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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2021

PV and Dynamic Load Modeling Update

This report documents the PV and dynamic load modeling update for transient stability, EMT, harmonics, and short circuit analyses during budget period one of the DOE PV-MOD research.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of Reactive Power Load Modeling Techniques for PV Impact Studies [Slides]

The increasing availability of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) data has led to significant improvements in load modeling accuracy. However, since many AMI devices were installed to facilitate billing practices, few utilities record or store reactive power demand measurements from their AMI. When reactive power measurements are unavailable, simplifying assumptions are often applied for load modeling purposes, such as applying constant power factors to the loads. The objective of this work is to quantify the impact that reactive power load modeling practices can have on distribution system analysis, with a particular focus on evaluating the behaviors of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems with advanced inverter capabilities. Quasi-static time-series simulations were conducted after applying a variety of reactive power load modeling approaches, and the results were compared to a baseline scenario in which real and reactive power measurements were available at all customer locations on the circuit. Overall, it was observed that applying constant power factors to loads can lead to significant errors when evaluating customer voltage profiles, but that performing per-phase time-series reactive power allocation can be utilized to reduce these errors by about 6x, on average, resulting in more accurate evaluations of advanced inverter functions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dynamic Material Flow Analysis of Silicon Photovoltaic Modules to Support a Circular Economy Transition

Solar photovoltaics (PV) are the fastest growing renewable energy technologies for clean, cheap, and sustainable electricity generation. To prepare for rapid scale-up, the PV industry needs to project material requirements to build out all aspects of the supply chain appropriately and plan to handle large volumes of module waste. Impacts of deploying different material circularity strategies to reduce waste and conserve primary resources need to be quantified to inform sustainable material management. Here, we introduce the photovoltaic dynamic material flow analysis (PV DMFA) model based on PV electricity generation. The model quantifies material flows and stocks in the cradle-to-cradle life cycles of utility-scale c-Si PV systems in the United States through 2100. We present case studies for solar flat glass and aluminum frame materials under various scenarios to project the impacts of PV performance, reliability, and processing parameters, material circularity strategies, and module design shifts. In the absence of circularity measures, ~100 million MT of flat glass and ~12 million MT of aluminum would be needed for PV installations by 2100 to meet projected growth in domestic utility PV demand to nearly 1000 TWh in 2100. With optimistic but feasible improvements in efficiency, reliability, and circularity, material intensity and waste could be reduced by nearly 50%. Efficient module collection, minimally intrusive recycling, and careful scrap handling and cleaning could improve material circularity in the PV value chain. This model serves as a sustainability data support tool that may aid in the circular economy transition for PV systems.

circular economy↗
DOE OSTI2021

Exploring PV Circularity by Modeling Socio-Technical Dynamics of Modules’ End-of-Life Management

The circular economy (CE) tackles environmental and resource scarcity issues by maximizing value retention in the economy. The concept implies design strategies such as reducing the use of materials or improving products’ durability and end-of-life (EOL) strategies, for example, reusing products and components and recycling materials. With an estimated 80 million tons of global cumulative EOL photovoltaic (PV) modules, applying CE principles to the PV industry could alleviate resource scarcity issues while also providing economic benefits. However, transitioning to a CE may imply changes in organizations and consumer behaviors. In this context, assessment of CE strategies may require accounting for behavioral change, a requirement that methods from complex system science such as agent-based modeling meet. Thus, this paper uses an agent-based modeling (ABM) approach to study circularity in the photovoltaics supply chain. Four types of agents are represented in the ABM: PV owners, installers, recyclers, and manufacturers. Moreover, five possible EOL options – including three CE strategies – are modeled. Departing from traditional techno-economic analysis, the model includes techno-economic factors as well as social factors to model EOL management decisions. Results show that each dollar decrease in the recycling fees improves the recycling rate by roughly 1.1%. However, excluding social factors underestimates the effect that lower recycling prices have on material circularity.

agent-based modeling↗
DOE OSTI2021

Exploring PV Circularity by Modeling Socio-Technical Dynamics of Modules' End-of-Life Management: Preprint

The circular economy (CE) tackles environmental and resource scarcity issues by maximizing value retention in the economy. The concept implies design strategies such as reducing the use of materials or improving products’ durability and end-of-life (EOL) strategies such as reusing products and components and recycling materials. With an estimated 80 million tons of global cumulative EOL photovoltaic (PV) modules, applying CE principles to the PV industry could alleviate resource scarcity issues while also providing economic benefits. However, transitioning to a CE may imply changes in organizations and consumer behaviors. In this context, assessment of CE strategies may require accounting for behavioral change, a requirement that methods from complex system science such as agent-based modeling meet. Thus, this paper uses an agent-based modeling (ABM) approach to study circularity in the photovoltaics supply chain. Four types of agents are represented in the ABM: PV owners, installers, recyclers, and manufacturers. Moreover, five possible EOL options – including three CE strategies – are modeled. Departing from traditional techno-economic analysis, the model includes techno-economic factors as well as social factors to model EOL management decisions. Results show that each dollar decrease in the recycling fees improves the recycling rate by roughly 1.1%. However, excluding social factors underestimates the effect that lower recycling prices have on material circularity.

