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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Tracking Radioactive Isotopes in HVAC and Application for Hot Cell Analyses - 20155

In recent years, the surge in the number of isotope production facilities under design has increased the need to analyze isotope migration in facility Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) during normal operations and accident scenarios. These facilities are used to produce isotopes for medical, security, and industrial applications and as such are subject to license and regulatory requirements 10CFR20, 10CFR30, 10CFR50, and 10CFR70. GOTHIC, a general-purpose thermal-hydraulics software package, includes the ability to model isotopic tracers, radioactive decay and isotope migration as well as HEPA and charcoal filters for isotope retention. A GOTHIC model was developed by Zachry Nuclear Engineering (ZNE) to examine the effect of negative room pressure, HEPA filtration, and HVAC fluctuations on radiation areas, hot cells and gloveboxes. Radioactive tracers were used to simulate the concentration of spills within contaminated areas, track the migration of isotopes of interest, and determine the isotopic retention and buildup on facility HEPA filters. A variety of isotopes with concern to dose (e.g., Kr-85, Sr-90, I-131, etc.), including their decay and progeny, are included in the analysis. Negative pressures are maintained in the regions of interest by a representative central HVAC system equipped with a volumetric fan that exhausts to the environment after a series of isolation valves and HEPA filters. GOTHIC is an industry trusted tool for providing engineering solutions for a variety of applications, including fission product tracking, aerosol and particulate transport and ventilation assessments. The software provides an integrated analysis environment that includes a graphical user interface (GUI) for constructing analysis models, a numerical solver that includes parallel processing capabilities and a post-processor for evaluating simulation results. It solves the conservation equations for mass, momentum and energy for multicomponent, multi-phase flow in lumped parameter and multi-dimensional geometries (1, 2, or full 3D), including the effects of turbulence, diffusion and buoyancy. It has been developed and maintained under a Quality Assurance program in compliance with the requirements of 10CFR50 Appendix B and applicable portions of ASME NQA-1 since 1995. GOTHIC has been used for assessing both forced and natural convection conditions for a wide range of applications, including: - Tracking concentration of hazardous gases and chemicals for habitability and safety assessments - Determining ventilation and filtration requirements and optimizing location and arrangement of these systems - Room heat-up, including diverse and Flexible coping strategies for Extended Loss of AC Power (FLEX/ELAP) - Equipment Qualification (EQ) A distinctive feature of GOTHIC is the ability to track many different fields/substances in a simulation, including user defined tracer elements, in the liquid, vapor and droplet fields as well as surfaces and filters. This capability allows GOTHIC to model fission product transport and release or the removal of particulates or harmful toxins from exhaust gases using a spray scrubber or other types of filtration systems. GOTHIC also includes models for engineered equipment, such as fans, filters, charcoal filters, dryers/demisters, dampers, etc. The aerosols and other filtered material are removed or accumulated in these components. The range of aerosol and radiological applications that GOTHIC has been used for includes: - Source Term: Primary Coolant (Equilibrium) Activity; Non-Water Coolant Source/Leakage. - Conditions for Iodine Re-evolution: Sump/Suppression Pool Conditions and pH; - RWST Conditions and pH. - Isotope Removal Mechanisms: Containment Sprayed and Unsprayed Region Mixing; Charcoal Filter Heating due to Iodine decay. - Radionuclide Transport and Decay: Post-LOCA Release in containment; Transport between connected Compartments and vent systems; Groundwater transport of radionuclides. - Non-Newtonian Fluid modeling for sludge, waste tanks, etc. ADAMS ML071581053 (titled 'Best Practice Guidelines for the use of CFD in Nuclear Reactor Safety Applications') poses guidelines for applying single phase CFD codes in nuclear reactor safety problems and GOTHIC is listed as a 'tool for 3D flows' and 'dispersal and deposition of radionuclides.' The Nuclear Quality Assurance (NQA) pedigree of GOTHIC is an important aspect for applications in the nuclear industry. The fundamental tracer models (convective transport, molecular and turbulent diffusion, removal mechanisms, etc.) have been verified using analytical solutions and validated against applicable separate effects tests. Also, GOTHIC has been benchmarked to many integrated effects tests, including Phebus FP (Fission Product). GOTHIC gives good agreement for the buildup and decay of fission products in Phebus Test 3. The model developed by ZNE demonstrates GOTHIC's applicability and acceptability for use in analyzing the migration and retention of radioactive isotopes and their progeny in normal operation and accident scenario analyses for isotope production facilities, hot cells, and gloveboxes. The tracer activities calculated by GOTHIC can then be used in downstream radiation transport and shielding codes like RADTRAD-NAI{sup C}, MCNP{sup R}, and MicroShield{sup R} to determine on-site and of-site doses. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2023

