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At least 901 records · Page 50

PV Field Reliability Status--Analysis of 100,000 Solar Systems

In this paper, we analyzed annual production data from 100 000 photovoltaic systems as well as comments relating to their performance and maintenance. Our analysis revealed that 80% to 90% of all systems performed within 10% of the predicted production or better. Also, 56% of the systems were still performing above P50 or the median at 5 years. However, a small but significant tail of about 7000 systems perform below P90 expectations. In general, residential systems have a lower rate of failure than utility or commercial systems. Despite higher rates of component failures, utility systems lose less power than residential or commercial systems. This outcome is likely due to closer monitoring and better operations and maintenance practices. Inverters are still the components that reportedly fail most often (4%-6%), but other failures such as unspecified repair and meters cause more production loss. Reported module failures are relatively rare (0.2%) and are within the range of historical values. Installation quality affects performance and safety as indicated by data showing connector, wiring, breaker, and fuse failures due to undersizing, electrical design, and improper connection. Lastly, early detection of degradation and proactive response resulted in less impact on production than reactive, unplanned repairs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Electromagnetic compatibility qualification of power electronics for I and C power applications - 152

Electromagnetic Compatibility (EMC) is a growing field in nuclear equipment qualification. Previously confined to I and C equipment residing in control and cable spreading rooms, EMC qualification has expanded to include the inverters and battery chargers which often power safety-related I and C equipment, as well as adjustable speed drives and material handling equipment which could potentially affect sensitive safety-related I and C systems. Because much of the data collected to form the current EMC limits and guidance was collected from low-power equipment in relatively low EMI environments, the same guidance, applied to power electronic equipment, produces overly conservative estimations of the performance needed for EMC. Excessive modification in an attempt to bring the equipment into compliance with EMC limits may not be necessary. This paper provides a brief summary of current applicable EMC guidance and demonstrates a road map for the qualification of larger, more powerful devices which takes into account the entire EMC process, including design, testing, mapping of the installed location, and justification of EMC failures with the end goal being successful, timely, and cost-effective implementation of upgrades and compatibility with existing plant infrastructure (in the intended installation environment), even if equipment exceeds traditional operating envelopes. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Experimental Validation of a 40kW, 480V Point-to-Point DC Interlinks for Controller-Agnostic, Interoperable Networked Microgrids

This paper presents the experimental validation of point-to-point dc-interlinks for interconnecting two solar-based, laboratory-scale AC microgrids. DC interlinks provide a solution to numerous technical and operational challenges encountered in networked microgrids, including precise power flow control, stable and fast synchronization, enhanced stability, and improved voltage and frequency regulation. By decoupling microgrids through power converters, dc-interlinks enable power exchange among microgrids that can be owned by different entities (such as communities, utilities, or universities) and managed by diverse microgrid controller vendors. This characteristic makes this dc-interlinks a promising solution for networking real-world microgrids. The presented point-to-point dc interlink utilizes two four-quadrant converters: a 40kW 3-phase ac/dc regulating the dc-link voltage to 800V, and a 3-phase dc/ac controlling power flow. These converters, connected via a 20-foot dc cable, interconnect two ac microgrids operating at 480V, each featuring energy storage, photovoltaic generation, and load emulation. Experimental validation employs commercially available off-the-shelf (COTS) converters and real-world data from solar-powered microgrids in Adjuntas, Puerto Rico. To the authors’ knowledge, this work provides the first at-scale experimental validation of dc-interlinks for networked ac microgrids using COTS inverters, demonstrating their practicality and effectiveness in addressing real-world operational challenges.

Ferrari Maglia, Max [ORNL]↗

Multiobjective Optimization of Regional and Teleseismic Data to Constrain the Source of the 12 September 2016 Mw 5.4 Earthquake in South Korea

