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Lessons Learned in the Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Air Traffic Management

There is an increasing interest in applying methods based on Machine Learning Techniques (MLT) to problems in Air Traffic Management (ATM). The current interest is based on developments in Cloud Computing, the availability of open software and the success of MLT in automation, consumer behavior and finance involving large databases. This paper reviews the current-state-of-the art in applying MLT to aviation operations, its promises and challenges. Historically aviation operations have been analyzed using physics-based models and provide information for making operational decisions. Aviation operations involving many decision makers, multiple objectives, poor or unavailable physics-based models and a rich historical database are prime candidates for analysis using data-driven methods. The promises and challenges in applying MLT to ATM is traced through three examples based on the authors’ experience, each separated by a decade, to show the influence of data and feature selection in the successful application of MLT to ATM. As always, the best approach depends on the task, the physical understanding of the problem and the quality and quantity of the available data.

Machine Learning Techniques↗
DOE OSTI2022

AlgoSCR: an algorithm for solar contamination removal from radio interferometric data

Hydrogen intensity mapping is a new field in astronomy that promises to make three-dimensional maps of the matter distribution of the Universe using the redshifted 21cm line of neutral hydrogen gas (HI). Several ongoing and upcoming radio interferometers, such as Tianlai, CHIME, HERA, HIRAX, etc., are using this technique. These instruments are designed to map large swaths of the sky by drift scanning over periods of many months. One of the challenges of the observations is that the daytime data are contaminated by strong radio signals from the Sun. In the case of Tianlai, this results in almost half of the measured data being unusable. We try to address this issue by developing an algorithm for solar contamination removal (AlgoSCR) from the radio data. The algorithm is based on an eigenvalue analysis of the visibility matrix and hence is applicable only to interferometers. We apply AlgoSCR to simulated visibilities, as well as real daytime data from the Tianlai dish array. The algorithm can reduce strong solar contamination by about 95 per cent without seriously affecting other weaker sky signals and thus makes the data usable for certain applications.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
NASA NTRS1976

Environmental dynamics at orbital altitudes

The influence of real satellite aerodynamics on the determination of upper atmospheric density was investigated. A method of analysis of satellite drag data is presented which includes the effect of satellite lift and the variation in aerodynamic properties around the orbit. The studies indicate that satellite lift may be responsible for the observed orbit precession rather than a super rotation of the upper atmosphere. The influence of simplifying assumptions concerning the aerodynamics of objects in falling sphere analysis were evaluated and an improved method of analysis was developed. Wind tunnel data was used to develop more accurate drag coefficient relationships for studying altitudes between 80 and 120 Km. The improved drag coefficient relationships revealed a considerable error in previous falling sphere drag interpretation. These data were reanalyzed using the more accurate relationships. Theoretical investigations of the drag coefficient in the very low speed ratio region were also conducted.

Karr, G. R.↗
NASA NTRS2005

On-Line Loss of Control Detection Using Wavelets

Wavelet transforms are used for on-line detection of aircraft loss of control. Wavelet transforms are compared with Fourier transform methods and shown to more rapidly detect changes in the vehicle dynamics. This faster response is due to a time window that decreases in length as the frequency increases. New wavelets are defined that further decrease the detection time by skewing the shape of the envelope. The wavelets are used for power spectrum and transfer function estimation. Smoothing is used to tradeoff the variance of the estimate with detection time. Wavelets are also used as front-end to the eigensystem reconstruction algorithm. Stability metrics are estimated from the frequency response and models, and it is these metrics that are used for loss of control detection. A Matlab toolbox was developed for post-processing simulation and flight data using the wavelet analysis methods. A subset of these methods was implemented in real time and named the Loss of Control Analysis Tool Set or LOCATS. A manual control experiment was conducted using a hardware-in-the-loop simulator for a large transport aircraft, in which the real time performance of LOCATS was demonstrated. The next step is to use these wavelet analysis tools for flight test support.

