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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2016

Characterizing Sierra Nevada Snowpack Using Variable-Resolution CESM

The location, timing, and intermittency of precipitation in California make the state integrally reliant on winter-season snowpack accumulation to maintain its economic and agricultural livelihood. Of particular concern is that winter-season snowpack has shown a net decline across the western United States over the past 50 years, resulting in major uncertainty in water-resource management heading into the next century. Cutting-edge tools are available to help navigate and preemptively plan for these uncertainties. This paper uses a next-generation modeling technique-variable-resolution global climate modeling within the Community Earth System Model (VR-CESM)-at horizontal resolutions of 0.125° (14 km) and 0.25° (28 km). VR-CESM provides the means to include dynamically large-scale atmosphere-ocean drivers, to limit model bias, and to provide more accurate representations of regional topography while doing so in a more computationally efficient manner than can be achieved with conventional general circulation models. This paper validates VR-CESM at climatological and seasonal time scales for Sierra Nevada snowpack metrics by comparing them with the "Daymet," "Cal-Adapt," NARR, NCEP, and North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) reanalysis datasets, the MODIS remote sensing dataset, the SNOTEL observational dataset, a standard-practice global climate model (CESM), and a regional climate model (WRF Model) dataset. Overall, given California's complex terrain and intermittent precipitation and that both of the VR-CESM simulations were only constrained by prescribed sea surface temperatures and data on sea ice extent, a 0.68 centered Pearson product-moment correlation, a negative mean SWE bias of < 7 mm, an interquartile range well within the values exhibited in the reanalysis datasets, and a mean December-February extent of snow cover that is within 7% of the expected MODIS value together make apparent the efficacy of the VR-CESM framework.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2013

Simple Sensitivity Analysis for Orion Guidance Navigation and Control

The performance of Orion flight software, especially its GNC software, is being analyzed by running Monte Carlo simulations of Orion spacecraft flights. The simulated performance is analyzed for conformance with flight requirements, expressed as performance constraints. Flight requirements include guidance (e.g. touchdown distance from target) and control (e.g., control saturation) as well as performance (e.g., heat load constraints). The Monte Carlo simulations disperse hundreds of simulation input variables, for everything from mass properties to date of launch. We describe in this paper a sensitivity analysis tool ("Critical Factors Tool" or CFT) developed to find the input variables or pairs of variables which by themselves significantly influence satisfaction of requirements or significantly affect key performance metrics (e.g., touchdown distance from target). Knowing these factors can inform robustness analysis, can inform where engineering resources are most needed, and could even affect operations. The contributions of this paper include the introduction of novel sensitivity measures, such as estimating success probability, and a technique for determining whether pairs of factors are interacting dependently or independently. The tool found that input variables such as moments, mass, thrust dispersions, and date of launch were found to be significant factors for success of various requirements. Examples are shown in this paper as well as a summary and physics discussion of EFT-1 driving factors that the tool found.

Pressburger, Tom↗
NASA NTRS2013

Simple Sensitivity Analysis for Orion GNC

The performance of Orion flight software, especially its GNC software, is being analyzed by running Monte Carlo simulations of Orion spacecraft flights. The simulated performance is analyzed for conformance with flight requirements, expressed as performance constraints. Flight requirements include guidance (e.g. touchdown distance from target) and control (e.g., control saturation) as well as performance (e.g., heat load constraints). The Monte Carlo simulations disperse hundreds of simulation input variables, for everything from mass properties to date of launch.We describe in this paper a sensitivity analysis tool (Critical Factors Tool or CFT) developed to find the input variables or pairs of variables which by themselves significantly influence satisfaction of requirements or significantly affect key performance metrics (e.g., touchdown distance from target). Knowing these factors can inform robustness analysis, can inform where engineering resources are most needed, and could even affect operations. The contributions of this paper include the introduction of novel sensitivity measures, such as estimating success probability, and a technique for determining whether pairs of factors are interacting dependently or independently. The tool found that input variables such as moments, mass, thrust dispersions, and date of launch were found to be significant factors for success of various requirements. Examples are shown in this paper as well as a summary and physics discussion of EFT-1 driving factors that the tool found.

