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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5

Influence of Aerosol Embedded in Shallow Cumulus Cloud Fields on the Surface Solar Irradiance

Ubiquitous shallow cumulus clouds are associated with complex variability in surface solar irradiance (SSI). Aerosol embedded in the cloud field typically has a much smaller overall radiative effect, but can significantly perturb the shape of the SSI probability density function (PDF). These perturbations have important implications for several applications that utilize SSI, but are poorly quantified and are the subject of this study. Multiple cases of shallow cumulus cloud fields with embedded aerosol are simulated at the Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Observatory using large eddy simulation (LES). The LES-derived cloud and aerosol fields are then ingested into Monte Carlo three-dimensional (3D) radiative transfer to simulate SSI. We find a variety of perturbations to the SSI PDF that depend on aerosol presence and optical properties. The processes leading to these perturbations include extinction of the direct beam that often increases from the clear-sky region toward cloud edge due to aerosol hygroscopic growth, and scattering of radiation by aerosol into cloud shadows. The ability to predict the SSI PDF in the presence of aerosol is assessed by adding three representative aerosol optical properties into an existing machine learning framework. We show that machine learning accurately predicts the SSI PDF across a wide range of conditions with negligible computational expense. Importance metrics reveal the relatively high influence of aerosol optical properties in making the predictions. These new findings highlight the important role that aerosol plays in SSI variability for highly 3D cloud-aerosol environments and provides a computationally efficient route forward for its simulation.

3D radiative transfer↗

Scientific machine learning benchmarks

Deep learning has transformed the use of machine learning technologies for the analysis of large experimental datasets. In science, such datasets are typically generated by large-scale experimental facilities, and machine learning focuses on the identification of patterns, trends and anomalies to extract meaningful scientific insights from the data. In upcoming experimental facilities, such as the Extreme Photonics Application Centre (EPAC) in the UK or the international Square Kilometre Array (SKA), the rate of data generation and the scale of data volumes will increasingly require the use of more automated data analysis. Furthermore, at present, identifying the most appropriate machine learning algorithm for the analysis of any given scientific dataset is a challenge due to the potential applicability of many different machine learning frameworks, computer architectures and machine learning models. Historically, for modelling and simulation on high-performance computing systems, these issues have been addressed through benchmarking computer applications, algorithms and architectures. Extending such a benchmarking approach and identifying metrics for the application of machine learning methods to open, curated scientific datasets is a new challenge for both scientists and computer scientists. Here, we introduce the concept of machine learning benchmarks for science and review existing approaches. As an example, we describe the SciMLBench suite of scientific machine learning benchmarks.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Machine learning with persistent homology and chemical word embeddings improves prediction accuracy and interpretability in metal-organic frameworks

Machine learning has emerged as a powerful approach in materials discovery. Its major challenge is selecting features that create interpretable representations of materials, useful across multiple prediction tasks. We introduce an end-to-end machine learning model that automatically generates descriptors that capture a complex representation of a material’s structure and chemistry. This approach builds on computational topology techniques (namely, persistent homology) and word embeddings from natural language processing. It automatically encapsulates geometric and chemical information directly from the material system. We demonstrate our approach on multiple nanoporous metal–organic framework datasets by predicting methane and carbon dioxide adsorption across different conditions. Our results show considerable improvement in both accuracy and transferability across targets compared to models constructed from the commonly-used, manually-curated features, consistently achieving an average 25–30% decrease in root-mean-squared-deviation and an average increase of 40–50% in R 2 scores. A key advantage of our approach is interpretability: Our model identifies the pores that correlate best to adsorption at different pressures, which contributes to understanding atomic-level structure–property relationships for materials design.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Special Issue: Geostatistics and Machine Learning

Abstract Recent years have seen a steady growth in the number of papers that apply machine learning methods to problems in the earth sciences. Although they have different origins, machine learning and geostatistics share concepts and methods. For example, the kriging formalism can be cast in the machine learning framework of Gaussian process regression. Machine learning, with its focus on algorithms and ability to seek, identify, and exploit hidden structures in big data sets, is providing new tools for exploration and prediction in the earth sciences. Geostatistics, on the other hand, offers interpretable models of spatial (and spatiotemporal) dependence. This special issue on Geostatistics and Machine Learning aims to investigate applications of machine learning methods as well as hybrid approaches combining machine learning and geostatistics which advance our understanding and predictive ability of spatial processes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Digital Twin Framework Utilizing Machine Learning for Robust Predictive Maintenance: Enhancing Tire Health Monitoring

