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Parallel replica dynamics method for bistable stochastic reaction networks: Simulation and sensitivity analysis

Stochastic reaction networks that exhibit bistable behavior are common in systems biology, materials science, and catalysis. Sampling of stationary distributions is crucial for understanding and characterizing the long-time dynamics of bistable stochastic dynamical systems. However, simulations are often hindered by the insufficient sampling of rare transitions between the two metastable regions. In this paper, we apply the parallel replica method for a continuous time Markov chain in order to improve sampling of the stationary distribution in bistable stochastic reaction networks. The proposed method uses parallel computing to accelerate the sampling of rare transitions. Furthermore, it can be combined with the path-space information bounds for parametric sensitivity analysis. With the proposed methodology, we study three bistable biological networks: the Schlögl model, the genetic switch network, and the enzymatic futile cycle network. We demonstrate the algorithmic speedup achieved in these numerical benchmarks. More significant acceleration is expected when multi-core or graphics processing unit computer architectures and programming tools such as CUDA are employed

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Modeling efficient and equitable distribution of COVID-19 vaccines

Producing and distributing COVID-19 vaccine during the pandemic is a major logistical challenge requiring careful planning and efficient execution. This report presents information on logistical, policy and technical issues relevant to rapidly fielding a COVID-19 vaccination program. For this study we (a) conducted literature review and subject matter expert elicitation to understand current vaccine manufacturing and distribution capabilities and vaccine allocation strategies, (b) designed a baseline vaccine distribution strategy and modeling strategy to provide insight into the potential for targeted distribution of limited initial vaccine supplies, and (c) developed parametric interfaces to enable vaccine distribution scenarios to be analyzed in depth with Sandias Adaptive Recovery Model that will allow us evaluate the additional sub- populations and alternative distribution scenarios from a public health benefit and associated economic disruption Principal issues, challenges, and complexities that complicate COVID-19 vaccine delivery identified in our literature and subject matter expert investigation include these items: The United States has not mounted an urgent nationwide vaccination campaign in recent history. The existing global manufacturing and distribution infrastructure are not able to produce enough vaccine for the population immediately. Vaccines, once available will be scarce resources. Prioritization for vaccine allocation will be built on existing distribution networks. Vaccine distribution may not have a universal impact on disease transmission and morbidity because of scarcity, priority population demographics, and underlying disease transmission rates. Considerations for designing a vaccine distribution strategy are discussed. A baseline distribution strategy is designed and tested using the Adaptive Recovery Model, which couples a deterministic compartmental epidemiological model and a stochastic network model. We show the impact of this vaccine distribution strategy on hospitalizations, mortality, and contact tracing requirements. This model can be used to quantitatively evaluate alternative distribution scenarios, guiding policy decisions as vaccine candidates are narrowed down.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Parametric study and speciation analysis of rare earth precipitation using oxalic acid in a chloride solution system

Oxalic acid precipitation is a common step in the purification of rare earth elements (REE) from a concentrated pregnant leach solution (PLS). However, the presence of contaminants such as Al, Fe, and Ca in given amounts decreases the REE precipitation efficiency and product purity while also increasing the amount of oxalic acid needed to maximize recovery. As such, a statistically designed test program was performed to identify the optimal conditions necessary for a relatively low REE content PLS containing elevated concentrations of contaminant ions. The performance objective was maximization of REE precipitation efficiency while minimizing the oxalic acid dosage. A central composite design was utilized to quantify performance impacts and identify the ultimate set of parameter values for oxalic acid dosage, Fe(III) contamination concentration, solution pH, and reaction temperature. The resultant model suggested that oxalic acid dosage and reaction pH are the most significant factors for the REE precipitation efficiency, followed by the interaction of oxalic dosage and Fe concentration. Test results indicate that increasing the oxalic acid concentration from 0 g/L to 80 g/L improved the REE precipitation efficiency from approximately 4.2% to 95.0%. Furthermore, raising the solution pH from 0.5 to 2.5 considerably enhanced the precipitation efficiency from 0.0% to 98.9%. A solution temperature elevation decreased REE recovery, which indicated an exothermic reaction between REEs and oxalate anions. Finally, a high level of Fe contamination adversely impacted REE precipitation efficiency. Here, to further the understanding of the REE-oxalate system, a fundamental solution chemistry study was performed using the equilibrium constants of the reactions. The study resulted in the development of oxalate speciation diagrams and provided an analysis of the REE precipitation characteristics at various oxalate anion concentrations and Fe(III) contamination levels using MINTEQ software. The dominant Fe(III) species in the solution system were found to be Fe-(C 2 O 4 ) 3 3- , Fe-(C 2 O 4 ) 2- , and Fe-(C 2 O 4 ) + , which consume the majority of the oxalate anions. The simulated model was found to be in agreement with the experimental findings and helped to explain the adverse impact of increased iron concentrations on REE precipitation efficiency.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Transverse momentum distributions of heavy hadrons and polarized heavy quarks

