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DOE OSTI2021

Testing the DIII-D co/counter off-axis neutral beam injected power and ability to balance injected torque

DIII-D has undergone a major upgrade and successfully injected high power off-axis neutral beams (~4 MW) in both co-current and counter-current directions. This capability of high power co/counter steerable off-axis neutral beams on a major tokamak opens a unique parameter space of broad pressure and current profiles for high beta steady-state advanced tokamak (AT) scenarios, while retaining the ability to balance the injected torque for low rotation studies. This co/counter off-axis neutral beam capability is being used to validate physics-based energetic particle and thermal transport models for designing next-step facilities based on the steady-state AT approach. This paper reports on the critical evaluation of the transmitted power and energetic ion population produced by this heating and current drive system, which is assessed through visible imaging, neutron measurements and rotation profile measurements at balanced torque. Minimal losses of neutral beam power have been achieved by optimizing the strongly focused ion sources required to pass through the aperture. Tilting of the ion source has been guided by fast visible imaging and resulted in neutral beam injection along the design centerline with empirical characterization of each beam's divergence derived from the imaging data and used in the NUBEAM description of the beam injection. Through exclusive power injection of each neutral beam into MHD quiescent plasmas across a range of neutral beam voltage, perveance and plasma current we conclude that a modest reduction (~10%–15%) of transmitted power compared to on-axis, standard focus has been incurred. We report corrections that more accurately represent the injected power. Good ability to balance the neutral beam torque has been demonstrated by injecting the new off-axis counter injecting beam against the existing off-axis co-injected beam in 2.0 T, 1.0 MA, MHD quiescent L-mode plasmas. Furthermore, the torque balance studies verify the ability to operate with balanced injection, which is critical for achieving low torque and low rotation operation for physics studies and in ITER demonstration discharges.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Enabling integrated AI control on DIII-D: a control system design with state-of-the-art experiments

We present the design and application of a general algorithm for Prediction And Control using MAchiNe learning (PACMAN) in DIII-D. Machine learning (ML)-based predictors and controllers have shown great promise in achieving regimes in which traditional controllers fail, such as tearing mode (TM) free scenarios, ELM-free scenarios and stable advanced tokamak conditions. The architecture presented here was deployed on DIII-D to facilitate the end-to-end implementation of advanced control experiments, from diagnostic processing to final actuation commands. This paper describes the detailed design of the algorithm and explains the motivation behind each design point. We also describe several successful ML control experiments in DIII-D using this algorithm, including a reinforcement learning controller targeting advanced non-inductive plasmas, a wide-pedestal quiescent H-mode ELM predictor, an Alfvén Eigenmode controller, a Model Predictive Control plasma profile controller and a state-machine TM predictor-controller. There is also discussion on guiding principles for real-time ML controller design and implementation.

machine learning↗

DOE OSTI2021

Data-Driven Exploration of Climate Attractor Manifolds For Long-Term Predictability

Focal Area: This white paper responds to Focal Area 3. We seek to gain insight into decadal-scale climate predictability by applying novel manifold-finding probabilistic AI techniques to the complex data produced by Earth System models (ESMs) such as E3SM. The associated portfolio of research activities leverages DOE’s asset mix of HPC platforms, climate expertise, climate simulation codes, and AI expertise. Science Challenge: Climate and climate models are dynamical systems exhibiting properties that are interpretable through chaos theory. The theory contains an important concept that is relevant to multi-decade-scale climate prediction: a chaotic attractor. While the space containing all the possible states of the Earth’s atmosphere and ocean, the possible weather, is large, the realized states tend to stay near the smaller-dimensioned attractor. This behavior is responsible for the “order behind the irregularity” [1] of climate phenomena. Climate change can be thought of as a change in the properties of the attractor, and predicting the climate over years to decades is equivalent to predicting how those properties will change. To date, the attractor has been a useful conceptual tool, but has not been amenable to direct characterization. A new development is the advent of efficient high-dimensional manifold-finding probabilistic AI techniques, which permit a data-driven characterization of the ESM attractor and its probability distribution over weather states. Such a characterization would result in a natural dimensional reduction — a “non-linear Principal Components Analysis (PCA) adapted to climate simulation data” — leading to important advances in scenario-based long-term climate prediction, long-term prediction of water cycle extremes, ESM verification, inter-model comparison, and process model development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Superstructure Optimization for Brine Valorization from Brackish Water Desalination

