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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Cobalt–niobium co-doping of indium oxide: structural and adsorption/catalytic properties for CO 2 valorization

The co-doping of the indium oxide structure with cobalt and niobium is attempted using a microemulsion method to produce high-surface-area, mesoporous, functional materials. The co-doping leads to a major nanometric bixbyite oxide phase, with both cations occupying cation positions and affecting the size and shape of the oxide entities. For specific cobalt to niobium atomic ratios, the presence of a second surface phase is encountered. Such a surface phase corresponds to an ill-defined indium hydroxide-type phase. The coexistence of the two phases is a unique phenomenon associated with the presence of both cations, which play a decisive role in promoting the CO 2 adsorption capability of the solids, as well as the valorization of the molecule under dual heat–light excitation. The co-doping of indium oxide thus appears to be a unique way to intensify the analogous thermal (classical) catalytic process for the elimination/valorization of carbon dioxide.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Direct numerical simulations of turbulent premixed cool flames: Global and local flame dynamics analysis

The cool flame dynamics, especially in turbulent flows, is of great interest for both practical application and fundamental research. Here, in this study, a series of direct numerical simulations of turbulent premixed n-C 7 H 16 /O 2 /O 3 /N 2 cool flames are performed, with the focus on the influence of turbulence intensity (u'/S L , where S L is the laminar flame speed) on the flame structure as well as the global and local cool flame dynamics. It is found that the cool flame front is considerably wrinkled by turbulence at high u'/S L , leading to significantly thickened turbulent cool flame brush and largely altered local reactivity compared with the reference laminar flame. However, the turbulent flame structure in the temperature space is found to be insensitive to u'/S L . Besides, with increasing u'/S L , the normalized turbulent cool flame speed (S L /S L ) is monotonically increased, attributed to substantial augmentation on the flame surface area (A T /A L ), while the stretching factor (I 0 ) remains almost constant and is smaller than 1. The underlying mechanisms for such variations are revealed through local flame dynamics analysis. Specifically, the local flame displacement speed S d is found to be strongly negatively correlated with flame curvature; meanwhile, such negative correlation and the probability distribution function (PDF) of flame curvature are barely influenced by u'/S L , leading to a weak dependence of I 0 on u'/S L . In contrast, the PDF of the tangential strain rate is found to span a much wider range and shift to the positive side as u'/S L increases, suggesting that the enhanced tangential strain rate is the main cause for the increase in surface area of the turbulent premixed cool flame. Finally, the influence of equivalence ratio on above findings is found to be insignificant, indicating that although the local reactivity of turbulent premixed cool flames is altered due to the differential diffusion, the resultant flame- stretch interaction is insensitive to the equivalence ratio. This study presents some unique cool flame dynamics that are distinct from hot flames, which can help improve the understanding and modeling of turbulent cool flames.

Cool flames↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dilute Regeneration-Driven Membrane Capacitive Deionization of Synthetic Seawater Using Nanopatterned Membranes and Prussian Blue Analog Electrodes

Membrane capacitive deionization (MCDI) offers energy-efficient seawater desalination but is limited at high salinity by membrane resistance and incomplete electrode regeneration. Nanopatterned ion-exchange membranes, dilute regeneration protocols, and Prussian blue analog (PBA)-functionalized electrodes are combined in a flow-by-MCDI cell. Nanopatterned ion-exchange membranes (hexagonal, octagonal, double-ring, rectangular) enhance interfacial ion transport, with hexagonal geometry delivering ≈12.5% greater surface area and the best performance. PBA-functionalized electrodes increase salt adsorption and charge-transfer kinetic rates. The integrated system lowers the area-specific resistance by 45 Ω cm2, resulting in a 500 mV reduction in the cell voltage for a current density of 2 mA cm−2 for a 35 000 ppm NaCl feed. This improves the energy-normalized salt adsorption six fold (64–382 mmol J−1). Low salinity (2000 ppm) and mixed-salt regeneration sustains a ≈39% water recovery and stable performance for at least seven cycles. Overall, combining nanopatterned membranes, which promote confinement-enhanced ion mobility, and PBA electrodes, which enhance salt adsorption, improved the energy efficiency of MCDI.