We introduce a novel digital twin (DT) framework for the predictive maintenance of long-term physical systems. Using monitoring tire health as an application, we show how the DT framework can be used to enhance automotive safety and efficiency, and how the technical challenges can be overcome using a three-step approach. First, to manage the data complexity over a long operation span, we employ data reduction techniques to concisely represent physical tires using historical performance and usage data. Relying on these data, for fast real-time prediction, we train a transformer-based model offline on our concise dataset to predict future tire health over time, represented as remaining casing potential (RCP). Based on our architecture, our model quantifies both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties, providing reliable confidence intervals around predicted RCP. Second, to incorporate real-time data, we update the predictive model in the DT framework, ensuring its accuracy throughout its lifespan with the aid of hybrid modeling and the use of the discrepancy function. Third, to assist decision-making in predictive maintenance, we implement a tire state decision algorithm, which strategically determines the optimal timing for tire replacement based on RCP forecasted by our transformer model. This approach ensures that our DT accurately predicts system health, continually refines its digital representation, and supports predictive maintenance decisions. Furthermore, our framework effectively embodies a physical system, leveraging big data and machine learning (ML) for predictive maintenance, model updates, and decision-making.

advanced computing infrastructure↗

Machine learning-based surrogate models and transfer learning for derivative free optimization of HT-PEM fuel cells

Widespread adoption of high-temperature polymer electrolyte membrane electrochemical systems, such as fuel cells (HT-PEMFCs), requires models and computational tools for accurate optimization and guiding new materials for enhancing performance and durability. In this contribution, knowledge-based modelling and data-driven modelling are combined using Few-Shot Learning and implementing an Automated Machine Learning framework for the generation of Machine Learning-based surrogate models. Applicability of the resulting model for derivative-free optimization is demonstrated. Additionally, a way of considering extrapolation in the optimization task is presented. Results show that although extrapolation is needed to achieve better solutions during optimization, it can be monitored and managed. As a result, tuning the electrode ionomer binder's properties, such as ionic conductivity, in the fuel cell represents a promising pathway for improving HT-PEMFC performance.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Computational Framework for Machine-Learning-Enabled 13 C Fluxomics

13 C metabolic flux analysis (MFA) has emerged as a powerful tool for synthetic biology. This optimization-based approach suffers long computation time and unstable solutions depending on the initial guess. Here, we develop a machine-learning-based framework for 13 C fluxomics. Specifically, training and test data sets are generated by metabolic network decomposition and flux sampling, in which flux ratios at metabolic nodes and simulated labeling patterns of metabolites are used as training targets and features, respectively. To improve prediction accuracy and simplify the model, automated processes are developed for flux ratio selection based on solvability and feature screening based on importance. We found that predictive performance can be significantly improved using both amino acids and central carbon metabolites in comparison with amino acids alone. Together with measured external fluxes, the predicted flux ratios determine the mass balance system, yielding global flux distributions. This approach is validated by flux estimation using both simulated and experimental data in comparison with canonical 13 C MFA. The approach represents a reliable fluxomics method readily applicable to high-throughput metabolic phenotyping, which highlights the advances of intelligent learning algorithms in synthetic biology, specifically in the Test and Learn stage of the Design-Build-Test-Learn cycle.

13C metabolic flux analysis↗

Crustal Scale Travel Time Prediction with the SALSA3D Framework and Machine Learning

The SALSA3D project aims to improve our models used in travel time prediction. The current version uses tomographic modeling for propagation through the Earth’s mantle because of the large number (order of millions) of observations of seismic phases which primarily traverse the Earth’s mantle and the ability to pose the travel time problem as a set of linear equations. However, all seismic rays traverse the crust to reach receivers at the surface and therefore models of propagation through the crust are required. Therefore, the primary motivation for this study is to explore how to increase the scope of the SALSA3D project to phases which travel primarily through the crust. In this report, we evaluate new, machine learning based and physics-based methods to model these travel times for integration into the SALSA3D framework. Our results suggest that using our existing physics-based travel time tomography method is a viable approach for the regional to global scale, but better predictive capabilities can be achieved through a neural network trained on the region of interest for near-regional offsets. We suggest future iterations of SALSA3D should incorporate machine learning tools such as Physics-Informed Neural Networks or Bayesian Neural Networks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Condition monitoring and anomaly detection in cyber-physical systems

