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At least 91 records · Page 5

Multiphysics Pebble-Bed Reactor Control Rod Withdrawal Study

This work studied the responses of both a generic gas- and a fluoride-cooled PBR concept---the gPBR-200 and gFHR, respectively---during reactivity insertion accidents. Both models rely on 2-D axisymmetric simulations to solve the neutron flux distribution, nuclide concentrations, and temperature across the core---in addition to numerous representative pebble and TRISO particle simulations for determining fuel and moderator temperatures. This not only allows for computing maximum temperatures in the core---thus enabling estimation of how near the fuel is to peak operational and safety limits---as prescribed by specified acceptable fuel design limits, which are determined in such a way that fuel is not damaged during operational or anticipated abnormal occurrences---but also predicting how much of the core exceeds a given temperature limit, as well as determining the local energy deposition rate. These models consider both control rod withdrawal and ejection events. The former introduces a great deal more reactivity, as all the control rods are withdrawn (as opposed to a single one in the latter case), though at a much slower pace. In addition, for the gPBR-200, two limiting cases were considered: one with the core starting under hot full-power conditions and one with it starting under cold zero-power conditions. While the amount of reactivity added in the latter case is much higher (due to the far lower temperatures and the lack of neutron poisons such as Xe-135), the margin to temperature limits is also much more significant. Overall, for the design considered, none of the accidents resulted in the maximum fuel temperature reaching values close to the TRISO limit. However, the methodology presented herein could be very relevant if some designs consider reduced margins (e.g., higher temperatures) to achieve enhanced economics. Further model improvement is needed to better capture control rod worth, both in terms of cusping effects (as the rods are slowly withdrawn) and differential worth, especially as the tips of the rods near the upper cavity.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Vision Transformers Explained Series

Since their introduction in 2017 with Attention is All You Need¹, transformers have established themselves as the state of the art for natural language processing (NLP). In 2021, An Image is Worth 16x16 Words successfully adapted transformers for computer vision tasks. Since then, numerous transformer-based architectures have been proposed for computer vision. This article walks through the Vision Transformer (ViT) as laid out in An Image is Worth 16x16 Words.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

VARI3D & PERSENT: Perturbation and Sensitivity Analysis (Revision 5)

The nodal diffusion method is one of the most widely used approaches in modern reactor analysis. In the nodal diffusion method, a coarse multi-group set of “homogenized” parameters is constructed such that the complex geometry of a reactor core along with the energy dependence of neutron and gamma ray cross sections in a nuclear reactor are conserved in the simpler geometry. The homogenization is typically done on a fuel assembly level as is the case in the DIF3D code developed at Argonne National Laboratory. The nodal methodology is used primarily to predict fuel cycle behavior of nuclear systems of which there is a substantial amount of validation in the literature. Another use of the nodal method is to obtain reactivity coefficients and kinetics parameters for use in a safety analysis of a given nuclear reactor. While there are many ways to obtain reactivity worth and kinetics parameters, the work presented in this manuscript is unique as it provides the user with the ability to compute reactivity worths, kinetics parameters, and cross section sensitivities with a Cartesian and hexagonal geometry-based transport code.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Medium- and heavy-duty value of technology improvement

Improvements in vehicle technology impact the purchase price of a vehicle and its operating cost. In this study, the monetary benefit of a technology improvement includes the potential reduction in vehicle price from using cheaper or smaller components, as well as the discounted value of the fuel cost savings. As technology progresses over time, the value and benefit of improving technology varies as well. In this study, the value of improving a few selected technologies (battery energy density, electric drive efficiency, tire rolling resistance, aerodynamics, light weighting) is studied and the value of the associated cost saving is quantified. The change in saving as a function of time, powertrain selection and vehicle type is also quantified. For example, a 10% reduction in aerodynamic losses is worth $24,222 today but only $8,810 in 2030 in an electric long haul truck. The decrease in value is primarily due to expected battery cost reduction over time. The same loss reduction in a 2030 conventional long haul truck is worth $5,117 and is primarily driven by a reduction in diesel expenditure. For conventional vehicles, the value of technology improvement is likely to increase over time as diesel price is expected to increase over the next decades while for electric vehicles, the value of technology improvement is likely to decrease as battery energy density increases and cost decreases. The study focuses on medium- and heavy-duty applications where cost of driving is of paramount importance. The savings realized from each technology improvement serve as an upper limit for how much can be spent to acquire that improvement in technology.

