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DOE OSTI2024

Powering Data Centers with Clean Energy: A Techno-Economic Case Study of Nuclear and Renewable Energy Dependability

Rising data demands from artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) generating images, videos, and text have prompted increased need for larger and more robust data centers in the United States. Major companies interested in these larger data centers face the choice of linking them to existing regional grids, building stand-alone power supplies onsite, or a combination of both. The request, review, and approval process for new transmission lines to grids in the United States, however, has grown in recent years to times spans rivaling those of new construction for nuclear power plants. Building an islanded power supply for each data center is therefore becoming a prominent option. In this case study, several technologies are modeled in techno-economic simulations for long-term system costs subject to fixed electricity demand from a singular data center. A 250 MWe data center is assumed with additional 50 MWe for resiliency. Techno-economic simulations are conducted using the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) software, which is a part of the Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite. Technologies considered include solar, wind, lithium-ion batteries, and several types of nuclear reactors: large-scale reactors, small modular reactors, and microreactors. A low- and high-cost estimate for each technology is assumed to develop a range of expected economic performance. Low-cost estimates included several clean energy production tax credits. Different combinations of renewable energy generators with nuclear reactors are considered, ranging from a fully renewable-powered data center to a fully nuclear-powered data center. Historic time series of wind and solar availability from the Texas grid are used to train a reduced order model; this model then generates unique time series with similar characteristics of the training dataset. Multiple scenarios of weather and subsequent operations are simulated for each renewable-nuclear combination to determine total costs throughout the project lifetime. Fully renewable-powered configurations required large amounts of installed capacity (GW scale) in the simulations to meet the fixed demand of the data center. This is due to some scenarios in the historical dataset which captured low-wind and low-solar days, requiring over-building of these technologies as well as batteries to compensate for the low amounts of electricity generation. Fully nuclear-powered configurations outperformed the fully renewable and mixed renewable-nuclear configurations in terms of cost, with ranges between $1B and $10B in 2023 USDs compared to $40B+ for fully renewable configurations. Of the nuclear technologies, small modular reactors performed better economically than large-scale nuclear models due to lower projected capital costs, and both performed better than the microreactor models. These results demonstrate the applicability of firm, dispatchable electricity resources from baseload generators like nuclear power plants for operating facilities that run at constant power without daily variability.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Conservative numerical schemes with optimal dispersive wave relations: Part I. Derivation and analysis

An energy-conserving and an energy-and-enstrophy conserving numerical schemes are derived by approximating the Hamiltonian formulation of the inviscid shallow water flows based on the vorticity-divergence variables. These schemes also conserve the first-order moments such as mass and vorticity, as usual. The conservative properties of the schemes stem from the skew-symmetry and singularities of the Poisson brackets, which are carefully retained in the discrete approximations. Here, the schemes operate on unstructured orthogonal dual meshes, over bounded or unbounded domains, and they are also shown to possess the same optimal dispersive wave relations as those of the Z-grid scheme, which is a consequence of the use of the vorticity and divergence variables.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

Coherency-Based Detection Algorithm for Synchrophasor Cyberattacks

The wide area monitoring system (WAMS) is critical for power system situational awareness, but represents a growing cybersecurity vulnerability. Malicious adversaries may seek to compromise one or more PMUs in order to effect control decisions that unnecessarily disrupt typical grid operations. One example of a particularly pernicious attack vector is the spoofing or replaying of a fault event using one or more compromised PMUs. This work documents the development and validation of a coherency-based cyberattack detection algorithm that integrates a sliding-window singular value decomposition (SVD) with physics-based partitioning analysis to achieve accurate classification of events. Special consideration is given to discerning a sophisticated fault-replay or fault spoofing attack from actual faults. A software-based cybersecurity testbed has been developed for rigorous testing of the algorithm. The algorithm is further validated using simulated synchrophasor datasets obtained from a MinniWECC 63-bus test system. Results show that the algorithm can successfully detect fault-replay attacks even when over half of the PMUs are compromised.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Data-Driven Compression of Electron-Phonon Interactions

