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At least 91 records · Page 5

Geodynamically corrected Pliocene shoreline elevations in Australia consistent with midrange projections of Antarctic ice loss

The Mid-Pliocene represents the most recent interval in Earth history with climatic conditions similar to those expected in the coming decades. Mid-Pliocene sea level estimates therefore provide important constraints on projections of future ice sheet behavior and sea level change but differ by tens of meters due to local distortion of paleoshorelines caused by mantle dynamics. We combine an Australian sea level marker compilation with geodynamic simulations and probabilistic inversions to quantify and remove these post-Pliocene vertical motions at continental scale. Dynamic topography accounts for most of the observed sea level marker deflection, and correcting for this effect and glacial isostatic adjustment yields a Mid-Pliocene global mean sea level of +16.0 (+10.4 to +21.5) m (50th/16th to 84th percentiles). Recalibration of recent high-end sea level projections using this revised estimate implies a more stable Antarctic Ice Sheet under future warming scenarios, consistent with midrange forecasts of sea level rise that do not incorporate a marine ice cliff instability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Vertical Structure and Ice Production Processes of Shallow Convective Postfrontal Clouds over the Southern Ocean in MARCUS. Part I: Observational Study

A study of the vertical structure of postfrontal shallow clouds in the marine boundary layer over the Southern Ocean is presented here. The central question of this two-part study regards cloud phase (liquid/ice) of precipitation, and the associated growth mechanisms. In this first part, data from the Measurements of Aerosols, Radiation, and Clouds over the Southern Ocean (MARCUS) field campaign are analyzed, starting with a 75-h case with continuous sea surface-based thermal instability, modest surface heat fluxes, an open-cellular mesoscale organization, and very few ice nucleating particles (INPs). The clouds are mostly precipitating and shallow (tops mostly around 2 km above sea level), with weak up- and downdrafts, and with cloud-top temperatures generally around –18° to –10°C. Further, the case study is extended to three other periods of postfrontal shallow clouds in MARCUS. While abundant supercooled liquid water is commonly present, an experimental cloud-phase algorithm classifies nearly two-thirds of clouds in the 0° to –5°C layer as containing ice (cloud ice, snow, or mixed phase), implying that much of the precipitation grows through cold-cloud processes. The best predictors of ice presence are cloud-top temperature, cloud depth, and INP concentration. Measures of convective activity and turbulence are found to be poor indicators of ice presence in the studied environment. The water-phase distribution in this cloud regime is explored through numerical simulations in Part II. Significance Statement: Climate models generally predict a lower albedo than observed over the Southern Ocean, and this is largely attributed to a lack of cloudiness, especially in the postfrontal cold sector of midlatitude cyclones. This in turn may be due to an excess of ice in these simulated clouds, resulting in rapid precipitation fallout and an overly brief cloud lifespan. The objective of this study is to examine whether shallow postfrontal clouds over the Southern Ocean are dominated by supercooled drops, or by snow and ice, using data collected by a U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Mobile Facility deployed aboard an Australian Antarctic supply vessel. We find that these clouds contain much supercooled liquid, even though cloud-top temperatures generally are around –18° to –8°C, and that about two-thirds of the clouds just above the freezing level contain ice. Much of the precipitation appears to grow through cold-cloud processes above the freezing level, rather than drizzle/rain. Updrafts and/or turbulence in convection or in cloud-top generating cells do not initiate much ice, compared to observations elsewhere in a similar temperature range. This may be attributable to the extremely low concentration of ice nucleating particles in this environment. Ultimately, the deepest clouds with the coldest cloud tops are most likely to be ice dominated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Monsoon Depression Amplification by Horizontal Shear and Humidity Gradients: A Shallow Water Perspective