Freyermuth, Vincent↗

Experiments to Measure the Effect of Tantalum on Critical Systems

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) collaborated to develop a capability to test the epithermal/intermediate cross sections of materials at the SNL critical experiment facility using the Seven Percent Critical Experiment (7uPCX) fuel. As a result, a new set of critical experiments has been designed to target the epithermal cross sections of tantalum (Ta) and is scheduled to be performed at SNL in 2023. These critical experiments will be evaluated for inclusion in the 2024 edition of the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook. The focus of these critical experiments is to measure the effects of Ta on the critical array size. The critical array size will be determined by an approach-to-critical experiment with the number of fuel rods in the array as a free parameter. The core configurations are designed to optimize the reactivity worth of Ta and the overall percentage of Ta absorption rates in the epithermal/intermediate energy range (0.625 eV – 100 keV). The baseline core configuration includes 7uPCX fuel rods set at a triangular pitch of 1.016 cm and a central dry test region that utilizes a cadmium liner for filtering out thermal neutrons. The central test region has locations for 85 Ta rods set at a triangular pitch of 0.813 cm. The Ta reactivity worth for the case with 85 Ta rods is approximately 2.55%, with the percentage of Ta absorption rates within the intermediate energy range at nearly 90%.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Assembly Bowing Reactivity Calculation Methodology Applied to Lead Fast Reactor

Ducted assemblies bow during operation due to power and temperature gradients which can be influenced by operating flow rates. For fast spectrum cores using ducted assemblies, the bowing behavior follows that of the duct and because there are gaps between the ducts, the bowing can result in compaction or expansion of the active core. This local displacement can have a positive or negative impact and knowing the net effect during transients is important for system reactivity control. Keeping the net bowing reactivity worth low is possible with attentive placement of load pads above the active core and selecting load pad gap thicknesses that result in a desired behavior at standard operating conditions. This paper considers a Lead Fast Reactor (LFR) concept fueled by HALEU UO2 developed by Westinghouse Electric Company (WEC) and applies a workflow of Argonne-developed codes to estimate the core bowing reactivity worth. Using orifice flow rates grouped by assembly type, the net reactivity impact due to core assembly bowing for the LFR was found to be small and in line with other liquid metal fast reactors: +29/+32/+35 pcm, or about +$0.049/+$0.055/+$0.059, for BOEC/MOEC/EOEC, respectively.

bowing reactivity↗

Expanded Intercomparison of Nuclear Data Libraries Using Jupiter and Jupiter High-240 Experiments

There is a limited availability of plutonium experiments with sensitivity to lead in the ICSBEP (International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments) Handbook. The Jupiter and Jupiter High-240 experiments were performed at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center as a collaborative effort between Los Alamos National Laboratory and the Japan Atomic Energy Agency to assess lead void coefficients in a plutonium-lead system containing weapons- and reactor-grade plutonium, respectively. Concurrent with benchmark development, an intercomparison of calculations using different nuclear data libraries has been performed to assess the usability of the experimental data for nuclear data adjustment in a “softer-that-fast” neutron energy spectrum. Eigenvalue calculations using MCNP with the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and TENDL-2021 nuclear data libraries calculate closest to the benchmark values for Jupiter. Calculations using JENDL-5 and ENDF/B-VIII.1 match best with the Jupiter High-240 values. Lead void worth calculations using the various nuclear data libraries are all within 3σ of their respective measured values. Perturbation studies between ENDF/B-VIII.0 and ENDF/B-VIII.1 demonstrate an approximate increase in calculated eigenvalues for the Jupiter series experiments by ~240 pcm for plutonium (mostly 239 Pu) and ~120 pcm for lead accompanied by a decrease contributed by ~113 pcm for copper and ~13 pcm for stainless steel. Nuclear data sensitivities and uncertainties investigated using Whisper show slightly lower sensitivity to scatter than a lead-reflected plutonium sphere but greater sensitivity to neutron capture. The sensitivities between Jupiter and Jupiter High-240 for lead are very similar for both ENDF/B-VIII.0 and ENDF/B-VIII.1 nuclear data. These benchmarks are more sensitive to neutron capture in lead than other plutonium benchmark experiments and would be useful for both lead and 240 Pu validation. In conclusion, with the high degree of compensating effects between copper, lead, and plutonium cross sections, additional isolated Pb-Pu and Cu-Pu benchmarks would be beneficial in improving these nuclear data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Simulation of CEFR neutronic start-up tests with FENNECS

