Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “metrics screening”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5

Test Methods and Analysis of Anomalous Charging Currents in Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Due to dry environments, anomalous charging currents (ACC) in polymer tantalum capacitors (PTC) could cause malfunctions or failures in space systems. Currently, there is no standard metric to assess this effect, and factors affecting ACC are not well understood. This paper discusses the benefits and drawbacks of different methods used to reveal ACC including constant voltage ramp and constant current stress and suggest a power surge testing (PST) as a procedure for screening and qualification of PTCs for space applications. The suggested test is similar to the surge current testing that is currently used for MnO2 tantalum capacitors but assures dissipation of high power in the part throughout testing. Using various types of capacitors, the reproducibility of test results for different manufacturing lots of PTCs and from sample to sample within a lot were estimated. The impact of moisture content, test temperature, stress voltages, and preconditioning were assessed. Thermal effects associated with ACC and the possibility of catastrophic failures were studied experimentally using an IR camera and calculated at adiabatic heating conditions. Possible mechanisms of the phenomenon are discussed and recommendations for testing to avoid failures related to ACC are suggested.

Alexander A.Teverovsky↗

A framework to evaluate machine learning crystal stability predictions

The rapid adoption of machine learning in various scientific domains calls for the development of best practices and community agreed-upon benchmarking tasks and metrics. We present Matbench Discovery as an example evaluation framework for machine learning energy models, here applied as pre-filters to first-principles computed data in a high-throughput search for stable inorganic crystals. We address the disconnect between (1) thermodynamic stability and formation energy and (2) retrospective and prospective benchmarking for materials discovery. Alongside this paper, we publish a Python package to aid with future model submissions and a growing online leaderboard with adaptive user-defined weighting of various performance metrics allowing researchers to prioritize the metrics they value most. To answer the question of which machine learning methodology performs best at materials discovery, our initial release includes random forests, graph neural networks, one-shot predictors, iterative Bayesian optimizers and universal interatomic potentials. We highlight a misalignment between commonly used regression metrics and more task-relevant classification metrics for materials discovery. Accurate regressors are susceptible to unexpectedly high false-positive rates if those accurate predictions lie close to the decision boundary at 0 eV per atom above the convex hull. The benchmark results demonstrate that universal interatomic potentials have advanced sufficiently to effectively and cheaply pre-screen thermodynamic stable hypothetical materials in future expansions of high-throughput materials databases.

Riebesell, Janosh↗

Design considerations for gallium arsenide pulse compression photoconductive switch

In this paper, we present the physics and design-space exploration of a novel pulse compression photoconductive switch (PCPS) using semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) operating in the negative differential mobility (NDM) regime of electron transport. We systematically quantify the relationship between the PCPS performance and various design options, including contact separation, laser energy and placement, and trap dynamics. Specifically, we report the full-width at half-maximum and the peak output current generated by the PCPS as a function of applied electrical and optical bias. We discuss the optimal spacing between the electrodes and the distance of the laser spot to the anode to achieve higher electron confinement and superior radio-frequency (RF) metrics. Reducing the laser energy is important to prevent the appearance of secondary peaks due to diffusive transport, but there exists a trade-off between the bandwidth and the maximum current of the PCPS. We also compare the PCPS response with and without trap dynamics and find that the electrostatic screening from the trap-induced space charge is time-independent when the trapping time constant is set larger than the recombination lifetime. Overall, trap dynamics are detrimental to performance, unless the compensation doping scheme to achieve semi-insulating GaAs is carefully selected. Results presented in this paper can be used by experimentalists to fine-tune the PCPS design parameters to meet the specifications of various RF applications. Moreover, our results will provide a strong theoretical basis to the measurements of PCPS devices using GaAs and other NDM materials under investigation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Atmospheric Modeling and Denoising for Millimeter-Wave Line Intensity Mapping

