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Results for “solar cycle 25”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Spectral and Temperature-Dependent Optical Metrology: Towards More Robust, Effective and Durable Materials for Concentrated Solar Power

The primary objective of this project is to develop reliable and standardized spectroscopic measurement techniques to determine radiative properties, specifically the emittance and reflectance, of materials relevant for the next generation (Gen3) concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies. Experimental measurements will span near- and mid-infrared wavelengths (1–20 µm) with emphasis on quantifying the influences of: (1) operating temperatures of 25–1000 °C, (2) thermal cycling, and (3) environmental exposure of materials during operation (vacuum/air). A secondary goal is to develop open-access and digitized databases to host and share experimental data, together with standardized measurement protocols and operating procedures to determine optical properties of materials. This project will also include reasonable emphasis on developing predictive modeling tools to augment experimental data to extract more fundamental and material-specific radiative properties.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Life Cycle Emissions Factors for Electricity Generation Technologies

This dataset consists of a table containing the distribution of literature estimates of greenhouse gas emissions for the following electricity generation and storage technologies: biopower, coal, concentrating solar power, geothermal, hydrogen storage, hydropower, lithium-ion battery storage, natural gas, nuclear, ocean, oil, photovoltaic, pumped-storage hydropower, and wind. Quartile estimates of life cycle emissions factors in units of grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilowatt hour of generation (g CO2e/kWh) are provided for the following life cycle stages: one-time upstream, ongoing combustion, ongoing non-combustion, one-time downstream, and total. Literature estimates were compiled by the LCA Harmonization study and subsequent updates, as detailed in the factsheet which accompanies this dataset, https://www.nlr.gov/docs/fy21osti/80580.pdf .

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
NASA NTRS1984

SPIKE-2: a Practical Stirling Engine for Kilowatt Level Solar Power

Recent advances in the art of free piston Stirling engine design make possible the production of 1-10kW free piston Stirling linear alternator engine, hermetically sealed, efficient, durable and simple in construction and operation. Power output is in the form of single or three phase 60 Hz. AC, or DC. The three phase capability is available from single machines without need of external conditioning. Engine voltage control regains set voltage within 5 cycles in response to any load change. The existing SPIKE-2 design has an engine alternator efficiency of 25% at 650 C heater wall temperature and a service life of over three years in solar service. The same system can be scaled over a range of at least 100 watts to 25kW.

Beale, W. T.↗
NASA NTRS1988

The Solar Dynamic radiator with a historical perspective

A historical perspective on pumped loop space radiators provides a basis for the design of the Space Station Solar Dynamic (SD) power module radiator. SD power modules, capable of generating 25 kWe each, are planned for growth Station power requirements. The Brayton (cycle) SD module configuration incorporates a pumped loop radiator that must reject up to 99 kW. The thermal/hydraulic design conditions in combination with required radiator orientation and packaging envelope form a unique set of constraints as compared to previous pumped loop radiator systems. Nevertheless, past program successes have demonstrated a technology base which can be applied to the SD radiator development program to ensure a low risk, low cost system.

Mclallin, K. L.↗
NASA NTRS2026

Electron Velocity Moments in the Solar Wind. I. Calibration of the Wind 3DP EESA Low Detector

Calibrated measurements of electron velocity distribution functions (VDFs) are necessary to characterize fluid and kinetic processes in weakly collisional and nearly collisionless plasmas such as the solar wind. Therefore, we analyzed 3,996,051 electron VDFs observed by the Wind 3DP thermal electron detector near 1 astronomical unit (au) between January 1, 2005 and November 25, 2017. The data were calibrated for each electron VDF to produce accurate velocity moments in the solar wind. This is the first full solar cycle coverage electron velocity moment dataset in the near-Earth solar wind. Herein (Paper I) we discuss the calibration process/algorithms and the velocity moment constraints, uncertainties, and resulting public dataset. In the second paper (Paper II), we statistically analyze the electron velocity moment dataset.