This paper presents simulation results of selected Neutronic Start-up Tests of the China Experimental Fast Reactor (CEFR) obtained by the neutronics code FENNECS that have been performed within the frame of the IAEA Coordinated Research Program I31032. The Finite Element Neutronics code FENNECS is developed at GRS and solves the few-group steady-state and transient diffusion equation using a Galerkin-based finite element approach. Its main purpose is the safety assessment of Small Modular Reactors and Micro Reactors with complex geometry (e.g., rotating control drums) which gain increased interest internationally. Serpent has been applied to create reference models of the CEFR and cross-section libraries in 10 energy groups for FENNECS. Using these libraries, the following experiments have been simulated with FENNECS: net criticality, control rod integral and differential worth, void reactivity effect, subassembly exchange reactivity effects and reaction rate distribution. The obtained satisfactory agreements with the measurements represent a valuable contribution to the validation of FENNECS. (author)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

High-performance and high-fidelity Monte Carlo solutions to the BEAVRS benchmark

The BEAVRS (Benchmark for Evaluation and Validation of Reactor Simulation) benchmark is solved by PRAGMA, the GPU-based continuous energy Monte Carlo code. The resulting solutions are comprised of the detailed simulation results of two cycles, each of which consists of the zero power physics test (ZPPT) and the core depletion calculations. The ZPPT consists of characteristic parameters, such as critical boron concentration (CBC), control rod bank worth, isothermal temperature coefficients, and assembly-wise detector signal, which are compared with measured data provided by the benchmark administration. The core depletion calculations were performed for both the hot full power and the load follow modes, and the comparison was made with the measured or deduced CBCs and assembly-wise detector signals. In the load follow calculations, the operating power history was approximately applied to simulate the real operation as closely as possible. PRAGMA performed the various calculations with a tremendous number of histories ranging up to hundreds of millions per cycle, exploiting GPUs' massively parallel performance. The load follow run time was shorter than 16 hours on a single rack of computing nodes mounded with 24 gaming GPUs with a remarkable agreement with the measurements for most comparisons. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Control rod modeling in liquid metal-cooled fast reactors

Control rod modeling in Liquid Metal-cooled Fast Reactors (LMFRs) is important for an accurate simulation, especially in depletion calculations. Recently, control rod search and cusping models have been added to the LUPINE multiphysics fast reactor simulator. LUPINE stands for the 'LMFR Utility for Physics Informed Nuclear Engineering' and is currently being developed at North Carolina State University. LUPINE models the coupled multiphysics effects in LMFRs, including neutronics, thermal hydraulics, thermal expansion, and depletion. The control rod search has been implemented using a Newton-secant search in an inexact-Newton iteration and the cusping model uses a polynomial technique to correct for control rod cusping. The control rod cusping and search models were demonstrated by modeling the Advanced Burner Reactor (ABR) MET-1000 Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) and a long-life Lead-cooled Fast Reactor (LFR) based on a Westinghouse Electric Company, LLC (WEC) design. A differential control rod worth curve was calculated for both reactor models to demonstrate the control rod cusping model. The SFR and LFR models were used to demonstrate the importance of modeling control rod movement during depletion calculations and the adverse effect of control rods on cycle length is demonstrated. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Polymer Compositions in Critical Experiments: Possibly Not What You Think

