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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5

FAST Model Calibration and Validation of the OC5-DeepCwind Floating Offshore Wind System Against Wave Tank Test Data

During the Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation (OC5) project, which focused on the validation of numerical methods through comparison against tank test data, the authors created a numerical FAST model of the 1:50-scale DeepCwind semisubmersible system that was tested at the Maritime Research Institute Netherlands ocean basin in 2013. The OC5 project revealed a general underprediction of loads and motions by the participating numerical models. This paper discusses several model calibration studies that were conducted to identify potential model parameter adjustments that help to improve the agreement between the numerical simulations and the experimental test data. These calibration studies cover wind-field-specific parameters (coherence, turbulence), and hydrodynamic and aerodynamic modeling approaches, as well as rotor model (blade-pitch and blade-mass imbalances) and tower model (structural tower damping coefficient) adjustments. These calibration studies were conducted based on relatively simple calibration load cases (wave only/wind only). The agreement between the final FAST model and experimental measurements is then assessed based on more complex combined wind and wave validation cases. The analysis presented in this paper does not claim to be an exhaustive parameter identification study but is aimed at describing the qualitative impact of different model parameters on the system response. This work should help to provide guidance for future systematic parameter identification and uncertainty quantification efforts.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Distribution System Model Calibration for GMLC 3.3.3 "Incipient Failure Identification for Common Grid Asset Classes" - Project Summary

Distribution system model calibration is a key enabling task for incipient failure identification within the distribution system. This report summarizes the work and publications by Sandia National Laboratories on the GMLC project titled “Incipient Failure Identification for Common Grid Asset Classes”. This project was a joint effort between Sandia National Laboratories, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, National Energy Technology Laboratory, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The included work covers distribution system topology identification, transformer groupings, phase identification, regulator and tap position estimation, and the open-source release and implementation of the developed algorithms.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

SURFplus Model Calibration for PBX 9502

The SURFplus reactive burn model is calibrated for the TATB based explosive PBX 9502 at three initial temperatures; hot (75 C), ambient (23 C) and cold (-55 C). The CJ state depends on the initial temperature due to the variation in the initial density and initial specific energy of the PBX reactants. For the reactants, a porosity model for full density TATB is used. This allows the initial PBX density to be set to its measured value even though the coeffcient of thermal expansion for the TATB and the PBX differ. The PBX products EOS is taken as independent of the initial PBX state. The initial temperature also affects the sensitivity to shock initiation. The model rate parameters are calibrated to Pop plot data, the failure diameter, the limiting detonation speed just above the failure diameters, and curvature effect data for small curvature.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Model calibration of the liquid mercury spallation target using evolutionary neural networks and sparse polynomial expansions

The mercury constitutive model predicting the strain and stress in the target vessel plays a central role in improving the lifetime prediction and future target designs of the mercury targets at the Spallation Neutron Source. We leverage the experiment strain data collected over multiple years to improve the mercury constitutive model through a combination of large scale simulations of the target behavior and the use of machine learning tools for parameter estimation. We present two interdisciplinary approaches for surrogate-based model calibration of expensive simulations using evolutionary neural networks and sparse polynomial expansions. The newly calibrated simulations achieve 7% average improvement on the prediction accuracy and 8% reduction in mean absolute error compared to previously reported reference parameters, with some individual sensors experiencing up to 30% improvement. The calibrated simulations can aid in fatigue analysis to estimate the mercury target lifetime, which reduces abrupt failure and saves tremendous amount of costs.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A direct-adjoint approach for material point model calibration with application to plasticity

Here, this paper proposes a new approach for the calibration of material parameters in local elastoplastic constitutive models. The calibration is posed as a constrained optimization problem, where the constitutive model evolution equations for a single material point serve as constraints. The objective function quantifies the mismatch between the stress predicted by the model and corresponding experimental measurements. To improve calibration efficiency, a novel direct-adjoint approach is presented to compute the Hessian of the objective function, which enables the use of second-order optimization algorithms. Automatic differentiation is used for gradient and Hessian computations. Two numerical examples are employed to validate the Hessian matrices and to demonstrate that the Newton–Raphson algorithm consistently outperforms gradient-based algorithms such as L-BFGS-B.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simulation and Optimizing Groundwater Investigations, Conceptual Design Analysis, Model Calibration and Remedial Design Using Parallel Numerical Methods: Theory and Application - 16578