Uncertain role of clouds in shaping summertime atmosphere-sea ice connections in reanalyses and CMIP6 models

Downwelling longwave radiation (DLR) driven by the atmospheric and cloud conditions in the troposphere is suggested to be a dominant factor to determine the summertime net surface energy budget over the Arctic Ocean and thus plays a key role to shape the September sea ice. We use reanalyses and the self-organizing map (SOM) method to distinguish CMIP6 model performance in replicating the observed strong atmosphere-DLR connection. We find all models can reasonably simulate the linkage between key atmosphere variables and the clear sky DLR but behave differently in replicating the atmosphere-DLR connection due to cloud forcing. In ERA5 and strongly coupled models, tropospheric high pressure is associated with decreased clouds in the mid- and high-levels and increased clouds near the surface. This out-of-phase structure indicates that DLR cloud forcing is nearly neutral, making the clear sky DLR more important to bridge JJA circulation to late-summer sea ice. In MERRA-2 and weakly coupled models, tropospheric clouds display a vertically homogeneous reduction; the cloud DLR is thus strongly reduced due to the cooling effect, which partially cancels out the clear sky DLR and makes the total DLR less efficient to translate circulation forcing to sea ice. The differences of cloud vertical distribution in CMIP6 appear to be differentiated by circulation related relative humidity. Therefore, a better understanding of the discrepancy of different reanalyses and remote sensing products is critical to comprehensively evaluate simulated interactions among circulation, clouds, sea ice and energy budget at the surface in summer.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

From Pyrolysis Oil to Advanced Biographite Anode: Unravelling Biocoke Structural Evolution and Delayed Coking Effects

Catalytic graphitization of biomass-derived carbon offers a promising route to produce biographite as a sustainable alternative to petroleum-based synthetic graphite for lithium-ion battery (LIB) anodes. This study investigates the physicochemical properties of biocokes produced from pyrolysis oil at carbonization temperatures ranging from 150 degrees C to 500 degrees C. Using an iron (Fe) catalyst, graphitization was performed at 1500 degrees C, significantly lower than the ~3000 degrees C required for conventional synthetic graphite. The effects of introducing an intermediate-temperature hold (400 degrees C-600 degrees C) prior to graphitization were evaluated, simulating a "delayed coking" process to enable the coproduction of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs). Chemical structure evolution during biocoke formation was analyzed, and proposed mechanisms are presented. Biographites produced via the delayed coking pathway exhibited high crystallinity and excellent electrochemical performance in both half-cell and full-cell LIB configurations. The full cells exhibited an initial discharge capacity close to the theoretical capacity of the NMC622 cathode (175 mAh/g at 4.2 V), and high capacity retention (~88%) after 150 cycles. Notably, the graphitic and electrochemical properties remained stable across the range of intermediate hold temperatures. These findings provide a foundation for optimizing temperature parameters in delayed coking systems to enable scalable, integrated production of biographite and SAFs from pyrolysis oil.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Phase change material integrated core–shell catalyst for in situ thermal control in methanol synthesis from syngas

A model-guided core–shell catalyst design is presented for methanol synthesis, featuring a phase change material (PCM) core encapsulated by a Cu–Zn–Al 2 O 3 (CZA) catalytic shell. The PCM enables in situ thermal management by absorbing reaction heat at its melting point, mitigates the kinetic decline at high temperatures and therefore avoids low conversion, prevents hot spots, and stabilizes the reaction temperature. A two-dimensional axisymmetric, non-isothermal packed-bed reactor model (COMSOL 6.3) was developed for a 10 g system. Simulations evaluate three PCM candidates, that is, LiNO 3 , 9 wt% LiCl + 91 wt% LiNO 3 , and commercial H250, with melting points near 244–250°C. Results indicate that CO conversion can increase from 34.4% to 52.4%, and methanol production can improve by 69% compared to a conventional packed-bed reactor. Beyond methanol synthesis, the PCM-integrated core–shell concept provides a scalable approach for thermal control in exothermic reactions, improving reactor efficiency and safety.