The Chlorine Worth Study (CWS) Experiment was performed at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) in December 2021. Its goal was to provide a validation benchmark experiment with chlorine and plutonium in the thermal neutron spectrum. This purpose is necessary to reduce the margin of subcriticality in aqueous chloride operations at the Los Alamos National Laboratory Plutonium Facility (PF-4). Reducing the margin of subcriticality will enable higher throughput, required to meet NNSA mission needs. The experiment used layers of plutonium plates, polyethylene (HDPE), aluminum, and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) or chlorinated polyvinyl chloride (CPVC). They were optimized to match plutonium-chloride solutions of 30 g/L, 300 g/L, and 600 g/L. Upon completion of the experiment, a International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Program (ICSBEP) report was immediately started. The compositions of all materials were assumed pure unless additional information was known (such as for the plutonium plates). During the benchmark analysis, the assumed CPVC composition was questioned. The follow-on work led to lessons learned on compositions in benchmarks. Materials, and specifically polymers, are often much more complex than a basic chemical formula. The CWS experiment is used as an example in this paper to document the lessons learned.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Machine Learning Design of Perovskite Catalytic Properties

Abstract Discovering new materials that efficiently catalyze the oxygen reduction and evolution reactions is critical for facilitating the widespread adoption of solid oxide fuel cell and electrolyzer (SOFC/SOEC) technologies. Here, machine learning (ML) models are developed to predict perovskite catalytic properties critical for SOFC/SOEC applications, including oxygen surface exchange, oxygen diffusivity, and area specific resistance (ASR). The models are based on trivial‐to‐calculate elemental features and are more accurate and dramatically faster than the best models based on ab initio‐derived features, potentially eliminating the need for ab initio calculations in descriptor‐based screening. The model of ASR enables temperature‐dependent predictions, has well calibrated uncertainty estimates and online accessibility. Use of temporal cross‐validation reveals the model to be effective at discovering new promising materials prior to their initial discovery, demonstrating the model can make meaningful predictions. Using the SHapley Additive ExPlanations (SHAP) approach, detailed discussion of different approaches of model featurization is provided for ML property prediction. Finally, the model is used to screen more than 19 million perovskites to develop a list of promising cheap, earth‐abundant, stable, and high performing materials, and find some top materials contain mixtures of less‐explored elements (e.g., K, Bi, Y, Ni, Cu) worth exploring in more detail.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Interfacial Engineering of Metal Chalcogenides‐based Heterostructures for Advanced Sodium‐Ion Batteries

Sodium-ion batteries (SIBs) have become one of the most promising candidates for large-scale energy storage applications. Metal chalcogenides anode materials based on alloying or conversion reactions are widely studied because of their high theoretical capacities and rich redox reactions. However, their intrinsic limitations such as high voltage hysteresis and large volume expansion hinder their further applications. The construction of heterostructures has become an attractive strategy to alleviate the above issues. Here, the formation of built in electric fields (BIEFs) at the heterointerfaces will accelerate the migration of Na + and electrons. Moreover, heterostructures can also enhance the structural stability, generate more active sites and provide additional capacity. It is worth noting that heterointerfacial properties play a significant role in promoting the overall electrochemical performance of the heterostructures. However, a systematic understanding of their interfacial engineering is currently lacking. This article reviews the research progress of metal chalcogenides-based heterostructure anode materials in the near term. First, the definition, classification and the roles of heterostructures are introduced. Second, the detailed research progress of the metal chalcogenide-based heterostructures anodes in SIBs is discussed. Finally, the future prospects and potential research directions of the heterostructures for batteries are discussed.

anode↗

The impact of forest-controlled snow variability on late-season streamflow varies by climatic region and forest structure