First-principles calculations of electron interactions in materials have seen rapid progress in recent years, with electron-phonon ( e − ph ) interactions being a prime example. However, these techniques use large matrices encoding the interactions on dense momentum grids, which reduces computational efficiency and obscures interpretability. For e − ph interactions, existing interpolation techniques leverage locality in real space, but the high dimensionality of the data remains a bottleneck to balance cost and accuracy. Here we show an efficient way to compress e − ph interactions based on singular value decomposition (SVD), a widely used matrix and image compression technique. Leveraging (un)constrained SVD methods, we accurately predict material properties related to e − ph interactions—including charge mobility, spin relaxation times, band renormalization, and superconducting critical temperature—while using only a small fraction (1%–2%) of the interaction data. These findings unveil the hidden low-dimensional nature of e − ph interactions. Furthermore, they accelerate state-of-the-art first-principles e − ph calculations by about 2 orders of magnitude without sacrificing accuracy. Our Pareto-optimal parametrization of e − ph interactions can be readily generalized to electron-electron and electron-defect interactions, as well as to other couplings, advancing quantitative studies of condensed matter. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Physics↗

NASA NTRS1987

Interaction of a decaying vortex ring with a rotational background flow bounded by a solid wall

The interaction between a vortex ring of finite strength and an axisymmetric rotational background flow bounded by a solid wall is studied by a singular perturbation method. The analysis is carried out by combining a composite solution of a vortex ring and an unsteady Navier-Stokes solution for the background rotational flow. Using the method of averaging, numerical scheme is developed to obtain a Navier-Stokes solution in which the grid and time-step sizes depend solely on the length and velocity scales of the background flow. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the separation of the boundary layer on a solid wall and its interaction with the vortex ring.

Ishii, K.↗

NASA NTRS1980

Implicit Finite-Difference Simulations of Three-Dimensional Compressible Flow

An implicit finite-difference procedure for unsteady three-dimensional flow capable of handling arbitrary geometry through the use of general coordinate transformations is described. Viscous effects are optionally incorporated with a "thin-layer" approximation of the Navier-Stokes equations. An implicit approximate factorization technique is employed so that the small grid sizes required for spatial accuracy and viscous resolution do not impose stringent stability limitations. Results obtained from the program include transonic inviscid or viscous solutions about simple body configurations. Comparisons with existing theories and experiments are made. Numerical accuracy and the effect of three-dimensional coordinate singularities are also discussed.

Pulliam, Thomas H.↗

NASA NTRS1978

On implicit finite-difference simulations of three-dimensional flow

An implicit finite-difference procedure for unsteady three-dimensional flow capable of handling arbitrary geometry through the use of general coordinate transformations is described. Viscous effects are optionally incorporated with a 'thin layer' approximation of the Navier-Stokes equations. An implicit approximate factorization technique is employed so that the small grid sizes required for spatial accuracy and viscous resolution do not impose stringent stability limitations. Results obtained from the program include transonic inviscid and laminar-turbulent solutions about simple body configurations. Comparisons with existing theories and experiments are made. Numerical accuracy and the effect of three-dimensional coordinate singularities are also discussed.

Pulliam, T. H.↗

NASA NTRS1985

An implicit time-marching method for studying unsteady flow with massive separation

A fully implicit time-marching method is developed such that all spatial derivatives are approximated using central differences, but no use is made of any artificial dissipation. The numerical method solves the discretized equations using Alternating Direction Implicit-Block Gaussian Elimination technique. The method is implemented in the unsteady analysis, which solves the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations in terms of vorticity and stream function in generalized orthogonal coordinates. A clustered conformal C-grid is employed, and every effort is made to resolve the various length scales in the flow problem. The metric discontinuity at the branch-cut is treated appropriately using analytic continuation. Introduction of the BGE reordering permits implicit treatment of the branch cut in the numerical method. The vorticity singularity at the cusped trailing edge is also appropriately treated. This accurate and efficient implicit method is used to study flow at Re = 1000, past a 12-percent thick symmetric Joukowski airfoil at high angle of attack 30 and 53 deg.