core–shell catalyst↗
DOE OSTI2020

Gravo-aeroelastic scaling of a 13-MW downwind rotor for 20% scale blades

A 105-m, 13-MW two-bladed downwind Segmented Ultralight Morphing Rotor (SUMR-13) blade was gravo-aeroelastically scaled by 20% to a 20.87-m-long demonstrator blade and confirmed through structural ground testing. The subscale model was achieved through geometric scaling and by aeroelastic scaling principles based on operational flapwise deflections combined with rotational and structural frequencies while retaining the turbine tip-speed ratio. In particular, the subscale demonstrator was designed to replicate, as closely as possible, the nondimensional geometry, the ratio of centrifugal to gravitational moments, the tip-speed ratio, and the nondimensional rotation rate. The intent for this demonstrator was to achieve the same nondimensional flapwise blade deflections and dynamics of the full-scale 13-MW rotor. The manufactured SUMR-D blade resulted in less than half of the mass of the conventional two-bladed Controls Advanced Research Turbine (CART2) rotor blade based on scaling and a lower power rating, though with some differences in mass and stiffness from the ideal scaled-down design to meet safety requirements at the test site. To achieve proper scaling, operational pitch control set points were altered to account for the differences by evaluating simulated operation of both the SUMR-13 and SUMR-D rotors. Structural testing of the SUMR-D blade investigated the response to well-defined flapwise loads and indicated that the subscale blade had the appropriate elastic properties needed for both scaling and for safe operational field testing.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bayesian optimization for inverse calibration of expensive computer models: A case study for Johnson-Cook model in machining

Inverse model calibration for identifying the constitutive model parameters can be computationally demanding for expensive-to-evaluate simulation models. Here, this paper presents a modified Bayesian optimization (BO) method, denoted as BO-bound, that incorporates theoretical bounds on the quantity of interest. A case study for the inverse calibration of the Johnson Cook (J-C) flow stress model parameters is presented using machining (cutting) force data. The results show fast calibration of the five J-C parameters within 25 simulations. In general, the BO-bound method is applicable for inverse calibration of any expensive simulation models as well as optimization problems with known bounds.

Bayesian optimization↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electrochemical Characterization of Degradation Modes of High-Voltage Li x Ni 0.33 Mn 0.33 Co 0.33 O 2 Electrodes

While deeply charged high-voltage cathodes can improve battery energy density, understanding and preventing any accelerated cell degradation is crucial to practical success. Here, to analyze the degradation of LiNi x Mn y Co 1–x–y O 2 (NMC) type material charged to 4.3 and 4.5 V, a physics-based model is applied to cycling data to obtain parameter estimates indicative of degradation modes, which are validated by simple electrochemical measurements and further interpreted by materials characterization. Growth rates of interfacial impedance and active material loss are greater at 4.5 V, as might be expected. However, when charged to 4.5 V, degradation rates are initially lower at a cycling C-rate of 1.0 C than at 0.5 C. Once degradation mode changes are quantified, simulations evaluate the contribution of individual degradation mode to performance losses and provide estimates of the energy-power correlation (Ragone plots) of cells after cycling.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying Northern High Latitude Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) Using Carbonyl Sulfide (OCS)

The northern high latitude (NHL, 40°N to 90°N) is where the second peak region of gross primary productivity (GPP) other than the tropics. The summer NHL GPP is about 80% of the tropical peak, but both regions are still highly uncertain. Carbonyl sulfide (OCS) provides an important proxy for photosynthetic carbon uptake. Here we optimize the OCS plant uptake fluxes across the NHL by fitting atmospheric concentration simulation with the GEOS-CHEM global transport model to the aircraft profiles acquired over Alaska during NASA's Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (2012–2015). We use the empirical biome-specific linear relationship between OCS plant uptake flux and GPP to derive the six plant uptake OCS fluxes from different GPP data. Such GPP-based fluxes are used to drive the concentration simulations. We evaluate the simulations against the independent observations at two ground sites of Alaska. The optimized OCS fluxes suggest the NHL plant uptake OCS flux of -247 Gg S year -1 , about 25% stronger than the ensemble mean of the six GPP-based OCS fluxes. GPP-based OCS fluxes systematically underestimate the peak growing season across the NHL, while a subset of models predict early start of season in Alaska, consistent with previous studies of net ecosystem exchange. The OCS optimized GPP of 34 PgC yr -1 for NHL is also about 25% more than the ensembles mean from six GPP data. Further work is needed to fully understand the environmental and biotic drivers and quantify their rate of photosynthetic carbon uptake in Arctic ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dry Deposition Methods Based on Turbulence Kinetic Energy: 1. Evaluation of Various Resistances and Sensitivity Studies Using a Single‐Point Model