Hasan, Mahmudul↗
DOE OSTI2025

In Situ Studies of Copper-Zirconia-Zinc Oxide Model Catalysts for CO 2 Hydrogenation

A combination of in situ X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) and infrared reflection absorption spectroscopy (IRAS) was used to investigate the formation of surface intermediates from CO 2 hydrogenation on copper-zirconia-zinc oxide model catalysts under reaction conditions. Copper clusters with different numbers of atoms (n = 1, 4, 13) were deposited onto bare and ZrO 2 -modified ZnO powder supports to systematically examine the effects of Cu cluster size and the synergy between metal and metal-oxide components. Under low pressure CO 2 hydrogenation conditions (CO 2 :H 2 = 1:9, 0.4 mbar, 300–600 K), XPS and IRAS identify the most prominent intermediates as carbonate (CO 3 *), formate (HCOO*) and methoxy (CH 3 O*), which is the final surface-bound intermediate leading to methanol. The temperature profiles are consistent with a mechanism in which CO 2 is adsorbed as carbonate species (HCO 3 *, CO 3 *) followed by hydrogenation reactions to formate (HCOO*) and methoxy (CH 3 O*), but the relative yields strongly depend on surface composition. Specifically, the presence of ZrO 2 promotes CO 2 adsorption and activation and improves the thermal stability of the Cu clusters against loss of surface area. Moreover, the ternary Cu 4 /ZrO 2 /ZnO surface is significantly more active than Cu 4 /ZnO and ZrO 2 /ZnO surfaces for the formation of methoxy (CH 3 O*), indicating that Cu–ZrO 2 interfaces promote the formation of key intermediates leading to methanol. Finally, the yields of intermediates are similar for all Cu cluster sizes (Cu 1 , Cu 4 and Cu 13 ), indicating that the primary role of Cu is to provide H atoms via H 2 dissociation and spillover. In conclusion, these molecular-level insights provide a fundamental understanding of the enhanced efficiency of ternary Cu–ZrO 2 –ZnO catalysts and establish design principles for developing improved catalysts for CO 2 conversion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Riverine dissolved organic matter transformations increase with watershed area, water residence time, and Damköhler numbers in nested watersheds

Abstract Quantifying the relative influence of factors and processes controlling riverine ecosystem function is essential to predicting future conditions under global change. Dissolved organic matter (DOM) is a fundamental component of riverine ecosystems that fuels microbial food webs, influences nutrient and light availability, and represents a significant carbon flux globally. The heterogeneous nature of DOM molecular composition and its propensity for interaction (i.e., functional diversity) can characterize riverine ecosystem function across spatiotemporal scales. To investigate fundamental drivers of DOM diversity, we collected seasonal water samples from 42 nested locations within five watersheds spanning multiple watershed sizes (~ 5 to 30,000 km 2 ) across the United States. Patterns in DOM molecular richness, aromaticity, relative abundance of N-containing formulas, and putative biochemical transformations derived from high-resolution mass spectrometry were assessed across gradients of explanatory variables associated with watershed characteristics (e.g., watershed area, water residence time, land cover). We found that putative biochemical transformations were more strongly related to explanatory variables across watersheds than common bulk DOM parameters and that watershed area, surface water residence time and derived Damköhler numbers representing DOM reactivity timescales were strong predictors of DOM diversity. The data also indicate that catchment-specific land cover factors can significantly influence DOM diversity in diverging directions. Overall, the results highlight the importance of considering water residence time and land cover when interpreting longitudinal patterns in DOM chemistry and the continued challenge of identifying generalizable drivers that are transferable across watershed and regional scales for application in Earth system models. This work also introduces a Findable Accessible Interoperable Reusable (FAIR) dataset (> 300 samples) to the community for future syntheses.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Operando carbon corrosion measurements in fuel cells using boron-doped carbon supports

Carbonaceous materials are the most common catalyst supports in proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFCs), yet their corrosion is one of the limiting factors in achieving high durability. Herein, we doped carbon supports with boron (B) to increase the corrosion-resistance of the support. Two types of B-doped carbons were synthesized and studied as platinum support materials. Further, they varied in their morphologies, surface areas, and the types of boron species. The durability of Pt/B-doped carbon catalysts was investigated using the US-DOE catalysts’ supports accelerated stress test (AST) and a mass-spectrometer connected to the fuel cell effluent stream to quantify the mass of corroded carbon support in operando. The addition of boron to the carbon increased the stability of Pt catalysts in long-term usage of PEMFC. After 4000 AST cycles, more than 50% of initial current density was preserved for the boron-containing systems, while less than 30% of it remained with Vulcan carbon (Pt/V). Also, the Pt/B-doped carbon samples demonstrated better electrochemical active surface area (ECSA) stability when compared to Pt/V. Carbon loss measurements showed that B-doped carbons have higher resistance to electrochemical corrosion than unmodified carbon. Specifically, the substitutional boron-doped carbon demonstrated an extremely high stability and low corrosion rate.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Atomically Precise Nanoclusters as Co‐Catalysts for Light‐Activated Microswimmer Motility

