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Electronic structure simulations in the cloud computing environment

The transformative impact of modern computational paradigms and technologies, such as high-performance computing, quantum computing, and cloud computing, has opened up profound new opportunities for scientific simulations. Scalable computational chemistry is one beneficiary of this technological progress. The main focus of this paper is on the performance of various quantum chemical formulations, ranging from low-order methods to high-accuracy approaches, implemented in different computational chemistry packages, such as NWChem, NWChemEx, SPEC, ExaChem, and FLOSIC codes on the Azure Quantum Element (AQE) Microsoft cloud services. We pay particular attention to the intricate workflows for performing composite chemistry simulations, associated data curation, and mechanisms for accuracy assessment, as defined by the enabling cloud Computational Chemistry as a Service (CCaaS). Our focus also extends to Arrows' automated workflow for high throughput simulations. Finally, we provide a perspective on the role of cloud computing in supporting the mission of leadership computational facilities (LCFs).

computational chemistry, electronic structure, Clo↗

SAM Co-Development to Support Fluoride-salt-cooled High-temperature Reactor Design and Licensing (CRADA 2018-18177 Final Report)

This project aims to raise the SAM code's technical and commercial maturity level to enable the Kairos Power ("Kairos") to use SAM to support its KP-FHR design analysis and licensing application. Argonne National Laboratory ("Argonne") has actively developed and maintained SAM, a modern system-level analysis tool for advanced nonlight water reactors safety analysis. Kairos is currently actively pursuing development of an FHR design and associated technology, and consequently requires a pedigreed safety analysis tool. The purpose of this project is to increase the maturity of the SAM code for the modeling and simulation of the KP-FHR design, thus enabling its use in safety analyses that support licensing application. Argonne will primarily be responsible for software design, development, and testing; while Kairos will be responsible for software requirements, assessment of software capabilities, needs, gaps, and priorities, and development of proprietary models. The research and development activities for the joint SAM development project include: a series of identification and prioritization studies on design characteristics, event sequences, relevant phenomena, and software capabilities; SAM capability enhancements for specific KP-FHR systems and components; performing code verification and validations; integrating uncertainty quantification (UQ), model calibration, and sensitivity analysis (SA) techniques in safety analyses; and raising the software quality rigor level for commercial-grade applications.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Status Report on Activities of the Systems Assessment Task Force, OECD-NEA Expert Group on Accident Tolerant Fuels for LWRs

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development /Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD/NEA) Nuclear Science Committee approved the formation of an Expert Group on Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) for LWRs (EGATFL) in 2014. Chaired by Kemal Pasamehmetoglu, INL Associate Laboratory Director for Nuclear Science and Technology, the mandate for the EGATFL defines work under three task forces: (1) Systems Assessment, (2) Cladding and Core Materials, and (3) Fuel Concepts. Scope for the Systems Assessment task force (TF1) includes definition of evaluation metrics for ATF, technology readiness level definition, definition of illustrative scenarios for ATF evaluation, and identification of fuel performance and system codes applicable to ATF evaluation. The identification of irradiation facilities around the world that are being used, or are planned to be used, for the irradiation testing of ATF cladding and fuel materials was later added to the TF1 scope (April 2017). The Cladding and Core Materials (TF2) and Fuel Concepts (TF3) task forces have worked to identify gaps and needs for modeling and experimental demonstration; define key properties of interest; identify the data necessary to perform concept evaluation under normal conditions and illustrative scenarios; identify available infrastructure (internationally) to support experimental needs; and make recommendations on priorities. Where possible, considering proprietary and other export restrictions (e.g., International Traffic in Arms Regulations), the Expert Group has facilitated the sharing of data and lessons learned across the international group membership. The Systems Assessment task force is chaired by Shannon Bragg-Sitton (Idaho National Laboratory [INL], U.S.), the Cladding Task Force is chaired by Marie Moatti (Electricite de France [EdF], France), and the Fuels Task Force is chaired by a Masaki Kurata (Japan Atomic Energy Agency [JAEA], Japan). The original Expert Group mandate was established for June 2014 to June 2016. In April 2016 the Expert Group voted to extend the mandate one additional year to June 2017 in order to complete the task force deliverables; this request was subsequently approved by the Nuclear Science Committee. All reports are currently in final draft and will be submitted to NEA for final formatting/editing in October 2017. A final EGATFL meeting will be held at NEA Headquarters in Paris, France on November 2-3, 2017 to resolve any final comments on the task force reports. This report provides brief summary of the Systems Assessment Task Force deliverable report.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Initial Application of TSUNAMI for Validation of Advanced Fuel Systems