Different functions are used to account for turbulence strength in the atmospheric boundary layer for different stability regimes. These functions are one of the sources for differences among different atmospheric models' predictions and associated biases. Also, turbulence strength is underrepresented in some of the resistance formulations. Here, to address these issues with dry deposition, firstly we take advantage of three‐dimensional (3‐D) turbulence information in estimating resistances by proposing and validating a 3‐D turbulence velocity scale that is relevant for different stability regimes of boundary layer. Secondly, we hypothesize and validate that friction velocity measured by 3‐D sonic anemometer can be effectively replaced by the new turbulence velocity scale multiplied by the von Karman constant. Finally, we (a) present a set of resistance formulations for ozone (O 3 ) based on the 3‐D turbulence velocity scale; (b) intercompare estimations of such resistances with those obtained using existing formulations; and, (c) evaluate simulated O 3 fluxes using a single‐point dry deposition model against long‐term observations of O 3 fluxes at the Harvard Forest (MA) site. Results indicate that the new resistance formulations work very well in simulating surface latent heat and O 3 fluxes when compared to respective existing formulations and measurements at a decadal time scale. Findings from this research may help to improve the capability of dry deposition schemes for better estimation of dry deposition fluxes and create opportunities for the development of a community dry deposition model for use in regional/global air quality models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Design of a Single Layer Metamaterial for Pressure Offloading of Transtibial Amputees

While using a prosthesis, transtibial amputees may experience pain and discomfort brought on by large pressure gradients at the interface between the residual limb and prosthetic socket. Current prosthetic interface solutions attempt to alleviate these pressure gradients by using soft homogenous liners to reduce and distribute pressures. This research investigates an additively manufactured metamaterial inlay with a tailored mechanical response to reduce peak pressure gradients around the limb. The inlay uses a hyperelastic behaving metamaterial (US10244818) comprised of triangular pattern unit cells which can be 3D printed with walls of various thicknesses controlled by draft angles. The hyperelastic material properties are modeled using a Yeoh 3rd order model. The 3rd order coefficients can be adjusted and optimized, which corresponds to a change in the unit cell wall thickness to create an inlay that can meet the unique offloading needs of an amputee. Finite element analysis simulations evaluated the pressure gradient reduction from: 1) a common homogenous silicone liner, 2) a prosthetist's inlay prescription that utilizes three variations of the metamaterial, and 3) a metamaterial solution with optimized Yeoh 3rd order coefficients. When compared to a traditional homogenous silicone liner for two unique limb loading scenarios, the prosthetist prescribed inlay and the optimized material inlay can achieve equal or greater pressure gradient reduction capabilities. These results show the potential feasibility of implementing this metamaterial as a method of personalized medicine for transtibial amputees by creating a customizable interface solution to meet the unique performance needs of an individual patient.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

SISGR: Multiscale Modeling of Multiphase Flow, Transport, and Reactions in Porous Medium Systems

The purpose of this section is to summarize the progress made on this project during the previous funding cycle and to summarize the current state of our work. Advancements have been made in theory, microscale simulation, evaluation and validation of models, applications, and dissemination of research. Each of these areas are summarized in turn in the sections that follow.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2018

Profiling at Oliktok Point to Enhance Year of Polar Prediction Experiments (POPEYE) Science Plan

