Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “inference methods”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 955 records · Page 53

On convection-induced viscosity in accretion disks in cataclysmic variables

The vertical structure of accretion disks in cataclysmic variable systems is examined on the assumption that the convection is solely responsible for inducing the viscous heating. The viscous heating is distributed over the entire vertical structure so that purely radiative zones are able to carry a radial mass flux. The convective flux is computed by two different methods in separate calculations and the results from each method are compared. The values of the viscosity obtained are compared with those values inferred from the observed time scales of dwarf nova eruptions. Sequences of equilibrium solutions for constant radius and varying mass accretion rate are examined, the relations between viscosity and surface density are discussed in the context of recent models for the eruptions of dwarf novae.

Cannizzo, John K.↗

Measurements of vertical motions by the Saskatoon MF radar (1983-1985): Relationships with horizontal winds and gravity waves

The continuing series of horizontal wind measurements by the spaced-antenna real time winds (RTW) method was supplemented by a phase coherent system for two years. Vertical motions are inferred from the complex autocorrelation functions, and an RTW system provides 5 min samples from 60 to 110 km. Comparisons with full interferometric 3-D velocity measurements confirm the validity of this approach. Following comparisons and corrections with the horizontal winds, mean summer and winter (24 h) days of vertical motions are shown. Tidal fluctuations are evident. In summer the motions are downward, consistent with data from Poker Flat, and the suggestion of Coy et al. (1986) that these represent Eulerian motions. The expected upward Lagrangian motion then results from adding up upward Stokes' drift. The winter motions are more complex, and are discussed in the context of gravity wave fluxes and possible meridional cells. The divergence of the vertical flux of zonal momentum is also calculated and found to be similar to the coriolis torque due to the meridional winds.

Manson, A. H.↗

Efficient reordering of PROLOG programs

PROLOG programs are often inefficient: execution corresponds to a depth-first traversal of an AND/OR graph; traversing subgraphs in another order can be less expensive. It is shown how the reordering of clauses within PROLOG predicates, and especially of goals within clauses, can prevent unnecessary search. The characterization and detection of restrictions on reordering is discussed. A system of calling modes for PROLOG, geared to reordering, is proposed, and ways to infer them automatically are discussed. The information needed for safe reordering is summarized, and which types can be inferred automatically and which must be provided by the user are considered. An improved method for determining a good order for the goals of PROLOG clauses is presented and used as the basis for a reordering system.

Gooley, Markian M.↗

How to select combination operators for fuzzy expert systems using CRI

A method to select combination operators for fuzzy expert systems using the Compositional Rule of Inference (CRI) is proposed. First, fuzzy inference processes based on CRI are classified into three categories in terms of their inference results: the Expansion Type Inference, the Reduction Type Inference, and Other Type Inferences. Further, implication operators under Sup-T composition are classified as the Expansion Type Operator, the Reduction Type Operator, and the Other Type Operators. Finally, the combination of rules or their consequences is investigated for inference processes based on CRI.

Turksen, I. B.↗

Characterizing the Siple Coast Ice Stream System using Satellite Images, Improved Topography, and Integrated Aerogeophysical Measurements

A technique for improving elevation maps of the polar ice sheets has been developed using AVHRR images. The technique is based on 'photoclinometry' or 'shape from shading', a technique used in the past for mapping planetary surfaces where little elevation information was available. The fundamental idea behind photoclinometry is using the brightness of imaged areas to infer their surface slope in the sun-illuminated direction. Our version of the method relies on a calibration of the images based on an existing lower-resolution digital elevation model (DEM), and then using the images to improve the input DEM resolution to the scale of the image data. Most current DEMs covering the ice sheets are based on Radar altimetry data, and have an inherent resolution of 10 to 25 km at best - although the grid scale of the DEM is often finer. These DEMs are highly accurate (to less than 1 meter); but they report the mean elevation of a broad area, thus erasing smaller features of glaciological interest. AVHRR image data, when accurately geolocated and calibrated, provides surface slope measurements (based on the pixel brightness under known lighting conditions) every approximately 1.1 km. The limitations of the technique are noisiness in the image data, small variations in the albedo of the snow surface, and the integration technique used to create an elevation field from the image-derived slopes. Our study applied the technique to several ice sheet areas having some elevation data; Greenland, the Amery Ice Shelf, the Institute Ice Stream, and the Siple Coast. For the latter, the input data set was laser-altimetry data collected under NSF's SOAR Facility (Support Office for Aerogeophysical Research) over the onset area of the Siple Coast. Over the course of the grant, the technique was greatly improved and modified, significantly improving accuracy and reducing noise from the images. Several publications resulted from the work, and a follow-on proposal to NASA has been submitted to apply the same method to MODIS data using ICESat and other elevation input information. This follow-on grant will explore two applications that are facilitated by the improved surface morphology characterizations of the ice sheets: accumulation and temperature variations near small undulations in the ice.

