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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 955 records · Page 53

Self-Supported Hydrous Iridium–Nickel Oxide Two-Dimensional Nanoframes for High Activity Oxygen Evolution Electrocatalysts

Oxygen evolution reaction (OER) electrocatalysts with high activity, high stability, and low costs are needed for proton-exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers. Based on the high cost and limited supply of iridium, approaches that result in iridium-based OER catalysts with increased catalytic activity are of significant interest. Here, we report a carbon-free, self-supported hydrous iridium-nickel oxide two-dimensional nanoframe structure synthesized by thermal treatment of iridium-decorated nickel oxide nanosheets under reducing conditions and subsequent chemical leaching in acid. The catalyst nanoarchitecture contains an interconnected network of metallic iridium-nickel alloy domains with hydrous iridium oxide and nickel oxide located in the surface region. The electrochemical oxidation step maintains the three-dimensional nanoarchitecture and results in a thin (~5 A) oxide/hydroxide surface layer. The temperature used for thermal reduction was found to strongly affect the catalyst surface structure and OER activity. Utilizing a lower thermal reduction temperature of 200 degrees C was determined to provide a higher relative surface concentration of hydroxides and nickel oxide and result in higher OER activities compared with materials treated at 300 degrees C. The 200 degrees C-treated hydrous iridium-nickel oxide electrocatalyst showed 15 times higher initial OER mass activity than commercial IrO 2 , and the activity remained 10 times higher than IrO 2 after accelerated durability testing. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations and analysis of the experimental Tafel slopes support that the second electron transfer step is the rate-limiting step for the reaction. The DFT calculations demonstrate that Ni substitution on the IrO 2 surface lowers the activation energy for adsorbed intermediates of the second electron transfer step of the OER reaction. This work establishes that noble metal-decorated metal oxide nanosheets can be transformed into high surface area, carbon-free electrocatalyst nanostructures with high catalytic activities and molecular accessibility and reveals the importance of using controlled thermal reduction temperatures to alter the surface structure and OER activity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Accelerating Random Forest Classification on GPU and FPGA

Random Forests (RFs) are a commonly used machine learning method for classification and regression tasks spanning a variety of application domains, including bioinformatics, business analytics, and software optimization. While prior work has focused primarily on improving performance of the training of RFs, many applications, such as malware identification, cancer prediction, and banking fraud detection, require fast RF classification. In this work, we accelerate RF classification on GPU and FPGA. In order to provide efficient support for large datasets, we propose a hierarchical memory layout suitable to the GPU/FPGA memory hierarchy. We design three RF classification code variants based on that layout, and we investigate GPU- and FPGA-specific considerations for these kernels. Our experimental evaluation, performed on an Nvidia Xp GPU and on a Xilinx Alveo U250 FPGA accelerator card using publicly available datasets on the scale of millions of samples and tens of features, covers various aspects. First, we evaluate the performance benefits of our hierarchical data structure over the standard compressed sparse row (CSR) format. Second, we compare our GPU implementation with cuML, a machine learning library targeting Nvidia GPUs. Third, we explore the performance/accuracy tradeoff resulting from the use of different tree depths in the RF. Finally, we perform a comparative performance analysis of our GPU and FPGA implementations. Our evaluation shows that for high accuracy targets, our GPU implementation yields 5-9x speedup over CSR, and up to a 2x speedup over cuML.

FPGA, Xilinx FPGA, GPU, Random Forest classificati↗

Virtual Engineering of Low-Temperature Conversion

In this work, we present the development of an overarching software framework and supporting multiphysics models to simulate the end-to-end process of biomass conversion. This virtual engineering (VE) software is designed with the goal of accelerating research and development and reducing risk for market-relevant biomass conversion processes. We currently support multiple models, computing paradigms, and fidelities representing the steps of feedstock pretreatment, enzymatic hydrolysis, and bioconversion. Although this VE approach was developed to support a biomass workflow, we have designed each component in a way that allows us to easily support new domains, unit models, and feedstocks. We begin by presenting the user-facing aspects of the VE software and highlight how simulated elements are defined and linked by VE functions. We then present an overview of the high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models developed to support our target domain before segueing into our efforts to develop accurate and fast surrogate models, capturing the salient outcomes from the CFD simulations in a significantly less computationally demanding manner. We then present how VE calculations interface with a commercial techno-economic analysis software, Aspen Plus. We conclude by presenting VE case studies that leverage these methods and discuss how our methods can be extended to support a wide variety of accelerated biofuel commercialization pathways in the future.

