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At least 91 records · Page 5

Communication Requirements for Price-Based Grid Coordination

Meeting ambitious goals for carbon reduction and supporting an electric grid with high levels of renewable energy supply will require significant flexibility from the demand side. This paper outlines a system architecture and communication technology infrastructure to enable dynamic pricing to be used to finely tune coordination between the grid and its customers. Taking a cue from the success of Internet architecture, this system — Price-Based Grid Coordination — emphasizes simplicity and universality. It enables a wide variety of ways for prices and other signals to pass from the grid to individual flexible loads, including multiple possible locations for the intelligence that combines price signals with device functional needs. The paper includes a reference data model to describe how information from the utility level can be conveyed to customer devices, but independent of any particular protocol. The paper also summarizes technology standards development needs, and reviews research needs to address the full spectrum of coordination scenarios.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Impacts of aluminum-cerium alloy deployment on different cerium commodities

An imbalance problem exists in the rare earth element (REE) market with cerium and lanthanum being more abundant and less valuable than REEs used in permanent magnets such as neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium. Research has been conducted on new applications for abundant REEs to improve mining economics. However, potential market impacts of these applications on individual REE commodities are unknown. A system dynamics model was built to investigate the impacts of a new aluminum-cerium (Al-Ce) alloy that can theoretically utilize three separate cerium forms: cerium carbonate, cerium oxide, or cerium metal. Cerium carbonate currently possesses the lowest price of the three available forms making it initially the most favorable choice. However, model results showed that cerium oxide could provide the best economics for future Al-Ce alloy deployment because its larger market size buffers major shocks to price.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Superstructure Optimization of Waste Plastic Pyrolysis, Integrating Thermal, Catalytic, and Plasma Technologies with Machine Learning

Global plastic waste generation exceeds 430 million tonnes per year, yet fewer than 9% are recycled in the United States. Pyrolysis offers a chemical recycling route at scale, but existing techno-economic and life cycle assessments fix product yields to single pure polymers, producing economic and environmental outputs that break down when the feed composition changes. Here, we present a superstructure optimization framework that addresses this by embedding a composition-aware random forest yield predictor, trained on 566 pyrolysis experiments, within a full-scale process simulation. Product distributions update automatically as feed allocation shifts across four reactor chemistries: conventional thermal, catalytic (HZSM-5), thermal oxo-degradation, and nonequilibrium CO2 plasma. The optimal superstructure achieves minimum selling prices of −0.56 to −0.76/kg feed and global warming potentials of −0.276 to −0.322 kg CO2-eq/kg feed across four commodity price scenarios, confirming profitable, carbon-negative operation without tipping fees. Carbon abatement costs of $\$$0.46 to $\$$1.25/kg CO2-eq are competitive with direct air capture. Sensitivity analysis shows that the catalytic-plasma split fraction is the single largest driver of both economic and climate performance, while hydrocracking allocation in the wax upgrading stage is emission-neutral across the full variable range. Mixed plastic waste streams, evaluated as composition-variable feedstocks rather than pure resins, are profitable and carbon-negative across realistic market conditions. These results give a quantitative basis for reactor selection, circular economy investment, and policy design targeting chemical recycling on a large scale.

Life cycle assessment↗

Interplays In The Rare Earth Element Value Chain

An imbalance problem exists in the rare earth element (REE) market with cerium and lanthanum being more abundant and less valuable than REEs used in permanent magnets such as neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium. Research has been conducted on new applications for abundant REEs to improve mining economics. However, potential market impacts of these applications on individual REE commodities are unknown. A system dynamics model was built to investigate the impacts of a new aluminum-cerium (Al-Ce) alloy that can theoretically utilize three separate cerium forms: cerium carbonate, cerium oxide, or cerium metal. Cerium carbonate currently possesses the lowest price of the three available forms making it initially the most favorable choice. However, model results showed that cerium oxide could provide the best economics for future Al-Ce alloy deployment because its larger market size buffers major shocks to price.

