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At least 973 records · Page 54

Physical Sciences Vistas, Issue 1 2021 [Newsletter]

Issue 1 highlights of the Los Alamos Physical Sciences Vistas newsletter include: Finding and aiding success through the Lab's employee scholarship fund; Volunteer vignettes: helping others throughout Northern New Mexico; X-ray topography instrument reimagined for use at Oregon State University; Potentially activated metal recycle project triples its goal; Adaptive 3D machine-learning method for 3D coherent diffraction imaging; and, Sigma team aims for excellence in safety, quality, productivity.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Early detection and uncertainty quantification of rapid sea-level rise from Antarctica

Focal Areas: (i) classification and/or anomaly detection methods applied towards identifying critical climate system thresholds; improved emulator design for (ii) reducing computational costs relative to full-physics models and (iii) improved uncertainty quantification workflows. Rationale: The evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet in response to climate change remains the single largest uncertainty in projecting future sea-level rise (SLR), with risk-averse projections for 2100 spanning between zero and a half meter. During the past decade, DOE has made substantial investments in new ice sheet and Earth system models needed to improve both understanding and predictive capability in this area. Yet major challenges remain, including better understanding when and under what circumstances significant increases in SLR from Antarctica may be initiated and better quantifying uncertainties in model-based SLR projections. Here, we discuss the potential for transformative advances in these areas through the application of machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML and AI, respectively).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Building surrogate models of nuclear density functional theory with Gaussian processes and autoencoders

From the lightest Hydrogen isotopes up to the recently synthesized Oganesson (Z = 118), it is estimated that as many as about 8,000 atomic nuclei could exist in nature. Most of these nuclei are too short-lived to be occurring on Earth, but they play an essential role in astrophysical events such as supernova explosions or neutron star mergers that are presumed to be at the origin of most heavy elements in the Universe. Understanding the structure, reactions, and decays of nuclei across the entire chart of nuclides is an enormous challenge because of the experimental difficulties in measuring properties of interest in such fleeting objects and the theoretical and computational issues of simulating strongly-interacting quantum many-body systems. Nuclear density functional theory (DFT) is a fully microscopic theoretical framework which has the potential of providing such a quantitatively accurate description of nuclear properties for every nucleus in the chart of nuclides. Thanks to high-performance computing facilities, it has already been successfully applied to predict nuclear masses, global patterns of radioactive decay like β or γ decay, and several aspects of the nuclear fission process such as, e.g., spontaneous fission half-lives. Yet, predictive simulations of nuclear spectroscopy—the low-lying excited states and transitions between them—or of nuclear fission, or the quantification of theoretical uncertainties and their propagation to basic or applied nuclear science applications, would require several orders of magnitude more calculations than currently possible. However, most of this computational effort would be spent into generating a suitable basis of DFT wavefunctions. Such a task could potentially be considerably accelerated by borrowing tools from the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence. In this paper, we review different approaches to applying supervised and unsupervised learning techniques to nuclear DFT.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Implementation of Detailed Polyethylene Pyrolysis Kinetics into CFD Simulations using Machine Learning

Municipal solid waste (MSW) and waste plastics have received significant attention due to the issues of waste generation and storage, as well as their potential as an energy resource. High-density polyethylene (HDPE) makes up a large portion of plastic waste and has been the subject of several conversion studies. However, the mechanisms associated with converting HDPE through pyrolysis and gasification are extensive and complex making them difficult to implement into high-fidelity computational fluid dynamic (CFD) simulations. For this project, a primary pyrolysis mechanism containing 42 unique species and 737 heterogeneous reactions was used to generate kinetic data over a range of operating conditions. A machine learning (ML) model was developed to replicate the results of the detailed pyrolysis mechanism while significantly increasing the computational efficiency. A deep operator network (DeepONet) architecture was adopted to train the model using time steps relevant to CFD simulations. The ML used physics-based loss functions to ensure mass conservation. The ML model has been deployed in simple MFiX CFD simulations, single particle, and an experimental drop tube reactor, and has shown promising performance compared to the original scheme.

Houston, Ross↗

Conformalized-KANs: Uncertainty Quantification with Coverage Guarantees for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) in Scientific Machine Learning

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods in the context of Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KANs). We apply an ensemble approach to KANs to obtain a heuristic measure of UQ, enhancing interpretability and robustness in modeling complex functions. Building on this, we introduce Conformalized-KANs, which integrate conformal prediction, a distribution-free UQ technique, with KAN ensembles to generate calibrated prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage.} Extensive numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of these methods, focusing particularly on the robustness and accuracy of the prediction intervals under various hyperparameter settings. We show that the conformal KAN predictions can be applied to recent extensions of KANs, including Finite Basis KANs (FBKANs) and multifideilty KANs (MFKANs). The results demonstrate the potential of our approaches to significantly improve the reliability and applicability of KANs in scientific machine learning.

• Artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning ↗

Roundtable on Producing and Managing Large Scientific Data with Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (Brochure)

The US Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) twelve Basic Energy Sciences (BES) scientific user facilities provide access to the world’s most advanced research instruments, annually serving over 16,000 users with impact reported in nearly 7,000 publications and producing unprecedented quantities of scientific data. While impressive, reaching the full potential of these rapidly growing facilities will require new innovations to solve a variety of technical challenges in data acquisition, control, modeling, and analysis. Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) have opened corresponding new avenues in optimization, efficient surrogate models, data analytics, and inverse problems. These intriguing capabilities suggest that AI/ML can greatly accelerate the quest to probe and understand fundamental phenomena across a vast range of lengths and timescales, potentially leading to transformative advances across scientific disciplines.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Beyond optimization—supervised learning applications in relativistic laser-plasma experiments

We explore the applications of machine learning techniques in relativistic laser-plasma experiments beyond optimization purposes. We predict the beam charge of electrons produced in a laser wakefield accelerator given the laser wavefront change caused by a deformable mirror. Machine learning enables feature analysis beyond merely searching for an optimal beam charge, showing that specific aberrations in the laser wavefront are favored in generating higher beam charges. Supervised learning models allow characterizing the measured data quality as well as recognizing irreproducible data and potential outliers. Furthermore, we also include virtual measurement errors in the experimental data to examine the model robustness under these conditions. This work demonstrates how machine learning methods can benefit data analysis and physics interpretation in a highly nonlinear problem of relativistic laser-plasma interaction.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

An Autonomous Critical Data Extrapolator for the AGN-201m

Nuclear nonproliferation serves as a key goal, being undertaken by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). To recognize proliferation there are two pathways that states, who intend to use nuclear material for malicious purposes can take, diversion can misuse. Diversion is when fissile nuclear material is declared to the IAEA for non-weapon purposes, but then covertly removed. If the source of nuclear material, that is not declared and not fissionable, is placed inside the reactor core to create fissile material used to create weapons then the state is using the second pathway of proliferation, misuse. With the emerging development in areas of simulation and machine learning the creation of virtual models of reactor systems, digital twins, serve as a potential method to identify proliferation through detecting anomalous behavior in the reactor. A digital twin for a physical nuclear reactor has never been developed, as digital twins serve as an emerging technology. To investigate the process for development and use of a digital twin for a nuclear reactor Idaho State University’s AGN-201m serves as the nuclear reactor used for development of this digital twin. A data acquisition system has been installed to the reactor system allowing for the transfer of collected data from a reactor operation to Idaho National Laboratory’s Deeplynx data warehouse. When utilizing data to train reactor physics and machine learning models, a significant challenge encountered is the initial state of the data. Nuclear proliferation will have the capacity to be detected when the reactor immediately starts up, nor will it occur after the reactor shuts down. Generally, it will be detected when the reactor is operating at some desired power over a sufficient period for that specific reactor design. For the AGN-201m this will be when the reactor is critical (generally 1 mW or above) for a timespan that is within or less than the range of a regular business day. Datasets sent to Deeplynx have had to be manually cut to when the reactor is critical based on plots of power levels. This method is inefficient and laborious, especially when using multiple datasets at once to train a model. To provide a more streamlined approach an automated critical data extrapolator is developed, with capabilities of recognizing when the reactor operation first reaches criticality, and when the reactor undergoes a SCRAM and is shutdown.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Machine learning based reconstruction of intracardiac electrical behavior based on electrocardiograms

A computer-based system and process are disclosed for reconstructing the internal electrical behavior of a patient's heart based partly or wholly on the patient's electrocardiogram (ECG). The output of the process may include, for example, a cardiac activation map, and/or a representation of transmembrane potentials over time. The process advantageously does not require any medical imaging of the patient, and does not require any special medical equipment. For example, the patient's activation map and transmembrane potentials may be reconstructed based solely on a preexisting or newly-obtained 12-lead cardiac ECG of the patient. The process makes use of a machine learning model, such as a neural network based model, trained with actual and/or simulated ECGs and intracardiac electrical data (typically transmembrane potentials) of many thousands of patients. Because an insufficient quantity of such data exists for actual patients, model training may be performed using ECGs and intracardiac electrical data obtained through computer simulations.

