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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Dual-module humidity pump for efficient air dehumidification: Demonstration and performance limitations

Condensation dehumidification in conventional air conditioning technologies is energy-intensive, accounting for up to 50% of building cooling energy used in some climates. Selective vacuum membrane dehumidification (VMD) is one of the leading alternative dehumidification technologies due to its potential for significant energy savings, and the “dual-module humidity pump” is one of the most promising VMD concepts. Here, this work is the first to provide experimental proof-of-concept for the dual-module humidity pump system and provides the first thermodynamic modeling framework that accounts for realistic steady-state operating limitations, both of which are lacking in the current literature. Additionally, this work is the first to provide a system design solution that overcomes practical challenges associated with air accumulation in the vacuum channels. The experimental results in this work show that the current prototype can remove up to 45% of the water vapor in the air stream, and the vapor pressure difference in the vapor rejection module needs to be approximately 2–4 times greater than that of the dehumidification module in order to maintain balanced mass transfer. The thermodynamic model applied to typical air conditioning conditions shows that the ideal dehumidification (latent) COPs can reach up to 40, but practical COPs are limited to approximately 10. Furthermore, the model shows that the overall energy efficiency increases as the membrane air selectivity increases, though this improvement gradually starts to diminish when the membrane selectivity is increased above 10,000.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2026

Frequency Control and Dynamics (Part 1) [Slides]

This presentation provides an introductory overview of system dynamics and frequency control in electric power systems, with a focus on concepts relevant to small and interconnected grids such as those in Malawi. It explains foundational principles of AC system frequency, the relationship between generation-demand balance and frequency deviations, and the operational limits of generators and end-use equipment. The deck discusses frequency stability within broader system stability classifications and illustrates how inertia and turbine-governor dynamics shape system response to disturbances. It then outlines the tiered approach to frequency control - primary, secondary, and tertiary - detailing the roles, characteristics, timescales, and response mechanisms of each. Special emphasis is placed on hydro and thermal unit behavior, area control error (ACE), automatic generation control (AGC), and the operational implications of interconnecting small systems with larger grids. The material was developed to support Malawi's electricity sector and the establishment of the Southern Africa Battery Energy Storage Center of Excellence (SABESS CoE).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Frequency Control and Dynamics (Part 2) [Slides]

This presentation provides an introductory overview of system dynamics and frequency control in electric power systems, with a focus on concepts relevant to small and interconnected grids such as those in Malawi. It explains foundational principles of AC system frequency, the relationship between generation-demand balance and frequency deviations, and the operational limits of generators and end-use equipment. The deck discusses frequency stability within broader system stability classifications and illustrates how inertia and turbine-governor dynamics shape system response to disturbances. It then outlines the tiered approach to frequency control - primary, secondary, and tertiary - detailing the roles, characteristics, timescales, and response mechanisms of each. Special emphasis is placed on hydro and thermal unit behavior, area control error (ACE), automatic generation control (AGC), and the operational implications of interconnecting small systems with larger grids. The material was developed to support Malawi's electricity sector and the establishment of the Southern Africa Battery Energy Storage Center of Excellence (SABESS CoE).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhancing the efficiency benefit of thermal barrier coatings for homogeneous charge compression ignition engines through application of a low-k oxide

Prior experiments reported by the authors have proven the hypothesis that achieving a dynamic temperature swing on the combustion chamber surface will lead to improved thermal and combustion efficiencies of the homogeneous charge compression ignition engine. A thin layer of yttria-stabilized zirconia, roughly 150 μm, was plasma sprayed on the piston top. It led to markedly advanced ignition and heat release in the gasoline homogeneous charge compression ignition engine, accompanied with reduced unburnt hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide emissions, improved combustion efficiency, and a higher thermal efficiency. A related computational study highlighted the critical role of coating thermal conductivity in achieving a desired dynamic response; hence, the second phase of experimental investigations focused on introducing structured porosity in the yttria-stabilized zirconia coating, as a means of reducing effective conductivity. Indeed, additional incremental improvements were observed, as well as limitations related to adverse effects of the surface roughness and the fuel interactions with the surface roughness and open pores. Erosion can also be a problem in a direct injection engine. Therefore, the third round of investigations focused on a material with a natively low conductivity (low-k), sprayed on the top of an Al piston in a relatively dense form, and in a way that yields a smooth surface. The objective was to capitalize on the low conductivity, while avoiding the pitfalls accompanying high-porosity formulations. The heat-storage capacity was limited by keeping the thickness relatively low. The results verify the paramount importance of thermal conductivity in the context of high “temperature swing” behavior and indicate a potential to improve the homogeneous charge compression ignition engine’s combustion efficiency roughly 1.5%, with the overall indicated efficiency improvement on the order of 5%, on a relative basis. In addition, the low-k oxide thermal barrier applied to the piston extended significantly the low-load homogeneous charge compression ignition operability limit.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Vanadium and Niobium MXenes—Bilayered V 2 O 5 Asymmetric Supercapacitors