Scambos, Ted↗

Cluster Masses Derived from X-ray and Sunyaev-Zeldovich Effect Measurements

We infer the gas mass and total gravitational mass of 11 clusters using two different methods; analysis of X-ray data from the Chandra X-ray Observatory and analysis of centimeter-wave Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect (SZE) data from the BIMA and OVRO interferometers. This flux-limited sample of clusters from the BCS cluster catalogue was chosen so as to be well above the surface brightness limit of the ROSAT All Sky Survey; this is therefore an orientation unbiased sample. The gas mass fraction, f_g, is calculated for each cluster using both X-ray and SZE data, and the results are compared at a fiducial radius of r_500. Comparison of the X-ray and SZE results for this orientation unbiased sample allows us to constrain cluster systematics, such as clumping of the intracluster medium. We derive an upper limit on Omega_M assuming that the mass composition of clusters within r_500 reflects the universal mass composition Omega_M h_100 is greater than Omega _B / f-g. We also demonstrate how the mean f_g derived from the sample can be used to estimate the masses of clusters discovered by upcoming deep SZE surveys.

Laroque, S.↗

Ice Surface Morphology and Flow on Malaspina Glacier, Alaska: Implications for Regional Tectonics in the Saint Elias Orogen

The Saint Elias Mountains in southern Alaska are located at a structural syntaxis where the coastal thrust and fold belt of the Fairweather plate boundary intersects thrust faults and folds generated by collision of the Yakutat Terrane. The axial trace of this syntaxis extends southeastward out of the Saint Elias Mountains and beneath Malaspina Glacier where it is hidden from view and cannot be mapped using conventional methods. Here we examine the surface morphology and flow patterns of Malaspina Glacier to infer characteristics of the bedrock topography and organization of the syntaxis. Faults and folds beneath the eastern part of the glacier trend northwest and reflect dextral transpression near the terminus of the Fairweather fault system. Those beneath the western part of the glacier trend northeast and accommodate folding and thrust faulting during collision and accretion of the Yakutat Terrane. Mapping the location and geometry of the structural syntaxis provides important constraints on spatial variations in seismicity, fault kinematics, and crustal shortening beneath Malaspina Glacier, as well as the position of the collisional deformation front within the Yakutat Terrane. We also speculate that the geometrical complexity of intersecting faults within the syntaxis formed a barrier to rupture propagation during two regional Mw 8.1earthquakes in September 1899.

ice velocities↗

Toward the characterization of upper tropospheric clouds using Atmospheric Infrared Sounder and Microwave Limb Sounder observations

