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At least 991 records · Page 55

Spatial Variability in Column CO2 Inferred from High Resolution GEOS-5 Global Model Simulations: Implications for Remote Sensing and Inversions

Column CO2 observations from current and future remote sensing missions represent a major advancement in our understanding of the carbon cycle and are expected to help constrain source and sink distributions. However, data assimilation and inversion methods are challenged by the difference in scale of models and observations. OCO-2 footprints represent an area of several square kilometers while NASA s future ASCENDS lidar mission is likely to have an even smaller footprint. In contrast, the resolution of models used in global inversions are typically hundreds of kilometers wide and often cover areas that include combinations of land, ocean and coastal areas and areas of significant topographic, land cover, and population density variations. To improve understanding of scales of atmospheric CO2 variability and representativeness of satellite observations, we will present results from a global, 10-km simulation of meteorology and atmospheric CO2 distributions performed using NASA s GEOS-5 general circulation model. This resolution, typical of mesoscale atmospheric models, represents an order of magnitude increase in resolution over typical global simulations of atmospheric composition allowing new insight into small scale CO2 variations across a wide range of surface flux and meteorological conditions. The simulation includes high resolution flux datasets provided by NASA s Carbon Monitoring System Flux Pilot Project at half degree resolution that have been down-scaled to 10-km using remote sensing datasets. Probability distribution functions are calculated over larger areas more typical of global models (100-400 km) to characterize subgrid-scale variability in these models. Particular emphasis is placed on coastal regions and regions containing megacities and fires to evaluate the ability of coarse resolution models to represent these small scale features. Additionally, model output are sampled using averaging kernels characteristic of OCO-2 and ASCENDS measurement concepts to create realistic pseudo-datasets. Pseudo-data are averaged over coarse model grid cell areas to better understand the ability of measurements to characterize CO2 distributions and spatial gradients on both short (daily to weekly) and long (monthly to seasonal) time scales

Ott, L.↗

Photochemical processes induced by a major warming of the upper atmosphere - Variations in mesospheric trace constituents

The temperature rise and enhanced winds during an upper atmospheric warming cause substantial changes in the high level ozone profile of the sunlit winter hemisphere. Calculations based on a photochemical model, using temperatures measured at Fort Churchill during a major warming, predict a factor of 2 variation in the ozone number density near 60 km over a time period of approximately 3 weeks. This temporal variability at a fixed location results from the planetary wave structure of the temperature field and reflects a similar longitudinal behavior at a given time. The ozone number density at fixed altitude is a maximum when the temperature is greatest at and below this level. This is due primarily to thermal expansion of the atmosphere which results in a large increase in pressure at constant altitude. However, chemical activity during a warming decreases the mesospheric ozone mixing ratio at fixed pressure. The ozone mixing ratio at constant pressure during the peak of the event studied is near 75% of its unperturbed value. The predicted variability of ozone in longitude and time demonstrates the need for hemispheric scale information on trace gas abundances, temperature, and winds in order to delineate adequately the response of upper atmospheric composition to a major perturbation.

Frederick, J. E.↗

Polynomial chaos expansions for dependent random variables

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for building multivariate orthonormal bases and for sampling strategies to evaluate PCE coefficients. In contrast, the application of PCE to models of dependent variables is much more challenging. Three approaches can be used to construct PCE of models of dependent variables. The first approach uses mapping methods where measure transformations, such as the Nataf and Rosenblatt transformation, can be used to map dependent random variables to independent ones; however we show that this can significantly degrade performance since the Jacobian of the map must be approximated. A second strategy is the class of dominating support methods. In these approaches a PCE is built using independent random variables whose distributional support dominates the support of the true dependent joint density; we provide evidence that this approach appears to produce approximations with suboptimal accuracy. A third approach, the novel method proposed here, uses Gram-Schmidt orthogonalization (GSO) to numerically compute orthonormal polynomials for the dependent random variables. This approach has been used successfully when solving differential equations using the intrusive stochastic Galerkin method, and in this paper we use GSO to build PCE using a non-intrusive stochastic collocation method. The stochastic collocation method treats the model as a black box and builds approximations of the input-output map from a set of samples. Building PCE from samples can introduce ill-conditioning which does not plague stochastic Galerkin methods. To mitigate this ill-conditioning we generate weighted Leja sequences, which are nested sample sets, to build accurate polynomial interpolants. We show that our proposed approach, GSO with weighted Leja sequences, produces PCE which are orders of magnitude more accurate than PCE constructed using mapping or dominating support methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The spatial distribution of shocked gas in the Orion nebula

