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DOE OSTI2021

The influence of variability in meridional over turning on global ocean circulation

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning circulation (AMOC) is an important global scale circulation and changes in AMOC can induce significant regional and global climate impacts. In this work, we study the stability of AMOC and its influence on global ocean circulation and the surface climate though analyzing a set of sensitivity experiments using the Community Climate System Model version 1 (CESM1). Results show that a collapsed AMOC can induce changes in global ocean circulation, such as reduced (or reversed) Bering Strait transport, weakened Indonesia throughflow and Agulhas current, but strengthened Drake Passage transport. It also changes the global wind pattern and surface temperature, such as a seesaw-like surface temperature change between Northern and Southern Hemispheres, a weakening of Indian-Australia summer monsoon, a southward shift of the Southern ocean westerlies, etc. We also found that AMOC and the Pacific deep meridional overturning circulation (or PMOC) do not form a natural seesaw under modern day climate and geography. A collapsed AMOC (active PMOC) is not stable under modern conditions if there is no additional freshwater (salt) input in the subpolar North Atlantic (Pacific), suggesting that the modern mean state of AMOC (PMOC) does not depend on local haline forcing although its variability and changes do.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “Heat” Wave. Part II: Impacts on the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Abstract Between 15 and 19 March 2022, East Antarctica experienced an exceptional heat wave with widespread 30°–40°C temperature anomalies across the ice sheet. In Part I, we assessed the meteorological drivers that generated an intense atmospheric river (AR) that caused these record-shattering temperature anomalies. Here, we continue our large collaborative study by analyzing the widespread and diverse impacts driven by the AR landfall. These impacts included widespread rain and surface melt that was recorded along coastal areas, but this was outweighed by widespread high snowfall accumulations resulting in a largely positive surface mass balance contribution to the East Antarctic region. An analysis of the surface energy budget indicated that widespread downward longwave radiation anomalies caused by large cloud-liquid water contents along with some scattered solar radiation produced intense surface warming. Isotope measurements of the moisture were highly elevated, likely imprinting a strong signal for past climate reconstructions. The AR event attenuated cosmic ray measurements at Concordia, something previously never observed. Last, an extratropical cyclone west of the AR landfall likely triggered the final collapse of the critically unstable Conger Ice Shelf while further reducing an already record low sea ice extent. Significance Statement Using our diverse collective expertise, we explored the impacts from the March 2022 heat wave and atmospheric river across East Antarctica. One key takeaway is that the Antarctic cryosphere is highly sensitive to meteorological extremes originating from the midlatitudes and subtropics. Despite the large positive temperature anomalies driven from strong downward longwave radiation, this event led to huge amounts of snowfall across the Antarctic interior desert. The isotopes in this snow of warm airmass origin will likely be detectable in future ice cores and potentially distort past climate reconstructions. Even measurements of space activity were affected. Also, the swells generated from this storm helped to trigger the final collapse of an already critically unstable Conger Ice Shelf while further degrading sea ice coverage.

Wille, Jonathan D.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Using GANs with adaptive training data to search for new molecules

The process of drug discovery involves a search over the space of all possible chemical compounds. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) provide a valuable tool towards exploring chemical space and optimizing known compounds for a desired functionality. Standard approaches to training GANs, however, can result in mode collapse, in which the generator primarily produces samples closely related to a small subset of the training data. In contrast, the search for novel compounds necessitates exploration beyond the original data. In this work, we present an approach to training GANs that promotes incremental exploration and limits the impacts of mode collapse using concepts from Genetic Algorithms. In our approach, valid samples from the generator are used to replace samples from the training data. We consider both random and guided selection along with recombination during replacement. By tracking the number of novel compounds produced during training, we show that updates to the training data drastically outperform the traditional approach, increasing potential applications for GANs in drug discovery.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Cooling flow regime of a plasma thermal quench

