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NASA NTRS2021

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation for Dryland Farming Systems in Zimbabwe: A Stakeholder-Driven Integrated Multi-Model Assessment

Decision makers need accurate information to address climate variability and change and accelerate transformation to sustainability. A stakeholder-driven, science-based multi-model approach has been developed and used by the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to generate actionable information for adaptation planning processes. For a range of mid-century climate projections—likely to be hotter, drier, and more variable—contrasting future socio-economic scenarios (Representative Agricultural Pathways, RAPs) were co-developed with stakeholders to portray a sustainable development scenario and a rapid economic growth pathway. The unique characteristic of this application is the integration of a multi-modeling approach with stakeholder engagement to co-develop scenarios and adaptation strategies. Distribution of outcomes were simulated with climate, crop, livestock, and economic impact assessment models for smallholder crop livestock farmers in a typical dryland agro-ecological zone in Zimbabwe, characterized by low and erratic rainfall and nutrient depleted soils. Results showed that in Nkayi District, Western Zimbabwe, climate change would threaten most of the farms, and, in particular, those with large cattle herds due to feed shortages. Adaptation strategies that showed the most promise included diversification using legume production, soil fertility improvement, and investment in conducive market environments. The switch to more legumes in the farming systems reduced the vulnerability of the very poor as well as the more resourced farmers. Overall, the sustainable development scenario consistently addressed institutional failures and motivated productivity-enhancing, environmentally sound technologies and inclusive development approaches. This yielded more favorable outcomes than investment in quick economic wins from commercializing agriculture.

Climate change adaptation↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Effects to Exposure of Simulated Spaceflight Radiation on Behavioral Health of Male and Female Mice

Exposure to space radiation is a principal consideration of spaceflight missions as risk is leveraged as time and dose—both expected to increase with future missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Previous mission exposure levels, galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) and solar particle events (SPE), have been characterized as increased compared to those natural to Earth and are predicted to cause robust deficits at higher doses and longer durations. The cognitive health implications of this critical difference are understood as risks to mission and crew operations. We examined potential radiation-induced disruptions on brain health through resting-state in-cage behavior. 23–24-week-old male and female mice were exposed to 0 cGy (Sham), 5 cGy, 15 cGy, and 50 cGy via Five-Ion GCR Simulation (H, Si, He, O, Fe) at the NASA Space Radiation Lab in Brookhaven National Labs. Behavioral and cognitive performance were evaluated via frequency/duration of digging, rearing, and grooming within the 72-hour period immediately following irradiation. Additionally, during this time we evaluated nestlet building using a 5-stage Deacon score, rating shredding and shelter assembly of cotton material from untouched (1) to shredded and formed into a crater shape (5). We have observed differences in Deacon score only among the 15 cGy subset. Further comparative performance analysis will be completed evaluating the differences in irradiation effects between male and female mice. These experimental design aspects that allot for gender-inclusivity is supportive of the diversification of future space travel mission plans. Investigating gender differences is an element under our main objective of determining radiation dose-response curves. In brief, these studies identified a space-relevant radiation dose of 15 cGy that that can be utilized for future standardized ground studies on the nervous system.

spaceflight cognition impairment↗

NASA NTRS2021

Midwest Food Security & Agriculture II: Leveraging NASA Earth Observations to Analyze and Display Crop Phenology Data and Weather Conditions to Support Expansion of Small Grain Crops in the Midwest

Agriculture in the Midwest is dominated by monoculture systems that strip the soil of nutrients, decrease yields, and worsen water quality. Crop diversification and cultivating small grains is economically and ecologically advantageous, but limited in practice due to a lack of data about small-grain crop performance as well as monoculture-favoring insurance coverage, economic incentives, and sociocultural traditions. Practical Farmers of Iowa (PFI) strives to create more sustainable agriculture and supports Midwestern farmers in adding small grains into their crop rotations. The DEVELOP team partnered with the USDA Agricultural Research Service and the USA National Phenology Network to assist PFI in applying NASA Earth observation data to track small-grain crop performance. This project developed a Google Earth Engine user interface that enables PFI farmers to compare satellite-assessed vegetation production and climatic conditions of their farm with other PFI farmers. The team assessed the crop performance through Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values derived from Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI). Additionally, the team created a regression model to analyze the predictive properties of vegetation indices and crop yield, ultimately establishing a relationship with mean NDVI from the early growing season. PFI farmers can utilize these products to make informed decisions about their crop production as well as advocate for more expansive insurance policies to protect small-grain crops.

Sophie Barrowman↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Changes in Cognitive Performance and Behavior Induced by Space-like Environment

Exposure to space radiation is a principal consideration of spaceflight missions as risk is leveraged as time and dose—both expected to increase with future missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Previous mission exposure levels, galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) and solar particle events (SPE), have been characterized as increased compared to those natural to Earth and are predicted to cause robust deficits at higher doses and longer durations. The cognitive health implications of this critical difference are understood as risks to mission and crew operations. We examined potential radiation-induced disruptions on brain health through resting-state in-cage behavior. 23–24-week-old male and female mice were exposed to 0 cGy (Sham), 5 cGy, 15 cGy, and 50 cGy via Five-Ion GCR Simulation (H, Si, He, O, Fe) at the NASA Space Radiation Lab in Brookhaven National Labs. Behavioral and cognitive performance were evaluated via frequency/duration of digging, rearing, and grooming within the 72-hour (acute) and 91-day (delayed) period following irradiation. Additionally, during this time we evaluated nestlet building using a 5-stage Deacon score, rating shredding and shelter assembly of cotton material from untouched (1) to shredded and formed into a crater shape (5). We have observed differences in behavior frequency and duration differences among the 15 cGy subset within the acute observation window. There were no significant differences in behavior frequencies nor duration during the delayed observation period. These experimental design aspects that allot for gender-inclusivity is supportive of the diversification of future space travel mission plans. Investigating gender differences is an element under our main objective of determining radiation dose-response curves. In brief, these studies identified a space-relevant radiation dose of 15 cGy that that can be utilized for future standardized ground studies on the nervous system.