Osswald, G. A.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Multigrid applied to singular perturbation problems

The solution of the singular perturbation problem by a multigrid algorithm is considered. Theoretical and experimental results for a number of different discretizations are presented. The theoretical and observed rates agree with the results developed in an earlier work of Kamowitz and Parter. In addition, the rate of convergence of the algorithm when the coarse grid operator is the natural finite difference analog of the fine grid operator is presented. This is in contrast to the case in the previous work where the Galerkin choice (I sup H sub h L sub h,I sup h sub H) was used for the coarse grid operators.

Kamowitz, David↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Verification and Validation of a Magnetic Plasma Fluid Model Utilizing the MOOSE (Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment) Framework

As the goal of achieving fusion power on the grid comes closer to fruition, fully coupled multiphysics models of fusion devices will be crucial. Currently, there are two main approaches to developing these platforms: (1) loosely coupled, where one couples existing codes and solvers together through input and output parameters and data, and (2) tightly coupled, where one develops the necessary models within a singular, integrated framework. This work focuses on the latter approach for magnetically confined fusion devices by developing a fluid-based plasma-edge model within the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Framework. This effort is coordinated with other efforts to develop, test, demonstrate, and deploy fusion relevant multiphysics capabilities including electromagnetics, particle-in-cell plasma, tritium transport, and fusion blanket design. This new model is an expansion of the MOOSE-based plasma application, Zapdos, which was originally formulated to model low-temperature, non-magnetized plasma processes. Verification, benchmarking, and validation studies have been conducted. Verification studies involved utilizing the method of manufactured solutions and comparing the convergence slope of a known solution to the theoretical slope. Benchmarking consists of comparisons to existing edge codes, namely BOUT++ and SOLEDGE3X. Validation efforts focused on comparisons against open-source data from the TCV tokamak.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

NASA NTRS1984

A critical assessment of viscous models of trench topography and corner flow

Stresses for Newtonian viscous flow in a simple geometry (e.g., corner flow, bending flow) are obtained in order to study the effect of imposed velocity boundary conditions. Stress for a delta function velocity boundary condition decays as 1/R(2); for a step function velocity, stress goes as 1/R; for a discontinuity in curvature, the stress singularity is logarithmic. For corner flow, which has a discontinuity of velocity at a certain point, the corresponding stress has a 1/R singularity. However, for a more realistic circular-slab model, the stress singularity becomes logarithmic. Thus the stress distribution is very sensitive to the boundary conditions, and in evaluating the applicability of viscous models of trench topography it is essential to use realistic geometries. Topography and seismicity data from northern Hoshu, Japan, were used to construct a finite element model, with flow assumed tangent to the top of the grid, for both Newtonian and non-Newtonian flow (power law 3 rheology). Normal stresses at the top of the grid are compared to the observed trench topography and gravity anomalies. There is poor agreement. Purely viscous models of subducting slables with specified velocity boundary conditions do not predict normal stress patterns compatible with observed topography and gravity. Elasticity and plasticity appear to be important for the subduction process.

Zhang, J.↗

NASA NTRS1985

A critical assessment of viscous models of trench topography and corner flow

Zhang, J.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Interface conditions for domain decomposition with radical grid refinement

Interface conditions for coupling the domains in a physically motivated domain decomposition method are discussed. The domain decomposition is based on an asymptotic-induced method for the numerical solution of hyperbolic conservation laws with small viscosity. The method consists of multiple stages. The first stage is to obtain a first approximation using a first-order method, such as the Godunov scheme. Subsequent stages of the method involve solving internal-layer problem via a domain decomposition. The method is derived and justified via singular perturbation techniques.

Scroggs, Jeffrey S.↗

DOE OSTI2019

A New Multi-Scale State Estimation Framework for the Next Generation of Power Grid EMS

Accurate system state information under various operation conditions is a prerequisite for power grid monitoring and efficient control. To achieve that goal, a new multi-scale state estimation framework is proposed, paving the way for the development of next generation of energy management system (EMS). The developed framework consists of three key components, namely the static state estimation (SSE) module, the dynamic state estimation (DSE) module, the interfaces and switching logics between the two modules. Specifically, the singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-based change point detection approach is developed to monitor the system continuously. If no event is detected by the SSA, the robust SSE using both SCADA and PMU measurements is executed. Otherwise, the event is declared and the results from SSE are used to derive the initial condition for DSE. During the transient process, only PMU-based DSE is executed for system monitoring and it will be terminated when SSA does not detect any change point of the system. After that, the DSE results are forwarded for SSE initialization and bus voltage magnitude and angle estimations. Simulation results carried out on the IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness and benefits of the proposed framework.