Brenner, Martin J.↗
DOE OSTI2015

SELF-CONSISTENT ORBITS AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES FOR EIGHT SINGLE-LINED SPECTROSCOPIC BINARIES

For single-lined spectroscopic binaries (SB1s), self-consistent orbits can be determined via a simultaneous fit including both radial velocity data and the Hipparcos Intermediate Astrometric Data. Using the ratio λ of the semimajor axes of the photocenter to the primary orbits, the present paper develops an iterative fitting method. First, an initial orbit of an SB1 is determined with the assumption that λ equals 1. On the basis of this orbit, we use a stellar evolutionary model to distribute the total mass and luminosity to the primary and the secondary and update λ from the component mass and luminosity ratios. Then the orbit is updated using the updated value of λ, which completes a step of the iterative process. If this process is convergent, the resulting orbit is compatible with the physical properties of component stars. By using this method, the orbital solutions of eight SB1s as well as the physical properties are determined. We find that the component magnitude differences of these systems are very large, except for HIP 7143 and 45333. This suggests that only the secondaries of the two systems can be resolved with the present-day observational techniques, which is in agreement with recent observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS2009

A Data Matrix Method for Improving the Quantification of Element Percentages of SEM/EDX Analysis

A simple 2D M N matrix involving sample preparation enables the microanalyst to peer below the noise floor of element percentages reported by the SEM/EDX (scanning electron microscopy/ energy dispersive x-ray) analysis, thus yielding more meaningful data. Using the example of a 2 3 sample set, there are M = 2 concentration levels of the original mix under test: 10 percent ilmenite (90 percent silica) and 20 percent ilmenite (80 percent silica). For each of these M samples, N = 3 separate SEM/EDX samples were drawn. In this test, ilmenite is the element of interest. By plotting the linear trend of the M sample s known concentration versus the average of the N samples, a much higher resolution of elemental analysis can be performed. The resulting trend also shows how the noise is affecting the data, and at what point (of smaller concentrations) is it impractical to try to extract any further useful data.

Lane, John↗
DOE OSTI2020

Square Kilometre Array Science Data Challenge 1: analysis and results

ABSTRACT As the largest radio telescope in the world, the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) will lead the next generation of radio astronomy. The feats of engineering required to construct the telescope array will be matched only by the techniques developed to exploit the rich scientific value of the data. To drive forward the development of efficient and accurate analysis methods, we are designing a series of data challenges that will provide the scientific community with high-quality data sets for testing and evaluating new techniques. In this paper, we present a description and results from the first such Science Data Challenge 1 (SDC1). Based on SKA MID continuum simulated observations and covering three frequencies (560, 1400, and 9200 MHz) at three depths (8, 100, and 1000 h), SDC1 asked participants to apply source detection, characterization, and classification methods to simulated data. The challenge opened in 2018 November, with nine teams submitting results by the deadline of 2019 April. In this work, we analyse the results for eight of those teams, showcasing the variety of approaches that can be successfully used to find, characterize, and classify sources in a deep, crowded field. The results also demonstrate the importance of building domain knowledge and expertise on this kind of analysis to obtain the best performance. As high-resolution observations begin revealing the true complexity of the sky, one of the outstanding challenges emerging from this analysis is the ability to deal with highly resolved and complex sources as effectively as the unresolved source population.

Bonaldi, A.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of a deep learning based automated data analysis for step-filter x-ray spectrometers in support of high-repetition rate short-pulse laser-driven acceleration experiments

We present a deep learning based framework for real-time analysis of a differential filter based x-ray spectrometer that is common on short-pulse laser experiments. The analysis framework was trained with a large repository of synthetic data to retrieve key experimental metrics, such as slope temperature. With traditional analysis methods, these quantities would have to be extracted from data using a time-intensive and manual analysis. Furthermore, this framework was developed for a specific diagnostic, but may be applicable to a wide variety of diagnostics common to laser experiments and thus will be especially crucial to the development of high-repetition rate (HRR) diagnostics for HRR laser systems that are coming online.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
NASA NTRS1990

Buckling analysis and test correlation of high temperature structural panels

This paper focuses on the design, analysis, and test of a high temperature structural panel, constructed of Ti-6-4, subjected to a variety of thermal and mechanical load conditions. A follow-on panel, constructed of TMC, is also discussed in less detail. The design constraints and test set-up are discussed, as well as the test methods that were used: the grid shadow moire method and a single gage force stiffness method. The agreement between the test data and analysis for this test program provides confidence in the methods that are currently being used to design structures for hypersonic vehicles. The agreement also suggests that postbuckled strength may potentially be used to reduce the vehicle weight.

