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Results for “underperformances”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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80 records · Page 5

The effect of wind direction shear on turbine performance in a wind farm in central Iowa

Abstract. Numerous studies have shown that atmospheric conditions affect wind turbine performance; however, some findings have exposed conflicting results for different locations and diverse analysis methodologies. In this study, we explore how the change in wind direction with height (direction wind shear), a site-differing factor between conflicting studies, and speed shear affect wind turbine performance. We utilized lidar and turbine data collected from the 2013 Crop Wind Energy eXperiment (CWEX) project between June and September in a wind farm in north-central Iowa. Wind direction and speed shear were found to follow a diurnal cycle; however, they evolved differently with increasing wind speeds. Using a combination of speed and direction shear values, we found large direction and small speed shear to result in underperformance. We further analyzed the effects of wind veering on turbine performance for specific values of speed shear and found detrimental conditions on the order of 10 % for wind speed regimes predominantly located in the middle of the power curve. Focusing on a time period of ramping electricity demand (06:00–09:00 LT – local time) exposed the fact that large direction shear occurred during this time and undermined turbine performance by more than 10 %. A predominance of clockwise direction shear (wind veering) cases compared to counterclockwise (wind backing) was also observed throughout the campaign. Moreover, large veering was found to have greater detrimental effects on turbine performance compared to small backing values. This study shows that changes in wind direction with height should be considered when analyzing turbine performance.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Using Low-Field Nuclear Magnetic Resonance and X-Ray Computed Microtomography Imaging to Explore Potential of Microbially-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation Treatment to Seal Shale Fractures

Microbially-induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is a biological process in which microbially produced urease enzymes convert urea and calcium into solid calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) deposits. Studies have shown that MICP can be used to seal fractures in shale, raising the possibility of applying this technology to restimulate fracking wells by plugging underperforming fractures. For this and other applications to become a reality, non-invasive tools are needed to determine how effectively MICP seals shale fractures under subsurface conditions. In this study, a 2.54 cm wide and 5.08 cm long Marcellus shale core with a single, ~1 mm wide fracture held open by sand "proppant" underwent MICP-treatment at 60°C until reaching three orders of magnitude permeability reduction. Low-field nuclear magnetic resonance (LF-NMR) and X-Ray computed microtomography (μ-CT) techniques were used to assess the extent of biomineralization within the fracture. These tools revealed that while CaCO 3 precipitation occurred throughout the fracture, there was preferential precipitation around proppant, and the core sealed at the effluent end before filling most of the fracture. Both tools were able to independently calculate of the amount of solid biomineral formed inside the fracture. Furthermore, this study found that the distribution of proppant within the shale fracture was an important parameter controlling the degree of biomineralization.

clastic rock↗

Analysis of PV Fleet Performance in Western United States During August 2020 Extreme Heat Wave

Starting in June 2020 through the end of that year, the western and central United States experienced a widespread heat wave and drought, which resulted in US$5.44 billion (CPI-adjusted) worth of damages. The ongoing heat and drought produced record large wildfires across the region, responsible for an additional US$19.9 billion in damage. These natural disasters directly impacted the energy system in the western US, leading to power blackouts in August 2020. In this work, we analyze the NLR PV Fleets data set, focusing on the geographic area covered by the Western Coordinating Council (WECC). We find that over the 10-day period from August 14 through 24, the median PV system produced 12% lower energy than expected, with some locations experiencing total losses of around 30%. Analyzing the spatial-temporal structure of the data and supplementing with limited operational current and voltage data where available, we find that system underperformance was more strongly impacted by irradiance reduction from wildfire smoke rather than by the high heat itself.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Comparison of Optimal Energy Management Strategies Using Dynamic Programming, Model Predictive Control, and Constant Velocity Prediction

Due to the recent advancements in autonomous vehicle technology, future vehicle velocity predictions are becoming more robust which allows fuel economy (FE) improvements in hybrid electric vehicles through optimal energy management strategies (EMS). A real- world highway drive cycle (DC) and a controls-oriented 2017 Toyota Prius Prime model are used to study potential FE improvements. We proposed three important metrics for comparison: (1) perfect full drive cycle prediction using dynamic programming, (2) 10-second prediction horizon model predictive control (MPC), and (3) 10-second constant velocity prediction. These different velocity predictions are put into an optimal EMS derivation algorithm to derive optimal engine torque and engine speed. The results show that the constant velocity prediction algorithm outperformed the baseline control strategy but underperformed the MPC strategy with an average 1.58% and 2.45% of FE improvement with highway and city-highway DC. Also, using a 10-second prediction window MPC strategy provided FE improvement results close to the full drive cycle prediction case. MPC has the potential to achieve 60%-65% and 70% - 80% of global FE improvement over highway and city-highway DC respectively.

