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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2023

Control Co-Design of Wind Turbines

Wind energy is recognized worldwide as cost-effective and environmentally friendly, and it is among the fastest-growing sources of electrical energy. To further decrease the cost of wind energy, wind turbines are being designed at ever-larger scales. To expand the deployment of wind energy, wind turbines are also being designed on floating platforms for placement in deep-water locations offshore. Both larger-scale and floating wind turbines pose challenges because of their greater structural loads and deflections. Complex, large-scale systems such as modern wind turbines increasingly require a control co-design approach, whereby the system design and control design are performed in a more integrated fashion. This article reviews recent developments in control co-design of wind turbines. We provide an overview of wind turbine design objectives and constraints, issues in the design of key wind turbine components, modeling of the wind turbine and environment, and controller coupling issues. Wind turbine control functions and the integration of control design in co-design are detailed with a focus on co-design compatible control approaches.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

AMOC stability and diverging response to Arctic sea ice decline in two climate models

This study compares the impacts of Arctic sea ice decline on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in two configurations of the Community Earth System Model with different horizontal resolution. In a suite of model experiments, we impose radiative imbalance at the ice surface, replicating a loss of sea ice cover comparable to that observed during 1979–2014, and we find dramatic differences in the AMOC response between the two models. In the lower-resolution configuration, the AMOC weakens by about one-third over the first 100 years, approaching a new quasi-equilibrium. By contrast, in the higher-resolution configuration, the AMOC weakens by ~10% during the first 20–30 years followed by a full recovery driven by invigorated deep water formation in the Labrador Sea and adjacent regions. We investigate these differences using a diagnostic AMOC stability indicator, which reflects the AMOC freshwater transport in and out of the basin and hence the strength of the basin-scale salt-advection feedback. This indicator suggests that the AMOC in the lower-resolution model is less stable and more sensitive to surface perturbations, as confirmed by hosing experiments mimicking Arctic freshening due to sea ice decline. Differences between the models’ mean states, including the Atlantic Ocean mean surface freshwater fluxes, control the differences in AMOC stability. Our results demonstrate that the AMOC stability indicator is indeed useful for evaluating AMOC sensitivity to perturbations. We emphasize that, despite the differences in the long-term adjustment, both models simulate a multidecadal AMOC weakening caused by Arctic sea ice decline, relevant to climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

TEAMER: FOSWEC Mooring Modeling and Analysis, Post Access Report and Data

Floating oscillating surge wave energy converters (FOSWECs) offer several advantages over bottom-hinged oscillating surge wave energy converters, including large wave potential at deep-water sites with fewer permitting and environmental concerns outside territorial waters. As a team, Stevens Institute of Technology, Virginia Tech and Resolute Marine Energy are designing a 100 kW FOSWEC with DOE support (2020-2021) for the PacWave test site "PacWave". The proposed FOSWEC consists of a floating platform, two pivoting flaps, and an innovative power-take-off (PTO). The distance between the two flaps is around half the typical wavelength, resulting in out-of-phase motion and a reduction in motion of the frame and mooring loads. The overall goal of the project is to design, build, deploy and analyze a 1:2 scale (100-kW annual averaged electrical power output) device with reduced levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and peak-to-average power ratio, through the co-design and control of the PTO, WEC, and floating platform. This submission includes a Post Access Report and data for the project of Mooring Modeling and Analysis for Floating Oscillating Surge Wave Energy Converter that Powers Marine Aquaculture of RFTS2 (request for technical support). The data are used to generate all figures in the Post Access Report. Project was a collaboration between Virginia Tech and the National Renewable Energy Lab, with funding from TEAMER.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2024

HERO WEC V1 Upgrade - 2023 Laboratory Testing (processed data)

