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DOE OSTI2024

Advanced Fuels Campaign Execution Plan

The Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) Execution Plan outlines the strategy, mission, scope, near-term and long-term goals, structure, and organization associated with nuclear fuels and materials research, development, and demonstration activities within the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Supply Chain (NFCSC) program. NFCSC has been given responsibility to identify and mature advanced fuel technologies for the DOE using a science-based approach, focused on developing a fundamental understanding of nuclear fuels and materials to drive development of integrated nuclear fuel and materials technology. This science-based approach combines theory, experiments, and multiscale modeling and simulation to achieve a predictive understanding of relevant behaviors ranging from fuel fabrication processes (and their resulting fuel microstructures) through fuel/cladding performance under irradiation (in contrast to more empirical, observation-based approaches frequently used in fuel performance modeling and fuel qualification). The traditional scope of AFC includes the evaluation and development of multiple fuel forms to support two fuel cycle options: once-through and full recycle. The word “fuel” is used generically to include conventional fuels, transmutation targets, and any associated cladding or duct materials. The once-through fuel cycle addresses advanced light water reactor fuels with enhanced performance, extended burnup, and reduced waste generation. In fiscal year (FY) 2012, AFC’s scope expanded to include research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) for light water reactor (LWR) fuels with enhanced accident tolerance. Fuel fabrication activities include the development of innovative methods to enhance process efficiencies, reduce waste, and improve control over as-fabricated fuel microstructural properties to achieve desired in-reactor performance. Using modern modeling and simulation approaches, the objective is to predict fresh fuel properties given the feedstock characteristics and fabrication process parameters. The performance-related activities include small-scale, in-reactor, and out-of-reactor phenomenological testing (distinct from, but synergistic with, integral prototypic testing) and extensive, quantitative characterization (focusing on characterization of fuel and cladding materials at the scale of microstructure) both before and after testing. Larger-scale, prototypic experiments are conducted in concert with phenomenological testing to drive a Fuel Development and Qualification program, incorporating a fundamental understanding of fuel behavior performance characteristics. Then, using the tools developed under the productive science-based approach, fuels will be optimized to meet specific performance requirements, thereby minimizing the need to repeatedly perform large-scale, integral experiments over a wide parametric range as a means of experimental exploration. Two significant initiatives are underway within AFC. First, a gap analysis completed in early FY 2019 identified critical irradiation testing needs that are lacking within the national light water reactor (LWR) fuels testbed since the shutdown of the Halden Reactor in 2018. The identified gaps are for instrumented, prototypic testing of LWR fuels, especially under boiling water reactor conditions, ramp conditions, and conditions leading to fuel failure; these needs exist for supporting current LWR fuels and their possible extension to higher burnups, but are especially urgent relative to near-term development and qualification of accident-tolerant fuels. Recommendations that resulted from the Halden Gap Analysis focused on enhancements at Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) and Transient Reactor Test Facility (TREAT) to fill gaps in testing capabilities relative to these needs. Second, a concerted effort to develop and demonstrate a systematic approach to accelerating the development, testing, and qualification of new fuel systems has been initiated. This is highlighted by a test strategy that combines the considerable advances in multiscale, mechanistic fuel modeling of recent years with a MiniFuel separate effects test program in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) and a Fission Accelerated Steady-state Testing (FAST) semi-integral accelerated test program in ATR. This approach is being tested/demonstrated using the metallic fuel system, but if successful it is expected to be extensible to multiple fuel types and diverse applications. This document includes an overview of the NFCSC program, a definition of science-based development of nuclear fuels, near-term goals for Advanced LWR fuels (ALFs), and longer-term goals for Advanced Reactor Fuels (ARFs) RD&D. This includes the activities that will be conducted to achieve success toward the grand challenge, as well as the goals and milestones to be achieved over the next few decades of research and development. Long-term goals are based on the DOE Office of Nuclear Energ

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Technology Case Study: Economic, Sustainability, and Deployment Considerations for Sustainable Aviation Fuels Produced via Lignocellulosic Sugar Catalysis