Optimization of environmental restoration efforts at complex groundwater sites involves the development of a conceptual and often numerical flow and transport models. Typically, a limited number of simulations are done to assess the impact of parameter uncertainty, to evaluate remedial alternatives and develop a remedy, or to modify an existing remedy. A limited number of simulations are performed because each simulation can take upwards of several hours per simulation and until now the ability to conduct the 100's to 1000's of simulations needed to derive an optimal remedy was beyond the reach of the everyday practitioner. HGL has developed and implemented new parallel simulation and optimization methods in their software and has successfully deployed applications on high performance Cloud-based computing platforms. This advancement removes the impediment of burdensome and unpredictable runtime requirements these types of projects have typically exhibited using heuristic trial-and-error or even automated serial computation approaches. A parallel numerical solver has been added to the subsurface flow and transport simulator MODFLOW-SURFACT{sup TM} and has demonstrated reductions in solution time by as much as a factor of 9.8. This is accomplished by distributing the numerical computations of every time step over multiple processors. The integrated parallel simulation and optimization method uses the breadth and depth search approach; iteratively producing sets of tens or 100's of candidate solutions that are evaluated concurrently instead sequentially (i.e. one model evaluation at a time). Solutions within 80-100% of the globally optimal solution are regularly found expending only 5-10% of the usual computational effort using this new parallel optimization method (reducing computation effort by 10 to 20 times). Distributing optimal search runs across multiple processors additionally reduces calendar time to solutions. Practitioners evaluating multiple conceptual site models, model calibration by auto-calibration methods and remedial design by heuristics can enjoy significant reductions in model solution time by using the parallel numerical matrix solver in the physics-based simulator. Combining investigation and design analysis with breadth and depth parallel optimization methods, projects at the fringe of practical optimization, along with projects that were beyond the reach of formal optimization methods are now wholly feasible and tractable optimization problems. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

SURFplus model calibration for PBX 9012

PBX 9012 is a plastic bonded explosive composed of 90.2 wt % HMX (cyclo-tetramethylene-tetranitramine) and 9.8 % Viton A (vinylidene-hexafluoropropylene copolymer). It has nearly the same composition as LX-07 (90% HMX and 10% Viton A) but with a slightly lower density. Hence it has a higher porosity and is slightly more shock sensitive. Here we describe the SURFplus model calibration for PBX 9012 using data from five shock-to-detonation transition (SDT) gas gun experiments by Burns and Chiquete, detonation front shape data from rate stick experiments and cylinder test experiment reported in Anderson et al., Jackson et al. The SDT experiments provide Pop plot data points (run distance-to-detonation) which characterize shock initiation, Lagrangian velocity time histories from embedded magnetic velocity gauges which give information on the reaction behind the lead shock, and Hugoniot data points for the reactants EOS. The rate stick experiments provide data on the curvature effect which characterize propagating detonation waves. The cylinder test experiments provide data on the detonation release isentrope used to calibrate the products EOS. The HE model uses a Davis reactants EOS with parameters that Burns and Chiquete [2020] fit to Hugoniot data, and Davis products EOS with parameters that Anderson et al. [2020] fit to cylinder test data.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Quantifying uncertainty in analysis of shockless dynamic compression experiments on platinum. II. Bayesian model calibration

Dynamic shockless compression experiments provide the ability to explore material behavior at extreme pressures but relatively low temperatures. Typically, the data from these types of experiments are interpreted through an analytic method called Lagrangian analysis. Here, in this work, alternative analysis methods are explored using modern statistical methods. Specifically, Bayesian model calibration is applied to a new set of platinum data shocklessly compressed to 570 GPa. Several platinum equation-of-state models are evaluated, including traditional parametric forms as well as a novel non-parametric model concept. The results are compared to those in Paper I obtained by inverse Lagrangian analysis. The comparisons suggest that Bayesian calibration is not only a viable framework for precise quantification of the compression path, but also reveals insights pertaining to trade-offs surrounding model form selection, sensitivities of the relevant experimental uncertainties, and assumptions and limitations within Lagrangian analysis. The non-parametric model method, in particular, is found to give precise unbiased results and is expected to be useful over a wide range of applications. The calibration results in estimates of the platinum principal isentrope over the full range of experimental pressures to a standard error of 1.6%, which extends the results from Paper I while maintaining the high precision required for the platinum pressure standard.