This poster presents preliminary results from a superstructure optimization framework developed to identify cost-optimal brine valorization configurations for brackish water desalination plants across diverse U.S. regional feed chemistries. The study uses brackish groundwater compositions from Arizona, California, Florida, New Mexico, and Texas. Using Pyomo Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP) within the WaterTAP modeling environment, the optimization framework simultaneously evaluates thousands of candidate treatment configurations, spanning nanofiltration, reverse osmosis, and chemical precipitation, to minimize the levelized cost of water (LCOW) while meeting water recovery targets and product recovery constraints. Results across eight representative feed clusters demonstrate water recovery rates of 57–87% and net LCOW values ranging from -$0.032/m³ (net revenue-positive) to $0.80/m. Notably, no single process configuration was optimal across all feed types, underscoring the necessity of feed-specific optimization. Products targeted include calcium carbonate (CaCO₃) at $0.01/kg and sodium chloride (NaCl) at $0.10/kg, both at 95% purity, with product revenues offsetting treatment costs in several scenarios. The work advances NAWI's process systems engineering capabilities for multi-configuration screening.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Quantification of Transition Scenario Simulations

This report documents the first collective attempt at developing and applying capabilities to quantify uncertainties, assess parametric sensitivities, and optimize multiple parameters and metrics in fuel cycle simulations generated by the SA&I Campaign. To do this, external codes that were designed to perform sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification (SA&UQ) needed to be coupled to the SA&I Campaign’s nuclear fuel cycle simulators (NFCS). In FY20, two approaches were pursued: 1) coupling Cyclus to an ORNL-internal code called MOT (Metaheuristic Optimization Tool) and 2) coupling DYMOND to the opensource SA&UQ tool kit Dakota. The primary objective of having these NFCS/SA&UQ coupled capabilities is to better inform DOE-NE and other stakeholders on the results generated from the NFCS. For a given set of fuel cycle strategies, policies, and technology assumptions that make up a fuel cycle scenario, these NFCS have traditionally been used by the SA&I Campaign to provide quantitative answers in terms of year-by-year mass flows, infrastructure requirements, costs, etc. With these newly developed coupled capabilities, the SA&I Campaign can now efficiently simulate hundreds or thousands of these scenarios, sample large ranges of parameters and assumptions, and use the unique features of the SA&UQ tools to process the data. This enables providing answers with known and propagated uncertainties, determining the sensitivity of important metrics to different parameters and assumptions, quantifying how much fuel cycle and technology parameters impact each other, and producing optimized fuel cycle strategies for single and multiple variables. To demonstrate these new capabilities, the Cyclus/MOT was used to model several scenarios ranging from simple fleet retirements to transitions to advanced reactors. Specifically, for a transition scenario from LWRs to SFRs and advanced LWRs, uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, and optimization studies were applied to cases involving single and multiple parameter (input) and single and multiple metric (output) variations. In addition, a similar transition scenario was modeled to demonstrate how to optimize the reprocessing capacity parameter to minimize two performance metrics while taking into account uncertainties from two other parameters. Lastly, a depletion module based on SCALE/ORIGEN was added in Cyclus to simulate the third scenario that was designed to quantify the impact of the modeling assumption that all LWR used nuclear fuel have the same burnup. The newly developed DYMOND/Dakota capability was also applied to a transition scenario from the existing fleet to small modular reactors and fast reactors. This particular scenario involves not only explicit isotopic depletion via ORIGEN-2, but also includes multirecycling and utilizing the criticality search feature to determine the fresh fuel composition of recycled fuel, a feature unique to the DYMOND NFCS. A large database of simulations were run with 4 main parameters that were sampled: start date of reprocessing, reprocessing capacity, energy demand growth rate, and advanced reactor share of the fleet. The 4 main metrics were uranium consumption, enrichment requirements, waste generation, and levelized cost of electricity using data from the Cost Basis Report. The demonstrated SA&UQ results include those that inform on how to choose parameters to avoid “failed” scenarios, Sobol’ indices that inform on the importance of various parameters individually and synergistically, and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) studies that decompose parameter ranges into groups and informs on whether variations are statistically significant.