This report presents a technology case study reflecting one exemplary representative pathway for the conversion of lignocellulosic sugars to sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) via aqueous phase reforming (APR) catalysis, considered within a broader integrated biorefinery framework based on biochemical processing operations. While far from the only option for converting sugars to SAF, this pathway was selected as a case study here based on its relatively high technology maturity and simplistic processing approach (avoiding complex separations or other equipment scalability challenges), coupled with the potential for high fuel yields and favorable costs/carbon intensities with opportunities for further near-term optimization. The report considers key process integration and engineering design considerations for a modeled hypothetical, nth-plant commercial biorefinery, reflecting a number of processing options and parameters envisioned to be achievable as future goals. Resultant outputs from Aspen Plus process simulations are evaluated through techno-economic and life cycle analyses (TEA and LCA), including implications for marginal cost of CO2 abatement and inclusion of currently-applicable policy incentives. Moving beyond base case configurations, a number of alternative scenarios are also evaluated for their ability to further improve economics, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and marginal cost of abatement, highlighting a path to achieve deep decarbonization goals of more than 70% GHG reduction for SAF (with the potential to reach net-negative carbon intensities in some cases) under reasonable fuel production costs. The report also highlights future opportunities and gaps for further research on this technology pathway.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data readiness pipeline patterns for scientific AI at scale: Insights from climate, fusion, life sciences, and materials

This article examines how data readiness for AI principles apply to large scientific datasets used to train foundation models. We analyze archetypal workflows across four representative domains—climate, nuclear fusion, life sciences, and materials—to identify common preprocessing patterns and domain‐specific constraints. We introduce a two‐dimensional readiness model that combines canonical preprocessing patterns with a five‐level operational readiness scale, both tailored to high‐performance computing (HPC) environments. This construct helps outline key challenges in transforming large‐scale scientific data into formats suitable for scalable AI training. Together, these dimensions form a conceptual maturity matrix that characterizes scientific data readiness and guides infrastructure development toward standardized, cross‐domain support for scalable and reproducible AI for science. Finally, we evaluate this maturity matrix in the context of case studies including ClimaX (climate), AFLOW (materials), OpenFold (proteomics), and DIII‐D fusion disruption‐prediction workflows, from which we distill lessons learned and provide recommendations to guide practitioners in developing robust AI‐readiness pipelines. Finally, we discuss remaining cross‐cutting challenges that persist across scientific domains.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Precipitation‐Buoyancy Relationships in the Life Cycle of Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems

This study aims to establish process-level benchmarks linking Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) at various stages of their life cycle to their thermodynamic environment. The relationship between MCS precipitation and an empirical buoyancy measure (B 𝐿 ) is examined using collocated satellite-observed MCS tracks and reanalysis data. A positive relationship is identified between the frequency of tropical MCSs and that of high B 𝐿 conditions. The buoyancy measure, integrating instability and entrainment, helps elucidate thermodynamic characteristics throughout the MCS life cycle. Environments with high instability and moderate subsaturation are frequently linked to the initial stage, while environments with low instability and near saturation are frequently linked to the mature stage. Stable and highly subsaturated environments are more likely associated with the termination of the life cycle. These associations are qualitatively similar for oceanic and land MCSs. Overall, the MCS-environment relationships can serve as observational benchmarks with which to diagnose MCS-resolving models.

Tsai, Wei‐Ming [University of California, Los Ange↗

DOE OSTI2025

Structural incorporation into goethite fractionates rare earth elements

Up to 20% of rare earth elements (REEs) in ion adsorption deposits (IADs) are associated with iron oxide minerals, primarily goethite. Often termed “non-extractable”, goethite-hosted REEs are thought to be structurally incorporated into the mineral lattice. The large mismatch in size and charge density between REEs (ionic radius, r = 0.86–1.03 Å) and Fe 3+ (r = 0.65 Å), however, makes direct substitution energetically unfavorable. To determine REE compatibility with and incorporation into goethite on the atomic level, we used X-ray pair distribution function analysis (PDF) and LIII-edge extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectroscopy. The compatibility of REEs with goethite and the precursor ferrihydrite (FH) is Lu ≥ Yb ≫ Dy > Nd for both phases. Nd and Dy primarily form secondary amorphous phases, with <30% Nd and Dy incorporated into goethite. In the FH precursor at pH 6.8, Yb and Lu assumed a local REE-OOH like structure with next nearest neighbor Fe. The Yb, Lu, and Nd-FH samples were also matured at ambient conditions for 100 days; despite the presence of only ∼5% goethite, Lu and Yb were 42% and 100% in goethite-like structural environments, respectively, whereas the PDF and EXAFS of Nd showed little evidence of any incorporation. Using ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) to model the EXAFS, we determined the presence of protonated Fe vacancies, edge-sharing with structural Lu and Yb, likely helped accommodate these REEs in the goethite structure. Incorporation into Fe oxyhydroxides thus potentially fractionates the REEs during weathering associated with formation of lateritic and ion adsorption deposits.

