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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5

Adaptable Data Driven Model Predictive Control for Heat Pipe Microreactors

To establish a technical basis for self-regulating microreactors, a model predictive control (MPC) system is investigated to proactively respond to anomalies and disturbances in anticipation of potential deviations from operating setpoints. Due to the difficulty of developing a physics-based surrogate model that can accurately match plant data in various operating conditions, machine learning algorithms are used in MPC, which allow for learning from both simulation and operation data, thus efficiently describing the targeted transient with arbitrary accuracy. However, one of the biggest concerns in applying ML algorithms like artificial neural networks (ANNs) is that the predictive capabilities of ANN are limited by training data. If there are gaps between the training and target domain, the accuracy of an ANN can degrade significantly when it is used to predict unseen data. To improve the predictive capability of ANN and enable a confident use of data-driven MPCs outside the training data, this study proposes an adaptive data-driven MPC framework. The system will monitor the discrepancy between plant responses and surrogate predictions, fine-tune the ANN-based surrogate when a large discrepancy is detected, and continue MPC operation with updated surrogates. The framework is demonstrated on a point kinetic model for microreactors. The hyperparameters of the update strategy, including layers to update, error thresholds, learning rate discount, and number of data points used for fine-tuning, are optimized so the simulated microreactor is able to follow changes in setpoint with the smallest of deviations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Approximation rates of DeepONets for learning operators arising from advection–diffusion equations

Here we present the analysis of approximation rates of operator learning in Chen and Chen (1995) and Lu et al. (2021), where continuous operators are approximated by a sum of products of branch and trunk networks. In this work, we consider the rates of learning solution operators from both linear and nonlinear advection–diffusion equations with or without reaction. We find that the approximation rates depend on the architecture of branch networks as well as the smoothness of inputs and outputs of solution operators.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Technological evolution of large-scale blue hydrogen production toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot

Hydrogen potentially has a crucial role in the U.S. transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Learning from large-scale hydrogen projects will boost technological evolution and innovation toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot. We apply experience curves to estimate the evolving costs of blue hydrogen production and to further examine the economic effect on technological evolution of the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for carbon sequestration and clean hydrogen. Learning-by-doing alone can decrease the production cost of blue hydrogen. Without tax incentives, however, it is hard for blue hydrogen production to reach the cost target of $\$1$/kg H 2 . Here we show that the breakeven cumulative production capacity required for gas-based blue hydrogen to reach the $\$1$/kg H 2 target highly depends on tax credit, natural gas price, inflation rate, and learning rates. We make recommendations for hydrogen hub development and for accelerating technological progress toward the Hydrogen Energy Earthshot.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Machine Learning Methods for Connection RTT and Loss Rate Estimation Using MPI Measurements Under Random Losses

Scientific computations are expected to be increasingly distributed across wide-area networks, and Message Passing Interface (MPI) has been shown to scale to support their communications over long distances. Application-level measurements of MPI operations reflect the connection Round-Trip Time (RTT) and loss rate, and machine learning methods have been previously developed to estimate them under deterministic periodic losses. In this paper, we consider more complex, random losses with unform, Poisson and Gaussian distributions. We study five disparate machine leaning methods, with linear and non-linear, and smooth and non-smooth properties, to estimate RTT and loss rate over 10Gbps connections with 0-366ms RTT. The diversity and complexity of these estimators combined with the randomness of losses and TCP’s non-linear response together rule out the selection of a single best among them; instead, we fuse them to retain their design diversity. Overall, the results show that accurate estimates can be generated at low loss rates but become inaccurate at loss rates 10% and higher, thereby illustrating both their strengths and limitations.

Generalization Bounds↗

What you thought you knew about motion sickness isn't necessarily so

Motion sickness symptoms, stimuli, and drug therapy are discussed. Autogenic feedback training (AFT) methods of preventing motion sickness are explained. Research with AFT indicates that participants who had AFT could withstand longer periods of Coriolis acceleration, participants with high or low susceptibility to motion sickness could control their symptoms with AFT, AFT for Coriolis acceleration is transferable to other motion sickness stimuli, and most people can learn AFT, though with varying rates of learning.