Transient, synoptic-scale vortices produce a large fraction of total rainfall in most monsoon regions and are often associated with extreme precipitation. However, the mechanism of their amplification remains a topic of active research. For monsoon depressions, which are the most prominent synoptic-scale vortex in the Asian–Australian monsoon, recent work has suggested that meridional gradients in zonal wind in the vortex environment may produce growth through barotropic instability, while meridional gradients in environmental humidity have also been proposed to cause amplification through coupling with precipitating convection. Here, a two-dimensional shallow water model on a sphere with parameterized precipitation is used to examine the relative role played by these two environmental gradients. By systematically varying the meridional moisture gradient and meridional wind shear for both weak, quasi-linear waves and finite-amplitude isolated vortices, we show that rotational winds in the initial vortex are amplified most strongly by meridional shear of the environmental zonal wind, while vortex precipitation rates are most sensitive to environmental moisture gradients. The growth rate in the presence of both gradients is less than the sum of growth rates in the presence of isolated gradients, as the phase relation between moisture and vorticity anomalies becomes distorted with increasing shear. In conclusion, these results suggest that background meridional gradients in both zonal wind and environmental humidity can contribute to the amplification of vortices to monsoon depression strength, but with some degree of decoupling of the dry rotational flow and the moist convection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Explaining Globally Inhomogeneous Future Changes in Monsoons Using Simple Moist Energy Diagnostics

Here, this study examines the annual cycle of monsoon precipitation simulated by models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), then uses moist energy diagnostics to explain globally inhomogeneous projected future changes. Rainy season characteristics are quantified using a consistent method across the globe. Model bias is shown to include rainy season onsets tens of days later than observed in some monsoon regions (India, Australia, and North America) and overly large summer precipitation in others (North America, South America, and southern Africa). Projected next-century changes include rainy season lengthening in the two largest Northern Hemisphere monsoon regions (South Asia and central Sahel) and shortening in the two largest Southern Hemisphere regions (South America and southern Africa). Changes in the North American and Australian monsoons are less coherent across models. To understand these changes, relative moist static energy (MSE) is defined as the difference between local and tropical-mean surface air MSE. Future changes in relative MSE in each region correlate well with onset and demise date changes. Furthermore, Southern Hemisphere regions projected to undergo rainy season shortening are spanned by an increasing equator-to-pole MSE gradient, suggesting their rainfall will be increasingly inhibited by fluxes of dry extratropical air; Northern Hemisphere regions with projected lengthening of rainy seasons undergo little change in equator-to-pole MSE gradient. Thus, although model biases raise questions as to the reliability of some projections, these results suggest that globally inhomogeneous future changes in monsoon timing may be understood through simple measures of surface air MSE.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Tools for Design and Scale-Up of Solar Thermochemical Reactors: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-13-00530

NREL will be collaborating with the Participant on a United States - Australia Solar Energy Collaboration (USASEC) Project Number 1-USO034 "Tools for design and scale-up of solar thermochemical reactors." The grant funds for the Participant's 3.5 year project number 1-US034 commencing on 1 February 2013 have been awarded to the Participant by the Australian Renewable Energy Agency and NREL will be collaborating with the Participant during the final 28 months of this project. This project seeks to provide basic knowledge required to design solar thermochemical reactors able to perform the required energy conversions. In several proposed and demonstrated reactors, concentrated sunlight directly irradiates small solid particles suspended in fluid, enabling very high heat transfer rates to the particles which are the sites of chemical reaction. The reactors, therefore, involve the complex and couple dynamics of turbulent, chemically reacting, particle-laden flows and their interaction with concentrating solar radiation. A strong understanding of these coupled interactions will be crucial important in predicting and optimizing the performance of prototype reactors, but this understanding does not yet exist, since they have never been studied in any fundamental way. The project has a assembled an internationally leading team from The University of New South Wales (UNSW) and the University of Adelaide in Australia and the NREL in the United States to address this key gap in available know-how. The project will use U.S. Dept. of Energy (DOE) supercomputers, among the most powerful available worldwide, with cutting-edge software tools to perform first-principles simulations of the relevant interactions. These studies will be combined with detailed laser-based measurements in Australia to provide the first comprehensive databases concerning the governing phenomena in directly irradiated solar-thermochemical reactors. The outcomes will be the basic scientific knowledge, engineering knowhow and modeling tools necessary to design new reactor concepts and then scale up from the laboratory bench to practical size systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

User guide for the Geospatial Risk Analysis Tool (V.1.0.1)

Developed by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), the Geospatial Risk Analysis Tool (GRAT) links to Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT), a complete system for computing simple air parcel trajectories, as well as complex transport, dispersion, chemical transformation, and deposition simulations. The HYSPLIT model was developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Air Resources Laboratory and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Center in 1998. GRAT is used to batch process meteorological data into ARL format. While HYSPLIT GUI limits users to convert meteorological data up to 6 date time points per operation, GRAT enables users to convert a significantly large amount of data (For example, 10 years of meteorological data measured with an interval of 5 minutes) within one operation. Incorporated with the Potential source distribution function (PSDF), GRAT can also be used to determine the areas influenced by the emission of hazardous chemicals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cloud and Precipitation Experiment at Kennaook (Cape-K) Science Plan