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) offers a promising approach to mapping large-scale cosmic structure, and the greatest obstacle for ground-based observations at millimeter wavelengths is foreground contamination from atmospheric emission. In this work, we present a simulation and denoising framework designed to isolate and subtract atmospheric fluctuations from LIM data, modeled after the instrument parameters of the South Pole Telescope Summertime Line Intensity Mapper (SPT-SLIM). We generate mock observations spanning 125-175 GHz containing cosmic signals, precipitable water vapor screens, ice crystal fluctuations, and photon noise. We then implement a spatial-spectral atmospheric removal pipeline combining per-pixel linear template regression with a two-dimensional Fourier-domain filter. The framework is evaluated under simulated conditions in the South Pole and the Atacama Desert across three key metrics: cosmic signal preservation, foreground subtraction efficiency, and instrument noise injection. Our pipeline achieves atmospheric suppression at large spatial scales, and these results establish a physically grounded foundation for atmosphere removal in ground-based LIM data collection.

Saye, Laney [UC, Berkeley (main)] (ORCID:000900078↗

Atmospheric Modeling and Denoising for Millimeter-Wave Line Intensity Mapping

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) offers a promising approach to mapping large-scale cosmic structure, and the greatest obstacle for ground-based observations at millimeter wavelengths is foreground contamination from atmospheric emission. In this work, we present a simulation and denoising framework designed to isolate and subtract atmospheric fluctuations from LIM data, modeled after the instrument parameters of the South Pole Telescope Summertime Line Intensity Mapper (SPT-SLIM). We generate mock observations spanning 125-175 GHz containing cosmic signals, precipitable water vapor screens, ice crystal fluctuations, and photon noise. We then implement a spatial-spectral atmospheric removal pipeline combining per-pixel linear template regression with a two-dimensional Fourier-domain filter. The framework is evaluated under simulated conditions in the South Pole and the Atacama Desert across three key metrics: cosmic signal preservation, foreground subtraction efficiency, and instrument noise injection. Our pipeline achieves atmospheric suppression at large spatial scales, and these results establish a physically grounded foundation for atmosphere removal in ground-based LIM data collection.

Saye, L. K. [UC, Berkeley (main)] (ORCID:000900078↗

An in silico method to assess antibody fragment polyreactivity

Antibodies are essential biological research tools and important therapeutic agents, but some exhibit non-specific binding to off-target proteins and other biomolecules. Such polyreactive antibodies compromise screening pipelines, lead to incorrect and irreproducible experimental results, and are generally intractable for clinical development. Here, we design a set of experiments using a diverse naïve synthetic camelid antibody fragment (nanobody) library to enable machine learning models to accurately assess polyreactivity from protein sequence (AUC > 0.8). Moreover, our models provide quantitative scoring metrics that predict the effect of amino acid substitutions on polyreactivity. We experimentally test our models’ performance on three independent nanobody scaffolds, where over 90% of predicted substitutions successfully reduced polyreactivity. Importantly, the models allow us to diminish the polyreactivity of an angiotensin II type I receptor antagonist nanobody, without compromising its functional properties. We provide a companion web-server that offers a straightforward means of predicting polyreactivity and polyreactivity-reducing mutations for any given nanobody sequence.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Exploring Aerosols Near Clouds With High‐Spatial‐Resolution Aircraft Remote Sensing During SEAC(4)RS

Since aerosols are important to our climate system, we seek to observe the variability of aerosol properties within cloud systems. When applied to the satellite‐borne Moderate‐resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Dark Target retrieval algorithm provides global aerosol optical depth (AOD; at 0.55 μm) in cloud‐free scenes. Since MODIS' resolution (500‐m pixels, 3‐ or 10‐km product) is too coarse for studying near‐cloud aerosol, we ported the Dark Target algorithm to the high‐resolution (~50‐m pixels) enhanced‐MODIS Airborne Simulator (eMAS), which flew on the high‐altitude ER‐2 during the Studies of Emissions, Atmospheric Composition, Clouds, and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys Airborne Science Campaign over the United States in 2013. We find that even with aggressive cloud screening, the ~0.5‐km eMAS retrievals show enhanced AOD, especially within 6 km of a detected cloud. To determine the cause of the enhanced AOD, we analyze additional eMAS products (cloud retrievals and degraded‐resolution AOD), coregistered Cloud Physics Lidar profiles, MODIS aerosol retrievals, and ground‐based Aerosol Robotic Network observations. We also define spatial metrics to indicate local cloud distributions near each retrieval and then separate into near‐cloud and far‐from‐cloud environments. The comparisons show that low cloud masking is robust, and unscreened thin cirrus would have only a small impact on retrieved AOD. Some of the enhancement is consistent with clear‐cloud transition zone microphysics such as aerosol swelling. However, 3‐D radiation interaction between clouds and the surrounding clear air appears to be the primary cause of the high AOD near clouds.