Observations of the spatial distribution of extinction and excitation temperature toward the molecular hydrogen emission in the Orion molecular cloud OMC-1 are presented. Most, although not all, of the observed structure in the near-infrared line intensities results from variations in the column density of vibrationally excited H2 and is not due to variable extinction or temperature. The extinction toward the center of the emission region is between 1 and 2 mag at 4712/cm, the frequency of the v = 1-0 S(1) line, but increases toward the edges. The lack of emission from the eastern part of the nebula may result from increased extinction in that direction. Variations in the extinction temperature are less than the observational uncertainties of + or - 200 K at all but one position observed. Therefore, the excitation temperature of the hydrogen molecules is probably not a strong function of either the shock velocity or the density of the gas. Observations of the v = 3-2 S(3) line in the direction of strongest emission indicate the presence of gas temperatures about 2700 K and place constraints on the column density of gas which is at higher temperature.

Beck, S. C.↗

Evaluation of the New Boron Model of the TRACE Code

System codes such as TRACE and RELAP5 have the option of adding boron to be dissolved in the water. In principle, the density and the viscosity of the water are not affected when the amounts of dissolved boron are very small. However, if the boron concentration is significant, water density and viscosity will be affected. Version 5.890 of the TRACE code has a new boron model with the option of modifying the water density and viscosity to account for the presence of dissolved boron. The input variable ISOLUT is used for this purpose. If ISOLUT=0, no boron is dissolved in the water. If ISOLUT=1, boron is dissolved in the water, and the liquid water density and viscosity are not modified by the dissolved boron. If ISOLUT=2, boron is dissolved in the water, and the liquid water density and viscosity are modified by the dissolved boron. This paper evaluates some features of this new boron model in the TRACE code.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The effects of forced air flow and oxygen concentration on flammability, smoke density, and pyrolytic toxicity

The question is posed whether forced air flow should be incorporated into flammability tests as a relevant variable. A test apparatus is described which permits tests to be conducted on small test specimens in a forced flow which is (continuously) variable over flow velocities from zero to 300 feet per minute (1.52 m/s). The effects of air-flow rate and oxygen concentration on flame propagation rate, maximum smoke density, and pyrolytic product toxicity were measured for a single material and were statistically evaluated. Regression analysis was used to graph the resulting relationships. It is concluded that air velocity is an important variable for laboratory flammability testing.

Sauers, D. G.↗

Interstellar absorption lines in high-resolution IUE spectra of cataclysmic variables

High-resolution ultraviolet spectra of five cataclysmic variables obtained with the IUE are used to investigate the character of the interstellar medium in the vicinity of the sun. These spectra reveal narrow absorption features of neutral and singly ionized interstellar species, and, in SS Cyg, narrow velocity-shifted absorption features of C IV, Si IV, and Si III. Using the column densities implied by the absorption features of the neutral and singly ionized species, values for the depletion of Si, Mg, Mn, and Fe from the gas phase of the interstellar medium in the vicinity of the sun are obtained. These hydrogen column densities are of particular importance in constraining the soft X-ray luminosity of cataclysmic variables because of the severe attenuation of the soft X-ray flux of cataclysmic variables by photoelectric absorption in the interstellar medium. In addition, using the column densities implied by the absorption features of C IV, Si IV, and Si III in the spectrum of SS Cyg, the existence of an expanding H II region of interstellar gas photoionized by he EUV and soft X-ray flux of this cataclysmic variable are inferred.

Mauche, Christopher W.↗

A Bayesian inferencing framework for ultrasound wave speed measurements in metal additive manufacturing

Process-related changes during metal additive manufacturing introduce microstructural variability in the material properties of printed parts, directly affecting component reliability. Accurate estimation of these property variations with part performance are essential for quality assurance. Ultrasound testing offers a non-destructive means to estimate mechanical properties and detect defects; however, conventional analysis methods often neglect the influence of microstructural variability, limiting their effectiveness. Here, this research presents a Bayesian inference technique for quantifying wave speed uncertainty from ultrasound measurements of metal additive manufactured parts. By integrating prior ultrasound data with a Bayesian model, the proposed approach generates posterior density estimates of wave speed that systematically account for manufacturing-induced variability and uncertainty. The novelty of this research lies in applying a Bayesian framework to analyze experimental ultrasound measurements within the context of metal additive manufacturing variability. The method enhances the accuracy of wave speed estimation by 64%, defect position by 50% and increases confidence associated with wave speed variance by 30% across different porosity levels, thereby providing a robust foundation for improved decision-making and increased reliability in additively manufactured components.