Feng, B.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Depletion Analysis of a Generic Fast Spectrum Molten Salt Reactor Supporting Material Control and Accounting (Rev.1)

Advanced reactors are of interest for a variety of use scenarios, and there are numerous advanced reactor designs being considered, which includes molten salt reactors (MSRs). Depending on the design, advanced reactors may have more extensive material control and accounting (MC&A) processes than current Light Water Reactor (LWR) designs. This project evaluated the use of Monte Carlo simulations for generating information that could guide the development of MC&A approaches for MSRs. In particular, the current capabilities of MCNP version 6.3 internally coupled with CINDER’90 were assessed for a fast spectrum liquid fueled MSR with online fission product removal and refueling. The fission product removal and refueling was performed in batches, and a Python wrapper was developed to control the simulations and update the fuel composition.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

NASA NTRS1992

Advanced protein crystal growth programmatic sensitivity study

The purpose of this study is to define the costs of various APCG (Advanced Protein Crystal Growth) program options and to determine the parameters which, if changed, impact the costs and goals of the programs and to what extent. This was accomplished by developing and evaluating several alternate programmatic scenarios for the microgravity Advanced Protein Crystal Growth program transitioning from the present shuttle activity to the man tended Space Station to the permanently manned Space Station. These scenarios include selected variations in such sensitivity parameters as development and operational costs, schedules, technology issues, and crystal growth methods. This final report provides information that will aid in planning the Advanced Protein Crystal Growth Program.

Source record↗

DOE OSTI2024

Leveraging generative AI for urban digital twins: a scoping review on the autonomous generation of urban data, scenarios, designs, and 3D city models for smart city advancement

The digital transformation of modern cities by integrating advanced information, communication, and computing technologies has marked the epoch of data-driven smart city applications for efficient and sustainable urban management. Despite their effectiveness, these applications often rely on massive amounts of high-dimensional and multi-domain data for monitoring and characterizing different urban sub-systems, presenting challenges in application areas that are limited by data quality and availability, as well as costly efforts for generating urban scenarios and design alternatives. As an emerging research area in deep learning, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) models have demonstrated their unique values in content generation. This paper aims to explore the innovative integration of GenAI techniques and urban digital twins to address challenges in the planning and management of built environments with focuses on various urban sub-systems, such as transportation, energy, water, and building and infrastructure. The survey starts with the introduction of cutting-edge generative AI models, such as the Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN), Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), followed by a scoping review of the existing urban science applications that leverage the intelligent and autonomous capability of these techniques to facilitate the research, operations, and management of critical urban subsystems, as well as the holistic planning and design of the built environment. Based on the review, we discuss potential opportunities and technical strategies that integrate GenAI models into the next-generation urban digital twins for more intelligent, scalable, and automated smart city development and management.

3D city modeling↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Preliminary Evaluation of National Campaign Scenarios for Urban Air Mobility

Urban Air Mobility and Advanced Air Mobility concepts offer a novel method for transportation of passengers and cargo. Whereas the concept may reduce congestion of roads and highways, it also introduces new complexity to the National Airspace in terms of management of such operations. NASA, in partnership with FAA and industry, approaches these complexities with research and development activities such as flight tests and simulations, in order to better understand the impacts and necessary mechanisms by which these operations could be integrated. One example of such research and development activity that NASA is conducting is the Advanced Air Mobility National Campaign effort. Flight-test scenarios were proposed as part of the National Campaign and tested in simulation for evaluation with industry partners prior to the Flight test. This simulation, exercised as an engineering evaluation, provided a data collection opportunity to better understand what iterations and modifications would be needed to successfully demonstrate the flight-test scenarios in order to mature the concept of Urban Air Mobility and Advanced Air Mobility.