aerosol retrieval algorithm↗

Microgreens Food Safety Evaluation

Microgreens have been recently identified as a new type of pick and eat salad crop that can be utilized in space crop production systems. The majority of traditionally grown leafy green crops can be grown as microgreens, in addition to crops such as legumes (e.g. pea shoots), sunflower, buckwheat, most herbs, and corn, presenting hundreds of microgreen crop options. With a wide variety of flavors, exceptional nutritional density, short growth cycles (7-14 days), and unmatched volume optimization potential, microgreens present as an interesting option for sustainable production of nutritious and flavorful crops in space. The food safety aspects of microgreens have been investigated by USDA in recent years, however, an assessment for crew consumption purposes has not yet been conducted to capture the variety of microgreen cultivar types grown in spaceflight relevant environmental conditions and hardware that could be a part of the astronaut diet. Seed sanitation methods will be developed for each microgreen cultivar to sanitize the seed coat and ensure viable germination and plant growth. Food safety analysis will be performed on 24 different fast-growing cultivars of microgreens by performing aerobic plate counts (APC), fungal counts, and select pathogen screening of edible plant tissue before and after treatment with ProSan sanitizing produce wash. Additional avenues of investigation into microgreens food safety will be undertaken to understand impacts of plant height at time of harvest (able to be manipulated by light spectrum), seed density at time of planting, and role of blue light in food safety metrics of microgreens (n=6-12 microgreen cultivars tested, depending on variable). These findings will be included in the Space Crop Production Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP) plan. This new work is currently postponed due to Covid-19.

M E Hummerick↗

Suitable low Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants for two-speed Heat Pumps for residential applications based on speed Heat Pumps for residential applications based on simulated performance simulated performance

Cold climate Heat Pumps (CCHPs) using single-speed compressors in tandem have been successfully built and tested to reach its performance metrics with outdoor temperatures as low as -25°C. CCHPs must be designed to alleviate the problems of too high discharge temperatures, low suction pressure and high-pressure ratio at low ambient conditions and insufficient heating capacity relative to the heating capacity at 8.3°C. In this paper we recognize those concerns. Low-GWP refrigerants are screened based on the shape of their T-S saturation boundary. Simulations of the performance of low-GWP refrigerants (R32, R454B, R466A, and R452B) relative to R410A is done using the DOE/ORNL Heat Pump Design Model at the component level. Systemic inefficiency, the root cause of lost work, is addressed by component-level exergy analysis to refine design options. CCHPs using low-GWP refrigerants addresses issues of reducing energy consumption, lowering carbon footprint, and enabling environmentally sustainability. The CCHP was designed to meet a HSPF > 11.0 and SEER > 15.0 having adequate heat pump heating capacity down to -25°C. It is estimated that at least 2.6 million U.S homes using electric furnaces and heat pumps in cold or very old climates with an annual energy consumption of 0.17EJ would benefit by CCHPs.

