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DOE OSTI2022

MSASGCN : Multi-Head Self-Attention Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting

Traffic flow forecasting is an essential task of an intelligent transportation system (ITS), closely related to intelligent transportation management and resource scheduling. Dynamic spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data make traffic flow forecasting to be a challenging task. Most existing research cannot model dynamic spatial and temporal correlations to achieve well-forecasting performance. The multi-head self-attention mechanism is a valuable method to capture dynamic spatial-temporal correlations, and combining it with graph convolutional networks is a promising solution. Therefore, we propose a multi-head self-attention spatiotemporal graph convolutional network (MSASGCN) model. It can effectively capture local correlations and potential global correlations of spatial structures, can handle dynamic evolution of the road network, and, in the time dimension, can effectively capture dynamic temporal correlations. Experiments on two real datasets verify the stability of our proposed model, obtaining a better prediction performance than the baseline algorithms. The correlation metrics get significantly reduced compared with traditional time series prediction methods and deep learning methods without using graph neural networks, according to MAE and RMSE results. Compared with advanced traffic flow forecasting methods, our model also has a performance improvement and a more stable prediction performance. We also discuss some problems and challenges in traffic forecasting.

Cao, Yang↗

DOE OSTI2021

NEMA-Phase Compliant Traffic Signal Controller Module in SUMO

The controller modules in SUMO use a stage-based control structure. A phase is defined as a stage of all allowed movements at a time instance. However, traffic signal controllers used in North America widely use National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) phase definition. A NEMA phase is defined by a certain flow movement at an intersection. At one time, more than one NEMA phase could happen together as long as they do not conflict with each other. We can visualize the NEMA phases and timings in Ring-and-Barrier structured NEMA diagrams. For one controller, only one phase from a ring can be activated at a time. Phases from different rings could be activated together as long as they are not from the different sides of a barrier. When a controller is operated in fixed-time control mode, we can model the NEMA phase timing as a corresponding stage-based control timing without any issues. When introducing actuation into the signal control, a Ring-and-Barrier structured traffic signal controller can be more flexible than stage-based controller by allowing different possible phase combinations. We made two efforts in modeling Ring-and-Barrier structured controllers in SUMO. One is to translate a NEMA phases timing into SUMO-readable phases and timings as an additional file for SUMO. This translation worked well for fixed-time control. To model actuated control and coordinated actuated control, we augmented the SUMO source code by adding a Ring-and-Barrier structured controller module. This module could implement traffic signal timing from controllers using NEMA phases. We also augmented TraCI to be able to set new NEMA phase timings during simulations. We examined the Ring-and-Barrier structured traffic signal controller module by both visually observing the simulation animations and the simulation records. The developed control module can model the generalized Ring-and-Barrier structured traffic signal timing that is used in North America. SEE: https://github.com/eclipse/sumo/blob/main/src/microsim/traffic_lights/NEMAController.cpp

Wang, Qichao↗

DOE OSTI2021

Automatic Traffic Queue-End Identification using Location-Based Waze User Reports

Traffic queues, especially queues caused by non-recurrent events such as incidents, are unexpected to high-speed drivers approaching the end of queue (EOQ) and become safety concerns. Though the topic has been extensively studied, the identification of EOQ has been limited by the spatial-temporal resolution of traditional data sources. This study explores the potential of location-based crowdsourced data, specifically Waze user reports. It presents a dynamic clustering algorithm that can group the location-based reports in real time and identify the spatial-temporal extent of congestion as well as the EOQ. The algorithm is a spatial-temporal extension of the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm for real-time streaming data with an adaptive threshold selection procedure. Here, the proposed method was tested with 34 traffic congestion cases in the Knoxville, Tennessee area of the United States. It is demonstrated that the algorithm can effectively detect spatial-temporal extent of congestion based on Waze report clusters and identify EOQ in real-time. The Waze report-based detection are compared to the detection based on roadside sensor data. The results are promising: The EOQ identification time of Waze is similar to the EOQ detection time of traffic sensor data, with only 1.1 min difference on average. In addition, Waze generates 1.9 EOQ detection points every mile, compared to 1.8 detection points generated by traffic sensor data, suggesting the two data sources are comparable in respect of reporting frequency. The results indicate that Waze is a valuable complementary source for EOQ detection where no traffic sensors are installed.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design, Preparation, and Execution of the 100-AV Field Test for the CIRCLES Consortium: Methodology and Implementation of the Largest Mobile Traffic Control Experiment to Date

