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NASA NTRS1982

The evolution of the mesoscale environment of severe local storms Preliminary modeling results

A mesoscale model is employed for predicting two severe weather events observed during thy 1979 SESAME field programs. Particular attention is given to the development and decay of a low-level jet, to the formation of a mesoscale convective complex (MCC) and its modification of lower- and upper-level circulation, to the formation of mesoscale regions of heavy precipitation, the intensification of surface warm and cold fronts, the formation of drylines, dynamic coupling of upper- and low-level jets, the formation of a mountain wave, and the formation and maintenance of capping inversions. A summary of the physics and parameters of a tornado outbreak and a heavy precipitation event are given for a simple bulk-PBL formulation with no heating. A ten-layer model was demonstrated to be sufficient for generating and maintaining distinct vertical gradients of temperature, moisture, and wind across low-level inversions.

Anthes, R. A.↗

NASA NTRS1983

The influence of coastal shape on winter mesoscale air-sea interaction

In cold air outbreaks, the combination of coastal shape and sea surface isotherms has a profound effect in the establishment of mesoscale atmospheric circulation, due to differential heating resulting from both overwater path length and underlying sea surface temperature (SST) variations. Where coastal effects are dominant, a mesoscale front forms downstream of the point which marks the major bend in the coastline's orientation. The strength of the induced mesoscale circulation depends on the original contrast between the land air temperature and the SST. It is noted that where the coastline and the isotherm pattern are approximately normal to the mean boundary layer flow, and thermal contrast is sufficiently large, the cloud streets formed downstream will be convective in nature, and oriented with the axis of roll vortices along the wind direction.

Atlas, D.↗

NASA NTRS1983

On the wave number spectrum of oceanic mesoscale variability observed by the SEASAT altimeter

The wave number spectrum of mesoscale variability in various parts of the oceans is computed on the basis of sea surface height variations measured by the SEASAT altimeter in nearly repeat orbits during the last 24 days of its mission, and it is noted that oceanic spectrum characteristics are dependent on the energy level of the mesoscale variability. On the basis of an assumed horizontal isotropy of mesoscale variability, scalar-wave number spectra of sea surface height and geostrophic kinetic energy are presented and the dynamical implications of these spectra are discussed. A rigorous examination of the effects of residual geoid and atmospheric water vapor on the computed oceanic spectra indicates that the general characteristics of the spectra were not significantly affected by them.

Fu, L.-L.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Oceanic mesoscale variability and general circulation from satellite altimetry: A status report

Progress on the applications of satellite altimetry from SEASAT and Geos-3 to the study of oceanic mesoscale variability and general circulation is reviewed. The major conclusion for the applications to mesoscale variability is that an optimally designed altimetric mission with a lifetime of several years will improve our knowledge of the global mesoscale variability to an extent unattainable by any other practical means. The proposed Topex mission will allow one to view the global oceanic variability in such a wide range of periods and wavelengths: from 20 days to 3 to 5 years; from 50 to 10,000 km. However, the goal of determining the general circulation cannot be achieved by a single altimetric mission, because a highly accurate geoid needs to be determined independently. The scenario of the combination of Topex with Gravsat, a gravity mission that will give accurate geoid information, will allow the global general circulation to be determined at scales as small as 100 km. Areas of research needing to be performed with existing altimeter data are also discussed.

Fu, L. L.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Mesoscale meteorology - Theories, observations and models; Proceedings of the Advanced Study Institute, Bonas, Gers, France, July 13-31, 1982

Among the topics discussed are mesoscale processes and variability, regional and cyclonic scale motions and their prediction modeling, fronts, mesoscale instabilities, buoyancy (gravity) waves and topographic forcing, buoyant convection, boundary layers, and observational technology. The specific issues investigated include methods for initializing mesoscale forecast models, an energy theory for the propagation of gravity currents, a theory for rain bands within extratropical cyclones, the morning glory as a nonlinear wave phenomenon, cumulus clouds, the prediction of severe convection, planetary boundary layer parameterization, and three-dimensional wind field analysis from Doppler radar data.

Lilly, D. K.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Recent examples of mesoscale numerical forecasts of severe weather events along the east coast

Mesoscale numerical forecasts utilizing the Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS) are documented for two East Coast severe weather events. The two events are the thunderstorm and heavy snow bursts in the Washington, D.C. - Baltimore, MD region on 8 March 1984 and the devastating tornado outbreak across North and South Carolina on 28 March 1984. The forecasts are presented to demonstrate the ability of the model to simulate dynamical interactions and diabatic processes and to note some of the problems encountered when using mesoscale models for day-to-day forecasting.

