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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Purpose, Design, and Analysis of the NSTX-U Centerstack Casing Lateral Support Shims

The National Spherical Torus Experiment Upgrade (NSTX-U) centerstack casing surrounds the central magnet core of NSTXU. It provides the inner vacuum boundary of the plasma chamber and supports the radially inboard plasma facing components lining the plasma chamber. The casing is supported like a cantilever, fixed at the lower flange by a connection to the TF Bundle through a G-10 ring. It is flexibly supported at the top by bellows, and insulated shims intended to react the largest part of the inventory of the disruption loads at the upper support, thereby protecting the upper and lower connections from excessive loads. A large part of the qualification of the casing and tiles requires addressing and quantifying disruption loads. These have been estimated based on extensions of the behavior of NSTX during its run period roughly 15 years ago. Structural qualification of the Upgrade used these estimates of the loading as input to calculations to demonstrate adequacy for a “most probable” disruption. The estimates are included in a requirements document to guide conservative design of all components loaded by disruptions. However, the changes made for the upgrade made the extrapolation of disruption behavior uncertain. Disruptions include axisymmetric loading from axisymmetric currents induced in the vessel shells. In addition, more complex currents called Halo currents are a result of plasma poloidal currents impinging on the casing. The halo currents add another layer of uncertain behavior and net lateral loading to the casing. As a result, NSTX-U is equipped with a number of instruments intended to assess the nature and severity of disruptions. The casing shims are required for lateral support of the casing, but these have also been converted to load cells to provide another measure of the magnitude of symmetric and asymmetric loading. Some of the logic in the development of the requirements document are presented. Electromagnetic analysis of axisymmetric and halo loading is described. Global simulations of the casing transient dynamic response, and local analysis and testing of the shim/load cell are included. The shim load cells and other instrumentation will be an important guide in planning NSTX-U experiments beyond its next run period expected in late 2026 or early 2027.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Heat load measurements for the PIP-II pHB650 cryomodule

This study presents a brief overview of the 1st and 2nd phases and an in-depth analysis of the 3rd phase heat load testing performed on the pHB650 (prototype High Beta 650 MHz) cryomodule at PIP2IT (PIP-II Injector Test Facility), with a focus on both the results and the methodological advancements that have improved testing efficiency and accuracy. A key challenge identified in the testing campaign is the higher-than-expected heat loads observed in the first PIP-II (Proton Improvement Plan II) prototype cryomodules (pSSR1 and pHB650) tested at PIP2IT. Elevated heat loads are concerning given the fixed capacity of the PIP-II cryoplant that is currently being installed at Fermilab. However, understanding the sources of these elevated heat loads offers a critical opportunity to implement effective heat load mitigations on upcoming PIP-II cryomodules to stay within the available capacity of the PIP-II cryoplant. The study includes a summary of test results, descriptions of measurement procedures, and key observations on parameters directly and indirectly related to heat load measurements. Direct observations include measured heat loads and the effectiveness of JT heat exchanger under varying conditions, while indirect observation analyze factors such as the temperature distribution on the two-phase pipe and relief piping under varying conditions. Thermal acoustic oscillations (TAO) were identified during testing, which was mitigated by replacing the original G10 stem with a stainless steel stem equipped with wipers for the cryomodule cooldown valve. A major innovation during pHB650 Phase 3 testing was the development of an automated Python script to streamline data acquisition, analysis, and reporting of heat load results. This script automatically retrieved data from ACNET (Accelerator Control Network), performed heat load calculations, and generated detailed reports featuring plots and tables. This advancement significantly reduced manual labor and enhanced the thoroughness of data analysis compared to earlier campaigns. The heat load test reports were promptly uploaded to the electronic logbook shortly after each test, enabling rapid feedback and collaboration between the SRF and cryogenic teams. The heat load measurements included various components: HTTS (high-temperature thermal shield), LTTS (low-temperature thermal shield), 2K isothermal and non-isothermal heat loads. Results were recorded both within the cryomodule and between the bayonet can supply and return. Measurements were conducted under different operating conditions such as "standard", "linac", and "simulated dynamic". Additionally, HTTS and LTTS heat loads were calculated in real time, allowing for the tracking of thermal stability and identification of changes during testing, both in steady-state and transient conditions. The results of this testing campaign not only provide valuable insights into the performance of the pHB650 cryomodule but also highlight best practices and lessons learned that will inform future cryomodule testing at PIP2IT. These include adopting automated tools for data analysis, refining real-time measurement capabilities, and emphasizing detailed pre-test planning. The framework established in this campaign aims to set an improved standard for cryomodule testing and heat load reporting in future cryomodule test campaigns.