Ally, Moonis↗

X-ray Computed Tomography of Irradiated and Unirradiated AGR-3/4 Compacts

X-ray Computed Tomography (XCT) has been utilized to image and characterize compacts from the combined third and fourth irradiation of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Program, AGR-3/4, fuel. The experiment contained tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-coated fuel particles as well as designed-to-fail (DTF) fuel particles. Two irradiated compacts, representing the lower and higher range of AGR-3/4 burnup (4.85% and 14.92% fissions per initial heavy metal atom FIMA) were examined. These represent the first known highly irradiated TRISO fuel compacts to be examined via X-ray CT. Additionally, two unirradiated compacts from the same production batch as the examined irradiation compacts were also imaged for a baseline comparison. As XCT of irradiated TRISO compacts is not a commonly implemented characterization technique, a significant portion of the report focuses on developed methodology and imaging conditions. A specialized sample shielding device was developed and fabricated specifically to limit received dose to staff during sample preparation for XCT and to minimize excess gamma radiation dose to sensitive electronic components with the utilized X-ray system. Significant penetration through the uranium oxycarbide fuel kernels by significantly hardening the X-ray beam with specialized proprietary filters acquired from Carl Zeiss NTS Ltd. The filter utilized resulted in an average X ray photon energy of ~110 keV which approaches uranium’s K-edge (~115 keV), maximizing penetration for a microfocus X-ray source. The gamma-radiation emitted from the irradiated AGR-3/4 TRISO compacts, has the same properties and mechanisms for interaction with matter as X-rays, thus the detection of gamma-radiation by the utilized X-ray detectors was initially a concern. However, although ?-rays did produce an observable signal on the X-ray detector, its contribution to the overall imaging results appeared negligible upon 3D reconstruction. The neglibile impact on the resulting 3D reconstructed volumes were likely the result of: (1) a significantly lower detection efficiency for ?-rays relative to X-rays; (2) An X-ray flux at the detector several orders of magnitude higher than that of the impinging ?-rays from the irradiated compacts. These results suggest that irradiated compacts with significantly higher radiation fields can be examined in the future if an acceptable route for sample handling and preparation can be determined. Additionally, the 3D imaging results of XCT can provide a valuable means of assessing compacts. While in many ways complimentary to traditional post irradiation examination techniques such as optical ceramography, XCT can provide additional insight into compact features traditionally difficult to discern directly from cross-sectional imaging alone. Preliminary analyses on kernel size, morphology (aspect ratio and sphericity), and kernel orientation were presented. Sphericity, a simple morphological shape descriptor, was utilized to screen for kernel extrusions within the high burnup compact. The number of kernel extrusions identified via XCT represented an approximate two-fold increase from the quantity of extruded particles observed (via optical ceramography) in adjacent compacts from the same irradiation capsule. While numerical analysis of the compact datasets was highly preliminary, initial results show promise for providing complimentary metrics to current AGR-3/4 PIE and potentially additional insight into the processes driving TRISO fuel degradation during reactor operation. Additional analyses to be performed at a later date include a more detailed examination of kernel size, kernel sphericity (and observed kernel extrusions), and sphericity. Given all particles can be observed in a single data volume possible correlation of spatial position with observed kernel features will also be made at a later date.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

In Situ Investigation of Upper Airway Occlusion in Sleep Disordered Breathing Using Ultrasonic Transducer Arrays

This work presents a novel application of ultrasound for the real-time, non-invasive investigation of occlusion of the upper airway during events of obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea syndrome. It is hypothesized that ultrasonic pulses applied to the neck during apneic events produce spectral and temporal features that can detect apnea occurrence. Theoretical models of ultrasound propagation and an in vitro test were conducted to test this hypothesis in both transmission and reflection modes. Complete specifications and technical details of the system design and fabrication, which is mounted on each subject’s neck, are presented, including the methodology. Nine patients (seven male and two female, mean age of 42 years, with a range of 25 to 56 years, and body mass index 37.6 ± 6.6 kg/m2) were recruited for a full night study, which included simultaneous nocturnal polysomnography for the validation of the results. Nine temporal features and four spectral features were extracted from the envelope of the received pulse waveform. These were used to compute 26 metrics to quantify the changes in the ultrasonic waveforms between normal breathing and apneic events. The statistical analysis of the collected ultrasonic data showed that at least two or more of the proposed features could detect apneic events in all subjects. The findings establish the feasibility of the proposed method as a cost-effective and non-invasive OSAHS screening tool.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Assessing the Current State of U.S. Energy Equity Regulation and Legislation [Slides]

