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Satellite Power Systems (SPS) concept definition study. Volume 2, part 2: System engineering

The latest technical and programmatic developments are considered as well as expansions of the Rockwell SPS cost model covering each phase of the program through the year 2030. Comparative cost/economic analyses cover elements of the satellite, construction system, space transportation vehicles and operations, and the ground receiving station. System plans to define time phased costs and planning requirements that support major milestones through the year 2000. A special analysis is included on natural resources required to build the SPS reference configuration. An appendix contains the SPS Work Breakdown Structure and dictionary along with detail cost data sheet on each system and main element of the program. Over 200 line items address DDT&E, theoretical first unit, investment cost per satellite, and operations charges for replacement capital and normal operations and maintenance costs.

Hanley, G. M.↗

Preconditioning of overcast-to-broken cloud transitions by riming in marine cold air outbreaks

Marine cold air outbreaks (CAOs) commonly form overcast cloud decks that transition into broken cloud fields downwind, dramatically altering the local radiation budget. In this study, we investigate the impact of frozen hydrometeors on these transitions. We focus on a CAO case in the NW Atlantic, the location of the multi-year flight campaign ACTIVATE (Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment). We use MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2) reanalysis fields to drive large eddy simulations with mixed-phase two-moment microphysics in a Lagrangian framework. We find that transitions are triggered by substantial rain (rainwater paths >25 g m−2), and only simulations that allow for aerosol depletion result in sustained breakups, as observed. Using a range of diagnostic ice nucleating particle concentrations, Ninp, we find that increasing ice progressively accelerates transitions, thus abbreviating the overcast state. Ice particles affect the cloud-topped boundary layer evolution, primarily through riming-related processes prior to substantial rain, leading to (1) a reduction in cloud liquid water, (2) early consumption of cloud condensation nuclei, and (3) early and light precipitation cooling and moistening below cloud. We refer to these three effects collectively as “preconditioning by riming”. Greater boundary layer aerosol concentrations available as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) delay the onset of substantial rain. However, cloud breakup and low CCN concentration final stages are found to be inevitable in this case, due, primarily, to liquid water path buildup. An ice-modulated cloud transition speed suggests the possibility of a negative cloud–climate feedback. To address prevailing uncertainties in the model representation of mixed-phase processes, the magnitude of ice formation and riming impacts and, thereby, the strength of an associated negative cloud–climate feedback process, requires further observational evaluation by targeting riming hot spots with in situ imaging probes that allow for both the characterization of ice particles and abundance of supercooled droplets.

Marine cold air outbreaks↗

VALIDATION OF THE EQUILIBRIUM MODEL FOR GALAXY EVOLUTION TO z ∼ 3 THROUGH MOLECULAR GAS AND DUST OBSERVATIONS OF LENSED STAR-FORMING GALAXIES

We combine IRAM Plateau de Bure Interferometer and Herschel PACS and SPIRE measurements to study the dust and gas contents of high-redshift star-forming galaxies. We present new observations for a sample of 17 lensed galaxies at z = 1.4-3.1, which allow us to directly probe the cold interstellar medium of normal star-forming galaxies with stellar masses of ∼10{sup 10} M{sub ☉}, a regime otherwise not (yet) accessible by individual detections in Herschel and molecular gas studies. The lensed galaxies are combined with reference samples of submillimeter and normal z ∼ 1-2 star-forming galaxies with similar far-infrared photometry to study the gas and dust properties of galaxies in the SFR-M{sub *}-redshift parameter space. The mean gas depletion timescale of main-sequence (MS) galaxies at z > 2 is measured to be only ∼450 Myr, a factor of ∼1.5 (∼5) shorter than at z = 1 (z = 0), in agreement with a (1 + z){sup –1} scaling. The mean gas mass fraction at z = 2.8 is 40% ± 15% (44% after incompleteness correction), suggesting a flattening or even a reversal of the trend of increasing gas fractions with redshift recently observed up to z ∼ 2. The depletion timescale and gas fractions of the z > 2 normal star-forming galaxies can be explained under the 'equilibrium model' for galaxy evolution, in which the gas reservoir of galaxies is the primary driver of the redshift evolution of specific star formation rates. Due to their high star formation efficiencies and low metallicities, the z > 2 lensed galaxies have warm dust despite being located on the star formation MS. At fixed metallicity, they also have a gas-to-dust ratio 1.7 times larger than observed locally when using the same standard techniques, suggesting that applying the local calibration of the δ{sub GDR}-metallicity relation to infer the molecular gas mass of high-redshift galaxies may lead to systematic differences with CO-based estimates.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The utility of {sup 82}Rb PET for myocardial viability assessment: Comparison with perfusion-metabolism {sup 82}Rb-{sup 18}F-FDG PET

