Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Prediction Chaos”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5

Transformer-based operator learning framework for self-energy in strongly correlated systems

We introduce Σ-Attention, a transformer-based operator-learning framework for approximating the self-energy operator of strongly correlated electronic systems. By creating a batched dataset that combines results from three complementary approaches, i.e., many-body perturbation theory, strong-coupling expansion, and exact diagonalization, each effective in specific parameter regimes, Σ-Attention is applied to learn an accurate approximation for the self-energy operator that is valid across a wide range of parameter regimes. This hybrid strategy leverages the strengths of existing methods while relying on the transformer's ability to generalize beyond individual limitations. More importantly, the scalability of the transformer architecture allows the learned self-energy to be extended to systems with larger sizes, leading to much improved computational scaling. Using the one-dimensional Hubbard model, we demonstrate that Σ-Attention can accurately predict the Matsubara Green's function of large systems with a wide range of coupling strength. Our framework offers a promising and scalable pathway for studying strongly correlated systems with many possible generalizations.

Zhu, Yuanran↗

Time domain probabilistic seismic risk analysis using ground motion prediction equations of Fourier amplitude spectra

Modeling of Fourier amplitude spectra (FAS) of seismic motions has gained much attention in engineering seismology. In the past few years, several ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and inter-frequency correlation structure of FAS have been established. Due to many preferable characteristics of FAS, probabilistic seismic hazard/risk analysis is rapidly changing from ergodic, spectrum acceleration Sa(T 0 )-based approach to non-ergodic, site-specific, FAS-based approach. This paper presents time domain intrusive framework for probabilistic seismic risk analysis using GMPE of FAS. Herein, methodology for time domain stochastic ground motion modeling based on GMPEs of FAS is presented in some detail. The simulated uncertain motions are modeled as a random process and represented by polynomial chaos Karhunen-Loève expansion. The random process excitations are further propagated into the uncertain structural system using Galerkin stochastic finite element method (SFEM). Probabilistic evolution of structural response is solved, and such solution is used to develop seismic risk for any damage state. The presented framework is illustrated through seismic risk analysis of a four-story building subjected to possible earthquakes from two strike slip faults. The influences of the epistemic uncertainties in source stress drop Δσ and site attenuation κ0 on seismic risk are investigated. The need for non-ergodic seismic risk analysis with source-specific and site specific characterizations is emphasized.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Exceptional enhancement of mechanical properties in high-entropy alloys via thermodynamically guided local chemical ordering

Understanding the local chemical ordering propensity in random solid solutions, and tailoring its strength, can guide the design and discovery of complex, paradigm-shifting multicomponent alloys. First, we present a simple thermodynamic framework, based solely on binary enthalpies of mixing, to select optimal alloying elements to control the nature and extent of chemical ordering in high-entropy alloys (HEAs). Next, we couple high-resolution electron microscopy, atom probe tomography, hybrid Monte-Carlo, special quasirandom structures, and density functional theory calculations to demonstrate how controlled additions of Al and Ti and subsequent annealing drive chemical ordering in nearly random equiatomic face-centered cubic CoFeNi solid solution. We establish that short-range ordered domains, the precursors of long-range ordered precipitates, inform mechanical properties. Specifically, a progressively increasing local order boosts the tensile yield strengths of the parent CoFeNi alloy by a factor of four while also substantially improving ductility, which breaks the so-called strength–ductility paradox. Finally, we validate the generality of our approach by predicting and demonstrating that controlled additions of Al, which has large negative enthalpies of mixing with the constituent elements of another nearly random body-centered cubic refractory NbTaTi HEA, also introduces chemical ordering and enhances mechanical properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiscale, mechanistic modeling of irradiation-enhanced silver diffusion in TRISO particles

Tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particles are under consideration for use in several proposed advanced nuclear reactor concepts. The silicon carbide (SiC) layer in TRISO acts as a barrier to prevent the release of the fission products. However, despite remarkable retention, silver (Ag) release has been observed from intact particles, which requires investigation since the Ag isotope ( 110m Ag) has a long half-life. Previous work focused on developing a multiscale, mechanistic model for Ag diffusion accounting for temperature and microstructure effect and has been successfully validated. In this work, we expand the previous model to account for irradiation-enhanced Ag diffusivity in SiC and improve its accuracy over a wider grain size and temperature ranges relevant for advanced reactor conditions. A temperature, grain size, and flux dependent diffusivity is therefore derived using the mesoscale code MARMOT and implemented in the fuel performance code BISON. The irradiation-enhanced Ag diffusivity in SiC is compared against experimental data and validated using BISON against Ag release measurements from the Advanced Gas Reactor Fuel Development and Qualification Program (AGR-1 and AGR-2). Herein, we quantify the impact of SiC grain size, irradiation, and temperature on Ag release. In agreement with previous studies, we find accounting for SiC grain size improves agreement between BISON predictions and experimental observations for most cases. In conclusion, we also find that accounting for irradiation improves agreement for cases where Ag release was underestimated, but the impact was less significant than accounting for microstructure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Data assimilation empowered neural network parametrizations for subgrid processes in geophysical flows

