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At least 91 records · Page 5

Data and scripts associated with “When do Riverine Systems 'Feel the Burn'? Simulating How Burn Extent and Severity Modulate Hydrologic Controls on Biogeochemical Export” (v2)

This data package is associated with the publication “When do Riverine Systems 'Feel the Burn'? Simulating How Burn Extent and Severity Modulate Hydrologic Controls on Biogeochemical Export” published in Water Resources Research (Wampler et al. 2025; preprint: https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174438106.63564767/v1). This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), a processed based model to explore the impacts of area burned and burn severity on streamflow, nitrate, and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in two test basins: a semi-arid, mixed land use basin and a humid, primarily forested basin. We developed 1800 wildfire scenarios that we ran in each basin: 20 different burn extents (5 to 100% by 5%), 3 different burn severities (low, moderate, and high), and 30 different post-fire precipitation scenarios. We also ran an additional 30 scenarios associated with no wildfire for the 30 post-fire precipitation scenarios. For each scenario we were interested in the change in runoff ratio (streamflow) and average concentration and annual loads (nitrate and DOC) across the wildfire scenarios. This data package contains the data and scripts required to build SWAT models for the two test basins, create and run the wildfire scenarios, and generate the data summaries and figures used in the associated manuscript. This data package was originally published in March 2025. It was updated in January 2026 (v2; new and modified files) to include the final files after the manuscript went through reviews. See the change history section below for more details. For details on how to navigate data packages generated by this project, see https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/portals/PNNLRiverCorridorSFA/About.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Me7 Metolius Low Burn Severity Subcanopy

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Me7 Metolius Low Burn Severity Subcanopy. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Me7 Metolius Low Burn Severity Subcanopy produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This is a sub-canopy flux site measuring a low burn severity segment of the 2020 green ridge fire. Intact ponderso pine canopy with a mean stand age of 73 years old as of 2022. Understory largely absent.

Hanson, Chad [Oregon State University]

An Analysis of the Spatial Variations in the Relationship Between Built Environment and Severe Crashes

Traffic crashes significantly contribute to global fatalities, particularly in urban areas, highlighting the need to evaluate the relationship between urban environments and traffic safety. This study extends former spatial modeling frameworks by drawing paths between global models, including spatial lag (SLM), and spatial error (SEM), and local models, including geographically weighted regression (GWR), multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), and multi-scale geographically weighted regression with spatially lagged dependent variable (MGWRL). Utilizing the proposed framework, this study analyzes severe traffic crashes in relation to urban built environments using various spatial regression models within Leon County, Florida. According to the results, SLM outperforms OLS, SEM, and GWR models. Local models with lagged dependent variables outperform both the global and generic versions of the local models in all performance measures, whereas MGWR and MGWRL outperform GWR and GWRL. Local models performed better than global models, showing spatial non-stationarity; so, the relationship between the dependent and independent variables varies over space. The better performance of models with lagged dependent variables signifies that the spatial distribution of severe crashes is correlated. Finally, the better performance of multi-scale local models than classical local models indicates varying influences of independent variables with different bandwidths. According to the MGWRL model, census block groups close to the urban area with higher population, higher education level, and lower car ownership rates have lower crash rates. On the contrary, motor vehicle percentage for commuting is found to have a negative association with severe crash rate, which suggests the locality of the mentioned associations.

Alisan, Onur (ORCID:0000000193113984)

Burn severity and vegetation type control phosphorus concentration, molecular composition, and mobilization

Shifting phosphorus (P) dynamics after wildfires can have cascading impacts from terrestrial to aquatic environments. However, it is unclear whether shifts in P composition or P concentration are responsible for changes in P dynamics post-fire. We used laboratory leaching experiments of Douglas fir forest and sagebrush shrubland chars to examine how the potential mobility of P compounds is influenced by different burn severities. Burning produced a 6.9- and 29-fold increase in particulate P mobilization but a 3.8- and 30.5-fold decrease in aqueous P released for Douglas fir forest and sagebrush shrubland, respectively. The mechanisms driving particulate- and dissolved-phase P compound mobilization were contrasting. Phosphorus compound mobilization in the particulate phase was controlled by solid char total P concentrations, while the aqueous phase was driven by solubility changes of molecular species. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES) on the solid chars indicated that organic orthophosphate monoester and diester species were thermally mineralized to inorganic P moieties with burning in both vegetation types, which decreases P solubility. This coincided with the production of calcium- and magnesium-bound inorganic P compounds. With increasing burn severity there were systematic shifts in P concentration and composition – higher-severity chars mobilized P compounds in the particulate phase, although the magnitude of change was vegetation-specific. Our results indicate a post-fire transformation to both the composition of the solid charred material and how P compounds are mobilized, which may influence its environmental cycling and fate.

