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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Mobility, Energy, and Electric Vehicle Typology for New York State

Mobility patterns, technology adoption and associated energy outcomes vary tremendously across settlement types. This paper explores how a highly geographically resolved exploration of the social, economic, techno-infrastructural and environmental domains of New York State is key to understanding observed variations in transportation technology adoption and associated mobility and energy outcomes. Current socioeconomic and mobility data sets at the census block group level are integrated in a hierarchical clustering approach to show how variations in mobility and energy outcomes are shaped by these domains - which may enhance progress on investments, or effectively inform planning and other decisions for state-wide goals. The clustering produces four settlement types to predict dependent variables of electric vehicle (EV) adoption rates, commute mode, vehicle fuel economy, and vehicles per household. This typology shows EV adoption rates among the core urban population, which is wealthy and highly-educated, are high - 3 EVs/1000 vehicles versus 1 EV/1000 vehicles among the urban working class. Commuting mode is closely linked with population and employment density - more than 90% of core urbanites use transit or active modes, compared with only 22% of suburbanites and 17% of rural residents. Household vehicle ownership also varies, with 2 vehicles per household in rural areas and only 0.5 in core urban settings. Important findings on differences among the rural, suburban, urban, and urban core settlement types suggest a need to explore how best to manage and anticipate very different types of services that may be supportive in achieving energy-efficient and affordable mobility systems state-wide.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Effects of non-thermal termolecular chemistry on detonation development in hydrogen (H2) / methane (CH4) - air mixtures

In combustion simulations, it is usually assumed that highly-energized collision complexes (either radical or stable species) formed in exothermic reactions are always under thermal equilibrium as they evolve through competing networks of reactions. However, in practical flames, non-trivial amounts of reactive radicals such as H, O and OH are present apart from O2. As a result, collisions of these reactive species with the energized collision complexes have been shown in recent studies to induce non-thermal reactivity. These studies have also demonstrated that such non-thermal reactions can be suitably represented in macroscopic kinetics models as chemically termolecular reactions. The present work was focused on identifying and quantifying the effects of including such reactions on the evolution of an initial deflagration front to a developing detonation in H2/CH4-air mixtures under boosted internal combustion (IC) engine conditions. Specifically, fully resolved simulations, with and without non-thermal reactivity, were performed for a constant volume reactor containing stoichiometric H2/CH4-air mixture. It was found that inclusion of termolecular chemistry resulted in a delayed onset of end-gas auto-ignition. Concurrently, the developing detonation intensity was observed to be significantly higher. Chemical explosive mode analysis (CEMA) was performed to identify the dominant species/reactions responsible for the observed variation in the results.

Detonation↗

Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act on Consumer Energy Expenditures

The Inflation Reduction Act introduced or expanded a suite of federal tax credits for clean electricity generation and customer adoption of electric (and other highly efficient) end-use equipment. These incentives are expected to drive changes in both the electricity generation mix and demand for electricity (especially for space heating and light-duty vehicles), which are highly interconnected. In this session, Caitlin Murphy, Group Manager and Senior Analyst in NREL's Strategic Energy Analysis Center, will present findings from her team's recent state-level analysis on the combined effects of various IRA incentives on customer expenditures for electricity, natural gas, and gasoline. She will present and explain the regional variations observed in their analysis, based on interactions between end-use equipment cost and performance and projections for future energy prices.

air source heat pump↗

Observation of seasonal variations of the flux of high-energy atmospheric neutrinos with IceCube

Atmospheric muon neutrinos are produced by meson decays in cosmic-ray-induced air showers. The flux depends on meteorological quantities such as the air temperature, which affects the density of air. Competition between decay and re-interaction of those mesons in the first particle production generations gives rise to a higher neutrino flux when the air density in the stratosphere is lower, corresponding to a higher temperature. A measurement of a temperature dependence of the atmospheric νμ flux provides a novel method for constraining hadronic interaction models of air showers. It is particularly sensitive to the production of kaons. Studying this temperature dependence for the first time requires a large sample of high-energy neutrinos as well as a detailed understanding of atmospheric properties. We report the significant (> 10 σ) observation of a correlation between the rate of more than 260,000 neutrinos, detected by IceCube between 2012 and 2018, and atmospheric tem peratures of the stratosphere, measured by the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument aboard NASA’s AQUA satellite. For the observed 10% seasonal change of effective atmospheric temperature we measure a 3.5(3)% change in the muon neutrino flux. This observed correlation deviates by about 2-3 standard deviations from the expected correla tion of 4.3% as obtained from theoretical predictions under the assumption of various hadronic interaction models.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Daytime variation in the aerosol indirect effect for warm marine boundary layer clouds in the eastern North Atlantic