MXenes offer high metallic conductivity and redox capacitance that are attractive for high-power, high-energy storage devices. However, they operate limitedly under high anodic potentials due to irreversible oxidation. Pairing them with oxides to design asymmetric supercapacitors may expand the voltage window and increase the energy storage capabilities. Hydrated lithium preintercalated bilayered V 2 O 5 ( δ-Li x V 2 O 5 ·nH 2 O) is attractive for aqueous energy storage due to its high Li capacity at high potentials; however, its poor cyclability remains a challenge. To overcome its limitations and achieve a wide voltage window and excellent cyclability, it is combined with V 2 C and Nb 4 C 3 MXenes. Asymmetric supercapacitors employing lithium intercalated V 2 C (Li-V 2 C) or tetramethylammonium intercalated Nb 4 C 3 (TMA-Nb 4 C 3 ) MXenes as the negative electrode, and a δ-Li x V 2 O 5 ·nH 2 O composite with carbon nanotubes as the positive electrode in 5 m LiCl electrolyte operate over wide voltage windows of 2 and 1.6 V, respectively. The latter shows remarkably high cyclability—capacitance retention of ≈95% after 10 000 cycles. Here, this work highlights the importance of selecting appropriate MXenes to achieve a wide voltage window and a long cycle life in combination with oxide anodes to demonstrate the potential of MXenes beyond Ti 3 C 2 in energy storage.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Neutronic Consideration of TREAT Facility Fuel SiC Recladding

The Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) Facility is an air-cooled reactor composed of graphite-urania fuel encapsulated in zirconium alloy canisters and surrounded by ~2 ft (~61 cm) of nuclear grade graphite. The primary role of TREAT is to provide in-pile nuclear-heated safety research via transient testing [1]. Benchmark efforts have demonstrated sensitivity of TREAT neutronics models to graphite cross section data and key neutron poisons found in the fuel assemblies [2]. During fabrication of TREAT fuel assemblies, a small concentration of boron was inadvertently introduced with variable concentration into the aggregate of fuel blocks prepared for TREAT use. The concentration of boron, and its respective uncertainty, represent the most sensitive component in a neutronics study; unfortunately, nothing can be done to reduce or otherwise mitigate its impact. Hydrogen in the fuel blocks reduces the mean free path of the core and its true quantity and uncertainty is approximated. The hydrogen remains from pitch binder used in the fuel fabrication process and was not completely released due to incomplete fuel graphitization. Destructive fuel testing is necessary to quantify the actual hydrogen content and to improve benchmark model quality. A third neutron poison of some significance is the hafnium impurity in the Zircaloy-3 (Zry-3) assembly cladding. The quantity of hafnium is expected to be within nominal manufacturing limits for nuclear grade zircaloy. Recladding the fuel assemblies with material that is less neutron absorbing is expected to benefit reactor neutron economy. Moreover, TREAT’s total transient energy is restricted based on the rate of Zry-3 oxidation in TREAT’s air coolant environment. Hence, cladding with more benign air reaction kinetics could dramatically uprate the facility’s experimental capability. Silicon carbide (SiC) has been proposed as a candidate material for recladding TREAT assemblies, as SiC/SiC demonstrate favorable properties within nuclear environments [3]. The current operational limits of TREAT are restricted by the oxidation of Zry-3. Change of the cladding to SiC could feasibly double the current temperature limitation. Recladding opportunities allow for previously damaged fuel assemblies to be returned to service, as Zry-3 is not commercially available. The initial effort required to consider proceeding with any recladding effort is to neutronically characterize key reactor parameters while replacing Zry-3 with SiC. A characterization summary, with respective results, is provided herein.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Operation of Natural Gas Pipeline Networks With Storage Under Transient Flow Conditions