This report examined state energy equity actions from January 2020 to July 2022. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory partnered with E9 Insight to screen executive, legislative, and regulatory actions focusing on energy equity. A total of 95 actions were identified across 22 states and Washington, DC. Energy equity was most associated with resource planning, decarbonization, and energy efficiency regulatory focus areas. States tended to focus on distributive and procedural justice tenets over recognition and restorative justice tenets. The review also suggested that energy equity metrics are in nascent stages; most outcomes identified in equity actions did not have corresponding metrics. Affordability and energy burden were identified as metrics in multiple cases and appeared in several different forms.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Assessing the Current State of U.S. Energy Equity Regulation and Legislation [Slides]

This report examined state energy equity actions from January 2020 to July 2022. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory partnered with E9 Insight to screen executive, legislative, and regulatory actions focusing on energy equity. A total of 95 actions were identified across 22 states and Washington, DC. Energy equity was most associated with resource planning, decarbonization, and energy efficiency regulatory focus areas. States tended to focus on distributive and procedural justice tenets over recognition and restorative justice tenets. The review also suggested that energy equity metrics are in nascent stages; most outcomes identified in equity actions did not have corresponding metrics. Affordability and energy burden were identified as metrics in multiple cases and appeared in several different forms.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Quality Ranking System for Molten Salt Thermal Property Data

A simple ranking system for use with data and property values compiled in the Molten Salt Thermal Database-Thermophysical Properties (MSTDB-TP) is presented. The approach includes assessments of five features of data collection: the method used to measure the property value, calibration of devices used to make the measurements, the quantified uncertainty of the results, control of the environmental conditions, and determination of the salt composition. The verifiability of how the property value was determined is also assessed based on information provided or cited within the data set. The quality of each facet is ranked as High, Moderate, or Incomplete based on objective metrics. The overall quality of the dataset is ranked based on rankings of the five data features and the reported property value, with rankings of A and B indicating the data and property value are deemed suitable for quantitative use and U indicating uncertainties that restrict the recommended use to qualitative purposes. The system is suitable for assessing data already in the MSTDB-TP and screening new entries.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Durability Characterization of Low Ice Adhesion and Impact Resistance Coatings

Glaze, rime and mixed icing conditions can cause significant variation in aerodynamic performance, fuel efficiency, and flight safety. For commercial aircraft, active icing mitigation strategies are utilized to enable safe flight within icing conditions according to the FAR Part 25/29 Appendix C icing envelope. For general aviation and unmanned aerial vehicles that cannot support active anti-icing technologies, avoidance is the only recourse. Passive approaches have been investigated to reduce weight and energy consumption for active systems and to expand the operational envelope for smaller aircraft. Coatings are one passive method to reduce or mitigate ice accretion on frontal surfaces of commercial aircraft with the greatest region of interest being wing leading edges. Aircraft wing leading edges represent an extreme environment. Durability must be considered for any material to be applied as a coating in this area. Currently, there are no specifications regarding coating durability of a low ice adhesion material applied on the wing leading edge. Therefore, a reasonable starting point is to use the durability specifications put forth for an aircraft external coating. Besides the tests called out in these specifications, others were included such as Taber abrasion to simulate wear and erosion. Beyond durability, performance metrics with regards to adhesion strength of accreted in-flight (i.e., impact) icing are central to determine coating usefulness. Determination of this property though is particularly challenging and only a few facilities have the capability to quantify this. An instrument at NASA Langley Research Center [Adverse Environment Rotary Test Stand Jr., (AERTS Jr.)], based on the AERTS system at The Pennsylvania State University, allows for screening numerous coatings subjected to the icing environment. To establish a benchmark for comparison with research coatings, a state-of-the-art (SOA) commercial aircraft coating was subjected to an array of salient durability and performance experiments. The same tests were conducted using a baseline epoxy (BE) resin formulation that demonstrated some initial promising results for comparison. Results from this initial screening will be discussed herein.

