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Magnetic ordering in Eu 2 In and Eu 2 Sn
Eu 2 In and Eu 2 Sn crystallize in the orthorhombic Co 2 Si-type structure (oP12, Pnma, No. 62) with In and Sn atoms occupying one 4c site and the Eu atoms filling two other 4c sites. Eu 2 In has a nearly ideal first-order magnetostructural transition (FOMT) at 55 K with a hysteresis of less than 0.1 K, a large entropy change and an adiabatic temperature change of 5.0 K in a field of 2 T. The anhysteretic nature of the FOMT is likely due to there being no change in cell symmetry and relatively small changes in the lattice parameters. There is no magnetostructural transition in Eu2Sn. In this work we present the results of powder neutron diffraction, magnetization, and Eu Mössbauer spectroscopy aimed to investigate the nature of magnetic order for both Eu 2 In and Eu 2 Sn. The Eu Mössbauer spectrum of Eu 2 In at 5 K shows two equal area components, consistent with Eu occupying two equal multiplicity crystallographic sites. However, the different hyperfine fields (B) of 27 T and 17 T suggest that the magnetic environments of the Eu moments on the two 4c sites are different. Neutron diffraction data at 2.5 K show that in Eu 2 In the order is ferromagnetic, with Eu moments on both Eu sites oriented parallel to the a-axis; moment values of 6.8 μB and 6.5 μB were found. For Eu 2 Sn measurements find two antiferromagnetic transitions, which are corroborated by neutron diffraction. Analysis of density-functional theory calculations shows negligible energy difference between differing magnetic configurations, indirectly supporting stability of multiple magnetic structures observed experimentally. While the transition at T N1 = 30 K corresponds to the formation of a simple k 1 = 0 antiferromagnetic structure with Eu-moments pointing along the b-axis, at T N2 = 13 K a coexisting second magnetic order with k 2 = [0, ½, ½] appears.
Medium-temperature phase change material integration in domestic heat pump water heaters for improved thermal energy storage
In this review, we examine state-of-the-art developments in integrating phase change materials (PCMs) for thermal energy storage (TES) in domestic heat pump water heaters (HPWHs). The component design optimization and control optimization of HPWHs and TES are reviewed for insight into improving the thermal capacity and efficiency of a PCM-integrated HPWH. The state-of-the-art review is categorized by the stage of development of the PCM for deployment in HPWHs. To select appropriate PCMs for HPWHs, a six-factor down-selection process is used to determine the best material(s) for integration in HPWHs with appropriate heat exchanger design. Ultimately, food-grade PCMs appear to be the best candidate for integration of TES in domestic HPWHs because they are nontoxic, highly cyclable, and have heat transfer properties accommodable to water heating when integrated in a manner to overcome the thermal conductivity limitations of the material. A key parameter of water heating performance is thermal heating power of the PCM component, which is not often reported. Many studies report significant improvement in capacity and efficiency. Furthermore, many performance metrics are identified from the literature to quantify the system performance, but agreement across studies is not found. Unified energy factor and first hour rating performance tests are required for commercially available HPWHs, and these performance metrics could homogenize the literature. Ultimately, we find that select PCMs are ready for deployment with HPWHs for performance improvement, and component design and control optimizations are new avenues of research and development required for a commercially viable PCM-integrated HPWH system.
