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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

New insights on the nebular emission, ionizing radiation, and low metallicity of Green Peas from advanced modelling

ABSTRACT Low-metallicity, compact starburst galaxies referred to as Green Peas (GPs) provide a unique window to study galactic evolution across cosmic epochs. In this work, we present new deep optical spectra for three GPs from OSIRIS at the 10-m Gran Telescopio Canarias, which are studied using a state-of-the-art methodology. A stellar population synthesis is conducted with 1098 spectral templates. The methodology succeeds at characterizing stellar populations from 0.5 Myr to 10 Gyr. The light distribution shows a large red excess from a single population with ${log}\left({age}\right) \gt 8.5\, \mathrm{yr}$ in the GP sample analysed. This points towards an incomplete characterization of the gas luminosity, whose continuum already accounts between 7.4 and $27.6{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ in the galaxy sample. The emission spectra are fitted with the largest Bayesian chemical model consisting of an electron temperature, an electron density, the logarithmic extinction coefficient and eleven ionic species under the direct method paradigm. Additionally, building on previous work, we propose a neural networks sampler to constrain the effective temperature and ionization parameter of each source from photoionization model grids. Finally, we combine both methodologies into a 16-dimensional model, which for the first time, simultaneously explores the direct method and photoionization parameter spaces. Both techniques consistently indicate a low-metallicity gas, $7.76\lt 12+{\rm log}\left(O/H \right)\lt 8.04$, ionized by strong radiation fields, in agreement with previous works.

Fernández, V. (ORCID:0000000305315450)↗
NASA NTRS1994

Dust extinction and molecular gas in the dark cloud IC 5146

In this paper we describe a powerful method for mapping the distribution of dust through a molecular cloud using data obtained in large-scale, multiwavelength, infrared imaging surveys. This method combines direct measurements of near-infrared color excess and certain techniques of star counting to derive mean extinctions and map the dust column density distribution through a cloud at higher angular resolutions and greater optical depths than those achieved previously by optical star counting. We report the initial results of the application of this method to a dark cloud complex near the cluster IC 5146, where we have performed coordinated, near-infrared, JHK imaging and (13)CO, C(18)O, and CS millimeter-wave, molecular-line surveys of a large portion of the complex. More than 4000 stars were detected in our JHK survey of the cloud. Of these, all but about a dozen appear to be field stars not associated with the cloud. Star count maps at J band show a striking and detailed anticorrelation between the surface density of J-band sources and CO and CS molecular-line emission. We used the (H-K) colors and positions of nearly 1300 sources to directly measure and map the extinction and thus trace the dust column density through the cloud at an effective angular resolution of 1 min .5. We report an interesting correlation between the measured dispersion in our extinction determinations and the extinction. Modeling this relation indicates that effects of small-scale cloud structure dominate the uncertainties in our measurements. Moreover, we demonstrate that such observations can be used to place constraints on the nature of the spatial distribution of extinction on scales smaller than our resolution. In particular, we show that models in which the dust is distributed uniformly or in discrete high-extinction clumps on scales smaller than (1 min .5) are inconsistent with the observations. We have derived extinctions at the same positions and at the same angular resolution (1 min .7) as our molecular-line observations. This enabled a direct comparison of (13)CO, C(18)O, and CS integrated intensities and column densities with A(sub V) for more than 500 positions in the cloud, corresponding to a range in A(sub V) between 0 to 32 mag of extinction. We found the integrated intensities of (13)CO, C(18)O, and CS to be roughly linearly correlated with extinction over different ranges of extinction. However, for all three molecules we find the scatter in the observed relations to be larger than can be accounted for by instrumental error, suggesting that there are large intrinsic variations in the abundances or excitation of the molecules through the cloud. Mean abundances for all the molecules relative to hydrogen were directly derived from the data. The ratio of (13)CO to C(18)O abundances was found to be significantly higher than the terrestrial ratio in regions where extinction is less than 10 mag. In the same region, the dispersion in the abundance ratio is also found to be very large, suggesting that the abundances of one or both molecules are very unstable even at relatively large cloud optical depths. Beyond 10 mag of extinction the abundances of both species appear very stable with their ratio close to the terrestrial value.

