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At least 991 records · Page 55

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 3 Appendix B - Forecast Near-Surface Air Temperature

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 19 Appendix R - Forecast Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 9 Appendix H - Forecast Precipitation

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 7 Appendix F - Forecast Minimum Near-Surface Air Temperature

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 13 Appendix L - Forecast Relative Humidity

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 5 Appendix D—Forecast Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature.

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Warm Season Response over North America to a Shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and CO 2 Increases

Paleo-proxy and modeling evidence suggest that a shutdown of the Atlantic meridional circulation (AMOC) would decrease North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and have far-reaching climate impacts. Here we use a regional climate model to examine the warm season response over North America to a hypothetical late 21st century shutdown of the AMOC with increased atmospheric CO 2 . In the future simulation, precipitation decreases over the western and central U.S. by up to 40% and over eastern Mexico by up to 50%. Over the eastern U.S., rainfall generally increases except during July. Variations in the moisture convergence associated with large-scale circulation changes dominate the rainfall variations, while evaporation plays a critical role over the northeastern U.S. in spring and the north central U.S. in summer. During April-June, the westward extension of the North Atlantic subtropical high enhances southwesterly moisture fluxes from the Gulf of Mexico into the eastern and south central U.S. Increases in low-level moisture content reduce the stability of the atmosphere. Enhanced southerly winds promote convergence over the eastern U.S. through the Sverdrup vorticity balance, and precipitation increases. In July-August, anomalous anti-cyclonic moisture fluxes associated with an anomalous high over the Gulf of Mexico and eastern Pacific decrease the moisture supply into the U.S. and Mexico. Over the central U.S., decreases in evaporation support decreases in low-level moisture content and increases in atmospheric stability. Over the eastern U.S., the Sverdrup balance weakens in summer and anomalous moisture convergence is mainly located over the East Coast.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Experiments and numerical modeling of surrogate droplet combustion for a 93 octane gasoline calibration fuel

Gasoline is the world’s most prolific liquid transportation fuel for ground transportation vehicles. Yet, a fundamental understanding of its burning characteristics is still lacking. Complicating this matter is the highly multicomponent nature of gasoline (comprised of hundreds of chemical species) and the seasonable variability of its composition due to variations in the crude oil feedstocks used in refining. The need to bring order to this complex problem has led to development of calibration fuels (Tier II in presented study) which on average will provide repeatable metrics that replicate performance of refined gasoline for various engine designs. This study presents results of experiments using the configuration of an isolated droplet to study the combustion dynamics of calibration fuel and three different surrogates (S4, S5, S6) for the calibration fuel. Droplet burning is under microgravity conditions, where gas transport is determined entirely by fuel evaporation in order to promote spherical symmetry in the burning process. The initial droplet diameters ranged between 0.55 mm and 0.60 mm. The droplets were spark-ignited and their burning histories were recorded by digital video cameras to obtain quantitative data. For each fuel, the evolutions of droplet, flame, and soot-shell diameters were measured to calculate the burn rates, flame-droplet diameter ratios (FSR) and soot-droplet diameter ratios. Additionally, a detailed numerical modeling is presented. This simulation includes multicomponent phase equilibrium, unsteady gas and liquid transport, radiative heat transfer, internal liquid diffusion and detailed combustion chemistry of different fuels during their burning process. Experiment results show that the calibration fuel and surrogates have a close burn rates and FSR, and S5 presents a relatively similar results with calibration fuel. Predictions from the numerical simulation using the surrogate are compared with experiment measurements, which showed a good agreement with the experiment results, including the droplet burning rate and FSR.

Guo, Songtao↗

Savannah River Site High Level Radioactive Waste Tank Sample Thermolytic Hydrogen Generation - 20346

To support the revision of flammability calculations and controls for the Savannah River Site (SRS) High-Level Radioactive Waste (HLW) tanks, Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) conducted laboratory measurements with the goal of quantifying hydrogen produced in HLW by non-radiolytic chemical reactions (i.e., thermolysis). Testing was performed with HLW tank supernate samples that represented a cross section of types of waste at SRS, including tanks that store typical evaporator concentrate, dissolved salt-cake, dilute recycle stream from the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF), evaporator concentrate of the recycle stream from DWPF, fresh waste from the canyon separations facility, and waste that has been through salt processing cesium removal. Non-radioactive simulant testing included the classes of organic compounds historically introduced into the HLW tanks that were recently shown to be the most active toward the thermolytic generation of hydrogen. The reaction rate equations developed for thermolytic hydrogen generation from each class of organic compound showed direct proportionality to organic compound concentration and hydroxide concentration. Simulant testing identified that highly concentrated waste with high hydroxide concentration had the highest rates of thermolytic hydrogen generation. Using the radioactive tank sample thermolysis measurements at high temperatures and the mechanistic salt dependence of the simulant models, a global model was developed for tank waste thermolytic hydrogen generation as a function of total organic carbon content of SRS HLW. Through the primary functionality of the global model (organic carbon and free hydroxide concentration), the relative reactivity of the organic carbon in the waste was quantified. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Hanford Direct Feed Low Activity Waste Program Throughput Optimization Through Modeling - 18587