The arctic region is rapidly evolving, and enhanced predictive capabilities, for both weather and climate, are urgently required. Therefore, the international community has formulated plans for the execution of an extended period of focused observations and modeling of the arctic environment, dubbed the “Year of Polar Prediction” or YOPP. The YOPP will feature “special observing periods” (SOPs), with the first occurring in the spring of 2018, and a second during the late summer and early fall. This project deploys additional U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) facility resources to Oliktok Point, Alaska during the second three-month special observing period (1 July 2018-30 September 2018). These resources include additional radiosondes (1 more per day), ARM-operated unmanned aircraft (DH2) and ARM-operated tethered balloon systems (TBS). These instruments will conduct routine profiling activities over the course of the SOP to obtain measurements of atmospheric thermodynamic structure, cloud and precipitation properties, and aerosol properties, enhancing the measurements obtained from the third ARM Mobile Facility at Oliktok Point (AMF3). We anticipate that these measurements will be used for a variety of purposes, including: 1) to conduct detailed studies of arctic cloud and aerosol processes; 2) to inform YOPP modeling efforts through real-time availability for assimilation into operational and research analysis products; 3) to evaluate and improve retrieval algorithms involving ARM remote sensors; 4) to evaluate and improve a variety of modeling tools being used to forecast arctic weather and climate; and 5) to initialize and evaluate simulations associated with a potential arctic large-eddy simulation (LES) framework similar to the ongoing LES ARM Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) project.

Arctic processes, Oliktok Point, Year of Polar Pre↗
DOE OSTI2019

High-Dimensional Spectral Sampling

A wide variety of applications in science and engineering depend on effectively and efficiently exploring high- dimensional parameter spaces. Common examples are uncertainty quantification, inverse problems, or various optimization approaches. In such applications, the first step is to create an initial uniform, random sampling of the space to create a baseline of knowledge. The simulations evaluated at these samples are then used for subsequent processing. In its most generic form, the goal of sampling is to produce the maximal amount of information with the minimal number of samples. However, despite being the first step and thus influencing the performance of the entire workflow, the quality of the initial sample designs is rarely analyzed or optimized. This project develops a new spectral sampling theory for analyzing and creating experiment designs in high-dimensional spaces. Further, new algorithms for estimating sample properties and sample synthesis are designed. Finally, applications of the proposed spectral sampling tools in surrogate modeling, scientific machine learning and image analysis are presented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Advancing the Predictability of Water Cycle Phenomena via the Application of AI to Model Ensemble Simulations and Observations

AI has the power to identify new pathways to extended predictability of the water cycle via its application to model ensembles together with accompanying observations. We discuss both scientific and technological aspects of this challenge, and address the parts of the MODEX approach involving “Model simulations, evaluation, analysis, and benchmarking” and “Identification of key knowledge gaps”. The widespread incorporation of AI into model analysis will significantly advance Earth system predictability and our predictive capabilities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying the impacts of marine aerosols over the southeast Atlantic Ocean using a chemical transport model: implications for aerosol–cloud interactions

The southeast Atlantic region, characterized by persistent stratocumulus clouds, has one of the highest uncertainties in aerosol radiative forcing and significant variability across climate models. In this study, we analyze the seasonally varying role of marine aerosol sources and identify key uncertainties in aerosol composition at cloud-relevant altitudes over the southeast Atlantic using the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model. We evaluate simulated aerosol optical depth (AOD) and speciated aerosol concentrations against those collected from ground observations and aircraft campaigns such as LASIC, ORACLES, and CLARIFY, conducted during 2017. The model consistently underestimates AOD relative to AERONET, particularly at remote locations like Ascension Island. However, when compared with aerosol mass concentrations from aircraft campaigns during the biomass burning period, it performs adequately at cloud-relevant altitudes, with a normalized mean bias (NMB) between -3.5 % (CLARIFY) and -7.5 % (ORACLES). At these altitudes, in the model, organic aerosols (63 %) dominate during the biomass burning period, while sulfate (41 %) prevails during austral summer, when dimethylsulfide (DMS) emissions peak in the model. Our findings indicate that marine sulfate can account for up to 69 % of total sulfate during the high-DMS period. Sensitivity analyses indicate that refining DMS emissions and oxidation chemistry may increase sulfate aerosol produced from marine sources, highlighting that there remains large uncertainty as to the role of DMS emissions in the marine boundary layer. Additionally, we find marine primary organic aerosol emissions may substantially increase total organic aerosol concentrations, particularly during austral summer. This study underscores the imperative need to refine marine emissions and their chemical transformations, as aerosols from marine sources are a major component of total aerosols at cloud-relevant altitudes and may impact uncertainties in aerosol radiative forcing over the southeast Atlantic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Profiling at Oliktok Point to Enhance Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) Experiments (POPEYE) Field Campaign Report