plasmas↗
NASA NTRS1985

Photochemical consequences of enhanced CO2 levels in earth's early atmosphere

Greatly enhanced atmospheric CO2 concentrations are the most likely mechanism for offsetting the effects of reduced solar luminosity early in the earth's history. CO2 levels of 80 to 600 times the present value could have maintained a mean surface temperature of 0 C to 15 C, given a 25 percent decrease in solar output. Such high CO2 levels are at least qualitatively consistent with the present understanding of the carbonate-silicate geochemical cycle. The presence of large amounts of CO2 has important implications for the composition of the earth's prebiotic atmosphere. The hydrogen budget of a high-CO2 primitive atmosphere would have been strongly influenced by rainout of H2O2 and H2CO. The reaction of H2O2 with dissolved ferrous iron in the early oceans could have been a major sink for atmospheric oxygen. The requirement that this loss of oxygen be balanced by a corresponding loss of hydrogen (by escape to space and rainout of H2CO) implies that the atmospheric H2 mixing ratio was greater than 2 x 10 to the -5th and the ground level O2 mixing ratio was below 10 to the -12th, even if other surface sources of H2 were small. These results are only weakly dependent on changes in solar UV flux, rainout rates, and vertical mixing rates in the primitive atmosphere.

Kasting, J. F.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Effects of the equatorial ionosphere on L-band Earth-space transmissions

Ionosphere scintillation can effect satellite telecommunication up to Ku-band. Nighttime scintillation can be attributed to large-scale inhomogeneity in the F-region of the ionosphere predominantly between heights of 200 and 600 km. Daytime scintillation has been attributed to sporadic E. It can be thought of as occurring in three belts: equatorial, high-latitude, and mid-latitude, in order of severity. Equatorial scintillation occurs between magnetic latitudes +/- 25 degrees, peaking near +/- 10 degrees. It commonly starts abruptly near 2000 local time and dies out shortly after midnight. There is a strong solar cycle dependence and a seasonal preference for the equinoxes, particularly the vernal one. Equatorial scintillation occurs more frequently on magnetically quiet than on magnetically disturbed days in most longitudes. At the peak of the sunspot cycle scintillation depths as great as 20 dB were observed at L-band.

Smith, Ernest K.↗
NASA NTRS1988

The solar dynamic radiator with a historical perspective

A historical perspective on pumped-fluid loop space radiators provides a basis for the design of the Space Station Solar Dynamic (SD) power module radiator. SD power modules, capable of generating 25 kW (electrical) each, are planned for growth in Station power requirements. The Brayton cycle SD module configuration incorporates a pumped-fluid loop radiator that must reject up to 99 kW (thermal). The thermal/hydraulic design conditions in combination with required radiator orientation and packaging envelope form a unique set of constraints as compared to previous pumped-fluid loop radiator systems. Nevertheless, past program successes have demonstrated a technology base that can be applied to the SD radiator development program to ensure a low risk, low cost system.

Mclallin, K. L.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Simulation of wind and solar energy generation over California with E3SM SCREAM regionally refined models at 3.25 km and 800 m resolutions

This study presents wind and solar power generation estimates derived from the US Department of Energy’s Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) Regionally Refined Models (RRM) over California at 3.25 km and 800 m horizontal resolutions, using the Python wrapper for the System Advisor Model (PySAM). The resulting wind and solar generation estimates are compared to monthly capacity factors reported to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR, 3 km resolution) forecast model, and E3SM North American regionally refined model (NARRM, 25 km resolution). We systematically assess the impacts of generation modeling assumptions, meteorological models, and horizontal resolution. Results show that resolution plays a dominant role for wind energy: increasing from 25 to 3.25 km brings qualitative and quantitative improvements, most notably by resolving the phase error in the seasonal cycle found in coarser simulations. However, further refinement to 800 m offers minimal gains. SCREAM performs better than HRRR for solar power generation in single- and dual-axis tracking systems, likely due to more accurate surface radiation. The sensitivity of PySAM to system configuration, particularly for axis-tracking modeling in photovoltaics, is also highlighted. Overall, SCREAM-RRM shows strong potential for high-resolution energy assessments, with future progress depending on more in situ observations and clearer quantification of uncertainties in generation modeling.