Microswimmers are self-propelled particles that navigate fluid environments, offering significant potential for applications in environmental pollutant decomposition, biosensing, and targeted drug delivery. Their performance relies on engineered catalytic surfaces. Gold nanoclusters (AuNCs), with atomically precise structures, tunable optical properties, and high surface area-to-volume ratio, provide a new optimal catalyst for enhancing microswimmer propulsion. Unlike bulk gold or nanoparticles, AuNCs may deliver tunable photocatalytic activity and increased catalytic specificity, making them ideal co-catalysts for hybrid microswimmers. For the first time, this study combines AuNCs with TiO 2 /Cr 2 O 3 Janus microswimmers, combining the unique properties of both materials. This hybrid system capitalizes on the tuned optical properties of AuNCs and their role as co-catalysts with TiO 2 , driving enhanced photocatalytic performance under ultraviolet (UV) excitation. Using motion analysis, it is shown that the AuNC-microswimmers exhibit significantly greater propulsion and mean squared displacement (MSD) as compared to controls. These findings suggest that the integration of nanoclusters with semiconductor materials enables state of the art, light-switchable microswimmers. These AuNC-microswimmer systems may thus offer new opportunities for environmental catalysis and other applications, providing precise control over catalytic and motile behaviors at the microscale.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

In‐Scribe Silane Bonding for Mechanical Reinforcement of Perovskite Photovoltaic Modules

Despite the extraordinary rise in power conversion efficiency over the last decade, metal halide perovskite (MHP) photovoltaics remain more mechanically fragile than other PV technologies. In this work, the scribe area, created by the monolithic interconnection of thin-film solar cells, is used to extrinsically reinforce the mechanical robustness of packaged MHP solar modules. In contrast to the epoxy-based chemistries often leveraged in the MHP literature, silane-grafted polyolefin encapsulants are designed to form strong covalent bonds to oxide surfaces, specifically to glass and the transparent conductive oxide at the base of the scribe line. Pseudo-modules encapsulated with silane-grafted polyolefin are measured with more than an order-of-magnitude enhancement infracture energy from 0.27 ± 0.01 J·m −2 (no scribes) to 5.97 ± 0.42 J·m −2 (scribes perpendicular to delamination directioncovering ≈2.2% of the module area). The silane-grafted polyolefin retains strong adhesion even after undergoing an accelerated IEC 61215 thermal cycling test consisting of 250 cycles. We find that the in-scribe bonding allows perovskite modules to have adhesion strength comparable to commercial c-Si and CdTe technologies with only 5% reduction in the active module area. This manufacturing-compatible approach offers a practical solution to address the mechanical integrity challenges in MHP solar modules, regardless of cell architecture.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

VIC-Global Parameter Dataset Sensitivity with the Variable Infiltration Capacity Model: Evaluating the importance of dynamic land surface parameters when using the VIC-Global parameter dataset

Accurate prediction of runoff is essential to water resources management, flood risk assessment, and ecosystem protection. However, many hydrological models still have relatively substantial limitations when representing the influence of land use and land cover (LULC) on runoff generation and routing. Changes in LULC, such as deforestation, urban expansion, agricultural intensification, and wetland loss, have been shown to alter the water balance at the land surface through fundamental hydrologic processes (e.g., interception, infiltration, evapotranspiration, and soil storage). However, it remains an open question what the exact magnitude and timing of these impacts are for the spatial and temporal scales commonly used in engineering applications. In this analysis we focus on one aspect of recent LULC change for assessing human impacts, which is urbanization. Specifically we seek to determine the impacts of urbanization on the magnitude and timing of surface runoff and baseflow in HUC-12 basins in Clark County, Nevada which has experienced rapid urbanization. We use the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrology model with a widely used off-the-shelf dataset of land surface parameters, VIC-Global, both of which have been commonly used in the past for water and energy balance modeling for large scale hydrologic studies. We examine two scenarios where the first scenario removes all urbanized land cover and parameterizes those areas of the basins as barren or open shrubland. The second scenario tests the opposite case where all areas of the basins are classified as urban regardless of their present classification. The results from the VIC model show there is a low sensitivity for daily surface runoff between scenarios. The daily baseflow values indicate similar low sensitivity to the classification change during specific periods, but then have substantial differences during other period when large precipitation events are occurring. This is likely due to the assumed parameter values for the urban land cover classification made by the VIC-Global dataset. Using a static land cover parameterization is reasonable for large domain hydrology models that are being used for near-term planning horizons (<30 years). However, longer planning horizons where feedbacks between the atmosphere and land surface are important, especially in transient climate situations, considerations for how to update land surface parameters should be incorporated.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Metallurgical Analysis of the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) Carrier Lifting Bails (Rev.1)