31P solution-state NMR

Comparison of several methods for predicting separation in a compressible turbulent boundary layer

Several methods for predicting the separation point for a compressible turbulent boundary layer were applied to the flow over a bump on a wind-tunnel wall. Measured pressure distributions were used as input. Two integral boundary-layer methods, three finite-difference boundary-layer methods, and three simple methods were applied at five free-stream Mach numbers ranging from 0.354 to 0.7325. Each of the boundary-layer methods failed to explicitly predict separation. However, by relaxing the theoretical separation criteria, several boundary-layer methods were made to yield reasonable separation predictions, but none of the methods accurately predicted the important boundary-layer parameters at separation. Only one of the simple methods consistently predicted separation with reasonable accuracy in a manner consistent with the theory. The other methods either indicated several possible separation locations or only sometimes predicted separation.

Gerhart, P. M.

The Severe Storms Observation Satellite /SSOS/

The objective of the Severe Storms Observation Satellite (SSOS) is to continuously observe meteorological phenomena from geosynchronous altitude and to acquire data whose analysis will lead to a better understanding, early detection, and prediction of severe storms and other significant mesoscale events such as dust storms. Details are discussed as to the Advanced Atmospheric Sounding and Imaging Radiometer designed for SSOS, the use of a special spacecraft for an R&D mission, data acquisition, and data processing and analysis. The required accurate vertical temperature and moisture profiles as well as high temporal and spatial resolution images can best be obtained by a three-axis stabilized system, which offers approximately an order of magnitude sensing improvement over a comparable spinning system due to its capability to continuously view the earth. A block diagram of the severe storm analysis system is included.

Shenk, W. E.

National Severe Storms Forecast Center

The principal mission of the National Severe Storms Forecast Center (NSSFC) is to maintain a continuous watch of weather developments that are capable of producing severe local storms, including tornadoes, and to prepare and issue messages designated as either Weather Outlooks or Tornado or Severe Thunderstorm Watches for dissemination to the public and aviation services. In addition to its assigned responsibility at the national level, the NSSFC is involved in a number of programs at the regional and local levels. Subsequent subsections and paragraphs describe the NSSFC, its users, inputs, outputs, interfaces, capabilities, workload, problem areas, and future plans in more detail.

Source record

Satellite observations of the onset and growth of severe local storms

The mesoscale nature of the forcing and evolution of these storms was investigated, with emphasis on techniques to aid in the early detection of such severe events. In the pre-storm environment (t-4 to t-2 hours), the satellite wind fields were combined with moisture parameters to derive horizontal moisture flux information. Low level moisture convergence was indicative of regions of subsequent severe storm genesis. Dynamic parameters such as boundary layer vorticity production and relative vorticity were also useful prognosticators of subsequent severe activity.

Negri, A. J.

Ionospheric Doppler sounder as remote sensing for detection and prediction of severe storms

Atmospheric acoustic-gravity waves associated with severe storms are detected by a ground-based ionospheric sounding array, and the location of the severe storms responsible for the wave generation is determined by group ray path computation. Computations based on six events during the extreme tornado outbreak of April 3, 1974, and five single tornado events show that the wave sources are located near the location where tornadoes touchdown more than one hour later. In the hurricane case, the results indicate that waves were generated along the storm track more than 3 hours ahead of the actual location of the storm. The possibility of the development of the present system as a remote sensor for the detection and prediction of severe storms is discussed.

Hung, R. J.

A real-time subsynoptic, meso, and microscale severe storm forecast system

A system of differential equations is integrated numerically in space and time over several different matrices in an effort to simulate the atmospheric wave structures which organize severe local storms. Preliminary results with case studies indicate that dynamical fields produced by the numerical simulations can be translated into very fine scale space and time zones where severe storm forecast indices can be developed. These fine scale indices are now available in real-time when run on Langley's STAR 100 computer system.

Kaplan, M. L.

Dynamics of severe storms through the study of thermospheric-tropospheric coupling

Atmospheric acoustic-gravity waves associated with severe local thunderstorms, tornadoes, and hurricanes can be studied through the coupling between the thermosphere and the troposphere. Reverse group ray tracing computations of acoustic-gravity waves, observed by an ionospheric Doppler sounder array, show that the wave sources are in the neighborhood of storm systems and the waves are excited prior to the storms. It is suggested that the overshooting and ensuing collapse of convective turrets may be responsible for generating the acoustic-gravity waves observed. The results of this study also show that the study of wave-wave resonant interactions may be a potential tool for investigating the dynamical behavior of severe storm systems using ionospheric observations of atmospheric acoustic-gravity waves associated with severe storms.

Hung, R. J.