The modern industrial environment is equipping myriads of smart manufacturing machines where the state of each device can be monitored continuously. Such monitoring can help identify possible future failures and develop a cost-effective maintenance plan. However, it is a daunting task to perform early detection with low false positives and negatives from the huge volume of collected data. This requires developing a holistic machine learning framework to address the issues in condition monitoring of high priority components and develop efficient techniques to detect anomalies that can detect and possibly localize the faulty components. This paper presents a comparative analysis of recent machine learning approaches for robust, cost-effective anomaly detection in cyber-physical systems. While detection has been extensively studied, very few researchers have analyzed the localization of the anomalies. We show that supervised learning outperforms unsupervised algorithms. For supervised cases, we achieve near-perfect accuracy of 98% (specifically for tree-based algorithms). In contrast, the best-case accuracy in the unsupervised cases was 63%—the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) exhibits similar outcomes as an additional metric.

Marfo, William↗

Statistical and Machine-Learning Classifier Framework to Improve Pulse Shape Discrimination System Design

Pulse shape discrimination (PSD) is a variety of statistical classifier. Fully-­realized statistical classifiers rely on a comprehensive set of tools for designing, building, and implementing. PSD advances rely on improvements to the implemented algorithm. PSD advances can be improved by using conventional statistical classifier or machine learning methods. This paper provides the reader with a glossary of classifier-­building elements and their functions in a fully-­designed and operational classifier framework that can be used to discover opportunities for improving PSD classifier projects. This paper recommends reporting the PSD classifier’s receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its behavior at a gamma rejection rate (GRR) relevant for realistic applications.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Big Data Framework with Machine Learning for D and D Applications - 19108

The nuclear industry is experiencing a steady increase in maintenance costs even though plants are maintained under high levels of safety, capability and reliability. Nuclear power plants are expected to run every unit at maximum capacity at all times, efficiently utilizing assets with minimal downtime. Surveillance and maintenance of nuclear decommissioning infrastructure provides lot challenges with respect to maintenance or decommissioning of the buildings. There is a need for a framework to analyze the huge amount of data generated by the sensors on the nuclear reactor components as well as structures, to monitor the conditions of these building over a period of time. Emerging technologies such as big data analytics have become a requirement in the nuclear industry to improve structural health monitoring and diagnostics. FIU will make use of existing mature technologies in the areas of imaging, robotics, big data, and machine learning/deep learning to assess the structural integrity of aging facilities at DOE sites. As these facilities await decommissioning, there is a need to understand the structural health of these structures. Many of these facilities were built over 50 years ago and in some cases these facilities have gone beyond the operational life expectancy. In other cases, the facilities have been placed in a state of 'cold and dark' and they are sitting unused, awaiting decommissioning. Finally, some older facilities are one-of-a-kind operational/production facilities supporting critical DOE missions and cannot be shut down. In any of these scenarios, the structural integrity of these facilities may be compromised, so it is imperative that adequate inspections and data collection/analysis be performed on a continuous and ongoing basis. The primary goals of the research include collecting various formats of data such as structured, unstructured and streaming data from the various sensors deployed in buildings, collect videos/pictures from various imaging sources, ingest them using a Hadoop distributed file system and process the data using Spark to perform batch processing and real time analytics. Research and development on various machine learning/deep learning algorithms will also be performed to analyze the heterogeneous data collected from nuclear decommission infrastructure. FIU will design the big data framework to ingest, store and process huge amounts of heterogeneous data collected from many sources and optimize the algorithms to provide insights into the data and predict anomalies observed when compared against baseline conditions. Various modules of this framework will include heterogeneous data sources, message broker, Hadoop distributed file system, Spark for stream and batch processing, machine learning/ deep learning, Cassandra - persistent data store and visualization. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Insights into twinning in $\mathrm{Mg AZ31: A}$ combined $\mathrm{EBSD}$ and machine learning study