We initiate the study of transverse momentum-dependent (TMD) fragmentation functions for heavy quarks, demonstrate their factorization in terms of novel nonperturbative matrix elements in heavy-quark effective theory (HQET), and prove new TMD sum rules that arise from heavy-quark spin symmetry. We discuss the phenomenology of heavy-quark TMD FFs at B factories and find that the Collins effect, in contrast to claims in the literature, is not parametrically suppressed by the heavy-quark mass. We further calculate all TMD parton distribution functions for the production of heavy quarks from polarized gluons within the nucleon and use our results to demonstrate the potential of the future EIC to resolve TMD heavy-quark fragmentation in semi-inclusive DIS, complementing the planned EIC program to use heavy quarks as probes of gluon distributions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A parametric SPICE model for the simulation of spark gap switches

The use of SPICE-based software for the simulation of pulsed power systems—even large complex systems—has become commonplace in the pulsed power community. This is in contrast to earlier work in the field that relied on specially developed simulation codes such as Sandia’s Screamer or the Navy Research Lab’s Bertha, which natively incorporated models for common pulsed power components such as spark gap switches. Unlike these programs, SPICE programs provide a simple and familiar user interface and wide availability. However, SPICE programs do not include realistic models for key pulsed power circuit devices—including the spark gap switch. While simple switch models do exist in SPICE programs, these can only crudely approximate the behavior of a spark gap. This effort focuses on developing an SPICE circuit model for a gas-filled spark gap switch that is physically realistic while being simple enough to permit simulations to run in reasonable times on typical personal computers. Detailed information is provided for implementation in two common versions of SPICE: LTspice and Orcad PSPICE. Adaptation to other SPICE programs is possible with minimal modification. The model is intended as a design tool that uses physical parameters as inputs to connect it directly to the development of useable pulsed power systems. Data collected from the operation of a high-pressure pulsed-charged switch and a complete 12-stage Marx generator have been used to demonstrate the implementation and accuracy of the model over a wide range of parameters.

Pouncey, J. Cameron (ORCID:0000000153500816)↗

Water NSTF Design, Instrumentation, and Test Planning

The following report serves as a formal introduction to the water-based Natural convection Shutdown heat removal Test Facility (NSTF) program at Argonne. Since 2005, this US Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored program has conducted large scale experimental testing to generate high-quality and traceable validation data for guiding design decisions of the Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) concept for advanced reactor designs. The most recent facility iteration, and focus of this report, is the operation of a 1/2 scale model of a water-RCCS concept. Several features of the NSTF prototype align with the conceptual design that has been publicly released for the AREVA 625 MWt SC-HTGR. The design of the NSTF also retains all aspects common to a fundamental boiling water thermosiphon, and thus is well poised to provide necessary experimental data to advance basic understanding of natural circulation phenomena and contribute to computer code validation. Overall, the NSTF program operates to support the DOE vision of aiding US vendors in design choices of future reactor concepts, advancing the maturity of codes for licensing, and ultimately developing safe and reliable reactor technologies. In this report, the top-level program objectives, testing requirements, and unique considerations for the water cooled test assembly are discussed, and presented in sufficient depth to support defining the program’s overall scope and purpose. A discussion of the proposed 6-year testing program is then introduced, which outlines the specific strategy and testing plan for facility operations. The proposed testing plan has been developed to meet the toplevel objective of conducting high-quality test operations that span across a broad range of single- and two-phase operating conditions. Details of characterization, baseline test cases, accident scenario, and parametric variations are provided, including discussions of later-stage test cases that examine the influence of geometric variations and off-normal configurations. The facility design follows, including as-built dimensions and specifications of the various mechanical and liquid systems, design choices for the test section, water storage tank, and network piping. Specifications of the instrumentation suite are then presented, along with specific information on performance windows, measurement uncertainties, and installation locations. Finally, descriptions of the control systems and heat removal networks are provided, which have been engineered to support precise quantification of energy balances and facilitate well-controlled test operations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Sequential Design of Experiments for Pilot Testing of Novel Solvent System