A number of advanced reactor concepts and accident-tolerant fuels (ATFs) are under development or in the initial stages of deployment and testing in the nuclear power industry. Many of these concepts incorporate chemical or material forms that have not traditionally been used in the nuclear industry and may present challenges for nuclear criticality safety validation. Sensitivity/uncertainty methods are ideally suited for assessing the applicability of existing critical experiments to these potentially challenging applications. This paper presents two case studies recently completed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) which investigated the use of the TSUNAMI tools within the SCALE code system to perform such assessments.Many advanced reactor concepts include uranium enrichments above 5 wt% 235U but below the 20 wt% limit of low-enriched uranium (LEU). This material, referred to as high assay LEU (HA-LEU), poses difficulties across the entire infrastructure of nuclear power, including enrichment, transportation, fabrication, and storage. A potentially representative transportation package was selected to perform a criticality safety validation assessment for UF6 containing HA-LEU. Sensitivity data were generated using the TSUNAMI-3D sequence, and an assessment of the applicability of a range of critical experiments was performed using the TSUNAMI-IP tool. The critical experiments were drawn from the set of available sensitivity data files distributed with the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook. The results indicate that a sufficient number of available experiments may be available to perform validations for these systems.Many different cladding materials and fuel dopants are included in ATFs to mitigate the consequences of a loss of coolant accident. Some of these systems have already been fabricated and introduced as lead test assemblies in commercial reactors, while others are still being developed. Several concepts were considered for pressurized-water reactors (PWRs) and boiling-water reactors (BWRs) in comparison to the current Zircaloy and UO2 fuel system. In most of these cases, the ATF materials did not significantly impact the number of applicable experiments for validation. Some fuel and cladding materials were identified, however, which may reduce the number of available experiments and which will increase the nuclear data–induced uncertainty in neutron multiplication.

Marshall, William (B.J.)↗

Assessment of the MAMMOTH and PRONGHORN Pebble Bed Reactor Modeling Capabilities for the HTR-PM Design

This assessment explores the current analysis methodologies of various external and MOOSE-based tools available at the Idaho National Laboratory to model pebble bed reactor multiphysics phenomena. The study involves three MOOSE-based, coupled codes: 1) MAMMOTH for reactor physics, 2) Rattlesnake for neutron transport and 3) Pronghorn for thermal fluids and strongly coupled conjugate heat transfer. These advanced tools are being developed under DOE-NE’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program (NEAMS). They currently contain a collection of advanced modeling capabilities that allow high-fidelity simulations of advanced reactor concepts including gas and fluoride-salt cooled pebble bed reactors. Software development of these tools follows NQA-1 standards ensuring software quality that many of the currently deployed legacy codes lack. In this work, the MAMMOTH Pronghorn tools are compared to the legacy codes PEBBED-THERMIX-KONVEK. The external codes in use are LAMMPS for pebble mechanics and Serpent for cross section preparation. The coupling under MOOSE enables significant flexibility for modern engineering tools since MOOSE applications can be seamlessly coupled with various levels of resolution. This report focuses on low-resolution (r-z) and midresolution (3-D) homogenized geometries. The high-resolution Pebble Tracking Transport solution is not pursued herein and is postponed to future work. The results from this assessment show that the new MOOSE-based tools compare well with the results from legacy tools (r-z) and produce reasonable accuracy limited by the methods in the legacy tools. In the 3-D studies, the PJFNK-SPH methodology available in MAMMOTH allows the reproduction of Monte Carlo results with a transport-corrected diffusion solution. This has implications for the coupled solutions since without the SPH correction the temperature coefficient of reactivity is under-predicted and leads to lower temperature feedback and a significantly higher eigenvalue showing a difference of 2000 pcm.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Magnetohydrodynamic simulations preliminarily predict the habitability and radio emission of TRAPPIST-1e