Brown, Justin Lee↗

Cloud-Based Model Calibration Using OpenStudio: Preprint

OpenStudio is a free, open source Software Development Kit (SDK) and application suite for performing building energy modeling and analysis. The OpenStudio Parametric Analysis Tool has been extended to allow cloud-based simulation of multiple OpenStudio models parametrically related to a baseline model. This paper describes the new cloud-based simulation functionality and presents a model cali-bration case study. Calibration is initiated by entering actual monthly utility bill data into the baseline model. Multiple parameters are then varied over multiple iterations to reduce the difference between actual energy consumption and model simulation results, as calculated and visualized by billing period and by fuel type. Simulations are per-formed in parallel using the Amazon Elastic Cloud service. This paper highlights model parameterizations (measures) used for calibration, but the same multi-nodal computing architecture is available for other purposes, for example, recommending combinations of retrofit energy saving measures using the calibrated model as the new baseline.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

New NIR Calibration Models Speed Biomass Composition and Reactivity Characterization

Obtaining accurate chemical composition and reactivity (measures of carbohydrate release and yield) information for biomass feedstocks in a timely manner is necessary for the commercialization of biofuels. This highlight describes NREL's work to use near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy and partial least squares multivariate analysis to develop calibration models to predict the feedstock composition and the release and yield of soluble carbohydrates generated by a bench-scale dilute acid pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis assay. This highlight is being developed for the September 2015 Alliance S&T Board meeting.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A Linear Viscoelastic Model Calibration of Sylgard 184.

We calibrate a linear thermoviscoelastic model for solid Sylgard 184 (90-10 formulation), a lightly cross-linked, highly flexible isotropic elastomer for use both in Sierra / Solid Mechanics via the Universal Polymer Model as well as in Sierra / Structural Dynamics (Salinas) for use as an isotropic viscoelastic material. Material inputs for the calibration in both codes are provided. The frequency domain master curve of oscillatory shear was obtained from a report from Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). However, because the form of that data is different from the constitutive models in Sierra, we also present the mapping of the LANL data onto Sandia’s constitutive models. Finally, blind predictions of cyclic tension and compression out to moderate strains of 40 and 20% respectively are compared with Sandia’s legacy cure schedule material. Although the strain rate of the data is unknown, the linear thermoviscoelastic model accurately predicts the experiments out to moderate strains for the slower strain rates, which is consistent with the expectation that quasistatic test procedures were likely followed. This good agreement comes despite the different cure schedules between the Sandia and LANL data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Study of Anisotropic Elastic-Plastic Model Calibration

The purpose of this study was to first assess the sensitivity of the parameters of elasticplastic material models with anisotropic yield to choices in the calibration procedure. Two models were considered: Hill's 1948 and Barlat's Y1d2004-18p. Subsequently, it was shown that calibration choices can have an effect on the values of the stress and strain at the ultimate point in uniaxial specimen responses. Finally, the calibrated Barlat model was able to reasonably reproduce the load-deflection and strain fields of a validation specimen that experienced multiaxial states of stress. Overall, it was found that the Barlat model resulted in a closer fit to the measurements and that the parameters of the calibration procedure should be varied to assess the sensitivity of the results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Projecting Permafrost Thaw of Sub-Arctic Tundra With a Thermodynamic Model Calibrated to Site Measurements

Northern circumpolar permafrost thaw affects global carbon cycling, as large amounts of stored soil carbon becomes accessible to microbial breakdown under a warming climate. The magnitude of carbon release is linked to the extent of permafrost thaw, which is locally variable and controlled by soil thermodynamics. Soil thermodynamic properties, such as thermal diffusivity, govern the reactivity of the soil-atmosphere thermal gradient, and are controlled by soil composition and drainage. In order to project permafrost thaw for an Alaskan tundra experimental site, we used seven years of site data to calibrate a soil thermodynamic model using a data assimilation technique. The model reproduced seasonal and interannual temperature dynamics for shallow (5–40 cm) and deep soil layers (2–4 m), and simulations of seasonal thaw depth closely matched observed data. The model was then used to project permafrost thaw at the site to the year 2100 using climate forcing data for three future climate scenarios (RCP 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5). Minimal permafrost thawing occurred until mean annual air temperatures rose above the freezing point, after which we measured over a 1 m increase in thaw depth for every 1 °C rise in mean annual air temperature. Under no projected warming scenario was permafrost remaining in the upper 3 m of soil by 2100. We demonstrated an effective data assimilation method that optimizes parameterization of a soil thermodynamic model. The sensitivity of local permafrost to climate warming illustrates the vulnerability of sub-Arctic tundra ecosystems to significant and rapid soil thawing.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