Severson, Michael [Idaho National Laboratory (INL)↗

Transforming Public Housing with Deep Energy Retrofits

Open Market ESCO’s (OME) Transforming Public Housing through Deep Energy Retrofits project demonstrated new design and financing solutions for implementing deep energy retrofits (DERs) in occupied low-income multifamily housing. The Project performed an integrated project delivery process, including designing low-carbon retrofit solution packages, construction pricing, and financing. The Project developed a constructible and financeable DER scope for a 102-unit extremely low-income multifamily property in Boston. This Project demonstrated a replicable approach for streamlining and implementing DER projects in occupied housing, including real solutions for overcoming design complexities and cost barriers.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Hybrid Fuel Cell—Supercritical CO2 Brayton Cycle for CO2 Sequestration-Ready Combined Heat and Power

The low prices and its relatively low carbon intensity of natural gas have encouraged the coal replacement with natural gas power generation. Such a replacement reduces greenhouse gases and other emissions. To address the significant energy penalty of carbon dioxide (CO2) sequestration in gas turbine systems, a novel high efficiency concept is proposed and analyzed, which integrates a flame-assisted fuel cell (FFC) with a supercritical CO2 (sCO2) Brayton cycle air separation. The air separation enables the exhaust from the system to be CO2 sequestration-ready. The FFC provides the heat required for the sCO2 cycle. Heat rejected from the sCO2 cycle provides the heat required for adsorption-desorption pumping to isolate oxygen via air separation. The maximum electrical efficiency of the FFC sCO2 turbine hybrid (FFCTH) without being CO2 sequestration-ready is 60%, with the maximum penalty being 0.68% at a fuel-rich equivalence ratio (Φ) of 2.8, where Φ is proportional to fuel-air ratio. This electrical efficiency is higher than the standard sCO2 cycle by 6.85%. The maximum power-to-heat ratio of the sequestration-ready FFCTH is 233 at a Φ = 2.8. Even after including the air separation penalty, the electrical efficiency is higher than in previous studies.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Mexico and U.S. Power Systems Under Variations in Natural Gas Prices

This study examines the impact of natural gas prices on the power systems of Mexico and the United States. For this, we develop an integrated modeling framework by soft linking three different techno-economic bottom-up models of the power and energy systems, one partial equilibrium model of the natural gas sector, and a partial equilibrium model of the Mexican energy sector. Our results show several interesting results: high natural gas prices raise the use of carbon-intensive technologies in the short-term and boost renewable investments at longer time intervals, increasing emissions in earlier periods and reducing them thereafter. Regarding system costs, because of more capital-intensive green power and lower expenditures in raw energy carriers, capital costs rise and operating costs decrease in the long haul. Furthermore, we see an increase in natural gas demand when its price is low, reducing long-term capital and operating costs through cheaper energy inputs in natural gas facilities and a lower share of capital-intensive renewable facilities in the power system. Concerning emissions, low natural-gas prices decrease coal use in the United States, reducing anthropogenic emissions until the last stages of the optimization period. For Mexico, they show heterogeneous results across models. Policymakers can use this study's results to understand the influence of natural gas prices in the Mexican and United States energy sectors.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Synthetic Calcium Carbonate Production by Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) Mineralization of Industrial Waste Brines