Porwisiak, D. [Fermilab; Wroclaw Tech. U.]↗
DOE OSTI2024

System and method for using mechanical loading to create spatially patterned meta surfaces for optical components

The present disclosure relates to a system for producing a patterned nanostructured surface on a component from a pre-existing, nanostructured surface with a first spatial feature distribution on the component. The system makes use of a force application element configured to apply a force to the pre-existing, nanostructured surface, and a force application control subsystem. The force application control subsystem is configured to control elevational movement of the force application element along a first axis of movement into and out of contact with the pre-existing, nanostructured surface to apply a predetermined load to the pre-existing, nanostructured surface. The predetermined load is sufficient to modify the pre-existing, non-patterned nanostructured surface to create the patterned nanostructured surface.

Ray, Nathan James↗
DOE OSTI2022

Clean Condensing Gas Furnace

Natural gas furnaces are the most common space heating equipment in the U.S. residential and commercial building markets. However, current residential natural gas condensing furnaces generate substantial acidic condensate as well as significant emissions of sulfur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), hydrocarbons (HC), and methane (CH 4 ) contributing to environmental degradation of air, water, and soil. This report describes a novel solution to reduce the environmental impact of natural gas condensing furnaces based on the technology of a monolithic acidic gas reduction (AGR) catalyst for SOx trapping, NOx redox to nitrogen, and oxidation of formic acid, CO, HC, and CH 4 . The AGR technology offers the following benefits: (1) a neutral furnace condensate with a pH of ~7, allowing its safe release into the sewer system thus eliminating a second drainage system; (2) trapping and removing nearly all SOx emissions; (3) NOx emissions nearly at nearly 1-2 ng/J, more than 95% lower than new emissions standards in California; (4) the use of a low-cost heat exchanger as a condensing heat exchanger (HX) since the condensate is not acidic, avoiding the need for expensive stainless steel alloys; and (5) unburnt fuel energy recovery to boost efficiency.The AGR component and AGR-enabled furnace performance were broadly tested to determine their effects on long-term reliability and durability, as well as SOx storage and regeneration activity. The AGR regeneration does not impair the performance in achieving neutral condensate and ultra-low NOx emissions, and the AGR catalyst subjected to regeneration activities continued to function well and achieved slightly better annual fuel utilization efficiency (AFUE). The 400-hour reliability and durability test of the retrofitted condensing furnace with the AGR component shows that the furnace unit still achieves a neutral furnace condensate with a pH of ~7 and enables 0~3 ng/J of NOx emissions. However, the 400-hour operation slightly degraded the AFUE because of soot particle accumulation caused by frequent incomplete combustion owing to inappropriate condensate drainage during testing. Thus, proper condensate drainage is critical for AGR-enabled furnaces. Furthermore, neutron computed tomography was employed to survey the aged AGR component and demonstrate high-resolution 2D and 3D representations for the nondestructive diagnosis of the AGR component. The tomography showed that the AGR component did not deform or suffer broken AGR channels. A new AGR catalyst with low precious metal loading was preliminarily explored to identify a pathway of optimizing AGR material loading and maximizing acidic gas reduction at low cost. The new AGR component can reduce precious metal loading by 38% and still achieve neutral condensate and ultralow NOx emissions. The furnace with the AGR component of low Pt/Rh loading enables a maximum AFUE of 97%, which is meaningfully higher than the original furnace. Long-duration testing for the furnace enabled with the low precious metal loading AGR component will be vital in future research. Although the current work demonstrates a proof of concept for the AGR-enabled furnace, the AGR assembly needs to be optimized and integrated into the design of new OEM furnace products. Furthermore, the AGR technology can be applied not only for residential gas furnaces, but also for commercial rooftop units, gas heat pumps, gas-fired water heaters, combustion boilers, and other systems.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Active Aerodynamic Load Control for Wind Turbines