Analysis and prediction of severe storms environment

Using the special data set collected in Project SESAME (1979), an analysis and modeling efforts to test the hypothesis that a unique combination of terrain, boundary layer processes, and synoptic-scale circulations result in a preferred region of latent instability that determines the location of severe thunderstorm outbreaks are described. Because the relevant circulations are large scale, it is hypothesized that a model that contains the necessary physics will be able to predict the location of these severe storms at least 24 h in advance. Through detailed analysis of the SESAME data set and a series of numerical forecasts, the above hypothesis is being tested and it is hoped that quantitative understanding of the processes leading to the development of severe thunderstorms in the midwestern United States will be gained.

Carlson, T. N.

Positive cloud-to-ground lightning flashes in severe storms

The occurrence of cloud-to-ground flashes that effectively lower positive charge to earth (+CG flash) over flat terrain has been documented in the mature stage of severe thunderstorms. Of the 31 documented +CG flashes, most had only one return stroke. Zero-to-peak rise times for the strokes averaged 7 microsec. The +CG flashes averaged 520 ms in duration, with 25 percent lasting more than 800 ms. Many of these had field changes suggestive of continuing current. Positive flashes have been observed to emanate from several regions of severe storms: high on the back of the main storm tower, through the wall cloud, and from the downshear anvil. Visually most of these positive flashes have emanated from high in the storm, and acoustic mapping of two shows thunder sources to a height of about 15 km.

Rust, W. D.

Temperature histories of commercial flights at severe conditions from GASP data

The thermal environment of commercial aircraft from a data set gathered during the Global Atmospheric Sampling Program (GASP) is studied. The data set covers a four-year period of measurements. The report presents plots of airplane location and speed and atmospheric temperature as functions of elapsed time for 35 extreme-condition flights, selected by minimum values of several temperature parameters. One of these parameters, the severity factor, is an approximation of the in-flight wing-tank temperature. Representative low-severity-factor flight histories may be useful for actual temperature-profile inputs to design and research studies. Comparison of the GASP atmospheric temperatures to interpolated temperatures from National Meteorological Center and Global Weather Central analysis fields shows that the analysis temperatures are slightly biased toward warmer than actual temperatures, particularly over oceans and at extreme conditions.

Jasperson, W. H.

Statistical severe storm nowcasting comparison of VAS and Rawinsonde soundings

The statistical severe storm nowcasting technique using upper air soundings (VAS or radiosonde) is translated to the IBM McIDAS system. The severe storm information content of Visible infrared spin scan radiometer Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) and rawinsonde sounding data is compared. The contours of the likelihood of severe storms based only upon upper air VAS and rawinsonde data are shown, as well as the outlook based upon surface data, radar, operational computer models, and other data sources.

Keller, D. L.

Severe convective storm detection based on satellite infrared imagery analysis

Several cases of GOES digital infrared data and Doppler Sounder array data during the three-hour time period immediately preceding the touchdown of the tornado were analyzed. Tornado-associated clouds are compared with non-tornado-associated clouds using satellite infrared data, ray tracing of gravity waves detected by the Doppler Sounder array and rawinsonde data. The satellite observations are at 15-minute intervals. Our study shows that tornado-associated clouds are always accompanied by overshooting turrets penetrating above the tropopause. The growth rate of the overshooting turret above the tropopause for severe storm-associated clouds is much greater than that for non-severe storm-associated clouds.

Hung, R. J.

Diagnostics of severe convection and subsynoptic scale ageostrophic circulations

Diagnostics of severe convection and subsynoptic scale ageostrophic circulations are reported. Mesoscale circulations through forcing of ageostrophic motion by adiabatic, diabatic and frictional processes were studied. The development and application of a hybrid isentropic sigma coordinate numerical model was examined. The numerical model simulates mesoscale ageostrophic circulations associated with propagating jet streaks and severe convection. A complete list of publications and these completed through support of the NASA severe storms research project is included.

Source record

Detection of severe Midwest thunderstorms using geosynchronous satellite data

In the present exploration of the effectiveness of severe thunderstorm detection in the Midwestern region of the U.S. by means of approximately 5-min interval geosynchronous satellite data, thunderstorms are defined in IR data as points of relative minimum in brightness temperature T(B) having good time continuity and exhibiting a period of rapid growth. The four parameters of rate of T(B) decrease in the upper troposphere and stratosphere, isotherm expansion, and storm lifetime minimum T(B), are shown to be statistically related to the occurrence of severe weather on four case study days and are combined into a Thunderstorm Index which varies among values from 1 to 9. Storms rating higher than 6 have a much higher probability of severe weather reports, yielding a warning time lead of 15 min for hail and 30 min for the first tornado report.

Adler, R. F.