Using onset times from frequent seismic surveys to understand fluid flow at the Peace River Field, Canada
With our limited knowledge of the relationship between changes in the state of an aquifer or reservoir and the corresponding changes in the elastic moduli, that is the rock physics model, hampers the effective use of time-lapse seismic observations for estimating flow properties within the Earth. A central problem is the complicated dependence of the magnitude of time-lapse changes on the saturation, pressure, and temperature changes within an aquifer or reservoir. We describe an inversion methodology for reservoir characterization that uses onset times, the calendar time of the change in seismic attributes, rather than the magnitude of the changes. We find that onset times are much less sensitive than magnitudes to the rock physics model used to relate time-lapse observations to changes in saturation, temperature and fluid pressure. We apply the inversion scheme to observations from daily monitoring of enhanced oil recovery at the Peace River field in Canada. An array of 1492 buried hydrophones record seismic signals from 49 buried sources. Time-shifts for elastic waves traversing the reservoir are extracted from the daily time-lapse cubes. In our analysis 175 images of time-shifts are transformed into a single map of onset times, leading to a substantial reduction in the volume of data. These observations are used in conjunction with bottom hole pressure data to infer the initial conditions prior to the injection, and to update the reservoir permeability model. The combination of a global and local inversion scheme produces a collection of reservoir models that are best described by three clusters. The updated model leads to a nearly 70 percent reduction in seismic data misfit. The final set of solutions successfully predict the observed normalized pressure history during the soak and flow-back into the wells between 82 and 175 days into the cyclic steaming operation.
Heat-induced drift reduction of time of flight in fused quartz acoustic waveguides via annealing process
High temperature structural acoustic sensors play an important role in many applications. Fused quartz waveguide is a popular choice due to its resistance to harsh environments and its convenience of modification. However, time of flight between pulse and echo, which is widely used in these sensors, tends to encounter drifts in fast temperature changing process even after temperature returns to initial value. In this article, different annealing process are performed for a special modified fused quartz waveguide with a sensor node. Annealing treatment is found able to reduce the drift when the waveguide undergoes a sudden temperature spike to 1000 °C at 500 kHz operating acoustic frequency, and the best annealing condition could make the drift one magnitude smaller. A following temperature test up to 1000 °C shows consistent measurement readings.
Fabrication and Testing of Two Passively Actuated Creep-Fatigue Surveillance Test Articles
This report describes the fabrication, testing, and analysis of two families of passively-actuated creep-fatigue test articles. These test articles induce cyclic mechanical load in a test section actuated solely through a mismatch in the thermal expansion coefficient of two materials and driven by a change in the specimen temperature. Test articles of this type could provide material degradation data for a materials surveillance program in future operating molten salt reactors, where variations in the reactor temperature caused by normal or upset cycles would provide the temperature change in the sample. The purpose of the current experimental campaign is to demonstrate the feasibility of fabricating realistically-sized test articles, test the articles under repeated thermal cycling to assess their robustness, particularly the reliability of the bimetallic welds, and collect strain data from instrumented samples to validate the methods used to size the test articles to match key features of the mechanical response of operating reactor components. The thermal cycling tests are ongoing but the test data to date suggests the current test article design is viable, robust, and can be successfully designed to match a target mechanical response. Finally, the report describes preliminary work on welding refractory alloys to 316H stainless steel. Replacing the test article driver material, currently Alloy 617, with a refractory would increase the coefficient of thermal expansion mismatch and support further miniaturization of the test articles.
Experimental measurements of isothermal reactivity coefficient and temperature-dependent reactivity changes with associated uncertainty evaluations
Not provided.
Upper ocean mixing, surface heat fluxes, and heat content variability in the upper 150 m during Hurricane Laura (2020)
Observations (from thermistor sensors and a hurricane glider) and model-based temperature were used to answer questions including the following: 1) What physical and environmental conditions explain the rapid intensification of Hurricane Laura? 2) How did the pre-existing warm mixed layer at Stone mooring (StM) influence the degree of cooling in the mixed layer? 3) How did vertical mixing, surface heat fluxes, and advective processes collectively shape the mixed layer heat evolution at StM? Observations measured by thermistor sensors showed that Hurricane Laura induced a cooling of -1.2oC in the mixed layer when Hurricane Laura’s wind speed increased to 47 m/s on 26 August. This contrasts with the -1.04oC mixed layer temperature change estimated from model-based temperature. At StM, the presence of a 31oC warm mixed layer and elevated heat content (60-80kJ/cm2) effectively preconditioned the upper ocean ahead of Hurricane Laura’s passage. After Hurricane Laura passed, turbulent mixing associated with the storm transported the heat anomalies downward into subsurface layers. In addition, this study shows that a surface heat flux of 5.04 kJ/cm2 supported the intensity of Hurricane Laura as it traversed over the StM. Using a mixed layer heat balance model, this study shows that entrainment flux and surface flux mostly contributed to the observed change in the mixed layer temperature.
