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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2022

A Multi-sensor Evaluation of Precipitation Uncertainty for Landslide-triggering Storm Events

Extreme precipitation can have profound consequences for communities, resulting in natural hazards such as rainfall-triggered landslides that cause casualties and extensive property damage. A key challenge to understanding and predicting rainfall triggered landslides comes from observational uncertainties in the depth and intensity of precipitation preceding the event. Practitioners and researchers must select among a wide range of precipitation products, often with little guidance. Here we evaluate the degree of precipitation uncertainty across multiple precipitation products for a large set of landslide triggering storm events and investigate the impact of these uncertainties on predicted landslide probability using published intensity-duration thresholds. The average intensity, peak intensity, duration, and NOAA-Atlas return periods are compared ahead of reported landslides across the continental US and Canada. Precipitation data are taken from four products that cover disparate measurement methods: near real-time and post-processed satellite (IMERG), radar (MRMS), and gauge-based (NLDAS-2). Landslide-triggering precipitation was found to vary widely across precipitation products with the depth of individual storm events diverging by as much as 296mm with an average range of 51mm. Peak intensity measurements, which are typically influential in triggering landslides, were also highly variable with an average range of 7.8262745mm/hr and as much as 57mm/hr. The two products more reliant upon ground-based observations (MRMS and NLDAS-2) performed better at identifying landslides according to published intensity duration storm thresholds, but all products exhibited hit-ratios of greater than 0.56. A greater proportion of landslides were predicted when including only manually-verified landslide locations. We recommend practitioners consider low-latency products like MRMS for investigating landslides, given their near-real time data availability and good performance in detecting landslides. Practitioners would be well-served considering more than one product as a way to confirm intense storm signals and minimize the influence of noise and false alarms.

Precipitation inter-comparison↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Cloud-Based Time Series Analysis of Extremes: Use Cases and Applications

"Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and blizzards, can cause widespread damage, disrupting ecosystems, agricultural production, and economies. The frequency and intensity of these events have been increasing, likely due to climate change, raising concerns and the need for more accurate analysis and predictions. NASA's Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC) has migrated its long-term historical datasets, including precipitation data from MERRA-2 reanalysis, GLDAS land data assimilation, and IMERG satellite observations, to the cloud. This cloud-stored data enables scientists and researchers to utilize cloud computing for advanced modeling and forecasting of extreme weather events, eliminating the need to download large datasets. In this presentation, we will provide an overview of the cloud-based data and services managed by GES DISC; demonstrate methods for accessing and analyzing time series data stored in the cloud; and compare results across various datasets to address critical questions related to extreme precipitation. We will present use cases including: 1. Determining the average total precipitation in California during January and February from 2000 to 2024, and identifying anomalous precipitation in 2021. 2. Calculating the 10, 20, 50, and 100-year return periods for maximum daily rainfall based on 25 years of historical precipitation data (2000-2024) for Maryland.

time series↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Regulatory Treatment of Low Frequency External Events as Part of a Risk-Informed, Performance-Based Approach

To assist the developing advanced reactor industry in future licensing efforts, the U.S. Department of Energy Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program Regulatory Development area initiated a project at Argonne National Laboratory to examine the regulatory treatment of external hazards as part of a risk-informed performance-based (RIPB) licensing framework. A RIPB licensing framework for advanced reactors built on establishing an affirmative safety case offers the benefits of increased flexibility regarding key design and licensing decisions based on a detailed assessment and understanding of plant risk. Historically, reactor licensing addressed events of very low frequency primarily through the application of design margin and defense-in-depth philosophy. In contrast, RIPB approaches attempt to evaluate these scenarios at a level of detail commensurate with their risk, which often necessitates an explicit treatment of their frequency and associated consequence. While the detailed analysis of low frequency events provides insights that can help justify alternative treatments to past conservatism, the findings are dependent on the quality and confidence associated with the analyses. The assessment of external hazards presents a unique challenge, as their potential frequency of occurrence, especially of large magnitude events, is inherently uncertain given the long return periods in question. This project aims to identify the benefits and challenges of such approaches for advanced reactor vendors and aid in the development of consistent and appropriate analysis methodologies. The paper summarizes project findings and explores the application of various approaches for different external hazards. In addition, the current work also evaluates the application of the quantitative health objectives as a limit on external event risk, as they are a potential regulatory requirement under the current draft 10 CFR Part 53, which is a new technology-neutral reactor licensing pathway in the U.S.