We estimate the accuracy of cloud top altitude (Z) retrievals from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) observing suite (ZA) on board the Earth Observing System Aqua platform. We compare ZA with coincident measurements of Z derived from the micropulse lidar and millimeter wave cloud radar at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program sites of Nauru and Manus islands (ZARM) and the inferred Z from vertically resolved Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) ice water content (IWC) retrievals. The mean difference in ZA minus ZARM plus or minus one standard deviation ranges from −2.2 to 1.6 km ± 1.0 to 4.2 km for all cases of AIRS effective cloud fraction (f A) > 0.15 at Manus Island using the cloud radar only. The range of mean values results from using different approaches to determine ZARM, day/night differences, and the magnitude of f A; the variation about the mean decreases for increasing values of f A. Analysis of ZARM from the micropulse lidar at Nauru Island for cases restricted to 0.05 ≤ f A ≤ 0.15 indicates a statistically significant improvement in ZA − ZARM over the cloud radar-derived values at Manus Island. In these cases the ZA − ZARM difference is −1.1 to 2.1 km ± 3.0 to 4.5 km. These results imply that the operational ZA is quantitatively useful for constraining cirrus altitude despite the nominal 45 km horizontal resolution. Mean differences of cloud top pressure (PCLD) inferred from coincident AIRS and MLS ice water content (IWC) retrievals depend upon the method of defining AIRS PCLD (as with the ARM comparisons) over the MLS spatial scale, the peak altitude and maximum value of MLS IWC, and f A. AIRS and MLS yield similar vertical frequency distributions when comparisons are limited to f A > 0.1 and IWC > 1.0 mg m−3. Therefore the agreement depends upon the opacity of the cloud, with decreased agreement for optically tenuous clouds. Further, the mean difference and standard deviation of AIRS and MLS PCLD are highly dependent on the MLS tangent altitude. For MLS tangent altitudes greater than 146 hPa, the strength of the limb technique, the disagreement becomes statistically significant. This implies that AIRS and MLS “agree” in a statistical sense at lower tangent altitudes and “disagree” at higher tangent altitudes. These results provide important insights on upper tropospheric cloudiness as observed by nadir-viewing AIRS and limb-viewing MLS.

Wu, Dong L.↗

Learning planar Ising models

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models, which suggests the problem of seeking the best approximation to a collection of random variables within some tractable family of graphical models. In this paper, we focus on the class of planar Ising models, for which exact inference is tractable using techniques of statistical physics. Based on these techniques and recent methods for planarity testing and planar embedding, we propose a greedy algorithm for learning the best planar Ising model to approximate an arbitrary collection of binary random variables (possibly from sample data). Given the set of all pairwise correlations among variables, we select a planar graph and optimal planar Ising model defined on this graph to best approximate that set of correlations. Finally, we demonstrate our method in simulations and for two applications: modeling senate voting records and identifying geo-chemical depth trends from Mars rover data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Radiation Tolerance Studies of Commercial Strippable Coatings and Fixatives used for Decontamination - 18642

A number of commercially available products, designed for use as strippable coating and fixatives for decontamination purposes, were tested to determine their tolerability to high radiation fields and how they potentially degrade. Each product was cured and exposed to γ-radiation from a Co-60 source, up to a total dose of 500 kGy. Obvious physical colour changes and deformities were detected by visual inspection, and images captured by scanning electron microscope (SEM) showed major differences post-irradiation in some coatings. Other physical changes to the coatings were measured using Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FT-IR), Raman spectroscopy, and energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS); both pre- and post-irradiation. FT-IR suggested that some chemical changes were taking place in the coatings, in particular the C-H bonds and the fingerprint region appeared to be drastically altered in some coatings. EDS data indicated an increase in surface oxygen content as a result of irradiation in the majority of the samples. Additionally, coating samples were subjected to analysis by gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GCMS) in order to determine the evolved gases. The GC-MS results show that short chain hydrocarbons are produced to some degree in all the coatings during irradiation. Finally, three of the best performing coatings were selected and were irradiated using an ion beam, mimicking Pu alpha particles (with energy of around 5.25 MeV). Using the Dalton Cumbrian Facility's 5 MV tandem accelerator, coating samples were irradiated by ∼5.25 MeV He{sup 2+} particles to total dose of approximately 500 kGy. Samples were analysed using SEM, FT-IR, Raman and EDS, as was done for the gamma irradiated samples, allowing a comparison to be made between α-particle and γ-ray damage. Results from the alpha and gamma irradiations showed many similarities for the comparable assessments. A number of spectral changes observed in the FT-IR analysis were consistent across both γ-ray and α-particle irradiated samples. While there were some differences, these may be attributed to the conditions under which the irradiations were carried out. The observed similarities may allow for the inference of alpha degradation by Co-60 gamma irradiation as a more easily accessible method for determining the extent of radiolytic damage. Furthermore, gamma irradiation allows for additional analysis that is currently otherwise not possible to achieve with ion-beam exposure. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Rainfall Estimation Over Tropical Oceans: Area Average Rain Rate - 1