In the past couple of years, there has been a proliferation in the use of machine learning approaches to represent subgrid-scale processes in geophysical flows with an aim to improve the forecasting capability and to accelerate numerical simulations of these flows. Despite its success for different types of flow, the online deployment of a data-driven closure model can cause instabilities and biases in modeling the overall effect of subgrid-scale processes, which in turn leads to inaccurate prediction. To tackle this issue, we exploit the data assimilation technique to correct the physics-based model coupled with the neural network as a surrogate for unresolved flow dynamics in multiscale systems. In particular, we use a set of neural network architectures to learn the correlation between resolved flow variables and the parametrizations of unresolved flow dynamics and formulate a data assimilation approach to correct the hybrid model during their online deployment. We illustrate our framework in a set of applications of the multiscale Lorenz 96 system for which the parametrization model for unresolved scales is exactly known, and the two-dimensional Kraichnan turbulence system for which the parametrization model for unresolved scales is not known a priori. Our analysis, therefore, comprises a predictive dynamical core empowered by (i) a data-driven closure model for subgrid-scale processes, (ii) a data assimilation approach for forecast error correction, and (iii) both data-driven closure and data assimilation procedures. We show significant improvement in the long-term prediction of the underlying chaotic dynamics with our framework compared to using only neural network parametrizations for future prediction. Moreover, we demonstrate that these data-driven parametrization models can handle the non-Gaussian statistics of subgrid-scale processes, and effectively improve the accuracy of outer data assimilation workflow loops in a modular nonintrusive way.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantum Solver Using Singular Value Decomposition for Computational Fluid Dynamics

Numerical solutions for fluid flow problems are challenging and have been focus of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) research for past several decades. The advent of quantum computing promises exponential speedup in comparison to existing classical methods and alleviate computational constraints posed by CFD problems. Although solutions for most problems of interest in fluid dynamics using quantum computing are distant, recent advances in algorithms, software and hardware provide a path towards realizing this goal. Quantum linear solver algorithms (QLSA) such as Harrow–Hassidim–Lloyd (HHL) and Variational Quantum Linear Solver (VQLS) have been successfully implemented to solve for canonical problems such as Hele-Shaw flow. However, these algorithms still suffer to scale and address problems with ill-conditioned Jacobians. In the current paper, we alleviate these restrictions with a new quantum solver based on Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) and simulate flow past a 2D cylinder. The fidelity of the SVD based quantum solver in predicting the flow past 2D cylinder is computed along with an assessment of errors. Classical and quantum solutions for the flow are compared for different resolutions. Finally, we discuss variation in the solutions based on number of shots used.

Gottiparthi, Kalyan [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000213540255↗

Improved $^{95}\mathrm{Mo}$ neutron resonance parameters and astrophysical reaction rates