Lada, Charles J.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Numerical experiments with model monophyletic and paraphyletic taxa

The problem of how accurately paraphyletic taxa versus monophyletic (i.e., holophyletic) groups (clades) capture underlying species patterns of diversity and extinction is explored with Monte Carlo simulations. Phylogenies are modeled as stochastic trees. Paraphyletic taxa are defined in an arbitrary manner by randomly choosing progenitors and clustering all descendants not belonging to other taxa. These taxa are then examined to determine which are clades, and the remaining paraphyletic groups are dissected to discover monophyletic subgroups. Comparisons of diversity patterns and extinction rates between modeled taxa and lineages indicate that paraphyletic groups can adequately capture lineage information under a variety of conditions of diversification and mass extinction. This suggests that these groups constitute more than mere "taxonomic noise" in this context. But, strictly monophyletic groups perform somewhat better, especially with regard to mass extinctions. However, when low levels of paleontologic sampling are simulated, the veracity of clades deteriorates, especially with respect to diversity, and modeled paraphyletic taxa often capture more information about underlying lineages. Thus, for studies of diversity and taxic evolution in the fossil record, traditional paleontologic genera and families need not be rejected in favor of cladistically-defined taxa.

Non-NASA Center↗
NASA NTRS2002

Laser Prevention of Earth Impact Disasters

Today we are seeing the geological data base constantly expanding as new evidence from past impacts with the Earth are discovered and investigated. It is now commonly believed that a hypervelocity impact occurring approximately 65 million years ago in the Yucatan Peninsula area was the disaster responsible for the extinction of almost 70% of the species of life on Earth including of course the dinosaurs. What is sobering is that we believe now that this was just one of several such disasters and that some of the others caused extinctions to even a greater extent. Preventing collisions with the Earth by hypervelocity asteroids, meteoroids, and comets is the most important problem facing human civilization. While there are many global problems facing our planet including overpopulation, pollution, disease, and deforestation; none of these offer the potential of rapid, total extinction. Rapid is the operative word here in that many of the global problems we face may indeed, if not sufficiently addressed, pose a similar long-term threat. However, with the impact threat, a single, almost unpredictable event could lead to a chain reaction of disasters that would end everything mankind has worked to achieve over the centuries. Our chances of being hit are greater than our chance of winning the lottery. We now believe that while there are only about 2000-earth orbit crossing rocks great than 1 kilometer in diameter, there may be as many as 100,000 rocks in the 100 m size range. The 1 kilometer rocks are difficult to detect and even harder to track. The 100 m class ones are almost impossible to find with today's technology. Can anything be done about this fundamental existence question facing us? The answer is a resounding yes. By using an intelligent combination of Earth and space based sensors coupled with high-energy laser stations in orbit, we can deflect rocks from striking the Earth. This is accomplished by irradiating the surface of the rock with sufficiently intense pulses so that ablation occurs. This ablation acts as a small rocket incrementally changing the shape of the rock's orbit around the Sun.

Campbell, Jonathan W.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Variable Lidar Ratios for Marine and Dusty Marine Using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations and their Impact on Level 2 CALIPSO Data Products in Version 5

The Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) onboard CALIPSO provided global measurements of attenuated backscatter profiles of various tropospheric aerosol species from June 2006 through June 2023. Extinction profiles are retrieved from these backscatter measurements by assuming a value for the extinction-to-backscatter or lidar ratio (LR). Up until version V4.51 of the data products, only a constant global value for each of the species has been used, spatially and temporally. However, it has been well known from various ground-based measurements that LRs of each aerosol species can potentially vary spatially as well seasonally. For the forthcoming Version 5 of the CALIPSO products, the CALIPSO team will implement variable lidar ratios at 532 nm for the species classified as “marine” and “dusty marine”. Here we present the essential elements of this scheme, which involves estimating lidar ratios by constraining Fernald solutions for the CALIOP particulate backscatter profiles using aerosol optical depths (AOD) from collocated MODIS retrievals. To account for the lack of measurements in various regions and seasons (e.g., Arctic winters), we leverage collocated model sea-salt volume fractions (SSVF) simulated by the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model and use an empirical relationship between the SSVF and LR to build hybrid climatological maps for the entire globe, i.e., using the modelled values when reliable values of the constrained LRs are not available. Initial evaluation of the resulting extinction profiles and corresponding AODs, both globally and in specific regions are presented using a limited amount of data. The primary improvement in AOD occurs in the coastal areas, like the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. The estimated marine LR values in these regions are significantly higher than the constant value of 23 sr used in previous data releases, likely due to mixing with offshore pollution which results in higher AODs. Initial validation results using the CALIPSO Ocean Derived Column Optical Depth (ODCOD) retrievals and ground-based AERONET AOD measurements are presented.

CALIPSO↗
NASA NTRS1994

Ozone control of biological activity during Earth's history, including the KT catastrophe

There have been brief periods since the beginning of the Cambrian some 600 m.y. ago when mass extinctions destroyed a significant fraction of living species. The most widely studied of these events is the catastrophe at the KT boundary that ended the long dominance of the dinosaurs. In addition to mass extinctions, there is another profound discontinuity in the history of Earth's biota, the explosion of life at the end of the Precambrian era which is an episode that is not explained well at all. For some 3 b.y. before the Cambrian, life had been present on Earth, but maintained a low level of activity which is an aspect of the biota that is puzzling, especially during the last two-thirds of that period. During the last 2 b.y. before the Cambrian, conditions at the Earth's surface were suitable for a burgeoning of the biota, according to most criteria: the oceans neither boiled nor were fozen solid during this time, and the atmosphere contained sufficient O for the development of animals. The purpose of this paper is to suggest that mass extinctions and the lackluster behavior of the Precambrian biota share a common cause: an inadequate amount of ozone in the atmosphere.

Sheldon, W. R.↗
DOE OSTI2020

A direct numerical simulation of Jet A flame kernel quenching

The safe operation of aeronautical engines requires an understanding of flame ignition, propagation and extinction. In this study, direct numerical simulations are performed using a 29 species reduced chemical mechanism for jet fuel surrogate Jet A to understand the flame quenching process. Here, initially laminar spherical flames of varying sizes and equivalence ratios are subject to an identical periodic domain of decaying and isotropic high intensity turbulence with a turbulent Reynolds number of 2400. All cases become quenched, except for the larger kernel with lower Karlovitz number. An analysis of the flame structure shows broadened preheat zone, flame shortening on the product side, differential species diffusion and partial fuel pyrolysis in the fresh mixture. Two extinction mechanisms are identified arising from flame shortening and high flame stretch. Flame shortening occurs due to turbulence-chemistry interactions that resemble the flame–flame interaction in a laminar counterflow reactant-to-reactant configuration, which contorts and breaks up the ignition kernel. Flame stretch is a local effect that attenuates the heat release rate and causes the flame to retreat towards the product mixtures, similar to what has been observed for reactant-to-product laminar counterflow flames. Chemical explosive mode analysis was also performed to quantify the flame structure and local combustion mode. The diffusion–reaction balance in pinched-off flame islands favors extinction of these smaller structures, while auto-ignition modes are observed within the flame kernel after fresh mixture is engulfed and preheated in the product kernel. Statistics of the density-weighted displacement speed conditional on local combustion mode indicates strong correlation between the local extinction mode and negative displacement speed. The local balance between diffusion and reaction ultimately determines the propensity for local extinction in both laminar and turbulent flames, the extent of which has an impact on global flame propagation.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Role of Mg:Al ratio and Pt promotion on mitigating the deactivation of Ni-based methane steam reforming catalysts

