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Hurricane Sandy and Adaptation Pathways in New York: Lessons from a First-Responder City

Two central issues of climate change have become increasingly evident: Climate change will significantly affect cities; and rapid global urbanization will increase dramatically the number of individuals, amount of critical infrastructure, and means of economic production that are exposed and vulnerable to dynamic climate risks. Simultaneously, cities in many settings have begun to emerge as early adopters of climate change action strategies including greenhouse gas mitigation and adaptation. The objective of this paper is to examine and analyze how officials of one city - the City of New York - have integrated a flexible adaptation pathways approach into the municipality's climate action strategy. This approach has been connected with the City's ongoing response to Hurricane Sandy, which struck in the October 2012 and resulted in damages worth more than US$19 billion. A case study narrative methodology utilizing the Wise et al. conceptual framework (see this volume) is used to evaluate the effectiveness of the flexible adaptation pathways approach in New York City. The paper finds that Hurricane Sandy serves as a ''tipping point'' leading to transformative adaptation due to the explicit inclusion of increasing climate change risks in the rebuilding effort. The potential for transferability of the approach to cities varying in size and development stage is discussed, with elements useful across cities including the overall concept of flexible adaptation pathways, the inclusion of the full metropolitan region in the planning process, and the co-generation of climate-risk information by stakeholders and scientists.

adaptation pathways

Pathways Intern Report

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) provides a formal training program for prospective employees titled, Pathways Intern Employment. The Pathways program targets graduate and undergraduate students who strive to become an active contributor to NASA's goal of space exploration. The report herein provides an account of Daniel Huggett's Pathways experience for the Spring and Summer 2017 semesters.

Pathways Program

Characterizing climate pathways using feature importance on echo state networks

The 2022 National Defense Strategy of the United States listed climate change as a serious threat to national security. Climate intervention methods, such as stratospheric aerosol injection, have been proposed as mitigation strategies, but the downstream effects of such actions on a complex climate system are not well understood. The development of algorithmic techniques for quantifying relationships between source and impact variables related to a climate event (i.e., a climate pathway) would help inform policy decisions. Data-driven deep learning models have become powerful tools for modeling highly nonlinear relationships and may provide a route to characterize climate variable relationships. In this paper, we explore the use of an echo state network (ESN) for characterizing climate pathways. ESNs are a computationally efficient neural network variation designed for temporal data, and recent work proposes ESNs as a useful tool for forecasting spatiotemporal climate data. However, ESNs are noninterpretable black-box models along with other neural networks. The lack of model transparency poses a hurdle for understanding variable relationships. We address this issue by developing feature importance methods for ESNs in the context of spatiotemporal data to quantify variable relationships captured by the model. We conduct a simulation study to assess and compare the feature importance techniques, and we demonstrate the approach on reanalysis climate data. In the climate application, we consider a time period that includes the 1991 volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo. This event was a significant stratospheric aerosol injection, which acts as a proxy for an anthropogenic stratospheric aerosol injection. Furthermore, we are able to use the proposed approach to characterize relationships between pathway variables associated with this event that agree with relationships previously identified by climate scientists.

black-box models

Reaction Pathways and Energy Consumption in NH 3 Decomposition for H 2 Production by Low Temperature, Atmospheric Pressure Plasma

Pathways for NH 3 decomposition to N 2 and N 2 H 4 by atmospheric pressure nonthermal plasma are analyzed using a combination of molecular beam mass spectrometry measurements and zero-dimensional kinetic modeling. Experimental measurements show that NH 3 conversion and selectivity towards N 2 formation scale monotonically with the specific energy input into the plasma with ~ 100% selectivity to N 2 formation achieved at specific energy inputs above 0.12 J cm −3 (3.1 eV (molecule NH 3 ) −1 ). The kinetic model recovers these trends, although it underpredicts N 2 selectivity at low specific energy input. These discrepancies can be explained by the underestimation of reaction rate coefficients for reactions that consume N 2 H x species in collisions with H radicals and/or radial nonuniformities in power deposition, gas temperature, and species concentrations that are not represented by the plug flow approximation used in the model. The kinetic model shows that N 2 formation proceeds through N 2 H x decomposition pathways rather than NH x decomposition pathways in low temperature, atmospheric pressure plasma. Higher selectivity toward N 2 production can be achieved by operating at higher NH 3 conversion and with a higher gas temperature. Furthermore, the high energy cost of NH 3 decomposition by atmospheric pressure nonthermal plasma found in this work (25–50 eV (molecule NH 3 converted) −1 ; 17–33 eV (molecule H 2 formed) −1 ) is a result of the energy requirement for electron-impact dissociation of NH 3 and the significant re-formation of NH 3 by three-body recombination reactions between NH 2 and H.