We report improved 95 Mo neutron resonance parameters and reaction rates are important for nuclear astrophysics, testing nuclear models, and nuclear criticality safety. However, despite many previous neutron-capture and total cross-section measurements on this nuclide, there still is much room for improvement as well as several discrepancies. For example, there are very few firm resonance spin and parity assignments; average resonance parameters are available only for each parity, the currently recommended astrophysical reaction rate results in disagreements between stellar models and meteoric isotopic anomalies, and there are substantial disagreements in the neutron-capture cross section at low energies important for nuclear criticality safety. To obtain an improved set of neutron resonance parameters and astrophysical reaction rates for 95 Mo. High-resolution neutron-capture and transmission data were measured at the Oak Ridge Electron Linear Accelerator (ORELA) using highly isotopically enriched 95 Mo samples. The neutron-capture apparatus, data reduction, and analysis were improved so that information contained in the γ-ray cascade following neutron capture were used to assign resonance J π values. Following this, simultaneous analysis of the new neutron-capture and transmission data was used to obtain resonance energies, gamma widths, and neutron widths and their uncertainties to a maximum energy of 10 keV. Accurate neutron-capture cross sections also were obtained for the unresolved resonance region to a maximum energy of 500 keV and, together with the new resonance parameters, used to calculate the astrophysical reaction rates in the temperature range from 5 to 30 keV. A vastly improved set of 95Mo neutron resonance parameters and an astrophysical reaction rate accurate to about 3% were obtained. Firm J π assignments were determined for 261 of the 314 observed resonances. This is a very large improvement over the previously published 32 firm J π assignments for 108 resonances. Also, the number of resonances having both firm J π assignments and Γ γ values was increased by almost a factor of 24—from 11 to 261. Neutron- and total-radiation-width distributions and average resonance spacings, average total radiation widths, and neutron strength functions were obtained for the six different s- and p-wave possibilities. Parameters for the lowest s-wave resonance, which is most important for criticality benchmarks, were obtained with high accuracy. Simple modification of the neutron-capture apparatus and expansion and improvement of data analysis techniques led to a large increase in firm J π assignments for 95 Mo neutron resonances. The resulting astrophysical reaction rate is 20%–30% larger than the currently recommended rate at s-process temperatures, which should lead to better agreement between stellar models and meteoric isotopic anomalies. The neutron-capture cross section at low energies is substantially larger than recommended in the latest evaluation, which is problematical for criticality benchmarks. The average resonance spacing as a function of spin and parity is significantly different from current models. The total-radiation-width distributions are significantly broader than predicted by theory and show significant departures from the expected Gaussian shapes.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Phonon Thermal Transport in UO 2 via Self-Consistent Perturbation Theory

Computing thermal transport from first-principles in UO 2 is complicated due to the challenges associated with Mott physics. Here, we use irreducible derivative approaches to compute the cubic and quartic phonon interactions in UO 2 from first principles, and we perform enhanced thermal transport computations by evaluating the phonon Green’s function via self-consistent diagrammatic perturbation theory. Our predicted phonon lifetimes at T = 600 K agree well with our inelastic neutron scattering measurements across the entire Brillouin zone, and our thermal conductivity predictions agree well with previous measurements. Finally, both the changes due to thermal expansion and self-consistent contributions are nontrivial at high temperatures, though the effects tend to cancel, and interband transitions yield a substantial contribution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-situ ion irradiation of a spent UO2 fuel: evolution of fission products and nanograins with radiation dose

This study investigates the behavior of fission gas bubbles, five metal precipitates (5MPs) (Mo, Ru, Rh, Tc, Pd) and nanograins in spent uranium dioxide (UO2) fuel under various ion irradiation doses, temperatures, and flux conditions. Utilizing in-situ ion irradiation and advanced transmission electron microscopy, we analyzed the evolution of fission gas bubbles, 5MPs and nanograins in UO2 samples from the Belgium Reactor 3 (BR-3). Our findings reveal significant shrinkage of fission gas bubbles and 5MPs with increasing irradiation dose, accompanied by a decrease in pair density. The study also reveals nanograin coarsening under irradiation. We demonstrate that ion irradiation induces a homogeneous re-solution process where individual atoms are ejected from bubbles and precipitates, leading to their dissolution and subsequent re-precipitation in the matrix. This study provides critical insights into the dynamic behavior of fission products and nanograins under irradiation, facilitating the development of predictive models and contributing to the optimization of nuclear fuel performance and safety.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The influence of secondary electron yield uncertainty on the single-sided multipacting in dielectrics

Multipacting is an electrical discharge caused by the emission of secondary electrons which can occur in vacuum radio frequency systems. Generally multipacting is highly undesirable obstacle, which increases the noise level as well as the return loss of radio frequency systems. Therefore, a prediction of multipacting is necessary to avoid it during radio frequency system design. In this regard, the accurate evaluation of the factors that affect multipacting is required. One of the critical factors determining the multipacting development is the secondary electron yield of the material. In practice the emission properties of materials are not known very accurately. There are uncertainties in the measured values of this yield. In this paper, the generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) method is used to quantify uncertainty of the secondary electron yield. This method is verified by Monte Carlo simulation. The effect of uncertainty for two secondary electron yield parameters is then investigated on the multipacting using gPC method.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Nonadditive CO 2 Uptake of Type II Porous Liquids Based on Imine Cages