The global scale of CO 2 emission has crossed 36 B tons, and the United State represents 14% of the total emissions. In light of the high cost associated with current CO 2 capture processes ($60-to-150 per ton of CO 2 ), carbon capture and utilization (CCU), wherein CO 2 is converted to beneficial products, provides a pragmatic path to overcome the economic barrier for CO 2 emissions control. In particular, CO 2 mineralization offers an attractive route as it produces high-value mineral carbonates that sequester CO 2 in a stable form. For instance, fine precipitated calcium carbonate, a valuable product with unit price in the range of $230-280/t and a global market projected to reach 99 M tons in 2020, can be produced by capturing CO 2 within aqueous Ca 2+ solution. However, two critical challenges need to be overcome—(i) the need for costly processes such as electrolysis or addition of alkali hydroxides to maintain alkalinity during mineralization, and (ii) the geographic availability of Ca-rich solutions (or brines) which often renders efficient integration with power plants impractical. To simultaneously address these challenges, this project developed two novel routes to enable carbonate production based on efficient CO 2 mineralization. In one variation, the project developed a new alkaline carbonation process to capture CO 2 and produce calcite precipitates from coal ashes. Herein, coal ash is carbonated first in a sodium carbonate solution. The carbonation reaction produces sodium hydroxide and raises the solution pH. This high-pH hydroxide solution is then used for CO 2 capture, which converts the sodium hydroxide solution back to sodium carbonate to repeat the carbonation cycle. The carbonated ash residue is refined with a CO 2 pressure swing step to produce high-purity precipitated calcium carbonate. In another variation, Ca-rich produced water brine serves as the Ca-source to mineralize CO 2 . An H + /Na + ion-exchange cycle was designed to provision alkalinity during mineralization and regenerate the ion-exchange reagent in brines with high salinity. Ca-depleted brines can then be treated within a centralized water treatment facility. Both variations beneficially utilize reject streams—such as coal ashes and brines from oil and gas extraction or CO 2 storage operations—that are available at substantial quantities in the vicinity of coal power plants within the U.S. In addition to technology development, this project included techno-economic and life-cycle analysis to identify technically and economically appropriate solutions for power plants in different geographic locations. Taken together, the project provides a unique route to integrate CO 2 emissions control and waste handling/treatment for coal power plants, while producing a high-value product to offset the economic burden associated with waste management. The developed processes utilize post-desulfurization flue gas from coal-fired power plants as is. The CO 2 conversion reactions are performed in alkaline brines at ambient pressure from the flue gas, thereby minimizing the energy burden. By beneficiation of industrial waste streams with low energy input, the processes offers significant technical advantages in energy and CO 2 footprint over the current paradigm of precipitated calcium carbonate production, which involves calcination of limestone at processing temperatures in excess of 800 °C. Overall, this project developed viable CO 2 mineralization processes while strategically maximizing the economic benefit.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Techno-economic optimization of renewable urea production for sustainable agriculture and CO 2 utilization

Abstract Urea is the most used nitrogen fertilizer due to its ease of storage, transportation, and application. It is made by combining ammonia and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), both of which are produced predominantly from fossil fuels at present. The recent momentum behind ammonia production using renewable-powered electrolysis offers an opportunity to both make urea in a more sustainable way and utilize CO 2 from external sources. In this work, we present a techno-economic optimization model to minimize the cost of making urea in this way. The model allows for time-varying chemical production in response to renewable variability by simultaneously optimizing production facility design and hourly operation. We performed a case study for Minnesota considering the use of byproduct CO 2 from bioethanol production. We found that the present-day levelized cost of renewable urea is between $268 mt −1 and $413 mt −1 at likely implementable production scales up to 250 000 mt yr −1 . This is within the range of historical conventional urea prices while offering at least 78% carbon intensity reduction. Projecting to 2030, there is a clear economic case for renewable urea production with levelized cost as low as $135 mt −1 due to technology improvement and electrolysis manufacturing expansion, facilitating a urea production scale increase to 525 000 mt yr −1 . Optimal facilities use wind energy, with hydrogen and ammonia production operating in a flexible, time-varying way to minimize battery and hydrogen storage capacities. Urea production operates near steady state due to the relatively low cost of intermediate ammonia buffer storage. A mix of imported methane and locally produced hydrogen are used to provide heat for steam consumed in the urea synthesis.