The CCSI2 program is supporting a six-month test campaign at the National Carbon Capture Center (NCCC) for evaluation of a novel water-lean solvent. This presentation describes CCSI2’s efforts in process modeling of the solvent system for both coal and natural gas-based flue gas sources and initial uncertainty quantification (UQ) work to estimate parametric uncertainty in key sub-models of interest (e.g., thermodynamics, mass transfer, reaction kinetics). Moreover, perspective is provided on how UQ and sequential design of experiments (SDoE) tools are used to assess the impact of model uncertainty on projected process performance, use this information to optimize data collection during the campaign, and refine process models through data collection. This framework is expected to reduce the overall model uncertainty, and thus risk associated with scale-up as the process moves towards commercialization.

Morgan, Joshua↗

FY25 Report on Water NSTF Testing: Parametric and Accident Testing with Lower Tank Inlet

The Natural Convection Shutdown Heat Removal Test Facility (NSTF) at Argonne National Laboratory has continued to generate empirical validation data on the performance of water-based reactor cavity cooling system (RCCS) for seven years. This data is actively being used to support the development of passive decay heat removal systems for advanced reactors. Distinguishing this facility are 1) the large, ½ scale of the facility and 2) its governance under an NQA-1 qualified program for producing data of the highest pedigree for advanced reactor designers and regulators. In addition to the experimental activities discussed in this report, a computational modeling program continues to support the experimental program and further accuracy and understanding of the computational models. Together, the experimental and computational work create a mutually beneficial relationship integral to the overall program objective of advancing the understanding of the RCCS technology.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Prefabricated High-Strength Rebar Systems with High-Performance Concrete for Accelerated Construction of Nuclear Concrete Structures