The Direct Feed Low Activity Waste (DFLAW) program at Hanford allows for the early treatment of tank wastes years earlier than previously planned. Operational Research (OR) modeling is being used to provide invaluable insight into how complex and integrated processes will operate. The DFLAW OR models are used to help optimize the design and operation of the integrated system. The DFLAW OR models include the processes and real-life complexities involved in the day-to-day operation of the systems and equipment, and can predict key performance characteristics including throughput, mission timescale, equipment and labor utilization, lag storage and capacity requirements. The DFLAW OR models also have the in-built capability to simulate random events such as equipment failures. Adding random variability to models introduces a real-life element to model results. For example, OR modeling breakdown analysis of equipment failure and restoration times may inform specific improvements to a design and plant operation, including areas where the provision of spare (duty/standby) equipment would prove beneficial; the optimum number and capacity of lag storage tanks (for waste intermediate storage, reagents, etc.); operational issues, including scheduling constraints, labor resource constraints, effect of shift schedules (e.g. days only, extended shifts, 24/7),, maintenance strategies, including planned maintenance, equipment upgrades, on-hand spare part stockholding, etc. At Hanford, standalone OR models to date, have been used to help identify key operational issues and improve the design and operation of individual systems within the Tank Farms, Low Activity Waste Pretreatment System (LAWPS), Low Activity Waste (LAW) Vitrification and Effluent Management Facility (EMF) and Integrated Disposal Facility (IDF), logistics and infrastructure, 222-S laboratory [References 1 and 2] including: - Identification of critical spares including transfer pumps; - Underpin size and number of lag storage tanks to maintain continuous LAW feed to the LAW melters; - Underpin sample turnaround times at the 222-S Laboratory (e.g. feed prequalification and evaporator campaign samples) and determine how targets can be achieved without impacting waste feed delivery to LAWPS and the LAW Vitrification Facility; - Determine operational strategy required at IDF including shift schedules and sizes and the number of ILAW transporters that can support DFLAW throughput; - Identification of lag storage management strategies for glass formers, reagents, other consumables due to delivery distance and delays due to bad weather; and - Truck delivery badging needs to support 24/7 operation and management of shift in/out times required to reduce congestion. An Integrated DFLAW OR model has been developed and combines the standalone OR models such that integrated throughput and availability can be assessed from a program perspective. The Integrated OR model will provide a more detailed understanding of the interactions between Tank Farms, LAWPS, LAW VIT and IDF such that key bottleneck areas can be identified and ensure improvements are focused. Examples of future improvements that may be considered include identification of critical spare parts, required on-site maintenance capabilities, shift scheduling, and craft and labor availability. The methods, results and insights derived by DFLAW OR modeling efforts are expected to provide useful applications to other projects that involve combinations of mechanical handling, chemical processing, waste treatment/packaging or environmental remediation operations. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Structural and optical properties of (Ag,Cu)(In,Ga)Se{sub 2} polycrystalline thin film alloys

The structural and optical properties of pentenary alloy (Ag,Cu)(In,Ga)Se{sub 2} polycrystalline thin films were characterized over the entire compositional range at a fixed (Cu + Ag)/(In + Ga) ratio. Films deposited at 550 °C on bare and molybdenum coated soda-lime glass by elemental co-evaporation in a single-stage process with constant incident fluxes exhibit single phase chalcopyrite structure, corresponding to 122 spacegroup (I-42d) over the entire compositional space. Unit cell refinement of the diffraction patterns show that increasing Ag substitution for Cu, the refined a{sub o} lattice constant, (Ag,Cu)-Se bond length, and anion displacement increase in accordance with the theoretical model proposed by Jaffe, Wei, and Zunger. However, the refined c{sub o} lattice constant and (In,Ga)-Se bond length deviated from theoretical expectations for films with mid-range Ag and Ga compositions and are attributed to influences from crystallographic bond chain ordering or cation electronegativity. The optical band gap, derived from transmission and reflection measurements, widened with increasing Ag and Ga content, due to influences from anion displacement and cation electronegativity, as expected from theoretical considerations for pseudo-binary chalcopyrite compounds.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