The dissolution rates of the aluminum alloys in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) element carriers and the Material Test Reactor (MTR) L-bundles in the H-Canyon facility have been identified as the possible cause of extended dissolutions that result in significant time and financial expenditures. A study, carried out by Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) to determine relationships between the dissolution rates and the metallurgical properties of the aluminum alloy materials of construction of the HFIR carriers and the L-bundles, considered the dissolution rates of aluminum alloy (AA) series 1100, 6061, and 6063. The study determined that the aluminum alloy compositions played a principal role in the dissolution rate of the carrier/bundle components. Higher dissolution rates were correlated with lower concentrations of the minor element additions in the alloys and with specific element concentrations. Aluminum alloys 1100 and 6063 were found to have similar dissolution rates that were approximately two orders of magnitude (100X) greater than those of AA6061. Based on the results of the dissolution behavior study, a Technical Assistance Request (TAR) was first issued to determine if the replacement of AA6061-T6 with AA6063-T6 is feasible for the HFIR carrier lifting bails. A Technical Task Request was then issued to consider AA6063-T5 as well as other alloys to improve possible supply chain issues. The metallurgical properties of the L-bundle (specifically the end caps) were not evaluated in this report because L-Bundle drawings already allow for the use of AA6063-T6 in all structural components. The HFIR carriers are composed of thin-walled components with significant surface areas that allow for relatively quick overall dissolution times. Conversely, the carrier lifting bails and the supporting constituents are composed of solid bars and thick plate regions with relatively small surface areas that experience longer overall dissolution times. While the MTR L-bundle design includes allowances for the materials of construction to be either AA6061-T6 or AA6063-T6, the HFIR carriers are specified to be constructed fully with AA6061-T6 alloy. This report analyzes the recommendations of the dissolution behavior study to replace the materials of construction of the HFIR carrier lifting bails. The analysis considers the operational requirements of the lifting bail and its supporting structures. To decrease dissolution times, the analysis considers direct replacement of the material as well as reductions in the thicknesses of the components to decrease the mass of the elements. Material reductions are considered on options for using either AA6061 and/or AA6063. The calculations are based on specifications from the American Society of Mechanical Engineer (ASME) and The Aluminum Association, Inc. design codes. The analysis finds that direct replacement of the lifting bail material of construction with AA6063-T6, and AA6063-T5 as well as reductions in the dimensions of the lifting bail components are acceptable. Note that this study considers the structural suitability of the alloys. It does not consider their dissolution rates in the dissolvers.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mechanically graded granular scaffolds for osteochondral tissue engineering

Engineered scaffolds designed to approximate the mechanical microenvironment of the osteochondral unit often address this complexity using discrete, two-phase architectures that introduce mechanical discontinuities and interfacial stress concentrations rather than a contiguous stiffness transition. To address this challenge, we created a photoannealed polyethylene glycol (PEG) granular scaffold with a spatially controlled stiffness gradient within a cell-permissive, macroporous architecture. Stiffness was dictated by photoannealing microgels using a photomask. We tuned void volume and available surface area by varying microgel diameter and tested how mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs) interpret local mechanical environments. MSCs exhibited position-dependent differences in morphology, cytoskeletal structure, matrix deposition, and lineage-specific gene expression within the gradient scaffolds. Softer regions supported rounded cell morphology and deposition of a glycosaminoglycan-rich matrix, whereas stiffer regions promoted cell elongation, increased cytoskeletal tension, and expression of mineral-associated markers. Gradients formed from smaller microgels magnified these spatial responses by increasing cellular confinement and adhesion site availability. Disruption of actomyosin contractility eliminated these regional differences, demonstrating that MSCs rely on tension-dependent mechanotransduction to interpret the gradient. These findings reveal that coupling microgel architecture with continuous stiffness transitions provides a tractable platform to study multiscale mechanobiologic regulation and spatially guide osteochondral tissue formation.