biofuel↗

Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Technology in Power System Applications

The primary purpose of this report is to provide an overview of the advancement in artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) technologies and their applications in power systems. It offers a foundation for understanding the transformative role of AI/ML in power systems and aims to stimulate further research and development in this area. This report begins with a historical perspective of AI/ML technologies, then explores their advancement to today’s prominence. The document highlights key contributors to the success of AI/ML technologies, including increased computational power, greater data availability, innovative algorithms, and advanced tools. It further introduces various AI/ML techniques, including supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning, graph neural networks, and generative AI. It also emphasizes the critical importance of ensuring the safety, security, and trustworthiness of these AI/ML techniques within this sector. The report reviews the recent representative advancements in various power system applications enhanced by AI/ML techniques, underscoring key developments and their transformative impact as evidenced by numerous studies. It also explores both the opportunities and challenges associated with the application of AI/ML technologies to improve power system applications. While the report extensively covers AI/ML applications in power systems, focusing primarily on the technical and operational aspects, it may not thoroughly explore the sociopolitical, economic, and broader regulatory implications of AI/ML integration in power systems. AI/ML techniques hold significant potential for enhancing power system applications; however, they are not omnipotent. It is crucial to acknowledge their limitations and understand that they may not be able to address all challenges in the power system domain. Various factors must be considered that influence the implementation, adoption, and effectiveness of AI/ML solutions, including but not limited to safety, security, transparency, and trustworthiness. Additionally, the incorporation of advanced human–machine interfaces is essential, as it enables humans to validate the effectiveness of AI/ML solutions while remaining actively engaged, fostering trust in AI/ML deployment. Finally, the report summarizes AI/ML research activities supported by the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Electricity (OE) through the Advanced Grid Modeling (AGM) program. The work aligns with the interests and mission of DOE-OE AGM, with the report serving as a resource for identifying existing progress and for pinpointing future applications within AI/ML that need further exploration and support.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A flexible numerical approach for quantification of epistemic uncertainty

In the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), epistemic uncertainty often refers to the kind of uncertainty whose complete probabilistic description is not available, largely due to our lack of knowledge about the uncertainty. Quantification of the impacts of epistemic uncertainty is naturally difficult, because most of the existing stochastic tools rely on the specification of the probability distributions and thus do not readily apply to epistemic uncertainty. And there have been few studies and methods to deal with epistemic uncertainty. A recent work can be found in [J. Jakeman, M. Eldred, D. Xiu, Numerical approach for quantification of epistemic uncertainty, J. Comput. Phys. 229 (2010) 4648–4663], where a framework for numerical treatment of epistemic uncertainty was proposed. The method is based on solving an encapsulation problem, without using any probability information, in a hypercube that encapsulates the unknown epistemic probability space. If more probabilistic information about the epistemic variables is known a posteriori, the solution statistics can then be evaluated at post-process steps. In this paper, we present a new method, similar to that of Jakeman et al. but significantly extending its capabilities. Most notably, the new method (1) does not require the encapsulation problem to be in a bounded domain such as a hypercube; (2) does not require the solution of the encapsulation problem to converge point-wise. In the current formulation, the encapsulation problem could reside in an unbounded domain, and more importantly, its numerical approximation could be sought in L{sup p} norm. These features thus make the new approach more flexible and amicable to practical implementation. Both the mathematical framework and numerical analysis are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the new approach.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Experimental studies in magnetically induced transverse force-frequency effect in thin quartz microresonators