Monte Carlo Simulation↗
DOE OSTI2010

Managing variability in the IO performance of petascale storage systems.

Significant challenges exist for achieving peak or even consistent levels of performance when using IO systems at scale. They stem from sharing IO system resources across the processes of single large-scale applications and/or multiple simultaneous programs causing internal and external interference, which in turn, causes substantial reductions in IO performance. This paper presents interference effects measurements for two different file systems at multiple supercomputing sites. These measurements motivate developing a 'managed' IO approach using adaptive algorithms varying the IO system workload based on current levels and use areas. An implementation of these methods deployed for the shared, general scratch storage system on Oak Ridge National Laboratory machines achieves higher overall performance and less variability in both a typical usage environment and with artificially introduced levels of 'noise'. The latter serving to clearly delineate and illustrate potential problems arising from shared system usage and the advantages derived from actively managing it.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2018

Final TCF Report for Earth Battery: Storing Energy with Compressed Air and Heated Brine in Porous Rock

Cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are best achieved when all low-carbon energy resources are fully utilized. This includes base-load power: nuclear energy (NE) and fossil energy (FE), integrated with CO 2 capture, use, and storage (CCUS), and variable renewable energy (VRE) (wind and solar); but, current CCUS options don’t justify CO 2 -capture costs and existing energy-storage approaches lack the capacity and storage duration needed to fully utilize all forms of low-carbon energy without curtailment. The Earth Battery is designed to meet these challenges by synergistically integrating conventional- and renewable-energy resources, allowing each to contribute more efficiently to the grid than if operated independently. The Earth Battery stores energy underground as pressure and heat, using compressed air and/or CO 2 , together with heated brine. These fluids are stored in either saline aquifers used for CO 2 or natural gas (NG) storage or in oil and gas reservoirs, making deployment possible over much of the U.S. We can provide enormous energy-storage capacity and duration. The main goal of this study was to assess the techno-economic feasibility of the versions of the Earth Battery that use compressed air energy storage (CAES). Current CAES systems use NG turbines and store air in salt caverns, which limits geographic deployment. Conventional CAES wastes much of the heat of air compression, comprising half of the compression energy. Our technology addresses these deficiencies by using permeable sedimentary rock to store air and the heat of compression as heated brine. When electricity is needed, air and hot brine are produced, with hot brine used to pre-heat air before it is fed into the expanders. Key factors affecting round-trip efficiency are (1) pressure loss in the air-storage reservoir, which depends on permeability (> 100 mD being needed for efficient operations) and (2) temperature loss in the hot-brine storage reservoir, which decreases with time as the storage formation heats up. The original scope of this project was to conduct a techno-economic assessment of diurnal storage with the CAES Earth Battery, including (1) Adiabatic CAES, which requires no fossil fuel and (2) NG/CAES, where one or more of the expansion stages are NG fueled. During its assessment, we found NG/CAES, generates excess heat of compression that can be put into long-term (seasonal) storage and be utilized in a combined-cycle fashion with the addition of steam turbines. This resulted in our developing a new Earth Battery technology, which we call the Thermal Earth Battery. We conducted energy-system analyses for the Thermal Earth Battery for various combinations of heat sources: (1) heat of FE combustion, (2) excess heat of compression from NG/CAES, and (3) solar thermal energy (STE). The other Earth Battery class we developed compresses CO 2 , rather than air; hence, it is called Compressed CO 2 Energy Storage (CCES). Finally, we developed an improved, more efficient, more versatile version of the Allam cycle, which uses pressurized CO 2 , and developed various options for integrating renewable energy and energy storage. Our improved Allam-cycle technology minimizes cooling-water consumption, while enabling reliable, dispatchable renewable energy. Although not anticipated in our original scope of work, our Topic 1 project evolved into a highly productive discovery process wherein we developed a portfolio of Earth Battery configuration options and use cases. Our ultimate objective was to evaluate those options and use cases and determine the most optimal first best use options for our Earth Battery technology. That process resulted in identifying seasonal energy storage as a niche where no other energy storage technology could compete with us. As a result, we have identified the Thermal Earth Battery, which uses conventional steam-turbine components, and our improved Allam-cycle integrated with renewable energy and energy storage as the most promising technologies to commercialize in our Topic 2 proposal. Finally, our scope included finding a commercialization team for a Topic 2 continuation of this project, which we have successfully completed.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Earth Battery: Storing Energy with Compressed Air and Heated Brine in Porous Rock (Final Technical Report)

Cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are best achieved when all lowcarbon energy resources are fully utilized. This includes base-load power: nuclear energy (NE) and fossil energy (FE), integrated with CO 2 capture, use, and storage (CCUS), and variable renewable energy (VRE) (wind and solar); but, current CCUS options don’t justify CO 2 -capture costs and existing energy-storage approaches lack the capacity and storage duration needed to fully utilize all forms of low-carbon energy without curtailment. The Earth Battery is designed to meet these challenges by synergistically integrating conventional- and renewable-energy resources, allowing each to contribute more efficiently to the grid than if operated independently. The Earth Battery stores energy underground as pressure and heat, using compressed air and/or CO 2 , together with heated brine. These fluids are stored in either saline aquifers used for CO 2 or natural gas (NG) storage or in oil and gas reservoirs, making deployment possible over much of the U.S. We can provide enormous energy-storage capacity and duration. The main goal of this study was to assess the techno-economic feasibility of the versions of the Earth Battery that use compressed air energy storage (CAES). Current CAES systems use NG turbines and store air in salt caverns, which limits geographic deployment. Conventional CAES wastes much of the heat of air compression, comprising half of the compression energy. Our technology addresses these deficiencies by using permeable sedimentary rock to store air and the heat of compression as heated brine. When electricity is needed, air and hot brine are produced, with hot brine used to pre-heat air before it is fed into the expanders. Key factors affecting round-trip efficiency are (1) pressure loss in the air-storage reservoir, which depends on permeability (> 100 mD being needed for efficient operations) and (2) temperature loss in the hot-brine storage reservoir, which decreases with time as the storage formation heats up.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

The impact of energy-efficiency upgrades and other distributed energy resources on a residential neighborhood-scale electrification retrofit

We report ambitious targets for carbon emissions reductions are highlighting new challenges for electrification strategies, leading to an increased focus on building load flexibility and energy management to complement the variability inherent in renewable energy generation. Over the next decade millions of existing homes could undergo electrification retrofits, and there is an urgent need to understand the potential impacts of electrifying major residential loads such as water and space heating on community load characteristics, resident energy bills, and the utility's distribution system. Behind-the-meter distributed energy resources (DERs), including efficiency measures, photovoltaics (PV), battery storage, managed electric vehicle (EV) charging, and controls such as home energy management systems (HEMS), can significantly alter a neighborhood's load profile and provide benefits to both the residents and the grid. We present a novel approach to characterizing the impact of a hypothetical neighborhood-scale residential retrofit program on individual homes' energy use profiles, associated utility bills, and the local distribution system. We modeled a mixed-fuel community of 30 single-family homes in Denver, Colorado, and compared the effects of retrofit scenarios ranging from conventional energy-efficiency upgrades to full electrification with and without more advanced DER technologies. We analyzed which packages of DERs most reliably enable demand flexibility in response to a time-of-use (TOU) rate for this and similar neighborhoods. Our buildings-to-grid co-simulation framework includes a generic secondary distribution feeder model to capture voltage profiles, transformer loading, and other grid impacts in each case. We also calculated the carbon emissions associated with energy use in the community. The methodology developed here can be broadly applied to community-scale beneficial electrification studies in other regions, climates, utility infrastructures, and building typologies to make specific, targeted recommendations based on quantified projections of energy demand in any given community. Our findings indicate that residential electrification can be achieved without negatively impacting the monthly utility bill, and that a combination of conventional energy-efficiency measures, PV, battery, controls, and managed EV charging to maximize a community's demand flexibility is a promising strategy. Adding DERs (especially PV) as part of efficient electrification produces much bigger savings than efficient electrification without DERs. A key barrier is that upgrades require upfront costs, and modest utility bill savings result in long payback periods.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