Geosciences↗
NASA NTRS2006

Geomagnetic Activity Indicates Large Amplitude for Sunspot Cycle 24

The level of geomagnetic activity near the time of solar activity minimum has been shown to be a reliable indicator for the amplitude of the following solar activity maximum. The geomagnetic activity index aa can be split into two components: one associated with solar flares, prominence eruptions, and coronal mass ejections which follows the solar activity cycle and a second component associated with recurrent high speed solar wind streams which is out of phase with the solar activity cycle. This second component often peaks before solar activity minimum and has been one of the most reliable indicators for the amplitude of the following maximum. The size of the recent maximum in this second component indicates that solar activity cycle 24 will be much higher than average - similar in size to cycles 21 and 22 with a peak smoothed sunspot number of 160 plus or minus 25.

Hathaway, David H.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Large cosmic ray transient decreases observed in the heliosphere at the Earth, Voyagers 1 and 2 and Pioneer 10 from 1987 to 1991

Using the greater than 70-MeV cosmic ray rate data from the Interplanetary Monitoring Platform (IMP), Voyager, and Pioneer spacecraft, we have examined the role of large transient decreases in the overall cosmic ray decrease from 1987 to 1990. At least 12 separate transient decreases with magnitudes greater than 5% were observed at Voyager 2, which moved from a heliocentric radius of approximately 23 to 35 AU during the time period. Many, but not all, of these decreases were observed at IMP 8 near the Earth and at the Pioneer 10 between 42 and 54 AU near the ecliptic plane. However, only five of these decreases were observed at Voyager 1 at north heliographic latitude approximately 30 deg and radial distance between 32 and 46 AU. The period of decreasing cosmic ray intensity from 1987 to 1990 can be divided into two phases. During phase 1, between mid-1987 and early 1989, the average heliospheric current sheet tilt rapidly increased from approximately 8 deg to 65 deg as the solar activity was also increasing rapidly and the intensity at the Earth decreased by about 35%. Four large transient decreases were observed at the Earth during this time; however, transient decreases beyond the Earth were observed only near the ecliptic plane. In phase 2, from early 1989 to mid-1990 when the intensity at the Earth decreased by an additional approximately 60%, five large transient decreases were observed at all latitudes. During this time the current sheet tilt was always greater than 60 deg. Using a procedure to separate these large transient decreases from any possible slower long-term variations, we argue that these decreases appear to be responsible for much of the overall intensity decrease of 20 - 35% observed at all spacecraft near the equatorial plane in phase 1 as well as most of the larger intensity decrease of about 45 - 60% observed at all spacecraft during phase 2. The recovery of the cosmic ray intensity that started at the Earth in early 1990 moved outward in the heliosphere reaching the Voyager and Pioneer spacecraft about 6 months later. This is in contrast to what happened as the intensity began to recover was observed to begin almost simultaneously at all radii less than 25 AU. This difference suggests that during the current cycle, the mechanism responsible for the recovery must have propagated outward from the Sun. This could have been related to the reversal of the solar polar magnetic field which occurred in early 1990. The effects of large transients propagating outward in the heliosphere and becoming ineffective when they reach the heliospheric boundary could not have played a major role in the onset of the recovery in 1990, since in this case the recovery should have been observed first in the outer heliosphere.