This article presents the comprehensive design, setup, execution, and evaluation of the MegaVanderTest (MVT) experiment conducted by the Congestion Impacts Reduction via CAV-in-the-Loop Lagrangian Energy Smoothing (CIRCLES) Consortium, which aimed to mitigate traffic congestion using partially autonomous vehicles (AVs) (see “Summary”). The experiment involved 100 vehicles on Nashville’s Interstate 24 (I-24) highway, utilizing various control algorithms to smooth stop-and-go traffic waves. The execution of the MVT experiment required a coordinated effort from multiple teams. This article details the meticulous planning process, the coordinated efforts of multiple teams, and the innovative use of a dynamic agent-based simulation framework for traffic evaluation. Here, the contributions of this work include demonstrating and providing a detailed roadmap for large-scale live traffic experiments, illustrating the lessons learned from the MVT experiment, and introducing the other articles in this issue and their complementary relationship in the MVT experiment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mitigating Traffic Congestion Through Visual Cues: Advancing Transportation Safety and Efficiency

While humans have an innate ability to estimate speed and distance, this capability is inherently imprecise. This imprecision has significant implications for traffic systems, which are highly sensitive to fluctuations in movement. Even small variations in velocity and following distances between travelers can create congestion in high-traffic environments. The absence of an effective and widely adopted solution creates significant transportation inefficiency. However, emerging technologies offer promising ways to help mitigate this issue. This paper will analyze the effectiveness of visual cues in reducing traffic congestion. Specifically, this paper presents an experiment using addressable LEDs to evaluate their effectiveness in influencing pedestrian behavior. These programmable lights enable individual control over each LED in a strip, allowing for dynamic lighting effects that serve as useful visual cues. The goal of this paper is to demonstrate that visual cues, such as addressable LED guidance, can effectively influence traveler behavior and contribute to reducing traffic congestion.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Validation of a Tapered Impact Damper for Traffic Signal Structure Vibrations Using the Method of Harmonic Balance

Significant vibration amplitudes and cycles can be produced when traffic signal structures with low inherent damping are excited near one of their natural frequencies. For the mitigation of wind-induced vibrations, dynamic vibration absorbers coupled to the structure are often used. Here, this research investigates the performance of a tapered impact damper, consisting of a hanging spring-mass oscillator inside a housing capable of reducing vibration amplitude over a broader frequency range than the conventional tuned mass damper. A nonlinear, two degree-of-freedom model is developed with coordinates representing the traffic structure and the tapered impact damper. This research focuses on the application of the harmonic balance method to approximate the periodic solutions of the nonlinear equations to compute the nonlinear dynamics of the damped traffic signal structure. After designing and manufacturing a tapered impact damper, the traffic signal structure is tested with and without the damper using free vibration snapback tests. The experimental frequency and damping backbone curves are used to validate the analytical model, and the effectiveness of the damper is discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