Nonthermal plasma

Evaluating the contribution of plant metabolic pathways in the light to the ATP:NADPH demand using a meta-analysis of isotopically non-stationary metabolic flux analyses

Abstract Balancing the ATP: NADPH demand from plant metabolism with supply from photosynthesis is essential for preventing photodamage and operating efficiently, so understanding its drivers is important for integrating metabolism with the light reactions of photosynthesis and for bioengineering efforts that may radically change this demand. It is often assumed that the C3 cycle and photorespiration consume the largest amount of ATP and reductant in illuminated leaves and as a result mostly determine the ATP: NADPH demand. However, the quantitative extent to which other energy consuming metabolic processes contribute in large ways to overall ATP: NADPH demand remains unknown. Here, we used the metabolic flux networks of numerous recently published isotopically non-stationary metabolic flux analyses (INST-MFA) to evaluate flux through the C3 cycle, photorespiration, the oxidative pentose phosphate pathway, the tricarboxylic acid cycle, and starch/sucrose synthesis and characterize broad trends in the demand of energy across different pathways and compartments as well as in the overall ATP:NADPH demand. These data sets include a variety of species including Arabidopsis thaliana , Nicotiana tabacum , and Camelina sativa as well as varying environmental factors including high/low light, day length, and photorespiratory levels. Examining these datasets in aggregate reveals that ultimately the bulk of the energy flux occurred in the C3 cycle and photorespiration, however, the energy demand from these pathways did not determine the ATP: NADPH demand alone. Instead, a notable contribution was revealed from starch and sucrose synthesis which might counterbalance photorespiratory demand and result in fewer adjustments in mechanisms which balance the ATP deficit.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Biochemical and structural characterization of enzymes in the 4-hydroxybenzoate catabolic pathway of lignin-degrading white-rot fungi

White-rot fungi (WRF) are the most efficient lignin-degrading organisms in nature. However, their capacity to use lignin-related aromatic compounds, such as 4-hydroxybenzoate, as carbon sources has only been described recently. Previously, the hydroxyquinol pathway was proposed for the bioconversion of these compounds in fungi, but gene- and structure-function relationships of the full enzymatic pathway remain uncharacterized in any single fungal species. Here, we characterize seven enzymes from two WRF, Trametes versicolor and Gelatoporia subvermispora, which constitute a four-enzyme cascade from 4-hydroxybenzoate to β-ketoadipate via the hydroxyquinol pathway. Furthermore, we solve the crystal structure of four of these enzymes and identify mechanistic differences with the closest bacterial and fungal structural homologs. Overall, this research expands our understanding of aromatic catabolism by WRF and establishes an alternative strategy for the conversion of lignin-related compounds to the valuable molecule β-ketoadipate, contributing to the development of biological processes for lignin valorization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Thermal decomposition pathways of bulk electrolytes on vanadium oxide nanocrystals