Background: {sup 82}Rb kinetics may distinguish scar from viable but dysfunctional (hibernating) myocardium. We sought to define the relationship between {sup 82}Rb kinetics and myocardial viability compared with conventional {sup 82}Rb and {sup 18}F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) perfusion-metabolism PET imaging. Methods: Consecutive patients (N = 120) referred for evaluation of myocardial viability prior to revascularization and normal volunteers (N = 37) were reviewed. Dynamic {sup 82}Rb 3D PET data were acquired at rest. {sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET data were acquired after metabolic preparation using a standardized hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp. {sup 82}Rb kinetic parameters K{sub 1}, k{sub 2}, and partition coefficient (KP) were estimated by compartmental modeling Results: Segmental {sup 82}Rb k{sub 2} and KP differed significantly between scarred and hibernating segments identified by Rb-FDG perfusion-metabolism (k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs. 0.22 ± 0.09 min{sup −1}; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs. 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001). As compared to Rb-FDG analysis, segmental Rb KP had a c-index, sensitivity and specificity of 0.809, 76% and 84%, respectively, for distinguishing hibernating and scarred segments. Segmental k{sub 2} performed similarly, but with lower specificity (75%, P < .001) Conclusions: In this pilot study, {sup 82}Rb kinetic parameters k{sub 2} and KP, which are readily estimated using a compartmental model commonly used for myocardial blood flow, reliably differentiated hibernating myocardium and scar. Further study is necessary to evaluate their clinical utility for predicting benefit after revascularization. [French] French Abstract: Contexte: La cinétique du {sup 82}Rb pourrait être utilisée pour distinguer la fibrose myocardique des zones viables mais dysfonctionnelles (en hibernation). Dans cette étude, nous avons cherché à définir la relation entre la cinétique du {sup 82}Rb et la viabilité myocardique en comparant les images de perfusion et métabolisme myocardique utilisant le {sup 82}Rb et le {sup 18}F-fluorodésoxyglucose (FDG) Méthodes: les données obtenues chez 120 patients consécutifs (N = 120) référés pour évaluation de la viabilité du myocarde avant revascularisation et 37 volontaires considérés normaux (N = 37) ont été étudieés. Les données TEP 3D dynamiques {sup 82}Rb ont été acquises au repos. Les données TEP 3D au {sup 18}F-FDG ont été acquises après préparation métabolique utilisant une pince hyperinsulémique-euglycémique normalisée. Les paramètres k1, k2 et le coefficient de partage (KP) de la cinétique du {sup 82}R bont été évalues par modélisation compartimentale. Résultats: les paramètres k2 et KP de distribution du {sup 82}Rb se sont révélés significativement différent entre les zones tissulaires cicatricielles fibreuses et celles en hibernation identifiées par étude métabolique au FDG (k2, 0,42 ± 0,25 vs. 0,22 ± 0,09 min{sup −1}; P < 0,0001; KP, 1,33 ± 0,62 vs. 2,25 ± 0,98 ml/g; P < 0,0001). Par rapport aux données FDG, le paramètre KP du rubidium a révélé un indice de concordance de 0,809 et une sensibilité et spécificité de 76% et 84%, pour la distinction des segments en hibernation et cicatrisés. Les résultats du paramètre k2 se sont révélés similaires, mais avec une spécificité plus faible calculée à 75% (P < 0,001). Conclusions: Dans cette étude pilote, les paramètres cinétiques k2 et KP de perfusion myocardique au {sup 82}Rb, qui sont facilement estimés à l’aide d’un modèle compartimental couramment utilisé pour flux sanguin myocardique, ont permis de différencier de manière fiable le myocarde cicatricielle des zones myocardiques hibernantes. Une étude plus approfondie est souhaitable pour valider leur utilité clinique en revacularisation. [Spanish] Spanish Abstract: Antecedentes: La cinética con {sup 82}Rb puede distinguir las cicatrices miocárdicas del tejido viable pero disfuncional (hibernante). Buscamos definir la relación entre la cinética del {sup 82}Rb y la viabilidad miocárdica comparada con las imágenes convencionales de PET con {sup 82}Rb y {sup 18}F-flurodeoxyglucosa (FDG). Métodos: se evaluaron a Pacientes Consecutivos (N = 120) referidos para evaluación de viabilidad miocárdica previos a revascularización y voluntarios normales (N = 37). Los datos de PET 3D dinámico con {sup 82}Rb fueron adquiridos en reposo. Los datos de {sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET fueron adquiridos posterior a la preparación metabólica usando un clamp hiperinsulínico-euglucémico. Los patrones cinéticos K1, k2 y el coeficiente de partición (KP) fueron estimados por el modelo compartimental. Resultados: el k2 y KP del {sup 82}Rb permitueron distinguier el tejido cicatricial de los segmentos hibernados identificados por la vía perfusión metabolismo de Rb-FDG (k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs. 0.22 ± 0.09 min-1; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs. 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001). En comparación con el análisis de Rb-FDG, el KP segmentario del Rb tuvo un índice-c, sensbilidad y especificidad de 0.809 76 y 84%, respectivamente, para distinguir segmentos hibernantes y cicatriciales. k2 Segmentario tuvo un desempeño similar pero con una menor especificidad (75%, P < .001). Conclusiones: En este estudio piloto, los parámetros cinéticos k2 y KP del {sup 82}Rb, los cuales son estimados usando un modelo compartimental usado comúnmente para flujo sanguíneo miocárdico, diferenciaron el miocardio hibernante del cicatricial. Se necesita estudiar más a fondo para evaluar la utilidad clínica para la predicción del beneficio posterior a la revascularización [Chinese] Chinese Abstract: 背景: 铷-82({sup 82}Rb)药代动力学可能区分梗死与功能受损但存活的心肌(冬眠心肌)。我们将探讨{sup 82}Rb药代动力学与存活心肌的关系,并与常规的{sup 82}Rb和{sup 18}F-氟脱氧葡萄糖(FDG)灌注-代谢PET显像进行比较。 方法: 连续纳入120名血运重建前评估存活心肌的患者和37名正常志愿者。获得静息{sup 82}Rb 3D-PET动态采集数据;采用标准化的高胰岛素 - 正葡萄糖钳夹试验得到{sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET代谢显像数据; 通过房室模型计算{sup 82}Rb动力学参数k{sub 1},k{sub 2}和分配系数(KP)。 结果: 以Rb-FDG灌注代谢显像鉴定疤痕心肌组和冬眠心肌组,两组的{sup 82}Rb节段性 k{sub 2}值和KP值有明显差异(k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs 0.22 ± 0.09 min{sup −1}; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001)。以Rb-FDG灌注代谢显像为诊断标准,{sup 82}Rb节段性 KP对疤痕和冬眠心肌鉴别效能的c指数,敏感性和特异性分别是0.809, 76%和84%。节段性k{sub 2}的鉴别效能与KP相似,但特异性较低(75%,P < .001)。 结论: 在本试验性研究中,通过常规用于{sup 82}Rb心肌血流量测定的房室模型计算出的{sup 82}Rb动力学参数k{sub 2}和KP,可以有效的区分冬眠心肌和瘢痕心肌。 但需要进一步的研究来评估其对预测血运重建是否获益的临床价值。.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