Abstract. Warm boundary layer clouds in the eastern North Atlantic region exhibit significant diurnal variations in cloud properties. However, the diurnal cycle of the aerosol indirect effect (AIE) for these clouds remains poorly understood. This study takes advantage of recent advancements in the spatial resolution of geostationary satellites to explore the daytime variation in the AIE by estimating the cloud susceptibilities to changes in cloud droplet number concentration (Nd). Cloud retrievals for the month of July over 4 years (2018–2021) from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) on Meteosat-11 over this region are analyzed. Our results reveal a significant “U-shaped” daytime cycle in susceptibilities of the cloud liquid water path (LWP), cloud albedo, and cloud fraction. Clouds are found to be more susceptible to Nd perturbations at noon and less susceptible in the morning and evening. The magnitude and sign of cloud susceptibilities depend heavily on the cloud state defined by cloud LWP and precipitation conditions. Non-precipitating thin clouds account for 44 % of all warm boundary layer clouds in July, and they contribute the most to the observed daytime variation. Non-precipitating thick clouds are the least frequent cloud state (10 %), and they exhibit more negative LWP and albedo susceptibilities compared to thin clouds. Precipitating clouds are the dominant cloud state (46 %), but their cloud susceptibilities show minimal variation throughout the day. We find evidence that the daytime variation in LWP and albedo susceptibilities for non-precipitating clouds is influenced by a combination of the diurnal transition between non-precipitating thick and thin clouds and the “lagged” cloud responses to Nd perturbations. The daytime variation in cloud fraction susceptibility for non-precipitating thick clouds can be attributed to the daytime variation in cloud morphology (e.g., overcast or broken). The dissipation and development of clouds do not adequately explain the observed variation in cloud susceptibilities. Additionally, daytime variation in cloud susceptibility is primarily driven by variation in the intensity of cloud response rather than the frequency of occurrence of cloud states. Our results imply that polar-orbiting satellites with an overpass time at 13:30 LT underestimate daytime mean values of cloud susceptibility, as they observe susceptibility daily minima in the study region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Rapid Tuning of Synchrotron Surrogate Model at the Recycler Ring

The 8 GeV proton-storage Recycler Ring (RR) is essential for reaching megawatt beam intensity goals for the DUNE neutrino beam at Fermilab. Custom shims on each RR permanent magnet were designed to cancel manufacturing defects and bring magnetic fields to the design values. Remaining imperfections cause the observed tune variation vs energy to deviate from what is calculated using the design fields. Using the POUNDERS (“Practical Optimization Using No Derivatives for sums of Squares”) optimization method with Synergia in the loop, we demonstrate rapid convergence to a set of additive, higher-order multipole moments of these magnetic shims which reproduce that observed variation, and show that the convergence advantage grows with the parameter-space dimensionality.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Annual sea level variations in the Red Sea observed using GNSS

SUMMARY Annual sea level variations in the Red Sea have amplitudes of 15–20 cm as observed using various techniques such as tide gauges, satellite altimetry and recently Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite data. In this study, we demonstrate that Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations can also be used to measure the effect of these sea level variations. The extra water mass presses on the seafloor, which causes horizontal and vertical deformations. Using time-series from 10 coastal GNSS stations, we observe annual horizontal and vertical loading displacements with amplitudes of 2–5 mm. When correcting for atmospheric, hydrological and surface water loading and a residual geocentre motion, significant annual signals of approximately 0.5 and 2 mm are still observed for the horizontal and vertical components, respectively. In the northern Red Sea, the observed annual signals and predicted annual sea level loading show good agreement. This confirms that the signal is mostly a result of the variations in water mass and thermal expansion. Furthermore, we conclude that the uncertainties in the hydrological model over Ethiopia and Eritrea influence the loading over the southern Red Sea, which was underestimated in previous studies using GRACE data.

Alothman, A. O.↗

Sensitivity of 44 Ti and 56 Ni Production in Core-collapse Supernova Shock-driven Nucleosynthesis to Nuclear Reaction Rate Variations