Internal variability and forcing influence model–satellite differences in the rate of tropical tropospheric warming
Climate-model simulations exhibit approximately two times more tropical tropospheric warming than satellite observations since 1979. The causes of this difference are not fully understood and are poorly quantified. Here, we apply machine learning to relate the patterns of surface-temperature change to the forced and unforced components of tropical tropospheric warming. This approach allows us to disentangle the forced and unforced change in the model-simulated temperature of the midtroposphere (TMT). In applying the climate-model-trained machine-learning framework to observations, we estimate that external forcing has produced a tropical TMT trend of 0.25 ± 0.08 K⋅decade −1 between 1979 and 2014, but internal variability has offset this warming by 0.07 ± 0.07 K⋅decade −1 . Using the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) large ensemble, we also find that a discontinuity in the variability of prescribed biomass-burning aerosol emissions artificially enhances simulated tropical TMT change by 0.04 K⋅decade −1 . The magnitude of this aerosol-forcing bias will vary across climate models, but since the latest generation of climate models all use the same emissions dataset, the bias may systematically enhance climate-model trends over the satellite era. Our results indicate that internal variability and forcing uncertainties largely explain differences in satellite-versus-model warming and are important considerations when evaluating climate models.
A novel shallow bore ground heat exchanger for ground source heat pump applications—Model development and validation
A novel ground heat exchanger design, the Underground Thermal Battery (UTB), was proposed as a low-cost alternative to the conventional vertical bore ground heat exchanger (VBGHE) for the application of ground source heat pumps (GSHPs). The UTB is designed to be installed in a shallow borehole (less than 6 m deep) and thus could cost much less than the conventional VBGHE, which usually is installed in vertical bores 60 m deep. By utilizing natural convection of water and phase change materials, the UTB tempers its temperature change in response to thermal loads, which helps improve the efficiency of GSHPs. A one-dimensional (1D) model of the UTB has been developed and validated with the measured performance data of a small-scale UTB, as well as the simulation results of a more detailed three dimensional (3D) numerical model, which accounts for both heat transfer and fluid dynamics in the UTB. Further, this 1D model is computationally much more efficient than the 3D model and thus can simulate the annual performance of the UTB with acceptable computation time. The 1D model has been used to evaluate the performance of the UTB so that it can be compared with the conventional VBGHE.
Fast and Non-Destructive Determination of Water Content in Ionic Liquids at Varying Temperatures by Raman Spectroscopy and Multivariate Regression Analysis
Imidazolium acetate ionic liquids (ILs) have been utilized as promising solvents in many applications that involve varying water content and temperature. These experimental variables affect the anion-cation intermolecular interactions, which in turn influence the performance of the ILs in these applications. Here, this paper shows Raman spectroscopy can be used as an operando method to measure water content in IL solvents when simultaneous temperature changes may occur. The Raman spectra of 1-alkyl-3-methylimidazolium acetate ILs (alkyl chain length n = 2, 4, 6, 8) with varying water content (from 0.028 to 0.899 water mole fraction) and temperature (from 78.1 K to 423.1 K) were measured. Increasing the water content or decreasing the temperature of the tested ILs weakens the anion-cation intermolecular interactions. The water content of these ILs can be quantified even in conditions when the temperature is changing using Raman spectroscopy combined with multivariate regression analysis, including principal component regression (PCR), partial-least-squares regression (PLSR), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The ANN model combined with partial-least-squares (PLS) achieves the highest prediction accuracy of water content in ILs at varying temperatures (RMSECV = 0.017, R 2 CV = 99.1%, RMSEP = 0.019, R 2 P = 98.8%, RPD = 8.93). Raman spectroscopy provides a potential fast non-destructive operando method to monitor the water content of ILs even in applications when the temperature may be simultaneously altered; this information can lead to the optimized use of these ILs in many applications.