In this work, the transverse force-frequency sensitivity of magnetostrictive Metglas{sup ®} (Fe{sub 85}B{sub 5}Si{sub 10}) thin film coated AT-cut thickness shear mode quartz thin plate microresonator (500 μm × 500 μm × 19 μm) is experimentally measured and modeled in Lagrangian formulation by coupling magnetostrictive deformation equations with the basic plate equations from the theory of small deformation. The quartz plate resonator is fabricated by micromachining techniques and released into fixed-free structure using focused ion beam milling. Application of a magnetic field results in the out-of-plane bending of the structure due to elastic coupling between the magnetostrictive Metglas{sup ®} and quartz resonator layers. As a result of the transverse loading and out-of-plane bending, the admittance characteristics of the resonator shifts, and these shifts are recorded in real time utilizing a network analyzer. The sensitivity is experimentally measured to be 162.3 mdeg/Oe for phase, corresponding to a frequency sensitivity of Δf/H = 11 Hz/Oe. The equivalent force-frequency sensitivity can then be calculated as 2.36 μN/Hz using the developed model. The coupled domain analysis fits well with the experimental data. Further reduction of quartz thickness and optimization of the thickness ratio of the magnetostrictive to quartz layers offers the possibility of exploiting the stress sensitivity of plate microresonators as sensitive magnetic field sensors capable of low nanoTesla to picoTesla level magnetic flux densities.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Analysis of styrene maleic acid alternating copolymer supramolecular assemblies in solution by small angle X-ray scattering

Over the past decade, Styrene Maleic Acid alternating copolymers (SMA) have gained interest as an alternative to detergent solubilization for the isolation of integral membrane proteins. The formation of SMA lipid particles (SMALPs) presents a novel opportunity to isolate the proximal membrane environment, encompassing and throughout membrane proteins in vitro. Neither the organization or structure of SMAs in an aqueous buffer nor the mechanism by which SMA transforms the membrane bilayer into a SMALP is known. This study investigates the shape and size of diverse SMA polymer complexes/aggregates in solution at various pH, ionic strength, SMA concentration and temperature, analyzed by small angle X-ray scattering. It is clear that SMAs of differing physicochemical properties (styrene to maleic acid ratio, length of copolymer fragments and functionalization) display highly variable sizes/shapes in solution over a range of environmental conditions. The SMA supramolecular aggregates exhibit similar prolate ellipsoidal geometry of varying size, dependent on the degree of hydrophobicity of the SMA copolymer. At elevated temperature, particles composed of SMAs enriched in styrene increase in both radius of gyration and maximum particle diameter. Interestingly, we observe a correlation between the SMALP dimensions and that of native membranes. Future work will investigate if there may be a complimentary relationship between SMA aggregate dimensions and bilayer thickness (and/or protein transmembrane domain thickness), similar to what has been observed for tandem facial amphiphiles.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sensing depths in frequency domain thermoreflectance

In this work, a method is developed to calculate the length into a sample to which a Frequency Domain Thermoreflectance (FDTR) measurement is sensitive. Sensing depth and sensing radius are defined as limiting cases for the spherically spreading FDTR measurement. A finite element model for FDTR measurements is developed in COMSOL multiphysics and used to calculate sensing depth and sensing radius for silicon and silicon dioxide samples for a variety of frequencies and laser spot sizes. The model is compared to experimental FDTR measurements. Design recommendations for sample thickness are made for experiments where semi-infinite sample depth is desirable. For measurements using a metal transducer layer, the recommended sample thickness is three thermal penetration depths, as calculated from the lowest measurement frequency.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Trends and Challenges in Smart Healthcare Research: A Journey from Data to Wisdom

Smart Healthcare is a relatively new context-aware healthcare paradigm influenced by several fields of knowledge, namely medical informatics, communications and electronics, bioengineering, ethics and so on. Thus, many challenging problems are related to smart healthcare but in many cases they are explored individually in their respective fields and, as a result, they are not always known by the smart healthcare research community working in more specific domains. The aim of this article is to identify some of the most relevant trends and research lines that are going to affect the smart healthcare field in the years to come. To do so, the article considers a systematic approach that classifies the identified research trends and problems according to their appearance within the data life cycle, this is, from the data gathering in the physical layer (lowest level) until their final use in the application layer (highest level). By identifying and classifying those research trends and challenges, we help to pose questions that the smart healthcare community will need to address. Consequently, we set a common ground to explore important problems in the field, which will have significant impact in the years to come.