This project aimed to reduce the field construction times and fabrication costs of reinforced concrete (RC) nuclear structures through the use of: 1) high-strength steel deformed reinforcing bar (rebar); 2) prefabricated high-strength rebar (HSR) assemblies with headed anchorages; and 3) high-strength concrete (HSC). The focus of the project was not to develop new innovations on materials, but rather to fill a major knowledge gap on the effectiveness, code conformity, and viability (i.e., practicality, commercial availability) of existing high-strength materials in nuclear structures, especially in shear walls, their connections/joints, and around penetrations. These advances promote the Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies Advanced Methods for Manufacturing (NEET-1) goals of accelerating deployment schedules by at least 6 months and reducing component fabrication costs by 20% or more. Toward this vision, the following objectives were identified and completed: Develop limit-benefit and cost-benefit analysis frameworks: The structural and economic limits and benefits of HSR and HSC in nuclear walls were evaluated. Importantly, it was found that modest increases in concrete strength up to 10.0 ksi and rebar yield strength up to 100 ksi result in the most economic designs and improved structural performance (Barbachyn et al., 2017a and Barbachyn et al., 2017b). Also, an industry survey was distributed to determine the cost benefits associated with prefabrication. Importantly, on-site worker-hours are significantly reduced, allowing for significantly accelerated construction schedules (Devine et al. 2018b). Develop an optimization methodology for structural design: An optimization study was deemed not necessary since the trivial solution with maximized use of high-strength materials and prefabrication always resulted in the largest cost and time savings. Instead, the benefits (and limits) of high-strength materials and prefabrication on construction costs and on-site construction time were investigated through a parametric study. Cost-reductions through the use of HSR and HSC were found to be greater than 40%. Also, on-site construction time of nuclear shear walls can be reduced by up to 83% through the use of prefabricated rebar assemblies. Conduct experimental evaluations of nuclear shear walls and wall-foundation joints: A large scale experimental program was completed on shear-critical RC cantilever deep beams. From these experiments, it was demonstrated that increasing rebar yield strength had a greater effect on increasing lateral strength than increasing the concrete compressive strength. Further, using HSR together with HSC resulted in the highest lateral strength and displacement ductility (Devine et al. 2018a). Additionally, large-scale reversed-cyclic lateral load tests were conducted on RC shear walls. It was demonstrated that through the utilization of HSR and HSC, a wall with 55% reduced vertical and horizontal rebar area was able to achieve 91% of the peak lateral strength of a conventional wall using state-of-practice materials with the same geometry. Further, trim reinforcement with headed anchorages around the penetrations proved to be effective. Develop validated numerical simulation models: Numerical modeling was completed in two phases during this project using 3 different finite element software packages. The first phase used existing measured data from previous experimental studies on stocky RC walls to validate simplified predictive models. Models using two different programs were validated based on a database of 38 stocky walls (Barbachyn et al., 2017a). The second phase occurred after experimental testing using a third and more detailed finite element package. Prediction improvements for the initial stiffness, lateral deformations, damage propagation, and failure mechanisms were targeted. The resulting detailed models more accurately predicted the peak lateral strength, initial and secant stiffnesses, lateral deformations, and cracking patterns of the wall test specimens subjected to reversed-cyclic lateral loading as compared to the simplified pretest models. Develop validated design procedures, tools, and criteria: This project evaluated the accuracy of existing closed-form design equations from U.S. building design standards and previous research (Barbachyn et al. 2017a and Devine et al. 2018a). It was shown that the current predictive equations for shear strength capacity need to be revisited as they provide significant scatter and gross overestimates, indicating the potential for unconservative designs. Further, for both the deep beam and shear wall specimens, the numerical models and flexural capacity predictions provided the most accurate strength predictions. Develop cost-effective field construction procedures: To promote the use of prefabricated rebar assemblies, the following construction conditions where prefabrication would be used instead of in-place rebar tying were identified from an industry survey: 1) to save on construction schedule; 2) to improve safety and/or quality control; 3) for areas with heavy rebar congestion; and 4) for structures with significant repetition in rebar layout. All of these conditions directly apply and benefit nuclear construction where construction costs and schedules are extensive, safety and quality are of utmost importance, the reinforcement is extremely dense, and the reinforcement layout is repetitive in many regions of the shear walls. Additionally, an experimental study was conducted to investigate the changes in bar spacing (with respect to code-required rebar spacing and placement tolerances) when a horizontally assembled prefabricated two-dimensional (2D) rebar mat or three-dimensional (3D) rebar cage is lifted (or tripped) to a vertical position. It was found that the bars involved in both the lateral translation of the rebar assemblies (i.e., movement of the assembly in its horizontal position) and the tripping process were most susceptible to large spacing changes, and thus, their positions within the assembly would need to be checked after the placement of the assembly in place within the formwork. Importantly, the spacings of all of the other bars in the assembly were not affected significantly by the lateral translation and tripping process, thereby eliminating the need to recheck their positions within the assembly (Devine et al. 2018b).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program: slow supernovae show cosmological time dilation out to z ~ 1.

ABSTRACT We present a precise measurement of cosmological time dilation using the light curves of 1504 Type Ia supernovae from the Dark Energy Survey spanning a redshift range $0.1\lesssim z\lesssim 1.2$. We find that the width of supernova light curves is proportional to $(1+z)$, as expected for time dilation due to the expansion of the Universe. Assuming Type Ia supernovae light curves are emitted with a consistent duration $\Delta t_{\rm em}$, and parametrizing the observed duration as $\Delta t_{\rm obs}=\Delta t_{\rm em}(1+z)^b$, we fit for the form of time dilation using two methods. First, we find that a power of $b \approx 1$ minimizes the flux scatter in stacked subsamples of light curves across different redshifts. Secondly, we fit each target supernova to a stacked light curve (stacking all supernovae with observed bandpasses matching that of the target light curve) and find $b=1.003\pm 0.005$ (stat) $\pm \, 0.010$ (sys). Thanks to the large number of supernovae and large redshift-range of the sample, this analysis gives the most precise measurement of cosmological time dilation to date, ruling out any non-time-dilating cosmological models at very high significance.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