The thermal stability of electrolytes at an elevated temperature induced by battery charge-discharge cycling is critical for the long cycling performance of a rechargeable battery. For many multivalent systems, such as rechargeable magnesium batteries, which offer great potential for high energy density and utilize earth-abundant resources, electrolyte instability and electrode surface passivation, arising from electrolyte decomposition, remain as major roadblocks. Understanding the electrolyte decomposition pathways at the electrode-electrolyte interface is essential to provide guidance in overcoming this challenge. In this work, in situ 13 C magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance (MAS NMR) and first-principles calculations were used to investigate the thermal decomposition of the electrolyte in a system consisting of MgV 2 O 4 , a novel cathode for magnesium batteries, mixed with a bulk electrolyte consisting of magnesium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide (Mg(TFSI) 2 ) in diglyme (G2). We show that significant electrolyte decomposition is observed in bulk 1.0 M Mg(TFSI) 2 in G2 mixed with nanometer sized MgV 2 O 4 powder at elevated temperatures. This observation is to mimic the possible thermal decomposition that might happen during battery cycling. We demonstrate that the MgV 2 O 4 surface is covered by a layer of decomposed G2 products. We conclude that the dominant reaction pathway for electrolyte decomposition is the thermal decomposition of the pure electrolytes at elevated temperatures, followed by adsorption of G2 decomposition products to the MgV 2 O 4 surface. The activation energy for the major decomposition pathway is obtained. In conclusion, this work highlights the importance of studying thermal decomposition of electrolytes for overall system stability and explores electrolyte stability at significantly elevated temperatures.

25 ENERGY STORAGE

MjCyc: Rediscovering the pathway-genome landscape of the first sequenced archaeon, Methanocaldococcus (Methanococcus) jannaschii

The genome of Methanocaldococcus (Methanococcus) jannaschii DSM 2661 was the first Archaeal genome to be sequenced in 1996. Subsequent sequence-based annotation cycles led to its first metabolic reconstruction in 2005. Leveraging new experimental results and function assignments, we have now re-annotated M. jannaschii, creating an updated resource with novel information and testable predictions in a pathway-genome database available at BioCyc.org. This reannotation effort has resulted in 652 function assignments with enzyme roles, accounting for a third of the total protein-coding entries for this genome. The updated resource includes 883 reactions, 540 enzymes, and 142 individual pathways. Despite notable progress in computational genomics, more than a third of the genome remains functionally uncharacterized. The publicly available MjCyc pathway-genome database holds great potential for the wider community to conduct research on the biology of methanogenic Archaea.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

MaterialsMap: A CALPHAD-based tool to design composition pathways through feasibility map for desired dissimilar materials, demonstrated with resistance spot welding joining of Ag-Al-Cu

Assembly of dissimilar metals can be achieved by different methods, for example, casting, welding, and additive manufacturing (AM). However, undesired phases formed in liquid-phase assembling processes due to solute segregation during solidification diminish mechanical and other properties of the processed parts. In the present work, an open-source software named MaterialsMap, has been developed based on the CALculation of Phase Diagrams (CALPHAD) approach. The primary objective of MaterialsMap is to facilitate the design of an optimal composition pathway for assembling dissimilar alloys with liquid-phases based on the formation of desired and undesired phases along the pathway. In MaterialsMap, equilibrium thermodynamic calculations are used to predict equilibrium phases formed at slow cooling rate, while Scheil-Gulliver simulations are employed to predict non-equilibrium phases formed during rapid cooling. Additionally, by combining these two simulations, MaterialsMap offers a thorough guide for understanding phase formation in various manufacturing processes, assisting users in making informed decisions during material selection and production. As a demonstration of this approach, a compositional pathway was designed from pure Al to pure Cu through Ag using MaterialsMap. The design was experimentally verified using resistance spot welding (RSW).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Evolution and engineering of pathways for aromatic O -demethylation in Pseudomonas putida KT2440