Chemistry↗

Performance and Economic Analysis of Organosolv Softwood and Herbaceous Lignins to Activated Carbons as Electrode Materials in Supercapacitors

In this work, yellow pine (YP, softwood) and switchgrass (SG, grass) lignins were extracted as a coproduct of an organosolv γ-valerolactone (GVL) biorefinery that also produces biofuels and furfural. The extracted lignins were converted to carbon precursors for synthesizing porous activated carbon electrodes for high energy-density supercapacitors. This research details the impact of lignin composition on the derived porous structures and electrochemical properties of activated carbons. Lignin precursors with various syringyl (S) to guaiacyl (G) contents were characterized using 31 P nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and two-dimensional 1 H‒ 13 C NMR. A two-step activation process, using steam and carbon dioxide as the activating agents, enabled the formation of porous carbons structures with high surface area. The capacitive behavior of supercapacitors was systematically characterized by cyclic voltammetry, charge-discharge cycling, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy. The specific capacitance of YP and SG capacitors reached 367 and 221 F g −1 , respectively. Both types of capacitors demonstrated remarkably stable capacitance (capacitance retention >90%) along with excellent Coulombic efficiency (>99%) over 10,000 cycles. Compared to SG electrode, the better electrochemical performance achieved with YP electrodes was mainly due to shorter diffusion path, improved ionic mobility, and increased active surface area. The inexpensive lignin-based porous electrodes synthesized in this work can be used for various electrochemical devices for improved performance, decreased cost, and enhanced durability. This work also demonstrates that the selection of feedstock and appropriate processing conditions can tailor the structure of carbon composites for targeted applications. Techno-economic analysis indicates that YP and SG activated carbons can be produced at a minimum selling price of $8,493 and $6,670 per ton, respectively, which is competitive with the commercially available supercapacitor-grade activated carbons.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Techno-economic analysis of carbon dioxide capture from low concentration sources using membranes

Rising carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) levels in the atmosphere lead to global warming, causing climate change. As such, carbon capture has become necessary to slow the increase and reduce CO 2 levels in the atmosphere. Point source emissions have a wide range of CO 2 concentrations, but emissions below 3% CO 2 have mostly been ignored because Carbon capture from these sources has been viewed as costly and economically unsustainable. Membrane technologies are considered the most viable solution by virtue of more energy-efficient operation. Our group at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has developed poly[bis((2-methoxyethoxy)ethoxy)phosphazene] (MEEP)-based carbon dioxide selective membranes with CO 2 /N 2 selectivity greater than 40 and CO 2 permeability greater than 450 Barrer. To understand the economics of carbon capture, a spreadsheet-based techno-economic analysis (TEA) model was developed to consider multiple parameters, including selectivity and permeability of the membranes, performance conditions such as the number of stages, module material, electricity price, membrane price, and capital financing. The cost of carbon capture in US $\$$/metric ton was calculated at various purities and compared with other membrane processes, cryogenic capture, solvent-based capture, and pressure swing adsorption-based capture. It was determined that a MEEP-based three-stage process had a capture cost of US $\$$ 50.1/metric ton for 99.8% purity CO 2 from a 1% CO 2 feed source in nitrogen (N 2 ). In conclusion, the capture cost using the best performing Pebax-based membrane was 464% higher, cryogenic capture was 60%–140% higher, pressure swing adsorption was 55%–165% higher, and chemical absorption was -10%–110% higher than MEEP-based membrane capture, respectively.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Energy utilization strategies in lignocellulosic biorefineries

Lignocellulosic biorefineries can generate various energy-rich side streams, including biogas from anaerobic digestion, a lignin stream from biomass pretreatment, and conversion residues. This study evaluates different chemical energy utilization strategies in lignocellulosic biorefineries based on energy and carbon efficiencies, cost, and greenhouse gas mitigation potential. Specifically, using modeling and optimization, we examine strategies that include electricity generation, biogas upgrade to biomethane, lignin valorization, and carbon capture and storage. We find that upgrading biogas to biomethane demonstrates the highest energy efficiency and leads to the lowest minimum fuel selling price for the main product, ethanol. The biorefinery with carbon capture and storage achieves the lowest net carbon footprint. Lignin valorization has the highest carbon footprint due to the additional materials required for lignin depolymerization, despite its potential to produce high value bioproducts.