A redefinition of the halo boundary leads to a simple yet accurate halo model of large-scale structure

ABSTRACT We present a model for the halo–mass correlation function that explicitly incorporates halo exclusion and allows for a redefinition of the halo boundary in a flexible way. We assume that haloes trace mass in a way that can be described using a single scale-independent bias parameter. However, our model exhibits scale-dependent biasing due to the impact of halo-exclusion, the use of a ‘soft’ (i.e. not infinitely sharp) halo boundary, and differences in the one halo term contributions to ξhm and ξmm. These features naturally lead us to a redefinition of the halo boundary that lies at the ‘by eye’ transition radius from the one-halo to the two-halo term in the halo–mass correlation function. When adopting our proposed definition, our model succeeds in describing the halo–mass correlation function with $\approx 2{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ residuals over the radial range 0.1 h−1 Mpc < r < 80 h−1 Mpc, and for halo masses in the range 1013 h−1 M⊙ < M < 1015 h−1 M⊙. Our proposed halo boundary is related to the splashback radius by a roughly constant multiplicative factor. Taking the 87 percentile as reference we find rt/Rsp ≈ 1.3. Surprisingly, our proposed definition results in halo abundances that are well described by the Press–Schechter mass function with δsc = 1.449 ± 0.004. The clustering bias parameter is offset from the standard background-split prediction by $\approx 10{{\ \rm per\ cent}}\!-\!15{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$. This level of agreement is comparable to that achieved with more standard halo definitions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Predicting oropharyngeal tumor volume throughout the course of radiation therapy from pretreatment computed tomography data using general linear models

