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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Experimental characterization of hot-electron emission and shock dynamics in the context of the shock ignition approach to inertial confinement fusion

We report on planar target experiments conducted on the OMEGA-EP laser facility performed in the context of the shock ignition (SI) approach to inertial confinement fusion. The experiment aimed at characterizing the propagation of strong shock in matter and the generation of hot electrons (HEs), with laser parameters relevant to SI (1-ns UV laser beams with I ~10 16 W/cm 2 ). Time-resolved radiographs of the propagating shock front were performed in order to study the hydrodynamic evolution. The hot-electron source was characterized in terms of Maxwellian temperature, T h , and laser to hot-electron energy conversion efficiency η using data from different x-ray spectrometers. The post-processing of these data gives a range of the possible values for T h and η [i.e., T h [keV] ϵ (20, 50) and η ϵ (2%, 13%)]. These values are used as input in hydrodynamic simulations to reproduce the results obtained in radiographs, thus constraining the range for the HE measurements. According to this procedure, we found that the laser converts ~10% ± 4% of energy into hot electrons with T h = 27 ± 8 keV. The paper shows how the coupling of different diagnostics and numerical tools is required to sufficiently constrain the problem, solving the large ambiguity coming from the post-processing of spectrometers data. The effect of the hot electrons on the shock dynamics is then discussed, showing an increase in the pressure around the shock front. Furthermore, the low temperature found in this experiment without pre-compression laser pulses could be advantageous for the SI scheme, but the high conversion efficiency may lead to an increase in the shell adiabat, with detrimental effects on the implosion.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Phonon linewidths in InAs/AlSb superlattices derived from first-principles—application towards quantum well hot carrier solar cells

Hot electrons generated by the absorption of high-energy photons typically thermalize by dissipating energy through phonon mediated relaxation pathways. Existence of non-equilibrium optical phonon populations (hot phonons) can suppress thermalization of electrons by facilitating a stable hot carrier population. In this work, we derive optical phonon scattering rates in InAs/AlSb superlattices using first-principles calculations and compare them with bulk InAs. Computations are performed for the two shortest period superlattices with equal widths of InAs and AlSb. While in pure InAs, the highest optical phonon scattering rates reach 5 cm -1 ; in the superlattice, the peak scattering rates of optical phonons with frequencies above the energy gap, are much smaller, reaching ~1 cm -1 . Finally, these lower scattering rates in the superlattice have important implications for design of high efficiency hot carrier solar cells and explain some of the robust hot carriers observed recently in InAs/AlAsSb quantum wells.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Oxygen enrichment combustion to reduce fossil energy consumption and emissions in hot rolling steel production

The reheating furnace operation in the hot mill is natural gas- and electricity-intensive. Oxygen enrichment combustion for reheating furnaces has been proposed to curb and replace natural gas use. In this study, heat transfer in steel slabs in the combustion environment of a push-type reheating furnace was simulated using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model. Two oxygen enrichment methods that optimized for performance were selected— a medium oxygen enrichment (MOE) case and an oxy-fuel (OF) case. A life cycle analysis (LCA) characterized the energy and emission profiles of an integrated iron and steel manufacturing process using the two oxygen enrichment cases for the hot mill. These conditions were evaluated for energy use and carbon intensity and compared with a baseline case. Results show that with oxygen enrichment, natural gas consumption can decrease by 19.6%–26.8%, total energy consumption (natural gas and electricity) can decrease by 15.1%–20.7% in the hot mill. Emissions of greenhouse gases can decrease by 11.1%–15.2% in the two optimized cases with 14%–27% reductions in regulated criteria pollutants (nitrogen oxides, carbon monoxide, particulate matter, volatile organic compounds, black carbon, organic carbon, and volatile organic carbons). There is a tradeoff between reducing natural gas consumption and increasing electricity demand from a life cycle perspective. Although the OF case resulted in higher energy- and emissions-related benefits, the MOE case showed the more desirable heat flux uniformity, which is key to maintaining product quality. The analysis suggests that oxygen enrichment in the reheating furnace process can have a significant impact on hot mill environmental performance and become a contributing factor in transitioning to low-carbon steel manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Minimizing thickness variation in monolithic U-10Mo fuel foil and Zr interlayer during hot rolling: A microstructure-based finite element method analysis