A data-centric weak supervised learning for highway traffic incident detection

Using the data from loop detector sensors for near-real-time detection of traffic incidents on highways is crucial to averting major traffic congestion. While recent supervised machine learning methods offer solutions to incident detection by leveraging human-labeled incident data, the false alarm rate is often too high to be used in practice. Specifically, the inconsistency in the human labeling of the incidents significantly affects the performance of supervised learning models. To that end, we focus on a data-centric approach to improve the accuracy and reduce the false alarm rate of traffic incident detection on highways. We develop a weak supervised learning workflow to generate high-quality training labels for the incident data without the ground truth labels, and we use those generated labels in the supervised learning setup for final detection. This approach comprises three stages. First, we introduce a data preprocessing and curation pipeline that processes traffic sensor data to generate high-quality training data through leveraging labeling functions, which can be domain knowledge-related or simple heuristic rules. Second, we evaluate the training data generated by weak supervision using three supervised learning models-random forest, k-nearest neighbors, and a support vector machine ensemble-and long short-term memory classifiers. The results show that the accuracy of all of the models improves significantly after using the training data generated by weak supervision. Third, we develop an online real-time incident detection approach that leverages the model ensemble and the uncertainty quantification while detecting incidents. Finally, we show that our proposed weak supervised learning workflow achieves a high incident detection rate (0.90) and low false alarm rate (0.08).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

APSO-enhanced algebraic derivative estimation approach for real-time traffic flow prediction on critical road sections during wildfire evacuation

In rapid-onset disaster scenarios such as wildfires, evacuation traffic often significantly deviates from historical patterns, rendering conventional data-driven forecasting methods less effective. To address this challenge, we propose an improved algebraic derivative estimation (ADE) incorporating particle swarm optimization (PSO) for real-time traffic flow prediction. Our approach dynamically adjusts the ADE prediction time window at each step by minimizing a cost function based on the mean and variance of accumulated forecasting errors within the window, thereby balancing bias and variability. We evaluate the method using traffic data from the January 2025 California wildfires, focusing on key road segments critical for large-scale evacuations. The results demonstrate that our approach surpasses established machine learning and deep learning models—XGBoost, LSTM, and GRU—in predictive accuracy and maintains high computational efficiency. Notably, the proposed method eliminates the need for offline model training. Moreover, rapid PSO-based tuning enables real-time deployment, which provides a crucial advantage in scenarios where evacuation timings and road closures change dynamically. In conclusion, these findings highlight the benefits of the PSO-enhanced ADE framework for emergency traffic management, where rapid, data-sparse forecasts are essential for effective evacuation planning.

Algebraic derivative estimation↗

DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing Camera Calibration for Traffic Surveillance with an Integrated Approach of Genetic Algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization

Recent advancements in sensor technologies, coupled with signal processing and machine learning, have enabled real-time traffic control systems to effectively adapt to changing traffic conditions. Cameras, as sensors, offer a cost-effective means to determine the number, location, type, and speed of vehicles, aiding decision-making at traffic intersections. However, the effective use of cameras for traffic surveillance requires proper calibration. This paper proposes a new optimization-based method for camera calibration. In this approach, initial calibration parameters are established using the Direct Linear Transformation (DLT) method. Then, optimization algorithms are applied to further refine the calibration parameters for the correction of nonlinear lens distortions. A significant enhancement in the optimization process is achieved through the integration of the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) into a combined Integrated GA and PSO (IGAPSO) technique. The effectiveness of this method is demonstrated through the calibration of eleven roadside cameras at three different intersections. The experimental results show that when compared to the baseline DLT method, the vehicle localization error is reduced by 22.30% with GA, 22.31% with PSO, and 25.51% with IGAPSO.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Stability of multi-population traffic flows

Traffic waves, known also as stop-and-go waves or phantom jams, appear naturally as traffic instabilities, also in confined environments as a ring-road. A multi-population traffic is studied on a ring-road, comprised of drivers with stable and unstable behavior. There exists a critical penetration rate of stable vehicles above which the system is stable, and under which the system is unstable. In the latter case, stop-and-go waves appear, provided enough cars are on the road. The critical penetration rate is explicitly computable, and, in reasonable situations, a small minority of aggressive drivers is enough to destabilize an otherwise very stable flow. This is a source of instability that a single population model would not be able to explain. Also, the multi-population system can be stable below the critical penetration rate if the number of cars is sufficiently small. Instability emerges as the number of cars increases, even if the traffic density remains the same (i.e., number of cars and road size increase similarly). This shows that small experiments could lead to deducing imprecise stability conditions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Ubiquitous Traffic Volume Estimation through Machine-Learning Procedure