28 EE - Advanced Manufacturing Office (EE-5A)↗
DOE OSTI2026

A unified large language model–based framework for heterogeneous PV image diagnosis

With advances in imaging technologies, modern photovoltaic (PV) systems generate large volumes of heterogeneous image data, including visible, electroluminescence (EL), and infrared (IR) images. Existing PV image analysis models, particularly deep learning approaches, are typically task-specific and lack cross-modality generalization. To address this limitation, this paper proposes an open-source large language model (LLM)–based unified framework for heterogeneous PV image diagnostics. Through task-aware diagnostic prompting, the framework enables analysis of visible, EL, and IR images within a single pipeline, supporting both zero-shot and few-shot inference and binary and multiclass classification. It is compatible with state-of-the-art multimodal LLMs, including ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, Qwen, and CLIP. The framework is evaluated on PV module condition classification (clean, soiling, snow, hail, and bird droppings) using visible images, cell crack detection using EL images, and hotspot detection using IR images. GPT-5.1 in few-shot mode achieves the best performance, with classification accuracy exceeding 97.3%. Open-source models such as Qwen and CLIP also deliver competitive results on visible images (around 90% accuracy), though their performance is more limited on EL and IR modalities. On the full ELPV dataset, the framework achieves 83.5% zero-shot accuracy, within 2.8% of the supervised CNN baseline, confirming scalability to larger benchmarks. Practical aspects such as reproducibility, response latency, and confidence estimation are systematically analyzed. The framework operates across PV image modalities without modality- or task-specific training, making it well suited as a rapid pre-screening tool to support downstream detailed diagnostics. A benchmark dataset of diverse labeled PV images is also released.

Li, Baojie↗
DOE OSTI2025

Behavior of Multiple PV Plants in Future Power Grids During Events

As the integration of multiple photovoltaic (PV) plants into power grids grows, the dynamic response of each plant and their interactions during transient events demands a deeper understanding. In this paper, the dynamic behavior of multiple PV plants connected to future power grids is comprehensively explored using site-specific high-fidelity electromagnetic transient (EMT) PV plant models and generic high-fidelity EMT PV plant models. This research demonstrates the need to employ multiple high-fidelity EMT PV plant models to understand the intricate interactions between multiple PV plants during grid events. These models, developed in Fortran within the PSCAD environment, encompass a range of operational scenarios and plant configurations, offering invaluable insights crucial for future system planning with multiple PV plants to enhance grid stability.

Marthi, Phani Ratna Vanamali [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000↗
DOE OSTI2025

Techno-economic implications and cost of forecasting errors in solar PV power production using optimized deep learning models

Accurate solar Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is important for enhancing both the performance and economic feasibility of PV systems. This study evaluates several deep learning models, including Dense Neural Networks (DNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), and a hybrid LSTMCNN model, for predicting PV power production one day in advance. Prior to optimization, the models exhibited relatively high errors, with the best model (DNN) achieving a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 31.13 kW and a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 62.15 %. After employing Bayesian optimization, the LSTM-CNN model demonstrated the best performance, with the RMSE reduced to 9.79 kW and R 2 improved to 97.62 %, showcasing significant enhancement in predictive accuracy. Here, the economic evaluation considered three cases: rewards for underestimation (0.08 USD/kWh), no rewards, and penalties for both over-and underestimation (120 % of the utility tariff). In the rewards scenario, the LSTM-CNN model reduced the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) by 4 %, while in the penalty scenario, a backup diesel generator would have increased the LCOE by 49 %. Additionally, the LSTM-CNN model minimized financial losses, achieving the lowest penalties and maximizing net cash flow compared to other models, demonstrating its overall technical and economic superiority.

Deep learning↗
DOE OSTI2025

Advancing Dynamic Modeling of Grid-Connected PV Inverter Using Bi-LSTM-Based AI Model

Power electronic converters (PECs) are widely used in modern power systems to facilitate the interconnection between various AC or DC sources and loads. Because of the extensive integration, the power system has grown into a more dynamic system in which the dynamics of the PECs must be adequately modeled. The paper presents a new bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) method for evaluating grid-connected inverter-based resources (IBR) dynamics. The method is tested using real hardware data from a grid -connected commercial inverter in laboratory experiments. Results show the Bi-LSTM model accurately reproduces the detailed IBR model's dynamics, even when the internal structure is unknown and parameters are unknown, preventing the disclosure of the manufacturer's confidential data.

Subedi, Sunil [ORNL] (ORCID:000000034069090X)↗
DOE OSTI2023

pvlib python: 2023 project update

pvlib python is a community-developed, open-source software toolbox for simulating the performance of solar photovoltaic (PV) energy components and systems. It provides reference implementations of over 100 empirical and physics-based models from the peer-reviewed scientific literature, including solar position algorithms, irradiance models, thermal models, and PV electrical models. In addition to individual low-level model implementations, pvlib python provides high-level workflows that chain these models together like building blocks to form complete “weather-to-power” photovoltaic system models. It also provides functions to fetch and import a wide variety of weather datasets useful for PV modeling. pvlib python has been developed since 2013 and follows modern best practices for open-source python software, with comprehensive automated testing, standards-based packaging, and semantic versioning. Its source code is developed openly on GitHub and releases are distributed via the Python Package Index (PyPI) and the conda-forge repository. pvlib python’s source code is made freely available under the permissive BSD-3 license. Here we (the project’s core developers) present an update on pvlib python, describing capability and community development since our 2018 publication (Holmgren, Hansen, & Mikofski, 2018).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Simplifying Geospatial Workflows with GeoGridFusion

Growing demands to understand PV deployment and reliability across an expanding range of climates, along with increasing computational power, are driving the need for simplified computing tools that support large-scale analysis and geospatial workflows. While existing open-source libraries and PV system modeling tools offer extensive collections of empirical and physical models, they often lack the ability to scale to large geospatial datasets. The tool presented here, GeoGridFusion, enables PV modelers to store and utilize gridded geospatial data from sources such as NSRDB, PVGIS, and others. GeoGridFusion harmonizes diverse datasets, taxonomies, and nomenclatures, and includes utilities that support intuitive geospatial area selection.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