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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Human Systems Risk Network - A Ranking Analysis of Risks

INTRODUCTION The Human Systems Risk Board (HSRB) is responsible for understanding, managing, and mitigating the risks associated with spaceflight. For a particular mission, the HSRB assigns each human system risk a rating on a 5x5 grid assessing its likelihood and consequence, which is ultimately used to compare and rank the risks. The HSRB approaches risk management by primarily establishing the context of each human system risk individually with the understanding that mitigating one risk might affect the likelihood, consequence, and mitigation approaches of another. To support this effort the HSRB, subject matter experts, and risk custodian teams created directed acyclic graphs (DAG), often called a causal graph, for the twenty-nine risks. In this presentation, we propose a new ranking algorithm for the risks which includes the downstream influence of each risk according to the information in the DAGs and provide an application of graph theoretic tools. METHODS In 2014, Mindock and Klaus proposed a taxonomy for human system risk influences which we have adopted to categorize the nodes in each DAG. Analyzing the nodes that correspond to the risks in this taxonomy allows us to analyze and understand how each risk influences the others. We construct an auxiliary network, which we call the Primary Risk Network (PRN), where the nodes are the twenty-nine space flight risks and, a directed edge connects Risk A to Risk B if Risk A has some influence on the likelihood or consequence of Risk B as described in the DAGS. We perform a variety of graph theoretic ranking methods on the nodes (or risks) in the PRN, including Katz centrality. RESULTS We rank the nodes in the PRN using the Katz centrality score. The ten risks with the highest score are pictured in Figure 1, colored (light to dark) according to their score. We analyze other centrality measures like betweenness centrality, eigenvector centrality, and the Estrada index, and provide the meaning of the corresponding rankings in terms of the risks. Future work includes analyzing the other categories in the taxonomy defined by Mindock and Klaus [1]. For example, we are interested in analyzing the nodes that are labeled as countermeasures or capabilities and perform similar analysis to measure their effect on certain medical conditions.

dag↗
NASA NTRS1971

Correlation of irradiation data using activation fluences and irradiation temperature.

Nil-ductility transition temperature data for A302-B ferritic steel were analyzed by using multiple regression. Four independent variables were used - i.e., specimen temperature during irradiation, and time-integrated specific activations (activation fluences) of fast-, intermediate-, and thermal-neutron detectors. The results of these analyses were predictive equations having the increase in transition temperature as the dependent variable. For a reference point, a similar analysis was also performed using the flux integral above 1 MeV and the irradiation temperature as independent variables. Also, the effect of excluding irradiation temperature from these analyses was studied. The results of the analyses showed that excellent correlation was achieved by using activation fluences and irradiation temperature as the independent variables. Irradiation temperature was found to account for from 29 to 46% of the data variability depending on the model used.

Lynch, J. H.↗
NASA NTRS1974

On the performance of digital phase locked loops in the threshold region

Extended Kalman filter algorithms are used to obtain a digital phase lock loop structure for demodulation of angle modulated signals. It is shown that the error variance equations obtained directly from this structure enable one to predict threshold if one retains higher frequency terms. This is in sharp contrast to the similar analysis of the analog phase lock loop, where the higher frequency terms are filtered out because of the low pass filter in the loop. Results are compared to actual simulation results and threshold region results obtained previously.

Hurst, G. T.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Behaviour of nitric oxide trails deposited in the mesosphere and stratosphere

The transient behavior of a nitric oxide trail deposited at approximately 60 km altitude is studied by the solution of the appropriate multidimensional diffusion equation which includes terms representing the effects of wind shear. Similar analysis is then carried out for the situation in the stratosphere. Trail behavior is found to be relatively independent of altitude and background ozone, but strongly dependent on the magnitude of eddy diffusity and the initial nitric oxide concentration. The nitric oxide trail reacts with ambient ozone to form nitrogen dioxide. For a trail 100 m initial radius, an ozone hole will form to a maximum size in 4 to 6 hours and then decay. The overall recovery time of the atmosphere following the creation of the trail is less than 12 hours.

Eberstein, I. J.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Applications of remote sensing, volume 3

The author has identified the following significant results. Of the four change detection techniques (post classification comparison, delta data, spectral/temporal, and layered spectral temporal), the post classification comparison was selected for further development. This was based upon test performances of the four change detection method, straightforwardness of the procedures, and the output products desired. A standardized modified, supervised classification procedure for analyzing the Texas coastal zone data was compiled. This procedure was developed in order that all quadrangles in the study are would be classified using similar analysis techniques to allow for meaningful comparisons and evaluations of the classifications.