behavior analysis↗

Reusable Autonomy

Currently, spacecraft ground systems have a well defined and somewhat standard architecture and operations concept. Based on domain analysis studies of various control centers conducted over the years it is clear that ground systems have core capabilities and functionality that are common across all ground systems. This observation alone supports the realization of reuse. Additionally, spacecraft ground systems are increasing in their ability to do things autonomously. They are being engineered using advanced expert systems technology to provide automated support for operators. A clearer understanding of the possible roles of agent technology is advancing the prospects of greater autonomy for these systems. Many of their functional and management tasks are or could be supported by applied agent technology, the dynamics of the ground system's infrastructure could be monitored by agents, there are intelligent agent-based approaches to user-interfaces, etc. The premise of this paper is that the concepts associated with software reuse, applicable in consideration of classically-engineered ground systems, can be updated to address their application in highly agent-based realizations of future ground systems. As a somewhat simplified example consider the following situation, involving human agents in a ground system context. Let Group A of controllers be working on Mission X. They are responsible for the command, control and health and safety of the Mission X spacecraft. Let us suppose that mission X successfully completes it mission and is turned off. Group A could be dispersed or perhaps move to another Mission Y. In this case there would be reuse of the human agents from Mission X to Mission Y. The Group A agents perform their well-understood functions in a somewhat but related context. There will be a learning or familiarization process that the group A agents go through to make the new context, determined by the new Mission Y, understood. This simplified scenario highlights some of the major issues that need to be addressed when considering the situation where Group A is composed of software-based agents (not their human counterparts) and they migrate from one mission support system to another. This paper will address: - definition of an agent architecture appropriate to support reuse; - identification of non-mission-specific agent capabilities required; - appropriate knowledge representation schemes for mission-specific knowledge; - agent interface with mission-specific knowledge (a type of Learning); development of a fully-operational group of cooperative software agents for ground system support; architecture and operation of a repository of reusable agents that could be the source of intelligent components for realizing an autonomous (or nearly autonomous) agent-based ground system, and an agent-based approach to repository management and operation (an intelligent interface for human use of the repository in a ground-system development activity).

Truszkowski, Walt↗

Twin nucleation and growth in hexagonal close-packed metals: The role of slip-mediated plasticity on twin embryo formation and evolution

Twinning is a key deformation mechanism in hexagonal close-packed (hcp) metals, which are typified by a lack of easily activated slip systems that can accommodate a general state of loading. Pragmatically, the nucleation and evolution of twin domains occurs concomitantly with slip, such that the eventual twin network is conditioned by both external and internal stresses resulting, among others, from the evolution of dislocations. However our understanding of the interplay between dislocations, and twin nucleation and stability remains limited. This work focuses on elucidating the influence of dislocation-mediated plasticity on the formation, growth, and stability of twin embryos. First, a new mesoscale spectral crystal plasticity-twinning framework is developed and used to quantify the change in the free energy landscape following the nucleation {$10\bar{1}2$} of twins in Mg. Representative twin morphologies are modeled under conditions of limited and profuse slip activity, which are emulative of small- and bulk-scale samples, respectively. Then, the driving traction profiles around twin embryos are investigated via a sharp interface approach to obtain insights into how concurrent slip-mediated plasticity can influence the growth/stabilization of nanometric twins. The driving traction profiles are further utilized to determine the stability of twin embryos post loading. The initial dislocation density in the samples, and within the different domains (i.e., twin vs. parent), is seen to have a significant effect on the twin nucleation stress. Namely, the activation of high levels of concomitant plasticity in the parent grain is seen to significantly drive the formation of nanometric twin nuclei at stresses as low as 250 MPa. Further, the sharp interface analysis reveals that profuse plasticity in the parent grain simultaneously alters the forward and back stresses, such that the magnitude/polarity of the driving tractions become increasingly favorable for nanometric twin growth when slip is active. Finally, prior plasticity in the parent grain is seen to result in favorable driving tractions for nanometric twin growth, even at applied stresses as low as ~ 100 MPa. In conclusion, these results are in stark contrast to a case without any dislocations, wherein applied stresses as high as ~ 500 MPa are necessary to grow the twin domains.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of Second-Order Hydrodynamics on a Semisubmersible Floating Offshore Wind Turbine: Preprint