Recent observational advances have enabled high resolution mapping of 44 Ti in core-collapse supernova (CCSN) remnants. Comparisons between observations and models provide stringent constraints on the CCSN mechanism. However, past work has identified several uncertain nuclear reaction rates that influence 44 Ti and 56 Ni production in postprocessing model calculations. We evolved one-dimensional models of 15 M ⊙ , 18 M ⊙ , 22 M ⊙ , and 25 M ⊙ stars from zero age main sequence through CCSN using Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics and investigated the previously identified reaction rate sensitivities of 44 Ti and 56 Ni production. In this work, we tested the robustness of our results by making various assumptions about the CCSN explosion energy and mass cut. We found a number of reactions that have a significant impact on the nucleosynthesis of 44 Ti and 56 Ni, particularly for lower progenitor masses. Notably, the reaction rates ${}^{13}{\rm{N}}{(\alpha ,p)}^{16}{\rm{O}}$, ${}^{17}{\rm{F}}{(\alpha ,p)}^{20}\mathrm{Ne}$, ${}^{52}\mathrm{Fe}{(\alpha ,p)}^{55}\mathrm{Co}$, ${}^{56}\mathrm{Ni}{(\alpha ,p)}^{59}\mathrm{Cu}$, ${}^{57}\mathrm{Ni}{(n,p)}^{57}\mathrm{Co}$, ${}^{56}\mathrm{Co}{(p,n)}^{56}\mathrm{Ni}$, ${}^{39}{\rm{K}}{(p,\gamma )}^{40}\mathrm{Ca}$, ${}^{47}{\rm{V}}{(p,\gamma )}^{48}\mathrm{Cr}$, ${}^{52}\mathrm{Mn}{(p,\gamma )}^{53}\mathrm{Fe}$, ${}^{57}\mathrm{Co}{(p,\gamma )}^{58}\mathrm{Ni}$, and ${}^{39}{\rm{K}}{(p,\alpha )}^{36}\mathrm{Ar}$ are influential for a large number of model conditions. Furthermore, we found the list of influential reactions identified by previous postprocessing studies of CCSN shock-driven nucleosynthesis is likely incomplete, motivating future larger-scale sensitivity studies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Vertical dependence of horizontal variation of cloud microphysics: observations from the ACE-ENA field campaign and implications for warm-rain simulation in climate models

Abstract. In the current global climate models (GCMs), the nonlinearity effect of subgrid cloud variations on the parameterization of warm-rain process, e.g., the autoconversion rate, is often treated by multiplying the resolved-scale warm-rain process rates by a so-called enhancement factor (EF). In this study, we investigate the subgrid-scale horizontal variations and covariation of cloud water content (qc) and cloud droplet number concentration (Nc) in marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds based on the in situ measurements from a recent field campaign and study the implications for the autoconversion rate EF in GCMs. Based on a few carefully selected cases from the field campaign, we found that in contrast to the enhancing effect of qc and Nc variations that tends to make EF > 1, the strong positive correlation between qc and Nc results in a suppressing effect that tends to make EF < 1. This effect is especially strong at cloud top, where the qc and Nc correlation can be as high as 0.95. We also found that the physically complete EF that accounts for the covariation of qc and Nc is significantly smaller than its counterpart that accounts only for the subgrid variation of qc, especially at cloud top. Although this study is based on limited cases, it suggests that the subgrid variations of Nc and its correlation with qc both need to be considered for an accurate simulation of the autoconversion process in GCMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

What can surface wind observations tell us about interannual variation in wind energy output?

The past decade of wind power growth was supported by capacity factor improvements and associated cost reductions. But are higher capacity factors a technology success story or, as suggested by recent research, has the influence of technology been overstated by ignoring positive surface wind speed trends? The answer could influence estimates of wind energy's cost and even future deployment rates. We find that US surface wind speed observations imply a 2.6% improvement in capacity factors from 2010 to 2019. Yet newer vintages of wind plants have recorded capacity factors that are ~25% larger than plants built close to 2010. It follows that technological factors and improved site quality, not higher wind speeds, drove most of the improvement in capacity factors. Additionally, we match hundreds of meteorological stations to nearby (< 25 km) wind plants and compare annual estimated generation, based on a function of surface wind speed observations, to annual recorded generation. Researchers rely on this publicly available surface data because measurements co-located with wind plants are generally considered proprietary. Our analysis addresses a research gap: interannual variation in observed surface wind speeds is rarely compared to observed data at wind plant locations and turbine heights. We find that despite its common use for this purpose, generation estimates based on publicly available surface observational data provide a poor proxy for interannual variability in recorded wind generation. These findings suggest that caution is generally needed when researchers use surface wind speed measurements to investigate long-term wind energy trends.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Electrically driven proton transfer promotes Brønsted acid catalysis by orders of magnitude