The following submission includes processed laboratory data from NREL's Hydraulic and Electric Reverse Osmosis Wave Energy Converter (HERO WEC), in the form of MATLAB workspaces. This dataset was created using NREL's Large Amplitude Motion Platform (LAMP) and collected between August and September 2023. Included with this submission is a test log of all the processed data "HERO WEC LAMP test run log.xlsx" so that the user can easily find the data of interest. Additionally, more detailed descriptions of the type of data and how it was processed, or calculated, can be found in the document titled "Lamp Data Description.docx". The MATLAB workspaces can be visualized using the file "LAMP_Data_Viewer_Ver2.m/mlx". The user simply needs to upload the workspace of interest and run the file "LAMP_Data_Viewer_Ver2.m/mlx". Both the .m and .mlx file format has been provided depending on the user's preference. The MATLAB workspaces have been separated into zip files corresponding to either Drivetrain, Hydraulic, or Electric configuration runs representing the respective test cases that were run. The drivetrain runs were used to characterize the drivetrain only (no pump or generator). The Hydraulic runs represent the configuration when the seawater pump is installed, and the Electric runs represents the configuration when the generator is installed. The following sub-categories of data are included for each type: - DW - Deep water sine wave profile (not run in drivetrain configuration) - Heave - Heave only sine wave profile - Heave_NoRO (hydraulic configuration only) - Heave_ACC (hydraulic configuration only) - IR - Surge and heave irregular wave profile (not run in drivetrain configuration) - RW - Heave only profile created from real world encoder data (not run in drivetrain configuration) For those interested in the raw, unprocessed, data the authors have created a separate submission, linked below. This submission includes the raw TDMS files and associated files necessary to translate the data into either python or MATLAB formats. This data set has been developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, operated by Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308. Funding provided U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Water Power Technologies Office.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2024

HERO WEC V1 Upgrade - 2023 Laboratory Testing (Raw Data)

This submission contains the original, unprocessed data from the 2023 Large Amplitude Motion Platform (LAMP) testing of NREL's Hydraulic and Electric Reverse Osmosis Wave Energy Converter (HERO WEC). This data serves as a companion to MHKDR #520. Data was collected using NREL's Modular Ocean Data AcQuisition (MODAQ) system in TDMS format. Specifications of TDMS files can be found on the NI website. The TDMS files have been separated into zip files corresponding to either Drivetrain, Hydraulic, or Electric configuration runs representing the respective test cases that were run. The drivetrain runs were used to characterize the drivetrain only (no pump or generator). The Hydraulic runs represent the configuration when the seawater pump is installed, and the Electric runs represents the configuration when the generator is installed. The following sub-categories of data are included for each type: - DW - Deep water (monochromatic sine wave) profile (not run in drivetrain configuration) - Heave - Heave only (monochromatic sine wave) profile - Heave_NoRO (hydraulic configuration only) - Heave_ACC (hydraulic configuration only) - IR - Surge and heave irregular wave profile (not run in drivetrain configuration) - RW - Heave only profile created from real world encoder data (not run in drivetrain configuration) Reference documents: - "HERO WEC Lamp Test Run Log.xlsx": contains specifications for each test run - "Lamp Data Description.docx": provides detailed information about data types and processing methods For those interested in the processed data the authors have created a separate submission, MHKDR #520, linked below. This data set has been developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, operated by Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC, for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308. Funding provided U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Water Power Technologies Office.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Cost of Floating Offshore Wind Energy in California Between 2019 and 2032