The goal of this project was to develop and demonstrate an advanced dielectric barrier discharge (DBD) plasma actuator technology. We set out to demonstrate the efficacy and impact of the new actuator technology as a key component of an active load control system for wind turbines. A DBD plasma actuator consists of a thin layer of dielectric material separating a pair of offset electrodes. One of those electrodes is embedded between the dielectric layer and a non-conductive substrate, while the other is exposed to air. When driven by an appropriate high voltage waveform, the device ionizes the air near the surface of the dielectric and adjacent to the exposed electrode. Collisions between the ions in the plasma and neutral air molecules result in a wall-jet – a region of induced air velocity that can be used to modify the flow around a lifting body. Use of the device near the trailing edge of a wind turbine blade, designed in such a way as to amplify the effects of the flow-modifying device, can result in large changes to the global forces experienced by the blade. Because of the fast response time of the device, it can allow the turbine to react in real time to changes in the wind associated with turbulence, wind shear, gusts, and the like, when paired with appropriate sensors and control algorithms. The goal of this project was to increase the capacity of the device to induce velocity on its surface at the levels required by large, utility-scale wind turbines. The first technical goal was to increase the induced velocity from the current industry-best of about 4 m/s to 10 m/s by modifying the electrical waveform used to drive the device and by introducing a semi-conductive surface coating to control electrostatic charge build-up on the surface. The second goal was to use the device to modify the lift on a representative airfoil in a wind tunnel, demonstrating a reduction in lift coefficient of 0.2 or better. The third goal was to produce an actuator-induced velocity of 20 m/s. Alongside our partners at the University of Texas at Dallas, we also applied modern, advanced design methods to optimize the impact of the technology on the design of wind turbines. We also had planned to install a segmented, active load control system on a test turbine to demonstrate the ability to reduce unsteady aerodynamic forces on the turbine associated with changes in the wind. The highest induced velocity achieved during this research was 11 m/s. However, practical design constraints limited the change in lift coefficient to about 0.12 for a representative airfoil in the wind tunnel at a Reynolds number of 400,000. The primary conclusion is that the plasma actuator control authority remains insufficient for practical purposes when extrapolated to Reynolds numbers over 1 million. The potential impact of the active lift control concept was evaluated through detailed simulations for three wind turbine sizes: a 3.4MW onshore turbine, a 10MW offshore turbine, and a 15MW offshore turbine. A feedback control system was designed for each turbine within two scenarios: one where the active lift control is used as a retrofit capability on the baseline design, and the other where the designers were permitted to “upscale” the turbines in order increase annual energy production. The levelized cost of energy was then evaluated for the range of turbine sizes and design configuration. It was found that the LCOE reduction associated with active lift control fell in the range of 0.7% to 7.2%, with the highest reduction associated with upscaling the 3.4MW turbine.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Design and Analysis of High Heat Flux Plasma-Facing Components for NSTX Upgrade

The National Spherical Tokamak Experiment (NSTX) upgrade (NSTX-U) requirements lead to enhanced heat loads on plasma-facing components (PFCs) especially in the divertor regions, where normal heat flux density can reach up to 8 MW/m 2 . For these high heat flux (HHF) regions, the PFCs were redesigned, to use castellations which relieved the thermal stresses associated with high incident heat flux. Another design feature of HHF PFCs is the absence of front face mounting holes which create localized areas of high temperature and thermal stress concentrations. Optimized shaping of the front face of the HHF PFCs eliminates regions where the front face is perpendicular to the heat flux direction during normal helicity operation and spreads the heat load. A unique mechanism was designed to connect PFC tiles to the NSTX-U center stack casing using locking features accessible from the low heat flux regions. Isotropic graphite was selected as the HHF PFC tile material. Initial tile design parameters were accessed using analytical expressions for pulsed heat flux loading. A working prototype of the locking mechanism was created during the initial stages of the design to prove the concept performance. This article presents an overview of the divertor HHF PFC design and the results of the thermal and structural analyses performed using ANSYS software. The results of the analyses cover normal operating conditions and disruptions which impose electromagnetic (EM) loads from eddy and halo currents. The 3-D, transient, nonlinear analyses took into account the temperature-dependent properties of the materials, friction interfaces between the parts, and variable electric properties of the parts and interfaces. The results confirm that the HHF PFC tiles remain within the allowable limits for the loads defined by the NSTX-U Recovery Project. In addition, tolerance stack up analyses were performed to ensure tile performance in the worst possible assembly configuration. Finally, the design process was completed successfully, and the NSTX HHF PFC tiles are currently in the production phase.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of 304L stainless steel deformation and failure under cyclic loading