TRAPPIST-1e, an Earth-sized exoplanet in the habitable zone of the nearby M dwarf TRAPPIST-1, may experience magnetospheric responses that vary with stellar space weather, which could potentially influence both its habitability and radio emissions. Our objective is to investigate how different Earth-like magnetospheric configurations of TRAPPIST-1e – specifically variations in dipolar magnetic field strength and axial tilt – respond to diverse stellar space weather conditions, including events analogous to coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and to assess their implications for potential habitability and expected radio emissions. We conducted 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulations of the TRAPPIST-1e system using the PLUTO code in spherical coordinates. The planetary magnetic field was modelled as dipolar, with equatorial strengths from Earth-like to several times stronger. The dipole axis spans a representative range of axial tilts. We investigate four stellar wind environments, from sub-Alfvénic flow to CME-like disturbances. Planetary shielding was quantified based on the magnetopause standoff distance, and radio powers were estimated via empirical scaling laws. Our simulations show that both shielding and radio power depend strongly on the magnetic configuration. Stronger fields increase protection, while larger tilts reduce it. Radio power increases with both field strength and tilt across all wind regimes. An Earth-like magnetic field can provide effective shielding even under intense CMEs, whereas high tilts require stronger fields. Predicted radio powers reach ~10 20 erg s −1 during CMEs, making bursts from close-in, magnetised planets more detectable. However, for TRAPPIST-1e, the maximum cyclotron frequency lies below the Earth’s ionospheric cutoff (~10 MHz), making ground-based detection currently infeasible.

Sun: magnetic fields↗

Radio frequency wave interactions with a plasma sheath: The role of wave and plasma sheath impedances

Radio frequency (RF) sheaths form near surfaces where plasma and strong RF fields coexist. The effect of these RF sheaths on wave propagation near the boundary can be characterized by an effective sheath impedance that includes both resistive and capacitive contributions describing RF sheath rectification and RF power absorption in the sheath [J. R. Myra and D. A. D'Ippolito, Phys. Plasmas 22, 062507 (2015)]. We define a dimensionless parameter, the ratio of incoming wave impedance to the sheath impedance, which determines the characteristics of the interaction, ranging from quasi-conducting to quasi-insulating, or in the case of matched impedances, to either perfect absorption or a sheath-plasma resonance. A semi-analytical analysis is carried out for electrostatic slow waves in the ion cyclotron range of frequencies. For the propagating slow wave case, where the incident wave is partially reflected, the fraction of power dissipated in the sheath is calculated. For the evanescent slow wave case, which admits a sheath-plasma resonance, an amplification factor is calculated. Using the impedance ratio approach, RF sheath interactions are characterized for a range of RF wave and plasma parameters including plasma density, magnetic field angle with respect to the surface, wave frequency, and wave-vector components tangent to the surface. For a particularly interesting example case, results are compared with the rfSOL code [H. Kohno and J. R. Myra, Comput. Phys. Commun. 220, 129 (2017)]. Finally, electromagnetic effects, absent from the semi-analytical analysis, are assessed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

SOLEDGE3X full vessel plasma boundary simulations of ITER non-active phase plasmas

The onset of detachment in the ITER machine is analyzed in this work through the help of 2D-axisymmetric boundary plasma simulations with the SOLEDGE3X-EIRENE code, which features a numerical domain for the plasma solver extending up to the first wall. The plasma boundary is computed in scenarios from the first non-active phase of ITER, in pure H and at 20 MW. This set of simulations is used in two aspects: first, to study the plasma detachment in the divertor, and second, the plasma conditions, fluxes, and beryllium erosion at the first wall. Here, the code results are also compared to those obtained with the well-established SOLPS-ITER code, which includes a plasma numerical domain only covering the main SOL. Results show an increase in the SOL width λ q with increasing density, and a detailed analysis is carried out, for the first time, on each of the different plasma-neutral interactions in the code’s physics model in EIRENE. The gross beryllium erosion rates of first wall panels are estimated from 2D simulations, with the aim of assessing their sensitivity to two parameters: the divertor density regime, and the presence of density shoulders in the far-SOL formed by enhanced perpendicular transport at this location. The erosion contributions from neutrals and ions are considered in each case, and the charge-exchange atoms fluxes and energy distributions are provided, highlighting the two atom populations (cold and charge-exchange).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

SU-G-IeP2-04: Dosimetric Accuracy of a Monte Carlo-Based Tool for Cone-Beam CT Organ Dose Calculation: Validation Against OSL and XRQA2 Film Measurements