In this study, biological conversion of lignin from biomass offers a promising strategy for sustainable production of fuels and chemicals. However, aromatic compounds derived from lignin commonly contain methoxy groups, and O-demethylation of these substrates is often a rate-limiting reaction that influences catabolic efficiency. Several enzyme families catalyze aromatic O-demethylation, but they are rarely compared in vivo to determine an optimal biocatalytic strategy. Here, two pathways for aromatic O-demethylation were compared in Pseudomonas putida KT2440. The native Rieske non-heme iron monooxygenase (VanAB) and, separately, a heterologous tetrahydrofolate-dependent demethylase (LigM) were constitutively expressed in P. putida, and the strains were optimized via adaptive laboratory evolution (ALE) with vanillate as a model substrate. All evolved strains displayed improved growth phenotypes, with the evolved strains harboring the native VanAB pathway exhibiting growth rates ~1.8x faster than those harboring the heterologous LigM pathway. Enzyme kinetics and transcriptomics studies investigated the contribution of selected mutations toward enhanced utilization of vanillate. The VanAB-overexpressing strains contained the most impactful mutations, including those in VanB, the reductase for vanillate O-demethylase, PP_3494, a global regulator of vanillate catabolism, and fghA, involved in formaldehyde detoxification. These three mutations were combined into a single strain, which exhibited approximately 5x faster vanillate consumption than the wild-type strain in the first 8 h of cultivation. Overall, this study illuminates the details of vanillate catabolism in the context of two distinct enzymatic mechanisms, yielding a platform strain for efficient O-demethylation of lignin-related aromatic compounds to value-added products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

First-Principles Dissociation Pathways of BCl 3 on the Si(100)-2 × 1 Surface

BCl 3 is a promising acceptor precursor for atomic-precision δ-doping of silicon, as it has been observed to rapidly dissociate into boron doped into the silicon surface and surface chlorine, which can be removed upon annealing. The chemical pathway and the resulting kinetics, through which BCl 3 adsorbs and dissociates on silicon, however, have only been partially explained. Here, in this work, we use density functional theory to expand the dissociation reactions of BCl 3 to include reactions that take place across multiple silicon dimer rows and reactions which end in a bare B atom either at the surface, substituted for a surface silicon, or in a subsurface position. We further simulate the resulting scanning tunneling microscopy images for each of these BCl x dissociation fragments, demonstrating that they often display distinct features that may allow for relatively confident experimental identification. Finally, we input the full dissociation pathway for BCl 3 into a kinetic Monte Carlo model, which simulates realistic reaction pathways as a function of environmental conditions, such as the pressure and temperature of dosing. We find that BCl 2 is broadly dominant at low temperatures, while high temperatures and ample space on the silicon surface for dissociation encourage the formation of bridging BCl fragments and B substitutions on the surface. This work provides the chemical mechanisms for understanding atomic-precision doping of Si with B, enabling a number of relevant quantum applications, such as bipolar nanoelectronics, acceptor-based qubits, and superconducting Si.

Campbell, Quinn T. [Sandia National Laboratories (

Rewiring Aromatic Compound Consumption: Chromosomal Amplification and Evolution of a Foreign Pathway in Acinetobacter baylyi ADP1

Rational engineering strategies that seek to harness the remarkable diversity of microbial metabolism can be limited by incomplete biological knowledge. As described here, a novel approach to address this challenge involved replacing a native pathway for degrading lignin-derived aromatic compounds via ortho cleavage of protocatechuate in Acinetobacter baylyi ADP1 with a foreign meta-cleavage pathway that uses different enzymes, metabolites, and redox carriers. This alteration may improve lignin valorization and coordinate catabolism with bioproduction strategies. When a 14-kbp region of foreign DNA was inserted in the chromosome, the heterologous genes failed to confer growth on target substrates. Regional gene dosage was increased using a synthetic DNA fragment to promote recombination, and higher copy number enabled growth. During adaptive laboratory evolution, compensatory mutations arose that permit growth with one copy of the foreign genes. This complex metabolic remodeling was accomplished without assumptions about the impediments that initially prevented growth. To understand the changes that emerged, a novel transformation assay identified a combination of mutations sufficient for the new phenotype. Three unexpected changes were revealed: loss of one foreign enzyme, loss of one native enzyme, and loss of a two-component transcriptional regulatory system. This study establishes that large multicopy tandem arrays of poorly adapted pathway genes can confer new functions and improve understanding of metabolism.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Atomic-Scale Dynamics of Five-Fold Twin Mediated Coalescence: Pathway-Dependent and Defect-Governed Nonclassical Growth Mechanisms