Here, we formulate a nonlinear optimal control problem for intraday operation of a natural gas pipeline network that includes storage reservoirs. The dynamics of compressible gas flow through pipes, compressors, reservoirs, and wells are considered. In particular, a reservoir is modeled as a rigid, hollow container that stores gas under isothermal conditions and uniform density, and a well is modeled as a vertical pipe. For each pipe, flow dynamics are described by a coupled partial differential equation (PDE) system in density and mass flux variables, with momentum dissipation modeled using the Darcy–Wiesbach friction approximation. Compressors are modeled as scaling up the pressure of gas between the inlet and outlet. The governing equations for all network components are spatially discretized and assembled into a nonlinear differential-algebraic equation (DAE) system, which synthesizes above-ground pipeline and subsurface reservoir dynamics into a single reduced-order model. We seek to maximize an objective function that quantifies economic profit and network efficiency subject to the flow equations and inequalities that represent operating limitations. The problem is solved using a primal–dual interior point solver, and the solutions are validated in computational experiments and simulations on several pipeline test networks to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Explainable tokamak-agnostic forecasting of fusion plasma instability via megahertz turbulent fluctuations

Scientific applications of artificial intelligence (AI) often remain limited by device-specific training and unexplained “black-box” approaches, creating fundamental barriers to cross-system generalization. This challenge is critical for nuclear fusion, where future reactors will have limited operational data for AI training. Here, we demonstrate that our neural network, trained solely on megahertz-scale turbulence measurements from one machine (DIII-D), forecasts Type-I edge localized mode (ELM) onsets in a different tokamak (KSTAR) through zero-shot weight transfer following physics-consistent preprocessing without device-specific retraining. Through an explainable AI framework combining gradient-weighted class activation mapping with physics validation, we reveal that our network can internalize physics relationships governing the ELM instabilities rather than memorizing device-specific patterns. The network perceives spatiotemporal features that correlate consistently with independently calculated instability growth rates, magnetohydrodynamic stability limits, and pedestal structure dynamics. Statistical analyses of dimensionally-reduced saliency features reveal the identical triangular features between the saliency representations, instability growth rates, and prediction probability across tokamaks, providing evidence that our forecasting system can show tokamak-agnostic generalization. This work contributes to a foundation for explainable scientific AI systems, where cross-system developments are essential for transcending traditional domain-specific constraints.

AI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Alternative Treatment of Defense Waste Processing Facility Recycle via Reuse of Existing Liquid Waste Facilities - 20097

The Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF) at Savannah River Site (SRS) has been immobilizing high level waste since 1996. The chemical process within DWPF generates a large volume of condensate, which is recycled to the SRS H-Area Tank Farm. The recycle stream includes a small quantity of sludge solids, as well as soluble cesium that is volatilized during melter operation. The recycle waste is currently received into a large, underground waste tank that separates insoluble solids via decanting. The supernate is treated by an evaporator with a concentrate stream that is stored for future processing. The evaporator overheads are collected and sent to the Effluent Treatment Project (ETP) for final polishing and testing prior to discharge to local surface water. Recycle storage and treatment as described above complicates the overall mission within the tank farms, which are primarily engaged in waste retrieval and preparation activities that support sludge and salt disposition, as well as tank characterization and closure. The need to devote a portion of available storage space to recycle treatment limits operational flexibility, and ultimately the DWPF recycle stream must be diverted to fully close all the SRS waste tanks. An alternative treatment process is being explored to decouple the recycle stream from the tank farm. The proposed treatment process will accomplish solids separation via crossflow filtration and will utilize a wiped film evaporator to volume-reduce the filtrate stream. Evaporator overheads will continue to be further processed in ETP while the solids stream and evaporator concentrate stream will be returned for reprocessing with the DWPF and Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF). This process will utilize existing facilities within DWPF and the tank farm that were previously dedicated to Interim Salt Disposition (ISD), but no longer have an identified mission with the startup of SWPF. The reuse of these facilities will remove several constraints from the current Liquid Waste (LW) System Plan without expanding the current footprint of Department of Energy Environmental Management (EM) infrastructure within LW. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2025

TEM characterization of two variants of fuel cladding chemical interaction in a HT-9 Clad U-10Zr Fuel. Variant 1: FCCI with a Zr Rind