Advancing Measurements and Understanding of the Rate and Structure of Atmospheric Warming
The rate and geographic pattern of atmospheric warming are key indicators of historical climate change and play a role in modulating future changes in Earth’s climate. The past and future evolution of atmospheric temperature is simulated using global climate models while observational estimates of past warming are derived from satellite microwave measurements. Individual climate models simulate widely varying rates of past and future atmospheric warming and most model simulations exhibit greater tropospheric (lowest ~10 km of atmosphere) temperature change than satellite observations between 1979 and 2020. This project examined intermodel differences in the pattern of atmospheric warming and how these differences influence climate feedbacks that can amplify or damp the rate of global surface warming. A key result is that climate model representation of the current climate can influence climate feedbacks and the simulation of future changes in climate. Another focus of this project was to analyze how models respond to different input datasets, such as volcanic aerosols or sea surface temperature (in atmosphere-only simulations). We find that different prescribed inputs can affect simulated changes in atmospheric temperature, even though “input uncertainty” is often unconsidered in model-observational comparisons. A final focus of this research project was to consider the influence of natural internal climate variability on satellite era changes in climate. Although the Earth is warming substantially due to anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases, the observed warming rate can be modulated by natural variations in the Earth’s climate. We find that natural climate variability has slowed the rate of tropical tropospheric warming, which explains model-satellite differences in the rate of tropospheric warming.
The Evolving Distribution of Relative Humidity Conditional Upon Daily Maximum Temperature in a Warming Climate
Abstract The impacts of heat waves in a warming climate depend not only on changing temperatures but also on changing humidity. Using 35 simulations from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM LENS), we investigate the long‐term evolution of the joint distribution of summer relative humidity (RH) and daily maximum temperature ( Tmax ) near four U.S. cities (New York City, Chicago, Phoenix, and New Orleans) under the high‐emissions Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5. We estimate the conditional quantiles of RH given Tmax with quantile regression models, using functions of temperature for each city in July for three time periods (1990–2005, 2026–2035, and 2071–2080). Quality‐of‐fit diagnostics indicate that these models accurately estimate conditional quantiles for each city. As expected, each quantile of Tmax increases from 1990–2005 to 2071–2080, while mean RH decreases modestly. Conditional upon a fixed quantile of Tmax , the median and high quantiles of RH decrease, while those of the Heat Index (HI) and dew point both increase. This result suggests that, despite a modest decrease in median relative humidity, heat stress measured by metrics considering both humidity and temperature in a warming climate will increase faster than that measured by temperatures alone would indicate. For a fixed Tmax , the high quantiles of RH (and thus of HI and dew point) increase from 1990–2005 to 2071–2080 in all four cities. This result suggests that the heat stress of a day at a given Tmax will increase in a warming climate due to the increase of RH.
The influence of variability in meridional over turning on global ocean circulation
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning circulation (AMOC) is an important global scale circulation and changes in AMOC can induce significant regional and global climate impacts. In this work, we study the stability of AMOC and its influence on global ocean circulation and the surface climate though analyzing a set of sensitivity experiments using the Community Climate System Model version 1 (CESM1). Results show that a collapsed AMOC can induce changes in global ocean circulation, such as reduced (or reversed) Bering Strait transport, weakened Indonesia throughflow and Agulhas current, but strengthened Drake Passage transport. It also changes the global wind pattern and surface temperature, such as a seesaw-like surface temperature change between Northern and Southern Hemispheres, a weakening of Indian-Australia summer monsoon, a southward shift of the Southern ocean westerlies, etc. We also found that AMOC and the Pacific deep meridional overturning circulation (or PMOC) do not form a natural seesaw under modern day climate and geography. A collapsed AMOC (active PMOC) is not stable under modern conditions if there is no additional freshwater (salt) input in the subpolar North Atlantic (Pacific), suggesting that the modern mean state of AMOC (PMOC) does not depend on local haline forcing although its variability and changes do.