A large class of Laboratory, Space, and Astrophysical plasmas is nearly collisionless. When a localized energy or particle sink, for example, in the form of a radiative cooling spot or a black hole, is introduced into such a plasma, it can trigger a plasma thermal collapse, also known as a thermal quench in tokamak fusion. Here we show that the electron thermal conduction in such a nearly collisionless plasma follows the convective energy transport scaling in itself or in its spatial gradient, due to the constraint of ambipolar transport. As a result, a robust cooling flow aggregates mass toward the cooling spot and the thermal collapse of the surrounding plasma takes the form of four propagating fronts that originate from the radiative cooling spot, along the magnetic field line in a magnetized plasma. The slowest one, which is responsible for deep cooling, is a shock front.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Development of a three-dimensional APOLLO3 neutrons deterministic scheme for the CABRI reactor

CABRI is an experimental reactor to study the fuel behavior during reactivity injection transients. These transients being highly multiphysics, the development of suitable modeling and simulation tools to simulate them is important for the optimization of the tests and the control of the experimental conditions. This paper focuses on the development of an APOLLO3 deterministic core calculation tool dedicated to the CABRI transient analysis. It represents the first stage of the incremental process for the implementation of a multiphysics time-dependent modeling of the CABRI transient. The neutron calculation scheme is based on a classical two-step approach. The first step consists of a 281-energy group calculation flux with the TDT-MOC (Method Of Characteristics) solver for cross-section space and energy (23 groups) collapsing for the CABRI different assembly clusters. The bias on a 2D core neutron calculation due to the self-shielding calculation and collapsing on a restricted pattern are investigated thanks to a comparison with a direct full 2D calculation on a quarter of core. The second step relies on a pin-resolved transport 3D transport core calculation with the SN solver MINARET. A progressive numerical validation process is followed to quantify the calculation biases on reactivity and reaction rates at each step using reference calculations with the stochastic code TRIPOLI4. The next development stage toward a multiphysics scheme will be the implementation of the 3D-kinetics equation resolution and the coupling with a core thermal-hydraulics model. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nonlinear propagation of chirped laser pulses through a dispersive and turbulent atmosphere

The evolution of ultrashort laser pulses in dispersive, turbulent, nonlinear, and dissipative media is discussed in connection with nonlinear self-focusing collapse and the onset of laser filamentation. In quiescent air, a laser pulse propagating with a peak power greater than a critical power for self-focusing will undergo a catastrophic, transverse collapse until the intensity is large enough for photoionization. At this point, self-focusing is arrested and balanced by plasma refraction, forming a laser filament. By applying an appropriate chirp, the dispersive properties of the medium can be used to enhance this process and control its onset, and to counter dissipative effects such as molecular absorption and atmospheric scattering. This paper presents an analysis of the effect of atmospheric turbulence on the propagation of nonlinear pulses with dispersion compensation (chirp). Furthermore, the analytical results are compared with wave optics simulations and found to be in reasonable agreement as long as the pulse maintains a near-Gaussian spatiotemporal profile.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Tipping points emerge from weak mutualism in metacommunities

The coexistence of obligate mutualists is often precariously close to tipping points where small environmental changes can drive catastrophic shifts in species composition. For example, microbial ecosystems can collapse by the decline of a strain that provides an essential resource on which other strains cross-feed. Here, we show that tipping points, ecosystem collapse, bistability and hysteresis arise even with very weak (non-obligate) mutualism provided the population is spatially structured. Based on numeric solutions of a metacommunity model and mean-field analyses, we demonstrate that weak mutualism lowers the minimal dispersal rate necessary to avoid stochastic extinction, while species need to overcome a mean threshold density to survive in this low dispersal rate regime. Our results allow us to make numerous predictions for mutualistic metacommunities regarding tipping points, hysteresis effects, and recovery from external perturbations, and let us draw general conclusions for ecosystems even with random, not necessarily mutualistic, interactions and systems with density-dependent dispersal rather than direct mutualistic interactions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Neutron computed tomography of B12W and M8N socket sections of the Arecibo telescope