Here, this study investigated the fuel cladding chemical interaction (FCCI), a key factor that limits operational temperature and burnup, in an HT-9 clad U-10Zr nuclear fuel sample irradiated to a high burnup of 13.1 at.% at a time-averaged peak inner cladding temperature (PICT) of 530 °C. Previous results showed this fuel sample exhibited two distinct levels of FCCI at d. This paper analyzed the FCCI at an azimuthal position showing an interdiffusion layer of <10 µm using transmission electron microscopy to examine chemical and crystallographic nature of phases at the fuel-cladding interface at the nanoscale level. A ZrC layer and a Zr 3 Si phase were identified at the interface; these, along with the relatively low local temperature, potentially contributed to limit interdiffusion, behaving as inhibitors for deleterious interactions. Lanthanides (Ln) partially consumed the ZrC layer and interacted with Fe, forming a Zr-Ln compound and a (Zr,Ce)Fe 2+x phase while also infiltrating up to 4 µm into the cladding. Neither U nor Zr were observed in the cladding, whereas Fe diffused up to 3–5 µm in the fuel. Fe infiltration formed a ternary U-Zr-Fe ε-phase and likely promoted the precipitation of a Cr-rich α’ phase on the cladding interface. Additionally, a Cr-rich χ-phase, likely formed by the dissociation of pre-existing M 23 C 6 carbide precipitates, was identified about 2–5 µm from the fuel-cladding interface. Irradiation-induced nano-voids were also observed in the HT-9 bulk. These findings provide critical insights into FCCI mechanisms at representative irradiation conditions, essential for developing models simulating in-pile metallic fuel behaviors for next-generation reactors.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Assessing plasma face component thermal response to rotating 3D magnetic fields for SPARC tokamak

Thermal response simulations of plasma-facing components (PFCs) in the SPARC tokamak, performed with the HEAT code, show that three-dimensional (3D) heat loads resulting from stationary n=1 perturbations require highly radiative scenarios, with up to 95% of the power crossing the separatrix (P SOL ) being radiated, to maintain PFC temperatures within acceptable operational limits, whereas the application of slowly rotating 3D fields substantially reduces the thermal loads. The HEAT module, developed to predict heat loads from non-axisymmetric plasmas, is extended to model time-dependent heat flux patterns generated by rotating 3D fields, and a comprehensive thermal analysis is performed on PFCs subjected to both the maximum and minimum power loads, as well as to rotating heat flux distributions, to evaluate the temperature evolution for varying perturbation amplitudes and rotation frequencies. The extension of this analysis to 3D fields with toroidal mode number n=2 shows that this configuration leads to weaker localized heat flux peaks relative to the n=1 case, enabling safe operation with less than 80% of the power radiated when static 3D fields of low amplitude are applied, while using slowly rotating fields at higher amplitudes. These results indicate that n=2 perturbations are generally less detrimental to divertor power exhaust, emphasizing the strong dependence of divertor power exhaust on the characteristics of the applied 3D fields.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Financial Analysis of the High Flow Experiment conducted at the Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2023

The Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) is a Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) power resource that is a component of the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP). The 2016 record of decision (ROD) for the GCD long-term experimental and management plan (LTEMP) final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) specified criteria for GCD monthly water releases, daily and hourly operating limits, and experimental releases. This report examines the financial implications of the high flow experiment (HFE) conducted at GCD during the spring of Water Year (WY) 2023 as required by the LTEMP HFE Protocol. This report is part of a series of reports that describe the financial costs of LTEMP experimental releases since the 2016 ROD was adopted in January 2017. Previous reports analyzed the impact of several past HFEs and Bug Flow Experiments. This report focuses on the HFE conducted in April 2023. For this experimental release, financial costs of approximately $1.33 million were incurred because the HFE required sustained water releases exceeding the power plant’s maximum turbine flow rate. In addition, during the experiment, operators were not allowed to shape GCD power production, either to follow Firm Electric Service (FES) customer day-ahead energy deliveries or to respond to market prices. This study identifies the main factors contributing to the HFE costs and examines the interdependencies among these factors. It applies an integrated set of tools to estimate Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) financial impacts by simulating GCD under two types of cases; namely, (1) a “With Experiment” case that mimics the operations that actually occurred and (2) a “Without Experiment” case that simulates operations under the assumption that the HFE did not occur. The “With Experiment” case mimics operations during the HFE and the entire month the HFE occurred. It complies with LTEMP hourly and daily operating criteria. The “Without Experiment” case assumes that the HFE did not occur. The monthly water release volume is assumed to be identical under both cases. The Colorado River Storage Project Python-based model (CRiSPPy) model was the main modeling tool used to simulate the dispatch of the GCD hydropower plant and associated water releases from Lake Powell. In the modeling process, the research team used extensive data sets and historical information on SLCA/IP power plant characteristics, hydrologic conditions, and WAPA’s power purchases and sales prices. In addition to estimating the financial impact of the HFE, the team used the CRiSPPy model to gain insights into the interplay among ROD operating criteria, exceptions made to criteria to accommodate the HFE, and WAPA operating practices.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