The Cloud and Precipitation Experiment at Kennaook (CAPE-K) will augment ongoing measurements at the Kennaook/Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Station (KCG) with components of the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s second Mobile Facility (AMF2) in a deployment that is scheduled to extend from April 2024 through September 2025. Located at Kennaook/Cape Grim on the northwestern tip of Tasmania (40.68° S, 144.69° E), KCG has produced the longest and most consequential record of Southern Hemisphere aerosol and gas-phase chemistry; however, extensive cloud and precipitation measurements have not been collected at this site. CAPE-K is motivated by the fact that model uncertainty in the surface radiation budget due to clouds and precipitation remain significant in this region, where strong latitudinal gradients in cloud feedbacks are found and there are strong and well-documented seasonal variations in marine aerosol properties. Satellite data suggest that cloud properties co-vary with the seasonal cycle in aerosol in the Southern Ocean (SO), yet detailed vertically resolved measurements of cloud and precipitation in the marine boundary layer are sparse. CAPE-K will provide the first such seasonal cycle of measurements in this important latitude band. CAPE-K will provide detailed cloud and precipitation observations over two winter seasons and align with complementary high-value-add activities planned by Australian colleagues, including a voyage of the Research Vessel Investigator (RVI) in May 2025 that will conduct measurements just offshore of KCG.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Abstract for CRADA between NETL and H2 Resources Pty Ltd.

NETL and H2 Resources Pty Ltd. will collaborate under this CRADA project to evaluate and design a scaled-up microwave assisted coal gasification process on Australian low-rank coal. This project will include parametric studies on the top size of feed coal using continuous feed microwave capabilities at NETL.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Effect of Lateral Conduction in a Rectangular Fuel Plate and Optimum Stripe Widths for the OPAL Reactor

The impetus for this work is the Proliferation Resistance Optimization (PRO-X) program, which was created by the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) of the US Department of Energy (DOE) to provide a framework for developing reactor designs that minimize the production of special nuclear materials while maximizing performance for peaceful uses. The Argentine company INVAP and Argonne National Laboratory collaborated to share knowledge and expertise regarding the thermal analysis of research reactors. Working together, they designed a series of test problems based on the Open Pool Australian Light Water (OPAL) reactor, whose fuel is in the form of flat plates cooled by water flowing through narrow rectangular channels. ANL used their PLTEMP/ANL code. INVAP used their TERMIC code (and its new multi-plate version, TERMIC-MP). Then, INVAP and ANL compared the two sets of results. 1-D models were used during the collaboration since for research reactor analysis, largely 1-D thermal-hydraulics models are commonly used because they are simple to apply and technically defendable. The collaboration between the two organizations aims for improvements in thermal-hydraulic models. Improvements to methods and models can reduce modeling uncertainties and excessive conservatism, allowing greater reactor performance without reducing predicted safety margins. Therefore, these improvements potentially expand the design space, making additional designs feasible, which, in turn, may achieve better fuel utilization and proliferation resistance in the designs. This report provides justification for the lateral node size (stripe width) chosen for the 1-D computer models during the collaboration. The lateral heat conduction in OPAL fuel plates is evaluated using the two-dimensional conduction capability of PLTEMP/ANL to determine a representative hot-stripe width that can be conservatively used for one-dimensional steady-state thermal-hydraulic analysis. Basically, a representative hot-stripe width needs to be selected so that the actual heat flux averaged over this stripe width is greater than or equal to the maximum heat flux obtained by the two-dimensional analysis. Detailed results in this report show that a hot-stripe width of 8.125 mm can be conservatively used for the one-dimensional thermal-hydraulics analysis of all plates. Therefore, eight equal stripes (8.125 mm each) are recommended to be modeled in the MCNP and PLTEMP/ANL full core models of the OPAL reactor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Heliostat Consortium Annual Report: 2024