Purpose: The purpose of this work was to develop and evaluate the accuracy of several predictive models of variation in tumor volume throughout the course of radiation therapy. Methods: Nineteen patients with oropharyngeal cancers were imaged daily with CT-on-rails for image-guided alignment per an institutional protocol. The daily volumes of 35 tumors in these 19 patients were determined and used to generate (1) a linear model in which tumor volume changed at a constant rate, (2) a general linear model that utilized the power fit relationship between the daily and initial tumor volumes, and (3) a functional general linear model that identified and exploited the primary modes of variation between time series describing the changing tumor volumes. Primary and nodal tumor volumes were examined separately. The accuracy of these models in predicting daily tumor volumes were compared with those of static and linear reference models using leave-one-out cross-validation. Results: In predicting the daily volume of primary tumors, the general linear model and the functional general linear model were more accurate than the static reference model by 9.9% (range: −11.6%–23.8%) and 14.6% (range: −7.3%–27.5%), respectively, and were more accurate than the linear reference model by 14.2% (range: −6.8%–40.3%) and 13.1% (range: −1.5%–52.5%), respectively. In predicting the daily volume of nodal tumors, only the 14.4% (range: −11.1%–20.5%) improvement in accuracy of the functional general linear model compared to the static reference model was statistically significant. Conclusions: A general linear model and a functional general linear model trained on data from a small population of patients can predict the primary tumor volume throughout the course of radiation therapy with greater accuracy than standard reference models. These more accurate models may increase the prognostic value of information about the tumor garnered from pretreatment computed tomography images and facilitate improved treatment management.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Prospects of direct search for dark photon and dark Higgs in SeaQuest/E1067 experiment at the Fermilab main injector

In this study, we present the current status and prospects of the dark sector physics search program of the SeaQuest/E1067 fixed target dimuon experiment at Fermilab Main Injector. There has been tremendous excitement and progress in searching for new physics in the dark sector in recent years. Dark sector refers to a collection of currently unknown particles that do not directly couple with the Standard Model (SM) strong and electroweak (EW) interactions but assumed to carry gravitational force, thus could be candidates of the missing Dark Matter (DM). Such particles may interact with the SM particles through “portal” interactions. Two of the simple possibilities are being investigated in our initial search: (1) dark photon and (2) dark Higgs. They could be within immediate reach of current or near future experimental search. We show there is a unique opportunity today at Fermilab to directly search for these particles in a highly motivated but uncharted parameter space in high-energy proton–nucleus collisions in the beam-dump mode using the 120 GeV proton beam from the Main Injector. Our current search window covers the mass range 0.2–10 GeV/c 2 , and in the near future, by adding an electromagnetic calorimeter (EMCal) to the spectrometer, we can further explore the lower mass region down to about ~1 MeV/c 2 through the di-electron channel. If dark photons (and/or dark Higgs) were observed, they would revolutionize our understanding of the fundamental structures and interactions of our universe.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Comparison of Newly Acquired Lunar Spectra with the Titanium Abundance Maps Derived from Clementine

The Mercury Atmospheric and Surface Composition Spectrometer (MASCS) is one of seven science instruments onboard NASA's MESSENGER mission, currently en-route to the planet Mercury. One of MASCS s components, referred to as the Visible and Near Infrared Spectrograph (VIRS), will record reflectance spectra of the surface in order to characterize the mineralogy of the planet [1]. The lunar highlands and the average mercurian crust are proposed to be compositionally similar [i.e. 2]. In preparation to interpret VIRS reflectance spectra of Mercury to be first obtained in 2008, the Moon has been observed with an engineering model of the VIRS from a ground-based telescope. In this study, the ultraviolet and visible region of the spectrum is compared with titanium content in the lunar regolith.