Landgrebe, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Variations including possible solar cycle variations of stratospheric ozone over central Switzerland

The annual variation of the total amount of ozone over central Switzerland and the partial pressures in each of 7 layers from the surface to 7.8 m zeta shows the pattern representative of mid-latitude ozone: summer maximum in the troposphere, spring maximum in the lower stratosphere up to 30 mb and summer maximum in the middle stratosphere up to approx. mb. It was also shown that at the level of the ozone maximum the ozone partial pressure has a pronounced period of about 26 months. Total ozone and the ozone concentration in the different layers have marginally significant (at plus or minus sigma) correlations with relative sunspot number. The time lag for these correlations is long in the troposphere (about 36 months) but decreases with height to the level of ozone maximum (to about 2 months). A similar analysis of the data derived from the ozonesonde program at Hohenpeissenberg, Germany (GFR) gave completely consistent results with those discussed above.

London, J.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Certification report for the CALMAC solar powered pump

The certification of the CALMAC solar powered thermopump is presented. Each element of the specification is delineated, together with the verification, based on analysis, similarity, inspection, or testing.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1978

Verification test report on a solar heating and hot water system

Information is provided on the development, qualification and acceptance verification of commercial solar heating and hot water systems and components. The verification includes the performances, the efficiences and the various methods used, such as similarity, analysis, inspection, test, etc., that are applicable to satisfying the verification requirements.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1980

Ion-implanted laser annealed silicon solar cells

Development of low cost solar cells fabrication technology is being sponsored by NASA JPL as part of the Low Cost Solar Array Project (LSA). In conformance to Project requirements ion implantation and laser annealing were evaluated as junction formation techniques offering low cost-high throughput potential. Properties of cells fabricated utilizing this technology were analyzed by electrical, transmission electron microscopy, Rutherford backscattering and secondary ion mass spectrometry techniques. Tests indicated the laser annealed substrates to be damage free and electrically active. Similar analysis of ion implanted furnace annealed substrates revealed the presence of residual defects in the form of dislocation lines and loops with substantial impurity redistribution evident for some anneal temperature/time regimes. Fabricated laser annealed cells exhibited improved spectral response and conversion efficiency in comparison to furnace annealed cells. An economic projection for LSA indicates a potential for considerable savings from laser annealing technology.

Katzeff, J. S.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Umbral oscillations as resonant modes of magneto-atmospheric waves

Umbral oscillations in sunspots are identified as a resonant response of the umbral atmosphere to forcing by oscillatory convection in the subphotosphere. The full, linearized equations for magnetoatmospheric waves are solved numerically for a detailed model of the umbral atmosphere, for both forced and free oscillations. Resonant 'fast' modes are found, the lowest mode having a period of 153 s, typical of umbral oscillations. A comparison is made with a similar analysis by Uchida and Sakurai (1975), who calculated resonant modes using an approximate ('quasi-Alfven') form of the wave equations. Whereas both analyses give an appropriate value for the period of oscillation, several new features of the motion follow from the full equations. The resonant modes are due to upward reflection in the subphotosphere (due to increasing sound speed) and downward reflection in the photosphere and low chromosphere (due to increasing Alfven speed); downward reflection at the chromosphere-corona transition is unimportant for these modes.

Scheuer, M. A.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Land subsidence measured by satellite radar altimetry

Radar altimeter measurements from the GEOS-3 and SEASAT satellites are being evaluated to assess their potential contribution to terrain mapping. The primary evaluation area is the San Joaquin Valley of southern California; 40,000/sq km of the Valley have been mapped at a contour interval of 10 m from the satellite altimeter measurements. The accuracy of the altimeter derived terrain elevations is being assessed by comparison with 1:24,000 and digitized 1:250,000 maps and by intercomparisons at the crossover altimeter intersections. Comparisons of the altimeter derived elevations with historical maps archived at the U.S. Geological Survey confirms the USGS 1926-1972 subsidence contours for this area. Preliminary results from a similar analysis in the Houston-Galveston area of subsidence also demonstrates a capability of measuring land subsidence by satellite altimetry.

Krabill, W. B.↗
NASA NTRS1981

The extinction toward the galactic center from observations of interstellar lines

H2CO absorption observations against Sgr A are used to select the molecular material lying in front of the galactic center, and an analysis similar to that of Blitz and Shu (1980) is carried out. The ratio of visual extinction to equivalent width of the 6 cm line of H2CO is found to be similar for several nearby interstellar clouds. By considering only the molecular components in front of the infrared cluster, the estimate for the extinction is decreased to 15-46 mag. These results are consistent with those from infrared observations toward the galactic center. Extinction estimates based on other interstellar species are also considered. Atomic gas is seen as contributing less than 10 mag of extinction.