Autogenic Training↗

Observed differences in learning ability of heart rate self-regulation as a function of hypnotic susceptibility

Three groups of eight male and female subjects (aged 20-27 yr) categorized by low and high hypnotic susceptibility were taught to control their heart rates by means of an appropriate autogenic therapy/biofeedback technique. The experimental groups were trained by autogenic therapy and biofeedback, while the control group received only biofeedback. Significant differences are observed in all psychological test scores between subjects of high and low hypnotic susceptibility. The results confirm that (1) there are qualitative and quantitative differences between the performance of individuals with high and low hypnotic susceptibility; (2) interindividual-variability tests yield data relevant to individual performance in visceral learning tasks; (3) the combined autogenic therapy/biofeedback/verbal feedback technique is suitable for conditioning large stable autonomic responses in humans; and (4) this kind of conditioning is effective in eliminating or alleviating physiological reactions to some environmental stressors.

Cowings, P. S.↗

Best of both worlds: Enforcing detailed balance in machine learning models of transition rates

The slow microstructural evolution of materials often plays a key role in determining material properties. When the unit steps of the evolution process are slow, direct simulation approaches such as molecular dynamics become prohibitive and Kinetic Monte-Carlo (kMC) algorithms, where the state-to-state evolution of the system is represented in terms of a continuous-time Markov chain, are instead frequently relied upon to efficiently predict long-time evolution. The accuracy of kMC simulations however relies on the complete and accurate knowledge of reaction pathways and corresponding kinetics. This requirement becomes extremely stringent in complex systems such as concentrated alloys where the astronomical number of local atomic configurations makes the a priori tabulation of all possible transitions impractical. Machine learning models of transition kinetics have been used to mitigate this problem by enabling the efficient on-the-fly prediction of kinetic parameters. While conventional KMC methods based on transition state theory naturally yield reversible dynamics that exactly obey the detailed balance criterion, providing strong guarantees on the properties of the stationary distribution, many recently-proposed ML-based approaches to barrier predictions provide no such guarantees. In this study, we derive conditions under which physics-informed ML architectures exactly enforce the detailed balance condition by construction, even when relying on non-extensive descriptions of states in terms of local environments around mobile defects. In conclusion, using the diffusion of a vacancy in a concentrated alloy as an example, we show that such ML architectures also exhibit superior performance in terms of prediction accuracy, demonstrating that the imposition of physical constraints can facilitate the accurate learning of barriers at no increase in computational cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine-learning based prediction of injection rate and solenoid voltage characteristics in GDI injectors

We report that current state-of-the-art gasoline direct-injection (GDI) engines use multiple injections as one of the key technologies to improve exhaust emissions and fuel efficiency. For this technology to be successful, secured adequate control of fuel quantity for each injection is mandatory. However, nonlinearity and variations in the injection quantity can deteriorate the accuracy of fuel control, especially with small fuel injections. Therefore, it is necessary to understand the complex injection behavior and to develop a predictive model to be utilized in the development process. This study presents a methodology for rate of injection (ROI) and solenoid voltage modeling using artificial neural networks (ANNs) constructed from a set of Zeuch-style hydraulic experimental measurements conducted over a wide range of conditions. A quantitative comparison between the ANN model and the experimental data shows that the model is capable of predicting not only general features of the ROI trend, but also transient and non-linear behaviors at particular conditions. In addition, the end of injection (EOI) could be detected precisely with a virtually generated solenoid voltage signal and the signal processing method, which applies to an actual engine control unit. A correlation between the detected EOI timings calculated from the modeled signal and the measurement results showed a high coefficient of determination.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Fast and accurate machine learning prediction of phonon scattering rates and lattice thermal conductivity