From neutron user principal investigator: We kindly request the public release of three neutron imaging datasets through ONCat. All datasets were collected from two forensic specimens, B12W and M8N, sectioned from zinc-filled steel-wire sockets recovered from the collapsed Arecibo Telescope. The dataset titled “Neutron radiographs of B12W and M8N socket sections of the Arecibo telescope” contains normalized two-dimensional (2D) neutron radiographs of the specimens, showing the geometry and spatial distribution of the steel wires embedded within the zinc matrix, as well as internal features such as voids and cracks. The dataset titled “Neutron computed tomography of B12W and M8N socket sections of the Arecibo telescope” contains normalized 2D neutron projection images acquired over a range of specimen rotation angles for one selected region of each specimen. These projection images were used to reconstruct three-dimensional (3D) tomographic volumes that reveal the embedded-wire geometry and internal defects. The dataset titled “Bragg edge imaging (BEI) of B12W and M8N socket sections of the Arecibo telescope” contains six time-of-flight (TOF) neutron imaging datasets, three from each specimen, acquired at regions of interest selected based on the radiographs. The spatially resolved 2D TOF images show the zinc matrix and embedded steel wires, and the wavelength-dependent neutron transmission data were used to characterize crystallographic texture within the zinc. All components and their condition are in the public domain as they are the property of the National Science Foundation (NSF). The neutron imaging data, part geometries, and detailed forensic information have been widely published in the Arecibo Telescope Collapse Forensic Report by Thornton Tomasetti Engineers and others (NASA report and NASEM report).

Bilheux, Hassina↗

DOE OSTI2024

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F CA-SCB Scotty Creek Bog

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-SCB Scotty Creek Bog. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-SCB Scotty Creek Bog produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Scotty Creek bog flux tower is located in an organic-rich collapse-scar bog about 50 km south of Fort Simpson in the Taiga Plains of the Mackenzie watershed. The tower was installed in 2014 and operates an open-path EC system year-round running on solar power only. The collapse-scar bog is treeless and free of permafrost.

Sonnentag, Oliver↗

DOE OSTI2023

The Observed Inefficiency of Explosions to Produce Large Aftershocks: Båth’s Law for Explosions is 2.5

Underground explosions are observed to produce fewer and smaller aftershocks than similar size earthquakes. The seismic magnitude difference $Δm_x$ between an explosion and its largest aftershock is an expression of Båth’s law for explosions. Based on an analysis of a compilation of aftershock studies from Soviet testing at the Semipalatinsk test site in Kazakhstan and observations from American testing at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), here we find that the average magnitude difference for explosions $\overline{Δm_x}$ is about 2.5. Based on the NNSS data, two standard deviations of $Δm_x$ is about 1.5. In all the cases studied, from ton to megaton yield, from shallow to overburied depth, and chemical or nuclear source, no explosion aftershock has been larger than the explosion that preceded it. In fact, the two events at the NNSS with the largest aftershock magnitudes relative to the explosion are associated with the collapse of the cavity created by the explosion. This is similar to observations from North Korean testing at the Punggye-ri Test Site, where the largest seismic event following the test is attributed to the collapse after the 2017 explosion and is from 0.8 to 2 magnitude units less than the mainshock.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Microstructural Changes to Thermally Sprayed Materials Subjected to Dynamic Compression

Dynamic compression of materials can induce a variety of microstructural changes. As thermally-sprayed materials have highly complex microstructures, the expected pressure at which changes occur cannot be predicted a priori. In addition, typical in-situ measurements such as velocimetry are unable to adequately diagnose microstructural changes such as failure or pore collapse. Quasi-isentropic compression experiments with sample recovery were conducted to examine microstructural changes in thermally sprayed tantalum and tantalum-niobium blends up to 8 GPa pressure. Spall fracture was observed in all tests, and post-shot pore volume decreased relative to the initial state. The blended material exhibited larger spall planes with fracture occurring at interphase boundaries. An estimate of the pressure at which pore collapse is complete was determined to be ~26 GPa for pure tantalum and ~19 GPa for the tantalumniobium blend under these loading conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Insights into cosmological structure formation with machine learning.