Purpose: The intensive use of Cone-Beam Computed Tomography (CBCT) during radiotherapy treatments raise some questions about the dose to healthy tissues delivered during image acquisitions. We hence developed a Monte Carlo (MC)-based tool to predict doses to organs delivered by the Elekta XVI kV-CBCT. This work aims at assessing the dosimetric accuracy of the MC tool, in all tissue types. Methods: The kV-CBCT MC model was developed using the PENELOPE code. The beam properties were validated against measured lateral and depth dose profiles in water, and energy spectra measured with a CdTe detector. The CBCT simulator accuracy then required verification in clinical conditions. For this, we compared calculated and experimental dose values obtained with OSL nanoDots and XRQA2 films inserted in CIRS anthropomorphic phantoms (male, female, and 5-year old child). Measurements were performed at different locations, including bone and lung structures, and for several acquisition protocols: lung, head-and-neck, and pelvis. OSLs and film measurements were corrected when possible for energy dependence, by taking into account for spectral variations between calibration and measurement conditions. Results: Comparisons between measured and MC dose values are summarized in table 1. A mean difference of 8.6% was achieved for OSLs when the energy correction was applied, and 89.3% of the 84 dose points were within uncertainty intervals, including those in bones and lungs. Results with XRQA2 are not as good, because incomplete information about electronic equilibrium in film layers hampered the application of a simple energy correction procedure. Furthermore, measured and calculated doses (Fig.1) are in agreement with the literature. Conclusion: The MC-based tool developed was validated with an extensive set of measurements, and enables the organ dose calculation with accuracy. It can now be used to compute and report doses to organs for clinical cases, and also to drive strategies to optimize imaging protocols.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Predicting Near-Term Changes in the Earth System: A Large Ensemble of Initialized Decadal Prediction Simulations Using the Community Earth System Model

The objective of near-term climate prediction is to improve our fore-knowledge, from years to a decade or more in advance, of impactful climate changes that can in general be attributed to a combination of internal and externally forced variability. Predictions initialized using observations of past climate states are tested by comparing their ability to reproduce past climate evolution with that of uninitialized simulations in which the same radiative forcings are applied. A new set of decadal prediction (DP) simulations has recently been completed using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and is now available to the community. This new large-ensemble (LE) set (CESM-DPLE) is composed of historical simulations that are integrated forward for 10 years following initialization on 1 November of each year between 1954 and 2015. CESM-DPLE represents the “initialized” counterpart to the widely studied CESM Large Ensemble (CESM-LE); both simulation sets have 40-member ensembles, and they use identical model code and radiative forcings. Comparing CESM-DPLE to CESM-LE highlights the impacts of initialization on prediction skill and indicates that robust assessment and interpretation of DP skill may require much larger ensembles than current protocols recommend. CESM-DPLE exhibits significant and potentially useful prediction skill for a wide range of fields, regions, and time scales, and it shows widespread improvement over simpler benchmark forecasts as well as over a previous initialized system that was submitted to phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). Finally, the new DP system offers new capabilities that will be of interest to a broad community pursuing Earth system prediction research.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

BWR station blackout: A RISMC analysis using RAVEN and RELAP5-3D

The existing fleet of nuclear power plants is in the process of extending its lifetime and increasing the power generated from these plants via power uprates and improved operations. In order to evaluate the impact of these factors on the safety of the plant, the Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) project aims to provide insights to decision makers through a series of simulations of the plant dynamics for different initial conditions and accident scenarios. This paper presents a case study in order to show the capabilities of the RISMC methodology to assess impact of power uprate of a Boiling Water Reactor system during a Station Black-Out accident scenario. We employ a system simulator code, RELAP5-3D, coupled with RAVEN which perform the stochastic analysis. Lastly, our analysis is performed by: 1) sampling values from a set of parameters from the uncertainty space of interest, 2) simulating the system behavior for that specific set of parameter values and 3) analyzing the outcomes from the set of simulation runs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Modeling K-DEMO Plasma Power Exhaust with UEDGE (Status Report through Oct. 2018)