Ni-based catalysts for CH 4 steam reforming require fine-tuning to withstand deactivation under dynamic operation conditions relevant to emerging H 2 -driven technologies. This study investigates the impact of the Mg:Al ratio and Pt presence in catalyst composition on the activity and stability of industrially relevant Ni-based mono- and bimetallic catalysts during simulated daily start-up and shut-down cycles in various gas atmospheres. The evolution of the catalyst structure during extensive testing procedures was investigated in detail by complementary electron microscopy, in situ/operando XAS and XRD. The results obtained revealed that catalyst deactivation is promoted at high Mg:Al ratios and especially affects the monometallic catalysts. By converting CH 4 at lower temperatures, Pt regulates the extent of Ni oxidation and its incorporation into MgO lattice. Further prevention of catalyst deactivation was achieved by optimizing the reactor shut-down procedure to minimize the simultaneous exposure to high temperatures and H 2 O vapors. By flushing the reactor with N 2 only around the reaction extinction temperature, a fraction of Ni species is maintained in metallic state, which is beneficial for the long-term activity and reaction operation economy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1982

The relationship between carbon monoxide abundance and visual extinction in interstellar clouds

Carbon monoxide column densities are compared to visual extinctions toward field stars in the rho Oph and Taurus molecular cloud complexes. The relationship of C(0-18) column density to extinction is established, and new determinations for (C-13)O column densities are given for a range of visual extinctions extended to beyond 20 mag. A prescription for determining hydrogen column densities and masses of molecular clouds from observations of CO isotopes is presented and discussed critically. These measurements agree well with the predictions of gas phase chemistry models which include chemical fractionation and selective isotopic photodestruction. The functional dependence of the C(O-18) column density on extinction is characterized by two different regimes separated by a distinct transition observed to occur at 4 mag in both molecular cloud complexes, whereas the functional dependence of (C-13)O is quite different in the two regions. Some saturation is found to occur for C(O-18) emission at high visual extinction and use the rarer isotopic species C(O-17) and (C-13)(O-18) to correct for it.

Frerking, M. A.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Impact cratering at geologic stage boundaries

The largest known Cenozoic impact craters with the most accurately measured ages are found to correlate very closely with geologic stage boundaries. The level of confidence in this result is 98-99 percent even under the most pessimistic assumptions concerning dating errors. One or more large impacts may have led, in at least some cases, to the extinctions and first appearances of biotic species that mark many of the geologic stage boundaries.

Stothers, Richard B.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Beagle 2: The Next Exobiology Mission to Mars