In this paper, we propose a new approach for source inversion with automatic criteria for the station selection process and using a multiobjective optimization scheme combining teleseismic body-wave and regional surface-wave observations. To illustrate the approach, we determine the source parameters of the 12 September 2016 M w 5.4 South Korea earthquake, as well as its foreshock (same day) and its main aftershock on 19 September 2016. Available teleseismic (short period and broadband) and regional (broadband) seismograms from the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology International–Federation of Digital Seismograph Networks (IRIS-FDSN) webservice are selected (see Data and Resources). First, all teleseismic data with signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) above 2 in the 0.3–1.5 Hz frequency band are selected and a cepstrum function is blindly applied to help detect reflected wave arrivals inside a P coda. This method allows the identification of records with weak P-coda and clear depth phase (pP, sP) arrivals and can be used to select an optimal set of teleseismic seismograms to be used for the inversion. Second, regional seismograms are selected according to the fit between their observed and theoretical dispersion curves extracted from local 1D velocity model. Depending on the epicentral distance, two frequency bands are proposed for regional data: 15–50 s for epicentral distances smaller than 2° and 30–80 s otherwise. Finally, we explore the space parameters from exhaustive grid searches for the two objective functions Tf and Rf for teleseismic and regional data, respectively. We show that the seismic moment parameters can be exclusively derived from Rf and can be fixed for Tf. However, the depth parameter is not sensitive to Rf and can be simultaneously inverted from both. The selection of the optimal solution satisfying both cost functions uses the optimum Pareto front that allows a decrease in epistemic uncertainty. Lastly, we discuss the advantage of this approach for improving the characterization of moderate earthquake sources in areas with limited regional instrumentation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Hydrologic Impacts of a Strike-Slip Fault Zone: Insights from Joint 3D Body-Wave Tomography of Rock Valley

The Rock Valley fault zone (RVFZ), an intraplate strike-slip fault zone in the southern Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), hosted a series of very shallow (<3 km) earthquakes in 1993. The RVFZ may also have hydrological significance within the NNSS, potentially playing a role in regional groundwater flow, but there is a lack of local hydrological data. In the Spring of 2021, we collected active-source accelerated weight drop seismic data over part of the RVFZ to better characterize the shallow subsurface. Here, we manually picked ~17,000 P-wave travel times and over 14,000 S-wave travel times, which were inverted for P-wave velocity (V P ), S-wave velocity (V S ), and V P /V S ratio in a 3D joint tomographic inversion scheme. Seismic velocities are imaged as deep as ~700 m in areas and generally align with geologic and structural expectations. V P and V S are relatively reduced near mapped and inferred faults, with the most prominent lower V P and V S zone around the densest collection of faults. We image V P /V S ratios ranging from ~1.5 to ~2.4, the extremes of which occur at a depth of ~100 m and are juxtaposed across a fault. One possible interpretation of the imaged seismic velocities is enhanced fault damage near the densest collection of faults with relatively higher porosity and/or crack density at ~100 m depth, with patches of semiperched groundwater present in the sedimentary rock in higher V P /V S areas and drier rock in lower V P /V S areas. A relatively higher V P /V S area beneath the densest faults persists at depth, which suggests percolation of groundwater via the fault damage zone to the regionally connected lower carbonate aquifer. Potentially, the presence and movement of groundwater may have played a role in the 1993 earthquake aftershocks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Iterative and Self-Consistent Estimation of Degradation and Soiling Loss in PV Systems - A Case Study

In many parts of the world, soiling is a significant loss mechanism for PV energy production. Methods for accurately quantifying historical and current soiling losses are needed. Furthermore, state-of-the-art methods to estimate degradation rates based on production data do not handle soiling in a satisfactory manner. In order to accurately estimate either of these quantities, it is in many cases helpful to consider their combined effect on PV system performance. In this work we make use of the Combined Degradation and Soiling (CODS) algorithm, which iteratively decomposes time series of daily normalized energy yield into four components: a soiling ratio, a degradation trend, seasonal variations, and noise. We demonstrate the use of the model on field performance data from a utility-scale power plant in a high-soiling environment in the Middle East. We apply the algorithm to the temperature-corrected performance index of the DC power on inverter level, quantifying how soiling varies over time and through the plant. The irradiation-weighted average soiling loss in this plant is 2.3 %, with a median soiling rate of -0.086 %/day. Between the inverters in the site in study, estimated degradation rates range between -0.86 %/year and -0.15 %/year, with a mean rate of -0.48 %/year.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Definition study for photovoltaic residential prototype system

A site evaluation was performed to assess the relative merits of different regions of the country in terms of the suitability for experimental photovoltaic powered residences. Eight sites were selected based on evaluation criteria which included population, photovoltaic systems performance and the cost of electrical energy. A parametric sensitivity analysis was performed for four selected site locations. Analytical models were developed for four different power system implementation approaches. Using the model which represents a direct (or float) charge system implementation the performance sensitivity to the following parameter variations is reported: (1) solar roof slope angle; (2) ratio of the number of series cells in the solar array to the number of series cells in the lead-acid battery; and (3) battery size. For a Cleveland site location, a system with no on site energy storage and with a maximum power tracking inverter which feeds back excess power to the utility was shown to have 19 percent greater net system output than the second place system. The experiment test plan is described. The load control and data acquisition system and the data display panel for the residence are discussed.

