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Vacillation, sudden warmings and potential enstrophy balance in the stratosphere

The balance of potential enstrophy and its relationship to vacillation cycles and the sudden warming is studied for a beta-channel model of the stratosphere. It is shown that the mean flow cannot be steady in the presence of large-amplitude quasi-geostrophic waves (approximately 1-0.25 geopotential kilometers /gpkm/) when any dissipation is present, and the maximum wave amplitude allowed is approximately 2 gpkm. If wave forcing (transience plus dissipation) is artificially maintained, the mean flow decelerates slowly at first then explosively as the potential vorticity gradient of the basic state is wiped out over the channel. This process is called wave saturation. The initial phase of the explosive deceleration resembles both the observed and modeled mean flow evolution during a sudden stratospheric warming. A simple vacillation model based upon these ideas shows remarkable similarity to the results of Holton and Mass (1976) and Davies (1981).

Schoeberl, M. R.↗

Numerical Modeling of the Atmosphere

Numerical models and numerical analyses of observations were used to improve the understanding of the physical processes important in global weather and climate. Results from a study of the effect of baroclinic waves on mid-latitude vertical temperature structure show that the waves' vertical eddy heat flux tend to eliminate the potential vorticity gradient near the steering level by causing the static stability to decrease rapidly with height in the lower troposphere above the boundary layer. An empirical study of the relationship between eddy heat fluxes and the meridional temperature gradient has been completed. The results indicate that the feedback in the flux-gradient system is comparable to dissipation on all time scales between the synoptic and the seasonal. The definition of the Eliassen-Palm flux and the Eliassen-Palm and non-acceleration theorems has been generalized to include eddy forcing of condensation. Calculations based on the generalized diagnostics showed that the annual mean eddy forcing of the zonal mean zonal wind is two and one half times stronger when the condensation effects are included.

Stone, P. H.↗

The final warming and polar vortex disappearance during the Southern Hemisphere spring

Seven years (1979-1985) of NMC data are used to analyze Southern Hemisphere middle stratosphere winter-to-summer circulation transitions. These transitions are classified into two extreme categories: (1) a mid-October final warming accompanied by a major mid-October wave event (1979 and 1982), and (2) a mid-November final warming with no strong October wave event (1980 and 1981). After the final warming a wave event in late November-early December results in the disappearance of the polar vortex. All of these wave events in conjunction with zonal mean mass motions act to reduce zonal mean gradients of potential vorticity and ozone through horizontal mixing, and hence they act to destroy the vortex and fill the ozone hole. Additionally, it is noted that the final warming and the vortex breakdown are two distinct events separated by 15-40 days. Finally, past studies show that the time of these events has not radically changed.

Newman, Paul A.↗

The effect of along-front temperature variation in a two-dimensional primitive equation model of a surface frontogenesis

The effects of along-front temperature variations on the structure and evolution of surface fronts are investigated using a two-dimensional frontogenesis model. The formulation and characteristics of the confluence-horizontal shear model are described. The structures of three frontal zones forced by confluence and characterized by zero, negative, and positive along-front potential temperature variations are analyzed; particular attention is given to the ageostrophic vertical circulation and their forcings. The temporal evolution of the model frontal zones is examined in terms of the low-level maxima of vorticity, cross-front potential temperature gradient, and convergence. The kinematic and dynamic processes influencing the frontogenesis are discussed. It is noted that the two-dimensional model is applicable to the study of the dynamical properties of frontogenesis.

Keyser, Daniel↗

Jupiter's Great Red Spot as a shallow water system

Voyager cloud-top velocity data for Jupiter's Great Red Spot (GRS) is used to derive the bottom topography up to a constant that depends on the unknown radius of deformation. The bottom topography is inferred from the Bernoulli streamfunction, kinetic energy per unit mass, and absolute vorticity values derived from the velocity data. The results are used to calculate potential vorticity versus latitude far from the vortex. It is found that the deep atmosphere is in differential motion and that the far-field potential vorticity gradient changes sign at several latitudes. Numerical experiments are conducted to study the time-dependent behavior of the shallow water analog of Jupiter's analog.