California’s energy planning is centered around meeting the emissions reduction and renewable energy requirements of Senate Bill 350 by 2030. However, state power system planning is expected to eventually address California’s requirement to achieve 100% of total retail electricity sales from renewable energy and zero-carbon resources by 2045, as mandated by Senate Bill 100. To comply with these directives, California needs to investigate the further development of energy efficiency, storage, and a diverse range of renewable energy, zero-carbon emission, and transmission resources, including offshore wind. Wind resources off the coast of California have the potential to generate a significant portion of the state’s electric energy as it moves toward a zero-carbon economy and can help diversify its energy mix. Floating offshore wind technology, which is suitable for the deep waters along the California coast, is currently in a precommercial phase, with approximately 84 megawatts (MW) installed worldwide at the end of 2019. Globally there are over 7,000 MW in planning and permitting phases of development, with the first commercial-scale projects expected to be operational in 2024. This study provides site-specific cost and performance data for floating offshore wind to inform California’s long-term energy planning. The identification of new resources to meet California’s policy goals at least cost is part of the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process, which is coordinated by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). In 2019–2020 IRP modeling, offshore wind was included for the first time as a candidate resource in some sensitivity cases (CPUC 2019). The data and information presented in this report can be used to update offshore wind inputs in future IRP cycles. The authors conducted a geospatial cost analysis over portions of the offshore wind resource area of California. The analyzed spatial domain includes sites with a mean wind speed of at least 7 meters per second and water depths between 40 meters (m) and 1,300 m. Costs and energy production vary across this analysis domain. We calculated these parameters on a grid layout with over 750 sites, with each site representing a 1,000-MW commercial offshore wind power plant. Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) was calculated at each site over the analysis domain. The resulting variation in LCOE across the analysis domain is illustrated through heat maps in this report. Five study areas were selected within the analysis domain where more detailed cost analysis was conducted and cost parameters, such as annual energy production, capital cost expenditures (CapEx), operational cost expenditures (OpEx), and net capacity factors are reported. These five study areas include Morro Bay, Diablo Canyon, Humboldt, Cape Mendocino and Del Norte.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

CO 2 Storage Site Screening Platform Development and CO 2 Storage Resource Analysis in SECARB Offshore Reservoirs Using SAS Viya

A major goal of the SECARB Offshore Partnership (DE-FE0031557) is to screen deep saline aquifers and hydrocarbon reservoirs in the central Gulf of Mexico for CO 2 sequestration and CO 2 -enhanced oil and gas recovery (EOR/EGR) and estimate the corresponding CO 2 storage resources for select reservoirs. CO 2 storage potential associated with offshore CO 2 -EOR is considerable and likely represents “low hanging fruit” for near-term CO 2 storage given the in-place infrastructure in the region. It is for these reasons that this assessment focuses on oil and gas fields. To this end, three major objectives have been completed and include (1) managing geological data derived from different sources, (2) building a reservoir screening platform for CO 2 storage, and (3) ranking the reservoirs based on the estimated CO 2 storage resources. The SAS ® Viya platform was used for data management and analytics. The Viya platform is a cloud service platform that provides data integration, data management, quick analytics, data visualization, machine learning functions, and application programming interfaces (APIs) for multi-programming languages. Different sources of data containing geologic information, reservoir properties, and EOR/EGR information were collected, cleaned, formatted, and loaded into the SAS ® Viya platform for evaluation. The major geological characteristics of both shelf and deep-water areas of the central Gulf were examined and compared to define the appropriate reservoir screening criteria. Next, a CO 2 storage site screening system was built in the SAS ® Viya platform with the pre-defined criteria. Finally, the CO 2 storage resources of the screened reservoirs were calculated and reported at the BOEM field level to identify fields with the highest estimated CO 2 storage resource. The fields with the largest total estimated CO 2 storage resource are located in the Mississippi Canyon protraction area. Due to proximity to the Mississippi Delta (indicative of less infrastructure) and large estimated CO 2 storage resources, future development activities may wish to focus efforts in the Mississippi Canyon protraction area.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2023

Development of Event-Based Data Acquisition for Acoustic Emission Monitoring of the Structural Integrity of Wind Turbine Blades [Slides]

DOE Alignment: Reduce the cost of floating offshore wind energy in deep waters to $45/MWh by 2035 from today’s estimated $150/MWh20 by: Developing operations and maintenance strategies and increasing wind turbine reliability to reduce periods of non-operation and reduce labor at sea through remote system health monitoring, inspection, and maintenance capabilities incorporating artificial intelligence and predictive maintenance.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Definition of the Stiesdal Offshore TetraSpar Floating Wind System for OC6 Phase IV

The Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation, and unCertainty (OC6) is an international project focused on verifying and validating modeling tools used in the analysis of floating offshore wind systems. The fourth phase of the project aims to assess the ability of the tools to model a novel floating wind design. The TetraSpar was designed by Stiesdal Offshore Technologies and was selected as the subject platform for the project. The platform is a unique design that features spar-like stability with a very low center of gravity, but does not require rare deep-water ports. This combination is achieved with a system made of two separate steel structures, a hull at the water's surface that supports the wind turbine tower, and a keel that is suspended below the main body. This lower keel has a very high density and drives the total platform's low center of gravity. The TetraSpar, with hull and keel, spar-type stability, and relatively slender components, is unique compared to platforms studied in earlier phases of OC3-OC6 projects, and it offers an opportunity to evaluate the applicability of modeling tools to a novel design, especially unique hydrodynamics and compliant cables. Scaled model tests of the TetraSpar design were performed in 2018-2019 by the University of Maine. The data collected in the model tests provides a detailed description of the response of the platform in various controlled and relatively well understood conditions. Comparison with this data provides a good opportunity for validation of numerical models. The OC6 Phase IV work focuses on the specific parameters used in these scaled model tests. Descriptions of the platform and the test campaign in this document are based on the report written by Allen and Fowler of the University of Maine in 2019.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Evacuations: Reva Hurwitz, The Red Cross, and Operation Crossroads

On April 1, 1946, an earthquake off Unimak Island, Alaska, generated a tsunami that raced across the Pacific. One of the islands in danger was Kwajalein, the logistical hub for Operation Crossroads. Commodore Ben Wyatt, the U.S. naval commander of the Marshall Islands, ordered the evacuation of “10 Red Cross workers, 19 USO women, 17 native women, 16 male [hospital] patients, four tiny babies, one small boy, and two navy doctors,” to the USS Rockbridge, which then steamed in deep water off the atoll until the danger passed. One of the Red Cross workers, Reva Hurwitz, played bridge in the ship’s wardroom until 2 a.m., a luxury since the island curfew, strictly enforced, was 10:30 pm. The tsunami bypassed Kwajalein, and everyone returned to the island less than twenty-four hours after being evacuated. Although the evacuation proved unnecessary, the women were grateful, said Hurwitz, because they had the opportunity “to use hot water and eat fresh fruit.”

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison of Floating Wind Farms With and Without Shared Anchors

As part of the Innovative Deep-Water Mooring Systems for Floating Wind Farms (DeepFarm) R&D project, led by Principle Power Inc., the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) performed an LCOE analysis to compare the changes in LCOE between floating wind farms with individual anchors versus shared anchors. This report presents a comparative analysis of the LCOE of two different wind farms with different mooring systems: one with taut mooring lines each connected to individual suction pile anchors, and one with taut mooring lines connected to shared anchors. A brief description of the methodology employed to conduct the LCOE comparison is given, including the underlying assumptions. Then, results are presented with a compilation of key findings.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2025

2025 Continuing Incubator Final Report: Active Hybrid Mooring

This project advanced the development of an active hybrid mooring system integrating experimental testing with numerical simulation to capture complex mooring dynamics not feasible in existing wave basins, including deep-water and shared mooring interactions. Verification testing of the complete hybrid system yielded good agreement in mooring tension and platform translation responses, though discrepancies in platform pitch response indicate that further refinement may be needed in future work.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2026

Harnessing Ocean Thermal Gradients Using Thermoelectric Based Submersibles for Ocean Power Applications