In 2021, the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) funded the formation of the Heliostat Consortium (HelioCon), a five-year consortium designed to advance U.S. heliostat technologies by engaging industry, subject matter experts, and general stakeholders for direct project-level collaboration, external consulting, and mission-specific panels and workshops. HelioCon is led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratories, in partnership with the Australian Solar Thermal Research Institute. This report describes HelioCon's activities and impact in fiscal year 2024.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Southern Ocean Aerosols Field Campaign Report

Atmospheric processes over the Southern Ocean have a profound influence on regional and global climate. This is a part of the world where global climate models perform particularly poorly, with models persistently overpredicting the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface (Regayre et al. 2020). A major challenge when trying to improve the representation of atmospheric processes in this part of the globe is the scarcity of observations capable of constraining our understanding. During 2024/25 a U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility field campaign (CAPE-k) deployed a suite of instrumentation at the kennaook/Cape Grim atmospheric monitoring station in Tasmania, Australia to provide detailed cloud-aerosol observations in this region in order to address the greatest source of uncertainty in climate models – atmospheric aerosols and how they influence cloud formation (Carslaw et al. 2013). In support of the ARM observations, an Australian Research Council (ARC)-funded project “Southern Ocean aerosols: sources, sinks and impact on cloud properties,” led by the Queensland University of Technology, complemented the ARM measurements with a suite of chemical measurements at the kennaook/Cape Grim site in northwestern Tasmania to provide more information on the processes controlling aerosol formation and growth. The deployment of the University of York LIF-SO2 instrument (Temple et al. 2025) in the ARM mobile facility container was part of this chemistry-focused deployment. Increased observational efforts are critical for understanding sources and sinks of Southern Ocean aerosols, in particular the role of marine micro-organisms (phytoplankton, algae) on aerosols formation, their properties and growth, cloud droplet formation, and the conversion of cloud droplets to ice crystals and precipitation. The observational focus of the ARC-funded project is aerosol chemical composition and their gaseous precursors. The remote nature of the Southern Ocean poses a significant analytical challenge when studying gaseous precursors, as low concentrations are often below the limits of detection of commercial instrumentation. Historically this has meant that observations have had to be time-averaged over days to weeks to achieve the limits of detection required. Although useful when considering overall average levels of aerosol precursors, this time-averaging obscures temporal variability that can provide insight into the controlling processes. Over recent years advances in analytical techniques have made high-time-resolution measurements of key gas-phase aerosol precursors achievable with sufficiently low limits of detection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

HPTLC Analysis and Chemical Composition of Selected Melaleuca Essential Oils

Tea tree oil (TTO) is a volatile essential oil obtained by distillation, mainly from the Australian native plant Melaleuca alternifolia (Maiden & Betche) Cheel (Myrtaceae). In this study, a comparative analysis of the chemical constituents of seven tea tree oils (M. alternifolia) and four other Melaleuca spp. oils (M. cajuputi, (M Ca ), two chemotypes of M. quinquenervia, (M Ne and M Ni ), and M. ericifolia (M Ro )) was carried out using gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC-MS) and high-performance thin-layer chromatography (HPTLC). Among the seven TTOs, terpinen-4-ol (37.66–44.28%), γ-terpinene (16.42–20.75%), α-terpinene (3.47–12.62%), α-terpineol (3.11–4.66%), and terpinolene (2.75–4.19%) were the most abundant compounds. On the other hand, the most abundant compounds of the other Melaleuca oils varied, such as 1,8-cineole (64.63%) in M Ca oil, (E)-nerolidol (48.40%) and linalool (33.30%) in M Ne oil, 1,8-cineole (52.20%) in M Ni oil, and linalool (38.19%) and 1,8-cineole (27.57%) in M Ro oil. HPTLC fingerprinting of Melaleuca oils enabled the discrimination of TTO oils from other Melaleuca spp. oils. Variation was observed in the profile of the R f values among EOs. The present study shows that HPTLC is one of the best ways to identify and evaluate the quality control in authenticating TTOs, other Melaleuca EOs, or EOs from other species within the Myrtaceae.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Transits of Known Planets Orbiting a Naked-eye Star

