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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5

Report of the FESAC Facilities Construction Projects Subcommittee

On December 1, 2023, the Director of the of the Office of Science (SC) charged all the Department of Energy Office of Science Federal Advisory Committees to respond to look toward the scientific horizon and identify what new or upgraded facilities will best serve the SC community needs in the next ten years (2024-2034). This report by the Fusion Energy Sciences Advisory Committee (FESAC) assess facilities for the Fusion Energy Sciences (FES) program.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

HEPAP Facilities Subpanel Report

On December 1, 2023, the Director of the of the Office of Science (SC) charged all the Department of Energy Office of Science Federal Advisory Committees to respond to look toward the scientific horizon and identify what new or upgraded facilities will best serve the SC community needs in the next ten years (2024-2034). This report by the High Energy Physics Advisory Panel (HEPAP) assess facilities for the High Energy Physics (HEP) program.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Major Nuclear Physics Facilities for the Next Decade

On December 1, 2023, the Director of the of the Office of Science (SC) charged all the Department of Energy Office of Science Federal Advisory Committees to respond to look toward the scientific horizon and identify what new or upgraded facilities will best serve the SC community needs in the next ten years (2024-2034). This report by the Nuclear Science Advisory Committee (NSAC) assess facilities for the Nuclear Physics (NP) program.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

An Unusual Transmission Spectrum for the Sub-Saturn KELT-11b Suggestive of a Subsolar Water Abundance

We present an optical-to-infrared transmission spectrum of the inflated sub-Saturn KELT-11b measured with the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Wide Field Camera 3 G141 spectroscopic grism, and the Spitzer Space Telescope (Spitzer) at 3.6 μm, in addition to a Spitzer 4.5 μm secondary eclipse. The precise HST transmission spectrum notably reveals a low-amplitude water feature with an unusual shape. Based on free-retrieval analyses with varying molecular abundances, we find strong evidence for water absorption. Depending on model assumptions, we also find tentative evidence for other absorbers (HCN, TiO, and AlO). The retrieved water abundance is generally ≲0.1× solar (0.001–0.7× solar over a range of model assumptions), several orders of magnitude lower than expected from planet formation models based on the solar system metallicity trend. We also consider chemical-equilibrium and self-consistent 1D radiative-convective equilibrium model fits and find that they, too, prefer low metallicities ([M/H] ≲ -2, consistent with the free-retrieval results). However, all of the retrievals should be interpreted with some caution because they either require additional absorbers that are far out of chemical equilibrium to explain the shape of the spectrum or are simply poor fits to the data. Finally, we find that the Spitzer secondary eclipse is indicative of full heat redistribution from KELT-11b’s dayside to nightside, assuming a clear dayside. These potentially unusual results for KELT-11b’s composition are suggestive of new challenges on the horizon for atmosphere and formation models in the face of increasingly precise measurements of exoplanet spectra.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Moving-horizon false data injection attack design against cyber–physical systems

Systematic attack design is essential to understanding the vulnerabilities of cyber–physical systems (CPSs), to better design for resiliency. In particular, false data injection attacks (FDIAs) are well-known and have been shown to be capable of bypassing bad data detection (BDD) while causing targeted biases in resulting state estimates. However, their effectiveness against moving horizon estimators (MHE) is not well understood. In fact, this paper shows that conventional FDIAs are generally ineffective against MHE. One of the main reasons is that the moving window renders the static FDIA recursively infeasible. Here, this paper proposes a new attack methodology, moving-horizon FDIA (MH-FDIA), by considering both the performance of historical attacks and the current system’s status. Theoretical guarantees for successful attack generation and recursive feasibility are given. Numerical simulations on the IEEE-14 bus system further validate the theoretical claims and show that the proposed MH-FDIA outperforms state-of-the-art counterparts in both stealthiness and effectiveness. In addition, an experiment on a path-tracking control system of an autonomous vehicle shows the feasibility of the MH-FDIA in real-world nonlinear systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Two-dimensional perovskite heterostructures for single crystal semiconductor devices