The goal of this project is to develop simulation capability for the edge plasma region of K-DEMO in order to assess the heat and particle loads on plasma facing components. The roles of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) are to provide the UEDGE simulation code for this purpose, to obtain initial edge-plasma solutions for KDEMO, and to train K-DEMO staff members in both the use of the 2D UEDGE and the code structure such that future modification can be made. A schematic of K-DEMO highlighting the power exhaust is shown in Fig. 1. The major radius of the device is 6.8 m, and the total power to be exhausted is 280 MW in the edge plasma region. Evaluating impact of different divertor geometries and the use of seeded impurity radiation to manage the peak heat flux to surfaces are key aspects being addressed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Modeling K-DEMO Plasma Power Exhaust with UEDGE

The goal of this project is to develop simulation capability for the edge plasma region of K-DEMO in order to assess the heat and particle loads on plasma facing components. The roles of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) are to provide the UEDGE simulation code for this purpose, to obtain initial edge-plasma solutions for K-DEMO, and to train K-DEMO staff members in both the use of the 2D UEDGE and the code structure such that future modification can be made. A schematic of K-DEMO highlighting the power exhaust is shown in Fig. 1. The major radius of the device is 6.8 m, and the total power to be exhausted is 280 MW in the edge plasma region. Evaluating impact of different divertor geometries and the use of seeded impurity radiation to manage the peak heat flux to divertor-plate surfaces are key aspects that have been addressed during this project.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Nuclear Data and Cross Section Testing Using ENDF/B-VIII.0

With the release of the Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF)/B-VIII.0 library, nuclear criticality safety practitioners and engineers have access to the latest cross section sets available for their analyses. However, these cross sections must be rigorously tested and validated to ensure that the nuclear data are responsive to the needs of the individuals responsible for developing, implementing, and maintaining computational tools for criticality safety applications. Thus, the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library is tested and validated with a large collection of experiments that were vetted by the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project and made available in the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments. A selection of benchmark experiments for use within the criticality safety community were prepared and reviewed within the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data (VALID), which is maintained by the Nuclear Energy and Fuel Cycle Division at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The performance of the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library is assessed by using VALID models of benchmark experiments with the beta 12 version of SCALE 6.3 KENO V.a and KENO-VI Monte Carlo codes. The performance is compared with the results obtained from with the ENDF/B-VII.1 library. This report considers multigroup (MG) and continuous energy (CE) formats of the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and -VII.1 libraries. The benchmark experiments within VALID that validate the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library cover 15 broad system categories by using a range of fissile materials, uranium enrichments, plutonium isotopic vectors, and mixed uranium/plutonium systems. These forms are represented as metals, solutions, or various arrays of rods or plates that cover a variety of neutron energy spectra: thermal, fast, mixed, and intermediate. Over 600 cases were considered for use with the KENO V.a and KENO-VI codes with the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library. The results of the Monte Carlo comparison of ENDF/B-VIII.0 to ENDF/B-VII.1 with both KENO V.a and KENO-VI indicate that there is a less than 0.53% Δk difference between the bias of calculated k eff from the expected values. The CE ENDF/B-VIII.0 library results in smaller magnitude biases than the ENDF/B-VII.1 data for HEU-MET-FAST, HEU-SOL-THERM, IEU-MET-FAST, LEU-SOL-THERM, PU-SOL-THERM, and U233-MET-FAST systems, while the MG results yielded smaller magnitude biases for HEU-MET-FAST, HEU-SOL-THERM, IEU-MET-FAST, LEU-COMP-THERM, LEU-SOL THERM, MIX-COMP-FAST, and U233-MET-FAST systems. Most notable are the adjustments to the plutonium and 233 U cross section data, which has resulted in noticeably lower biases in the ENDF/B VIII.0 results for the mixed, plutonium, and 233 U systems. Results of the sensitivity data file comparison generated from TSUNAMI-3D for selected VALID cases for the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library indicate a very high level of agreement with correlation coefficients of the effect of nuclear data uncertainty on k eff (the c k integral parameter) all above 0.99. This indicates that cases with the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library would see very similar responses to any nuclear data errors or change as those with the ENDF/B-VII.1 library.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