Electric fields play a key role in enzymatic catalysis and can enhance reaction rates by 100,000-fold, but the same rate enhancements have yet to be achieved in thermochemical heterogeneous catalysis. In this work, we probe the influence of catalyst potential and interfacial electric fields on heterogeneous Brønsted acid catalysis. We observed that variations in applied potential of ~380 mV led to a 100,000-fold rate enhancement for 1-methylcyclopentanol dehydration, which was catalyzed by carbon-supported phosphotungstic acid. Mechanistic studies support a model in which the interfacial electrostatic potential drop drives quasi-equilibrated proton transfer to the adsorbed substrate prior to rate-limiting C–O bond cleavage. Large increases in rate with potential were also observed for the same reaction catalyzed by Ti/TiO y H x and for the Friedel Crafts acylation of anisole with acetic anhydride by carbon-supported phosphotungstic acid.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Revisiting proton–proton fusion in chiral effective field theory

We calculate the S-factor for proton–proton fusion using chiral effective field theory interactions and currents. By performing order-by-order calculations with a variety of chiral interactions that are regularized and calibrated in different ways, we assess the uncertainty in the S-factor from the truncation of the effective field theory expansion and from the sensitivity of the S-factor to the short-distance axial current determined from three- and four-nucleon observables. We find that S(0) = (4.100 ± 0.024(syst) ± 0.013(stat) ± 0.008(g$_{A}$)) × 10$^{−23}$ MeV fm$^{2}$, where the three uncertainties arise, respectively, from the truncation of the effective field theory expansion, use of the two-nucleon axial current fit to few-nucleon observables and variation of the axial coupling constant within the recommended range. The increased value of S(0) compared to previous calculations is mainly driven by an increase in the recommended value for the axial coupling constant and is in agreement with a recent analysis based on pionless effective field theory.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Timing characterization of fast hCMOS sensors

We describe a method of analyzing gate profile data for ultrafast x-ray imagers that allows pixel-by-pixel determination of temporal sensitivity in the presence of substantial background oscillations. With this method, systematic timing errors in gate width and gate arrival time of up to 1 ns (in a 2 ns wide gate) can be removed. In-sensor variations in gate arrival and gate width are observed, with variations in each up to 0.5 ns. This method can be used to estimate the coarse timing of the sensor, even if errors up to several ns are present.

Benedetti, L. R. (ORCID:0000000160502983)↗

Proteomic Determinants of Variation in Cholesterol Efflux: Observations from the Dallas Heart Study

High-density lipoproteins (HDLs) are promising targets for predicting and treating atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), as they mediate removal of excess cholesterol from lipid-laden macrophages that accumulate in the vasculature. This functional property of HDLs, termed cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC), is inversely associated with ASCVD. HDLs are compositionally diverse, associating with >250 different proteins, but their relative contribution to CEC remains poorly understood. Our goal was to identify and define key HDL-associated proteins that modulate CEC in humans. The proteomic signature of plasma HDL was quantified in 36 individuals in the multi-ethnic population-based Dallas Heart Study (DHS) cohort that exhibited persistent extremely high (>=90th%) or extremely low CEC (<=10th%) over 15 years. Levels of apolipoprotein (Apo)A-I associated ApoC-II, ApoC-III, and ApoA-IV were differentially correlated with CEC in high (r = 0.49, 0.41, and —0.21 respectively) and low (r = —0.46, —0.41, and 0.66 respectively) CEC groups (p for heterogeneity (pHet) = 0.03, 0.04, and 0.003 respectively). Further, we observed that levels of ApoA-I with ApoC-III, complement C3 (CO3), ApoE, and plasminogen (PLMG) were inversely associated with CEC in individuals within the low CEC group (r = —0.11 to —0.25 for subspecies with these proteins vs. r = 0.58 to 0.65 for subspecies lacking these proteins; p < 0.05 for heterogeneity). These findings suggest that enrichment of specific proteins on HDLs and, thus, different subspecies of HDLs, differentially modulate the removal of cholesterol from the vasculature.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Landslide monitoring using seismic refraction tomography – The importance of incorporating topographic variations