Shepard, N. F.↗

Sources of field-aligned currents in the auroral plasma

Data from the Dynamics Explorer 1 High Altitude Plasma Instrument (HAPI) and magnetometer are used to investigate the sources of field-aligned currents in the nightside auroral zone. It is found that the formula developed by S. Knight predicts the field-aligned current density fairly accurately in regions where a significant potential drop can be inferred from the HAPI data; there are, however, regions in which the proportionality between potential drop and field-aligned current does not hold. In particular, occurrences of strong upward field-aligned current associated not with inverted-V events but instead with suprathermal bursts are noted. In addition, upward field-aligned currents are often observed to peak near the edges of inverted-V events, rather than in the center as would be predicted by Knight.

Marshall, J. A.↗

Noise and Spreading of a Subsonic Coannular Jet - Comparison with Single Equivalent Jet

The issue of scaling of noise as well as spreading of subsonic coannular jets is revisited. Far-field noise and centerline Pitot-static pressure surveys are conducted with concentric, circular nozzles having an outer-to-inner diameter ratio of 1.42. Both the inner nozzle and the outer annular passage are convergent. Outer-to-inner Mach number ratio (R) is varied over a large range from 0 to approximately 10. Results are examined on the basis of single equivalent jet parameters calculated by satisfying continuity, momentum and energy equations. The results confirm that coannular jets with normal velocity profiles are noisier than the single equivalent jet. Jets with "inverted" velocity profiles are also found to be noisier except in a narrow R-range of 1-1.5. In the latter range, contrasting the inference in previous studies of IVP jets, the present data do not exhibit a clear noise reduction. When normalized with equivalent jet parameters the asymptotic Mach number decay rate, as well as potential core length, are found to be comparable to those of a single jet. However, an abrupt shift in the virtual origin is noted across R=1.

Zaman, K. B. M. Q.↗

Reliability and Geographic Trends of 50,000 Photovoltaic Systems in the USA: Preprint

This paper presents performance and reliability data from nearly 50,000 photovoltaic (PV) systems totaling 1.7 gigawatts installed capacity in the USA from 2009 to 2012 and their geographic trends. About 90% of the normal systems and about 85% of all systems, including systems with known issues, performed to within 10% or better of expected performance. Although considerable uncertainty may exist due to the nature of the data, hotter climates appear to exhibit some degradation not seen in the more moderate climates. Special causes of underperformance and their impacts are delineated by reliability category. Hardware-related issues are dominated by inverter problems (totaling less than 0.5%) and underperforming modules (totaling less than 0.1%). Furthermore, many reliability categories show a significant decrease in occurrence from year 1 to subsequent years, emphasizing the need for higher-quality installations but also the need for improved standards development. The probability of PV system damage because of hail is below 0.05%. Singular weather events can have a significant impact such as a single lightning strike to a transformer or the impact of a hurricane. However, grid outages are more likely to have a significant impact than PV system damage when extreme weather events occur.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Utility Perspective on Protection Challenges with High Penetration of IBRs

Utilities have seen rapid increase in Solar, Wind, and Battery Energy Storage Resources that interconnect to their electric system through Inverters. Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) have fault current characteristics that are unlike the fault current response of traditional rotating-machine-based generators, which is well known and repeatable. IBR’s non-traditional fault current behavior is due to the IBR control scheme, which is configured to provide a clean AC output but also protect the inverter’s sensitive power electronics devices from damage, one source of which is overcurrent. This results in low fault current magnitude, low or no negative sequence current injection, the variability of sequence component currents, the variability of voltage with respect to current angles, and the lack of inertia. The control scheme also results in a fault current response that can vary between manufactures and between models of the same manufacturer. High penetration of IBRs can adversely affect the protection schemes applied in areas with high penetration of IBRs. With the proliferation of IBRs, utilities are finding out that conventional protection schemes are not adequately equipped to protect the electric systems. This is mainly because the existing protection elements and practices have been designed based on the fault current response of conventional rotating machines. In several cases, the available literature does not provide any clear solution for the issues when the protection scheme does not operate properly near IBRs. This report / presentation identifies various protection challenges due to IBRs that industry is facing, from the utility perspective. Instead of facing on one issue, this report looks broadly on all the challenges that system protection has experienced with high penetration of IBRs. Based on the IBR response from various utilities during real fault events and gathering perspective from different utility SMEs via questionnaire, the report summarizes on gathered data and internal experiences.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