Grabaskas, David↗
DOE OSTI2021

What are the Impacts on the HVAC System when it Provides Frequency Regulation? – A Comprehensive Case Study with a Multi-Zone Variable Air Volume (VAV) System

Heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems in commercial buildings have proven to be a great asset for providing secondary frequency regulation (FR) service to the power grid. However, how the provision of FR service affects the HVAC system Quality of Service (QOS) is still largely unknown. In particular, there exists a controversy regarding the energy efficiency impact. This paper investigates how a HVAC system performance and its associated controls are impacted during and after the FR service. For the assessment, we developed a dynamic Modelica-based medium office building model as a virtual testbed with the Air Handling Unit (AHU) fans providing the FR service. Different regulation capacities (demand levels) and standard test signals under various load profiles in the U.S. are considered. The results show that FR has little or no impact on the HVAC operation and occupant thermal comfort while the building is providing the service if an appropriate regulation capacity is pre-determined. However, if the regulation capacity is overestimated, the quality of the FR service provided by the HVAC system and the HVAC energy efficiency will be affected due to the equipment operating constraints. In addition, the AHU supply air temperature fluctuates, and the controller cannot maintain the desired setpoint as the FR magnitude is increased. After the FR service time, the system takes a certain period to return to normal operation. The recovery period extends with the increase in the FR magnitude. For this case study, there exists a control conflict between the FR control and the existing HVAC control (from ASHRAE Guideline 36-2018) during high load conditions, causing the fan speed to saturate. The fan power consumption could increase significantly; up to 77% increase compared to the baseline was observed. This case study demonstrates that the HVAC system controls need to be enhanced and adapted to minimize the interaction between the FR controller and the indoor environmental controls in order to preserve the HVAC system QOS while (during and after) providing satisfactory FR service.

Lu, Xing↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Systematic Interpretation of Subsurface Proppant Concentration from Drilling Mud Returns: Case Study from Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site (HFTS-2) in Delaware Basin

The aim of this study is generation and validation of a proppant log using analysis of drilling mud returns for child wells. Proppant log provides qualitative as well as quantitative insights into spatial distribution of proppant sand particles from prior stimulation of parent wells. While the basic methodology was developed and formalized during analysis of material collected from through fracture cores at Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site in Midland Basin (HFTS – 1), the test wells at HFTS – 2 in the neighboring Delaware Basin allowed the opportunity to validate the workflow on actual mud return samples from subsurface. As a child well is being drilled, periodic mud return samples are collected at the rig site and preserved for analysis. The workflow involves systematic cleaning of the samples including various steps such as washing, drying and segregation of samples into relevant size fractions of interest (< Mesh 20) based on specifications of pumped sand during stimulation of the parent well. Clean samples are imaged using high resolution transparency scanning. Scan images are then systematically analyzed for particles of interest using computer vision techniques. Sample counts are further validated using elemental analysis of smaller sub-samples at various depths of interest. This step is necessary to isolate proppant versus other naturally occurring minerals such as sulphates and carbonates which show similar optical properties. We successfully correlated proppant distribution against the existing parent well and validated propped versus relatively un-propped zones for a child well at the test site. The advantage of testing the proppant log concept at the HFTS – 2 site is the plethora of additional diagnostic data that is available to validate our primary observations. We can correlate spatial proppant distribution against variability in stimulation response based on independent observations such as image logs, microseismic attributes as well as DAS response, all of which tend to corroborate one another. One of our significant successes was being able to describe varying degrees of impact of the parent well along the lateral length of a stimulated child well. Our workflow represents a systematic and one-of-a-kind interpretation of spatial proppant distribution while drilling child wells. This provides unique opportunities to better understand the current state of the Downloaded from http://onepetro.org/URTECONF/proceedings-pdf/21URTC/2-21URTC/D021S031R003/2477415/urtec-2021-5189-ms.pdf/1 by Carol Worster on 28 February 2022 URTeC 5189 2 reservoir being targeted including zones which are likely more drained relative to others and how the planned completion of the child well can be improved. Lastly, this log can be useful is validating optimal well spacing in relatively new fields under development.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Examining the changes in the spatial manifestation and the rate of arrival of large tornado outbreaks

