The effects of preconditioning on the summer sea ice thickness evolution during MOSAiC
The central role of sea ice within the Arctic climate system is clear, as is the importance of sea ice properties in the Arctic Ocean’s evolution and response to climate change. Less clear is how the history of the sea ice floe (in winter and spring) precondition the summer thickness evolution. Accurate accounting for the collective influences of processes that affect the summer sea ice thickness evolution is necessary for determining sea ice survivability and the rate of future sea ice loss. In this study, we use a satellite-derived sea ice parcel database co-located with the MOSAiC floe to explore the factors that precondition the summer sea ice thickness evolution. First. we compare the >500 collocated satellite-tracked sea ice parcels that intersected the MOSAiC drift track with observations to evaluate the satellite-derived surface energy budget and surface properties, finding agreement with correlations >0.9. Approximately 60% of the satellite tracked parcels survived the summer melt season. Secondly, we explore the spread in sea ice thickness and survivability across the satellite-tracked parcels, finding contributions from spring/summer surface albedo evolution, surface temperature, clouds, and parcel sea ice concentration. The satellite tracked sea ice parcel analysis provides insights into the spatial coherence of the factors that influence sea ice thickness evolution.