U.S. emissions of HFC-134a derived for 2008-2012 from an extensive flask-air sampling network: US emissions of HFC-134a

U.S. national and regional emissions of HFC-134a are derived for 2008-2012 based on atmospheric observations from ground and aircraft sites across the U.S. and a newly developed regional inverse model. Synthetic data experiments were first conducted to optimize the model assimilation design and to assess model-data mismatch errors and prior flux error covariances computed using a maximumlikelihood estimation technique. The synthetic data experiments also tested the sensitivity of derived national and regional emissions to a range of assumed prior emissions, with the goal of designing a system that was minimally reliant on the prior. We then explored the influence of additional sources of error in inversions with actual observations, such as those associated with background mole fractions and transport uncertainties. Estimated emissions of HFC-134a range from 52 to 61 Gg yr -1 for the contiguous U.S. during 2008-2012 for inversions using air transport from Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model driven by the 12km resolution meteorogical data from North American Mesoscale Forecast System (NAM12) and all tested combinations of prior emissions and background mole fractions. Estimated emissions for 2008-2010 were 20% lower when specifying alternative transport from Stochastic Time-Inverted Lagrangian Transport (STILT) model driven by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) meteorology. Our estimates (for HYSPLIT-NAM12) are consistent with annual emissions reported by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for the full study interval. The results suggest a 10-20% drop in U.S. national HFC-134a emission in 2009 coincident with a reduction in transportation-related fossil fuel CO 2 emissions, perhaps related to the economic recession. All inversions show seasonal variation in national HFC-134a emissions in all years, with summer emissions greater than winter emissions by 20-50%.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

CANVAS: An Adjoint Waveform Tomography Model of California and Nevada

Abstract We present the California‐Nevada Adjoint Simulations (CANVAS) model, an adjoint waveform tomography model of the crust and uppermost mantle of the states of California and Nevada. We used WUS256 (Rodgers et al., 2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jb024549 ) as the starting model and iteratively decreased the minimum period of CANVAS from 30 to 12 s. CANVAS was iterated in two distinct stages: the first stage with source mechanisms from the Global Centroid Moment Tensor (GCMT) catalog and the second stage with inverted moment tensors (MT) using the CANV_WUS model (Doody et al., 2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023jb026463 ). We show that updating the MTs with 3D Green's functions improved waveform fits and azimuthal coverage of windowed data used to calculate the gradients. As for the model itself, we improved waveform fits over WUS256, particularly in the dispersed surface waves. CANVAS resolved tectonic features seen in other models and accurately defined the depth to basement of major basins, including the Central Valley and the Ventura Basin. We propose CANVAS as a starting model for crustal tomography models on smaller scales.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Results of the LEGEND-200 experiment in the search for $0νββ$ decay

The LEGEND experiment is looking for the extremely rare neutrinoless double beta (0νββ) decay of 76 Ge using isotopically-enriched high-purity germanium (HPGe) detectors. The detection of this process would imply that the neutrino is a Majorana particle and the total lepton number would not be conserved, which could be related to the cosmological asymmetry between matter and antimatter through leptogenesis. The long-term goal of the collaboration is LEGEND-1000: a 1-ton detector array planned to run for 10 years, with a projected half-life sensitivity exceeding 10 28 years, fully covering the inverted neutrino mass hierarchy. A first search for the 0νββ decay has been carried out by LEGEND-200 building on the experience gained from GERDA and the MAJORANA DEMONSTRATOR. The experiment has been collecting physics data for a year at the Gran Sasso National Laboratory in Italy with 140 kg of HPGe detectors. With a total exposure of 61 kg yr, LEGEND-200 has achieved a background index of $5_{−2}^{+3}$ × 10 −4 counts/(keV kg yr) in the 0νββ decay signal region from the highest performing detectors. After combining the results from GERDA, the MAJORANA Demonstrator and LEGEND-200, an exclusion sensitivity > 2.8 × 10 26 yr has been obtained at 90% confidence level for the 0νββ decay half-life, with no evidence for a signal. A new observed lower limit of $T_{1/2}^{0v} >$ 1.9 × 10 26 yr at 90% confidence level has been established.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Numerical modelling of instantaneous plate tectonics