Abstract Lattice thermal conductivity is important for many applications, but experimental measurements or first principles calculations including three-phonon and four-phonon scattering are expensive or even unaffordable. Machine learning approaches that can achieve similar accuracy have been a long-standing open question. Despite recent progress, machine learning models using structural information as descriptors fall short of experimental or first principles accuracy. This study presents a machine learning approach that predicts phonon scattering rates and thermal conductivity with experimental and first principles accuracy. The success of our approach is enabled by mitigating computational challenges associated with the high skewness of phonon scattering rates and their complex contributions to the total thermal resistance. Transfer learning between different orders of phonon scattering can further improve the model performance. Our surrogates offer up to two orders of magnitude acceleration compared to first principles calculations and would enable large-scale thermal transport informatics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Iterative Learning Control for Video-rate Atomic Force Microscopy

We present a control scheme for video-rate atomic force microscopy with rosette pattern. The controller structure involves a feedback internal-model-based controller and a feedforward iterative learning controller. The iterative learning controller is designed to improve tracking performance of the feedback-controlled scanner by rejecting the repetitive disturbances arising from the system nonlinearities. We investigate the performance of two inversion techniques for constructing the learning filter. We conduct tracking experiments using a two-degree-of-freedom microelectromechanical system (MEMS) nanopositioner at frame rates ranging from 5 to 20 frames per second. Furthermore, the results reveal that the algorithm converges rapidly and the iterative learning controller significantly reduces both the transient and steady-state tracking errors. We acquire and report a series of high-resolution time-lapsed video-rate AFM images with the rosette pattern.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Method for Generating Expert Derived Confidence Scores

We executed a pilot demonstration of a methodology for developing a new confidence metric to help operators calibrate their trust in ML event classifiers. This confidence metric was derived from domain expert judgment and was accompanied with a qualitative description describing the reason for each confidence rating. After learning the boundaries of an ML’s performance by studying a subset of events an SME rated his confidence in the ML’s ability to classify similar events and provided an explanation for his ratings. To demonstrate this methodology, we developed our expert driven confidence scores for the ML event classifier within the ESAMS. Next, we assessed the accuracy of the human expert confidence scores relative to the ML’s uncertainty quantification scores. This report includes a description of our methodology, summary of our findings and future directions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Molecular-Level Exploration of the Structure-Function Relations Underlying Interfacial Charge Transfer in the Subphthalocyanine/C 60 Organic Photovoltaic System

The arrangement of organic molecules at the donor-acceptor interface in an organic photovoltaic (OPV) cell can have a strong effect on the generation of charge carriers and thereby cell performance. In this paper, we report the molecular-level exploration of the ensemble of interfacial donor-acceptor pair geometries and the charge-transfer (CT) rates to which they give rise. Our approach combines molecular-dynamics simulations, electronic structure calculations, machine learning, and rate theory. This approach is applied to the boron subphthalocyanine chloride (donor) and C 60 (acceptor) OPV system. In this work we find that the interface is dominated by a previously unreported donor-acceptor pair edge geometry, which contributes significantly to device performance in a manner that depends on the initial conditions. Quantitative relations between the morphology and CT rates are established, which can be used to advance the design of more efficient OPV devices.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Adapting Technology Learning Curves for Prospective Techno-Economic and Life Cycle Assessments of Emerging Carbon Capture and Utilization Pathways

Comparisons of emerging carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies with equivalent incumbent technologies are necessary to support technology developers and to help policy-makers design appropriate long-term incentives to mitigate climate change through the deployment of CCU. In particular, early-stage CCU technologies must prove their economic viability and environmental reduction potential compared to already-deployed technologies. These comparisons can be misleading, as emerging technologies typically experience a drastic increase in performance and decrease in cost and greenhouse gas emissions as they develop from research to mass-market deployment due to various forms of learning. These changes complicate the interpretation of early techno-economic assessments (TEAs) and life cycle assessments (LCAs) of emerging CCU technologies. The effects of learning over time or cumulative production themselves can be quantitatively described using technology learning curves (TLCs). While learning curve approaches have been developed for various technologies, a harmonized methodology for using TLCs in TEA and LCA for CCU in particular is required. To address this, we describe a methodology that incorporates TLCs into TEA and LCA to forecast the environmental and economic performance of emerging CCU technologies. This methodology is based on both an evaluation of the state of the art of learning curve assessment and a literature review of TLC approaches developed in various manufacturing and energy generation sectors. Additionally, we demonstrate how to implement this methodology using a case study on a CO 2 mineralization pathway. Finally, commentary is provided on how researchers, technology developers, and LCA and TEA practitioners can advance the use of TLCs to allow for consistent, high-resolution modeling of technological learning for CCU going forward and enable holistic assessments and fairer comparisons with other climate technologies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Fundamentals of wildlife dosimetry and lessons learned from a decade of measuring external dose rates in the field