To explore the driving forces behind deformation twinning in Mg AZ31, a machine learning framework is utilized to mine data obtained from electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) scans in order to extract correlations in physical characteristics that cause twinning. The results are intended to inform physics-based models of twin nucleation and growth. A decision tree learning environment is selected to capture the relationships between microstructure and twin formation; this type of model effectively highlights the more influential characteristics of the local microstructure. Trees are assembled to analyze both twin nucleation in a given grain, and twin propagation across grain boundaries. Each model reveals a unique combination of crystallographic attributes that affect twinning in the Mg. Twin nucleation is found to be mostly controlled by a combination of grain size, basal Schmid factor, and bulk dislocation density while twin propagation is affected most by grain boundary length, basal Schmid factor, angle from grain boundary plane to the RD plane, and grain boundary misorientation. The machine learning framework can be readily adapted to investigate other relationships between microstructure and material response.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

One-component order parameter in URu 2 Si 2 uncovered by resonant ultrasound spectroscopy and machine learning

The unusual correlated state that emerges in URu 2 Si 2 below T HO = 17.5 K is known as “hidden order” because even basic characteristics of the order parameter, such as its dimensionality (whether it has one component or two), are “hidden.” We use resonant ultrasound spectroscopy to measure the symmetry-resolved elastic anomalies across T HO . We observe no anomalies in the shear elastic moduli, providing strong thermodynamic evidence for a one-component order parameter. We develop a machine learning framework that reaches this conclusion directly from the raw data, even in a crystal that is too small for traditional resonant ultrasound. Our result rules out a broad class of theories of hidden order based on two-component order parameters, and constrains the nature of the fluctuations from which unconventional superconductivity emerges at lower temperature. Our machine learning framework is a powerful new tool for classifying the ubiquitous competing orders in correlated electron systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Decoy selection for protein structure prediction via extreme gradient boosting and ranking

Background: Identifying one or more biologically-active/native decoys from millions of non-native decoys is one of the major challenges in computational structural biology. The extreme lack of balance in positive and negative samples (native and non-native decoys) in a decoy set makes the problem even more complicated. Consensus methods show varied success in handling the challenge of decoy selection despite some issues associated with clustering large decoy sets and decoy sets that do not show much structural similarity. Recent investigations into energy landscape-based decoy selection approaches show promises. However, lack of generalization over varied test cases remains a bottleneck for these methods. Results: We propose a novel decoy selection method, ML-Select, a machine learning framework that exploits the energy landscape associated with the structure space probed through a template-free decoy generation. The proposed method outperforms both clustering and energy ranking-based methods, all the while consistently offering better performance on varied test-cases. Moreover, ML-Select shows promising results even for the decoy sets consisting of mostly low-quality decoys. Conclusions: ML-Select is a useful method for decoy selection. This work suggests further research in finding more effective ways to adopt machine learning frameworks in achieving robust performance for decoy selection in template-free protein structure prediction.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

CANDLE/Supervisor: a workflow framework for machine learning applied to cancer research

BackgroundCurrent multi-petaflop supercomputers are powerful systems, but present challenges when faced with problems requiring large machine learning workflows. Complex algorithms running at system scale, often with different patterns that require disparate software packages and complex data flows cause difficulties in assembling and managing large experiments on these machines.ResultsThis paper presents a workflow system that makes progress on scaling machine learning ensembles, specifically in this first release, ensembles of deep neural networks that address problems in cancer research across the atomistic, molecular and population scales. The initial release of the application framework that we call CANDLE/Supervisor addresses the problem of hyper-parameter exploration of deep neural networks.ConclusionsInitial results demonstrating CANDLE on DOE systems at ORNL, ANL and NERSC (Titan, Theta and Cori, respectively) demonstrate both scaling and multi-platform execution.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Co-optimizing water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection projects using a machine learning assisted computational framework