Biological and medical sciences↗
DOE OSTI2025

Corrective Action Decision Document/Corrective Action Plan for Corrective Action Units 101 and 102: Central and Western Pahute Mesa Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, Revision 2

This revision was prepared to document changes to the data-collection activities. Specifically, the drilling and completion of the wells have been revised, and enhancements to the surface geophysics measurements have been included. Corrective action is needed because underground radioactive contamination exists in these areas resulting from historic underground nuclear testing. The PM CAUs are located in the northwestern portion of the Nevada National Security Site and comprise 82 corrective action sites. A total of 85 underground nuclear detonations took place within the area covered by the PM CAUs between 1965 and 1992 and resulted in the release of radionuclides in the subsurface in the vicinity of the test cavities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Center for Tokamak Transient Simulations (RPI Unstructured Mesh Developments for FES SciDAC4 Partnerships) (Final Report)

The goal of this project was the development of unstructured mesh technologies for fusion simulation codes” for FES SciDAC partnerships and to integrate those technologies into the simulation workflows of those partnerships. Specific developments were executed in support of the following FES SciDAC4 partnerships: Partnership Center for High‐fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (HBPS), Center for Integrated Simulation of Fusion Relevant RF (RF‐SciDAC), Center for Plasma Surface Interactions: Predicting the Performance and Impact of Dynamic PFC Surfaces (PSI2), and Center for Tokamak Transient Simulations (CTTS). The key unstructured mesh development areas addressed in this project include (i) methods to most effectively perform PIC calculations on unstructured meshes; (ii) creating meshes for fusion systems accounting for any desired level of geometric complexity and providing physics aware mesh configurations, (iii) adapting unstructured meshes to control the discretization errors, (iv) executing unstructured mesh calculations on GPU accelerated systems, (v) supporting physics/application‐specific PIC operations including surface/wall interactions of particles, (vi) providing infrastructure tools to support the interactions of solvers with unstructured meshes, and (vii) providing advanced methods for coupling plasma physics codes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Facet‐dependent Heterogeneous Fenton Reaction Mechanisms on Hematite Nanoparticles for (Photo)catalytic Degradation of Organic Dyes

Although heterogeneous photo‐Fenton reactions on nanoparticulate iron oxides effectively degrade organic pollutants, the underlying surface mechanisms remain debated. Here, we demonstrate how these pathways are modulated by specific hematite crystal facets. To investigate the influence of particle surface structure, methylene blue (MB) adsorption and photodegradation kinetics are examined using facet‐engineered hematite nanoparticles with distinct exposed facets. The results reveal that MB photodegradation strongly depends on both pH and facet orientation. When normalized by surface area, (116) facet shows higher photodegradation activity than those with (104) or (001) facets. This enhanced activity is attributed to favorable electronic structure and surface characteristics, including a smaller optical bandgap, faster charge transfer, and superior H 2 O 2 decomposition. In contrast, the photodegradation capacity follows (104) 〉 (116) 〉 (001), primarily due to the higher density of surface‐active sites on the (104) facet. These sites promote coupled MB adsorption and degradation, enabling removal of a greater overall quantity of MB. Additionally, under high pH conditions, hematite can degrade MB in the dark, with capacities following (001) ≫ (116) 〉 (104). These findings underscore the critical catalytic role of specific hematite surfaces and advance the understanding of facet‐dependent photoinduced redox chemistry at mineral–water interfaces.