Teare, Wendy P.↗
NASA NTRS1972

A method for the measurement and analysis of ride vibrations of transportation systems

The measurement and recording of ride vibrations which affect passenger comfort in transportation systems and the subsequent data-reduction methods necessary for interpreting the data present exceptional instrumentation requirements and necessitate the use of computers for specialized analysis techniques. A method is presented for both measuring and analyzing ride vibrations of the type encountered in ground and air transportation systems. A portable system for measuring and recording low-frequency, low-amplitude accelerations and specialized data-reduction procedures are described. Sample vibration measurements in the form of statistical parameters representative of typical transportation systems are also presented to demonstrate the utility of the techniques.

Catherines, J. J.↗
DOE OSTI2018

Quality Control Analysis in Real-time (QC-ART): A Tool for Real-time Quality Control Assessment of Mass Spectrometry-based Proteomics Data

Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS)-based proteomics studies of large sample cohorts can easily require from months to years to complete. Acquiring consistent, high-quality data in such large-scale studies is challenging because of normal variations in instrumentation performance over time, as well as artifacts introduced by the samples themselves, such as those due to collection, storage and processing. Existing quality control methods for proteomics data primarily focus on post-hoc analysis to remove low-quality data that would degrade downstream statistics; they are not designed to evaluate the data in near real-time, which would allow for interventions as soon as deviations in data quality are detected. In addition to flagging analyses that demonstrate outlier behavior, evaluating how the data structure changes over time can aide in understanding typical instrument performance or identify issues such as a degradation in data quality due to the need for instrument cleaning and/or re-calibration. To address this gap for proteomics, we developed Quality Control Analysis in Real-Time (QC-ART), a tool for evaluating data as they are acquired in order to dynamically flag potential issues with instrument performance or sample quality. QC-ART has similar accuracy as standard post-hoc analysis methods with the additional benefit of real-time analysis. We demonstrate the utility and performance of QC-ART in identifying deviations in data quality due to both instrument and sample issues in near real-time for LC-MS-based plasma proteomics analyses of a sample subset of The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young cohort. We also present a case where QC-ART facilitated the identification of oxidative modifications, which are often underappreciated in proteomic experiments.

Stanfill, Bryan A.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Determination of a Two-Phase Structure of Nanocrystals: GaN and SiC

The properties of nano-crystalline materials are critically dependent on the structure of the constituent grains. Experimental conditions necessary to perform structural analysis of nanocrystalline materials as a two-phase core-surface shell system are discussed. It is shown, that a standard X-ray diffraction measurements and analysis are insufficient and may lead to incorrect conclusions as to the real structure of the materials. A new method of evaluation of powder diffraction data based on the analysis of the shift of the Bragg reflections from their perfect-lattice positions was developed. "Apparent lattice parameters" quantity, alp, was introduced and calculated from the actual positions of each individual Bragg reflection. The alp values plotted versus diffraction vector (Q) show characteristic features that are used for evaluation of the experimental results. The study was based on modeling of nano-grains and simulations of theoretical intensity profiles using the Debye functions. The method was applied to the analysis of synchrotron X-ray diffraction data of GaN and SiC nanocrystals. A presence of strained surface shell and a considerable internal pressure (GaN) in the nanoparticles was concluded.