Low-enriched uranium alloyed with 10 wt. % molybdenum (U-10Mo) has been identified as a promising alternative to highly enriched uranium fuel for the United States’ high performance research reactors. The monolithic U-10Mo fuel plate consists of a metallic U-10Mo fuel foil with a 25 µm Zr interlayer and a relatively thick cladding of aluminum alloy 6061. The Zr interlayer is typically applied during the hot co-rolling process, and this process dictates the uniformity of the Zr interlayer. Thickness variation observed in the U-10Mo and Zr interlayer has been attributed to several sources: the initial grain size of the U-10Mo castings, can materials, rolling temperature, inhomogeneous molybdenum content, and porosity in the cast U-10Mo. This thickness variation limits the ability to meet the dimensional specification; thus, a better understanding of the factors causing the nonuniform thickness is needed. In this work, we used a novel, microstructure-based finite element method to model the hot rolling process to address these concerns. Grain microstructures in U-10Mo were tessellated and explicitly considered in the finite element model. Each grain was assigned a random material property to mimic the grain strength variations induced by different grain orientations. Simulations were performed using six steel can thicknesses, four grain sizes, and with or without a Zr interlayer to investigate the influences of those variables on the thickness nonuniformity. The simulation results showed that a thinner steel can and finer U-10Mo grain size reduce thickness variations in both the U-10Mo fuel foil and Zr interlayer. The direct findings from the simulations and analysis can be used to optimize the hot rolling schedule, reduce fabrication defects, and meet the dimensional specifications. The proposed microstructure-based finite element model can be also coupled with experimental microstructure characterization data, images, and models to simulate multi-pass hot rolling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Domestic Hot Water Temperature Maintenance Technology Review

Domestic hot water temperature maintenance (HWTM) is an important topic in facility management, and there are often opportunities to optimize systems to achieve energy, water, and maintenance savings. The main purpose of an HWTM system is to provide reliable hot water temperature at all fixtures with minimal wait time. This is done by replacing the standby heat losses from hot water sitting idle in pipes during periods of low demand. Traditionally, most commercial buildings do this by having water recirculate back to the water heater to be reheated. Other currently available HWTM systems are also discussed in this resource. HWTM systems can help maintain water at appropriate temperatures, minimize heat loss, and minimize delivery times to fixtures to improve the function of a building. This webpage includes a summary of HWTM options along with important considerations regarding occupant safety and comfort, and maintenance strategies for optimal and efficient operations. Domestic hot water (DHW) generation systems are referred to but are not the focus of this resource.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Not so HOT Triangulations

Here, we propose primal–dual mesh optimization algorithms that overcome shortcomings of the standard algorithm while retaining some of its desirable features. “Hodge-Optimized Triangulations” defines the “HOT energy” as a bound on the discretization error of the diagonalized Delaunay Hodge star operator. HOT energy is a natural choice for an objective function, but unstable for both mathematical and algorithmic reasons: it has minima for collapsed edges, and its extrapolation to non-regular triangulations is inaccurate and has unbounded minima. We propose a different extrapolation with a stronger theoretical foundation, and avoid extrapolation by recalculating the objective just beyond the flip threshold. We propose new objectives, based on normalizations of the HOT energy, with barriers to edge collapses and other undesirable configurations. We propose mesh improvement algorithms coupling these. When HOT optimization nearly collapses an edge, we actually collapse the edge. Otherwise, we use the barrier objective to update positions and weights and remove vertices. By combining discrete connectivity changes with continuous optimization, we more fully explore the space of possible meshes and obtain higher quality solutions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hot-Carrier Extraction in Nanowire-Nanoantenna Photovoltaic Devices