The integrated impacts of natural processes and human activities on groundwater salinization in the coastal aquifers of Beihai, southern China

Salinization in coastal aquifers is usually related to both seawater intrusion and water–rock interaction. The results of chemical and isotopic methods were combined to identify the origin and processes of groundwater salinization in Daguansha area of Beihai, southern China. The concentrations of the major ions that dominate in seawater (Cl{sup −}, Na{sup +}, Ca{sup 2+}, Mg{sup 2+} and SO{sub 4}{sup 2–}), as well as the isotopic content and ratios ({sup 2}H, {sup 18}O, {sup 87}Sr/{sup 86}Sr and {sup 13}C), suggest that the salinization occurring in the aquifer of the coastal plain is related to seawater and that the prevailing hydrochemical processes are evaporation, mixing, dissolution and ion exchange. For the unconfined aquifer, groundwater salinization has occurred in an area that is significantly influenced by land-based sea farming. The integrated impacts of seawater intrusion from the Beibuwan Gulf and infiltration of seawater from the culture ponds are identified in the shallowest confined aquifer (I) in the middle of the area (site BBW2). Leakage from this polluted confined aquifer causes the salinization of groundwater in the underlying confined aquifer (II). At the coastal monitoring site (BBW3), confined aquifer I and lower confined aquifer II are heavily contaminated by seawater intrusion. The weak connectivity between the upper aquifers, and the seaward movement of freshwater, prevents saltwater from encroaching the deepest confined aquifer (III). A conceptual model is presented. Above all, understanding of the origin and processes of groundwater salinization will provide essential information for the planning and sustainable management of groundwater resources in this region.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

River–aquifer interactions enhancing evapotranspiration in a semiarid riparian zone: A modelling study

The hydrologic flows across the river–aquifer interface play an important role in groundwater dynamics and biogeochemical reactions within the subsurface; however, little is known about the effects of river–aquifer interactions on land surface processes. In this study, we developed a fully coupled three-dimensional (3D) land surface and subsurface model at a high resolution (~1 km) that accounts for high-frequency hydrologic exchange flow conditions to investigate how river–aquifer interactions modulate surface water budgets in the Upper Columbia-Priest Rapids watershed, a typical semiarid watershed located in the northwestern United States where river stage fluctuates in response to reservoir releases changing. Our results show that the spatiotemporal dynamics of river–aquifer interactions are highly heterogeneous, driven mainly by river-stage fluctuations. Adding 6.64 × 10 6 m 3 year –1 of water over the watershed from the river to groundwater owing to the lateral flow, river–aquifer interactions led to an increase in soil evaporation and transpiration supplied by higher soil moisture content, particularly in deeper subsurface. In a hypothetic future scenarios where a 5-m rise in river stage was assumed, the hydrologic flow exchange rates were intensified, resulting in higher surface water over the entire watershed. Overall, lateral flow induced by river–aquifer exchanges leads to an increase in evapotranspiration of ~75% in the historical period and of ~83% in the hypothetical future scenario. Finally, our study demonstrates the potential of coupled model as an effective tool for understanding river–aquifer–land surface interactions, and indicates that river–aquifer interactions fundamentally alter the water balance of the riparian zone for the semiarid watershed and will likely become more frequent and intense in the future under the effects of climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Asymmetry of the Ferroelectric Phase Transition in BaTiO 3

Symmetry changes during phase transformations fundamentally determine the behavior of thermodynamic systems, governing phenomena as diverse as water evaporation, fermion condensation, and epidemic spreading. Phase transitions are conventionally divided into two classes, and this classification is typically assumed to remain invariant upon reversing the transition. Here, an asymmetric phase transformation is uncovered in the ferroelectric–paraelectric transition of single-crystal BaTiO 3 , a model system for first-order transitions. Under slow temperature variation (≤0.1 °C min −1 ), thermodynamic, dielectric, and domain-structure measurements reveal that the ferroelectric-to-paraelectric transition exhibits latent heat, phase coexistence, and a discontinuous order parameter, while these signatures are absent upon cooling. Complementary phase-field simulations demonstrate similar behavior, attributing it to distinct elastic strain energy accumulation and release during heating and cooling. These findings reveal a first-order character upon heating but a second-order-like behavior upon cooling, challenging the conventional paradigm of symmetric phase-transition classification and suggesting new possibilities for ferroelectric-based energy storage.