RELICS: A Very Large ( θ E ~ 40") Cluster Lens—RXC J0032.1+1808

Extensive surveys with the Hubble Space Telescope over the past decade, targeting some of the most massive clusters in the sky, have uncovered dozens of galaxy cluster strong lenses. The massive cluster strong-lens scale is typically θ E ~ 10'' to ~30''–35'', with only a handful of clusters known with Einstein radii θ E ~ 40'' or above (for z source = 2, nominally). Here we report another very large cluster lens, RXC J0032.1+1808 (z = 0.3956), the second-richest cluster in the redMapper cluster catalog and the 85th most massive cluster in the Planck Sunyaev–Zel'dovich catalog. With our light-traces-mass and fully parametric approaches, we construct strong-lensing models based on 18 multiple images of five background galaxies newly identified in the Hubble data, mainly from the Reionization Lensing Cluster Survey (RELICS), in addition to a known sextuply imaged system in this cluster. Furthermore, we compare these models to Lenstool and GLAFIC models that were produced independently as part of the RELICS program. All models reveal a large effective Einstein radius of θ E ≃ 40'' (z source = 2), owing to the obvious concentration of substructures near the cluster center. Although RXC J0032.1+1808 has a very large critical area and high lensing strength, only three magnified high-redshift candidates are found within the field targeted by RELICS. Nevertheless, we expect many more high-redshift candidates will be seen in wider and deeper observations with Hubble or the James Webb Space Telescope. Finally, the comparison between several algorithms demonstrates that the total error budget is largely dominated by systematic uncertainties.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

SOC Microstructural Property Estimator

This pre-trained ML model is a tool that uses basic compositional parameters for porous solid oxide cell (SOC) electrodes - the phase fractions and mean particle/pore diameters – as inputs and uses them to estimate additional electrochemical performance parameters: active (i.e., connected) TPB density, all tortuosity factors, and phase pair specific interfacial areas. The electrode is assumed to be composed of two solid phases and a pore phase. The property calculations are performed using neural network regression models trained on a large bank of synthetic electrode microstructural data that NETL has generated using the program DREAM3D (that bank is also hosted on EDX: https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/soc-synthetic-microstructure-bank). This means the generated parameters are based on training from actual measured properties from 3D microstructures, not estimated from geometric simplifications. This tool was developed and is intended to replace percolation theory calculations in models that use hypothetical electrode properties. An example use case would be running SOC performance simulations across a parametric sweep of electrode designs (e.g., varying phase fractions and particle sizes) and assessing how it impacts the electrochemical performance of the SOC. Within the parameter space of the training data (statistics of that parameter space is provided in the readme file), this model achieves sub-5% mean absolute percent errors, an order of magnitude less error than percolation theory across the same parameter space. However, be aware that this tool was developed with parametric simulations in mind, and users are encouraged to assess accuracy for their own specific use case rather than taking accuracy metrics at face value. More info, including a usage guide, is in the included readme file. This tool should be cited with the DOI number provided.

Electrode Microstructure↗

Application of Sequential Design of Experiments (SDoE) to Large Pilot-Scale Solvent-Based CO2 Capture Process at Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM)

The United States Department of Energy’s Carbon Capture Simulation for Industry Impact (CCSI2) program has developed a framework for sequential design of experiments (SDoE) that aims to maximize knowledge gained from budget- and schedule-limited pilot scale testing. SDoE was applied to the planning and execution of campaigns for testing CO2 capture systems at pilot-scale in order to optimally allocate resources available for the testing. In this methodology, a stochastic process model is developed by quantifying the parametric uncertainty in submodels of interest; for a solvent-based CO2 capture system, these may include physical properties and equipment performance submodels (e.g., mass transfer, interfacial area). This uncertainty is propagated through the full process model, over variable operating conditions, for estimating the resulting uncertainty in key model outputs (e.g., percentage of CO2 capture, solvent regeneration energy requirement). In developing a data collection plan, the predicted output uncertainty is incorporated into an algorithm that seeks simultaneously to select process operating conditions for which the predicted uncertainty is relatively high and to ensure that the entire space of operation is well represented. This test plan is then used to guide operation of the pilot plant at varying steady-state conditions, with resulting process data incorporated into the existing model using Bayesian inference to refine parameter distributions. The updated stochastic model, with reduced parametric uncertainty from data collected, is then used to guide additional data collection, thus the sequential nature of the experimental design. The SDoE process was implemented at the pilot test unit (12 MWe in scale) at Norway’s Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM) in a summer 2018 test campaign with aqueous monoethanolamine (MEA). During the test campaign, the varied operating conditions included the flowrates of circulated solvent, flue gas, and reboiler steam and the CO2 concentration in the flue gas. The process data were used to update probability distributions of mass transfer and interfacial area parameters of a stochastic process model developed by the CCSI2 team. Two iterations of the SDoE process were executed, resulting in the uncertainty in model predicted CO2 capture percentage decreasing by an average of 58.0 ± 4.7% over the full input space of interest. This work demonstrates the potential of the SDoE process for model refinement through reduction in process model parametric uncertainty, and ultimately risk in scale-up, in CO2 capture technology performance.