Nanowires bring new possibilities to the field of hot-carrier photovoltaics by providing flexibility in combining materials for band engineering and using nanophotonic effects to control light absorption. Previously, an open-circuit voltage beyond the Shockley–Queisser limit was demonstrated in hot-carrier devices based on InAs–InP–InAs nanowire heterostructures. However, in these first experiments, the location of light absorption, and therefore the precise mechanism of hot-carrier extraction, was uncontrolled. In this study, we combine plasmonic nanoantennas with InAs–InP–InAs nanowire devices to enhance light absorption within a subwavelength region near an InP energy barrier that serves as an energy filter. From photon-energy- and irradiance-dependent photocurrent and photovoltage measurements, we find that photocurrent generation is dominated by internal photoemission of nonthermalized hot electrons when the photoexcited electron energy is above the barrier and by photothermionic emission when the energy is below the barrier. We estimate that an internal quantum efficiency up to 0.5–1.2% is achieved. Insights from this study provide guidelines to improve internal quantum efficiencies based on nanowire heterostructures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Effects of a magnetic field on hot electron generation from laser-plasma instabilities

We performed two-dimensional simulations of turbulent laser-plasma instabilities in the presence and absence of external magnetic fields using the Laser Plasma Simulation Environment (LPSE) code. The results demonstrate that, in the presence of a magnetic field, the transition from ballistic to gyrating electron motion enhances the energy transfer from electron plasma waves to the electron population. Although stronger magnetic fields produce a larger population of hot electrons, these electrons tend to remain confined near the quarter-critical density, where the instabilities also localize, thereby reducing the potential for hot electron transport deeper into the target. Additionally, we present a scaling analysis that quantifies hot electron generation as a function of plasma electron temperature, density scale length, and applied magnetic field strength. These findings may have important applications for controlling hot electron flux and mitigating preheat in inertial confinement fusion targets.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Monitoring the Caustic Dissolution of Aluminum Alloy in a Radiochemical Hot Cell Using Raman Spectroscopy

Chemical processing of highly radioactive materials commonly takes place in heavily shielded hot cells. The remote, real-time monitoring of chemical processing streams via optical spectroscopic techniques in hot cells may be particularly useful. Here in this paper, we describe the implementation of Raman spectroscopy and chemometric analysis to monitor the dissolution of aluminum-clad targets containing irradiated aluminum–neptunium oxide cermet pellets in caustic solutions in a hot cell environment. Partial least squares regression analysis was used to generate calibration models to quantify the concentration of dissolved aluminum, nitrate, and hydroxide in solutions within the radiochemical hot cell. This work explored a systematic approach to optimize a matrix of calibration standards using a D-optimal experimental design. The Design of Experiments-based regression model, in comparison to more traditional analytical approaches, was found to be the more practical method for building calibration models, with fewer samples, to obtain informative analytical data from Raman spectra.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

iPNHOT: a knowledge-based approach for identifying protein-nucleic acid interaction hot spots

The interaction between proteins and nucleic acids plays pivotal roles in various biological processes such as transcription, translation, and gene regulation. Hot spots are a small set of residues that contribute most to the binding affinity of a protein-nucleic acid interaction. Compared to the extensive studies of the hot spots on protein-protein interfaces, the hot spot residues within protein-nucleic acids interfaces remain less well-studied, in part because mutagenesis data for protein-nucleic acids interaction are not as abundant as that for protein-protein interactions. In this study, we built a new computational model, iPNHOT, to effectively predict hot spot residues on protein-nucleic acids interfaces. One training data set and an independent test set were collected from dbAMEPNI and some recent literature, respectively. To build our model, we generated 97 different sequential and structural features and used a two-step strategy to select the relevant features. The final model was built based only on 7 features using a support vector machine (SVM). The features include two unique features such as ΔSASsa 1/2 and esp3, which are newly proposed in this study. Based on the cross validation results, our model gave F1 score and AUROC as 0.725 and 0.807 on the subset collected from ProNIT, respectively, compared to 0.407 and 0.670 of mCSM-NA, a state-of-the art model to predict the thermodynamic effects of protein-nucleic acid interaction. The iPNHOT model was further tested on the independent test set, which showed that our model outperformed other methods. Here, by collecting data from a recently published database dbAMEPNI, we proposed a new model, iPNHOT, to predict hotspots on both protein-DNA and protein-RNA interfaces. The results show that our model outperforms the existing state-of-art models. Our model is available for users through a webserver: http://zhulab.ahu.edu.cn/iPNHOT/.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Subsurface Characterization and Machine Learning Predictions at Brady Hot Springs Results