Blake, Robert↗

Developing a Machine-Learning-Based Processing Framework for Twitter and Other Crowdsourced Data

Crowdsourced data streams such as Twitter and other social media are important sources of real-time and historical global information for Earth science applications. At the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), we have been exploring the Twitter data stream for its potential in augmenting the validation program of NASA's Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission. To realize this potential, we need to increase the information density and enhance the quality of filtered precipitation tweets. We have implemented various components of a machine learning (ML)-based processing infrastructure for crowdsourced data that outputs, in this instance, useful and usable information derived from precipitation tweets. We have test enriched the Twitter stream with higher quality active tweets from those knowingly contributing to our effort and from existing crowdsourced programs (e.g., mPING, CoCoRaHS). We have experimented with various algorithms for processing tweets, including Naà ve Bayes, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Hierarchical Attention Network (HAN), and semi-supervised learning (with tri-training). Our current work focuses on (1) automated review of Earth science-related publications to determine relationships between discipline research needs and ML algorithms; (2) investigating Sequential Generative Adversarial Network (SeqGAN) for processing precipitation tweets for anomaly detection; and (3) managing crowdsourced data in a way that is compatible with existing NASA satellite data archives and using the data for ML applications. Key results include (1) network visualization of NLP-processed publications in various Earth science disciplines; (2) difference between GPM-linked, generated tweets and collected actual tweets that is small for GPM-determined light to moderate rain cases and high for GPM-determined heavy rain cases; and (3) identification of MongoDB for storing raw tweets and Zarr format for gridded tweets (compatible with GPM data). Our results have taken us a step closer to an operational ML-based tweet processing infrastructure and have already demonstrated that tweet-derived precipitation information is potentially useful for validation of Earth science satellite data.

Teng, William↗

Machine learning-assisted design of metal–organic frameworks for hydrogen storage: A high-throughput screening and experimental approach

Various theoretical approaches, including big data and high-throughput screening techniques, have been explored in developing new materials due to their significant potential time-saving advantages. However, it remains a significant challenge to experimentally realize new materials that are predicted. In this study, we propose a novel materials design strategy that utilizes machine-learning (ML) techniques to predict new porous materials that show promise for hydrogen storage and are likely to be feasible to synthesize. By leveraging ML techniques and metal–organic framework (MOF) databases, we are able to predict the synthesizability of MOF structures. This is evidenced by the successful synthesis of a new vanadium-based MOF that exhibits excellent performance for cryogenic H 2 storage. Notably, the total gravimetric and volumetric H 2 uptakes are as high as 9.0 wt% and 50.0 g/L at 77 K and 150 bar. This ML-assisted materials design offers an efficient and promising approach for developing hydrogen storage materials.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Modeling Subsurface Performance of a Geothermal Reservoir Using Machine Learning

Geothermal power plants typically show decreasing heat and power production rates over time. Mitigation strategies include optimizing the management of existing wells—increasing or decreasing the fluid flow rates across the wells—and drilling new wells at appropriate locations. The latter is expensive, time-consuming, and subject to many engineering constraints, but the former is a viable mechanism for periodic adjustment of the available fluid allocations. In this study, we describe a new approach combining reservoir modeling and machine learning to produce models that enable such a strategy. Our computational approach allows us, first, to translate sets of potential flow rates for the active wells into reservoir-wide estimates of produced energy, and second, to find optimal flow allocations among the studied sets. In our computational experiments, we utilize collections of simulations for a specific reservoir (which capture subsurface characterization and realize history matching) along with machine learning models that predict temperature and pressure timeseries for production wells. We evaluate this approach using an “open-source” reservoir we have constructed that captures many of the characteristics of Brady Hot Springs, a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA. Selected results from a reservoir model of Brady Hot Springs itself are presented to show successful application to an existing system. In both cases, energy predictions prove to be highly accurate: all observed prediction errors do not exceed 3.68% for temperatures and 4.75% for pressures. In a cumulative energy estimation, we observe prediction errors that are less than 4.04%. A typical reservoir simulation for Brady Hot Springs completes in approximately 4 h, whereas our machine learning models yield accurate 20-year predictions for temperatures, pressures, and produced energy in 0.9 s. This paper aims to demonstrate how the models and techniques from our study can be applied to achieve rapid exploration of controlled parameters and optimization of other geothermal reservoirs.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Enhancing searches for resonances with machine learning and moment decomposition

A key challenge in searches for resonant new physics is that classifiers trained to enhance potential signals must not induce localized structures. Such structures could result in a false signal when the background is estimated from data using sideband methods. A variety of techniques have been developed to construct classifiers which are independent from the resonant feature (often a mass). Such strategies are sufficient to avoid localized structures, but are not necessary. We develop a new set of tools using a novel moment loss function (Moment Decomposition or MoDe) which relax the assumption of independence without creating structures in the background. Here, by allowing classifiers to be more flexible, we enhance the sensitivity to new physics without compromising the fidelity of the background estimation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

An unsupervised machine learning based approach to identify efficient spin-orbit torque materials