Defective crystals with distinct properties have been discovered in many systems. However, the growth mechanism of defective crystals is still poorly understood. Here, in this work, using a 5-fold twinned gold (Au) nanocrystal (NC) as a model system, three new coalescence pathways involving detwinning or twinning have been uncovered through atomic-scale dynamic observations in an aberration-corrected transmission electron microscope coupled with atomistic simulations. This demonstrates that beyond crystal size, coalescence growth dynamics involving 5-fold twins (5-FTs) are highly dependent on crystal defect density and the approach pathways of the crystals. When a 5-FT encounters a smaller 5-FT or a smaller NC in a face-to-face way, a new, larger 5-FT is produced at a relatively fast coalescence growth rate; while in a corner-to-corner way, the coalescence dynamics are more retarded and sluggish, which is conducive to the formation of complex multitwined structures rather than 5-FTs. This highlights that the planar defect density and crystal approach pathway influence the coalescence dynamics of crystals containing 5-FT. Moreover, a column-by-column grain boundary (GB) migration mechanism, which results in bent GBs, was also unveiled during the crystal coalescence process. These results enrich the general understanding of the crystal growth theory and provide new insights into the controllable fabrication of 5-FTs by crystal coalescence mechanisms.

crystallization

Tunable Multisite Proton-Coupled Electron Transfer Mediators: Distinct Pathways for Substrate Reduction Versus Competing Hydrogen Evolution

Proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) reagents have emerged as powerful tools for transferring net H atoms to organic substrates from relatively weak X–H bonds. One advantage of employing PCET reagents is the tunability of the X–H bond strength by independently varying their redox potential and/or p K a for selective substrate reductions; however, the rational development of modular catalytic PCET reagents based on these features remains underdeveloped. In this work, we address important mechanistic questions relevant to a dimethylaniline-appended cobaltocene PCET mediator that our lab has previously introduced. Specifically, we examine where protonation occurs within the reactive Co(II, NH) + intermediate of a Brønsted-base modified cobaltocene mediator, whether substrate reduction and hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) proceed by a common or bifurcated mechanistic pathway, and how the redox, acid–base, and structural properties of PCET mediators can dictate their reactivity and selectivity. We show that substrate compatibility can be tuned and, via a model study with N -aryl imine substrates, provide data pointing to a multisite PCET (MS-PCET) pathway. Moreover, we rigorously characterize the site of protonation in the reactive reduced, protonated form of the mediator, and through kinetic analysis establish that the pathway for undesired competing HER is fundamentally different and involves Cp-ring protonation. Our findings point to a high degree of flexibility in the design of reductive PCET mediators.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Interfacial Charge Transfer Pathways in Photoelectrochemical H 2 Evolution by a Single-Component Molecular Catalyst on a Conductive Metal Oxide

Dye-sensitized photoelectrosynthesis cells traditionally combine a photosensitizing dye to harvest light and a catalyst to generate chemical fuels on a semiconductor. Here, in this work, a photoactive catalyst capable of both light absorption and fuel formation, [Cp*Ir(4,4′-Y 2 -bpy)Cl][Cl] (Cp* = pentamethylcyclopentadienyl, bpy = 2,2′-bipyridine, Y = CH 2 PO 3 H 2 ), is anchored to a mesoporous tin-doped indium oxide (ITO) electrode and facilitates photoelectrochemical H 2 evolution in water without the need for additional photosensitizers or sacrificial reductants. Spectroelectrochemistry indicates a single-site H 2 evolution mechanism involving charge injection to ITO, in contrast to the bimetallic mechanism observed in solution. Cyclic voltammetry and variable-potential chronoamperometry under illumination probe competing pathways via interfacial electron transfer between the Ir hydride excited state and the conductive ITO electrode. A Marcus theory framework provides reorganization energies for competing interfacial electron transfer pathways from potential-dependent quantum yield measurements. The light-driven H 2 evolution catalysis on conducting oxide proceeds with high Faradaic efficiency and current densities comparable to photoelectrodes utilizing p-type semiconductors. By uncovering the principal electron transfer pathways that govern photocatalytic efficiency, this study establishes design principles for hybrid molecular photoelectrocatalysts.

catalysts

Glacial‐Interglacial and Millennial‐Scale Changes in Nitrous Oxide Emissions Pathways and Source Regions