SCALE Modeling of the Sodium Cooled Fast-Spectrum Advanced Burner Test Reactor

This report documents the modeling and simulation of a sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) as part of a U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission–sponsored project to assess the modeling and simulation capabilities for accident progression, source term, and consequence analysis for advanced reactor technologies with the Oak Ridge National Laboratory code SCALE and the Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) code MELCOR. Based on publicly available benchmark specifications, a fully heterogeneous 3D SCALE model of the 250 MWth Advanced Burner Test Reactor (ABTR) was developed to demonstrate SCALE’s capabilities for full-core reactivity analysis, fuel inventory prediction, and decay heat analysis of an SFR. The benchmark specifications contain modeling details for the ABTR core at the beginning of equilibrium cycle (BOEC) at operating conditions; they were derived from a 2006 preconceptual design report produced by Argonne National Laboratory. The ABTR was designed to demonstrate reactor-based transmutation of transuranics, that is, to “burn” transuranics recovered from light-water reactor (LWR) spent fuel. The ABTR’s fuel is designed to operate in 4 month cycles using uranium/transuranic (U/TRU) metallic fuel, with a TRU content of approximately 20%, at a conversion ratio of approximately 0.6. Various reactivity calculations were performed with SCALE for the ABTR and, where possible, compared with results available in the open literature. Additionally, SCALE was used to perform a full-core depletion calculation over the 4 month cycle to obtain the nuclide inventory at the end of equilibrium cycle (EOEC). These nuclide inventories, decay heat, power profiles, and reactivity feedback coefficients at EOEC represent the initial conditions for analyzing severe accident scenarios with MELCOR.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Ongoing Data Platform Development for High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) Thermal-Fluid Experiments Supported by Nuclear Energy University Program (NEUP) [Presentation Slides]

There are in total 30NEUP projects focusing on the thermal-fluid experiments related with High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) from FY2009 to FY2021, producing a large amount of high-quality validation data, however, these valuable data has been scattering everywhere and not been disseminated to the community well, and final reports are available only from OSTI webpage. This could potentially be a huge waste, not only for government budget but also for the HTGR research community. To improve access to this HTGR validation data and optimize the return on the significant investment made by DOE and supported by the Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) Gas-Cooled Reactor (GCR) program, we conducted a survey to assess completed and ongoing HTGR NEUP projects with the aim to develop a public-access data platform that can be used to retrieve code validation data and guide future NEUP investments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

An Efficient Sampling-Based Method for Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Through RAVEN

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are now widely recognized as essential parts of analyses for complex nuclear systems. Plenty of well-established methodologies are already available for performing SA and UQ, such as Monte Carlo analysis, adjoint-based method, and variance decomposition. The focus of this summary is on developing an efficient sampling-based approach to perform SA and UQ through RAVEN. RAVEN (Risk Analysis and Virtual control Environment) is a software framework able to perform SA and UQ, currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory. In literature, a number of approaches have been developed to accelerate the process of SA and UQ for large complex systems, such as principal component analysis (PCA) of input space, input-output correlation analysis, and intersection subspace methods. The fundamental idea is to identify the dominant active directions in the parameter space prior to conducting SA and UQ. The premise is that the number of active directions is much less than the dimensionality of input space. In this work, the PCA or Karhunen-Loeve expansion or SVD method is implemented in RAVEN to identify the active directions. This approach is also combined with the forward sampling approaches, such as Monte Carlo, Grid, Latin Hypercube, and Response Surface Design sampling approaches that are currently available in RAVEN, to perform SA and UQ more efficiently. The summary is organized as follows. In the following section, we present the PCA-based forward sampling approach. The effectiveness and efficiency are discussed in the numerical results section. The paper then ends with a concluding summary. In this summary, we have presented PCA-based forward sampling approach to perform SA and UQ. The goal is to reduce the computational overhead for repetitive executions of complex nuclear systems that are generally required when performing SA and UQ. The control of correlations between input parameters is implemented in RAVEN to better represent the input relationships. In addition, we are currently examining our implementations with more realistic models, and we are also focusing on implementation of some new high-dimensional input reduction techniques in RAVEN. (authors)

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Optimization of particle tracking methods for stochastic media

Random media emerge in several applications involving particle transport, encompassing e.g. photon propagation through Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities in fuel pellets for inertial confinement fusion, or neutron multiplication problems related to the assessment of re-criticality risk following severe accidents with fuel degradation. Reference calculations in such material configurations by means of Monte Carlo transport codes are particularly challenging, since high-density stochastic media might involve several hundreds of thousands of volumes and thus make particle tracking routines extremely cumbersome. In order to cope with these issues, two distinct strategies have been proposed so far: the use of neighbor maps, or the use of delta tracking. In this work we will compare these methods and illustrate their specific merits and drawbacks, as taken both alone and in combination with each other. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