Two-dimensional (2D) perovskites have gained much attention lately owing to their excellent optoelectronic properties, chemical tunability, and environmental stability. Multiple methods have been devised to synthesize high quality 2D perovskite single crystals, and recent progress in fabricating its heterostructures is notable as well. In particular, with growing interest in 2D van der Waals heterostructures, 2D perovskites have become a strong candidate as a new building block for heterostructures to reveal unique physical properties across different interfaces. Until now, various heterostructure devices of 2D perovskite single crystals with other types of 2D materials such as transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) and graphene have been studied, which have shown intriguing results including interlayer excitons and enhanced electronic properties. Here, we introduce various synthetic approaches to realize 2D perovskite single crystals and unique characteristics of their single crystal heterostructures fabricated with precision, possessing sharp interfaces. Moreover, recent studies of semiconductor devices based on 2D perovskite single crystal heterostructures are discussed in-depth. New perspectives to further the horizon in the field of 2D perovskite heterostructures are suggested in this work including the consideration of metal–2D material van der Waals contact, application of dry transfer techniques, electric bias driven ion diffusion studies, and nanocrystal array fabrication. 2D perovskite heterostructure single crystal devices factoring in these novel perspectives will further uncover the true potential of these materials for highly efficient and stable semiconductor devices.

Physics↗

Complex concentrated alloys and chemical short-range ordering

Abstract Complex concentrated alloys (CCAs) are materials comprising three or more elements in similar proportions and possessing structural but no chemical long-range order. Fascination with CCAs has grown over the last 20 years and to date, CCAs have opened a new materials design paradigm and horizon for discovery of materials to meet the demands of applications in aggressive environments. Understanding the fundamental mechanisms controlling their response, however, is challenging due to the chemical and structural variations that wildly fluctuate over fine atomic and nanoscales. This issue focuses on the experimental, computational, and theoretical investigations that aim to uncover phenomena and processes determining the structure, kinetics, mechanics, or deformation mechanisms in CCAs at the atomic scale. At the atomic scale at which they operate, chemical short-range ordering can be influential. This issue further addresses the capabilities, as well as the debatable need, to characterize, predict, and relate short-range ordering to material performance. Collectively, the articles in this issue highlight the insights, understanding, and experimental and computational tools that attempt to create property-tunable CCAs “from the atom up” by treating short-range ordering and engineering atomic-scale mechanisms. Graphical abstract

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Operational Probabilistic Tools for Solar Uncertainty (OPTSUN) (Final Project Report for DOE Solar Forecasting II Project)

Increasing levels of solar PV can challenge system operations and may require novel methods to operate the power system reliably and efficiently. Power system operating plans generally use deterministic forecasts, in which the variable energy resources are represented by the expected value for each interval of the decision horizon. Probabilistic forecasts are relatively new but have the potential to address the shortfalls of deterministic forecasts. However, understanding how best to use such forecasts is still a key gap in industry and was the focus of this project. The project had three workstreams. In a forecasting workstream, improvements were made to baseline probabilistic forecasts using a number of new approaches such as machine learning methods and improved input data. In a design workstream, advanced simulation tools used these forecasts to investigate newly proposed reserve determination methods. Lastly, in a demonstration workstream a scheduling management platform (SMP) was developed to leverage probabilistic forecasts in a modular and customizable manner. In order to study the benefits that could be accrued, the project team collaborated with three utility partners (Duke Energy, Southern Company and Hawaiian Electric) to deliver improved probabilistic forecasts for each region and to model each region in case studies using advanced production cost modeling tools. Different methods to determine operating reserve requirements from probabilistic forecasts were developed, simulated, and tested across each region. The benefits of using these newly proposed methods varied by utility, but, in general, using probabilistic forecasts as well as historical data to set the reserve requirements seems to improve reliability related results, with less risk of reserve or supply shortfalls. The cost implications were not always straightforward; in some cases the new methods could show a reduction in expected operating costs, but often the increase in reserves associated with better risk mitigation using probabilistic forecasts could result in an increase in operating costs in the simulations. The SMP tool was developed to process probabilistic forecasts from their initial receipt through to scheduling decisions. This open-source tool consists of several modules for scenario development, reserve requirements calculation, and visualization. The SMP tool was demonstrated to a wide range of operators and stakeholders at all three utilities and further improved based on their feedback. The tool will be available on www.epri.com/optsun. The proposed probabilistic information-based reserve determination approaches have the potential to be implemented by different regions to ensure an economic and reliable power system operation on power systems integrating increasing levels of variable renewable resources. The innovative yet practical methods developed in this project demonstrated tangible benefits from using probabilistic forecasts beyond just study-based assessments to include three unique balancing areas. The demonstrated benefits across the multiple utility environments, are expected to provide system operators in all regions the confidence required and a platform to adopt the new forecasting and operating methods.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Redox Biochemistry of Energy Conservation in Methanogens and their Syntrophic Partners