Hershkovitz, Asaf [Technion-Israel Institute of Te↗

Empirically verified analysis of dual pre-cooling system for hydrogen refuelling station

The dual cooling system at the California State University Los Angeles Hydrogen Research and Fueling Facility is analysed to predict the output hydrogen temperature in different ambient conditions. Initially, the facility was built with a coil chiller T20 cooling, sufficient for occasional fuelings. A flat plate evaporator system was added in series to resolve any issues for multiple fuelings even in the hottest weather. This study was commenced to verify the set points and determine the control requirements for the dual setup in order to inform future designs. A numerical-empirical model of the cooling system was developed by reverse engineering, using the station experimental measurements and database records. The subsystems are characterized separately but validated as a whole system imposing specific and standard operating conditions. The cooling model is tested with different inputs to validate the pre-set parameter variation of the cooling components. Ten scenarios were investigated to evaluate the fueling output parameters, testing two hydrogen temperature input trends (according to the facility initial conditions) and five ambient temperatures (from 15 °C to 35 °C). In closing, the simulation results have confirmed that the hydrogen output temperature remains within the range imposed by the SAE J2601 for each scenario studied, around -22 °C and -25 °C.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Reactive multilayers fabricated by vapor deposition. A critical review

The reactive multilayer thin films are a class of energetic materials that continue to attract attention for use in joining applications and as igniters. Generally composed of two reactants, these heterogeneous solids can be stimulated by an external source to promptly release stored chemical energy in a sudden emission of light and heat. In our critical review article, results from recent investigations of these materials are discussed. Discussion begins with a brief description of the vapor deposition techniques that provide accurate control of layer thickness and film composition. More than 50 reactive film compositions have been reported to date, with most multilayers fabricated by magnetron sputter deposition or electron-beam evaporation. In later sections, we review how multilayer ignition threshold, reaction rate, and total heat are tailored via thin film design. For example, planar multilayers with nanometer-scale periodicity exhibit rapid, self-sustained reactions with wavefront velocities up to 100 m/s. Numeric and analytical models have elucidated many of the fundamental processes that underlie propagating exothermic reactions while demonstrating how reaction rates vary with multilayer design. Recent, time-resolved diffraction and imaging studies have further revealed the phase transformations and the wavefront dynamics associated with propagating chemical reactions. Many reactive multilayers (e.g., Co/Al) form product phases that are consistent with published equilibrium phase diagrams, yet a few systems, such as Pt/Al, develop metastable products. The final section highlights current and emerging applications of reactive multilayers. Examples include reactive Ni(V)/Al and Pd/Al multilayers which have been developed for localized soldering of heat-sensitive components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Kinetically Controlled Self-Assembly of Binary Polymer-Grafted Nanocrystals into Ordered Superstructures via Solvent Vapor Annealing

Polymer-inorganic nanocomposites based on polymer-grafted nanocrystals (PGNCs) are enabling technologically relevant applications owing to their unique physical, chemical, and mechanical properties. While diverse PGNC superstructures have been realized through evaporation-driven self-assembly, this approach presents multifaceted challenges in experimentally probing and controlling assembly kinetics. Here, we report a kinetically controlled assembly of binary superstructures from a homogeneous disordered PGNC mixture utilizing solvent vapor annealing (SVA). Using a NaZn 13 -type superstructure as a model system, we demonstrate that varying the solvent vapor pressure during SVA allows for exquisite control of the rate and extent of PGNC assembly, providing access to nearly complete kinetic pathways of binary PGNC crystallization. Characterization of kinetically arrested intermediates reveals that assembly follows a multistep crystallization pathway involving spinodal-like preordering of PGNCs prior to NaZn 13 nucleation. Our work opens up new avenues for the synthesis of multicomponent PGNC superstructures exhibiting multifunctionalities and emergent properties through a thorough understanding of kinetic pathways.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Direct high-altitude observations of 2-methyltetrols in the gas- and particle phase in air masses from Amazonia

We present direct observations of 2-methyltetrol (C 5 H 12 O 4 ) in the gas- and particle phase from the deployment of a Filter Inlet for Gases and Aerosols coupled to a Time-of-Flight Chemical Ionization Mass Spectrometer (FIGAERO-CIMS) during the Southern Hemisphere High Altitude Experiment on Particle Nucleation and Growth (SALTENA), which took place between December 2017 and June 2018 at the high-altitude Global Atmosphere Watch station Chacaltaya (CHC) located at 5240 m a s l in the Bolivian Andes. 2-Methyltetrol signals were dominant in a factor resulting from Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) identified as influenced by Amazon emissions. We combine these observations with investigations of isoprene oxidation chemistry and uptake in an isolated deep convective cloud in the Amazon using a photochemical box model with coupled cloud microphysics and show that, likely, 2-methyltetrol is taken up by hydrometeors or formed in situ in the convective cloud, and then transported in the particle phase in the cold environment of the Amazon outflow and to the station, where it partially evaporates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