Holsclaw, G. M.↗

Mars Entry, Descent, Landing, and Ascent Systems Sensitivities to Landing Site and Atmospheric Dust

Plans for human missions to Mars continue to go through several architectural changes, dating all the way back to the 1950s [1]. The continuous study, reformulation, and refinement of Mars architectures and system concepts is necessary in order to incorporate evolving mission objectives, technology advancements, and growth in the body of knowledge regarding human factors and the various environments of human space travel. This evolution has continued into the 21st century, with architectures concepts such as NASA’s Design Reference Architecture 5.0 in 2009 [2], The Evolvable Mars Campaign in 2016 [3], and as recently as 2020, an architecture focused on a crewed mission as early as the 2030s that aims to minimizing crewed duration and infrastructure investment for the first mission [4]. Within these architectures, numerous studies around the current concept designs for Mars entry, descent, landing, and ascent (EDLA) systems have been performed over the last half a decade [[5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10]]. Despite the breadth and depth of these studies, landing site, a key design parameter relevant to the design of EDLA systems, has remained nebulous over the years, largely due to the ever evolving mission objectives and architecture concept over the decades. However, the specific landing site has direct impact on the altitude and atmospheric conditions, which subsequently impact the design of EDLA systems. To accommodate the lack of a specific landing site, a baseline reference altitude of 0 km relative to the Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA), which is similar to an Earth sea level reference, has typically been selected and fixed for these past studies. Similarly, a baseline reference atmosphere has typically been utilized in these studies, either the Mars Global Reference Atmospheric Model [11], or a general 1982 standard warm, high pressure atmosphere model derived from Viking lander data [12]. Fig. 1 shows the range of elevations across the surface of Mars. Current architectures are focused on latitudes greater than 30 degrees north in an effort to ensure access to frozen water ice. From the figure, it is quickly evident that elevations over the range of longitudes at or above this latitude are significantly varied between roughly -4 to +4 km MOLA. Based on these observations, initial qualitative assessments of the impacts of landing site elevation on EDLA systems were performed. Fig. 2 depicts the expected trends in EDLA system mass for variations in both land site latitude and elevation. The background coloring is a qualitative evaluation of the current knowledge on ice water availability at the latitudes. Further modeling and simulation was performed to obtain numerical predictions of sensitivities to these parameters. Results indicate up to +2% to -4% mass variation from the current baseline Mars Ascent Vehicle concept, with the potential for greater than 6% mass variation at latitudes greater than 70 degrees north. However, variations in the descent system due to landing site were much more significant with mass variations in the range of -15% to +30% around the current baseline Mars Descent System concept. Additionally, Fig. 3 provides a depiction of potential Mars atmospheric density variations with both dust and Martian season. Though the Martian atmosphere is relatively thin compared to Earth’s atmosphere, it still poses significant impact on the design of EDLA systems. Variations in atmospheric density indicated by this slice of data would have significant impact on the design of EDLA systems. However, due to the highly complex nature of atmospheric flight, a qualitative assessment could not be performed. Rather, sensitivity results relied on modeling and simulation to provide numerical results for sensitivities on the current EDLA design concepts under consideration. Understanding these sensitivities is vital to the overall systems design of a Mars architecture. The resulting mass impacts on EDLA systems, driven by landing site elevation and dust level variations, has rippling impacts throughout the architecture that, ultimately, impact the viability of the architecture. Results showed fairly minor mass impacts to the current Mars Ascent Vehicle baseline configuration, roughly -0.6% to + 0.4% mass variations, while the Mars Descent System say greater variations due to dust, roughly -4% to +6% around the baseline concept.

EDLA↗

Stabilization of Cu 2 O through Site-Selective Formation of a Co 1 Cu Hybrid Single-Atom Catalyst

Single-atom catalysts (SACs) consist of a low coverage of isolated metal atoms dispersed on a metal substrate, called single-atom alloys (SAAs), or alternatively single metal atoms coordinated to oxygen atoms on an oxide support. We present the synthesis of a new type of Co 1 Cu SAC centers on a Cu 2 O(111) support by means of a site-selective atomic layer deposition technique. Isolated metallic Co atoms selectively coordinate to the native oxygen vacancy sites (Cu sites) of the reconstructed Cu 2 O(111) surface, forming a Co 1 Cu SAA with no direct Co–O x bonds. The centers, here referred to as Co 1 Cu hybrid SACs, are found to stabilize the active Cu + sites of the low-cost Cu 2 O catalyst that otherwise is prone to deactivation under reaction conditions. The stability of the Cu 2 O(111) surface was investigated by synchrotron radiation-based ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy under reducing CO environment. The structure and reduction reaction are modeled by density functional theory calculations, in good agreement with experimental results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Topographic mapping of the moon