The urgent need for energy solutions in marine environments has accelerated the development of innovative technologies capable of leveraging natural resources for power generation. This study introduces a buoyancy-driven submersible system designed to harness ocean thermal gradients using thermoelectric generators (TEGs) and phase change materials (PCMs). The technology aims to provide autonomous power to offshore aquaculture farms, unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs), offshore platform illumination, and ocean sensors, significantly reducing dependence on fossil fuels. Ocean thermal gradients, especially prevalent in mid-latitude regions, exhibit temperature differences between surface and deep waters ranging from 7 degrees Celsius to 30 degrees Celsius depending on seasonal variations. The proposed submersible technology utilizes TEGs to convert thermal energy from these gradients into electrical power, generating between 0.2 and 0.5 watts, while PCMs are employed to store and regulate this energy, ensuring a stable and continuous power supply. The buoyancy-driven mechanism of the submersible enhances its capability to navigate through varying depths, optimizing its exposure to different thermal gradients and maximizing energy harvesting. The performance of this submersible system is analyzed through detailed thermodynamic assessments and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling focused on heat transfer. These analyzes consider real-world ocean temperature profiles and seek to refine the interaction between TEGs and PCMs to optimize energy extraction. The evaluation encompasses several key performance metrics, including power output and energy efficiency. Results confirm the potential of this innovative technology to provide a continuous and reliable power source for marine applications. By demonstrating the feasibility of using ocean thermal gradients for energy generation, this study contributes to the broader efforts of innovation in energy technologies for harsh, remote marine environments. The implementation of such promises is significant advancements in the autonomy of marine operations. The ongoing research will further investigate scalability ensuring that the system can be effectively adapted to various marine settings and operational demands.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2026

OC6 Project Phase IV: Validation of Numerical Models for Novel Floating Offshore Wind Support Structures

The fourth phase of the Offshore Code Comparison, Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation and unCertainty (OC6) aims to assess the ability of the tools to model a novel floating wind design. The design that was selected for this project is the TetraSpar designed by Stiesdal Offshore Technologies. The platform is a unique design that features a spar like stability with a very low center of gravity, but does not require deep-water ports. This combination is achieved with a system made of two separate steel structures, a hull at the water’s surface that supports the wind turbine tower, and a keel that is suspended below the main body. This lower keel has a very high density and drives the total platform’s low center of gravity. Scaled model tests of the TetraSpar design were performed in 2018-2019 by the University of Maine. The tests were performed with 1:43 Froude scaling. The data collected in the model tests provide a detailed description of the response of the platform in various controlled and relatively well understood conditions. Comparison with these data provides a good opportunity for validation of numerical models. The OC6 Phase IV work will focus on the specific parameters used in these scaled model tests. The load cases (LC) considered in this project are as follows: LC 1.X - Equilibrium and Static Offset Tests LC 2.X - Platform Free Decays LC 3.X - Turbine Thrust (Wind Only) LC 4.X - Regular and Irregular Waves (Wave only) LC 5.X - Combined Wind and Wave Loading

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Sink or Swim: A Tutorial on the Control of Floating Wind Turbines: Preprint

Within the rapidly growing wind energy sector, floating offshore wind turbines are expected to be the fastest growing portion. This is largely driven by the immense offshore wind resources that are mostly over deep water, where fixed-bottom concepts become cost prohibitive. However, compared to fixed-bottom wind turbines, floating wind turbines are more dynamic and exhibit potential instabilities, which requires advanced control technologies to ensure a safe and efficient operation. Beyond their existing objectives of maximizing power production while minimizing structural loads, floating wind turbine controllers must also avoid large platform oscillations and accommodate wave disturbances. This paper provides an overview of the challenges and opportunities in the control of floating offshore wind energy systems.

control↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparison of Coupled and Uncoupled Modeling of Floating Wind Farms with Shared Anchors