Mergelsberg, Sebastian T. [Pacific Northwest Natio↗

DOE OSTI2025

Validation of Modern Nuclear Data Processing in SCALE

The nuclear data (ND) community is continuously developing more accurate, diversified, and comprehensive data for radiation transport modeling to support the nuclear science community. As these community efforts progress, it is crucial that ND processing tools like AMPX (used for SCALE [1] ND) also be developed in parallel to incorporate these new data into transport codes and actually deliver those data to end users. AMPX is a mature, well-tested code that was developed by many people at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) over the course of the past few decades. A large portion of the AMPX codebase, however, was outdated, difficult to maintain, and incompatible with modern code development tools. Some of the most important parts of the AMPX code have now been replaced with modern C++ code that can be maintained more cost-effectively and can be tested more rigorously.

AMPX↗

DOE OSTI2026

Sustainable Ethylene via Chemical Looping – Oxidative Dehydrogenation

This Phase I final report evaluates chemical looping–oxidative dehydrogenation as a lower-energy and cost-competitive alternative to conventional ethane steam cracking for ethylene production. The project combined catalyst development and experimental testing with process modeling, techno-economic analysis, and life-cycle assessment. Results indicate that the proposed process could improve olefin production, reduce energy use, and lower production costs, particularly when integrated with carbon capture and renewable electricity. The report also identifies remaining technical, environmental, and safety considerations and presents a technology maturation plan focused on longer-term catalyst evaluation and advancement toward pilot-scale demonstration.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Comparison of Molten-Salt Electrolysis and Carbothermic Reduction for the Production of Metallurgical-Grade Silicon

Metallurgical-grade silicon (MG-Si) is an important source material for many industrial applications, including the manufacture of alloys, solar photovoltaics, and electronics. The process to refine raw materials into MG-Si is energy-intensive, with the predominant method of submerged-arc furnaces requiring energy consumption of approximately 11–13 kWh/kg Si. Recent research has discussed promising methods for reducing the energy required for the silicon production process, including the use of molten-salt electrolysis (MSE), a technique that offers potential savings in energy consumption without requiring carbon inputs for the process. This paper presents a techno-economic study of a potential industrial-scale MSE plant for MG-Si production to evaluate the trade-offs between capital and operating costs of the system. Capital costs are sourced from recent MG-Si plants and an existing cost model developed for MSE processes that includes the size of the plant and the operating temperature among its inputs. The results show that MSE technology has the potential to be an economically cost-competitive option for MG-Si production if the technology successfully scales to industrial production and matures enough to allow for financing costs similar to that of a comparably sized submerged-arc furnace plant.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Natural variation in growth and yield to waterlogging across climate-diverse pennycress accessions

Many winter annual crops, such as pennycress ( Thlaspi arvense L.), are subjected to heavy precipitation events during their growing season. Therefore, it is essential to identify pennycress accessions with natural variation in flooding resilience. We used climate modeling data to assess spring soil moisture levels in the geographic origins of 471 natural pennycress accessions. We selected 34 accessions with variation in predicted soil moisture and tested survivability under prolonged waterlogging at the rosette stage. It took seven weeks for the first accessions to die, indicating that pennycress is hardy to prolonged waterlogging at the vegetative stage. Furthermore, we chose ‘susceptible’ and ‘tolerant’ accessions to waterlog for one week at the reproductive stage, the growth stage aligned with spring rainfall. Six accessions had significantly reduced seed weight at maturity and two had minimal impacts on growth and seed yield after waterlogging and can be further explored for adaptive traits.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century

We demonstrate a tripling in the frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past halfcentury, coinciding with the rise in persistent boreal summer weather extremes. This increase aligns with changes in the underlying climate conditions favoring these events, including amplified Arctic warming and land-sea thermal contrast. We also observe increased prevalence of resonant amplification events following the mature phase of strong El Niño events, suggesting that such events may precondition the mean state conditions in ways that favor large-scale quasi-stationary wave patterns and quasi-resonant wave amplification. Since the impact of anthropogenic warming on quasi-resonant amplification is not well captured by current-generation climate models, it is likely that models are underpredicting the potential increase, indicating even greater risk of persistent extreme summer weather events with ongoing warming.