X-Ray Scattering Data Processing and Analysis
Semicrystalline polymers have a degree of crystallinity that depends on chain structure and crystallization conditions. Thermomechanical properties are influenced by the degree of crystallinity and crystalline morphology. A common method used to understand crystalline content, crystal and amorphous layer thickness, and layer thickness distributions, is X-ray scattering (XS). This report uses XS to first investigate crystalline orientation in high density polyethylene (HDPE) samples. Then, a single orientation is analyzed via XS in a temperature study to investigate crystalline behavior under changing temperatures. Lastly, block copolymer filaments extruded at varying speeds are analyzed. The X-ray data are used to gain a baseline understanding of crystalline behavior in these unique filaments.
Description of historical and future projection simulations by the global coupled E3SMv1.0 model as used in CMIP6
Abstract. This paper documents the experimental setup and general features of the coupled historical and future climate simulations with the first version of the US Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1.0). The future projected climate characteristics of E3SMv1.0 at the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5) designed in the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) and the SSP5-8.5 greenhouse gas (GHG) only forcing experiment are analyzed with a focus on regional responses of atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land. Due to its high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS of 5.3 K), E3SMv1.0 is one of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models with the largest surface warming by the end of the 21st century under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario. The global mean precipitation change is highly correlated with the global temperature change, while the spatial pattern of the change in runoff is consistent with the precipitation changes. The oceanic mixed layer generally shoals throughout the global ocean. The annual mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is overly weak with a slower change from ∼ 11 to ∼ 6 Sv (Sverdrup) relative to other CMIP6 models. The sea ice, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, decreases rapidly with large seasonal variability. We detect a significant polar amplification in E3SMv1.0 from the atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice. Comparing the SSP5-8.5 all-forcing experiment with the GHG-only experiment, we find that the unmasking of the aerosol effects due to the decline of the aerosol loading in the future projection period causes transient accelerated warming in the all-forcing experiment in the first half of the 21st century. While the oceanic climate response is mainly controlled by the GHG forcing, the land runoff response is impacted primarily by forcings other than GHG over certain regions, e.g., southern North America, southern Africa, central Africa, and eastern Asia. However, the importance of the GHG forcing on the land runoff changes grows in the future climate projection period compared to the historical period.
Increased drought and extreme events over continental United States under high emissions scenario
The frequency, severity, and extent of climate extremes in future will have an impact on human well-being, ecosystems, and the effectiveness of emissions mitigation and carbon sequestration strategies. The specific objectives of this study were to downscale climate data for US weather stations and analyze future trends in meteorological drought and temperature extremes over continental United States (CONUS). We used data from 4161 weather stations across the CONUS to downscale future precipitation projections from three Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Six (CMIP6), specifically for the high emission scenario SSP5 8.5. Comparing historic observations with climate model projections revealed a significant bias in total annual precipitation days and total precipitation amounts. The average number of annual precipitation days across CONUS was projected to be 205 ± 26, 184 ± 33, and 181 ± 25 days in the BCC, CanESM, and UKESM models, respectively, compared to 91 ± 24 days in the observed data. Analyzing the duration of drought periods in different ecoregions of CONUS showed an increase in the number of drought months in the future (2023–2052) compared to the historical period (1989–2018). The analysis of precipitation and temperature changes in various ecoregions of CONUS revealed an increased frequency of droughts in the future, along with longer durations of warm spells. Eastern temperate forests and the Great Plains, which encompass the majority of CONUS agricultural lands, are projected to experience higher drought counts in the future. Drought projections show an increasing trend in future drought occurrences due to rising temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns. Our high-resolution climate projections can inform policy makers about the hotspots and their anticipated future trajectories.