This study presents an assessment of the spatial and temporal characteristics of large tornado outbreak (LTOs) days, in which several counties were impacted by tornadoes rated F2(EF2) or greater on the Fujita (Enhanced Fujita) scale in one day. A statistical evaluation of changes in the LTO clusters for two periods, 1950–1980 and 1989–2019, has been performed. There is a geographical shift of the nucleus (central impact location) towards the southeast United States. This spatial shift is also accompanied by reduced spatial variance, suggesting LTOs have become less dispersed (or more localized) in the recent period. The overall inter-arrival rate of LTOs, and how it changed during successive 31-year climatological blocks between 1950–2019 was investigated using an exponential probability model. The arrival rate has changed from 124 days during 1950–1980 to 164 days during 1977–2007 and remained relatively constant during later periods, indicating that LTOs are becoming less frequent.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Time Resolved Visualization of A Liquid Jet in an RDE Using MHz Rate Diesel PLIF

The characterization of the dynamic response of liquid jets to transient detonation wave passage is critical for optimization and modeling of liquid fueled rotating detonation combustors. In this work, a rotating detonation combustor (RDC) is operated on hydrogen and air to sustain stable detonation waves that acts as a detonation driver and interact in a one-way coupled manner with a single liquid fuel jet that propagates into the combustion chamber with cycle periods of ~ 250 μs. Diesel is utilized as a realistic fuel surrogate with higher aromatic compounds to enable fluorescence excitation, using the 355 nm third harmonic output of a burst-mode Nd:YAG laser, imaged at rates up to 1 MHz. By optimizing the technique to accommodate orders of magnitude variations in the fuel density throughout the injection process, the PLIF data enable quantitative measurements including the refill time, the relative recovery between liquid and gaseous jets and jet trajectory across various momentum flux ratio. As the passage of the detonation wave imparts significant changes in the momentum flux ratio, the qualitative liquid break-up process and spatial distribution varies significantly in time. As the injection system recovers ~ 70% of the cycle period and return to a quasi-steady position and allow comparisons with theoretical jet trajectories. These data, enabled by ultra-high-speed PLIF imaging, represent some of the first detailed measurements for quantifying the dynamic response and recovery of liquid jets exposed to periodic detonations in an operating RDC.

Propulsion↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Time Resolved Visualization of Liquid Jet Interaction With H2-Air Rotating Detonations Using MHz Rate Diesel PLIF

The characterization of the dynamic response of liquid jets to transient detonation wave passage is critical for optimization and modeling of liquid fueled rotating detonation combustors. In this work, a rotating detonation combustor (RDC) is operated on hydrogen and air to sustain stable detonation waves that acts as a detonation driver and interact in a one-way coupled manner with a single liquid fuel jet that propagates into the combustion chamber with cycle periods of ~ 250 μs. Diesel is utilized as a realistic fuel surrogate with higher aromatic compounds to enable fluorescence excitation, using the 355 nm thirdharmonic output of a burst-mode Nd:YAG laser, imaged at rates up to 1 MHz. By optimizing the technique to accommodate orders of magnitude variations in the fuel density throughout the injection process, the PLIF data enable quantitative measurements including the refill time, the relative recovery between liquid and gaseous jets and jet trajectory across various momentum flux ratio. As the passage of the detonation wave imparts significant changes in the momentum flux ratio, the qualitative liquid break-up process and spatial distribution varies significantly in time. As the injection system recovers ~ 70% of the cycle period and return to a quasi-steady position and allow comparisons with theoretical jet trajectories. These data, enabled by ultra-high-speed PLIF imaging, represent some of the first detailed measurements for quantifying the dynamic response and recovery of liquid jets exposed to periodic detonations in an operating RDC.