During the transition from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to the Holocene, the atmospheric N 2 O mole fraction increased by 80 nmol mol −1 . Using ice core measurements of N 2 O isotopomer ratios, we show that this increase was driven by increases in both nitrification and denitrification, with the relative partitioning between both production pathways depending on the assumed isotopic end-member source signatures. Similarly, we also attribute a 35 nmol mol −1 N 2 O mole fraction increase during the Heinrich Stadial 4/Dansgaard Oeschger 8 (HS4/DO8) millennial-scale event to increases in both N 2 O production pathways. In contrast, the 25 nmol mol −1 N 2 O mole fraction decrease during the Younger Dryas was driven almost exclusively by a decrease in nitrification. The deglacial and HS4/DO8 increases in N 2 O production occurred in both marine and terrestrial environments, with the terrestrial source responding faster to warming by about two centuries. Constraints on changes in nitrification and denitrification emissions are robust and consistent with previous studies showing the sensitivity of N 2 O emissions to abrupt Northern Hemisphere warming. This study demonstrates for the first time the importance of both denitrification and nitrification pathways in driving source changes. Absolute emissions are more uncertain due to uncertainty about source isotopomer signatures. For instance, the contribution of denitrification to emissions at the LGM shifts from (65 ± 10) % to (91 ± 6) % when factoring in isotope enrichment due to partial reduction of N 2 O to N 2 during denitrification. Reducing uncertainty in source signatures will increase the power of ice core N 2 O isotope records in deducing environmental change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Merging the computational design of chimeric type I polyketide synthases with enzymatic pathways for chemical biosynthesis

Synthetic biology offers the promise of manufacturing chemicals more sustainably than petrochemistry. Yet, both the rate at which biomanufacturing can synthesize these molecules and the net chemical accessible space are limited by existing pathway discovery methods, which can often rely on arduous literature searches. Here, we introduce BioPKS pipeline, an automated retrobiosynthesis tool combining multifunctional type I polyketide synthases (PKSs) and monofunctional enzymes via two complementary tools: RetroTide and DORAnet. Monofunctional enzymes are valuable for carefully decorating a substrate’s carbon backbone while PKSs are unique in their ability to iteratively catalyze carbon-carbon bond formation reactions, thereby expanding carbon backbones in a predictable fashion. We evaluate the performance of BioPKS pipeline using a previously reported set of 155 biomanufacturing candidates, achieving exact synthetic designs for 93 compounds and generating chemically similar pathways for most remaining targets. Furthermore, BioPKS pipeline can propose pathways for the complex therapeutic natural products cryptofolione and basidalin.

Chainani, Yash

Rubisco supplies pyruvate for the 2- C -methyl-D-erythritol-4-phosphate pathway

RIBULOSE-1,5-BISPHOSPHATE CARBOXYLASE/OXYGENASE (Rubisco) produces pyruvate in the chloroplast through β-elimination of the aci-carbanion intermediate. Here we show that this side reaction supplies pyruvate for isoprenoid, fatty acid and branched-chain amino acid biosynthesis in photosynthetically active tissue. 13 C labelling studies of intact Arabidopsis plants demonstrate that the total carbon commitment to pyruvate is too large for phosphoenolpyruvate to serve as a precursor. Low oxygen stimulates Rubisco carboxylase activity and increases pyruvate production and flux through the 2-C-methyl-d-erythritol-4-phosphate (MEP) pathway, which supplies the precursors for plastidic isoprenoid biosynthesis. Metabolome analysis of mutants defective in phosphoenolpyruvate or pyruvate import and biochemical characterization of isolated chloroplasts further support Rubisco as the main source of pyruvate in chloroplasts. Seedlings incorporated exogenous, 13 C-labelled pyruvate into MEP pathway intermediates, while adult plants did not, underscoring the developmental transition in pyruvate sourcing. Rubisco β-elimination leading to pyruvate constituted 0.7% of the product profile in in vitro assays, which translates to 2% of the total carbon leaving the Calvin–Benson–Bassham cycle. These insights solve the “pyruvate paradox”, improve the fit of metabolic models for central metabolism and connect the MEP pathway directly to carbon assimilation.

Plant physiology