The objective of this paper is to assess the second-order hydrodynamic effects on a semisubmersible floating offshore wind turbine. Second-order hydrodynamics induce loads and motions at the sum- and difference-frequencies of the incident waves. These effects have often been ignored in offshore wind analysis, under the assumption that they are significantly smaller than first-order effects. The sum- and difference-frequency loads can, however, excite eigenfrequencies of the system, leading to large oscillations that strain the mooring system or vibrations that cause fatigue damage to the structure. Observations of supposed second-order responses in wave-tank tests performed by the DeepCwind consortium at the MARIN offshore basin suggest that these effects might be more important than originally expected. These observations inspired interest in investigating how second-order excitation affects floating offshore wind turbines and whether second-order hydrodynamics should be included in offshore wind simulation tools like FAST in the future. In this work, the effects of second-order hydrodynamics on a floating semisubmersible offshore wind turbine are investigated. Because FAST is currently unable to account for second-order effects, a method to assess these effects was applied in which linearized properties of the floating wind system derived from FAST (including the 6x6 mass and stiffness matrices) are used by WAMIT to solve the first- and second-order hydrodynamics problems in the frequency domain. The method has been applied to the OC4-DeepCwind semisubmersible platform, supporting the NREL 5-MW baseline wind turbine. The loads and response of the system due to the second-order hydrodynamics are analysed and compared to first-order hydrodynamic loads and induced motions in the frequency domain. Further, the second-order loads and induced response data are compared to the loads and motions induced by aerodynamic loading as solved by FAST.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Research Institute for Advanced Computer Science: Annual Report October 1998 through September 1999

The Research Institute for Advanced Computer Science (RIACS) carries out basic research and technology development in computer science, in support of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's missions. RIACS is located at the NASA Ames Research Center (ARC). It currently operates under a multiple year grant/cooperative agreement that began on October 1, 1997 and is up for renewal in the year 2002. ARC has been designated NASA's Center of Excellence in Information Technology. In this capacity, ARC is charged with the responsibility to build an Information Technology Research Program that is preeminent within NASA. RIACS serves as a bridge between NASA ARC and the academic community, and RIACS scientists and visitors work in close collaboration with NASA scientists. RIACS has the additional goal of broadening the base of researchers in these areas of importance to the nation's space and aeronautics enterprises. RIACS research focuses on the three cornerstones of information technology research necessary to meet the future challenges of NASA missions: (1) Automated Reasoning for Autonomous Systems. Techniques are being developed enabling spacecraft that will be self-guiding and self-correcting to the extent that they will require little or no human intervention. Such craft will be equipped to independently solve problems as they arise, and fulfill their missions with minimum direction from Earth. (2) Human-Centered Computing. Many NASA missions require synergy between humans and computers, with sophisticated computational aids amplifying human cognitive and perceptual abilities; (3) High Performance Computing and Networking Advances in the performance of computing and networking continue to have major impact on a variety of NASA endeavors, ranging from modeling and simulation to data analysis of large datasets to collaborative engineering, planning and execution. In addition, RIACS collaborates with NASA scientists to apply information technology research to a variety of NASA application domains. RIACS also engages in other activities, such as workshops, seminars, and visiting scientist programs, designed to encourage and facilitate collaboration between the university and NASA information technology research communities.

Leiner, Barry M.↗

Research Institute for Advanced Computer Science

The Research Institute for Advanced Computer Science (RIACS) carries out basic research and technology development in computer science, in support of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's missions. RIACS is located at the NASA Ames Research Center. It currently operates under a multiple year grant/cooperative agreement that began on October 1, 1997 and is up for renewal in the year 2002. Ames has been designated NASA's Center of Excellence in Information Technology. In this capacity, Ames is charged with the responsibility to build an Information Technology Research Program that is preeminent within NASA. RIACS serves as a bridge between NASA Ames and the academic community, and RIACS scientists and visitors work in close collaboration with NASA scientists. RIACS has the additional goal of broadening the base of researchers in these areas of importance to the nation's space and aeronautics enterprises. RIACS research focuses on the three cornerstones of information technology research necessary to meet the future challenges of NASA missions: (1) Automated Reasoning for Autonomous Systems. Techniques are being developed enabling spacecraft that will be self-guiding and self-correcting to the extent that they will require little or no human intervention. Such craft will be equipped to independently solve problems as they arise, and fulfill their missions with minimum direction from Earth; (2) Human-Centered Computing. Many NASA missions require synergy between humans and computers, with sophisticated computational aids amplifying human cognitive and perceptual abilities; (3) High Performance Computing and Networking. Advances in the performance of computing and networking continue to have major impact on a variety of NASA endeavors, ranging from modeling and simulation to data analysis of large datasets to collaborative engineering, planning and execution. In addition, RIACS collaborates with NASA scientists to apply information technology research to a variety of NASA application domains. RIACS also engages in other activities, such as workshops, seminars, and visiting scientist programs, designed to encourage and facilitate collaboration between the university and NASA information technology research communities.