In this report, a robust machine-learning-based computational framework that couples multi-layer neural network (MLNN) proxies and a multi-objective particle swarm optimizer (MOPSO) to design water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection (CO 2 -WAG) projects is presented. The proposed optimization protocol considers various objectives, including oil recovery and CO 2 storage volume. Expert MLNN systems are trained and employed as surrogate models of the high-fidelity compositional simulator in the optimization workflow. When multiple objective functions are considered, two approaches are employed to treat the objectives: the weighted sum method and the Pareto-front-based scheme. A field-scale implementation focusing on tertiary recovery in the Morrow B formation at Farnsworth Unit (FWU) is presented. The developed Pareto-optimal solutions indicate the maximal available oil production can be 1.64 × 10 7 barrels and maximal carbon storage can achieve 2.35 × 10 7 tons. Trade-offs factor is defined to divide the constructed Pareto front into 4 sections with the trade-off factors’ value ranges from 0.35 to 49.9. This work also compares the optimum solution found by the aggregative objective function and the solution repository covered by the Pareto front that considers the physical and operational constraints and reduces uncertainties involved by the multi-objective optimization process. Our comparison indicates multiple solutions exist to satisfy the objective criteria of the WAG design, and these results cannot be found using the traditional weighted sum method. The Pareto front solution can provide more options for project designers, but decisions regarding necessary trade-offs must be made using the solution repository to balance the project economics and CO 2 storage amount.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Construction of generalized quasilinear diffusion coefficient using neural networks with physical restrictions

The quasilinear diffusion coefficient (D QL ) derived from our machine learning framework shows comparable trends with the ground truth D QL obtained from GENRAY-CQL3D simulations. Additionally, for the strong absorption cases, the radial current drive profiles generated using the D QL from our model exhibit consistent behavior with those obtained from the original simulation. These findings indicate the potential of our surrogate modeling approach with physical restrictions to replicate key wave–plasma interaction characteristics while reducing computational costs. Traditionally, calculating D QL for wave–particle interactions relies on computationally intensive wave simulations coupled with Fokker–Planck solvers. To address this challenge, we developed a machine learning-based surrogate model with physical restrictions derived from cold plasma theory and bounce-averaged damping effects. First, we establish the propagation domain of Lower Hybrid Waves in the (N∥, ρ) space by identifying the accessibility limit and determining the upper and lower bounds of N∥ using the Potential Power Deposition (PPD) method. Subsequently, leveraging a database constructed using Latin hypercube sampling alongside the underlying physical restrictions (e.g. PPD), machine learning methods including U-Net and Recurrent Neural Networks are employed to design a physics-restricted machine learning framework capable of reconstructing D QL .

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Unveiling the Potential of MeshGraphNets for Predicting Subsurface Evolution in Carbon Storage Projects

This is the conference paper accompanying an oral presentation “Unveiling the Potential of MeshGraphNets for Predicting Subsurface Evolution in Carbon Storage Projects” at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24 , 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology is critical for mitigating climate change but requires effective subsurface reservoir management to ensure safe containment of injected CO2. Accurate predictions of reservoir pressure and saturation are essential for assessing long-term CCS performance. Traditional numerical simulations, while effective, are computationally intensive, time-consuming, and constrained by data discretization. Previous work has shown the effectiveness of MeshGraphNets (MGN), a graph-based machine learning framework, as an innovative alternative for predicting reservoir behavior. MGN leverages graph neural networks (GNNs) and mesh representations to model complex geological formations, offering superior adaptability across different discretizations and reservoir configurations. Classic MGN implementations utilize an autoregressive technique to predict future behavior based on current predictions, but this technique is hampered by error accumulation over time. To enhance the model accuracy in time-series predictions, this study implemented a multi-step rollout strategy that integrates autoregressive predictions during training to stabilize prediction of saturation over time. Using the Illinois Basin – Decatur Project (IBDP) dataset, comprising 100 simulations of CO2 injection, pressure, and saturation changes, the framework demonstrated its ability to learn spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. With inputs including permeabilities, porosities, and injection rates, MGN accurately predicted CO2 plume evolution over time, even with limited training data. Moreover, the addition of a multi-step rollout procedure during training improved the ability of MGN to predict stably over time by ~15%. This research positions MGN, enhanced with multi-step rollout capabilities, as a robust and efficient tool for CCS applications. It advances the field by enabling precise, computationally efficient predictions of reservoir behavior, providing a foundation for the broader adoption of machine learning frameworks in CCS and other geoscience domains.

Holcomb, Paul↗