Kocin, P. J.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Wave CISK and mesoscale convective systems

An examination is conducted of the basic assumptions of conventional wave-CISK theory, against observational data on mesoscale-organized convective systems. In response to the inadequacy of the quasi-equilibrium assumption, a nonequilibrium model of clouds actively responding to mesoscale low level mass fluxes in a preexisting and conditionally unstable atmosphere is formulated. The structures obtained for the propagating and growing waves are noted to be comparable with observations of midlatitude mesoscale convective systems. An examination is made of the energetics of this modified wave-CISK model, in order to deepen understanding of its instability and scale selection.

Xu, Q.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Variational assimilation of VAS data into a mesoscale model Assimilation method and sensitivity experiments

The assimilation of temperature and moisture gradient information from the Visible IR Spin-Scan Radiometer's Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) into a mesoscale model is presently undertaken by means of a variational method and followed by tests of the sensitivity of both diabatic and adiabatic versions of the model to VAS data assimilations for the case of July 20-21, 1981. The synoptic scale effects of the assimilation of VAS data are noted to be negligible; the greatest impact was instead on mesoscale forecasts of convective instability patterns. The additional assimilation of relative humidity gradients did not significantly change the patterns of the forecast instabilities. The greatest improvements from assimilation resulted from the resolution of the strong mesoscale temperature gradients by the asynoptic VAS data.

Cram, J. M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Diagnosing the severe thunderstorm environment by mesoscale cloud tracking - A new approach and new information

A new method for cloud tracking and observing storm development using satellite imagery in a cloud relative mode is presented. This method changes the analyst's function to one of monitoring cloud growth and changes over a finite time period and identifying portions of the cloud that are suitable for use as trackers. It is shown how many problems previously encountered by meteorologists in mesoscale cloud tracking can be overcome by using the cloud relative technique to determine mesoscale flow fields whose heights are determined using stereographic techniques. By separating growth and decay from cloud motion in a cumulus field using the method and accurately defining cloud heights, vertical wind shears within mesoscale domains may be defined. When this information is used to study the relative velocity of flows at different levels with respect to a developing or mature storm, improved insight into storm behavior can be achieved.

Purdom, J. F. W.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Automated mesoscale wind fields derived from GOES satellite imagery

A new multispectral image-processing system for extracting mesoscale wind fields automatically from sequences of GOES imagery is described. This system can produce equivalent or superior cloud-wind estimates compared to the time-consuming manual methods used on various interactive meteorological processing systems. Analysis of automated mesoscale cloud winds yield an estimated random error value of less than 1 m/s and produces both regional and mesoscale vector wind-field structure and divergence patterns that are consistent in time and highly correlated with subsequent severe thunderstorm development. As an example, the system is here applied to SMS II five-minute imagery from April 24, 1975 and the results are compared with manually obtained ones.

Wilson, G. S.↗

NASA NTRS1984

VAS data assimilation into a mesoscale model

In numerical weather prediction, one of the arising problems has always been related to insufficient data, especially in cases involving scales smaller than the synoptic rawinsonde network. The Visible Infrared Spin-Scan Radiometer (VISSR) Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) instrument on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) can provide mesoscale vertical profiles of temperature and moisture several times over a twelve hour period. However, as this data is only available over a relatively small area at any one time, the VAS data is more suited to data assimilation. A variational method has been developed to assimilate VAS data into a mesoscale model. In the present paper, the assimilation method and VAS data from one case are discussed. It is found that the greatest improvements to the forecast resulted when the VAS data resolved the mesoscale structure of the temperature and relative humidity fields.

Cram, J. M.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Ability of a regional-scale model to predict the genesis of intense mesoscale convective systems

The mesoscale part of a two-part evaluation of 30 forecasts by a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model (MASS 2.0) is presented. Unfiltered fields are combined into convective predictor fields, the loci of which are then related at two-hour intervals to the loci of strong mesoscale convective systems identifiable in national radar summary plots and GOES satellite imagery. Examples of model 'forecasts' of intense convective storm clusters, a severe squall line triggered along a dryline, orographically induced hailstorms, and sea breeze thunderstorms are provided.

Koch, S. E.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Mesoscale research activities with the LAMPS model

Researchers achieved full implementation of the LAMPS mesoscale model on the Atmospheric Sciences Division computer and derived balanced and real wind initial states for three case studies: March 6, April 24, April 26, 1982. Numerical simulations were performed for three separate studies: (1) a satellite moisture data impact study using Vertical Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) precipitable water as a constraint on model initial state moisture analyses; (2) an evaluation of mesoscale model precipitation simulation accuracy with and without convective parameterization; and (3) the sensitivity of model precipitation to mesoscale detail of moisture and vertical motion in an initial state.