Propulsion↗
DOE OSTI2021

Lack of long-term effect of coarse woody debris dam restoration on ecosystem functioning and water quality in Coastal Plain streams

Coarse woody debris (CWD) addition is a restoration technique that has been used to reduce effects of landscape disturbance on instream habitat. However, efficacy of this technique for improving ecosystem condition is not well established, in part because monitoring designed to evaluate long-term efficacy is rare. We assessed the effectiveness of CWD additions in disturbed Coastal Plain streams at Fort Benning Military Installation, Georgia, USA, 14 y after initial restoration. In October 2003, 4 disturbed streams received CWD additions (restored streams), and 4 streams were left as unrestored controls. Pre-restoration (2001–2003) and post-restoration (2003–2006) monitoring of nutrient uptake, stream metabolism, and water-quality variables revealed 1) minimal change in water-quality variables, 2) increased stream metabolism and nutrient-uptake rates immediately following restoration, and 3) decreased metabolism and uptake over the remainder of the 3-y post-restoration period. We returned to these streams in 2017 and 2018, measured the same variables, and found minimal long-term effects of restoration on water quality, nutrient uptake, and whole-stream metabolism indicators; however, streamwater pH decreased in all streams 14 y after restoration, and there was a weak treatment × period interaction, indicating that CWD additions may decrease pH in the long term. Further, we found few relationships between watershed disturbance and water-quality variables and ecosystem function metrics, although some relationships were apparent during certain seasons and years. Furthermore, our study is one of the few that have assessed the long-term effects of CWD additions, or any other stream-restoration technique, on ecosystem function. These long-term assessments may be necessary to determine if restorations are a good use of limited resources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2012

Mars Relay Lander and Orbiter Overflight Profile Estimation

This software allows science and mission operations to view graphs of geometric overflights of satellites and landers within the Mars (or other planetary) networks. It improves on the MaROS Web interface within any modern Web browser, in that it adds new capabilities to the MaROS suite. The profile for an overflight is an important element for selecting communication/ overflight opportunities between the landers and orbiters within the Mars network. Unfortunately, determining these estimates is very computationally expensive and difficult to compute by hand. This software allows the user to select different overflights (via the existing MaROS Web interface) and specify the smoothness of the estimation. Estimates for the geometric relationship between a lander and an orbiter are determined based upon the orbital conditions of the orbiter at the moment the orbiter rises above the horizon from the perspective of the lander. It utilizes 2-body orbital equations to propagate the trajectory through the duration of the view period, and returns profiles that represent the range between the two vehicles, and the elevation and azimuth angles of the orbiter as measured from the lander s position. The algorithms assume a 2-body relationship with an ideal, spherical planetary body, so therefore can see errors less than 2% at polar landing sites on Mars. These algorithms are being implemented to provide rough estimates rapidly for the geometry of a geometric view period where more complete data is unavailable, such as for planning purposes. While other software for this task exists, each at the time of this reporting has been contained within a much more complicated package. This tool allows science and mission operations to view the estimates with a few clicks of the mouse.

Wallick, Michael N.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels

Abstract The Paris agreement focused global climate mitigation policy on limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Consequently, projections of hazards and risk are increasingly framed in terms of global warming levels rather than emission scenarios. Here, we use a multimethod approach to describe changes in extreme sea levels driven by changes in mean sea level associated with a wide range of global warming levels, from 1.5 to 5 °C, and for a large number of locations, providing uniform coverage over most of the world’s coastlines. We estimate that by 2100 ~50% of the 7,000+ locations considered will experience the present-day 100-yr extreme-sea-level event at least once a year, even under 1.5 °C of warming, and often well before the end of the century. The tropics appear more sensitive than the Northern high latitudes, where some locations do not see this frequency change even for the highest global warming levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Automatic Loss Factor Modeling and Attribution on Unlabeled PV Energy Data

We present a novel approach for modeling the loss factors of photovoltaic power generation systems (PV systems). This method is a white-box machine learning model built on convex optimization that is fast, interpretable, and auditable. It takes as an input the measured daily energy produced by the system, over a multi-year period, and returns a multiplicative decomposition model of the daily energy signal and full attribution of the total energy loss to each feature. The methods section of this paper has two major components: (1) the description of the signal decomposition (SD) model, expressed in the SD framework, and (2) the attribution of total energy losses via Shapley values. We validate the method on synthetic and open-source data sets and compare to similar methods from the literature.