RODeO (Revenue Operation and Device Optimization Model) [SWR 20-67]

The Revenue, Operation, and Device Optimization (RODeO) model explores optimal system design and operation considering different levels of grid integration, equipment cost, operating limitations, financing, and credits and incentives. RODeO is a price-taker model formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model in the GAMS modeling platform. The objective is to maximizes the net revenue for a collection of equipment at a given site. The equipment includes generators (e.g., gas turbine, steam turbine, solar, wind, hydro, fuel cells, etc.), storage systems (batteries, pumped hydro, gas-fired compressed air energy storage, long-duration systems, hydrogen), and flexible loads (e.g., electric vehicles, electrolyzers, flexible building loads). The input data required by RODeO can be classified into three bins: 1) utility service data, which refers to retail utility rate information (meter cost, energy and demand charges), 2) electricity market data, which include energy and reserve prices, 3) other inputs, which refer to additional electrical demand, product output demand, technological assumptions, financial properties, and operational parameters.

Guerra Fernandez, Omar Jose↗
DOE OSTI2025

Self-consistent modeling of tokamak edge plasma transport with lithium sources

Magnetic confinement fusion devices require effective heat and particle exhaust solutions on the divertor plates to operate sustainably, especially under reactor-relevant conditions. Liquid lithium divertors have been proposed to address two major challenges: control of excessive heat flux to plasma-facing components through vapor shielding and minimization of core plasma contamination from impurities. The National Spherical Torus Experiment-Upgrade (NSTX-U) will explore lithium as a divertor material due to its potential to meet both objectives. We present a self-consistent coupling framework between the plasma boundary transport code UEDGE and the lithium wall transport code Wall–Li to evaluate the feasibility and operational limits of lithium-based divertors. The model aims to optimize lithium sourcing levels to prevent core plasma contamination via fuel dilution while ensuring divertor protection through vapor shielding. This integrated framework, applicable to any tokamak with lithium sources, dynamically adjusts lithium sourcing based on local plasma conditions and surface temperature. The coupled model is tested using NSTX-like geometry and plasma conditions to assess its performance and reliability. Wall–Li calculates lithium fluxes from plasma-facing components, incorporating physical sputtering, thermally enhanced sputtering, and evaporation driven by surface temperature and ion flux. These fluxes are reintroduced into UEDGE as neutral lithium atoms, enabling simulation of their transport and distribution within the plasma. UEDGE computes plasma and neutral transport, surface heat flux, and iteratively feeds this information back to Wall–Li. A small time step is employed to ensure numerical stability and convergence, enabling accurate simulations over typical tokamak discharge durations. This integrated modeling approach provides a robust tool for identifying operational regimes that balance effective lithium sourcing with minimal core plasma contamination, offering critical insights for optimizing lithium-based divertor systems in current and future fusion devices.

Magnetic confinement fusion↗
DOE OSTI2026

The Use of Machine Learning Models for Predicting the Dielectric Strength of Gases

Technological advancements in high voltage systems have pushed sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) to its operational limits. Furthermore, this gas has other drawbacks including a high liquefaction temperature and a high global warming potential. Therefore, there has been an urgent need to find alternative gases with high dielectric strength (DS). In this work, density functional theory (DFT) is used to calculate molecular descriptors that are fed into an artificial neural network (ANN) and a random forest (RF). These machine learning (ML) models are then used to predict the DS for hundreds of molecules. A finite element model (FEM) is also used to calculate the electric field profile of multiple simple electrode geometries as the applied voltage to the system is increased. Results indicate that the random forest model has better generalization to unseen data than the neural network. The highest DS value predicted by the RF was 2.16 relative to the experimental DS of SF6. The results also demonstrate how choosing a gas with a higher DS and a geometry with minimal edges and corners can significantly increase the operating voltage of an electrical system. Due to its superior generalization, the RF represents the most promising path toward an accurate DS predictor once sufficient experimental data are available.