Some of the most scientifically valuable transiting planets are those that were already known from radial velocity (RV) surveys. This is primarily because their orbits are well characterized and they preferentially orbit bright stars that are the targets of RV surveys. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) provides an opportunity to survey most of the known exoplanet systems in a systematic fashion to detect possible transits of their planets. HD 136352 (Nu{sup 2} Lupi) is a naked-eye (V = 5.78) G-type main-sequence star that was discovered to host three planets with orbital periods of 11.6, 27.6, and 108.1 days via RV monitoring with the High Accuracy Radial velocity Planet Searcher (HARPS) spectrograph. We present the detection and characterization of transits for the two inner planets of the HD 136352 system, revealing radii of 1.482{sub −0.056}{sup +0.058} R {sub ⊕} and 2.608{sub −0.077}{sup +0.078} R {sub ⊕} for planets b and c, respectively. We combine new HARPS observations with RV data from the Keck/High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer and the Anglo-Australian Telescope, along with TESS photometry from Sector 12, to perform a complete analysis of the system parameters. The combined data analysis results in extracted bulk density values of ρ{sub b}=7.8{sub −1.1}{sup +1.2} g cm{sup −3} and ρ{sub c}=3.50{sub −0.36}{sup +0.41} g cm{sup −3} for planets b and c, respectively, thus placing them on either side of the radius valley. The combination of the multitransiting planet system, the bright host star, and the diversity of planetary interiors and atmospheres means this will likely become a cornerstone system for atmospheric and orbital characterization of small worlds.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Most Metal-poor Stars in the Inner Bulge

The bulge is the oldest component of the Milky Way. Since numerous simulations of Milky Way formation have predicted that the oldest stars at a given metallicity are found on tightly bound orbits, the Galaxy’s oldest stars are likely metal-poor stars in the inner bulge with small apocenters (i.e., R {sub apo} ≲ 4 kpc). In the past, stars with these properties have been impossible to find due to extreme reddening and extinction along the line of sight to the inner bulge. We have used the mid-infrared metal-poor star selection of Schlaufman & Casey (2014) on Spitzer/Galactic Legacy Infrared Mid-Plane Survey Extraordinaire data to overcome these problems and target candidate inner bulge metal-poor giants for moderate-resolution spectroscopy with Anglo-Australian Telescope/AAOmega. We used those data to select three confirmed metal-poor giants ([Fe/H] = −3.15, −2.56, −2.03) for follow-up high-resolution Magellan/Magellan Inamori Kyocera Echelle spectroscopy. A comprehensive orbit analysis using Gaia DR2 astrometry and our measured radial velocities confirms that these stars are tightly bound inner bulge stars. We determine the elemental abundances of each star and find high titanium and iron-peak abundances relative to iron in our most metal-poor star. We propose that the distinct abundance signature we detect is a product of nucleosynthesis in the Chandrasekhar-mass thermonuclear supernova of a CO white dwarf accreting from a helium star with a delay time of about 10 Myr. Even though chemical evolution is expected to occur quickly in the bulge, the intense star formation in the core of the nascent Milky Way was apparently able to produce at least one Chandrasekhar-mass thermonuclear supernova progenitor before chemical evolution advanced beyond [Fe/H]∼−3.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Tropospheric and stratospheric wildfire smoke profiling with lidar: mass, surface area, CCN, and INP retrieval

We present retrievals of tropospheric and stratospheric height profiles of particle mass, volume, surface area, and number concentrations in the case of wildfire smoke layers as well as estimates of smoke-related cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice-nucleating particle (INP) concentrations from backscatter lidar measurements on the ground and in space. Conversion factors used to convert the optical measurements into microphysical properties play a central role in the data analysis, in addition to estimates of the smoke extinction-to-backscatter ratios required to obtain smoke extinction coefficients. The set of needed conversion parameters for wildfire smoke is derived from AERONET observations of major smoke events, e.g., in western Canada in August 2017, California in September 2020, and southeastern Australia in January–February 2020 as well as from AERONET long-term observations of smoke in the Amazon region, southern Africa, and Southeast Asia. The new smoke analysis scheme is applied to CALIPSO observations of tropospheric smoke plumes over the United States in September 2020 and to ground-based lidar observation in Punta Arenas, in southern Chile, in aged Australian smoke layers in the stratosphere in January 2020. These case studies show the potential of spaceborne and ground-based lidars to document large-scale and long-lasting wildfire smoke events in detail and thus to provide valuable information for climate, cloud, and air chemistry modeling efforts performed to investigate the role of wildfire smoke in the atmospheric system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ozone depletion in the Arctic and Antarctic stratosphere induced by wildfire smoke