Palosz, W.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Stability Analysis of Inline ZFP Compression for Floating-Point Data in Iterative Methods

Currently, the dominating constraint in many high performance computing applications is data capacity and bandwidth, in both internode communications and even moreso in intranode data motion. A new approach to address this limitation is to make use of data compression in the form of a compressed data array. Storing data in a compressed data array and converting to standard IEEE-754 types as needed during a computation can reduce the pressure on bandwidth and storage. However, repeated conversions (lossy compression and decompression) introduce additional approximation errors, which need to be shown to not significantly affect the simulation results. Here, we extend recent work that analyzed the error of a single use of compression and decompression of the ZFP compressed data array representation to the case of time-stepping and iterative schemes, where an advancement operator is repeatedly applied in addition to the conversions. We show that the accumulated error for iterative methods involving fixed-point and time evolving iterations is bounded under standard constraints. An upper bound is established on the number of additional iterations required for the convergence of stationary fixed-point iterations. An additional analysis of traditional forward and backward error of stationary iterative methods using ZFP compressed arrays is also presented. The results of several 1D, 2D, and 3D test problems are provided to demonstrate the correctness of the theoretical bounds.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Bayesian Spectral Moment Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification

We present a Bayesian spectral fitting method developed for spectroscopic data analysis, particularly (but not solely) in the context of fusion energy research. The presented techniques are particularly valuable to estimating moments and corresponding uncertainties whenever the spectra result from line-integrated measurements in nonuniform plasmas, for which the approximation of atomic line shapes being ideal Gaussians gives poor estimates. We decompose multiple, potentially overlapping spectral lines into a sum of Gauss-Hermite polynomials, whose properties allow efficient truncation and uncertainty quantification, often with only three free parameters per atomic emission line. Tests with both synthetic and experimental data demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness where more standard nonlinear fitting routines may experience difficulties. A parallelized version of our implementation is publicly released under an open source license.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Time Distribution Analysis for Task Primitives to Support Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis

To support data collection for dynamic human reliability analysis (HRA), this study investigates time distributions for task primitives defined in the Goals, Operators, Methods, and Selection rules (GOMS)–Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) method and Human Reliability data EXtraction (HuREX). GOMS-HRA was developed to provide cognition-based time and human error probability (HEP) information for dynamic HRA calculations within the Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER) framework, while HuREX is a comprehensive HRA data collection method developed by the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI). In this paper, we examine time distributions by using experimental data collected from the Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP) study, which proposes an HRA data collection framework to complement full-scope simulator research and gather input data for dynamic HRA by using simplified simulators such as the Rancor Microworld simulator. This paper investigates whether the time required for GOMS-HRA and HuREX task primitives fits 13 statistical distributions. Additionally, we compare and discuss the time distributions obtained from both student operators and professional operators. The result was that this study identified several time distributions for five GOMS-HRA and four HuREX task primitives. In the future, the results of this study are expected to provide objective reference data on the elapsed time for task primitives and aid in realistically simulating scenarios within dynamic HRA.

Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis↗
DOE OSTI2015

Tau-REx I: A next generation retrieval code for exoplanetary atmospheres

Spectroscopy of exoplanetary atmospheres has become a well established method for the characterization of extrasolar planets. We here present a novel inverse retrieval code for exoplanetary atmospheres. T-REx(Tau Retrieval for Exoplanets) is a line-by-line radiative transfer fully Bayesian retrieval framework. T-REx includes the following features:(1) the optimized use of molecular line lists from the ExoMol project; (2) an unbiased atmospheric composition prior selection, through custom built pattern recognition software; (3) the use of two independent algorithms to fully sample the Bayesian likelihood space: nested sampling as well as a more classical Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach; (4) iterative Bayesian parameter and model selection using the full Bayesian Evidence as well as the Savage–Dickey Ratio for nested models; and (5) the ability to fully map very large parameter spaces through optimal code parallelization and scalability to cluster computing. In this publication we outline the T-REx framework and demonstrate, using a theoretical hot-Jupiter transmission spectrum, the parameter retrieval and model selection. We investigate the impact of signal-to-noise ratio and spectral resolution on the retrievability of individual model parameters, both in terms of error bars on the temperature and molecular mixing ratios as well as its effect on the model’s global Bayesian evidence.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Specifications of FIPD Fission Gas Release Data