Miranda L Beaudry↗

Rapid Bayesian High Entropy Alloy Designs Fabricated via Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing

Purpose: This project seeks to demonstrate a new high-throughput (rapid) alloy design technique applied to creating new high entropy alloys (HEAs) for extreme environments. High entropy alloys shift the design paradigm from being focused on a single principal element (e.g. nickel-based alloys) to target alloys that include high atomic fractions (X >10%) of multiple elements. These HEA materials can exhibit sluggish diffusion and enhanced corrosion resistance, ideal for potential applications in advanced ultra supercritical (A-USC) steam cycles for power generation. Scope: The addition of multiple elements in high atomic fractions creates an enormous design space that cannot easily be investigated by traditional material design strategies such as designed of experiments (DOE). This project utilizes a Bayesian machine learning algorithm that has been modified to work with calculation of phase diagrams (CALPHAD) software. This Bayesian algorithm reduces manual inputs and increase the likelihood of achieving an optimal solution. Compositional inputs to this algorithm will be assessed using existing material property models for high temperature strength and corrosion resistance. The target for alloy performance will be a 15% (~100 ⁰C) increase in allowable service temperature beyond heat-resistant stainless steels while maintaining or improving alloy cost and corrosion resistance. Haynes 230 was selected as a baseline, which is 57 wt% Ni with 22 wt% Cr 14 wt% W, and 2 wt% Mo as solid solution strengtheners. In addition to rapid design via Bayesian machine learning, the alloys were rapidly fabricated using a multi-wire arc additive manufacturing (mWAAM) technique which allows for precise control of alloy composition and assessing of alloy design “windows” to study composition effects. Build speeds for wire-arc additive processes are among the highest for additive technologies enabling rapid and reliable sample fabrication when compared to conventional methods such as arc button melting. The mWAAM samples will be rapidly characterized via instrumented indentation for room temperature modulus and strength and for elevated temperature strength via hot hardness tests. After being screened with hardness testing, potential alloys will be further evaluated with conventional microscopy techniques including scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) to assess agreement with modeling results. The most promising compositions will also be evaluated by printing full sized tensile specimens for mechanical behavior tests at elevated temperatures. Results: Bayesian machine learning of a single performance function was initially used to optimize five performance metrics: 1) single phase stability, 2) yield strength, 3) creep resistance (low diffusion coefficient), 4) freezing range (weldability), and 5) material cost. The single performance function was suboptimal as assumptions had to be made about the results while formulating the optimization. A goal-oriented Bayesian optimization strategy (Hanaoka, 2021) was implemented with CALPHAD for use with the five metrics above. This multi-objective Bayesian optimization (MOBO) enabled the design of NiCrCoFe alloys with V and W additions. A base composition of NiCoCr was selected as Ni provides a stable FCC matrix, Cr aids corrosion/oxidation resistance, and Co is a solid-solutions strengthener that also improves creep by increasing the activation energy. Fe helps reduce diffusion coefficients and cost. Finally, V and W were selected for their reasonable solubility and high atomic misfit to aid in solid solution strengthening. Cracking of the mWAAM specimens was an early issue, and the Easton solidification cracking model (Easton et al., 2014a) was selected for addition to the MOBO function. High performing alloys fabricated by mWAAM included Ni 28 Cr 25 Co 26 Fe 15 V 8 and Ni 62 Cr 18 Co 1 Fe 3 W 15 . It was observed that even after adapting the mWAAM process for W, the W did not fully dissolve. To fully evaluate the Ni 62 Cr 18 Co 1 Fe 3 W 15 composition, a cored wire (80-20 NiCr sheath/powder core) was manufactured and printed via WAAM, and HIP’ing was utilized to homogenize and densify the printed alloy. The V and W alloys produced met metrics 1 (solid solution), 4 (solidification cracking), and 5 (cost). However, an unmodeled mechanism of thermal stress cracking was identified in the WAAM produced materials, perhaps exacerbated by the lack of grain boundary strengthening elements (B, C). Conclusions & Recommendations: A high-throughput (rapid) alloy design technique was applied to designing and manufacturing new high entropy alloys (HEAs) for extreme environments utilizing MOBO and mWAAM. The developed process was rapid and effective in addressing the mechanisms included in the model. The lack of grain boundary strengthening element additions (e.g., B, C) was a simplification that likely produced thermal stress cracking that turned into a large part of the investigation. Additions on the order of 0.005 wt% B and 0.05 wt% C likely would have minimized thermal stress grain boundary cracking. Overall, the high throughput design strategy is promising for rapid design of metrics-driven alloys for advanced ultra supercritical (A-USC) steam cycles for power generation. The MOBO and mWAAM process could be commercialized to accelerate metrics-driven alloy design. In addition, the cored-wire process utilized for scale-up is a promising high-volume process for WAAM alloy development and scale-up.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exploring Wildfire & Energy data toward State Prioritization Index (WESPI)