Traffic volume data is one of the most important metrics for accurate assessment of the performance of a transportation system. Quality volume data is required to effectively assess extent of delay and congestion, detect real-time perturbations to the network, and understand traffic patterns during major weather events. Traffic volume on freeways are typically collected through continuous count stations installed by state DOTs, while there is lack of traffic volume observability on off-freeway roads. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), in Collaboration with the I-95 Corridor Coalition and the University of Maryland, extended its research into estimating volumes anywhere anytime from industry probe based data for off-freeway roads. NREL combined vehicle probe count data with several other data sets (speed, whether, roadway geometry, time-of-day, day-of-week, etc.) to estimate hourly volumes as well as AADTs. The research validated and demonstrated the machine learning model, namely XGBoost, using data collected from Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Tennessee.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling, Monitoring, and Controlling Road Traffic Using Vehicles to Sense and Act

This review offers a comprehensive overview of current traffic modeling, estimation, and control methods, along with resulting field experiments. It highlights key developments and future directions in leveraging technological advancements to improve traffic management and safety. Here, the focus is on macroscopic, microscopic, and micro-macro models, as well as state-of-the-art control techniques and estimation methods for deploying vehicles in traffic field experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Resilience-based Recovery Scheduling of Transportation Network in Mixed Traffic Environment: A Deep-Ensemble-Assisted Active Learning Approach

Devising effective post-hazard recovery strategies is critical in enhancing the resilience of transportation networks (TNs). However, existing work does not consider the multiclass users’ travel behavior in network functionality quantification and the metaheuristic solution procedures often suffer from extensive computational burden due to the exploration need in large solution space and the expensive functionality quantification. Here, this study develops a bilevel decision-making framework for the resilience-based recovery scheduling of the TN in a mixed traffic environment with connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) and human-driven vehicles (HDVs). The lower level quantifies the TN's functionality over time considering different travel behavior of CAV and HDV users arisen from their different levels of information perception. The upper level presents a novel deep-ensemble-assisted active learning approach to balance optimization performance and computational cost. This framework can help decision makers better quantify the TN's functionality to support effective recovery scheduling of TN with different mixed traffic scenarios ranging from HDV-only to future CAV-dominant traffic. The optimization approach bears the potential to be extended to solving general large-scale network recovery scheduling problems effectively and efficiently. The proposed methodology is demonstrated using a real-world traffic network in Southern California under earthquake considering deterministic and stochastic repair durations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Deep Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Real-World Signalized Traffic Corridor Control

Signalized traffic control problem has been addressed recently with deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches involving diverse state, action, and reward structures. While significant progress has been noted in the literature, open challenges still remain in the areas of adaptive signal phase timing, coordination in a multi-intersection corridor setting, and consideration of real-world traffic conditions. In the context of deep RL-based problem framing, extensions are needed that enable adaptive signal phase timings in an intersection agent's action space, computationally efficient information sharing among neighboring signalized intersection agents along a corridor, and experimentation in realistic simulation environments. In this paper, we develop a deep Advantage Actor Critic (A2C) multi-agent RL (MARL) approach capturing the research extensions above and apply it within a real-world calibrated Aimsun Next traffic corridor simulation model based on traffic data from the City of Coral Gables, Florida. For a multi-intersection corridor control setting, our numerical simulation experiments with a decentralized A2C MARL algorithm applied at different time periods led to a total average corridor travel delay reduction (expressed in seconds/mile averaged over vehicles) from 4.9% to 19.9% compared to state-of-the-art actuated control.