Dowling, Timothy E.↗

N2O as a dynamical tracer in the Arctic vortex

This paper reports N2O measurements obtained by the Airborne Tunable Laser Absorption Spectrometer from 14 flights of the NASA ER-2 aircraft during the 1989 Airborne Arctic Stratospheric Expedition field campaign. In the altitude range expected for ozone loss, N2O has a long photochemical lifetime, making it an excellent tracer of lower stratospheric air motions. As in the southern hemisphere, the zonal wind speed maximum and large gradients of potential vorticity and N2O identify the vortex edge. The N2O profiles inside the vortex indicate net descent relative to outside the vortex and to the summer polar lower stratosphere. The descent of the N2O profile during the Arctic night relative to the summer profile is comparable to the downward shift in the vertical profile observed in the 1987 Antarctic winter vortex. Winter profiles at the poles are very similar above the 435 K potential temperature surface, but divergent below.

Loewenstein, M.↗

The global distribution of f/H and the barotropic response of the ocean

The barotropic response of the ocean over smoothly varying topography is directly related to the potential vorticity gradient (PVG). A global estimate of f/H and PVG has been constructed from a high-resolution digital topographic data base. Four different regimes of the barotropic response of the ocean are suggested by these maps. (1) In the tropical latitudes from 20 deg S to 20 deg N, the response will be similar to a flat-bottom Sverdrup regime. (2) In midlatitudes, north of 30 deg S, the response will be quasi-stationary, weak, and dominated by nonlocal forcing. (3) In a number of small regions throughout the midlatitudes in both hemispheres, the local response should be amplified; and wavelike motions may occur over a broader bandwidth of frequencies. (4) South of 30 deg S, the midocean ridge system becomes zonal and isolates several large regions within closed lines of f/H. In these regions, principally the abyssal plains of the southern ocean, the low-frequency barotropic response of the ocean may be wavelike in character and much stronger than the Sverdrup response. Consequently, this analysis suggessts that the southern ocean may have a stronger barotropic response to wind forcing than the other five major ocean basins.

Koblinsky, C. J.↗

Validation of parameterization scheme for eddy diffusion from satellite data

The eddy diffusion coefficient K(yy) has been calculated usign LIMS for the months of December 1978 and January and February 1979. Two methods have been used. The first implements the suggestion made by Tung (1987) to parameterize the eddy transport as a diffusive process along isentropes. The second method integrates the equation relating the parcel displacements to the eddy velocity fields. The latter method uses a filtering on both space and time domains to isolate transients and is referred to as the 'spectral method'. Results from the first method are shown to be reliable only for quiescent periods, breaking down when the meridional gradient of potential vorticity is negligible. Results from the two methods are in agreement only for very disturbed conditions, when transience is readily isolated. It is concluded that the parameterizations suggested for eddy transport and calculated in this paper may be meaningful for quiet periods, but are not reliable for unsteady and very large amplitude disturbances.

Sassi, F.↗

The dynamics of the stratospheric polar vortex and its relation to springtime ozone depletions

Recent aircraft observations have determined the structure of polar vortices during winter and their relationship to polar ozone depletions, based on high dynamical isolation and the extremely low temperatures required for stratospheric cloud formation. The aircraft data reveal large gradients of potential vorticity and concentrations of conservative trace species at the transition from high-latitude to polar air, implying that the inward mixing of heat and constituents is strongly inhibited, and that the perturbed polar stratospheric chemistry associated with the ozone hole is isolated from the rest of the stratosphere until the vortex breaks up in late spring. It is therefore the overall polar vortex which limits the annual polar ozone depletions' maximum area-coverage.