Beagle 2 is a 60 kg probe (with a 30 kg lander) developed in the United Kingdom for inclusion on the European Space Agency's 2003 Mars Express. Beagle 2 will deliver to the Martian surface a payload which consists of a high percentage of science instruments to landed spacecraft mass. Beagle 2 will be launched in June, 2003 with Mars Express on a Soyuz-Fregat rocket from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan. Beagle 2 will land on Mars on December 26, 2003 in the Isidis Planitia basin (approximately 10 degrees N and 275 degrees W), a large sedimentary basin that overlies the boundary between ancient highlands and northern plains. Isidis Planitia, the third largest basin on Mars, which is possibly filled with sediment deposited at the bottom of long-standing lakes or seas, offers an ideal environment for preserving traces of life. Beagle 2 was developed to search for organic material and other volatiles on and below the surface of Mars in addition to the study of the inorganic chemistry and mineralogy. Beagle 2 will utilize a mechanical mole and grinder to obtain samples from below the surface, under rocks and inside rocks. A pair of stereo cameras will image the landing site along with a microscope for examination of surface and rock samples. Analyses will include both rock and soil samples at various wavelengths, X-ray spectrometer and Mossbauer spectrometer as well as a search for organics and other light element species (e.g. carbonates and water) and measurement of their isotopic compositions. Beagle 2 has as its focus the goal of establishing whether evidence for life existed in the past on Mars at the Isidis Planitia site or at least establishing if the conditions were ever suitable. Carbonates and organic components were first recognized as existing on Mars when they were found in the Martian meteorite Nakhla. Romanek et al showed the carbonates in ALH84001 were formed at low temperatures. McKay et al noted possible evidence of early life on Mars within the ALH84001 meteorite. Thomas-Keprta et al showed the magnetite biomarkers in ALH84001's carbonates are indistinguishable from those formed by magnetotactic bacteria found on Earth. Gibson et al showed there was significant evidence for liquid water and biogenic products present on Mars across a 3.9 billion year period. A mechanical arm (PAW) operates from the lander and is used for science operations along with sample acquisition. Instruments attached to the PAW include: stereo cameras, Mossbauer instrument, X-ray fluorescence instrument, microscope, environmental sensors, rock corer/grinder, a spoon, mirror, brushes, a mole attachment for acquisition of subsurface to depths of 1 to 2 meters and an illumination device. Each camera has 14 filters which have been optimized for mineralogy composition, dust and water vapor detection. The microscope's camera is designed for viewing the size and shape of dust particles, rock surfaces, microfossils, and characteristics of the samples prior to introduction into the gas analysis package (GAP). The camera has a resolution of 4 microns/pixel, features four color capability (red, green, blue and UV (ultraviolet) fluoresence), a depth of focus of 40 micrometers and translation stage of +3 millimeters. The heart of the Beagle 2's life detection package is the gas analysis package (GAP), which consists of a mass spectrometer with collectors at fixed masses for precise isotopic ratio measurements and voltage scanning for spectral analysis. Primary aim of the GAP is to search for the presence of bulk constituents, individual species, and isotopic fractionations for both extinct and extent life along with studying the low-temperature geochemistry of the hydrogen, carbon, nitrogen and oxygen components on Mars from both the surface and atmosphere. GAP is a magnetic sector mass spectrometer with the range of 1 to 140 amu which can be operated in both the static and dynamic modes. A triple Faraday collector array will be used for C, N and O ratios along with a double Faraday array for H/D. Pulse counting electron multiplier will be utilized for noble gases and selected organics. Anticipated detection limits are at the picomole level for operation in the static mode of operation and high precision isotopic measurements will be made in the dynamic mode. Sample processing and preparation system consists of reaction vessels along with references. Sample ovens capable of being heated are attached to the manifold for sample combustion. Surface, subsurface materials and interior rock specimens will be combusted in pure oxygen gas at various temperature intervals to release organic matter and volatiles. Combustion process will permit detection of all forms and all atoms of carbon present in the samples. A chemical processing system is capable of a variety of conversion reactions. Gases are manipulated either by cryogenic or chemical reactions and passed through the gas handling portion of the vacuum system. There are two modes of operation: quantitative analysis and precise isotopic measurements. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Gibson, Everett K., Jr.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Rare species do not disproportionately contribute to phylogenetic diversity in a subalpine plant community

Abstract Premise Within plant communities, few species are abundant, and most are locally rare. Worldwide, 36% of plant species are exceedingly rare and often face high extinction risk. However, the community phylogenetic impact of the loss of rare plants is largely unknown in many systems. We address this gap by investigating how rare species contribute to phylogenetic diversity, considering multiple metrics of rarity and multiple elevations in a subalpine plant community. Methods We collected abundance data at three sites near the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory (Colorado, USA). We calculated each species' range size from public occurrence data. We calculated phylogenetic signal for abundance and range size, compared community phylogenetic metrics weighted by range size and abundance to unweighted metrics, and quantified the change in phylogenetic diversity when removing single species and groups of species ranked by rarity. Results We found phylogenetic signal for abundance, but not range size. There was no difference between rarity‐weighted and ‐unweighted phylogenetic diversity metrics. Finally, phylogenetic diversity did not decline more when we removed single rare species or groups of rare species than when we removed single common species and groups of common species. Conclusions We found that rare species, whether at low abundance or with a small range, do not disproportionately contribute to phylogenetic diversity in our subalpine plant community. These results were consistent across elevations. Instead, rare species might provide phylogenetic redundancy with common species. Deeper understanding of functional differentiation is needed to understand contributions of rare species to this system.