Our modern understanding of cosmological structure formation posits that small matter density fluctuations present in the early Universe, as traced by the cosmic microwave background, grow via gravitational instability to form extended haloes of dark matter. A theoretical understanding of the structure, evolution and formation of dark matter haloes is an essential step towards unravelling the intricate connection between halo and galaxy formation, needed to test our cosmological model against data from upcoming galaxy surveys. Physical understanding of the process of dark matter halo formation is made difficult by the highly non-linear nature of the haloes' evolution. I describe a new approach to gain physical insight into cosmological structure formation based on machine learning. This approach combines the ability of machine learning algorithms to learn non-linear relationships, with techniques that enable us to physically interpret the learnt mapping. I describe applicatio ns of th e method, with the aim of investigating which aspects of the early universe density field impact the later formation of dark matter haloes. First I present a case where the process of halo formation is turned into a binary classification problem; the algorithm predicts whether or not dark matter `particles' in the initial conditions of a simulation will collapse into haloes of a given mass range. Second, I present its generalization to regression, where the algorithm infers the final mass of the halo to which each particle will later belong. I show that the initial tidal shear does not play a significant role compared to the initial density field in establishing final halo masses. Finally, I demonstrate that extending the framework to deep learning algorithms such as convolutional neural networks allows us to explore connections between the early universe and late time haloes beyond those studied by existing analytic approximations of halo collapse.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

New Geomechanical Computation Analysis Evaluating Behavior of the Fault nearby BC-4

BC-4 is an abandoned brining cavern situated in the middle of the site. Its presence poses a concern for several reasons: 1) the cavern was leached up into the caprock; 2) it is similar to BC-7, a brining cavern on the northwest corner of the dome that collapsed in 1954 and now is the home to Cavern Lake; 3) a similar collapse of BC-4 would have catastrophic consequences for the future operation of the site. There exists a previously mapped fault feature in the caprock and thought to extend into the salt dome than runs in close proximity to BC-4. There are uncertainties about the true extent of the fault, and no explicit analysis has been performed to predict the effects of the fault on BC-4 stability. Additional knowledge of the fault and its effects is becoming more crucial as an enhanced monitoring program is developed and installed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Next-Generation Simulations of the Remarkable Deaths Of Massive Stars [Slides]

3D models of stellar convection are necessary for accurate description of state of model near collapse. Convection is occurring at many scales with the large dominant mode near collapse. 3D instabilities can affect flow properties and mass entrainment. Mach number profiles show favorable conditions for explosion. 3D rotating progenitor models are ALSO necessary. The redistribution of AM diverges from the MESA model, with implications for remnant. There is turbulent transport of AM in convective shell regions. Multi-D models can provide input for successful CCSN models. Larger non-radial kinetic energy exists when using multi-D progenitor input. The 3D CCSN model showed prompt convection and asymmetric shock runaway. Explosion properties suggest robust impact on multi-messenger signals.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Next-Generation Simulations of the Remarkable Deaths of Massive Stars [Slides]

This report discusses core-collapse of supernovae and provides this basic summary: 3D models of stellar convection are necessary for accurate description of state of model near collapse, 3D rotating progenitor models are also necessary, and multi-D models can provide input for successful CCSN models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

The role of supernova convection for the lower mass gap and the isolated binary formation of gravitational wave sources