Type II porous liquids can potentially exploit the fluidity of liquids and sorption properties of porous sorbents, yet CO 2 uptake in porous liquids is still poorly understood. Molecular simulations and experiments are used to examine CO 2 uptake by a prototypical porous liquid composed of porous organic cages (CC13) in 2′-hydroxyacetophenone (2′-HAP). The simulations are in reasonable agreement with experimental measurements of CO 2 solubility and provide unambiguous information on the partitioning of CO 2 within microenvironments in the liquid. Analysis of CO 2 dynamics is performed using these simulations, including assessing the self-diffusivity of CO 2 in both the neat solvent and porous liquid. This offers insights into the kinetics of CO 2 uptake and transport in type II porous liquids based on imine cages. Experiments with type II porous liquids formed by dissolving CC13 in three different size-excluded solvents show nonadditive CO 2 absorption relative to predictions based on ideal volume additivity. This nonadditive absorption behavior is also observed in simulations. Nonadditive CO 2 uptake is also demonstrated in type II porous liquids based on another imine-based porous cage, CC19.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Constraining chaos: Enforcing dynamical invariants in the training of reservoir computers

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants—such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and the fractal dimension—in the systems of interest, enabling longer and more stable forecasts when operating with limited data. The technique is demonstrated in detail using reservoir computing, a specific kind of recurrent neural network. Finally, results are given for the Lorenz 1996 chaotic dynamical system and a spectral quasi-geostrophic model of the atmosphere, both typical test cases for numerical weather prediction.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Regulators of early maize leaf development inferred from transcriptomes of laser capture microdissection (LCM)-isolated embryonic leaf cells

The superior photosynthetic efficiency of C 4 leaves over C 3 leaves is owing to their unique Kranz anatomy, in which the vein is surrounded by one layer of bundle sheath (BS) cells and one layer of mesophyll (M) cells. Kranz anatomy development starts from three contiguous ground meristem (GM) cells, but its regulators and underlying molecular mechanism are largely unknown. To identify the regulators, we obtained the transcriptomes of 11 maize embryonic leaf cell types from five stages of pre-Kranz cells starting from median GM cells and six stages of pre-M cells starting from undifferentiated cells. Principal component and clustering analyses of transcriptomic data revealed rapid pre-Kranz cell differentiation in the first two stages but slow differentiation in the last three stages, suggesting early Kranz cell fate determination. In contrast, pre-M cells exhibit a more prolonged transcriptional differentiation process. Differential gene expression and coexpression analyses identified gene coexpression modules, one of which included 3 auxin transporter and 18 transcription factor (TF) genes, including known regulators of Kranz anatomy and/or vascular development. In situ hybridization of 11 TF genes validated their expression in early Kranz development. We determined the binding motifs of 15 TFs, predicted TF target gene relationships among the 18 TF and 3 auxin transporter genes, and validated 67 predictions by electrophoresis mobility shift assay. From these data, we constructed a gene regulatory network for Kranz development. Our study sheds light on the regulation of early maize leaf development and provides candidate leaf development regulators for future study.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Novel CHI3L1 ‐Associated Angiogenic Phenotypes Define Glioma Microenvironments: Insights From Multi‐Omics Integration

ABSTRACT The CHI3L1 signaling pathway significantly influences glioma angiogenesis, but its role in the tumor microenvironment (TME) remains elusive. We propose a novelCHI3L1‐associated vascular phenotype classification for glioma through integrative analyses of multiple datasets with bulk and single‐cell transcriptome, genomics, digital pathology, and clinical data. We investigated the biological characteristics, genomic alterations, therapeutic vulnerabilities, and immune profiles within these phenotypes through a comprehensive multi‐omics approach. We constructed the vascular‐related risk (VR) score based onCHI3L1‐associated vascular signatures (CAVS) identified by machine learning algorithms. Utilizing unsupervised consensus clustering, gliomas were stratified into three distinct vascular phenotypes: Cluster A, marked by high vascularization and stromal activation with a relatively low levels of tumor‐infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs); Cluster B, characterized by moderate vascularization and stromal activity, coupled with a high density of TILs; and Cluster C, defined by low vascularization and sparse immune cell infiltration. We observed that the CAVS effectively indicated glioma‐associated angiogenesis and immune suppression by single‐cell RNA‐seq analysis. Moreover, the high‐VR‐score group exhibited enhanced angiogenic activity, reduced immune response, resistance to immunotherapy, and poorer clinical outcomes. The VR score independently predicted glioma prognosis and, combined with a nomogram, provided a robust clinical decision‐making tool. Potential drug prediction based on transcription factors for high‐risk patients was also performed. Our study reveals thatCHI3L1‐associated vascular phenotypes shape distinct immune landscapes in gliomas, offering insights for optimizing therapeutic strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Oncology↗

The research into the propagation law of the shock wave of a gas explosion inside a building

