factors, and require a battery management system (BMS) to continuously monitor and control. In this context, a physics-based modeling framework for LIB modules and packs (liionpack) was enhanced to identify design and control strategies that minimize current imbalance and improve module/pack operation. Simulations of an 8-cell parallel-connected module demonstrate that reducing current imbalance leads to more uniform cell aging and improved module/pack-level degradation predictions. The analysis shows that current imbalance are affected by the electrical resistances. Terminal location significantly affects imbalance, with opposite-end terminal connections at intermediate branches minimizing the imbalance, and the pack circuit construction influences the accuracy of physics-based analysis at the pack scale. This framework enables design optimization of modules and packs through a fast and easy evaluation of pack performance and aging, and supports the development of aging-informed balancing strategies compatible with BMS implementation. Thereby, offering practical pathways to improve reliability and cycle life predictions in large-scale battery energy storage systems.

Ayalasomayajula, Surya Mitra [Oak Ridge National L↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanical Properties of Tritium Precharged and Aged Additively Manufactured Austenitic Stainless Steel

What is “known” about tritium effects on austenitic steel • Decreased ductility and fracture resistance • Hardening/strengthening • Hydrogen is believed to interact with dislocations, grain boundaries, vacancies, and other microstructural features2 • But what about AM?? • Similar behavior/trends? • How do we account for differences between AM and forged? • Can we design based on material with similar microstructure that has already been tested?

Wieber, Natalie [Savannah River National Laborator↗
DOE OSTI2022

Delayed fire mortality has long‐term ecological effects across the Southern Appalachian landscape

Abstract Fire is a critical ecological process to the forests of the Southern Appalachians. Where fire was excluded from forest types that historically burned frequently, unanticipated changes can occur when fire is reintroduced. For example, the development of new fuel characteristics can change the patterns of fire mortality and associated ecological responses. To test the fire effects of delayed fire mortality (mortality initiated by fire that occurs subsequent to the fire year) in the Southern Appalachians, USA, we developed a fire‐effects model using both field studies and remote sensing. We then simulated these effects at a landscape scale to estimate broader ecological effects. Fire‐effects models that accounted for delayed mortality increased landscape biomass removed annually (~23%) and increased the number of sites with high light conditions (leaf area index < 4) when compared to simulations that only account for immediate mortality. While delayed mortality occurred across species and age classes, it was especially prevalent among older trees (>100 years old) and fire‐resistant species ( Quercus spp.). Overall, regeneration (trees <20 years old) changed very little, even with the inclusion of delayed mortality. This evidence suggests that, even when accounting for delayed mortality, individual fires are unlikely to shift the landscape composition toward the conditions of forests prior to fire exclusion and may even increase mesophication long term due to the loss of overstory dominant xeric trees.

Robbins, Zachary J.↗