The motivation for this work came from the simulation of components subjected to impact. In these problems, repeated loading can be generated by vibrational motion between internal parts of the component or by the occurrence of multiple impacts. Graphs of tensile equivalent plastic strain $(\overline{\varepsilon}_T^\rho)$ versus time from such cases had the character shown in Fig. 1. The equivalent plastic strain grew by alternating periods of accumulation and hold. The periods of hold indicate times when $d\overline{\varepsilon}_T^\rho$ did not accumulate. This can be due to the material unloading into the elastic range, or actually plastically reverse loading with hydrostatic stress σ h < 0 as was demonstrated for an impact simulation. Similar observations were made from the simulation of a 2-degree-of-freedom mass-elastic-plastic-spring system subjected to impact.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of Predictive Model for Accurate Rupture Time from Multi-Axial Creep in Alloy 709 with Physics-Based Simulations

A physics-based model is developed to predict multiaxial creep behavior in Alloy 709 (A709), an advanced austenitic stainless steel intended for high-temperature applications such as Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs). Compared to conventional stainless steels like 316H, A709 offers superior high-temperature performance; however, comprehensive data on its multiaxial creep response remain limited. To address this gap, a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) framework is used to simulate the deformation and failure mechanisms of A709 under multiaxial loading conditions. The model incorporates an extended Hu-Cocks dislocation creep formulation that accounts for precipitation effects, along with the Sham–Needleman model to capture grain boundary cavitation-driven failure. These advanced constitutive models enable a detailed understanding of the interplay between microstructural evolution and macroscopic creep response. Furthermore, the study evaluates the predictive accuracy of various effective stress measures in estimating creep rupture life, leveraging simulated multiaxial creep data. The findings provide critical insights into the applicability of different stress measures for engineering design and life prediction of A709 components operating under complex loading conditions. This work contributes to improving the reliability of high-temperature structural components by advancing predictive modeling capabilities for advanced austenitic steels.

Alloy 709↗
DOE OSTI2020

A simple method for modelling fatigue spectra of small wind turbine blades

Small-scale wind turbines have market opportunities in distributed energy generation applications but face future challenges in remaining cost competitive compared with solar photovoltaic systems. High unit costs can be attributed to design conservatism when calculating fatigue loads of key structural components such as the blades. In this study, we use the aeroelastic software FAST to highlight limitations of the International Electrotechnical Commission 61400-2:2013 small wind turbine design standard for calculating fatigue life using the simplified load model. We present a modified method for calculating the fatigue spectra of small wind turbine blades. An advantage of this method is that it does not require complex aeroelastic simulations or field measurements. This modified method is intended to be implemented early in the blade design stage, such as during rotor optimization simulations, allowing for multiple rotor configurations to be rapidly compared.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Carbon-Binder Weight Loading Optimization for Improved Lithium-Ion Battery Rate Capability

Battery performance is strongly correlated with electrode microstructure and weight loading of the electrode components. Among them are the carbon-black and binder additives that enhance effective conductivity and provide mechanical integrity. However, these both reduce effective ionic transport in the electrolyte phase and reduce energy density. Therefore, an optimal additive loading is required to maximize performance, especially for fast charging where ionic transport is essential. Such optimization analysis is however challenging due to the nanoscale imaging limitations that prevent characterizing this additive phase and thus quantifying its impact on performance. Herein, an additive-phase generation algorithm has been developed to remedy this limitation and identify percolation threshold used to define a minimal additive loading. Improved ionic transport coefficients from reducing additive loading has been then quantified through homogenization calculation, macroscale model fitting, and experimental symmetric cell measurement, with good agreement between the methods. Rate capability test demonstrates capacity improvement at fast charge at the beginning of life, from 37% to 55%, respectively for high and low additive loading during 6C CC charging, in agreement with macroscale model, and attributed to a combination of lower cathode impedance, reduced electrode tortuosity and cathode thickness.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Carbon-Binder Optimization for Lithium-Ion Battery Extreme Fast Charge

Battery performance is strongly correlated with electrode microstructure and weight loading of the electrode components. Among them are the carbon-black and binder additives that enhance effective conductivity and provide mechanical integrity. However, these both reduce effective ionic transport in the electrolyte phase and reduce energy density. Therefore, an optimal additive loading is required to maximize performance, especially for fast charging where ionic transport is essential. Such optimization analysis is however challenging due to the nanoscale imaging limitations that prevent characterizing this additive phase and thus quantifying its impact on performance. Herein, an additive-phase generation algorithm has been developed to remedy this limitation and identify percolation threshold used to define a minimal additive loading. Improved ionic transport coefficients from reducing additive loading has been then quantified through homogenization calculation, macroscale model fitting, and experimental symmetric cell measurement, with good agreement between the methods. Rate capability test demonstrates capacity improvement at fast charge at the beginning of life, from 37% to 55%, respectively for high and low additive loading during 6C CC charging, in agreement with macroscale model, and attributed to a combination of lower cathode impedance, reduced electrode tortuosity and cathode thickness.