Aboagye, Emmanuel A. [Princeton Univ., NJ (United ↗

Acetolysis for Epoxy-Amine Carbon Fibre-Reinforced Polymer Recycling

Carbon fibre-reinforced polymers (CFRPs) are used in many applications in the global energy transition, including for lightweighting aircraft and vehicles and in wind turbine blades, shipping containers and gas storage vessels1,2,3,4. Given the high cost and energy-intensive manufacture of CFRPs5,6,7, recycling strategies are needed that recover intact carbon fibres and the epoxy-amine resin components. Here we show that acetic acid efficiently depolymerizes both aliphatic and aromatic epoxy-amine thermosets used in CFRPs to recoverable monomers, yielding pristine carbon fibres. Deconstruction of materials from multiple sectors demonstrates the broad applicability of this approach, providing clean fibres from 2 h reactions. The optimal conditions were scaled to 80.0 g of post-consumer CFRPs, and demonstrative composites were fabricated from the recycled carbon fibres, which were recycled two more times, maintaining their strength throughout. Process modelling and techno-economic analysis, with feedstock cost informed by wind turbine blade waste generation8, indicates this method is cost effective, with a minimum selling price of US$1.50 per kg for recycled carbon fibres whereas life cycle assessment shows process greenhouse gas emissions around 99% lower than virgin carbon fibre production. Overall, this approach could enable recycling of industrial CFRPs as it provides clean, mechanically viable recycled carbon fibres and recoverable resin monomers from the thermoset.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Compounding Uncertainties in Economic and Population Growth Increase Tail Risks for Relevant Outcomes Across Sectors

Understanding the long-term effects of population and GDP changes requires a multisectoral and regional understanding of the coupled human-Earth system, as the long-term evolution of this coupled system is influenced by human decisions and the Earth system. This study investigates the impact of compounding economic and population growth uncertainties on long-term multisectoral outcomes. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) to explore the influence of compounding and feedback between future GDP and population growth on four key sectors: final energy consumption, water withdrawal, staple food prices, and CO 2 emissions. The results show that uncertainties in GDP and population compound, resulting in a magnification of tail risks for outcomes across sectors and regions. Compounding uncertainties significantly impact metrics such as CO 2 emissions and final energy consumption, particularly at the upper tail at both global and regional levels. However, the impact of staple food prices and water withdrawal depends on regional factors. Additionally, an alternative low-carbon transition scenario could compound uncertainties and increase tail risk, particularly in staple food prices, highlighting the influence of emergent constraints on land availability and food-energy competition for land use. The findings underscore the importance of considering and adequately accounting for compounding uncertainties in key drivers of multisectoral systems to enhance our comprehensive understanding of the complex nature of multisectoral systems. The paper provides valuable insights into the potential implications of compounding uncertainties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Carbon Dioxide Utilization for Plasma Nanosynthesis of Carbon