Multichannel dual polarization microwave radiometer SSM/I observations over oceans do not contain sufficient information to differentiate quantitatively the rain from other hydrometeors on a scale comparable to the radiometer field of view (approx. 30 km). For this reason we have developed a method to retrieve average rain rate over a mesoscale grid box of approx. 300 x 300 sq km area over the TOGA COARE region where simultaneous radiometer and radar observations are available for four months (Nov. 92 to Feb. 93). The rain area in the grid box, inferred from the scattering depression due to hydrometeors in the 85 Ghz brightness temperature, constitutes a key parameter in this method. Then the spectral and polarization information contained in all the channels of the SSM/I is utilized to deduce a second parameter. This is the ratio S/E of scattering index S, and emission index E calculated from the SSM/I data. The rain rate retrieved from this method over the mesoscale area can reproduce the radar observed rain rate with a correlation coefficient of about 0.85. Furthermore monthly total rainfall estimated from this method over that area has an average error of about 15%.

Cuddapah, Prabhakara↗

Contaminant Source Identification from Finite Sensor Data: Perron–Frobenius Operator and Bayesian Inference

Sensors in the built environment ensure safety and comfort by tracking contaminants in the occupied space. In the event of contaminant release, it is important to use the limited sensor data to rapidly and accurately identify the release location of the contaminant. Identification of the release location will enable subsequent remediation as well as evacuation decision-making. In previous work, we used an operator theoretic approach—based on the Perron–Frobenius (PF) operator—to estimate the contaminant concentration distribution in the domain given a finite amount of streaming sensor data. In the current work, the approach is extended to identify the most probable contaminant release location. The release location identification is framed as a Bayesian inference problem. The Bayesian inference approach requires considering multiple release location scenarios, which is done efficiently using the discrete PF operator. The discrete PF operator provides a fast, effective and accurate model for contaminant transport modeling. The utility of our PF-based Bayesian inference methodology is illustrated using single-point release scenarios in both two and three-dimensional cases. The method provides a fast, accurate, and efficient framework for real-time identification of contaminant source location.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Leveraging Open-Source Satellite-Derived Building Footprints for Height Inference

At a global scale, cities are growing and characterizing the built environment is essential for deeper understanding of human population patterns, urban development, energy usage, climate change impacts, among others. Buildings are a key component of the built environment and significant progress has been made in recent years to scale building footprint extractions from satellite datum and other remotely sensed products. Billions of building footprints have recently been released by companies such as Microsoft and Google at a global scale. However, research has shown that depending on the methods leveraged to produce a footprint dataset, discrepancies can arise in both the number and shape of footprints produced. Therefore, each footprint dataset should be examined and used on a case-by-case study. In this work, we find through two experiments on Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Microsoft footprints within the same geographic extent that our approach of inferring height from footprint morphology features is source agnostic. Regardless of the differences associated with the methods used to produce a building footprint dataset, our approach of inferring height was able to overcome these discrepancies between the products and generalize, as evidenced by 98% of our results being within 3m of the ground-truthed height. This signifies that our approach can be applied to the billions of open-source footprints which are freely available to infer height, a key building metric. This work impacts the broader domain of urban science in which building height is a key, and limiting factor.

Stipek, Clinton [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000280501096)↗

Application-driven Privacy-preserving Data Publishing with Correlated Attributes

Recent advances in computing have allowed for the possibility to collect large amounts of data on personal activities and private living spaces. To address the privacy concerns of users in this environment, we propose a novel framework called PR-GAN that offers privacy-preserving mechanism using generative adversarial networks. Given a target application, PR-GAN automatically modifies the data to hide sensitive attributes - which may be hidden and can be inferred by machine learning algorithms - while preserving the data utility in the target application. Unlike prior works, the public's possible knowledge of the correlation between the target application and sensitive attributes is built into our modeling. We formulate our problem as an optimization problem, show that an optimal solution exists and use generative adversarial networks (GAN) to create perturbations. We further show that our method provides privacy guarantees under the Pufferfish framework, an elegant generalization of the differential privacy that allows for the modeling of prior knowledge on data and correlations. Through experiments, we show that our method outperforms conventional methods in effectively hiding the sensitive attributes while guaranteeing high performance in the target application, for both property inference and training purposes. Finally, we demonstrate through further experiments that once our model learns a privacy-preserving task, such as hiding subjects' identity, on a group of individuals, it can perform the same task on a separate group with minimal performance drops.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Neural simulation-based inference approach for characterizing the Galactic Center γ-ray excess