artificial intelligence↗
NASA NTRS1972

Comet Orbits: Prediction, Nongravitational Effects

The problems of calculating cometary orbits are discussed, with particular attention to that of predicting the returns of periodic comets. It is shown that the only inherent difficulty arises from the action of nongravitational forces. Recent progress toward an understanding of these forces is described in detail, both from the point of view of fitting the observations and of interpreting the forces in terms of the Whipple icy-conglomerate model.

Marsden, B. G.↗
NASA NTRS1971

The Management of Chronic Disease: a Study of Employee Morbidity and Mortality at the NASA, Goddard Space Flight Center, 1966 - 1971

Several approaches to studying chronic disease patterns in the employee population at Goddard Space Flight Center from 1966 to 1970 are presented. Attempts were made to summarize preliminary data for 1971 and relate this data to specific programs and events which may have had some causative influence. Investigative data for the study cover records of periodic and return to work examinations, injury and illness visit reports, mortality data, and health trends with and without external influences.

Villafana, C.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Formulation of consumables management models. Volume 2: Mission planning processor user guide

A user guide for the MPP (Mission Planning Processor) is presented. The MPP is used in the evaluation of particular missions, with appropriate display and storage of related consumables data. Design goals are accomplished by the use of an on-line/demand mode computer terminal Cathode Ray Tube Display. The process is such that the user merely adds specific mission/flight functions to a skeleton flight and/or alters the skeleton. The skeleton flight includes operational aspects from prelaunch through ground support equipment connect after rollout as required to place the STS (Space Transportation System) in a parking orbit, maintain the spacecraft and crew for the stated on-orbit period and return.

Daly, J. K.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Metabolism and biochemistry in hypogravity

The headward shift of body fluid and increase in stress-related hormones that occur in hypogravity bring about a number of changes in metabolism and biochemistry of the human body. Such alterations may have important effects on health during flight and during a recovery period after return to earth. Body fluid and electrolytes are lost, and blood levels of several hormones that control metabolism are altered during space flight. Increased serum calcium may lead to an increased risk of renal stone formation during flight, and altered drug metabolism could influence the efficacy of therapeutic agents. Orthostatic intolerance and an increased risk of fracturing weakened bones are concerns at landing. It is important to understand biochemistry and metabolism in hypogravity so that clinically important developments can be anticipated and prevented or ameliorated.

Leach, Carolyn S.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Effects of gravity on the circadian period in rats

The effect of increased gravity force on the circadian period of body temperature and activity of rats was investigated using rats implanted with a small radio telemetry device and, after a 2-week recovery and a 3-week control period at 1G, rotated at for 4 weeks at a constant 2G field in a 18-ft-diam centrifuge. Measurements of the mean freerunning period of the temperature and activity rhythms after 10 days showed that the exposure to 2G led to a functional separation of the pacemakers that regulate the activity and the temperature in the animals. Each pacemaker reacted differently: the activity period increased and the temperature period decreased. By the third or the fourth week, the activity and the temperature periods have returned to 1G control levels.

Murakami, Dean M.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Effects of isolation on interferon production and hematological and immunological parameters

A 27-year-old woman was maintained in an isolated state for 131 days in Carlsbad Caverns, New Mexico. Her diet was vitamin D-depleted. Determinations on the effects of such isolation on levels and activities of peripheral blood cells that are important for hematological homeostasis and immunological function were carried out. Throughout the duration of the study, the percentage of lymphoid cells that expressed CD3, CD4, CD8, CD19, Leu 8, and other markers remained relatively constant although the absolute numbers of these cells varied. Although the percentage of natural killer (NK) cells did not vary, the activity of these cells did change. NK cell activity became elevated as the isolation study progressed. Production of interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma) in response to mitogen stimulation was higher than expected throughout the isolation periods, but returned to the normal range after termination of the isolation. Red and white cell counts dropped significantly upon entering isolation, but soon returned to normal.

NASA Discipline Cell Biology↗