Arctic amplification↗

DOE OSTI2024

WETO Stack [SWR-24-81]

The WETO Stack software is a collection of data, data analysis scripts, and website content produced through the Holistic Modeling Project’s Portfolio Coordination task. The purpose of the software is to characterize the collection of wind energy software projects supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Wind Energy Technologies Office. The included data contains characteristics of the actively funded software projects, and the data analysis scripts provide insights into the breadth, depth, and maturity of the collection of software projects. The website content presents the results of the analyses as well as reports from workshops and other events. It can be viewed at https://nrel.github.io/WETOStack/index.html.

Mudafort, Rafael↗

DOE OSTI2025

Kölliker's Organ Functions as a Developmental Hub in Mouse Cochlea Regulating Spiral Limbus and Tectorial Membrane Development

Kölliker's organ is a transient developmental structure in the mouse cochlea that undergoes significant remodeling postnatally. Utilizing an epithelial-specific conditional deletion mouse model of Prdm16 (marker and regulator of Kölliker's organ), we show that Prdm16 is required for interdental cell development, and thereby the development of the limbal domain of the tectorial membrane and its medial anchorage to the spiral limbus. Additionally, we show that Kölliker's organ is involved in normal tectorial membrane collagen fibril development and maturation. Interestingly, mesenchymal cells of the spiral limbus underneath Prdm16 -deficient Kölliker's organ failed to produce interstitial matrix proteins, resulting in a hypoplastic and truncated spiral limbus, indicating a non-cell autonomous role of Prdm16 in regulating spiral mesenchymal matrix development. Single-cell RNA sequencing identified differentially expressed genes in Prdm16 -deficient Kölliker's organ suggesting a role for connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) downstream Prdm16 in epithelial-mesenchymal signaling involved in spiral limbus matrix deposition. Prdm16 -deficient mice showed a hearing deficit, as indicated by elevated auditory brainstem response thresholds at most frequencies, consistent with the cochlear structural defects. Both sexes were studied. This work establishes Prdm16 as a deafness gene in mice through its role in regulating Kölliker's organ development. Such understanding recognizes Kölliker's organ as a developmental hub regulating multiple surrounding cochlear structures.

Zhang, Hongji↗

DOE OSTI2026

Finite-element boundary-integral simulation of thin wires and inhomogeneous penetrable bodies in subsurface multilayered anisotropic media

With the prevailing presence of drilling wells near the subsurface in mature oil and gas fields, the application of electromagnetic methods can be particularly challenging where the electromagnetic field is affected by the steel casing. In the past decades, borehole-to-surface and crosswell electromagnetic methods have been utilized for monitoring of reservoir and underground CO 2 storage. This paper presents a unified finite-element boundary-integral (FEBI) method capable of simultaneously modeling the complex electromagnetic interactions between thin metallic wires (representing steel casings) with 3D trajectory and arbitrary 3D inhomogeneous penetrable bodies (such as CO 2 plumes or hydrocarbon reservoirs) within anisotropic multilayered subsurface environments. Unlike existing approaches that treat these components separately or require dense discretization, or are limited to vertical wells, our unified formulation preserves flexible electromagnetic coupling while delivering improved computational efficiency. Assuming the background formation is multilayered anisotropic media, the surface integral equation method is applied to model the thin wires and boundaries of the inhomogeneous bodies. Meanwhile, the finite element method is applied to model the volume of inhomogeneous bodies. Here, the performance of the proposed FEBI method is assessed through comparison with reference numerical results and its practical significance is demonstrated through CO 2 plume monitoring scenarios.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

An Open-Source Python Package for CFD Solution Verification

Informed decision-making using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) results requires quantifying the errors and uncertainties of a simulation. Verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) methods were developed to address this need and have matured. However, these VVUQ analyses are often non-trivial and require CFD analysts and practitioners to have specific skill sets. This has led to the uneven adoption of VVUQ analyses, in part, based on the availability of software tools to aid CFD analysts and practitioners. Solution verification, a procedure to evaluate the accuracy of a simulation by estimating potential errors arising from the computational model and computing the uncertainties without comparing to results from a physical system, is one of the lagging VVUQ analyses as the absence of software has forced CFD analysts and practitioners to develop their own codes or piece together incomplete software from across the internet. This work presents an opensource Python package, CFDverify, to lower the barrier of entry and fill in the technological gap in solution verification. CFDverify also provides a streamlined framework to remove some potential errors in post-processing CFD results. The hope is that CFDverify can improve the quality and quantity of CFD solution verification in scientific and research studies and attract interest in developing a communal tool. This paper describes the design, features, and an example use of CFDverify.