Schoeberl, Mark R.↗

Springtime stratospheric water vapour in the Southern Hemisphere as measured by MLS

The effects of the break-up of the Antarctic vortex on the water vapor distribution are studied using MLS measurements of water vapor made during September 1991 and November 1991. In early November at 22 hPa a moist area is found within the polar vortex, consistent with an observed descent of order 10 km and strong radiative cooling. As the vortex erodes (beginning of November 1991), parcels of moist air become detached from the edge of the vortex and mix rapidly (within 2-3 days) with drier mid-latitude air. When the vortex breaks up (mid-November), larger parcels of moist air from both the edge and the inner vortex migrate to mid-latitudes. These parcels have a longer lifetime than those produced by vortex erosion, probably because they are correlated with higher potential vorticity gradients. The break-up of the vortex is accompanied by a mean adiabatic equatorward transport resulting in a significant increase in midstratospheric water vapor values at mid-latitudes in late spring.

Harwood, R. S.↗

Numerical simulation of baroclinic Jovian vortices

We examine the evolution of baroclinic vortices in a time-dependent, nonlinear numerical model of a Jovian atmosphere. The model uses a normal-mode expansion in the vertical, using the barotropic and first two baroclinic modes. Results for the stability of baroclinic vortices on an f plane in the absence of a mean zonal flow are similar to results of Earth vortex models, although the presence of a fluid interior on the Jovian planets shifts the stability boundaries to smaller length scales. The presence of a barotropic mean zonal flow in the interior stabilizes vortices against instability and significantly modifies the finite amplitude form of baroclinic instabilities. The effect of a zonal flow on a form of barotropic instability produces periodic oscillations in the latitude and longitude of the vortex as observed at the level of the cloud tops. This instability may explain some, but not all, observations of longitudinal oscillations of vortices on the outer planets. Oscillations in aspect ratio and orientation of stable vortices in a zonal shear flow are observed in this baroclinic model, as in simpler two-dimensional models. Such oscillations are also observed in the atmospheres of Jupiter and Neptune. The meridional propagation and decay of vortices on a beta plane is inhibited by the presence of a mean zonal flow. The direction of propagation of a vortex relative to the mean zonal flow depends upon the sign of the meridional potential vorticity gradient; combined with observations of vortex drift rates, this may provide a constraint on model assumption for the flow in the deep interior of the Jovian planets.

Achterberg, Richard K.↗

Observations of the 2-day wave in NMC stratospheric analyses

Observational characteristics of the 2-day wave, a westward-propagating zonal wave 3 oscillation in the summer subtropical upper stratosphere and mesosphere, are studied based on five years of National Meteorological Center (NMC) operational stratospheric analyses. These data show episodic occurrence of the 2-day wave in the upper stratosphere in January (centered near 20 deg S) and July - August (centered near 20 deg N). These episodes are strongly correlated with observed reversals of the zonal mean potential vorticity gradient near the core of the summer easterly jet, consistent with previous suggestions that the 2-day wave is generated by an in situ instability of this jet. On the other hand, the horizontal and vertical structure of the waves is very similar to that calculated by Salby for a global normal-mode Rossby wave. The combination of normal-mode structure and instability signature suggests that the 2-day wave is a near-resonant mode forced by dynamical instability.

Randel, William J.↗

On the motion of air through the stratospheric polar vortex

Trajectory calculations using horizontal winds from the U.K. Meteorological Office data assimilation system and vertical velocities from a radiation calculation are used to simulate the three-dimensional motion of air through the stratospheric polar vortex for Northern Hemisphere (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH) winters since the launch of the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS). Throughout the winter, air from the upper stratosphere moves poleward and descends into the middle stratosphere. In the SH lower to middle stratosphere, strongest descent occurs near the edge of the polar vortex, with that edge defined by mixing characteristics. The NH shows a similar pattern in late winter, but in early winter strongest descent is near the center of the vortex, except when wave activity is particularly strong. Strong barriers to latitudinal mixing exist above about 420 K throughout the winter. Below this, the polar night jet is weak in early winter, so air descending below that level mixes between polar and middle latitudes. In late winter, parcels descend less and the polar night jet moves downward, so there is less latitudinal mixing. The degree of mixing in the lower stratosphere thus depends strongly on the position and evolution of the polar night jet and on the amount of descent experienced by the air parcels; these characteristics show considerable interannual variability in both hemispheres. The computed trajectories provide a three-dimensional picture of air motion during the final warming. Large tongues of air are drawn off the vortex and stretched into increasingly long and narrow tongues extending into low latitudes. This vortex erosion process proceeds more rapidly in the NH than in he SH. In the lower stratosphere, the majority of air parcels remain confined within a lingering region of strong potential vorticity gradients into December in the SH and April in the NH, well after the vortex breaks up in the midstratosphere.