Webber, W. R.↗
NASA NTRS1997

Solar Cycle Predictions Near Sunspot Minimum

Observations of solar magnetic activity and the dynamics of the solar convection zone have produced severe constraints on models of the Sun's magnetic dynamo. These constraints are so severe that, at present, we do not have numerical models that can accept the current conditions and then march forward in time to predict future activity. Given this state of solar dynamo theory we are forced to examine previous behavior to discover patterns and trends that afford us some measure of predictability. Here we examine the behavior of several indicators of solar activity near solar minimum that are well correlated with the amplitude of the following solar maximum to predict the level of solar activity over cycle 23. Sunspot numbers, areas, and positions are useful for characterizing solar cycle behavior due to the extent of the data (12 cycles or more). These data exhibit several patterns that relate future activity to past behavior. With the Odd-Even effect the odd numbered cycles have been larger than their even numbered predecessors for each of the last six cycle pairs. With the Amplitude-Period effect short period cycles have been followed by large amplitude cycles and long period cycles have been followed by small amplitude cycles for 10 of the last 13 cycles. With the Maximum-Minimum effect the sunspot number at minimum is directly correlated with the sunspot number at maximum for a given cycle. The geomagnetic indices aa and Ap are also related to solar activity by the connections between disturbances in the solar wind and variations in the Earth's magnetic field. Like the Maximum-Minimum effect for sunspots, the size of the aa and Ap indices at minimum are directly related to the amplitude of the following maximum. The number of geomagnetically disturbed days (days with Ap >= 25) over the course of a cycle is another indicator for the size of the next cycle. The aa and Ap indices can each be separated into a component in phase with the current sunspot cycle and an "extended cycle" component that is directly related to the following cycle. Individually each of these indicators provides some measure of predictive ability for the amplitudes of previous cycles. Taken in combination we find that the predictions are much more accurate. Our multi-variate analysis indicates that a maximum sunspot number of 160 +/- 20 should occur near the end of 1999 for cycle 23.

Hathaway, David H.↗
NASA NTRS2016

Solar Activity Studies using Microwave Imaging Observations

We report on the status of solar cycle 24 based on polar prominence eruptions (PEs) and microwave brightness enhancement (MBE) information obtained by the Nobeyama radioheliograph. The north polar region of the Sun had near-zero field strength for more than three years (2012-2015) and ended only in September 2015 as indicated by the presence of polar PEs and the lack of MBE. The zero-polar-field condition in the south started only around 2013, but it ended by June 2014. Thus the asymmetry in the times of polarity reversal switched between cycle 23 and 24. The polar MBE is a good proxy for the polar magnetic field strength as indicated by the high degree of correlation between the two. The cross-correlation between the high- and low-latitude MBEs is significant for a lag of approximately 5.5 to 7.3 years, suggesting that the polar field of one cycle indicates the sunspot number of the next cycle in agreement with the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of solar cycles. The extended period of near-zero field in the north-polar region should result in a weak and delayed sunspot activity in the northern hemisphere in cycle 25.

microwave radio emission↗
DOE OSTI2022

Environmental Benefits of Closing the Solar Manufacturing and Recycling Loop: Preparation of Solar Manufacturing Inventories

The cumulative global solar panel waste stream is projected to reach between 60 and 78 million tonnes by 2050. Steps towards developing, demonstrating, and implementing processes that recover glass, metals, and semiconductor materials from end-of-life solar panels have already been taken. However, these processes result in the downcycling of most secondary solar materials. Critically, the costs and benefits of capturing these secondary materials for use in new solar panels are unknown. To evaluate the environmental benefit associated with solar material recycling and reuse in next generation panels, prior inventories must be updated and prepared for integration with recycling processes to examine the benefit of closing the material loop between solar panel end-of-life and new panel manufacturing. This current work describes steps taken to upgrade existing inventories that detail the manufacturing of cadmium-telluride (CdTe) panels from the Ecoinvent -v2.2 life cycle inventory database to Ecoinvent -v3. During this update, material inventories were modified to capture different realistic material supply chains within the constraints of Ecoinvent -v3. Materials discussed in detail in this work include primary flat glass, aluminum, steel, copper, and CdTe. This work demonstrated that environmental indicators such as embodied carbon, acidification, and terrestrial eutrophication associated with solar panel production can be reduced by 25% to over 40% through improved primary material sourcing.

CdTe solar panels↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coatings for CSP Lifetime