The primary objective of this project was to uncover previously unknown modes by which living organisms harvested energy. Specifically, it queried microbial systems, which were once thought to not be able to utilize oxygen. Through the use of cutting-edge approaches, we were able to identify novel mechanistic processes that allow organisms to thrive under varying environmental conditions. This constitutes a paradigm shift in the field. Our work has opened new vistas for expanding the horizons of energy conservation in biological systems, as well as shed light on green energy innovations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Horizon constraints on holographic Green’s functions

We explore a new class of general properties of thermal holographic Green’s functions that can be deduced from the near-horizon behaviour of classical perturbations in asymptotically anti-de Sitter spacetimes. We show that at negative imaginary Matsubara frequencies and appropriate complex values of the wavenumber the retarded Green’s functions of generic operators are not uniquely defined, due to the lack of a unique ingoing solution for the bulk perturbations. From a boundary perspective these ‘pole-skipping’ points correspond to locations in the complex frequency and momentum planes at which a line of poles of the retarded Green’s function intersects with a line of zeroes. As a consequence the dispersion relations of collective modes in the boundary theory at energy scales ω ~ T are directly constrained by the bulk dynamics near the black-brane horizon. For the case of conserved U(1) current and energy-momentum tensor operators we give examples where the dispersion relations of hydrodynamic modes pass through a succession of poleskipping points as real wavenumber is increased. We discuss implications of our results for transport, hydrodynamics and quantum chaos in holographic systems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Schwarzian on the stretched horizon

Abstract It is well known that the Euclidean black hole action has a boundary term at the horizon proportional to the area. I show that if the horizon is replaced by a stretched horizon with appropriate boundary conditions, a new boundary term appears, described by a Schwarzian action similar to the recently discovered boundary actions in “nearly anti-de Sitter” gravity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

How New Mexico Leveraged a COVID-19 Case Forecasting Model to Preemptively Address the Healthcare Needs of the State: Quantitative Analysis

Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, US hospitals relied on static projections of future trends for long-term planning and were only beginning to consider forecasting methods for short-term planning of staffing and other resources. With the overwhelming burden imposed by COVID-19 on the health care system, an emergent need exists to accurately forecast hospitalization needs within an actionable timeframe. Our goal was to leverage an existing COVID-19 case and death forecasting tool to generate the expected number of concurrent hospitalizations, occupied intensive care unit (ICU) beds, and in-use ventilators 1 day to 4 weeks in the future for New Mexico and each of its five health regions. We developed a probabilistic model that took as input the number of new COVID-19 cases for New Mexico from Los Alamos National Laboratory’s COVID-19 Forecasts Using Fast Evaluations and Estimation tool, and we used the model to estimate the number of new daily hospital admissions 4 weeks into the future based on current statewide hospitalization rates. The model estimated the number of new admissions that would require an ICU bed or use of a ventilator and then projected the individual lengths of hospital stays based on the resource need. By tracking the lengths of stay through time, we captured the projected simultaneous need for inpatient beds, ICU beds, and ventilators. We used a postprocessing method to adjust the forecasts based on the differences between prior forecasts and the subsequent observed data. Thus, we ensured that our forecasts could reflect a dynamically changing situation on the ground. Forecasts made between September 1 and December 9, 2020, showed variable accuracy across time, health care resource needs, and forecast horizon. Forecasts made in October, when new COVID-19 cases were steadily increasing, had an average accuracy error of 20.0%, while the error in forecasts made in September, a month with low COVID-19 activity, was 39.7%. Across health care use categories, state-level forecasts were more accurate than those at the regional level. Although the accuracy declined as the forecast was projected further into the future, the stated uncertainty of the prediction improved. Forecasts were within 5% of their stated uncertainty at the 50% and 90% prediction intervals at the 3- to 4-week forecast horizon for state-level inpatient and ICU needs. However, uncertainty intervals were too narrow for forecasts of state-level ventilator need and all regional health care resource needs. Real-time forecasting of the burden imposed by a spreading infectious disease is a crucial component of decision support during a public health emergency. Our proposed methodology demonstrated utility in providing near-term forecasts, particularly at the state level. This tool can aid other stakeholders as they face COVID-19 population impacts now and in the future.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A reinforcement learning approach to long-horizon operations, health, and maintenance supervisory control of advanced energy systems