O. Siu↗

NASA NTRS2022

On the paragenetic modes of minerals: A mineral evolution perspective

A systematic survey of 57 different paragenetic modes distributed among 5659 mineral species reveals patterns in the diversity and distribution of minerals related to their evolving formational environments. The earliest minerals in stellar, nebular, asteroid, and primitive Earth contexts were dominated by relatively abundant chemical elements, notably H, C, O, Mg, Al, Si, S, Ca, Ti, Cr, and Fe. Significant mineral diversification subsequently occurred via two main processes, first through gradual selection and concentration of rarer elements by fluid-rock interactions (for example, in hydrothermal metal deposits, complex granite pegmatites, and agpaitic rocks), and then through near-surface biologically mediated oxidation and weathering. We find that 3349 mineral species (59.2%) are known from only one paragenetic context, whereas another 1372 species (24.2%) are associated with two paragenetic modes. Among the most genetically varied minerals are pyrite, albite, hornblende, corundum, magnetite, calcite, hematite, rutile, and baryte, each with 15 or more known modes of formation. Among the most common paragenetic modes of minerals are near-surface weathering/oxidation (1998 species), subsurface hydrothermal deposition (859 species), and condensation at volcanic fumaroles (459 species). In addition, many species are associated with compositionally extreme environments of highly differentiated igneous lithologies, including agpaitic rocks (726 species), complex granite pegmatites (564 species), and carbonatites and related carbonate-bearing magmas (291 species). Biological processes lead to at least 2707 mineral species, primarily as a consequence of oxidative weathering but also through coal-related and other taphonomic minerals (597 species), as well as anthropogenic minerals, for example as byproducts of mining (603 minerals). However, contrary to previous estimates, we find that only ~34% of mineral species form exclusively as a consequence of biological processes. By far the most significant factor in enhancing Earth’s mineral diversity has been its dynamic hydrological cycle. At least 4583 minerals—81% of all species—arise through water-rock interactions. A timeline for mineral-forming events suggests that much of Earth’s mineral diversity was established within the first 250 million years. If life is rare in the universe, then this view of a mineralogically diverse early Earth provides many more plausible reactive pathways over a longer timespan than previous models. If, however, life is a cosmic imperative that emerges on any mineral- and water-rich world, then these findings support the hypothesis that life on Earth developed rapidly in the early stages of planetary evolution

Robert M. Hazen↗

NASA NTRS2023

Drought-Tolerant Succulent Plants as an Alternative Crop Under Future Global Warming Scenarios in Sub-Saharan Africa

Globally, we are facing an emerging climate crisis, with impacts to be notably felt in semiarid regions across the world. Cultivation of drought-adapted succulent plants has been suggested as a nature-based solution that could: (i) reduce land degradation, (ii) increase agricultural diversification and provide both economic and environmentally sustainable income through derived bioproducts and bioenergy, (iii) help mitigate atmospheric CO 2 emissions and (iv) increase soil sequestration of CO 2 . Identifying where succulents can grow and thrive is an important prerequisite for the advent of a sustainable alternative ‘bioeconomy’. Here, we first explore the viability of succulent cultivation in Africa under future climate projections to 2100 using species distribution modelling to identify climatic parameters of greatest importance and regions of environmental suitability. Minimum temperatures and temperature variability are shown to be key controls in defining the theoretical distribution of three succulent species explored, and under both current and future SSP5 8.5 projections, the conditions required for the growth of at least one of the species are met in most parts of sub-Saharan Africa. These results are supplemented with an analysis of potentially available land for alternative succulent crop cultivation. In total, up to 1.5 billion ha could be considered ecophysiologically suitable and available for succulent cultivation due to projected declines in rangeland biomass and yields of traditional crops. These findings may serve to highlight new opportunities for farmers, governments and key stakeholders in the agriculture and energy sectors to invest in sustainable bioeconomic alternatives that deliver on environmental, social and economic goals.

agriculture↗

NASA NTRS2023

Protracted oxygenation across the Cambrian–Ordovician transition: A key initiator of the Great Ordovician Biodiversification Event?

Fluctuations in marine oxygen concentrations have been invoked as a primary driver for changes in biodiversity throughout Earth history. Expansions in reducing marine conditions are commonly invoked as key causal mechanisms for mass extinctions, while increases in marine oxygenation are becoming an increasingly common causal mechanism invoked for biodiversification events. Here we utilize a multiproxy approach to constrain local and global marine paleoredox conditions throughout the late Cambrian–Early Ordovician from two drill core successions in Baltoscandia. Local paleoredox proxies such as manganese concentrations and iron speciation reveal that both sites in the Baltic paleobasin had persistently anoxic and predominantly euxinic (anoxic and sulfidic) bottom water conditions throughout the study interval. Corresponding trace metal datasets indicate nuanced contraction and expansion of global anoxic and euxinic conditions along continental margins during the late Cambrian–Early Ordovician. Lastly, thallium isotope data from these locally reducing sections suggest a global expansion of oxygenated shelf and deeper marine environments from the late Cambrian into the Early Ordovician. This evidence for increasingly oxic marine environments coincides with increases in burrowing depth and tiering in marine animals, as well as diversification of body fossils throughout this ~8-million-year interval. The collective geochemical datasets provide some of the first direct paleoredox evidence for an increase in marine oxygen concentrations as a key mechanism for the Ordovician radiation of marine life

anoxia↗