Weinmeister, Justin [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000160090237↗

DOE OSTI2026

First results from the search for muon neutrino disappearance with ICARUS

After successful operation at LNGS and a major upgrade at CERN, the 760-ton ICARUS T600 detector has been running at Fermilab since 2020, collecting neutrino interactions from the BNB and NuMI beams. In late 2025, ICARUS reached five years of continuous data taking, demonstrating the maturity of large-scale LAr-TPC technology and its relevance for future experiments such as DUNE. This contribution presents the first ICARUS search for muon-neutrino disappearance in the BNB. Charged-current 1μNp events selected from 2022–2023 data are compared to simulations and interpreted, for the first time, within a two-neutrino approximation of the 3+1 sterile-neutrino model, including systematic uncertainties from flux, interaction, and detector effects. Although currently limited by systematic uncertainties, this first oscillation analysis probes the parameter space suggested by existing νμ-disappearance results and lays the groundwork for future SBN combined analyses with SBND, which will significantly improve sensitivity to sterile-neutrino scenarios.

Artero Pons, Maria [Padua U.; INFN, Padua]↗

DOE OSTI2026

First results from the search for muon neutrino disappearance with ICARUS

Artero Pons, Maria [Padua U.; INFN, Padua]↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling powder spreadability in powder-based processes using the discrete element method

Powder-bed fusion (PBF) processes refer to a subset of Additive Manufacturing (AM) techniques where powder is spread on the build-plate before melting (by a laser or electron beam). While PBF processes are attractive due to their ability for realizing complex structures that are either difficult or impossible to create through conventional means, the parts fabricated with these techniques can exhibit defects such as pores, inclusions, and excessive surface roughness. To minimize these defects, much research has been dedicated towards process maturation by optimizing laser or electron beam parameters. However, these developmental efforts typically do not address the recoating process where achieving dense and uniform layers of powder is a necessity for ensuring process repeatability and part quality. While the recoating process can be studied through experimentation, the dynamics of particle movement are difficult to analyze experimentally. Therefore, here, in this study, powder spreading in PBF was simulated through the Discrete Element Method (DEM) to elucidate the mechanisms that control powder-bed quality. Utilizing the Buckingham Pi theorem, a dimensionless metric referred to as the spreading index is developed that combines powder-bed density, roughness, and particle size to assess the quality of powder layers. The formulated spreading index is then related to several dimensionless quantities that provide insight into the mechanisms dominating powder spreading in PBF. The DEM simulations conducted in this work focused on the scenario where powder is spread onto an existing powder bed and revealed that a reduction in the recoating velocity causes an increase in the spreading index while little to no impact on the spreading index was observed when varying layer thickness from 30 μm to 75 μm.Particle size effects on the powder-bed quality were also investigated.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

First Results from the Search for Muon-Neutrino Disappearance with the ICARUS Detector

After successful operation at LNGS and a major upgrade at CERN, the 760-ton ICARUS T600 detector has been running at Fermilab since 2020, collecting neutrino interactions from the BNB and NuMI beams. In late 2025, ICARUS reached five years of continuous data taking, demonstrating the maturity of large-scale LAr-TPC technology and its relevance for future experiments such as DUNE. This contribution presents the first ICARUS search for muon-neutrino disappearance in the BNB. Charged-current 1$\mu$Np events selected from 2022–2023 data are compared to simulations and interpreted, for the first time, within a two-neutrino approximation of the 3+1 sterile-neutrino model, including systematic uncertainties from flux, interaction, and detector effects. Although currently limited by systematic uncertainties, this first oscillation analysis probes the parameter space suggested by existing $\nu_\mu$ disappearance results and lays the groundwork for future SBN combined analyses with SBND, which will significantly improve sensitivity to sterile-neutrino scenarios.

Steklain, Andre [Parana Tech. Fed. U., Toledo] (OR↗