(photo)catalytic degradation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Probing the Effects of Dimethyl Aluminum Isopropoxide Surface Reaction Byproducts on Atomic Layer Deposition Nucleation

Atomic layer deposition (ALD) processes that leverage a myriad of metal–organic and complementary reactant combinations have been identified to realize precise and conformal thin film growth. However, the effects of the ALD reaction byproducts on nucleation and growth mechanisms are rarely considered. Site-selective ALD processes provide an opportunity for the detailed investigation of uniform surface sites with atomistic accuracy. Intentional pretreatment with a known ALD reaction byproduct – isopropanol – enables a significant improvement in the nucleation rate reproducibility of dimethylaluminum isopropoxide and water ALD on rutile TiO 2 (110). In situ spectroscopic ellipsometry reveals a partially reversible byproduct binding that is site-selective for TiO 2 (110) surface oxygen vacancies. First-principles calculations reveal surface site-specific thermodynamics for adsorption of isopropanol and water that may influence ALD nucleation. In conclusion, the sensitivity of site-selective ALD motivates consideration of secondary surface reactions when designing precision deposition processes, including area- or site-selective ALD reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Methods to Observe Tribological Failures in Self-Mated Steel Contacts

Scuffing, a type of wear found in highly stressed or poorly lubricated contacts, is characterized by a rapid increase in friction and severe plastic deformation of the near-surface material. Scuffing has proven difficult to study because it initiates unpredictably, progresses rapidly, and typically develops within an inaccessible contact interface. Although there have been successful in-situ studies of scuffing in real-time, the transparent counter body needed for these studies changes the interactions between the surfaces and the lubricant, which affects the scuffing process in unknown ways. This paper describes the development of X-ray-compatible tribometry to study the scuffing of self-mated steels in-situ and in real-time. The method uses a crossed cylinders configuration with a thin (500 μm thick) stationary component and a small (≈200 μm) contact width to maximize X-ray interactions with atoms within the stress field generated by the contact. The resulting instrument and method are used to benchmark the scuffing response of self-mated 52,100 steel under tribologically challenging ‘oil-off’ lubrication conditions. The results demonstrate reliable scuffing in this configuration despite the relatively small contact areas and loads used. Following scuffing, gross plastic deformation was observed on both surfaces along with significant subsurface grain refinement and flow only on the stationary surface, which experienced constant contact. Interestingly, high friction initiated at specific locations of the migratory surface, which experienced intermittent contact, and then propagated across the track over time, suggesting that local conditions of the migratory surface dominated friction leading into the failure event.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Convective potential and fuel availability complement near-surface weather in regulating global wildfire activity

Wildfires are favored by hot, dry, windy, rainless conditions—this knowledge about fire weather informs both short-term forecast and long-term prediction of wildfire activity. Yet, wildfires rely on the availability of ignition and fuel, which are underrepresented in fire forecast and prediction practices. By analyzing satellite measurements and atmospheric reanalysis, here we show that near-surface weather only partially captures wildfire occurrence and intensity across the daily to seasonal timescales. Beyond near-surface weather, convection and fuel abundance play a complementary role in regulating burning processes. Specifically, enhanced atmospheric convection is identified for over 40% of the low-human-impact regions and 61% of global burnable areas during wildfire ignition and spreading periods. Meanwhile, 56% of shrublands and 54% of grasslands see higher fuel load with actual occurrence of fire. Our results highlight the role of convection and fuel in wildfire forecast, prompting a revisit of wildfire prediction under intertwined atmospheric and terrestrial changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Estimating and Evaluating Roughness Length and Displacement Height in Heterogeneous Urban Environments

The roughness length (z 0 ) and displacement height (z d ) are essential surface-layer parameters in numerical models (e.g., weather, climate, wall-modeled LES, etc.). This work evaluates the consistency of z 0 and z d estimates from morphometric and anemometric methods using data from two eddy-covariance flux towers (AmeriFlux US-INg and US-INc) in Indianapolis, IN. Results show inconsistencies in estimated z 0 and z d values depending on the chosen method. The two evaluated anemometric methods estimate non-physical values of z d when compared to roughness elements surrounding both towers. Additionally, predictions of mean wind speed using surface-layer similarity theory with morphometric estimates exhibit a bias during near-neutral and stable conditions relative to observations. The overestimation of mean wind speed by surface layer similarity theory is consistent with previous observational and modeling studies in urban areas, suggesting that the application of similarity theories to urban environments may have limitations. Differentiation of vegetation from built structures appears to impact morphometric z 0 and z d estimates, particularly where vegetation is abundant; however, it has little impact on correcting biases in the similarity theory. Specifically, we find that existing similarity theories using morphometric estimates underestimate integral velocity and length scales, and the degree of underestimation depends on the stability conditions. Accounting for the degree of anisotropy in surface-layer turbulence helps reduce the biases between similarity theories and observations during unstable conditions, but not in near-neutral cases. Future work is needed to identify the cause of such biases for near-neutral conditions.

Aerodynamic roughness length↗