Geothermal power plants typically show decreasing heat and power production rates over time. Mitigation strategies include optimizing the management of existing wells - increasing or decreasing the fluid flow rates across the wells - and drilling new wells at appropriate locations. The latter is expensive, time-consuming, and subject to many engineering constraints, but the former is a viable mechanism for periodic adjustment of the available fluid allocations. Data and supporting literature from a study describing a new approach combining reservoir modeling and machine learning to produce models that enable strategies for the mitigation of decreased heat and power production rates over time for geothermal power plants. The computational approach used enables translation of sets of potential flow rates for the active wells into reservoir-wide estimates of produced energy and discovery of optimal flow allocations among the studied sets. In our computational experiments, we utilize collections of simulations for a specific reservoir (which capture subsurface characterization and realize history matching) along with machine learning models that predict temperature and pressure timeseries for production wells. We evaluate this approach using an "open-source" reservoir we have constructed that captures many of the characteristics of Brady Hot Springs, a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA. Selected results from a reservoir model of Brady Hot Springs itself are presented to show successful application to an existing system. In both cases, energy predictions prove to be highly accurate: all observed prediction errors do not exceed 3.68% for temperatures and 4.75% for pressures. In a cumulative energy estimation, we observe prediction errors that are less than 4.04%. A typical reservoir simulation for Brady Hot Springs completes in approximately 4 hours, whereas our machine learning models yield accurate 20-year predictions for temperatures, pressures, and produced energy in 0.9 seconds. This paper aims to demonstrate how the models and techniques from our study can be applied to achieve rapid exploration of controlled parameters and optimization of other geothermal reservoirs. Includes a synthetic, yet realistic, model of a geothermal reservoir, referred to as open-source reservoir (OSR). OSR is a 10-well (4 injection wells and 6 production wells) system that resembles Brady Hot Springs (a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA) at a high level but has a number of sufficiently modified characteristics (which renders any possible similarity between specific characteristics like temperatures and pressures as purely random). We study OSR through CMG simulations with a wide range of flow allocation scenarios. Includes a dataset with 101 simulated scenarios that cover the period of time between 2020 and 2040 and a link to the published paper about this project, where we focus on the Machine Learning work for predicting OSR's energy production based on the simulation data, as well as a link to the GitHub repository where we have published the code we have developed (please refer to the repository's readme file to see instructions on how to run the code). Additional links are included to associated work led by the USGS to identify geologic factors associated with well productivity in geothermal fields. Below are the high-level steps for applying the same modeling + ML process to other geothermal reservoirs: 1. Develop a geologic model of the geothermal field. The location of faults, upflow zones, aquifers, etc. need to be accounted for as accurately as possible 2. The geologic model needs to be converted to a reservoir model that can be used in a reservoir simulator, such as, for instance, CMG STARS, TETRAD, or FALCON 3. Using native state modeling, the initial temperature and pressure distributions are evaluated, and they become the initial conditions for dynamic reservoir simulations 4....