Based on the dissipation rate conservation equations of turbulent kinetic energy in the k‐ ε turbulence model, a complicated three‐dimensional finite element model of a kitchen filled with gas mixture is developed by using the open source field operation and manipulation (OpenFOAM). Two representative kitchens were used to investigate the propagation law of the shock wave of a gas explosion inside a building by considering the key characteristics of the blast shock wave. The influence of some crucial parameters, such as initial conditions and kitchen parameters, on the properties of the blast shock wave is investigated. The basic steps to predict the peak pressure of the blast shock wave are given in consideration of the initial condition and the kitchen whilst the injury effect of the blast shock wave on the humans and animals is evaluated. The research results indicate that the pressure time history and the peak pressure space distribution are greatly influenced by the kitchen design layout. The coupled interaction between the initial temperature and gas volume concentration, especially at the upper and lower explosion limits of the gas, significantly affects the peak pressure. The peak pressure varies significantly with the opening and the buffer; however, it has little relation with the width, length, and height of the kitchen. The proposed method can accurately and effectively predict the peak pressure of the blast shock wave inside buildings. In terms of the peak pressure space distribution of the explosion shock wave, the peak pressure is much higher than the threshold of the killing pressure, which is unsafe for the humans and animals in the building.

Lin, Shu-Chao↗

An International Round-Robin Study on Thermoelectric Module Testing and Development of Standard Power Generation Modules

An international round-robin study on thermoelectric power generation modules was conducted with nine participating laboratories. Two types of commercially available bismuth telluride modules, 30 mm × 30 mm and 40 mm × 40 mm, were used. A test protocol was followed with five temperature set points from 50°C to 150°C. Graphite sheets were used as thermal interface materials with test pressure at 100 psi (0.69 MPa). The results showed large lab-to-lab variations and the key source of uncertainty for module efficiency was identified as the heat flux measurement. In the meantime, significant uncertainty was also found in maximum electrical power (P max ) measurements. As a result of the round-robin, a “standard module” with 4 × 4 legs on a 20 mm × 20 mm platform was suggested. A skutterudite module and a half-Heusler module were produced with identical geometry and 4 mm × 4 mm × 8 mm legs. All transport properties to calculate the figure-of-merit, zT, were measured from ambient temperature to 500°C. Module performance was measured by two laboratories. Two finite-element-analysis (FEA)-based models were developed independently to simulate and predict the module performance. In conclusion, the standard modules eliminated significant test uncertainties and are aimed at assisting device design and achieving more accurate performance predictions.

Round-robin↗

Application of machine learning to evaluating and remediating models for energy and environmental engineering

Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been increasingly successful in their applications to solve energy and environmental engineering problems. ML algorithms have the advantage of being able to solve highly nonlinear issues effectively. Furthermore, considering the limited sample size of data collected in energy and environmental engineering, obtaining a ML model with reasonable accuracy is simple. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the current applications of ML algorithms lack effective screening of dominant factors and comprehensive model validation, which weakens the predictive ability of the models. The present study takes the minimum miscible pressure (MMP) of CO 2 - oil systems as an example. It establishes a systematic and robust predictive model to address this issue. Based on 147 sets of slim tube tests, the predictive models of the MMPs are investigated by application of eight ML algorithms. The paper concludes that most of the published ML models in the field of energy and environmental engineering prediction are not reliable. Furthermore, it addresses the main reasons for the poor performance of some predictive models built by ML and provides guidelines on how to make such models robust. Further, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to point out the defects of current ML modeling methods and propose countermeasures for their application in energy and environmental engineering problems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Straintronic Effect on Phonon-Mediated Superconductivity of Nb 2 CT 2 (T = O, S, Se, or Te) MXenes

Here, the electronic structures, phonon dispersions, and electron–phonon coupling of Nb 2 CT 2 (T = O, S, Se, or Te) MXenes were investigated via first-principles calculations. Different models of Nb 2 CT 2 were constructed, and the results show that the low-energy models of Nb 2 CT 2 are intrinsic phonon-mediated superconductors. Of the four Nb 2 CT 2 MXenes, Nb 2 CO 2 MXene exhibits the largest superconducting critical temperature ($T_c$) of 14.43 K. The existence of soft modes induced by Kohn anomalies and the contribution of Nb atoms to the Fermi level lead to strong electron–phonon coupling (λ = 0.92) in Nb 2 CO 2 MXene. The $T_c$ of Nb 2 CO 2 is further enhanced by biaxial tensile strain and reaches up to 18.28 K under 4% tensile strain. The predicted $T_c$ of Nb 2 CS 2 is 4.5 K, which is comparable with experimental data. These findings will further stimulate the search for superconducting MXenes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