Patel, Amol Arvind↗

Comparison of Optimal Energy Management Strategies Using Dynamic Programming, Model Predictive Control, and Constant Velocity Prediction

Due to the recent advancements in autonomous vehicle technology, future vehicle velocity predictions are becoming more robust which allows fuel economy (FE) improvements in hybrid electric vehicles through optimal energy management strategies (EMS). A realworld highway drive cycle (DC) and a controls-oriented 2017 Toyota Prius Prime model are used to study potential FE improvements. We proposed three important metrics for comparison: (1) perfect full drive cycle prediction using dynamic programming, (2) 10-second prediction horizon model predictive control (MPC), and (3) 10-second constant velocity prediction. These different velocity predictions are put into an optimal EMS derivation algorithm to derive optimal engine torque and engine speed. The results show that the constant velocity prediction algorithm outperformed the baseline control strategy but underperformed the MPC strategy with an average 1.58% and 2.45% of FE improvement with highway and city-highway DC. Also, using a 10-second prediction window MPC strategy provided FE improvement results close to the full drive cycle prediction case. MPC has the potential to achieve 60%-65% and 70% - 80% of global FE improvement over highway and city-highway DC respectively.

Patel, Amol Arvind↗

Uncertainty Quantification of PV Annual Energy Estimates in the System Advisor Model

This work will detail a proposed uncertainty quantification method for PV annual energy estimates. Motivations behind the proposed methodology will be discussed, including the frequent underperformance of installed PV systems to calculated probability of exceedance values being seen in industry. A methodology in which uncertainty factors correlated to different parts of the PV annual energy model chain are applied to annual energy estimates in conjunction with uncertainty from inter-annual solar resource variability will be described. The application of this methodology in the System Advisor Model (SAM) will also be discussed with example cases and graphical outputs of the probability of exceedance data calculated for the PV annual energy estimates.

energy modeling↗

The Importance of Being Adaptable: An Exploration of the Power and Limitations of Domain Adaptation for Simulation-Based Inference with Galaxy Clusters

The application of deep machine learning methods in astronomy has exploded in the last decade, with new models showing remarkably improved performance on benchmark tasks. Not nearly enough attention is given to understanding the models' robustness, especially when the test data are systematically different from the training data, or "out of domain." Domain shift poses a significant challenge for simulation-based inference, where models are trained on simulated data but applied to real observational data. In this paper, we explore domain shift and test domain adaptation methods for a specific scientific case: simulation-based inference for estimating galaxy cluster masses from X-ray profiles. We build datasets to mimic simulation-based inference: a training set from the Magneticum simulation, a scatter-augmented training set to capture uncertainties in scaling relations, and a test set derived from the IllustrisTNG simulation. We demonstrate that the Test Set is out of domain in subtle ways that would be difficult to detect without careful analysis. We apply three deep learning methods: a standard neural network (NN), a neural network trained on the scatter-augmented input catalogs, and a Deep Reconstruction-Regression Network (DRRN), a semi-supervised deep model engineered to address domain shift. Although the NN improves results by 17% in the Training Data, it performs 40% worse on the out-of-domain Test Set. Surprisingly, the Scatter-Augmented Neural Network (SANN) performs similarly. While the DRRN is successful in mapping the training and Test Data onto the same latent space, it consistently underperforms compared to a straightforward Yx scaling relation. These results serve as a warning that simulation-based inference must be handled with extreme care, as subtle differences between training simulations and observational data can lead to unforeseen biases creeping into the results.

Ntampaka, Michelle [Baltimore, Space Telescope Sci↗

Bioremediation Retrospective: DOE Experiences and Lessons Learned – 26131

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has implemented bioremediation strategies for chlorinated volatile organic compounds (cVOCs) for more than three decades across multiple contaminated groundwater sites. A retrospective analysis conducted by the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) and collaborating field sites evaluated the design, performance, and outcomes of bioremediation projects at DOE’s Savannah River, Hanford, Idaho, Mound, and Pinellas sites. This retrospective was based on a series of case studies, leveraging historical documentation and site interviews. Technical approaches employed at the various sites were explored, including active bioremediation, enhanced attenuation (EA), and monitored natural attenuation, with specific sub-sections discussing anaerobic, aerobic, and combined anaerobic-aerobic strategies. Each case study includes detailed descriptions of the site-specific conditions, deployment strategies, regulatory considerations, metrics, and performance. Key findings include general cost savings compared to traditional remedies such as pump and treat (P&T), significant success in applying enhanced attenuation to transition remedies toward a passive site management strategy, and documentation of robust subsurface microbial communities at most sites limiting the need for bioaugmentation. Challenges highlighted in the study include underperformance due to poor amendment delivery in low-permeability zones and unfavorable biogeochemical conditions, emphasizing the importance of site-specific designs. Cost analysis across DOE sites suggests bioremediation may offer long-term economic benefits. The retrospective study underscores valuable lessons that can help inform current and future bioremediation efforts.

Newby, Deborah T. [Savannah River National Laborat↗