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Flow Rate Dependent 1D Model for Thermally Stratified Hot-Water Energy Storage

Stratified tank models are used to simulate thermal storage in applications such as residential or commercial hot-water storage tanks, chilled-water storage tanks, and solar thermal systems. The energy efficiency of these applications relates to the system components and the level of stratification maintained during various flow events in the tank. One-dimensional (1D) models are used in building energy simulations because of the short computation time but often do not include flow-rate dependent mixing. The accuracy of 1D models for plug flow, plug flow with axial conduction, and two convection eddy-diffusivity models were compared with experimental data sets for discharging a 50-gal residential tank and recharging the tank with hot water from an external hot-water source. A minimum and maximum relationship for the eddy diffusivity factor were found at Re <2100 and >10,000 for recirculation of hot water to the top of the tank and vertical tubes inletting cold water at the bottom. The root mean square error decreased from >4 °C to near 2 °C when considering flow-based mixing models during heating, while the exponential decay of the eddy diffusion results in a root mean square error reduction of 1 °C for cone-shaped diffusers that begin to relaminarize flow at the inlet.

1D flow model↗
DOE OSTI2022

Utilizing Novel Field and Data Exploration Methods to Explore Hot Moments in High-Frequency Soil Nitrous Oxide Emissions Data: Opportunities and Challenges

Soil nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions are an important driver of climate change and are a major mechanism of labile nitrogen (N) loss from terrestrial ecosystems. Evidence increasingly suggests that locations on the landscape that experience biogeochemical fluxes disproportionate to the surrounding matrix (hot spots) and time periods that show disproportionately high fluxes relative to the background (hot moments) strongly influence landscape-scale soil N 2 O emissions. However, substantial uncertainties remain regarding how to measure and model where and when these extreme soil N 2 O fluxes occur. High-frequency datasets of soil N 2 O fluxes are newly possible due to advancements in field-ready instrumentation that uses cavity ring-down spectroscopy (CRDS). Here, we outline the opportunities and challenges that are provided by the deployment of this field-based instrumentation and the collection of high-frequency soil N 2 O flux datasets. While there are substantial challenges associated with automated CRDS systems, there are also opportunities to utilize these near-continuous data to constrain our understanding of dynamics of the terrestrial N cycle across space and time. Finally, we propose future research directions exploring the influence of hot moments of N 2 O emissions on the N cycle, particularly considering the gaps surrounding how global change forces are likely to alter N dynamics in the future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Empirical characterization of vertical-tube inlets in hot-water storage tanks

Hot-water storage in residential and commercial tanks is of growing interest for peak-shifting the electrical demand associated with hot-water loads. How the water enters the tank can significantly affect the extraction efficiency of the storage. Vertical-tube inlets (VTIs) direct cold water into the tank. The VTI design influences whether large-scale mixing occurs, which can reduce the delivery capacity of the hot-water storage. In this work, the mixing at the VTI discharge was characterized by the eddy diffusivity factor (EDF) in an allometric curve fit to the ratio Re:Ri using inlet superficial velocities. The full experimental campaign tested VTI's with Re’s between 170 and 22,300 and Ri's between 0 and 376. Animated visualization of the experimentally measured data is provided, showing tank temperature evolution during inlet flows. The most predictive correlations for EDF are for VTI Re in the transition zone (i.e. ~2300 < Re < ~10,000) and at a Ri corresponding to a stably stratified tank (i.e. Ri > 5). For vertical-tubes that distribute cold water below the thermocline, increasing the EDF will decrease the stratification in a hot-water tank as EDF quantifies inlet mixing. Overall, the new correlations for VTIs can be used to design and model thermally-stratified storage tanks.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Analysis and improvement of the hot disk transient plane source method for low thermal conductivity materials

The hot disk transient plane source (TPS) method is a widely used standard technique (ISO 22007-2) for the characterization of thermal properties of materials, especially the thermal conductivity, k. Despite its well-established reliability for a wide variety of common materials, the hot disk TPS method is also known to suffer from a substantial systematic errors when applied to low-k thermal insulation materials. Here, we present a combined numerical and experimental study on the influence of the geometry of hot disk sensor on measured value of low-k materials. We demonstrate that the error is strongly affected by the finite thickness and thermal mass of the sensor's insulation layer was well as the corresponding increase of the effective heater size beyond the radius of the embedded metal heater itself. We also numerically investigate the dependence of the error on the sample thermal properties, confirming that the errors are worse in low-k samples. A simple correction function is also provided, which converts the apparent (erroneous) result from a standard hot disk TPS measurement to a more accurate value. A standard polyimide sensor was also optimized using both wet and dry etching to provide more accurate measurement directly. Experimentally corrected value of k for Airloy x56 aerogel and a commercial silica aerogel using the numerical correction factor derived based on the standard TPS sensor is in excellent agreement with the directly measured value from the TPS sensor using the optimized polyimide sensor. Finally, both of these methods can reduce the errors to less than 4% as compared to around 40% error of overestimation from raw values measured with the pristine sensor. Such results show that both the numerical correction to a pristine senor or an optimized sensor are capable of providing highly accurate value of thermal conductivity for such materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hot Hydrogen Exposure of U x Zr 1-x C y Nuclear Fuel: The Influence of Composition and Density