Federman, S. R.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Tribological characteristics of nitrogen (N+) implanted iron

The effect of implantation of nitrogen ions (1.5 MeV) on the friction and wear characteristics of pure ion sliding against M-50 steel (unimplanted) was studied in a pin-on-disk sliding friction apparatus. Test conditions included room temperature (25 C), a dry air atmosphere, a load of 1/2 kg (4.9 N), sliding velocities of 0.043 to 0.078 m/sec (15 to 25 rpm), a pure hydrocarbon lubricant (n-hexadecane), or a U.S.P. mineral oil and nitrogen ion implantation doses of 5x10 to the 15th power and 5x10 to the 17th power ions/sq cm. No differences in wear rates were observed in the low dose experiments. In the high dose experiments, small reductions in initial (40 percent) and steady state (20 percent) wear rates were observed for nitrogen implanted iron riders as compared with unimplanted controls. No differences in average friction coefficients were noted for either dose. Auger electron spectroscopy combined with argon ion bombardment revealed a subsurface Gaussian nitrogen distribution with a maximum concentration of 6 atomic percent at a depth of 0.8 microns. Similar analysis within the wear scar of an implanted rider after 20 microns of wear yielded only background nitrogen concentration. No inward migration of nitrogen ions was observed.

Jones, W. R.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Preliminary analysis of STS-4 entry flight data

A preliminary analysis of the data obtained during entry of the STS-4 Flight was completed. Planned maneuvers were flown during this flight to increase the quality of stability and control analysis, similar to the techniques used during STS-3. The derivatives obtained from STS-4 agreed fairly well with the derivatives obtained on previous flights. The dependence of aileron effectiveness on a elevon position above a Mach number of 10 seen on STS-3 was conclusively verified on STS-4. CSS Mode was engaged to fly the heading alignment circle. After engagement, several cycles of a low amplitude pilot induced oscillation (1 deg/sec) at about 0.3 hertz can be seen. No PIO suppressor activity was seen between preflare and touchdown. This approach demonstrates the advantage of the shallow final glideslope approach. In this type of approach, the pilot is not required to make accurate altitude judgments since an acceptable landing can be made without performing the final flare.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1983

Tribological characteristics of nitrogen (N+) implanted iron

The effect of implantation of nitrogen ions (1.5 MeV) on the friction and wear characteristics of pure ion sliding against M-50 steel (unimplanted) was studied in a pin-on-disk sliding friction apparatus. Test conditions included room temperature (25 C), a dry air atmosphere, a load of 1/2 kg (4.9 N), sliding velocities of 0.043 to 0.078 m/sec (15 to 25 rpm), a pure hydrocarbon lubricant (n-hexadecane), or a U.S.P. mineral oil and nitrogen ion implantation doses of 5x10 to the 15th power and 5x10 to the 17th power ions/sq cm. No differences in wear rates were observed in the low dose experiments. In the high dose experiments, small reductions in initial (40 percent) and steady state (20 percent) wear rates were observed for nitrogen implanted iron riders as compared with unimplanted controls. No differences in average friction coefficients were noted for either dose. Auger electron spectroscopy combined with argon ion bombardment revealed a subsurface Gaussian nitrogen distribution with a maximum concentration of 6 atomic percent at a depth of 0.8 microns. Similar analysis within the wear scar of an implanted rider after 20 microns of wear yielded only background nitrogen concentration. No inward migration of nitrogen ions was observed. Previously announced in STAR as N82-24322

Jones, W. R., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Coherent integration

Coherent integration which is a digital filtering process and was applied to MST radar observations is discussed. It is simple to implement with either hardware or software and is appropriate for the very narrow band signals usually received by MST radars. By filtering the signal before performing spectral processing, the computations required for FFT or similar analysis are greatly reduced. Coherent integration does not increase the signal-to-noise ratio per unit bandwidth in the signal band. It filters out much of the wideband noise, which could also be done by full FFT processing of the raw signal.

Farley, D. T.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Continuing investigation of sweeping Jovian resonances - The 7:3 amd 3:2 resonances with further discussion of the 2:1 resonance

The formation of the solar system from an accretion disk around the protosun can have a significant impact on the celestial mechanics of the early solar system. The solids in the disk settled to the midplane and formed a planetesimal swarm while an early-formed Jupiter was present. The gravity of the disk makes the radial force law become non-Keplerian, causing the commensurability resonances of the early-formed Jupiter to be displaced from where they would otherwise be. An analysis similar to that previously applied to the 2:1, 3:1 and 5:2 resonances is presently undertaken for the 7:3 and 3:2 resonances, and a Kirkwood-like gap is obtained for a sweeping 7:3 resonance. An accumulation of objects is obtained near the 3:2 resonance which, with the ejection of objects on either side of the resonance, would resemble the Hilda group of asteroids. Agreement between the exact commensurability location and the gap center is discussed for the 2:1 resonance.

Torbett, M. V.↗