In this work, we develop a Reinforcement Learning (RL) approach to the supervisory control problem for advanced energy systems, such as novel nuclear reactors and other demand-driven, mission-critical, and component-health-sensitive energy plants. The inclusive problem landscape considered captures the stochastic confluence of plant performance, component health evolution, power demand from the grid, diverse maintenance actions, and operator-defined goals and constraints, all considered over meaningfully long-enough reasoning horizons. Key aspects of the proposed approach are a receding horizon control-inspired technique dictating time- or event-triggered supervisory policy (re-)constructions, as well as additional capability-enabling contributions such as timescale compression, to handle long reasoning horizons and uncertainty in parts of the problem, and practical yet demonstrably-effective handling of hybrid action spaces with continuous and discrete decision variables. The resulting algorithm consists of a simulation-based RL agent constructing stochastic supervisory control policies over nontrivial action spaces and for long horizons, applying the learned policy to the system for a much shorter interval, and perpetually repeating, to construct the next long-horizon policy. That next policy will only be applied, again, for a short interval, yet originally far-in-time events move progressively closer, their associated uncertainty decreases, and new events and aspects enter the reasoning horizon. The proposed methodology bridges fundamental receding horizon concepts with the unequivocally stronger and more scalable reasoning of contemporary RL. Numerical examples using Soft Actor–Critic Deep RL illustrate the operation and efficacy of the proposed technique for a power plant tasked with health-aware load following missions in a dynamic electricity market landscape.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantum extremal modular curvature: modular transport with islands

Modular Berry transport is a useful way to understand how geometric bulk information is encoded in the boundary CFT: the modular curvature is directly related to the bulk Riemann curvature. We extend this approach by studying modular transport in the presence of a non-trivial quantum extremal surface. Focusing on JT gravity on an AdS background coupled to a non-gravitating bath, we compute the modular curvature of an interval in the bath in the presence of an island: the Quantum Extremal Modular Curvature (QEMC). We highlight some important properties of the QEMC, most importantly that it is non-local in general. In an OPE limit, the QEMC becomes local and probes the bulk Riemann curvature in regions with an island. Our work gives a new approach to probe physics behind horizons.