Manney, G. L.↗

Mixing by barotropic instability in a nonlinear model

A global, nonlinear, equivalent barotropic model is used to study the isentropic mixing of passive tracers by barotropic instability. Basic states are analytical zonal-mean jets representative of the zonal-mean flow in the upper stratosphere, where the observed 4-day wave is thought to be a result of barotropic, and possibly baroclinic, instability. As is known from previous studies, the phase speed and growth rate of the unstable waves is fairly sensitive to the shape of the zonal-mean jet; and the dominant wave mode at saturation is not necessarily the fastest growing mode; but the unstable modes share many features of the observed 4-day wave. Lagrangian trajectories computed from model winds are used to characterize the mixing by the flow. For profiles with both midlatitude and polar modes, mixing is stronger in midlatitude than inside the vortex; but there is little exchange of air across the vortex boundary. There is a minimum in the Lyapunov exponents of the flow and the particle dispersion at the jet maximum. For profiles with only polar unstable modes, there is weak mixing inside the vortex, no mixing outside the vortex, and no exchange of air across the vortex boundary. These results support the theoretical arguments that, whether wave disturbances are generated by local instability or propagate from other regions, the mixing properties of the total flow are determined by the locations of the wave critical lines and that strong gradients of potential vorticity are very resistant to mixing.

Bowman, Kenneth P.↗

Thermal Emission Spectra of Phobos, Vesta, Ceres, and Pallas: A Comparison

Ultraviolet, visual, and near-infrared spectra of Phobos, obtained by Mariner 9 and Viking Orbiters, were interpreted to suggest a compositional similarity with carbonaceous chrondrites. Such a composition would be inconsistent with the moon's origin in the proto-Mars region, as Mars is composed chiefly of differentiated silicates. This interpretation was used to suggest that the moons originated in the main-asteroid belt, with subsequent capture and orbital evolution into their current locations. Interpretations of more recent visual and near-infrared spectra, obtained by Phobos-2 and Mars Pathfinder, have demonstrated that the Phobos spectrum is more similar to spectra of other classes of asteroids and lunar soils. If lunar mare soil is the correct analogy, then such a composition suggests a formation of Phobos from materials similar to that on Mars, i.e. basalts, and would not require a dynamically difficult capture and orbital evolution. During the science phasing orbits of the Mars Global Surveyor mission Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) observations of Phobos were acquired at each of four encounters. The spectral variability observed for localized surface regions on Phobos has been previously reported and is greatest near the northern wall of Stickney crater. Interpretation of the thermal infrared spectra of airless bodies, based upon most existing laboratory measurements, is complicated by the absence of interstitial gases on the celestial objects that would act to minimize potential thermal gradients in the upper layers of the surface. As an aid to interpretation of the TES Phobos spectra are compared to telescopic and airborne thermal infrared spectra of asteroids from several classes, including Ceres (G), Pallas (B), and Vesta (V). The asteroid spectra provide a direct analogy to the physical situation encountered at the surface of Phobos, albeit different thermal gradients may exist for each surface. This work is supported by NASA RTOP's 344-30-30-01 and 344-34-21-08.