Abstract. A record-breaking stratospheric ozone loss was observed over the Arctic and Antarctica in 2020. Strong ozone depletion occurred over Antarctica in 2021 as well. The ozone holes developed in smoke-polluted air. In this article, the impact of Siberian and Australian wildfire smoke (dominated by organic aerosol) on the extraordinarily strong ozone reduction is discussed. The study is based on aerosol lidar observations in the North Pole region (October 2019–May 2020) and over Punta Arenas in southern Chile at 53.2∘ S (January 2020–November 2021) as well as on respective NDACC (Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change) ozone profile observations in the Arctic (Ny-Ålesund) and Antarctica (Neumayer and South Pole stations) in 2020 and 2021. We present a conceptual approach on how the smoke may have influenced the formation of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs), which are of key importance in the ozone-depleting processes. The main results are as follows: (a) the direct impact of wildfire smoke below the PSC height range (at 10–12 km) on ozone reduction seems to be similar to well-known volcanic sulfate aerosol effects. At heights of 10–12 km, smoke particle surface area (SA) concentrations of 5–7 µm2 cm−3 (Antarctica, spring 2021) and 6–10 µm2 cm−3 (Arctic, spring 2020) were correlated with an ozone reduction in terms of ozone partial pressure of 0.4–1.2 mPa (about 30 % further ozone reduction over Antarctica) and of 2–3.5 mPa (Arctic, 20 %–30 % reduction with respect to the long-term springtime mean). (b) Within the PSC height range, we found indications that smoke was able to slightly increase the PSC particle number and surface area concentration. In particular, a smoke-related additional ozone loss of 1–2 mPa (10 %–20 % contribution to the total ozone loss over Antarctica) was observed in the 14–23 km PSC height range in September–October 2020 and 2021. Smoke particle number concentrations ranged from 10 to 100 cm−3 and were about a factor of 10 (in 2020) and 5 (in 2021) above the stratospheric aerosol background level. Satellite observations indicated an additional mean column ozone loss (deviation from the long-term mean) of 26–30 Dobson units (9 %–10 %, September 2020, 2021) and 52–57 Dobson units (17 %–20 %, October 2020, 2021) in the smoke-polluted latitudinal Antarctic belt from 70–80∘ S.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessing the cloud radiative bias at Macquarie Island in the ACCESS-AM2 model

Abstract. As a long-standing problem in climate models, large positive shortwave radiation biases exist at the surface over the Southern Ocean, impacting the accurate simulation of sea surface temperature, atmospheric circulation, and precipitation. Underestimations of low-level cloud fraction and liquid water content are suggested to predominantly contribute to these radiation biases. Most model evaluations for radiation focus on summer and rely on satellite products, which have their own limitations. In this work, we use surface-based observations at Macquarie Island to provide the first long-term, seasonal evaluation of both downwelling surface shortwave and longwave radiation in the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Atmosphere-only Model version 2 (ACCESS-AM2) over the Southern Ocean. The capacity of the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) product to simulate radiation is also investigated. We utilize the novel lidar simulator, the Automatic Lidar and Ceilometer Framework (ALCF), and all-sky cloud camera observations of cloud fraction to investigate how radiation biases are influenced by cloud properties. Overall, we find an overestimation of +9.5±33.5 W m−2 for downwelling surface shortwave radiation fluxes and an underestimation of -2.3±13.5 W m−2 for downwelling surface longwave radiation in ACCESS-AM2 in all-sky conditions, with more pronounced shortwave biases of +25.0±48.0 W m−2 occurring in summer. CERES presents an overestimation of +8.0±18.0 W m−2 for the shortwave and an underestimation of -12.1±12.2 W m−2 for the longwave in all-sky conditions. For the cloud radiative effect (CRE) biases, there is an overestimation of +4.8±28.0 W m−2 in ACCESS-AM2 and an underestimation of -7.9±20.9 W m−2 in CERES. An overestimation of downwelling surface shortwave radiation is associated with an underestimated cloud fraction and low-level cloud occurrence. We suggest that modeled cloud phase is also having an impact on the radiation biases. Our results show that the ACCESS-AM2 model and CERES product require further development to reduce these radiation biases not just in shortwave and in all-sky conditions, but also in longwave and in clear-sky conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