Previous studies have documented how forests influence snow at fine spatial scales, but none have documented the influence that existing forest-snow variability has on streamflow. Here to test how much forest-controlled snow variability influences streamflow, a tiling parameterization based on classifications from high-resolution (1–3 m) vegetation maps was incorporated into the Distributed Hydrology and Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM). Within each grid cell (90–150 m), the tiling parameterization simulated forest-snow variability with four independently evolving snowpacks. Each tile had unique radiation conditions to represent conditions underneath the canopy, in exposed areas, and along north- and south-facing forest edges. This tiled parameterization was used to test where and when detailed forest-snow modelling should be considered further and where and when the impacts are too small to be worth the effort. To test this, tiled model simulations of streamflow were compared to non-tiled model simulations in the Sierra Nevada, CA, the Jemez Mountains, NM, and the Eastern Cascades, WA. In Tuolumne, CA, the tiled model simulated little difference in grid cell average SWE, and late-season streamflow decreased by only 3%–4% compared to the non-tiled model. In Jemez, NM, the tiled model decreased late-season streamflow by 18% due to increased sublimation. In Chiwawa, WA, the tiled model increased late-season streamflow by 15% due to high shortwave radiation attenuation and less longwave radiation enhancement from the forest. Furthermore, within the Chiwawa, a substantial silvicultural practice was synthetically implemented to increase the north-facing edge's fractional area. This silvicultural experiment, which used the same fractional forest area in all simulations increased late-season streamflow by 35% compared to tiled model simulations that did not represent forest edges. In conclusion, representing forest-SWE variability had an effect on late-season streamflow in some watersheds but not in others based on the fractional area of the forest edges, forest characteristics, and climate conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A semi–automatic analytical methodology for characterizing the energy consumption of MRI systems using load duration curves

Background and purpose: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scanners are a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions from the healthcare sector, and efforts to improve energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption rely on quantification of the characteristics of energy consumption. The purpose of this work was to develop a semi-automatic analytical methodology for the characterization of the energy consumption of MRI systems using only the load duration curve (LDC). LDCs are a fundamental tool used across various fields to analyze and understand the behavior of loads over time. Methods: An electric current transformer sensor and data logger were installed on two 3T MRI scanners from two vendors, termed M1 (outpatient scanner) and M2 (inpatient/emergency scanner). Data was collected for 1 month (7/11/2023 to 8/11/2023). Active power was calculated, assuming a balanced three-phase system, using the average current measured across all three phases, a 480 V reference voltage for both machines, and vendor-provided power factors. An LDC was constructed for each system by sorting the active power values in descending order and computing the cumulative time (in units of percentage) for each data point. The first derivative of the LDC was then computed (LDC’), smoothed by convolution with a window function (sLDC’), and used to detect transitions between different system modes including (in descending power levels): scan, prepared-to-scan, idle, low-power, and off. The final, segmented LDC was used to measure time (% total time), total energy (kWh), and mean power (kW) for each system mode on both scanners. The method was validated by comparing mean power values, computed using the segmented 1-month LDC, for each nonproductive system mode (i.e., prepared-to-scan, idle, lower-power, and off) against power levels measured after a deliberate system shutdown was performed for each scanner (1 day worth of data). Results: The validation revealed differences in mean power values <1.4% for all nonproductive modes and both scanners. In the scan system mode, the mean power values ranged from 29.8 to 37.2 kW and the total energy consumed for 1 month ranged from 11 106 to 14 466 kWh depending on the scanner. Over the course of 1 month, the portion of time the scanners were in nonproductive modes ranged from 76% to 80% across scanners and the nonproductive energy consumption ranged from 8010 to 6722 kWh depending on the scanner. The M1 (outpatient) scanner consumed 99.9 and 183.9 kWh/day in idle mode for weekdays and weekends, respectively, because the scanner spent 23% more time proportionally in idle mode on the weekends. Conclusions: A semi-automatic method for quantifying energy consumption characteristics of MRI scanners was introduced and validated. This method is relatively simple to implement as it requires only power data from the scanners and avoids the technical challenges associated with extracting and processing scanner log files. Finally, the methodology enables quantitative evaluation of the power, time, and energy characteristics of MRI scanners in scan and nonproductive system modes, providing baseline data and the capability of identifying potential opportunities for enhancing the energy efficiency of MRI scanners.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Identification of 2,2-dinitropropanol, a Hydrolyzed Product of Aged Eutectic Bis(2,2-dinitropropyl) Acetal – Bis(2,2-dinitropropyl) Formal Mixture