2D Gravity↗

Glycosyltransferase family 47 (GT47) proteins in plants and animals

Glycosyltransferases (GTs) are carbohydrate-active enzymes that are encoded by the genomes of organisms spanning all domains of life. GTs catalyze glycosidic bond formation, transferring a sugar monomer from an activated donor to an acceptor substrate, often another saccharide. GTs from family 47 (GT47, PF03016) are involved in the synthesis of complex glycoproteins in mammals and insects and play a major role in the synthesis of almost every class of polysaccharide in plants, with the exception of cellulose, callose, and mixed linkage β-1,3/1,4-glucan. GT47 enzymes adopt a GT-B fold and catalyze the formation of glycosidic bonds through an inverting mechanism. Unlike animal genomes, which encode few GT47 enzymes, plant genomes contain 30 or more diverse GT47 coding sequences. With our current knowledge of the GT47 family across plant species brings us an interesting view, showcasing how members exhibit a great diversity in both donor and acceptor substrate specificity, even for members that are classified in the same phylogenetic clade. Thus, we discuss how plant GT47 family members represent a great case to study the relationship between substrate specificity, protein structure, and protein evolution. Most of the plant GT47 enzymes that are identified to date are involved in biosynthesis of plant cell wall polysaccharides, including xyloglucan, xylan, mannan, and pectins. This indicates unique and crucial roles of plant GT47 enzymes in cell wall formation. The aim of this review is to summarize findings about GT47 enzymes and highlight new challenges and approaches on the horizon to study this family.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A sound horizon-free measurement of H 0 in DESI 2024

The physical size of the sound horizon at recombination is a powerful source of information for early-time measurements of the Hubble constant H 0 , and many proposed solutions to the Hubble tension therefore involve modifications to this scale. In light of this, there has been growing interest in measuring H 0 independently of the sound horizon. We present the first such measurement to use data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), jointly analyzing the full-shape galaxy power spectra of DESI luminous red galaxies, emission line galaxies, quasars, and the bright galaxy sample, in a total of six redshift bins. Information from the sound horizon scale is removed from our constraints via a rescaling procedure at the power spectrum level, with our sound horizon-marginalized measurement being driven instead primarily by the matter-radiation equality scale. This measurement is then combined with additional sound horizon-free information from Planck+ACT CMB lensing, uncalibrated type Ia supernovae, and the DESI Lyman-α forest. We agnostically combine with the DESY5, Pantheon+, and Union3 supernova datasets, with our tightest respective constraints being H 0 = 66.7 +1.7 -1.9 , 67.9 +1.9 -2.1 , and 67.8 +2.0 -2.2 km s -1 Mpc -1 . This corresponds to a sub-3% sound horizon-free constraint of the Hubble constant, and is the most precise measurement of its kind to date. Even without including information from the sound horizon, our measurement is still in 2.2-3.0σ tension with SH0ES. Additionally, the consistency between our result and other measurements that do rely on the sound horizon scale provides no evidence for new early-Universe physics (e.g. early dark energy). Future DESI data releases will allow unprecedented measurements of H 0 and place strong constraints on models that use beyond-ΛCDM physics to ameliorate the Hubble tension.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Mid-Range Science Objectives for the Event Horizon Telescope

The first images of the black holes in Sagittarius A* and M87* have created a wide range of new scientific opportunities in gravitational physics, compact objects, and relativistic astrophysics. We discuss here the scientific opportunities that arise from the rich data sets that have already been obtained and the new data sets that will be obtained, exploiting a wide range of technical advances, including observational agility, receiver upgrades, and the addition of new stations. This document provides a 5-year framework for Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) science structured around four fundamental questions that are used to prioritize the analysis of existing data, guide technical upgrades, and determine the optimal use of future observational opportunities with EHT, ALMA, and multi-wavelength facilities. Through enhancements over this period, the EHT will create the first movie of M87* connecting black hole and jet physics, provide detailed studies of the structure and dynamics of Sgr A*, characterize the magnetospheres of both systems through polarimetric imaging, and explore the spacetime properties of black holes with greater precision and range.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Charged particle motion and radiation in strong electromagnetic fields

The dynamics of charged particles in electromagnetic fields is an essential component of understanding the most extreme environments in our Universe. In electromagnetic fields of sufficient magnitude, radiation emission dominates the particle motion and effects of quantum electrodynamics (QED) in strong fields are crucial, which triggers electron-positron pair cascades and counterintuitive particle-Trapping phenomena. As a result of recent progress in laser technology, high-power lasers provide a platform to create and probe such fields in the laboratory. With new large-scale laser facilities on the horizon and the prospect of investigating these hitherto unexplored regimes, this review explores the basic physical processes of radiation reaction and QED in strong fields, how they are treated theoretically and in simulation, the new collective dynamics they unlock, recent experimental progress and plans, and possible applications for high-flux particle and radiation sources.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