Roush, Ted↗

High-Frequency Planetary Waves in the Polar Middle Atmosphere as seen in a data Assimilation System

This study examines the winter southern hemisphere vortex of 1998 using four times daily output from a data assimilation system to focus on the polar 2-day, wave number 2 component of the 4-day wave. The data assimilation system products are from a test version of the finite volume data assimilation system (fvDAS) being developed at Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) and include an ozone assimilation system. Results show that the polar 2-day wave dominates during July 1998 at 70 degrees. The period of the quasi 2-day wave is somewhat shorter than 2 days (about 1.7 days) during July 1998 with an average perturbation temperature amplitude for the month of over 2.5 K. The 2-day wave propagates more slowly than the zonal mean zonal wind, consistent with Rossby wave theory, and has EP flux divergence regions associated with regions of negative horizontal potential vorticity gradients, as expected from linear instability theory. Results for the assimilation-produced ozone mixing ratio show that the 2-day wave represents a major source of ozone variation in this region. The ozone wave in the assimilation system is in good agreement with the wave seen in the POAM (Polar Ozone and Aerosol Measurement) ozone observations for the same time period. Some differences with linear instability theory are noted as well as spectral peaks in the ozone field, not seen in the temperature field, that may be a consequence of advection.

Coy, L.↗

Comparison of Flow-Dependent and Static Error Correlation Models in the DAO Ozone Data Assimilation System

In a data assimilation system the forecast error covariance matrix governs the way in which the data information is spread throughout the model grid. Implementation of a correct method of assigning covariances is expected to have an impact on the analysis results. The simplest models assume that correlations are constant in time and isotropic or nearly isotropic. In such models the analysis depends on the dynamics only through assumed error standard deviations. In applications to atmospheric tracer data assimilation this may lead to inaccuracies, especially in regions with strong wind shears or high gradient of potential vorticity, as well as in areas where no data are available. In order to overcome this problem we have developed a flow-dependent covariance model that is based on short term evolution of error correlations. The presentation compares performance of a static and a flow-dependent model applied to a global three- dimensional ozone data assimilation system developed at NASA s Data Assimilation Office. We will present some results of validation against WMO balloon-borne sondes and the Polar Ozone and Aerosol Measurement (POAM) III instrument. Experiments show that allowing forecast error correlations to evolve with the flow results in positive impact on assimilated ozone within the regions where data were not assimilated, particularly at high latitudes in both hemispheres and in the troposphere. We will also discuss statistical characteristics of both models; in particular we will argue that including evolution of error correlations leads to stronger internal consistency of a data assimilation ,

Wargan, K.↗

Alignment of the Grating Wheel Mechanism for a Ground-Based, Cryogenic, Near-Infrared Astronomy Instrument

We describe the population, optomechanical alignment, and alignment verification of near-infrared gratings on the grating wheel mechanism (GWM) for the Infrared Multi-Object Spectrometer (IRMOS). IRMOS is a cryogenic (80 K), principle investigator-class instrument for the 2.1 m and Mayall 3.8 m telescopes at Kitt Peak National Observatory, and a MEMS spectrometer concept demonstrator for the James Webb Space Telescope. The GWM consists of 13 planar diffraction gratings and one flat imaging mirror (58 x 57 mm), each mounted at a unique compound angle on a 32 cm diameter gear. The mechanism is predominantly made of Al 6061. The grating substrates are stress relieved for enhanced cryogenic performance. The optical surfaces are replicated from off-the-shelf masters. The imaging mirror is diamond turned. The GWM spans a projected diameter of approx. 48 cm when fully assembled, utilizes several flexure designs to accommodate potential thermal gradients, and is controlled using custom software with an off-the-shelf controller. Under ambient conditions, each grating is aligned in six degrees of freedom relative to a coordinate system that is referenced to an optical alignment cube mounted at the center of the gear. The local tip/tilt (Rx/Ry) orientation of a given grating is measured using the zero-order return from an autocollimating theodolite. The other degrees of freedom are measured using a two-axis cathetometer and rotary table. Each grating's mount includes a one-piece shim located between the optic and the gear. The shim is machined to fine align each grating. We verify ambient alignment by comparing grating difractive properties to model predictions.

Gutkowski, Sharon M.↗