evSeq: Cost-Effective Amplicon Sequencing of Every Variant in a Protein Library

Widespread availability of protein sequence-fitness data would revolutionize both our biochemical understanding of proteins and our ability to engineer them. Unfortunately, even though thousands of protein variants are generated and evaluated for fitness during a typical protein engineering campaign, most are never sequenced, leaving a wealth of potential sequence-fitness information untapped. Primarily, this is because sequencing is unnecessary for many protein engineering strategies; the added cost and effort of sequencing is thus unjustified. It also results from the fact that, even though many lower cost sequencing strategies have been developed, they often require at least some sequencing or computational resources, both of which can be barriers to access. In this work, we present every variant sequencing (evSeq), a method and collection of tools/standardized components for sequencing a variable region within every variant gene produced during a protein engineering campaign at a cost of cents per variant. evSeq was designed to democratize low-cost sequencing for protein engineers and, indeed, anyone interested in engineering biological systems. Execution of its wet-lab component is simple, requires no sequencing experience to perform, relies only on resources and services typically available to biology labs, and slots neatly into existing protein engineering workflows. Analysis of evSeq data is likewise made simple by its accompanying software (found at github.com/fhalab/evSeq, documentation at fhalab.github.io/evSeq), which can be run on a personal laptop and was designed to be accessible to users with no computational experience. Here, low-cost and easy to use, evSeq makes collection of extensive protein variant sequence-fitness data practical.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

The importance of capturing power system operational details in resource adequacy assessments

Traditional methods for assessing the resource adequacy (RA) of a power system are becoming obsolete due to emerging trends such as the increasing deployment of variable renewable energy and storage. Consequently, analysts are recommending that RA be assessed using a Monte Carlo simulation approach that models chronological power system operations over many instances of possible operating conditions. However, this approach is necessarily more complex and computationally demanding, which is an obstacle to real-world implementation. Here, in this study, we investigate which operational details of power systems are important to capture in order to accurately evaluate a system's RA, versus details that add complexity but do not meaningfully affect RA results. To do so, we develop a probabilistic RA assessment framework by adapting an existing production cost model and apply it to a case study based on the IEEE Reliability Test System. Our results indicate that multi-year data, storage dispatch, and transmission limits are key details to incorporate. Accurate RA results can be obtained using non-economic dispatch strategies as long as they are coordinated with detailed operational strategies. We also demonstrate how popular expectation-based RA metrics can mask important differences in the characteristics of loss of load events.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2016

To The Biorefinery: Delivered Forestland and Agricultural Resources

It can be challenging and costly to transport biomass feedstock supplies from the roadside, or farmgate, to a biorefinery. Given the geographic dispersion and lowbulk density of cellulosic feedstocks, cost effective scaling of commercial biorefinery operations requires overcoming many challenges. The Biomass Research and Development Board’s Feedstock Logistics Interagency Working Group identified four primary barriers related to biorefinery commercialization: • Capacity and efficiency of harvest and collection equipment • High-moisture content leading to degradation of biomass • Variable biomass quality upon arrival at the biorefinery • Costly transportation options.1 Further, feedstock supply systems do not currently mitigate risks such as low crop yield, fire, or competition for resource use. Delivery and preprocessing improvements will allow for the development of a commercial-scale bioenergy industry that achieves national production and cost targets.