The feasibility and performance of tower-technology-based concentrated solar power (CSP) is highly dependent on the efficiency of the energy transformation from sun to heat at the receiver. The higher the solar absorptivity of the receiver coating, the higher the efficiency of the plant as a whole. BrightSource Energy (BSE) has developed a series of High-Performance Coating (HPC) systems in order to achieve high absorptivity over the plant lifetime (25-35 years). This requires stable coatings that are easily applicable on the large receiver surface and will maintain their optical properties under intense solar flux and thousands of heating and cooling cycles in desert conditions. Different coating formulations are required according to the differing plant conditions: receiver materials, operating conditions (temperatures, daily cycles, etc.), and environmental conditions. BSE also developed a coating for the next generation of CSP receivers, such as those being under DOE’s CSP Gen3 program, which will be operated with high temperature heat transfer fluids at temperatures of up to 800°C, which is significantly hotter than the operating temperature of current systems. Once the coating is formulated, the next challenge is evaluating its lifetime properties. BSE has found several independent failure modes that impact HPC absorptivity degradation: • Decrease in HPC optical properties due to oxidation in the receiver tubes surface below the HPC; • HPC film deterioration due to cycling of temperatures and humidity due to daily operation startup and shutdown as well as changing ambient conditions; • Mechanical degradation due to erosion by sand and wind. Existing test methods examine various aspects independently, but do not provide a combined accelerated lifetime result. Creating such a combined test suite, with a way to interpret the results to predict the coating’s projected lifetime, was the ultimate goal of this project. The project was divided into three major workstreams: lab testing (individual failure mode tests and combined failure mode tests); developing a theoretical model for aging; and validation of the test apparatus via on-sun testing in near real-world conditions at CIEMAT-PSA. Developing a test apparatus that accurately controlled the temperature while also introducing the desired solar flux proved more challenging than expected. While in the end we did succeed in creating a test apparatus that can control temperature, solar flux, and humidity, the results did not appear to accelerate the lifetime of the samples as desired. We suspect that to properly accelerate the samples we must also subject the samples to increased amounts of oxygen. Similarly, while we successfully created a combined model that is publicly available, we were unable to validate it sufficiently to feel comfortable recommending it as a general guideline.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS2011

Spray-On Foam Insulations for Launch Vehicle Cryogenic Tanks

Spray-on foam insulation (SOFI) has been developed for use on the cryogenic tanks of space launch vehicles beginning in the 1960s with the Apollo program. The use of SOFI was further developed for the Space Shuttle program. The External Tank (ET) of the Space Shuttle, consisting of a forward liquid oxygen tank in line with an aft liquid hydrogen tank, requires thermal insulation over its outer surface to prevent ice formation and avoid in-flight damage to the ceramic tile thermal protection system on the adjacent Orbiter. The insulation also provides system control and stability with throughout the lengthy process of cooldown, loading, and replenishing the tank. There are two main types of SOFI used on the ET: acreage (with the rind) and closeout (machined surface). The thermal performance of the seemingly simple SOFI system is a complex of many variables starting with the large temperature difference of from 200 to 260 K through the typical 25-mm thickness. Environmental factors include air temperature and humidity, wind speed, solar exposure, and aging or weathering history. Additional factors include manufacturing details, launch processing operations, and number of cryogenic thermal cycles. The study of the cryogenic thermal performance of SOFI under large temperature differentials is the subject of this article. The amount of moisture taken into the foam during the cold soak phase, termed Cryogenic Moisture Uptake, must also be considered. The heat leakage rates through these foams were measured under representative conditions using laboratory standard liquid nitrogen boiloff apparatus. Test articles included baseline, aged, and weathered specimens. Testing was performed over the entire pressure range from high vacuum to ambient pressure. Values for apparent thermal conductivity and heat flux were calculated and compared with prior data. As the prior data of record was obtained for small temperature differentials on non-weathered foams, analysis of the different methods is provided. Recent advancements and applications of SOFI systems on future launch vehicles and spacecraft are also addressed.

Fesmire, J. E.↗
NASA NTRS1989

The long-term behavior of the main peak of the dayside ionosphere of Venus during solar cycle 21 and its implications on the effect of the solar cycle upon the electron temperature in the main peak region

Results are presented on the long-term behavior of the main peak electron density in the Venus ionosphere during the solar cycle 21, based on 104 radio occultation measurements of the vertical electron density profile in the dayside ionosphere of Venus carried out aboard the Pioneer Venus Orbiter spacecraft (along with published data on 11 Venera 9-10 measurements). The equation representing the electron temperature at h = 140 km is presented. The results imply that the electron temperature at h = 140 km decreased by about 25 percent from solar maximum to solar minimum, compared to a decrease of 50-75 percent above 200 km found by Kliore and Mullen (1989).

Kliore, Arvydas J.↗