Plant Sciences↗
NASA NTRS1994

Extinction and the fossil record

The author examines evidence of mass extinctions in the fossil record and searches for reasons for such large extinctions. Five major mass extinctions eliminated at least 40 percent of animal genera in the oceans and from 65 to 95 percent of ocean species. Questions include the occurrence of gradual or catastrophic extinctions, causes, environment, the capacity of a perturbation to cause extinctions each time it happens, and the possibility and identification of complex events leading to a mass extinction.

NASA Discipline Exobiology↗
NASA NTRS1992

SAGE II stratospheric density and temperature retrieval experiment

This paper describes a stratospheric density and temperature retrieval experiment based on the solar occultation measurement of the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II). The entire retrieval analysis involves two inversion steps: the vertical structure inversion, which derives the profile of local atmospheric extinction from SAGE II limb optical depth data, and the species inversion, which inverts the concentration of air molecules, aerosols, ozone, and nitrogen dioxide from the derived atmospheric extinction at five SAGE II short wavelengths (0.385, 0.448, 0.453, 0.525, and 0.600 microns). The derived density profile is then used to infer the temperature distribution, assuming that the atmosphere is in hydrostatic equilibrium and obeys the ideal gas law. The temperature profiles retrieved from the SAGE II observations are compared with near-coincident, in both time and space, French Rayleigh lidar and NASA Wallops Flight Facility rocket datasonde soundings as well as the National Meteorological Center (NMC) data analyses. The results indicate that the mean SAGE II temperature agrees with the mean lidar measurements to within 2 C at altitudes from 30.5 to 52.5 km. The SAGE II and datasonde observations agree to within about 4 C in approximately the same altitude region.

Wang, Pi-Huan↗
NASA NTRS2022

The breakup of a long-period comet is not a likely match to the Chicxulub impactor

Since the discovery of Ir in the clay layer at the K-Pg boundary, scientists have sought to constrain the origin of the extraterrestrial impactor that triggered the end-Cretaceous mass extinction of the non-avian dinosaurs and other species. While the first proposal was for an asteroid, for a while some theories invoked a cometary impactor to explain perceived periodicities in mass extinctions. Such models have long been disfavored by the mass of Ir in the layer, inferred to be 2.0−2.8×10^(11)cu.g. The size of the Chicxulub crater leads to an estimated asteroid impactor diameter, D≈10km. Comets typically impact at higher speeds, reducing the impactor mass for the same impact energy. Although it is increasingly recognized that a continuum exists between comets and asteroids, ’comets’ are considered to be more ice-rich (estimates for 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko are about 20%;), implying lower Ir contents per impactor mass. A carbonaceous chondrite-like asteroid of the appropriate size would likely deliver ≈2.3×10^(11)g of Ir, in the center of the estimated mass range of the global Ir layer; but a comet would only deliver ∼0.1×10^(11)g, because it would be less massive. Although these conclusions are long standing, Siraj and Loeb have recently argued anew in favor of a comet over an asteroid, based on dynamical and geochemical evidence. Here we demonstrate that their arguments are based on misinterpretations of the literature, and that an asteroid is in fact still highly favored over a comet.