Energy infrastructure can both induce and suffer risks from wildfires ranging from direct damage to energy assets such as substations and power lines to Public Safety Power Shutoffs. Recent wildfire events underscore the need for data-driven approaches that help states and utilities proactively plan for wildfire risk. Existing national tools such as Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)’s National Risk Index (NRI) are valuable for community hazard planning. However, they are less suited for energy infrastructure, as they emphasize population and building exposure rather than system vulnerabilities. In this paper, we explore relationships between energy and wildfire data and present a Wildfire-Energy State Prioritization Index (WESPI). Our methodology combines data from the US Forest Service’s Fire Simulation (FSIM) dataset with energy resilience metrics, historical fire incidents, and geospatial data on transmission lines and fire stations. Correlation analyses suggest that FSIM burn probability is more strongly associated with power outage metrics (ρ = 0.32) than NRI wildfire frequency, and counties with a greater density of fire stations experience more frequent, but less intense wildfires. We further leverage data for burn probability, transmission line density, and fire station density to develop a Wildfire-Energy State Prioritization Index (WESPI) to highlight counties where wildfire hazard, infrastructure exposure, and limited suppression capacity converge. The index provides a consistent, scalable framework for state energy offices and utilities to screen counties for vegetation management, optimization of outage management system deployment, and to inform wildfire mitigation plans.

Critical infrastructure↗

VFA Biorefinery Design for Informed Production of Ground and Aviation Fuels

The rising demand for low-carbon intensity fuel options requires evaluation of a system which can support their production economically and sustainably. Volatile fatty acids (VFAs) ranging from C2 to C8 can be derived in high yield from arrested anaerobic digestion of biomass. This talk provides an overview of our work in which we upgrade wet waste-derived VFAs using ketonization to elongate their carbon backbone to reach a range relevant to jet or diesel fuels. Kinetic models were used to predict ketone profiles from varying VFA profiles, thereby informing potential carbon flow to either (a) mixed paraffins for use in diesel or aviation fuel, or (b) ethers for use in diesel fuel. To do this, the anticipated products were screened for critical fuel characteristics using predictive tools. The criteria for neat and blended bioblendstocks were chosen based on conventional petrofuel requirements, and they were applied to inform fuel targets, identify limiting characteristics, and guide conversion development. While paraffins can serve as either diesel or aviation fuels, the latter has stringent criteria which include a precise distillation curve range tied to carbon distribution. Fuels which fall outside this range typically fail to meet other property metrics, and as such flashpoint and viscosity were identified as potentially limiting properties of this VFA aviation fuel. However, paraffin fractions which fall outside aviation criteria may meet diesel fuel requirements, which are looser except for the flashpoint minimum. Flashpoint was also a concern for smaller VFA diesel ethers, which posed an additional oxygenate risk of high water solubility. This fuel-informed conversion design process was demonstrated through production of paraffins with reduced sooting as compared to petrodiesel (~34%), and increased renewable aviation fuel blend levels (>70%). VFA-derived ethers improved petrodiesel by increasing fuel autoignition quality by 56% and reducing sooting by 86%. These VFA aviation and diesel fuels could enable greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions of over 165% and 50%, respectively, relative to their purely fossil-derived counterparts. Collectively, this work provides (i) an overview of how we leveraged the flexibility of VFAs for fuel production; and (ii) insight into the potential of a VFA biorefinery to accommodate varied feed and fuel applications, while also considering the merit of tailored fuel production pathways and GHG reduction potential.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