The nature of the Fermi γ-ray Galactic Center Excess (GCE) has remained a persistent mystery for over a decade. Although the excess is broadly compatible with emission expected due to dark matter annihilation, an explanation in terms of a population of unresolved astrophysical point sources e.g., millisecond pulsars, remains viable. The effort to uncover the origin of the GCE is hampered in particular by an incomplete understanding of diffuse emission of Galactic origin. This can lead to spurious features that make it difficult to robustly differentiate smooth emission, as expected for a dark matter origin, from more “clumpy” emission expected from a population of relatively bright, unresolved point sources. Here, we use recent advancements in the field of simulation-based inference, in particular density estimation techniques using normalizing flows, in order to characterize the contribution of modeled components, including unresolved point source populations, to the GCE. Compared to traditional techniques based on the statistical distribution of photon counts, our machine learning-based method is able to utilize more of the information contained in a given model of the Galactic Center emission, and in particular can perform posterior parameter estimation while accounting for pixel-to-pixel spatial correlations in the γ-ray map. This makes the method demonstrably more resilient to certain forms of model misspecification. On application to Fermi data, the method generically attributes a smaller fraction of the GCE flux to unresolved point sources when compared to traditional approaches. We nevertheless infer such a contribution to make up a non-negligible fraction of the GCE across all analysis variations considered, with at least $38^{+9}_{-19}$% of the excess attributed to unresolved point sources in our baseline analysis.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Neuro-Spark: A Submicrosecond Spiking Neural Networks Architecture for In-Sensor Filtering

Neuro-Spark, which is a new neuromorphic architecture with a field-programmable gate array (FPGA) implementation for ultrafast spiking neural network (SNN) inference at the edge, facilitates smart-pixel in-sensor filtering for high-energy physics experiments at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). Utilizing the evolutionary optimization for neuromorphic systems (EONS) training method, we generate compact SNN models with 91% signal efficiency, akin to convolutional neural networks but with half the parameters. However, deploying near the detector poses a challenge because the SNN must handle a sustained input data rate exceeding 1013 GB/s. To overcome this, we propose a novel hardware architecture that uses high-level synthesis to construct a tuned architecture for the EONS-trained SNN. In addition to the analysis and validation with an AMD Xilinx Artix-A7 FPGA, our solution consumes only ç24% of FPGA LUT and flipflops. We also introduce an innovative quantization method that reduces FPGA resource utilization by ç15% without compromising accuracy. Our FPGA implementation achieves computing latency of ç10 ns for smart-pixel application inference on an edge FPGA.

Miniskar, Narasinga Rao↗

Fast uncertainty estimates in deep learning interatomic potentials

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and material properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point estimates of their predictions and do not come with predictive uncertainties associated with these estimates. Existing uncertainty quantification efforts have primarily leveraged the standard deviation of predictions across an ensemble of independently trained neural networks. This incurs a large computational overhead in both training and prediction, resulting in order-of-magnitude more expensive predictions. Here, we propose a method to estimate the predictive uncertainty based on a single neural network without the need for an ensemble. This allows us to obtain uncertainty estimates with virtually no additional computational overhead over standard training and inference. We demonstrate that the quality of the uncertainty estimates matches those obtained from deep ensembles. We further examine the uncertainty estimates of our methods and deep ensembles across the configuration space of our test system and compare the uncertainties to the potential energy surface. Finally, we study the efficacy of the method in an active learning setting and find the results to match an ensemble-based strategy at order-of-magnitude reduced computational cost.

Chemistry↗

Data compression and inference in cosmology with self-supervised machine learning

ABSTRACT The influx of massive amounts of data from current and upcoming cosmological surveys necessitates compression schemes that can efficiently summarize the data with minimal loss of information. We introduce a method that leverages the paradigm of self-supervised machine learning in a novel manner to construct representative summaries of massive data sets using simulation-based augmentations. Deploying the method on hydrodynamical cosmological simulations, we show that it can deliver highly informative summaries, which can be used for a variety of downstream tasks, including precise and accurate parameter inference. We demonstrate how this paradigm can be used to construct summary representations that are insensitive to prescribed systematic effects, such as the influence of baryonic physics. Our results indicate that self-supervised machine learning techniques offer a promising new approach for compression of cosmological data as well as its analysis.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