Assuming lithospheric plates to be rigid, 68 spreading rates, 62 fracture zones trends, and 106 earthquake slip vectors are systematically inverted to obtain a self-consistent model of instantaneous relative motions for eleven major plates. The inverse problem is linearized and solved iteratively by a maximum-likelihood procedure. Because the uncertainties in the data are small, Gaussian statistics are shown to be adequate. The use of a linear theory permits (1) the calculation of the uncertainties in the various angular velocity vectors caused by uncertainties in the data, and (2) quantitative examination of the distribution of information within the data set. The existence of a self-consistent model satisfying all the data is strong justification of the rigid plate assumption. Slow movement between North and South America is shown to be resolvable.

Minster, J. B.↗

The interpretation of crustal dynamics data in terms of plate motions and regional deformation near plate boundaries

During our participation in the NASA Crustal Dynamics Project under NASA contract NAS-27339 and grant NAG5-814 for the period 1982-1991, we published or submitted for publication 30 research papers and 52 abstracts of presentations at scientific meetings. In addition, five M.I.T. Ph.D. students (Eric Bergman, Steven Bratt, Dan Davis, Jeanne Sauber, Anne Sheehan) were supported wholly or in part by this project during their thesis research. Highlights of our research progress during this period include the following: application of geodetic data to determine rates of strain in the Mojave block and in central California and to clarify the relation of such strain to the San Andreas fault and Pacific-North American plate motions; application of geodetic data to infer post seismic deformation associated with large earthquakes in the Imperial Valley, Hebgen Lake, Argentina, and Chile; determination of the state of stress in oceanic lithosphere from a systematic study of the centroid depths and source mechanisms of oceanic intraplate earthquakes; development of models for the state of stress in young oceanic regions arising from the differential cooling of the lithosphere; determination of the depth extent and rupture characteristics of oceanic transform earthquakes; improved determination of earthquake slip vectors in the Gulf of California, an important data set for the estimation of Pacific-North American plate motions; development of models for the state of stress and mechanics of fold-and-thrust belts and accretionary wedges; development of procedures to invert geoid height, residual bathymetry, and differential body wave travel time residuals for lateral variations in the characteristic temperature and bulk composition of the oceanic upper mantle; and initial GPS measurements of crustal deformation associated with the Imperial-Cerro Prieto fault system in southern California and northern Mexico. Full descriptions of the research conducted on these topics may be found in the Semi-Annual status Reports submitted regularly to NASA over the course of this project and in the publications listed.

Solomon, Sean C.↗

Acoustic Investigation of Jet Mixing Noise in Dual Stream Nozzles

In an earlier study, a prediction model for jet noise in dual stream jets was proposed that is founded on velocity scaling laws in single stream jets and similarity features of the mean velocity and turbulent kinetic energy in dual stream flows. The model forms a composite spectrum from four component single-stream jets each believed to represent noise-generation from a distinct region in the actual flow. While the methodology worked effectively at conditions considered earlier, recent examination of acoustic data at some unconventional conditions indicate that further improvements are necessary in order to expand the range of applicability of the model. The present work demonstrates how these predictions compare with experimental data gathered by NASA and industry for the purpose of examining the aerodynamic and acoustic performance of such nozzles for a wide range of core and fan stream conditions. Of particular interest are jets with inverted velocity and temperature profiles and the appearance of a second spectral peak at small aft angles to the jet under such conditions. It is shown that a four-component spectrum succeeds in modeling the second peak when the aft angle refraction effects are properly incorporated into the model. A tradeoff of noise emission takes place between two turbulent regions identified as transition and fully mixed regions as the fan stream velocity exceeds that of the core stream. The effect of nozzle discharge coefficients will also be discussed.

Khavaran, Abbas↗