Eutectic bis(2,2-dinitropropyl) acetal - bis(2,2-dinitropropyl) formal mixture, nitroplasticizer (herein called NP) has historically been produced by either the ter Meer or oxidative nitration synthesis process, wherein 2,2-dinitropropanol (DNPOH) is produced as an intermediate step in both processes. Therefore that DNPOH, could be present in NP either as a production or hydrolysis degradation product is worth investigation. Here, we synthesized DNPOH, validated the synthesis using NMR, and identified DNPOH in aged NP using liquid chromatography tandem time of flight – quadrupole mass spectrometry (LC-QTOF). Using these results, for the first time we positively identify that DNPOH is absent from NP after its production, but is present as a degradation product through hydrolysis from a thermo-chemical aging profile of NP. To hydrolyze NP, prerequisite is the presence of both water and acid. Despite the presence of water in NP, DNPOH is only generated in the late stage of the aging process, when acid concentration is sufficiently high. It has been previously shown both theoretically and experimentally that a primary step of NP degradation is HONO elimination followed by decomposition, wherein nitric acid, nitrous acid, and water are produced (NP→NP’+2HONO and 2HONO→NO+NO 2 +H 2 O). It is shown from this reaction series that water slows HONO decomposition and therefore in small quantities, 100 s of ppm, water actually stabilizes NP against hydrolysis by equilibrium and reducing acidity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Electron‐Deficient and Quinoid Central Unit Engineering for Unfused Ring‐Based A 1 –D–A 2 –D–A 1 ‐Type Acceptor Enables High Performance Nonfullerene Polymer Solar Cells with High V oc and PCE Simultaneously

Abstract Here, a pair of A 1 –D–A 2 –D–A 1 unfused ring core‐based nonfullerene small molecule acceptors (NF‐SMAs), BO2FIDT‐4Cl and BT2FIDT‐4Cl is synthesized, which possess the same terminals (A 1 ) and indacenodithiophene unit (D), coupling with different fluorinated electron‐deficient central unit (difluorobenzoxadiazole or difluorobenzothiadiazole) (A 2 ). BT2FIDT‐4Cl exhibits a slightly smaller optical bandgap of 1.56 eV, upshifted highest occupied molecular orbital energy levels, much higher electron mobility, and slightly enhanced molecular packing order in neat thin films than that of BO2FIDT‐4Cl . The polymer solar cells (PSCs) based on BT2FIDT‐4Cl:PM7 yield the best power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 12.5% with a V oc of 0.97 V, which is higher than that of BO2FIDT‐4Cl ‐based devices (PCE of 10.4%). The results demonstrate that the subtle modification of A 2 unit would result in lower trap‐assisted recombination, more favorable morphology features, and more balanced electron and hole mobility in the PM7:BT2FIDT‐4Cl blend films. It is worth mentioning that the PCE of 12.5% is the highest value in nonfused ring NF‐SMA‐based binary PSCs with high V oc over 0.90 V. These results suggest that appropriate modulation of the quinoid electron‐deficient central unit is an effective approach to construct highly efficient unfused ring NF‐SMAs to boost PCE and V oc simultaneously.

Zhang, Chao↗

Quantifying the Potential of Argon Detection Capabilities for Nuclear Explosion Monitoring

Abstract Current noble gas detection systems for nuclear explosion monitoring are based on the detection of four radioxenon isotopes—Xe-131m, -133, -133m and -135. The data provided by radioxenon detection could be enhanced by other radionuclide signatures such as Ar-37. Activation of Ca-40 in rock by neutrons produces Ar-37, and monitoring for this additional nuclide could help distinguish detections of nuclear explosions from background sources, such as medical isotope production. This work studies the capabilities of a hypothetical argon detection network. A 10 kt explosion was modeled using MCNP and SCALE to determine the inventory of Ar-37 created in a representative granite rock layer, assuming either 0.1, 1 or 10% of the total inventory was released. The Ar-37 inventory was combined with atmospheric transport data from HYSPLIT compiled in a previous study, along with the detection limits of standard Ar-37 detection systems, to determine how many hypothetical monitoring stations would detect Ar-37 from an explosion. This method was repeated for 365 HYSPLIT data sets to create a year’s worth of hypothetical explosions, releases, and detections. The study quantified the average number of detections per release, the number of stations detecting Ar-37, and the possibility of detecting Ar-37 in coincidence with xenon.

37Ar↗