Gross, Anthony R.↗

On the Marriage of Asynchronous Many Task Runtimes and Big Data: A Glance

The rise of the accelerator-based architectures and reconfigurable computing have showcased the weakness of software stack toolchains that still maintain a static view of the hardware instead of relying on a symbiotic relationship between static (e.g., compilers) and dynamic tools (e.g., runtimes). In the past decades, this need has given rise to adaptive runtimes with increasingly finer computational tasks. These finer tasks help to take advantage of the hardware by switching out when a long latency operation is encountered (because of the deeper memory hierarchies and new memory technologies that might target streaming instead of random access), thus trading off idle time for unrelated work. Examples of these finer task runtimes are Asynchronous Many Task (AMT) runtimes, in which highly efficient computational graphs run on a variety of hardware. Due to its inherent latency tolerant characteristics, Latency-sensitive applications, such as Graph Analytics and Big Data can effectively use these runtimes. This paper aims to present an example of how the careful design of an AMT can exploit the hardware substrate when faced with high latency applications such as the ones given in the Big Data domain. Moreover, with its introspection and adaptive capabilities, we aim to show the power of these runtimes when facing the changing requirements of the application workloads. We use the Performance Open Community Runtime (P-OCR) as our vehicle to demonstrate the concepts presented here.

adaptive runtime, big data analysis↗

Spatiotemporal analysis of a final-state shape resonance in interferometric photoemission from Cu(111) surfaces

Photoemission from solid targets includes the excitation and motion of electrons inside the substrate, followed by their propagation in vacuum and detection. It thus depends on the electronic band structure of the solid in the two distinct spectral domains of bound initial and continuum final states. While the imprint of the static (initial-state) valence electronic structure of solids on photoemission spectra is routinely examined in standard photoemission spectroscopy in the energy domain, state-of-the-art time-resolved photoelectron spectroscopy allows, in addition, the scrutiny of photoelectron propagation in the electronic continuum. Within a quantum-mechanical model for attosecond time-resolved interferometric photoelectron emission from solids, we calculated photoemission spectra as a function of the delay between the exciting primary attosecond pulse train and assisting infrared (IR) laser pulse. Accounting for final-state interactions of the photoelectron with the IR laser electric field and the periodic substrate, our numerical results for interferometric photoemission from the 3d-valence band of Cu(111) surfaces show a striking resonantly enhanced sideband yield at photoelectron kinetic energies near 24 eV, in conjunction with a pronounced increase of the photoelectron wave-function amplitude inside the solid on a length scale of a few nanometers. In this work, this resonant shift of final-state photoelectron-probability density towards the bulk can be interpreted as an increase in the photoelectron propagation time in the solid and is commensurate with the resonantly enhanced spectral sideband-phase shifts observed in recent two-pathway two-photon interference spectra by Kasmi et al.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Effect of spatial sampling from European flux towers for estimating carbon and water fluxes with artificial neural networks

Abstract Empirical modeling approaches are frequently used to upscale local eddy covariance observations of carbon, water, and energy fluxes to regional and global scales. The predictive capacity of such models largely depends on the data used for parameterization and identification of input‐output relationships, while prediction for conditions outside the training domain is generally uncertain. In this work, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were used for the prediction of gross primary production (GPP) and latent heat flux (LE) on local and European scales with the aim to assess the portion of uncertainties in extrapolation due to sample selection. ANNs were found to be a useful tool for GPP and LE prediction, in particular for extrapolation in time (mean absolute error MAE for GPP between 0.53 and 1.56 gC m −2 d −1 ). Extrapolation in space in similar climatic and vegetation conditions also gave good results (GPP MAE 0.7–1.41 gC m −2 d −1 ), while extrapolation in areas with different seasonal cycles and controlling factors (e.g., the tropical regions) showed noticeably higher errors (GPP MAE 0.8–2.09 gC m −2 d −1 ). The distribution and the number of sites used for ANN training had a remarkable effect on prediction uncertainty in both, regional GPP and LE budgets and their interannual variability. Results obtained show that for ANN upscaling for continents with relatively small networks of sites, the error due to the sampling can be large and needs to be considered and quantified. The analysis of the spatial variability of the uncertainty helped to identify the meteorological drivers driving the uncertainty.

Papale, Dario↗