Kalb, M. W.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Improved satellite retrievals and mesoscale moisture variability

The investigations over the past year have led to the finalization of results from the study of mesoscale atmospheric parameters derived from the visible infrared spin scan radiometer (VISSR) atmospheric sounder (VAS). Soundings from several retrieval techniques for the 6 to 7 March 1982 special observation period were evaluated for mesoscale accuracy. Specific results and comparisons between data from a regression and two physical retrieval schemes are forthcoming in the Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology (JTech) this year. A generalization of these results is outlined. Large temperature and moisture biases existed in the VAS derived profiles, particularly in layers near inversions. Standard errors ranged from 1 to 3 C and 3 to 6 C for temperature and dewpoint, respectively. Parameters derived from VAS soundings (geopotential height, thickness, and precipitable water) often reflected the temperature and moisture profile biases. VAS derived mesoscale gradients were often weaker than those from corresponding rawinsonde data. Little improvement was made in defining the vertical structure of the atmosphere over the first guess information. VAS soundings were able to improve in the horizontal structure due to the high spatial resolution of the radiance data.

Jedlovec, G. J.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Interactive information processing for NASA's mesoscale analysis and space sensor program

The Atmospheric Sciences Division (ASD) of the Systems Dynamics Laboratory at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is currently involved in interactive information processing for the Mesoscale Analysis and Space Sensor (MASS) program. Specifically, the ASD is engaged in the development and implementation of new space-borne remote sensing technology to observe and measure mesoscale atmospheric processes. These space measurements and conventional observational data are being processed together to gain an improved understanding of the mesoscale structure and the dynamical evolution of the atmosphere relative to cloud development and precipitation processes. To satisfy its vast data processing requirements, the ASD has developed a Researcher Computer System consiting of three primary computer systems which provides over 20 scientists with a wide range of capabilities for processing and displaying a large volumes of remote sensing data. Each of the computers performs a specific function according to its unique capabilities.

Parker, K. G.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Automated mesoscale winds determined from satellite imagery

A new automated technique for extracting mesoscale fields from GOES visible/infrared satellite imagery was developed. Quality control parameters were defined to allow objective editing of the wind fields. The system can produce equivalent or superior cloud wind estimates compared to the time consuming manual methods used on various interactive meteorological processing systems. Analysis of automated mesoscale cloud wind for a test case yields an estimated random error value one meter per second and produces both regional and mesoscale vector wind field structure and divergence patterns that are consistent in time and highly correlated with subsequent severe thunderstorm development.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS1985

Sensitivity of a mesoscale model to initial specification of relative humidity, liquid water and vertical motion

The influence of synoptic scale initial conditions on the accuracy of mesoscale precipitation modeling is investigated. Attention is focused on the relative importance of the water vapor, cloud water, rain water, and vertical motion, with the analysis carried out using the Limited Area Mesoscale Prediction System (LAMPS). The fully moist primitive equation model has 15 levels and a terrain-following sigma coordinate system. A K-theory approach was implemented to model the planetary boundary layer. A total of 15 sensitivity simulations were run to investigate the effects of the synoptic initial conditions of the four atmospheric variables. The absence of synoptic cloud and rain water amounts in the initialization caused a 2 hr delay in the onset of precipitation. The delay was increased if synoptic-scale vertical motion was used instead of mesoscale values. Both the delays and a choice of a smoothed moisture field resulted in underestimations of the total rainfall.

Kalb, M. W.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Temperature-plant pigment-optical relations in a recurrent offshore mesoscale eddy near Point Conception, California

The temperature-plant pigment-optical structure of a mesoscale anticyclonic eddy consistently found in shipboard surveys and satellite-sensed data several hundred kilometers southwest of Point Conception, CA, is described on three different time scales (100-day mesoscale, annual, and several-year). The satellite coastal zone color scanner (CZCS) ocean color imagery detected the near-surface chlorophyll structure of the eddy, but in situ optical and plant pigment data suggest that such imagery does not provide a good estimate of the integrated chlorophyll field of the eddy. The temperature and plant pigment boundaries of the eddy, as determined from two-dimensional gradients of advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) and CZCS imagery, do not coincide spatially. This and in situ temperature, plant pigment, and optical structure provide additional evidence that some eddy systems in the California Current are not isolated vortex systems but rather continuously entrain waters of nonlocal origin laterally into their upper layers. Within the California Current a ratio of AVHRR/CZCS data is useful for separating inshore from oceanic water masses and following their surface entrainment by offshore vortices. The historical 28-year California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations data for the Point Conception region of the California Current and remotely sensed data over this region show that the Point Conception eddy is a recurrent feature in the offshore California Current. Moreover, the available data provide evidence that a large number of warm-core mesoscale eddies occur simultaneously in a transition zone between coastal and oceanic regimes, that these features recur at preferred locations within the transition zone, and that this family of eddies should impose a significant offshore boundary condition on the flow of the California Current.

Simpson, James J.↗