As design options for floating wind farms continue to be explored, shared (or multiline) anchors that secure mooring lines from multiple turbines remain a promising technology that can potentially reduce the number of anchors and overall mooring costs. This study evaluates two methods for analyzing the loads on shared anchors: one in which floating offshore wind turbines are simulated individually (using the software OpenFAST), and one in which an entire floating wind farm is simulated collectively (using the software FAST.Farm). A three-line shared anchor is evaluated for multiple loading scenarios in deep water, using the International Energy Agency 15 MW turbine on the VolturnUS-S semisubmersible platform. While the two methods produce broadly comparable results, the coupled wave loading on platforms within the farm results in wave force cancellations and amplifications that decrease multiline force directional ranges and increase multiline force extreme values (up to 7%) and standard deviations (up to 11%) for wave-driven load cases. The inclusion of wakes in FAST.Farm also reduces the net load on the shared anchor due to the velocity deficit, leading to larger differences between OpenFAST and FAST.Farm (up to 3% difference in mean loads) for load cases with operational turbines.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multi-scale assessment of a grassland productivity model

Grasslands provide many important ecosystem services globally, and projecting grassland productivity in the coming decades will provide valuable information to land managers. Productivity models can be well calibrated at local scales but generally have some maximum spatial scale in which they perform well. Here we evaluate a grassland productivity model to find the optimal spatial scale for parameterization and thus for subsequently applying it in future productivity projections for North America. We also evaluated the model on new vegetation types to ascertain its potential generality. We find the model most suitable when incorporating only grasslands, as opposed to also including agriculture and shrublands, and only in the Great Plains and eastern temperate forest ecoregions of North America. The model was not well suited to grasslands in North American deserts or northwest forest ecoregions. It also performed poorly in agriculture vegetation, likely due to management activities, and shrubland vegetation, likely because the model lacks representation of deep water pools. This work allows us to perform long-term projections in areas where model performance has been verified, with gaps filled in by future modeling efforts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Climate projections over the Great Lakes Region: using two-way coupling of a regional climate model with a 3-D lake model

Abstract. Warming trends in the Laurentian Great Lakes and surrounding areas have been observed in recent decades, and concerns continue to rise about the pace and pattern of future climate change over the world's largest freshwater system. To date, most regional climate models used for Great Lakes projections either neglected the lake-atmosphere interactions or are only coupled with a 1-D column lake model to represent the lake hydrodynamics. This study presents a Great Lakes climate change projection that has employed the two-way coupling of a regional climate model with a 3-D lake model (GLARM) to resolve 3-D hydrodynamics essential for large lakes. Using the three carefully selected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), we show that the GLARM ensemble average substantially reduces surface air temperature and precipitation biases of the driving GCM ensemble average in present-day climate simulations. The improvements are not only displayed from an atmospheric perspective but are also evident in the accurate simulations of lake temperature and ice coverage. We further present the GLARM projected climate change for the mid-21st century (2030–2049) and the late 21st century (2080–2099) in the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Under RCP 8.5, the Great Lakes basin is projected to warm by 1.3–2.1 ∘C by the mid-21st century and 4.1–5.0 ∘C by the end of the century relative to the early century (2000–2019). Moderate mitigation (RCP 4.5) reduces the mid-century warming to 0.8–1.8 ∘C and late-century warming to 1.8–2.7 ∘C. Annual precipitation in GLARM is projected to increase for the entire basin, varying from 0 % to 13 % during the mid-century and from 9 % to 32 % during the late century in different scenarios and simulations. The most significant increases are projected in spring and fall when current precipitation is highest and a minimal increase in winter when it is lowest. Lake surface temperatures (LSTs) are also projected to increase across the five lakes in all of the simulations, but with strong seasonal and spatial variability. The most significant LST increases occur in Lakes Superior and Ontario. The strongest warming is projected in spring that persists into the summer, resulting from earlier and more intense stratification in the future. In addition, diminishing winter stratification in the future suggests the transition from dimictic lakes to monomictic lakes by the end of the century. In contrast, a relatively smaller increase in LSTs during fall and winter is projected with heat transfer to the deep water due to the strong mixing and energy required for ice melting. Correspondingly, the highest monthly mean ice cover is projected to reduce to 3 %–15 % and 10 %–40 % across the lakes by the end of the century in RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5, respectively. In the coastal regions, ice duration is projected to decrease by up to 60 d.

Xue, Pengfei (ORCID:000000025702421X)↗