All fission gas release data stored in the Fuels Irradiation & Physics Database (FIPD) was originally measured using the Gas Assay, Sample and Recharge (GASR) System in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF). It is therefore called GASR data in FIPD. During the measurement of a sample, such as an irradiated EBR-II fuel element/capsule, a pinhole-sized region near the top of the element plenum was melted by a laser. Plenum gas then expanded into a calibrated volume (note: in this document, “sample” and “capsule/element” are used interchangeably consistent with GASR documents in FIPD). The pressure rise in the volume was recorded. Helium backfilling and expansion was then performed to determine the sample (e.g., fuel element plenum) volume using Boyle’s Law and assuming ideal gas behavior at constant temperature. With the plenum volume and the recorded pressure rise, the sample (e.g., fuel element plenum) pressure was derived with assumption of ideal gas law behavior. The plenum volume and pressure as well as the cladding temperature during the measurement were collected (GASR data in FIPD). Other records associated with the fission gas release data include: raw GASR data records including volumes and post-puncture pressures of seal head/sealing head and manifold, calibration data, backfilling gas pressure data, and the data analysis records. A sample(s) of the fission gas released from the plenum was collected by the GASR system into sample bottles. The chemical and isotopic composition of the gas sample was analyzed separately from GASR data, and will be discussed in a separate specification. The plenum volume, pressure, and cladding temperature during the measurement are typically utilized to determine the number of moles of gas in the plenum. This quantity is often compared to the number of moles of gas generated by fission events. However, calculating these values and their associated uncertainty is beyond the scope of this document, as it necessitates additional assumptions. The most important document to understand the FIPD fission gas data is the GASR operational manual (title: Gas Assay, Sample and Recharge System (GASR) operation and maintenance manual, HFEF/N OMM 4381, DOC. NO. W0018-0032-ES-00). This manual provides: (1) description of the GASR and the functions of each component (laser drilling, welding, seal head/sealing head, manifold, vacuum system, sample system, purge and gas tag system, etc.); (2) step-by-step guidance on calibrations, operations, and measurements; and (3) maintenance procedures and other details relating to the structure and operation of the GASR. Note that the original GASR operated until 2020. A new GASR with the same design and measurement methodology was installed in 2021. The specifications of the GASR presented on the HFEF website at this time are consistent with the ones given in the operational manual. The methods to calculate the plenum volume and pressures were not included in the operational manual, but were recorded in the legacy data analysis files. Details of the methods are given in Chapter 3.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Upper mantle structure of central and West Antarctica from array analysis of Rayleigh wave phase velocities

Abstract The seismic velocity structure of Antarctica is important, both as a constraint on the tectonic history of the continent and for understanding solid Earth interactions with the ice sheet. We use Rayleigh wave array analysis methods applied to teleseismic data from recent temporary broadband seismograph deployments to image the upper mantle structure of central and West Antarctica. Phase velocity maps are determined using a two–plane wave tomography method and are inverted for shear velocity using a Monte Carlo approach to estimate three‐dimensional velocity structure. Results illuminate the structural dichotomy between the East Antarctic Craton and West Antarctica, with West Antarctica showing thinner crust and slower upper mantle velocity. West Antarctica is characterized by a 70–100 km thick lithosphere, underlain by a low‐velocity zone to depths of at least 200 km. The slowest anomalies are beneath Ross Island and the Marie Byrd Land dome and are interpreted as upper mantle thermal anomalies possibly due to mantle plumes. The central Transantarctic Mountains are marked by an uppermost mantle slow‐velocity anomaly, suggesting that the topography is thermally supported. The presence of thin, higher‐velocity lithosphere to depths of about 70 km beneath the West Antarctic Rift System limits estimates of the regionally averaged heat flow to less than 90 mW/m 2 . The Ellsworth‐Whitmore block is underlain by mantle with velocities that are intermediate between those of the West Antarctic Rift System and the East Antarctic Craton. We interpret this province as Precambrian continental lithosphere that has been altered by Phanerozoic tectonic and magmatic activity.

Heeszel, David S.↗