Materials with large spin–orbit torque (SOT) hold considerable significance for many spintronic applications because of their potential for energy-efficient magnetization switching. Unfortunately, most of the existing materials exhibit an SOT efficiency factor that is much less than unity, requiring a large current for magnetization switching. The search for new materials that can exhibit an SOT efficiency much greater than unity is a topic of active research, and only a few such materials have been identified using conventional approaches. In this paper, we present a machine learning-based approach using a word embedding model that can identify new results by deciphering non-trivial correlations among various items in a specialized scientific text corpus. We show that such a model can be used to identify materials likely to exhibit high SOT and rank them according to their expected SOT strengths. The model captured the essential spintronics knowledge embedded in scientific abstracts within various materials science, physics, and engineering journals and identified 97 new materials to exhibit high SOT. Among them, 16 candidate materials are expected to exhibit an SOT efficiency greater than unity, and one of them has recently been confirmed with experiments with quantitative agreement with the model prediction.

Sayed, Shehrin↗

Deep Multitask Learning Models for Radiation Estimation at High Energy Accelerator Facility

Controlling the dose of radiation exposure in potential radioactive facilities is critical for ensuring the safety of staff and the public. Here, in this paper, we developed machine learning models to estimate radiation exposure efficiently at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab), aiming to enhance safety in both accelerator facilities and public areas. Multiple sensors were deployed around the three experimental halls at JLab. Data on single-beam currents, energy levels, and radiation values at the sensor locations were collected during accelerator operation. We proposed a multi-task learning model for radiation estimation, utilizing either one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1-D CNNs) or long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) as the backbone. The proposed model was trained to simultaneously estimate radiation levels at the sensor locations. Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed model with LSTM backbone achieved the best estimation performance, with an average R 2 score of 0.7557 for estimation within the same year and 0.7157 for estimation across different years. These results significantly surpassed those of competing models.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Identifying an efficient, thermally robust inorganic phosphor host via machine learning

Abstract Rare-earth substituted inorganic phosphors are critical for solid state lighting. New phosphors are traditionally identified through chemical intuition or trial and error synthesis, inhibiting the discovery of potential high-performance materials. Here, we merge a support vector machine regression model to predict a phosphor host crystal structure’s Debye temperature, which is a proxy for photoluminescent quantum yield, with high-throughput density functional theory calculations to evaluate the band gap. This platform allows the identification of phosphors that may have otherwise been overlooked. Among the compounds with the highest Debye temperature and largest band gap, NaBaB 9 O 15 shows outstanding potential. Following its synthesis and structural characterization, the structural rigidity is confirmed to stem from a unique corner sharing [B 3 O 7 ] 5– polyanionic backbone. Substituting this material with Eu 2+ yields UV excitation bands and a narrow violet emission at 416 nm with a full-width at half-maximum of 34.5 nm. More importantly, NaBaB 9 O 15 :Eu 2+ possesses a quantum yield of 95% and excellent thermal stability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine learning aided line intensity ratio method for helium–hydrogen mixed recombining plasmas

The helium line intensity ratio (LIR) with the help of a collisional radiative (CR) model has long been used to measure the electron density, n e , and temperature, T e , and its potential and limitations for fusion applications have been discussed. However, it has been reported that the CR model approach leads to deviations in helium–hydrogen mixed plasmas and/or recombining plasmas. In this study, a machine learning (ML) aided LIR method is used to measure n e and T e from spectroscopic data of helium–hydrogen mixed recombining plasmas in the divertor simulator Magnum-PSI. To analyze mixed plasmas, which have more complex spectral shapes, the spectroscopy data were used directly for training instead of separating the intensities of each line. Finally, it is shown that the ML approach can provide a robust and simpler analysis method to deduce n e and T e from the visible emissions in helium–hydrogen mixed plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Exploring Sensitivity of ICF Outputs to Design Parameters in Experiments Using Machine Learning

We report building a sustainable burn platform in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) requires an understanding of the complex coupling of physical processes and the effects that key experimental design changes have on implosion performance. While simulation codes are used to model ICF implosions, incomplete physics and the need for approximations deteriorate their predictive capability. Identification of relationships between controllable design inputs and measurable outcomes can help guide the future design of experiments and development of simulation codes, which can potentially improve the accuracy of the computational models used to simulate ICF implosions. In this article, we leverage developments in machine learning (ML) and methods for ML feature importance/sensitivity analysis to identify complex relationships in ways that are difficult to process using expert judgment alone. We present work using random forest (RF) regression for prediction of yield, velocity, and other experimental outcomes given a suite of design parameters, along with an assessment of important relationships and uncertainties in the prediction model. We show that RF models are capable of learning and predicting on ICF experimental data with high accuracy, and we extract feature importance metrics that provide insight into the physical significance of different controllable design inputs for various ICF design configurations. These results can be used to augment expert intuition and simulation results for optimal design of future ICF experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