urban air mobility↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Preliminary Evaluation of National Campaign Scenarios for Urban Air Mobility

Urban Air Mobility↗

DOE OSTI2020

Advanced Analysis of Plutonium: Pre- and Post-Detonation Scenarios

A Dissertation Presented for the Doctor of Philosophy Degree in Nuclear Engineering. Overarching research question: Do nuclear reactions in surface environment lead to distinctive chemical and isotopic signatures that are not present in nature? Testable hypothesis: Nuclear processes will lead to distinctive chemical and isotopic patterns of partitioning because high-temperature processes under high radiation rarely occur in natural surface environment.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2024

Pathways to a Sustainable Aviation Ecosystem: Aviation Energy Research and Operation Simulator (AEROSim)

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has developed highly accessible tools for ground vehicle modeling, making it easy to quickly compare powertrains and estimate the impact of technology improvements on fuel/energy consumption, performance, cost, and battery life. With AEROSim, NREL advanced aircraft, enabling the same level of ease and versatility in comparing aircraft designs across a range of scenarios and conditions.

advanced air mobility↗

DOE OSTI2023

Effect of coherent edge-localized mode on transition to high-performance hybrid scenarios in KSTAR

This paper deals with one of the origins and trigger mechanisms responsible for the observed performance enhancements in the hybrid scenario experiments conducted in Korea Superconducting Tokamak Advanced Research (KSTAR). The major contribution to the performance improvement comes from a broader and higher pedestal formation. The increase of fast ion pressure due to a plasma density decrease also contributes substantially to the global beta. Although the reduced core plasma volume resulting from the pedestal expansion has a negative effect on the core thermal energy, a considerable confinement improvement observed in the inner core region limits the degradation. The one significant characteristic of high-performance discharges is the presence of Coherent Edge-localized Mode (CEM) activity. CEM is triggered during the pedestal recovery phase between typical ELM crashes and has been found to be related to the increase of particle and heat transport. It appears to underlie two commonly observed phenomena in high-performance hybrid scenario discharges in KSTAR; pedestal broadening and continuous density decrease. Despite the associated transport increase, CEM activities can induce performance enhancement. With the pedestal broadening, ELM crashes become delayed and weakened, which, in turn, allows for a higher pedestal. Moreover, the density decrease directly increases fast ion pressure by extending the beam-slowing-down time. The linear gyrokinetic analysis reveals that the increase of fast ions could initiate positive feedback loops, leading to the stabilization of Ion Temperature Gradient mode in the inner core region.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Impact of carbon dioxide removal technologies on deep decarbonization: EMF37 MARKAL–NETL modeling results

Here this paper examines the MARKAL-NETL modeling results for the Energy Modeling Forum Study on Deep Decarbonization & High Electrification Scenarios for North America (EMF 37) with specific focus on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies and opportunities under different scenarios guidelines, policies, and technological advancements. The results demonstrate that CDR, such as, bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), direct air capture (DAC) and afforestation are key negative emission technologies in deep decarbonization scenarios in the U.S. are accounted for about 70% of annually avoided carbon dioxide emissions (CO 2 ) by 2050, or more than 2 billion tons of CO 2 (GtCO 2 ). The potential scale of CDR and its impact on the energy system depends on energy supply and demand technologies advancement and their costs, the level of end-use sectors electrification, availability and costs of CDR. Results show that the carbon prices are substantially lower if the advanced technologies available, particularly, in carbon management scenarios.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

NASA NTRS2023

Joint Augmented Reality Visual Informatics System: Concept of Operations

NASA proposed requirements for a digital display for an EVA spacesuit to provide relevant information to the crew member. The Joint Augmented Reality Visual Informatics System (Joint AR) project pursued four years of research and development towards a suit-display system in a near-eye, AR form factor. The project was responsible for developing software (custom graphics engine and core flight software), physical hardware prototyping (controls, projection display optics, suited display platform), virtual prototyping platform (a virtual reality testbed), and human-in-the-loop (HITL) operational testing informed by EVA flight controllers, crew members, and human factors engineers for con-ops definition. This document contains substantial updates to CTSD-ADV-1788 Rev. Basic. This revision was produced by the project to summarize the use-cases and and user experiences developed throughout the project, and refine the Basic revision originally drafted at the beginning of the project life cycle. The primary purpose of this document is to summarize and make available the scenario development efforts that have been pursued and explored within the Joint AR project. This includes descriptions of the scenarios themselves as well as corresponding potential of advanced informatics displays to support those specified scenarios. In doing so, this document provides a variety of approaches to deconstruct and hypothesize how future technological capabilities so that with future EVA work demands can be satisfied within future human planetary spaceflight missions.