Contour maps of the moon have been compiled by photogrammetric methods that use stereoscopic combinations of all available metric photographs from the Apollo 15, 16, and 17 missions. The maps utilize the same format as the existing NASA shaded-relief Lunar Planning Charts (LOC-1, -2, -3, and -4), which have a scale of 1:2,750,000. The map contour interval is 500 m. A control net derived from Apollo photographs by Doyle and others was used for the compilation. Contour lines and elevations are referred to the new topographic datum of the moon, which is defined in terms of spherical harmonics from the lunar gravity field. Compilation of all four LOC charts was completed on analytical plotters from 566 stereo models of Apollo metric photographs that cover approximately 20 percent of the moon. This is the first step toward compiling a global topographic map of the moon at a scale of 1:5,000,000.

Wu, S. S. C.↗

The multichannel astrometric photometer and atmospheric limitations in the measurement of relative positions

The operational Multichannel Astrometric Photometer (MAP) now in use in the Allegheny Observatory astrometric program is the culmination of a decade of design and development effort. A detailed description of the system and its related software is followed by analysis of data acquired in four stellar regions. The study indicates an accuracy (in the sense of conformity to the best model), per night, for stars of the eighth magnitude or brighter, of 0.003 arcsec or better. These data points each have approximately twice the precision of the annual normal points obtained in our photographic program. Accuracy is shown to depend on: (1) the photon-count rate of the target star (it follows that the number of photons from the reference frame is also in important factor), (2) the duration of the observation, (3) the angular size of the reference frame, and (4) the quality of the astronomical seeing. Since (4) and, to a lesser extent, (1) involve the atmospheric characteristics at the time of observation, the probable performance at more favorable sites is discussed briefly.

Gatewood, George D.↗

Technology Integration (Task 20) Aeroservoelastic Modeling and Design Studies: Evaluation of Aeroservoelastic Effects on Flutter and Dynamic Gust Response - Part A

The HSCT Flight Controls Group has developed longitudinal control laws, utilizing PTC aeroelastic flexible models to minimize aeroservoelastic interaction effects, for a number of flight conditions. The control law design process resulted in a higher order controller and utilized a large number of sensors distributed along the body for minimizing the flexibility effects. Processes were developed to implement these higher order control laws for performing the dynamic gust loads and flutter analyses. The processes and its validation were documented in Reference 2, for selected flight condition. The analytical results for additional flight conditions are presented in this document for further validation.

Nagaraja, K. S.↗

The Impact Trajectory of Asteroid 2008 TC3

Asteroid 2008 TC3 was the rst asteroid ever discovered before reaching Earth. By using the almost 900 astrometric observations acquired prior to impact we estimate the trajectory of 2008 TC3 and the ground-track of the impact location as a function of altitude. For a reference altitude of 100 km the impact location 3- formal uncertainty is a 1.4 km 0.15 km ellipse with a semimajor axis azimuth of 105. We analyze the contribution of modeling errors and nd that the second-order zonal harmonics of the Earth gravity eld moves the ground-track by more than 1 km and the location along the ground-track by more than 2 km. Non-zonal and higher order harmonics only change the impact prediction by less than 20 m. The contribution of the atmospheric drag to the trajectory of 2008 TC3 is at the numerical integration error level, a few meters, down to an altitude of 50 km. Integrating forward to lower altitudes and ignoring the break-up of 2008 TC3, the atmospheric drag causes an along-track error that can be as large as a few kilometers at sea level. The locations of the recovered meteorites is consistent with the computed ground-track.

Trajectory↗

Lunar-surface UV Photometric Investigation of Exospheres (LUPINE): Thermal Modeling of Payload in a Relevant Daylit Environment