Shuvo, Salman S. [BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)]↗

DOE OSTI2023

Modeling Autonomous Vehicle-Targeted Aggressive Merging Behaviors in Mixed Traffic Environment

Promising advances in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) technology have fueled industry and research fields to dedicate significant effort to the study of the integration of AVs into the traffic network. This study focuses on the transition phase between all Human Driven Vehicles (HDVs) in the network to all AVs, where these different vehicle types coexist in a mixed traffic environment. This paper investigates the potential impacts of aggressive merging behaviors by human drivers on traffic performance in a mixed environment. For this, three vehicle types – AVs, HDVs, and Aggressive HDVs (AHDVs) – are modeled in an open-source microscopic traffic simulation model, SUMO. In the developed simulation, the AHDVs are modeled to emulate aggressive merging behaviors in front of AVs at a merge section of a freeway exit ramp. Several experiments are used to study the impact of such behavior. Results show travel time gains by AHDVs at the expense of AVs and HDVs.

Bae, JongIn↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamically Collected Local Density using Low-Cost Lidar and its Application to Traffic Models

This article demonstrates the use of traffic density observations collected dynamically in the vicinity of probe vehicles. Fixed position sensors cannot capture the longitudinal evolution of local traffic density in the corridor. In this research, dynamic traffic density observations were collected in a naturalistic driving setting that was free of any controlled experiment biases. Speed from global positioning system and space headway from a light detection and ranging module was collected on one arterial and one freeway segment, 2 and 4mi long, respectively. The combined data frequency was approximately 3Hz. Space headway was used to estimate the local density and consequently to identify the density of a specific location in a corridor. Besides, driver behavior was characterized using the relationship between instantaneous speed and local density under different regimes of the Wiedemann car-following model. Macroscopic traffic stream models were used to investigate the relationship between dynamically collected instantaneous speed and local density. Using the longitudinal evolution of density, precise local density across the corridor can be obtained along with the leader and follower trajectories. A method to identify driver behavior across density ranges was developed for different facility types using a microscopic relationship between instantaneous speed and local density. Overall driving behavior on the freeway segment can be represented by translating the instantaneous speed and local density relationship to macroscopic stream models.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2024

Digital Twinning and Predictive Modeling of Traffic for Safe, Efficient, and Reliable Intersections

Over the last decade, the advances in connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) have far surpassed the technological realm of transportation infrastructure. There is a growing need to have a technologically commensurate transportation infrastructure to enable safe and reliable movement of goods and people. The recent creation of Advanced Research Projects Agency - Infrastructure (ARPA-I) through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act by the U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT) has further amplified the need to revolutionize the transportation infrastructure system in the US. This need is perhaps felt most at traffic intersections, as more than 50 percent of the combined total of fatal and injury crashes occur at or near intersections. The proposed concept of Infrastructure Perception and Control (IPC) is aimed at bridging this technological gap by building a real-time digital twin of traffic by fusing detections from sensors installed at the intersection. This digital twin can then empower a wide variety of applications such as smart traffic signals or infrastructure-to-everything (I2X) communications. Smart signaling can help avoid crashes through early-prediction, while I2X can augment the CAV sensors under uncertain driving conditions and provide connected vehicles (CVs) with traffic information they can use to optimize their travel.

connected vehicles↗

DOE OSTI2023

Sensor Fusion-Based Vehicle Detection and Tracking Using a Single Camera and Radar at a Traffic Intersection

Recent advancements in sensor technologies, in conjunction with signal processing and machine learning, have enabled real-time traffic control systems to adapt to varying traffic conditions. This paper introduces a new sensor fusion approach that combines data from a single camera and radar to achieve cost-effective and efficient vehicle detection and tracking. Initially, vehicles are independently detected and classified using the camera and radar. Then, the constant-velocity model within a Kalman filter is employed to predict vehicle locations, while the Hungarian algorithm is used to associate these predictions with sensor measurements. Finally, vehicle tracking is accomplished by merging kinematic information from predictions and measurements through the Kalman filter. A case study conducted at an intersection demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed sensor fusion method for traffic detection and tracking, including performance comparisons with individual sensors.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