To The Biorefinery Factsheet↗
DOE OSTI2014

Strain selection, biomass to biofuel conversion, and resource colocation have strong impacts on the economic performance of algae cultivation sites

Decisions involving strain selection, biomass to biofuel technology, and the location of cultivation facilities can strongly influence the economic viability of an algae-based biofuel enterprise. In this contribution we summarize our past results in a new analysis to explore the relative economic impact of these design choices. We present strain-specific growth model results from two saline strains (Nannocloropsis salina, Arthrospira sp.), a fresh to brackish strain (Chlorella sp., DOE strain 1412), and a freshwater strain of the order Sphaeropleales. Biomass to biofuel conversion is compared between lipid extraction (LE) and hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) technologies. National-scale models of water, CO2 (as flue gas), land acquisition, site leveling, construction of connecting roads, and transport of HTL oil to existing refineries are used in conjunction with estimates of fuel value (from HTL) to prioritize and select from 88,692 unit farms (UF, 405 ha in pond area), a number sufficient to produce 136E+9 L yr-1 of renewable diesel (36 billion gallons yr-1, BGY). Strain selection and choice of conversion technology have large economic impacts, with differences between combinations of strains and biomass to biofuel technologies being up to $10 million dollars yr-1 UF-1. Results based on the most productive species, HTL-based fuel conversion, and resource costs show that the economic potential between geographic locations within the selection can differ by up to $4 million yr-1 UF-1, with 2.0 BGY of production possible from the most cost-effective sites. The local spatial variability in site rank is extreme, with very high and low rank sites within 10s of km of each other. Colocation with flue gas sources has a strong influence on site rank, but the most costly resource component varies from site to site. The highest rank sites are located predominantly in Florida and Texas, but most states south of 37°N latitude contain promising locations. Keywords: algae, biofuels, resource assessment, geographic information systems, techno-economics

algae, biofuels, resource assessment, geographic i↗
DOE OSTI2021

US building energy efficiency and flexibility as an electric grid resource

Buildings consume 75% of U.S. electricity; therefore, improving the efficiency and flexibility of building operations could increase the reliability and resilience of the rapidly-changing electricity system. We estimate the technical potential near- and long-term impacts of best available building efficiency and flexibility measures on annual electricity use and hourly demand across the contiguous U.S. Co-deployment of building efficiency and flexibility avoids up to 742 TWh of annual electricity use and 181 GW of daily net peak load in 2030, rising to 800 TWh and 208 GW by 2050; at least 59 GW and 69 GW of the peak reductions are dispatchable. Implementing efficiency measures alongside flexibility measures reduces the potential for off-peak load increases, underscoring limitations on load shifting in efficient buildings. Overall, however, we find a substantial building-grid resource that could reduce future fossil-fired generation needs while also reducing dependence on energy storage with increasing variable renewable energy penetration.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of Equivalent Battery Model Representations for Thermostatically Controlled Loads in Commercial Buildings

Models for thermostatically controlled loads in commercial buildings often include many parameters and variables compared to residential buildings. As such, it is beneficial to use reduced-order models to represent these resources. A classic example of such a model is the Virtual Battery or Equivalent Battery Model (EBM). In this paper, the typical EBM is extended to higher-order commercial Heating, Ventilation, and Air-conditioning (HVAC) models and adapted for electric water heaters. Finally, we compare the performance of EBMs with detailed thermal models using three classic optimization problems - energy maximization, energy minimization, and power reference tracking. Our results show that the EBM-constrained and detailed thermal model-constrained problems produce similar outcomes in terms of temperature, power, and total energy consumption.

commercial buildings↗
DOE OSTI2021

Carbon-Free Energy: How Much, How Soon?