Methods for determining the radiation dose received by exposed biota require major improvements to reduce uncertainties and increase precision. We share our experiences in attempting to quantify external dose rates to free-ranging wildlife using GPS-coupled dosimetry methods. The manuscript is a primer on fundamental concepts in wildlife dosimetry in which the complexities of quantifying dose rates are highlighted, and lessons learned are presented based on research with wild boar and snakes at Fukushima, wolves at Chornobyl, and reindeer in Norway. GPS-coupled dosimeters produced empirical data to which numerical simulations of external dose using computer software were compared. Our data did not support a standing paradigm in risk analyses: Using averaged soil contaminant levels to model external dose rates conservatively overestimate the dose to individuals within a population. Following this paradigm will likely lead to misguided recommendations for risk management. The GPS-dosimetry data also demonstrated the critical importance of how modeled external dose rates are impacted by the scale at which contaminants are mapped. When contaminant mapping scales are coarse even detailed knowledge about each animal’s home range was inadequate to accurately predict external dose rates. Importantly, modeled external dose rates based on a single measurement at a trap site did not correlate to actual dose rates measured on free ranging animals. These findings provide empirical data to support published concerns about inadequate dosimetry in much of the published Chernobyl and Fukushima dose-effects research. Furthermore, our data indicate that a huge portion of that literature should be challenged, and that improper dosimetry remains a significant source of controversy in radiation dose-effect research.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Synchrotron Imaging of Pore Formation in Li Metal Solid-State Batteries Aided by Machine Learning

High-rate capable, reversible lithium metal anodes are necessary for next generation energy storage systems. In situ tomography of Li/LLZO/Li cells is carried out to track morphological transformations in Li metal electrodes. Machine learning enables tracking the lithium metal morphology during galvanostatic cycling. Nonuniform lithium electrode kinetics are observed at both electrodes during cycling. Hot spots in lithium metal are correlated with microstructural anisotropy in LLZO. Mesoscale modeling reveals that regions with lower effective properties (transport and mechanical) are nuclei for failure. Advanced visualization combined with electrochemistry represents an important pathway toward resolving non-equilibrium effects that limit rate capabilities of solid-state batteries.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Polymers Erosion and Contamination Experiment Being Developed

The Polymers Erosion and Contamination Experiment (PEACE) is currently being developed at the NASA Lewis Research Center by the Electro-Physics Branch in conjunction with students and faculty from Hathaway Brown School in Cleveland. The experiment is a Get Away Special Canister shuttle flight experiment sponsored by the American Chemical Society. The two goals of this experiment are (1) to measure ram atomic oxygen erosion rates of approximately 40 polymers that have potential use in space applications and (2) to validate a method for identifying sources of silicone contamination that occur in the shuttle bay. Equipment to be used in this flight experiment is shown in the schematic diagram. Spacecraft materials subjected to attack by atomic oxygen in the space environment experience significant degradation over the span of a typical mission. Therefore, learning the rates of atomic oxygen erosion of a wide variety of polymers would be of great benefit to future missions. PEACE will use two independent techniques to determine the atomic oxygen erosion rates of polymers. Large (1-in.-diameter) samples will be used for obtaining mass loss. Preflight and postflight dehydrated masses will be obtained, and the mass lost during flight will be determined. Small (0.5-in.-diameter) samples will be protected with isolated particles (such as NaCl crystals) and then exposed to the space environment. After flight, the protective particles will be removed (washed off) and atomic force microscopy (AFM) will be used to measure the erosion depth from protected mesas. Erosion depth measurements are more sensitive than traditional mass measurements and are very useful for materials with low erosion yields or with very low fluence missions.

deGroh, Kim K.↗