carbon-binder additives↗
DOE OSTI2023

MiGRIDS

MiGRIDS is a software that models islanded microgrid power systems with different controls and components. For example, using load and resource data from a microgrid, you could model it with additional wind turbines, battery etc. You could also try out different dispatch schemes to see which one worked best. MiGRIDS is designed to help optimize the size and dispatch of grid components in a microgrid. While a grid connect feature is expected to be added in the future, islanded operation is the focus. Note that this is a basic implementation and more features and functionality (such as a GUI) are coming! MiGRIDS runs time-step energy balance simulations for different grid components and controls. In smaller microgrid environments, dispatch decisions are being made on the order of seconds. In order to fully capture their effect, this tool lets you run simulations on the order of seconds. The end result is a more realistic representation of what can be achieved by integrating different components and control strategies in a grid.

Morgan, Tawna↗
DOE OSTI2023

Faster-than-real-time Simulation with Demonstration for Resilient DER Integration

The US electric grid is facing operational, stability, and security challenges. Transmission system operators need some measure of visibility into distribution system renewable generation. Distribution system generation needs to support transmission system voltage. The grid is experiencing an expansion in measurement systems. How to take full advantage of this expansion and defend against attacks, both cyber and physical, poses additional challenges. The Faster-than-real-time Simulation with demonstration for Resilient DER Integration project set out to do the following: a. Flatten the voltage profile through the feeders and system for cost saving and voltage stabilization needs. b. Increase the amount of intermittent distributed energy resources (IDERs) that could be deployed on a utility feeder and provide 100% or more energy needed for the demands on that feeder, and c. based on an accurate model (Digital Twin) of the utilities system, be able to detect any abnormalities on the utilities distribution system. To manage the voltage and increase IDER penetration (a,b), Graph Trace Analysis is employed in a time-series, optimal power flow to coordinate the time-varying feedback control setpoints of a distribution feeder’s utility control devices. Under the coordinated control are a Load Tap Changing Transformer, a voltage regulator, and five switched capacitor banks. The feeder serves over 2000 customers, the feeder secondaries are modeled, and the feeder has 2.3 MW of PV generation, corresponding to a 17.4% penetration of PV generation. The feeder model has over 12,000 components, where every customer load bus and PV generator are modeled. The accuracy of the power flow solution is compared against historical meter voltage measurements, the improvement in conservation voltage reduction energy savings as a function of the coordinated control desired voltage profile is investigated, and the increase in PV penetration of the coordinated control over the existing control is presented. To achieve improved control performance while observing system operation constraints, bellwether Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) voltage measurements are used to adjust the desired voltage profile used by the optimal power flow analysis. To detect and alleviate or negate attacks or failures on the distribution and transmission utility grids (c) the grid needs to be resilient and self-healing. In this project software was designed to do just that. At the center of the software is an Integrated System Model (ISM) that spans from transmission to secondary distribution. The ISM is employed in real-time abnormality detection, voltage stability forecasting, and multi-mode control. Testing results are presented for: 1—attacks on utility infrastructure; 2—energy savings from optimal control; 3—distribution system control response during a low voltage transmission system event; 4—cyber-attacks on PV inverters, where physical inverters are used in hard-ware-in-the-simulation-loop studies. Contributions of this work include real-time analysis that spans from three-phase transmission through secondary distribution; an approach for detecting abnormalities that employs measurements from three independent measurement systems; and a multi-mode distribution system control that responds to cyber-attacks, physical attacks, equipment failures, and transmission system needs.

Integrated System Model, Graph Trace Analysis, Adv↗
DOE OSTI2021

Vibration of a cryomodule’s coupler during road transportation: Multibody analysis and experimental validation

The road transportation of critical components for cryogenic cryomodules is a challenging task. Indeed, the shipping and the handling of fundamental sub-assemblies can expose these components to harmful dynamic loads that can jeopardize their structural integrity. This article has the purpose of developing a finite element multibody model capable of assessing the acceleration on a test coupler for a cavity of the Single Spoke Resonator 1 subjected to a typical road transportation trip. A multibody model consisting of rigid bodies and finite element–imported flexible bodies has been created allowing a comparison of the simulated and experimental acceleration. Afterwards, an experimental on-road test, whose set-up is described in this article, has been carried out at Fermilab with instrumented components. Being able to effectively simulate and validate the dynamic effects on such sub-assemblies makes it possible, for the future, to simulate more complex structures subject to dynamic loadings, such as the entire cryomodules during shipping. Furthermore, the results from the simulations can be used to guide the design of new suspension systems suitable for the reduction mitigation of structural vibration during the road transportation of cryomodules.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Load-decoupling attachment system