Matthew Miller↗

DOE OSTI2022

High bias machine learning for antineutrino-based safeguards for small reactors

The statistical methods used for antineutrino detection will need to be improved to effectively monitor the inventory of next-generation nuclear reactors. In this sensitivity study, we evaluate machine learning models compared to previously used statistical approaches to identify diversion scenarios in a simulated Advanced Fast Reactor (AFR)-100. A chi-square goodness-of-fit technique, which individually compares the simulated antineutrino yields to the expected antineutrino yield, resulted in precise but low diversion detection probability. Various support vector machine (SVM) models were applied with diverse training datasets to evaluate the robustness of the method towards unexpected or “unseen” diversion scenarios. Furthermore, our results indicate that while the SVM models significantly improved the detection probability of near-field antineutrino-based safeguards, up to a probability of ~0.04, for the simulated small reactor, the detection system still needs improvements to reach the 0.2 detection limit established by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

NASA NTRS1985

Evolution of systems concepts for a 100 kWe class Space Nuclear Power System

Conceptual designs for the SP-100 Space Nuclear Power System have been prepared that meet baseline, backup and growth program scenarios. Near-term advancement in technology was considered in the design of the Baseline Concept. An improved silicon-germanium thermoelectric technique is used to convert the heat from a fast-spectrum, liquid lithium cooled reactor. This system produces a net power of 100 kWe with a 10-year end of life, under the specific constraints of area and volume. Output of the Backup Concept is estimated to be 60 kWe for a 10-year end of life. This system differs from the Baseline Concept because currently available thermoelectric conversion is used from energy supplied by a liquid sodium cooled reactor. The Growth Concept uses Stirling engine conversion to produce 100 kWe within the constraints of mass and volume. The Growth Concept can be scaled up to produce a 1 MWe output that uses the same type reactor developed for the Baseline Concept. Assessments made for each of the program scenarios indicate the key development efforts needed to initiate detailed design and hardware program phases. Development plans were prepared for each scenario that detail the work elements and show the program activities leading to a state of flight readiness.

Katucki, R.↗

NASA NTRS2008

Europa Explorer Operational Scenarios Development

In 2007, NASA conducted four advanced mission concept studies for outer planets targets: Europa, Ganymede, Titan and Enceladus. The studies were conducted in close cooperation with the planetary science community. Of the four, the Europa Explorer Concept Study focused on refining mission options, science trades and implementation details for a potential flagship mission to Europa in the 2015 timeframe. A science definition team (SDT) was appointed by NASA to guide the study. A JPL-led engineering team worked closely with the science team to address 3 major focus areas: 1) credible cost estimates, 2) rationale and logical discussion of radiation risk and mitigation approaches, and 3) better definition and exploration of science operational scenario trade space. This paper will address the methods and results of the collaborative process used to develop Europa Explorer operations scenarios. Working in concert with the SDT, and in parallel with the SDT's development of a science value matrix, key mission capabilities and constraints were challenged by the science and engineering members of the team. Science goals were advanced and options were considered for observation scenarios. Data collection and return strategies were tested via simulation, and mission performance was estimated and balanced with flight and ground system resources and science priorities. The key to this successful collaboration was a concurrent development environment in which all stakeholders could rapidly assess the feasibility of strategies for their success in the full system context. Issues of science and instrument compatibility, system constraints, and mission opportunities were treated analytically and objectively leading to complementary strategies for observation and data return. Current plans are that this approach, as part of the system engineering process, will continue as the Europa Explorer Concept Study moves toward becoming a development project.

Lock, Robert E.↗