Steven J. Desch↗
NASA NTRS2022

The breakup of a long-period comet is not a likely match to the Chicxulub impactor

Since the discovery of Ir in the clay layer at the K-Pg boundary [1], scientists have sought to constrain the origin of the extraterrestrial impactor that triggered the end-Cretaceous mass extinction of the non-avian dinosaurs and other species. While the first proposal was for an asteroid, for a while some theories invoked a cometary impactor to explain perceived periodicities in mass extinctions. Such models have long been disfavored by the mass of Ir in the layer, inferred to be2.0−2.8×1011g. The size of Chicxulub crater leads to an estimated asteroid impactor diameter,D≈10 km. Comets typically impact at higher speeds, reducing the impactor mass for the same impact energy. Although it is increasingly recognized that a continuum exists between comets and asteroids, ’comets’ are considered to be more ice-rich (estimates for67P/ Churyumov-Gerasimenko are about 20%;), implying lower Ir contents per impactor mass. A carbonaceous chondrite-like asteroid of the appropriate size would likely deliver≈2.3×1011gof Ir, in the center of the estimated mass range of the global Ir layer; but a comet would only deliver∼0.1×1011g, because it would be less massive. Although these conclusions are long standing, Siraj & Loeb have recently argued anew in favor of a comet over an asteroid, based on dynamical and geochemical evidence. Here we demonstrate that their arguments are based on misinterpretations of the literature, and that an asteroid is in fact still highly favored over a comet.

Steven J Desch↗
NASA NTRS2022

Effects of Amazonian Flying Rivers on Frog Biodiversity and Populations in the Atlantic Rainforest

Given the speed at which humans are changing the climate, species with high degrees of endemism may not have time to avoid extinction through adaptation. We investigated through teleconnection analysis the origin of rainfall that determines the phylogenetic diversity of rainforest frogs and the effects of microclimate differences in shaping the morphological traits of isolated populations (which contribute to greater phylogenetic diversity and speciation). We also investigated through teleconnection analysis how deforestation in Amazonia can affect ecosystem services that are fundamental to maintaining the climate of the Atlantic rainforest biodiversity hotspot. Seasonal winds known as flying rivers carry water vapor from Amazonia to the Atlantic Forest, and the breaking of this ecosystem service could lead Atlantic Forest species to population decline and extinction in the short term. Our results suggest that the selection of morphological traits that shape Atlantic Forest frog diversity and their population dynamics are influenced by the Amazonian flying rivers. Our results also suggest that the increases of temperature anomalies in the Atlantic Ocean due to global warming and in the Amazon forest due to deforestation are already breaking this cycle and threaten the biodiversity of the Atlantic Forest hotspot.

anurans↗
NASA NTRS2005

The Vision of Human Spaceflight

First, we live in a world where change is the norm, not the exception. The scientific revolution springing from quantum mechanics yielded new understanding of solid state physics leading to stunning advances in computation, communication, and transportation. Two World Wars and one Cold War introduced massive governmental investment in research and development. The unusual pragmatic and classless entrepreneurship of U.S. society promoted commercialization and innovative marketing of new technology. As a result, the 20th Century experienced a constantly accelerating culture of change. Those societies that accepted and embraced the new capabilities dominated commercially and militarily; those that did not fell behind. I remember when there was no color television, when there were no personal computers, when there was no email, when there was no World Wide Web, when there were no cell phones. Now many of us cannot live without these things. Change has become the measure of success. Our children anticipate the future and do not expect it to look like the past. Secondly, our elementary school students are fascinated by dinosaurs, ghosts, and space. Astronauts create excitement. None question that humans will be in space in their future. They see it every week, even every day, in stories on television. To be an astronaut is considered a legitimate ambition. They see space travel to be an adventure just as our grandparents saw exploring Africa or the polar regions to be an adventure into the unknown. Third, we live in a time when our understanding of the space environment makes us realize that the existence of our species is one large impact away from extinction. We understand that our population explosion is changing our home planet in fundamental ways and that wars over terrestrial resources may be less than two generations away. We feel more connected to our space neighborhood than ever before. Many nations of the world are looking outward toward our Moon in an unprecedented way. A lunar space mission will be launched from somewhere every year for the next decade, at least.

Mendell, Wendell↗