A load-decoupling attachment system is configured to secure a component to a primary structure. The load-decoupling system includes a fore end coupling bracket that is configured to attach to a fore end of the component. A first tie rod is coupled to the fore end coupling bracket. The first tie rod is configured to couple to a first portion of the primary structure. A second tie rod is coupled to the fore end coupling bracket. The second tie rod configured to couple to a second portion of the primary structure. A universal joint mount assembly is configured to couple to an aft end of the component and a third portion of the primary structure.

Weathers, Jeffrey W.↗
DOE OSTI2020

WEC fault modelling and condition monitoring: A graph-theoretic approach

The nature of wave resources usually requires wave energy converter (WEC) components to handle peak loads (i.e., torques, forces, and powers) that are many times greater than their average loads, accelerating equipment degradation. Moreover, due to their isolated nature and harsh operating environment, WEC systems are projected to possess high operations and maintenance (O&M) cost, i.e., around 27% of their leveled cost of energy. As such, developing techniques to mitigate these costs through the application of condition monitoring and fault tolerant control will significantly impact the economic feasibility of grid connected WEC power. Toward this goal, models of faulty components are developed in the open source modeling platform, WEC-Sim, to estimate the performance and measurable states of a WEC operating with likely device and sensor failures. Two types of faulty component models are then applied to a point absorber WEC model with basic controller damping and spring forces. Resulting changes in device behavior are recorded as a benchmark, and a graph-theoretic approach is proposed for fault detection and identification utilizing multivariate time series. Simulation results demonstrate that these faults can greatly affect the WEC performance, and that the proposed method can effectively detect and classify different types of faults.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2025

Initial Design Curves for Alloy 709 for an Improved Creep-fatigue Design Method

Creep-fatigue (CF) interaction damage is the primary damage mode for high-temperature structural components subjected to cyclic loading. Over the past several decades, researchers within the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code (BPVC), Section III, Division 5, have focused on developing elevated temperature code rules to ensure conservative structural designs that mitigate CF failure in high-temperature reactors. The existing CF evaluation methodologies in the Code are based on the creep and fatigue damage diagram approach, which is complex and often excessively conservative. The alternative CF evaluation approach proposed here is intended to significantly simplify the evaluation procedure while reducing conservatism in high-temperature component design analysis. This alternative CF evaluation method integrates the elastic–perfectly plastic (EPP) analysis approach with the simplified model test (SMT) CF design concept, leveraging the advantages of both methods. This report presents the preliminary analysis and the approach for developing CF design curves for Alloy 709, utilizing fatigue and CF data generated for the 100,000-hr Code Case to support its qualification to ASME Section III, Division 5 for Class A construction of high temperature reactors. This study is to support the incorporation of Alloy 709 in this alternative CF evaluation method. Recommendations for the remaining work needed to complete the effort are also provided.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine learning surrogate of physics-based building-stock simulator for end-use load forecasting

Building energy models are used to simulate heat and mass transfer and estimate end-use load in buildings. With the proliferation of solar photovoltaics on residential and commercial buildings, increasingly, buildings are expected to provide grid services, for which accurate and computationally efficient building energy simulations and end-use load prediction are imperative. Existing building energy simulation tools, however, have significant computational overhead that make them less practical in real-time deployment for optimization, design, uncertainty quantification and control in building energy management systems. Here this article presents a data-driven machine learning model based on light gradient boosting method (LightGBM) as a surrogate for a physics-based simulator for residential buildings to predict end-use load. The machine learning based surrogate model accounts for time-series related variables, seasonality and trend component of end-use load, and history of end-use load. The accuracy of the surrogate model is assessed on the prediction of the load profiles of 100 different houses in Cook County, Illinois, USA. The LightGBM surrogate model is shown to reduce the root-mean-squared error by 53% relative to a reference decision tree (DT) based model reported previously in the literature. Moreover, the model predicts the load spikes and high-ramp rate events throughout the year which are often the Achilles heel of other models in the literature. The machine learning based surrogate model is demonstrated to be computationally efficient, with a ten-fold reduction in the computational time compared to a physics-based building energy simulation, and suitable for uncertainty analysis and real-time control of building characteristics in response to uncertainty.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