Seismic refraction tomography provides images of the elastic properties of subsurface materials in landslide settings. Seismic velocities are sensitive to changes in moisture content, which is a triggering factor in the initiation of many landslides. However, the application of the method to long-term monitoring of landslides is rarely used, given the challenges in undertaking repeat surveys and in handling and minimizing the errors arising from processing time-lapse surveys. This work presents a simple method and workflow for producing a reliable time-series of inverted seismic velocity models. This method is tested using data acquired during a recent, novel, long-term seismic refraction monitoring campaign at an active landslide in the UK. Potential sources of error include those arising from inaccurate and inconsistent determination of first-arrival times, inaccurate receiver positioning, and selection of inappropriate inversion starting models. At our site, a comparative analysis of variations in seismic velocity to real-world variations in topography over time shows that topographic error alone can account for changes in seismic velocity of greater than ±10% in a significant proportion (23%) of the data acquired. The seismic velocity variations arising from real material property changes at the near-surface of the landslide, linked to other sources of environmental data, are demonstrated to be of a similar magnitude. Over the monitoring period we observe subtle variations in the bulk seismic velocity of the sliding layer that are demonstrably related to variations in moisture content. This highlights the need to incorporate accurate topographic information for each time-step in the monitoring time-series. The goal of the proposed workflow is to minimize the sources of potential errors, and to preserve the changes observed by real variations in the subsurface. Following the workflow produces spatially comparable, time-lapse velocity cross-sections formulated from disparate, discretely-acquired datasets. These practical steps aim to aid the use of the seismic refraction tomography method for the long-term monitoring of landslides prone to hydrological destabilization.

Whiteley, J. S.↗

Contribution of Electron Pressure to Ring Current and Ground Magnetic Depression Using RAM-SCB Simulations and Arase Observations During 7–8 November 2017 Magnetic Storm

Understanding the physical processes that control the dynamics of energetic particles in the inner magnetosphere is important for both space-borne and ground-based assets essential to the modern society. The storm time distribution of ring current particles in the inner magnetosphere depends strongly on their transport in the evolving electric and magnetic fields along with particle acceleration and loss. Here, we investigated the ring current particle variations using observations and simulations. We compared the ion (H + , He + , and O + ) and electron flux and plasma pressure variations from Arase observations with the self-consistent inner magnetosphere model: Ring current Atmosphere interactions Model with Self Consistent magnetic field (RAM-SCB) during the 7–8 November 2017 geomagnetic storm. We investigated the contribution of the different species (ions and electrons) to the magnetic field deformation observed at ground magnetic stations (09°–45° MLat) using RAM-SCB simulations. The results show that the ions are the major contributor with ~88% and electrons contribute ~12% to the total ring current pressure. It is also found that the electron contribution is non-negligible (~18%) to the ring current in dawn-side during the main phase of the storm. Thus, the electron contribution to the storm time ring current is important and should not be neglected.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Effect of injected flux and current temporal phasing on self-organization in the HIT-SI3 experiment

The HIT-SI3 device at the University of Washington uses three oscillating inductive helicity injectors to form and sustain spheromak plasma equilibria. By adjusting the temporal phase of the injector waveforms with respect to each other, the toroidal spectrum of the imposed perturbations can be controlled. Using a recently implemented GPU-based control system, the available mode spectra were explored experimentally by scanning the space of relative injector phasing. In this space, significant variation in the toroidal mode spectrum ($n$ = 1, 2, 3) of the perturbations was observed. Additionally, variation in characteristics of driven equilibria was also observed, including a ≈ $30$% range in toroidal current gain ($I$ $Φ$ / $I$ $Inj$ ). Experimental results are compared with both a composite-equilibria and nonlinear dynamic model, including extended MHD simulations using the NIMROD code and composite Taylor state equilibria computed using the PSI-Tet code. In conclusion, qualitative agreement is seen with the nonlinear models, but not with composite-equilibria models, suggesting the use of nonlinear models to better capture observed plasma dynamics and provide predictive use for future experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dissolved oxygen sensor in an automated hyporheic sampling system reveals biogeochemical dynamics

Many river corridor systems frequently experience rapid variations in river stage height, hydraulic head gradients, and residence times. The integrated hydrology and biogeochemistry of such systems is challenging to study, particularly in their associated hyporheic zones. Here we present an automated system to facilitate 4-dimensional study of dynamic hyporheic zones. It is based on combining real-time in-situ and ex-situ measurements from sensor/sampling locations distributed in 3-dimensions. A novel dissolved oxygen (DO) sensor was integrated into the system during a small scale study. We measured several biogeochemical and hydrologic parameters at three subsurface depths in the riverbed of the Columbia River in Washington State, USA, a dynamic hydropeaked river corridor system. During the study, episodes of significant DO variations (~+/- 4 mg/l) were observed, with minor variation in other parameters (e.g., <~+/-0.15 mg/l NO 3 ). DO concentrations were related to hydraulic head gradients, showing both hysteretic and non-hysteretic relationships with abrupt (hours) transitions between the two types of relationships. The observed relationships provide a number of hypotheses related to the integrated hydrology and biogeochemistry of dynamic hyporheic zones. We suggest that preliminary high-frequency monitoring is advantageous in guiding the design of long term monitoring campaigns. The study also demonstrated the importance of measuring multiple parameters in parallel, where the DO sensor provided the key signal for identifying/detecting transient phenomena.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