Mileski, Matthew [AFIT]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Understanding Electric Vehicle Range and Charging Needs: Interactions Between Ambient Temperature, Commute Patterns, and State-of-Charge Usage

Electric vehicle (EV) performance can vary substantially under real-world operating conditions, particularly due to ambient temperature effects on energy consumption, battery behavior, and thermal management requirements. This study quantifies how weather conditions, daily driving patterns, and State-of-Charge (SOC) usage strategies jointly influence EV driving range, charging frequency, and overall energy efficiency. A detailed and experimentally validated Autonomie vehicle model is developed, integrating a powertrain, a mono-zonal cabin model, and a battery electro-thermal model. Three battery sizes (200-, 300-, and 400-mile homologated ranges) are assessed across five commute profiles (20–200 miles) and six ambient temperatures (−18 °C to 50 °C), including scenarios with and without preconditioning. Results show that extreme temperatures could significantly decrease the maximum achievable range by up to 55% in cold conditions (−18 °C) and 40% in hot conditions (50 °C), relative to moderate conditions. Larger battery packs retain a greater fraction of their nominal range under thermal stress, while smaller packs experience sharper relative penalties due to the higher contribution of thermal loads to total energy demand. The analysis further demonstrates that limiting operation to partial SOC windows (e.g., 80–20%), a common real-world practice, significantly reduces achievable range and increases charging frequency, particularly in cold weather. Thermal preconditioning while plugged in is shown to mitigate these effects for short trips, reducing energy consumption by up to 31% in hot conditions and 7% in cold conditions. The findings demonstrate how climate, SOC usage behavior, and thermal management jointly shape the practical driving capability of EVs, highlighting the importance of efficient thermal management and realistic user charging strategies for ensuring reliable EV operation across diverse climatic scenarios.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Financial Analysis of the Smallmouth Bass Flows implemented at the Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2024

The Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) is a Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) power resource that is a component of the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP). The 2016 record of decision (ROD) for the GCD long-term experimental and management plan (LTEMP) final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) specifies criteria for GCD monthly water releases, daily and hourly operating limits, and experimental releases. This report presents a financial analysis of the Smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) (SMB) flows implemented at GCD during Water Year (WY) 2024. These bypass flows were introduced by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) as an emergency response to the growing threat posed by invasive SMB in the Colorado River ecosystem downstream of the dam. SMB are a non-native predatory species that pose a significant threat to native fish populations, including the endangered humpback chub (Gila cypha). The thermal regime below GCD, typically cold due to hypolimnetic releases from Lake Powell, has historically served as a thermal barrier limiting SMB establishment. However, persistently low reservoir levels in recent years have reduced stratification in Lake Powell, allowing warmer water to be released downstream. This has enabled SMB to spawn successfully below the dam, prompting urgent ecological concerns. To mitigate the risk of SMB proliferation, the USBR implemented a series of bypass flows in WY 2024. Drawn from a lower elevation than the penstocks, the bypass structures released cooler water downstream. These short-duration bypass flows aimed to keep temperatures cool enough to prevent SMB from spawning, thereby reducing the ecological threat posed by this invasive species. Although motivated by ecological objectives, these bypass flows came with financial tradeoffs. Releasing water through the bypass structures instead of the turbines at GCD reduced hydropower generation, resulting in a significantly lower financial position for Western Area Power Administration (WAPA), which is responsible for marketing the electricity produced by the GCD Powerplant. This report analyzes the financial impact of the SMB flows implemented from July to November 2024. These experimental releases led to an estimated financial cost of approximately $18.9 million, primarily driven by the substantial volume of water diverted through the bypass structures. This study applies an integrated set of tools to estimate WAPA financial impacts by simulating GCD under two types of cases; namely, (1) a “With Experiment” case that mimics the water operations that actually occurred, including the SMB bypass flows, and (2) a “Without Experiment” case that simulates operations under the assumption that the SMB flows did not occur. Both cases comply with LTEMP hourly and daily operating criteria, and the monthly water release volumes are assumed to be identical under both cases. The Colorado River Storage Project Python-based model (CRiSPPy) model was the main modeling tool used to simulate the dispatch of the GCD hydropower plant and associated water releases from Lake Powell. In the modeling process, the research team used extensive data sets and historical information on SLCA/IP power plant characteristics, hydrologic conditions, and WAPA’s power purchases and sales prices.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