Power system state estimation, energy management s↗

DOE OSTI2022

Grey Zone Test Range Social Model

The Grey Zone Test Range (GZTR) social model operates as a piece of the overall GZTR modeling effort. It works in conjunction with supply models for resources, an electric grid model for power availability, and a traffic model for road congestion, as well as a general controller framework that allows external system effects. The social model functions as an aggregate model where the entire population of the city is divided into groups based on the Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZs), a common geospatial boundary present in all GZTR models. These groups will act as a singular community; each time step the state of the system around them will be assessed and then community will come up with a general plan of action that they will attempt to follow for the day. Additionally, they will track values for their general emotional state and memory about negative impacts in the near past.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2018

The Effect of Transmission-Line Dynamics on a Globally Synchronizing Controller for Power Inverters

In this work, we analyze a dispatchable virtual oscillator control (dVOC) strategy for grid-forming power inverters that ensures almost global synchronization of inverterbased AC power systems when the dynamics of the transmission network are neglected, i.e., if an algebraic model of the transmission lines is used. While this approximation is often justified for conventional power systems, the dynamics of the transmission lines can compromise the stability of an inverterbased power system. Therefore, in this article, we use tools from singular perturbation theory to construct a Lyapunov function candidate and explicit bounds on the controller gains that guarantee global convergence to the set of steady-states for the full power-system with transmission line dynamics. Moreover, we show that the only undesirable steady-state is unstable.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Unified analysis of finite-size error for periodic Hartree-Fock and second order Møller-Plesset perturbation theory

Despite decades of practice, finite-size errors in many widely used electronic structure theories for periodic systems remain poorly understood. For periodic systems using a general Monkhorst-Pack grid, there has been no comprehensive and rigorous analysis of the finite-size error in the Hartree-Fock theory (HF) and the second order Møller-Plesset perturbation theory (MP2), which are the simplest wavefunction based method, and the simplest post-Hartree-Fock method, respectively. Such calculations can be viewed as a multi-dimensional integral discretized with certain trapezoidal rules. Due to the Coulomb singularity, the integrand has many points of discontinuity in general, and standard error analysis based on the Euler-Maclaurin formula gives overly pessimistic results. The lack of analytic understanding of finite-size errors also impedes the development of effective finite-size correction schemes. We propose a unified analysis to obtain sharp convergence rates of finite-size errors for the periodic HF and MP2 theories. Our main technical advancement is a generalization of the result of Lyness [Math. Comp. 30 (1976), pp. 1–23] for obtaining sharp convergence rates of the trapezoidal rule for a class of non-smooth integrands. Our result is applicable to three-dimensional bulk systems as well as low dimensional systems (such as nanowires and 2D materials). Our unified analysis also allows us to prove the effectiveness of the Madelung-constant correction to the Fock exchange energy, and the effectiveness of a recently proposed staggered mesh method for periodic MP2 calculations (see X. Xing, X. Li, and L. Lin [J. Chem. Theory Comput. 17 (2021), pp. 4733–4745]). In conclusion, our analysis connects the effectiveness of the staggered mesh method with integrands with removable singularities, and suggests a new staggered mesh method for reducing finite-size errors of periodic HF calculations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRS1985

An Eigensystem Realization Algorithm (ERA) for modal parameter identification and model reduction

A method, called the Eigensystem Realization Algorithm (ERA), is developed for modal parameter identification and model reduction of dynamic systems from test data. A new approach is introduced in conjunction with the singular value decomposition technique to derive the basic formulation of minimum order realization which is an extended version of the Ho-Kalman algorithm. The basic formulation is then transformed into modal space for modal parameter identification. Two accuracy indicators are developed to quantitatively identify the system modes and noise modes. For illustration of the algorithm, examples are shown using simulation data and experimental data for a rectangular grid structure.

Juang, J. N.↗