This DOE Phase I SBIR project has developed a glow discharge-based plasma process to convert carbon dioxide to sold carbon and water. By adding natural gas, the additional enthalpy can be used to reform the output carbon dioxide to value added carbon and EPA-compliance-grade water, thus creating a process that has no gaseous products at all, such as: CO 2 + CH 4 → 2C + 2H 2 O, which is simply the exothermic reverse of the syngas reaction. During the Phase I work, several milestones were accomplished successfully. a. First, a synthesis reactor was designed, assembled, and successfully operated using the combined simultaneous operation of glow discharge and microwaves. DC discharge and microwaves can also be operated individually, allowing multiple configurations to be used This is one of the first reactors of its kind, and perhaps the first ever. b. Second, the research team successfully produced carbon nanomaterials using carbon dioxide as the source of carbon via CO 2 + 2H 2 → C + 2H 2 O. This is certainly one of the first processes to use plasma to convert carbon dioxide to nanocarbon, and perhaps the first ever demonstration. c. Third, it was also shown that carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide can be used with methane to reduce the synthesis temperature of ASI graphene decorated carbon nanotubes (GDCNT). Hitherto GDCNT were only fabricated above 1200 °C. GDCNT was synthesized at 780 °C. CO 2 + C → 2CO; 2 CO + CH 4 → 3 C + 2H 2 O, and also, CH 4 + CO 2 → 2 C + 2H 2 O. d. Fourth, closed cycle synthesis of nanomaterial was demonstrated with over 80% conversion of carbon dioxide to carbon and water was achieved, on the basis of pressure drop during glow discharge. e. Fifth, plasma operation was achieved via glow discharge and microwaves at 500 Torr, demonstrating a path forward to atmospheric pressure operation f. Sixth, using carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide in an electrothermal furnace, we produced 350 grams per hour of high-quality nanotubes in a single furnace, compared to 200 grams per hour for the commercial process. Controlling the enthalpy prevents self-extinguishing hot gas pyrolysis. Thus, carbon dioxide enhances the properties and reduces the production cost. This is a near term advance that can go into trial production in the near term. g. Seventh, economic analysis suggests an economic plan forward, producing carbon nanotubes for less than $50 per pound. The use of hydrogen and carbon dioxide as the feedstocks is acceptable from a cost basis, and in fact hydrogen is less expensive than carbon monoxide. Niche applications are available in the near term, though quantities relevant to sequestration remain a far-term goal. h. Eighth, though it was not the research team’s intention to create a new process for producing carbon monoxide, it was realized that almost by accident we demonstrated plasma reforming of carbon dioxide via a plasma version of the reverse Boudouard reaction. Accordingly, we have contacted a major gas manufacturer (Matheson Gas) to determine whether there is interest in creating an industrial version of the process. i. Ninth, a long-range strategy is identified in which a progressively more carbon-conscious world will seek to create solid carbon as a means of sequestering carbon dioxide, impeding its return to the atmosphere. In the long term the price must drop by orders of magnitude with larger production, and assuming success, solid carbon could be the preferred form for sequestration rather than underground storage. If carbon can be made as cheaply as dirt, or nearly so, then it can serve a useful purpose as structural material for housing, soil amendments in agriculture and fillers to modify low areas.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Final Technical Report

The project goal is to demonstrate low-cost, interlocking, and carbon-storing insulation materials with thermal insulation of R5/inch, flexural modulus > 10 MPa, low material price < $ 0.5/ft2 wall area (materials cost for ½” thick panel), and net embodied carbon of 0.8t net CO2e/t (60% reduction compared to gypsum), respectively, which can meet the cost and performance targets of department of energy (DOE)’s 2050 climate target. To achieve this goal, the project plans three tasks, and each has a specific objective: 1) Modular design and engineering analysis of interlocking insulation panel blocks using biogenic materials (cellulose, straw, etc.): with the consideration of potential assembling and recycling. 2) Scalable manufacturing of biogenic-based interlocking insulation panels: scale up the modular panel production using ambient pressure drying and surface superhydrophobic modification at 1ft*1ft with the potential for further scalable mass production of 4ft*4ft. 3) Code-compliant testing, recycling and carbon footprint analysis of manufactured interlocking insulation panels examined using ASTM standards of thermal insulation (ASTM C518), mechanical properties (ASTM C1161), and water vapor transmission (ASTM E96).

Ren, Shenqiang↗

The prospective impacts of 2019 state energy policies on the U.S. electricity system

Over the past several years state energy policies have been evolving rapidly, and are more frequently including higher targets, including 100% clean energy targets. This study assesses the aggregate impacts of state clean energy standards and emissions policies on national electricity generation, power sector carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions, and electricity prices and system costs. To do so, we apply the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, which is a detailed electric sector capacity expansion model, to evaluate scenarios with and without state policies and using a range of renewable energy technology cost projections. Across the scenarios analyzed, we find that the state policies drive 1.9%–10.7% of total nationwide clean energy and reduce cumulative power sector CO 2 emissions by 2.6%–5.4% over the 2020–2050 study period. This incremental generation is predominantly, but not exclusively, from renewable energy technologies. In most cases, the state policies result in increases to electricity prices and electricity system costs, and policy costs are sensitive to the future cost of clean energy technologies. Across all scenarios, the levelized cost of incremental policy-driven clean energy generation is estimated to be $17–38/MWh and the average cost of CO 2 abatement from the state-level policies is estimated to be $29–74/metric ton.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