Understanding astrophysical phenomena involving compact objects requires an insight about the engine behind core-collapse supernovae (SNe) and the fate of the stellar collapse of massive stars. In particular, this insight is crucial in developing an understanding of the origin and formation channels of the growing populations of detected black hole-black hole, black holeneutron star and neutron star-neutron star mergers. The timescale of convection growth may have a large effect on the strength of SN explosion and therefore also on the mass distribution of stellar remnants. We adopt new formulas for the relation between the pre-SN star properties and their remnants (Fryer et al. 2022) and check how they impact population of double compact object (DCO) mergers formed via isolated binary evolution. The new formulas give one ability to test wide spectrum of assumptions on the convection growth time. In particular, different variants allow for a smooth transition between having a deep mass gap and a remnant mass distribution filled by massive neutron stars and low mass black holes. We present distribution of masses, mass ratios and the local merger rate densities of DCO for different variants of new formulas and test them together with different approaches to other highly uncertain processes. We find that mass distribution of DCO mergers is sensitive to adopted assumption on SN convection growth timescale up to $m_1$ + $m_2$ ≲ 35$M_⊙$. Between two extreme tested variants the probability of compact object formation within the mass gap may differ up to ~ 2 orders of magnitude.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Kinetic-Energy–Momentum–Mass 5-Flux of a Baryon Fluid in Bargmann Spacetimes

A Bargmann spacetime is a constrained five-dimensional setting that, while introducing no new physical degrees of freedom beyond those of ordinary four-dimensional spacetime, permits Galilei physics to be expressed with a tensor formalism that respects the distinction between mass and energy while affording the conceptual and technical advantages of a spacetime metric. This framework offers a route to a strong-field ‘Galilei general relativity’ approximating the usual Poincaré general relativity introduced by Einstein. In preparation for modeling core-collapse supernovae, where such an approximation would be useful, this work generalizes the kinetic-energy–momentum–mass 5-flux 𝒯 and its associated spacetime tensor law from a simple fluid of constant particle mass to a baryon fluid whose multiple nuclear species can interconvert rest mass and internal energy. The spacetime tensor law on Bargmann–Galilei spacetime 𝐵𝒢 and its decompositions relative to comoving (‘Lagrangian’) and fiducial (‘Eulerian’) observers are derived in detail. The formalism is rendered more suitable for core-collapse supernova modeling by an extension from strict 𝐵𝒢 to a regime that might be denoted as 𝐵𝒢+: microscopically Poincaré yet macroscopically Galilei. This extension accommodates energy generation by nuclear composition changes and allows comoving energy density and pressure to contribute relative to mass density, while preserving the simplifications of Galilei bulk fluid flow and the streamlined geometry governed by the Bargmann–Galilei spacetime metric.

Cardall, Christian [ORNL] (ORCID:000000020086105X)↗

DOE OSTI2019

On the Origin of SN 2016hil—A Type II Supernova in the Remote Outskirts of an Elliptical Host

Type II supernovae (SNe) stem from the core collapse of massive ($>8\ M_{\odot}$) stars. Owing to their short lifespan, we expect a very low rate of such events in elliptical host galaxies, where the star-formation rate is low, and which mostly consist of an old stellar population. SN 2016hil (iPTF16hil) is a Type II supernova located in the extreme outskirts of an elliptical galaxy at redshift $z=0.0608$ (projected distance $27.2$ kpc). It was detected near peak brightness ($M_{r} \approx -17$ mag) 9 days after the last nondetection. SN 2016hil has some potentially peculiar properties: while presenting a characteristic spectrum, the event was unusually short lived and declined by $\sim 1.5$ mag in $< 40$ days, following an apparently double-peaked light curve. Its spectra suggest a low metallicity ($Z<0.4\ Z_{\odot}$). We place a tentative upper limit on the mass of a potential faint host at $\log(M/M_{\odot}) =7.27^{+0.43}_{-0.24}$ using deep Keck optical imaging. In light of this, we discuss the possibility of the progenitor forming locally, and other more exotic formation scenarios such as a merger or common-envelope evolution causing a time-delayed explosion. Further observations of the explosion site in the ultraviolet are needed in order to distinguish between the cases. Regardless of the origin of the transient, observing a population of such seemingly hostless Type II SNe could have many uses, including an estimate the number of faint galaxies in a given volume, and tests of the prediction of a time-delayed population of core-collapse SNe in locations otherwise unfavorable for the detection of such events.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