The scientific consensus is that carbon emissions need to reach net zero by 2050 to stabilize a global temperature rise below 2 degrees C. Many studies have focused on reaching net zero in the power sector by 2050 and have posited the need for clean firm power sources. Resources such as nuclear, fossil generation with carbon capture and sequestration, or other technologies would be needed to complement variable wind and solar generation.

carbon dioxide↗
DOE OSTI2012

Optimal Control of Distributed Energy Resources using Model Predictive Control

In an isolated power system (rural microgrid), Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) such as renewable energy resources (wind, solar), energy storage and demand response can be used to complement fossil fueled generators. The uncertainty and variability due to high penetration of wind makes reliable system operations and controls challenging. In this paper, an optimal control strategy is proposed to coordinate energy storage and diesel generators to maximize wind penetration while maintaining system economics and normal operation. The problem is formulated as a multi-objective optimization problem with the goals of minimizing fuel costs and changes in power output of diesel generators, minimizing costs associated with low battery life of energy storage and maintaining system frequency at the nominal operating value. Two control modes are considered for controlling the energy storage to compensate either net load variability or wind variability. Model predictive control (MPC) is used to solve the aforementioned problem and the performance is compared to an open-loop look-ahead dispatch problem. Simulation studies using high and low wind profiles, as well as, different MPC prediction horizons demonstrate the efficacy of the closed-loop MPC in compensating for uncertainties in wind and demand.

Mayhorn, Ebony T.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Cybersecurity Value-at-Risk Framework

As more variable renewable energy sources are added to the grid, the role of hydropower as a reliable baseline and firming resource is growing more critical. However, the U.S hydropower fleet is not fully prepared to face modern issues such as cybersecurity threats. Hydropower accounts for 37% of U.S. utility-scale renewable electricity but is challenged by diverse infrastructure and legacy devices that predate modern security practices. While new cybersecurity solutions cannot simply be added to current hydropower generation and operation technologies, custom cybersecurity assessments can reveal system-specific threats and risk probabilities and identify mitigating enhancements.

cybersecurity valuation methodology↗
DOE OSTI2021

MACAW v1.0

The ability to embed molecules in a numeric space is essential in order to build mathematical and machine-learning models describing molecular properties or other processes affected by molecules. MACAW is a cheminformatic tool that allows embedding small molecules into a multidimensional numeric space. In the embedding, each molecule is assigned a numeric vector that captures information of the molecule in relation to other molecules, and that vector can be used as input to mathematical models. Molecules that are more similar to each other are embedded closer in this numeric space, whereas molecules that are more different are embedded further away. One advantage of the MACAW embedding technology compared to established alterantives is that it is fast and does not require extensive computational resources or expertise. In particular, MACAW embeddings can be used as input to mathematical models without the need for variable cleaning or feature selection, saving time and simplifying their use. On the other hand, MACAW also contains methods to generate new molecules and to recommend new molecules satisfying a desired molecular property. The generation of new molecules can be biased based on an input set of molecules, effectively generating molecular diversity around it. In its turn, MACAW's molecular recommendation tool is a novel method for evolving molecules in silico towards a desired molecular specification. In this method, the biased molecular generator tool is applied iteratively in combination with a molecular selection step. As a result, in each iteration the molecules selected by the software are increasingly closer to the desired specification. Both the molecular generation and the molecular recommendation tools are very fast, efficient, and intuitive to use.

Roger, VincentBlay↗
DOE OSTI2012

Renewable Electricity Futures Study., Volume 2: Renewable Electricity Generation and Storage Technologies

The Renewable Electricity Futures (RE Futures) Study investigated the challenges and impacts of achieving very high renewable electricity generation levels in the contiguous United States by 2050. The analysis focused on the sufficiency of the geographically diverse U.S. renewable resources to meet electricity demand over future decades, the hourly operational characteristics of the U.S. gridwith high levels of variable wind and solar generation, and the potential implications of deploying high levels of renewables in the future. RE Futures focused on technical aspects of high penetration of renewable electricity; it did not focus on how to achieve such a future through policy or other measures. Given the inherent uncertainties involved with analyzing alternative long-term energyfutures as well as the multiple pathways that might be taken to achieve higher levels of renewable electricity supply, RE Futures explored a range of scenarios to investigate and compare the impacts of renewable electricity penetration levels (30%-90%), future technology performance improvements, potential constraints to renewable electricity development, and future electricity demand growthassumptions. RE Futures was led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