Refractory carbide nuclear fuel has been one of the most promising fuel candidates for space nuclear propulsion due to its high melting point, temperature stability, and compatibility in a hot hydrogen environment. In this study, U x Zr 1-x C y fuel was produced by means of a carbothermic reduction process in different UC compositions including 5,10, 20, and 30 at.% UC in the fuel compound. The powder feedstock was consolidated via direct current sintering with densities up to 97% of the theoretical density. The samples with different U x Zr 1-x C y compositions were exposed to hot hydrogen at 2600 K for a cumulative time of 300 min. The samples were characterized by SEM, XRD, density, and measured for mass losses. The high-density samples displayed improved performance in hot hydrogen by minimizing porous sites and reducing areas of direct contact with hydrogen gas, leading to reduced mass losses. Variations in sample density proved to induce large changes in mass loss rates, increasing them up to 90%. The compositions with higher UC content reported the largest mass losses in the study. The loss of uranium occurred primarily at the surfaces exposed to the hot hydrogen where changes in the lattice constant confirmed losses exceeding 50% of the initial UC content in higher compositions, specifically to U 0.3 Zr 0.7 C y . XRD analyses revealed the presence of UH 3 in U 0.3 Zr 0.7 C y suggesting that metallic uranium formed inside the sample as a product of carbon losses. High-density U x Zr x-1 C y fuel with UC concentrations at or below 20 at.% UC exhibited stability and negligible density changes in a high temperature hydrogen environment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Scale Invariance of Hot Spot Formation in TATB High Explosives

Shock-induced detonation of insensitive high explosives based on 1,3,5-triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene starts with formation of hot spots at microstructural defects but has eluded atomistic modeling treatment at micron length scales. To this end, we performed multimicron scale all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of hot spots that form during the collapse of cylindrical pores with diameters between 10 and 300 nm. Our MD simulations show that hot spots formed at pores larger than 20 nm exhibit temperature fields with scale-invariant features for sizes up to at least 300 nm. Through a continuum-based grain-scale modeling framework, we span and extend beyond the size scales currently accessible to MD and find that hot spot scale invariance is a general feature that arises when the mechanical strength is insensitive to strain rate. Finally, our results demonstrate the applicability of all-atom MD to simulate the complicated dynamical evolution of micron-sized systems and bolster confidence in insights from MD simulations of materials that exhibit strength with negligible rate dependence over the relevant intervals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying the Occurrence of Record Hot Years Through Normalized Warming Trends

Surface air temperature trends and extreme events are of global concern and they are related. Here we show that the occurrence of record hot years over different latitudes from 1960-2019 are more strongly correlated with the observational annual mean temperature trends normalized by internal variability. Compared with the raw trends showing Arctic amplification, the normalized trends show a tropical amplification over land. Two hot spots with more frequent occurrence of record hot years are identified: northern hemisphere ocean (versus land) and southern hemisphere tropical land (versus mid- and high-latitude lands). Ensemble mean results from 32 Earth system models agree with observations better than individual models, but they do not reproduce observed large differences in correlations across latitudes between normalized trends and record-breaking events over land versus ocean. Furthermore, our results enable the quantification of record hot year occurrence through normalized warming trends and provide new metrics for model evaluation and improvement.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