The arctic region is rapidly evolving, and enhanced predictive capabilities, for both weather and climate, are urgently required. Therefore, the international community is executing an extended period of focused observations and modeling of the arctic environment, dubbed the Year of Polar Prediction or YOPP. The YOPP featured two special observing periods (SOPs) (and will feature a third in 2020). The first of the completed SOPs occurred in the spring of 2018, and the second during the late summer and early fall of 2018. Here, we summarize the deployment of additional U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility resources to the third ARM Mobile Facility (AMF3) at Oliktok Point, Alaska during the second three-month SOP (1 July 2018–30 September 2018). This deployment, named POPEYE (Profiling at Oliktok Point to Enhance YOPP Experiments), included the launching of extra radiosondes (one more per day) and operation of ARM-operated unmanned aircraft (DataHawk 2s) and ARM-operated tethered balloons. These instruments conducted routine profiling activities over the course of the special observing period to obtain measurements of atmospheric thermodynamic structure, cloud and precipitation properties, and aerosol properties. These measurements are expected to be used for a variety of purposes, including: 1) to conduct detailed studies of arctic cloud and aerosol processes; 2) to inform YOPP modeling efforts through real-time availability for assimilation into operational and research analysis products; 3) to evaluate and improve retrieval algorithms involving ARM remote sensors; 4) to evaluate and improve a variety of modeling tools being used to forecast arctic weather and climate; and 5) to initialize and evaluate simulations associated with a potential arctic large-eddy (LES) simulation framework similar to the ongoing LES ARM Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) project.

Oliktok Point, Arctic processes, unmanned aerial v↗
DOE OSTI2019

Techno-Economic Assessment of Geothermal Power Plants Hybridized with Solar Heat and Thermal Storage

Geothermal power plants may experience a decrease in power output over time due to a reduction in either mass flow rate, temperature or pressure of the resource. A recent study quantified the temperature drawdown of U.S. double-flash geothermal power plants at 0.8% per year. Hybridizing existing geothermal plants with other renewable power sources to exploit the unused capacity of the geothermal power block has become an area of increasing interest. For instance, a geothermal power plant may be retrofitted with heat from a concentrating solar field. In addition, geothermal may be integrated with solar in a new-build site with the aim of combining the benefits of both technologies -- i.e. the baseload generation of geothermal, plus the relatively high efficiency of concentrating solar power. In this article, we give an overview of hybrid geothermal-solar projects undertaken at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in collaboration with various partners. We investigate the retrofit of double-flash and binary geothermal plants with solar heat. Off-design models are developed and validated with operational data. Annual simulations evaluate the hourly performance, the benefits of thermal storage, and are used to calculate economic metrics. Finally, we discuss the implications of integrating solar and geothermal in a new greenfield site.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluating Climate Model Simulations of the Radiative Forcing and Radiative Response at Earth’s Surface

In this work, we analyze the radiative forcing and radiative response at Earth’s surface, where perturbations in the radiation budget regulate the atmospheric hydrological cycle. By applying a radiative kernel-regression technique to CMIP5 climate model simulations where CO 2 is instantaneously quadrupled, we evaluate the intermodel spread in surface instantaneous radiative forcing, radiative adjustments to this forcing, and radiative responses to surface warming. The cloud radiative adjustment to CO 2 forcing and the temperature-mediated cloud radiative response exhibit significant intermodel spread. In contrast to its counterpart at the top of the atmosphere, the temperature-mediated cloud radiative response at the surface is found to be positive in some models and negative in others. Also, the compensation between the temperature-mediated lapse rate and water vapor radiative responses found in top-of-atmosphere calculations is not present for surface radiative flux changes. Instantaneous radiative forcing at the surface is rarely reported for model simulations; as a result, intermodel differences have not previously been evaluated in global climate models. We demonstrate that the instantaneous radiative forcing is the largest contributor to intermodel spread in effective radiative forcing at the surface. We also find evidence of differences in radiative parameterizations in current models and argue that this is a significant, but largely overlooked, source of bias in climate change simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