Direct upward remote sensing of the moon’s exosphere from a surface vantage can address production of water-related lunar volatiles as well as their exospheric loss, ballistic transport, and ultimate adsorption in permanently shadowed regions (PSRs). Far UV (FUV) dayside measurements of atomic oxygen, liberated from regolith by energetic solar protons and micrometeorite impact, can provide critical insight into the endogenic lunar water cycle by constraining total column density [O] at site of production. A notional Lunar-surface UV Photometric Investigation of Exospheres (LUPINE) instrument is designed to exploit solar-pumped atomic oxygen fluorescence at 130.4-nm, in a manner similar to the Apollo 17 UV Spectrometer (UVS) experiment [Fastie 1973; Feldman and Morrison, 1991] and the LRO Lyman-alpha Mapping Project (LAMP) spectrograph [Cook et al., 2013], by implementing a zenith-directed FUV photometer from the lunar surface at low (± 10°) selenographic latitude during the lunar day. Atomic oxygen production from solar energetic particle impact sources is thought to maximize in near solar noon [Sarantos et al., 2012], and the lander-embedded zenith-directed LUPINE photometer, in contrast to UVS and LAMP twilight measurements from orbit, can potentially capture the full column abundance of lunar regolith liberated oxygen. Herein we describe adaptation of FUV reflective optics, pulse-counting electronics, and scattered-light-suppression technologies developed for LEO FUV photometry for the challenging thermal environment of the daylit lunar surface. Preliminary thermal modeling and TVAC measurements of heritage FUV photometer components suggests that, if allowed to shed ~8W of waste heat into the bus of a reference Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) lander, the LUPINE photometer will be kept sufficiently cool to limit dark current to less than 20 counts/s. This level of dark signal enables an OI 130.4-nm 3-sigma detection threshold of ~1 mR for assumed 2-hour integrations.

Lunar UV Photometer↗

Connected three-body terms in single-reference unitary many-body theories: Iterative and perturbative approximations

This work introduces various approaches to include connected three-body terms in unitary many-body theories, focusing on the driven similarity renormalization group (DSRG). Starting from the least approximate method—the linearized DSRG truncated to one-, two-, and three-body operators [LDSRG(3)]—we develop several approximate LDSRG(3) models with reduced computational cost. Through a perturbative analysis, we motivate a family of iterative LDSRG(3)-n and -n' (n = 1, 2, 3, 4) methods that contain a subset of the LDSRG(3) diagrams. Among these variants, the LDSRG(3)-2 scheme has the same computational complexity of coupled cluster theory with singles, doubles, and triples (CCSDT), but it outperforms CCSDT in the accuracy of the predicted correlation energies. We also propose and implement two perturbative triples corrections based on the linearized DSRG truncated to one- and two-body operators augmented with recursive semi-quadratic commutators [qDSRG(2)]. Overall, the resulting qDSRG(2)+(T) approach matches the accuracy of the “gold-standard” coupled cluster theory with singles, doubles, and perturbative triples model on the energetics of twenty-eight closed-shell atoms and small molecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Retrospective Analysis of NIST Standard Reference Material 1450, Fibrous Glass Board, for Thermal Insulation Measurements

Thermal conductivity data acquired previously for the establishment of Standard Reference Material (SRM) 1450, Fibrous Glass Board, as well as subsequent renewals 1450a, 1450b, 1450c, and 1450d, are re-analyzed collectively and as individual data sets. Additional data sets for proto-1450 material lots are also included in the analysis. The data cover 36 years of activity by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) in developing and providing thermal insulation SRMs, specifically high-density molded fibrous-glass board, to the public. Collectively, the data sets cover two nominal thicknesses of 13 mm and 25 mm, bulk densities from 60 kg∙m -3 to 180 kg∙m -3 , and mean temperatures from 100 K to 340 K. The analysis repetitively fits six models to the individual data sets. The most general form of the nested set of multilinear models used is given in the following equation: λ(ρ, T) = α 0 + α 1 ρ +α 2 T + α 3 T 3 +α 4 e - ($\frac{T-a_{5}}{a_{6}}$) 2 = where λ(ρ,T) is the predicted thermal conductivity (W∙m -1 ∙K -1 ), ρ is the bulk density (kg∙m -3 ), T is the mean temperature (K) and $a_i$ (for i = 1, 2, … 6) are the regression coefficients. The least squares fit results for each model across all data sets are analyzed using both graphical and analytic techniques. The prevailing generic model for the majority of data sets is the bilinear model in ρ and T. λ(ρ, T) = α 0 + α 1 ρ +α 2 T One data set supports the inclusion of a cubic temperature term and two data sets with low-temperature data support the inclusion of an exponential term in T to improve the model predictions. Physical interpretations of the model function terms are described. Recommendations for future renewals of SRM 1450 are provided. An Addendum provides historical background on the origin of this SRM and the influence of the SRM on external measurement programs.

regression analysis↗