carbon capture↗

RAVEN Theory Manual

RAVEN is a software framework able to perform parametric and stochastic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed at providing dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the thermohydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose stochastic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable of communicating with any system code. In fact, the provided Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by input files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating system response and explore input space using various sampling schemes such as Monte Carlo, grid, or Latin hypercube. However, RAVEN strength lies in its system feature discovery capabilities such as: constructing limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, and using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN started in 2012 when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework arose. RAVEN’s principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concepts developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just to identify the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the proximity (or lack thereof) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. Most of the capabilities, implemented having RELAP-7 as a principal focus, are easily deployable to other system codes. For this reason, several side activates have been employed (e.g. RELAP5-3D, any MOOSE-based App, etc.) or are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with several different software. The aim of this document is to provide a set of commented examples that can help the user to become familiar with the RAVEN code usage.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

New Architecture to Support Integration and Processing of Seismic Data from Heterogeneous Sources

The Geophysical Monitoring Program (GMP) at Lawrence Livermore National Lab (LLNL) maintains a database and supporting infrastructure for geophysical data used in support of the Nuclear Detonation Detection mission. This database includes data from multiple sources, many of which do not distribute data to the public or for which there is no automated means of access. For example, Figure 1 shows (left) the distribution of waveform data in our database by source. The Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center (IRISDMC) is our major source of waveform data and those data may be retrieved at will using the Federated Digital Seismograph Networks FDSN web Application Programming Interface (API). However, the next 6 most important sources of waveform data have no or only limited automated access to waveforms. As Figure 1 (right) shows, it is very common for waveform records associate with an event in our database to come from two or more sources, and in some cases data come from 10 sources. This diversity of data sources drives our need for efficient and correct integration of metadata, parametric data, and waveform data.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

RAVEN User Manual

RAVEN is a generic software framework to perform parametric and probabilistic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed to provide dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the Thermo-Hydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose probabilistic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable to agnostically communicate with any system code. This agnosticism includes providing Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). These APIs are used to allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by inputs files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating the system response, and investigating the input space using Monte Carlo, Grid, or Latin Hyper Cube sampling schemes, but its strength is focused to- ward system feature discovery, such as limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN has started in 2012, when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework became stronger. RAVEN principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concept developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just the individuation of the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the closeness (or not) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. for an important process such as peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. The initial development of RAVEN has been focused on providing dynamic risk assessment capability to RELAP-7, currently under development at the INL and, likely, future replacement of the RELAP5-3D code. Most the capabilities that have been implemented having RELAP-7 as principal focus are easily deployable for other system codes. For this reason, several side activates are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with soft- ware such as RELAP5-3D, etc. The aim of this document is the explanation of the input requirements, focalizing on the input structure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

ENERGY STAR for Tenants: An Online Energy Estimation Tool for Commercial Office Building Tenants

The commercial building sector consumes over 18% of the total energy in the United States. According to the 2012 Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS), office buildings comprise nearly 16 billion square feet of floor space and consume 253 billion kWh of energy annually. Office buildings represent nearly one-fifth of the energy consumed by commercial buildings, more than any other building type. Therefore, monitoring and reducing energy consumption in office buildings has become an increasingly important focus across the United States. The goal of the ENERGY STAR for Tenants program is to recognize office building tenants who demonstrate commitment to energy efficiency and environmental stewardship. Tenants seeking recognition must complete five major steps: estimate energy use, meter energy use, use efficient lighting, use efficient equipment, and share data. NREL is responsible for the underlying analysis performed for step one, estimating energy use. An online survey was developed for tenants to input information about their office space and its internal loads. NREL performed a parametric analysis across a large parameter space of office buildings. The analysis results were processed to map the user inputs to output energy ranges. The mappings enable the web tool to provide users with instant energy usage estimates based on a limited number of inputs.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