Additive manufacturing↗

3D Mapping of the Neutral X-Ray Absorption in the Local Interstellar Medium: The Gaia and XMM-Newton Synergy

We present a three-dimensional map of the hydrogen density distribution in the Galactic interstellar medium. The hydrogen-equivalent column densities were obtained from the Exploring the X-ray Transient and variable Sky project (EXTRAS) which provides equivalent NH values from X-ray spectral fits of observations within the XMM-Newton Data Release. EXTRAS include multiple fits for each source, allowing an accurate determination of the equivalent column densities, which depends on the continuum modelling of the spectra. A cross-correlation between the EXTRAS catalogue and the first Gaia Data Release was performed in order to obtain accurate parallax and distance measurements. We use a Bayesian method explained in Rezaei Kh. et al. (2017) in order to predict the most probable distribution of the density at any arbitrary point, even for lines of sight along which there are no initial observation. The resulting map shows small-scale density structures which could not have been modelled by using analytic density profiles. In this paper, we present a proof of concept of the kind of science possible with the synergy of these catalogues. However, given the systematic uncertainties connected to the source identification and to the dependence of NH on the spectral model, the present maps should be considered qualitatively at this point.

Gatuzz, Efrain↗

Pioneer 10 and Voyager observations of the interstellar medium in scattered emission of the He584 A and H Lya 1216 A lines

The combination of Pioneer photometric and Voyager spectrometric observations of EUV interstellar-interplanetary emissions in the region beyond 5 A was applied to a determination of atomic hydrogen and helium densities. These density estimates obtained from direct measurement of scattered radiation depend on absolute calibration of the instruments in the same way as other earlier determinations based on the same method. However, the spacecraft data were combined with daily full sun averages of the H Lyman 1216 A line obtained by the Solar Mesospheric Explorer satellite to obtain a measure of atomic hydrogen density independent of instrument absolute calibration. The method depends on observations of long and short term temporal variability of the solar line over a one year period, and the fact that the ISM is optically thick. The density estimates from preliminary work on these observations are H = 0.12 cu cm and H = .016 cu cm, giving a density ratio close to the cosmic abundance value in contrast to some earlier results indicating a depletion of atomic hydrogen. Estimates were obtained of galactic background emissions in the signals of both spacecraft.

Shemansky, D. E.↗

Pioneer 10 and Voyager Observations of the Interstellar Medium in Scattered Emission of the He 584 a and H Lya 1216 a Lines

The combination of Pioneer photometric and Voyager spectrometric observations of EUV interstellar-interplanetary emissions in the region beyond 5 A was applied to a determination of atomic hydrogen and helium densities. These density estimates obtained from direct measurement of scattered radiation depend on absolute calibration of the instruments in the same way as other earlier determinations based on the same method. However, the spacecraft data were combined with daily ll sun averages of the H Lyman 1216 A line obtained by the Solar Mesospheric Explorer satellite to obtain a measure of atomic hydrogen density independent of instrument absolute calibration. The method depends on observations of long and short term temporal variability of the solar line over a one year period, and the fact that the ISM is optically thick. The density estimates from preliminary work on these observations are H = 0.12/cu cm and H = .016/cu cm, giving a density ratio close to the cosmic abundance value in contrast to some earlier results indicating a depletion of atomic hydrogen. Estimates were obtained of galactic background emissions in the signals of both spacecraft.

Shemansky, D. E.↗

Pioneer 10 and Voyager Observations of the Interstellar Medium in Scattered Emission of the H 584 A and H Lya 1216 A Lines

The combination of Pioneer photometric and Voyager spectrometric observations of EUV interstellar-interplanetary emissions in the region beyond 5 AU have been applied to a determination of atomic hydrogen and helium densities. These density estimates obtained from direct measurement of scattered radiation depend on absolute calibration of the instruments, in the same way as other earlier determinations based on the same method. However. we have combined the spacecraft data with daily full sun averages of the H Lya 1216 A line obtained by the Solar Mesospheric Explorer (SME) satellite, to obtain a measure of atomic hydrogen density independent of instrument absolute calibration. The method depends on observations of long and short term temporal variability of the solar line over a 1 year period, and the fact that the ISM is optically thick. The density estimates from preliminary work on these observations are (H) = 0.12 cm(sup 2) and (He) = .016 cm(sup 2), giving a density ratio close to the cosmic abundance value, in contrast to some earlier results indicating a depletion of atomic hydrogen. We have obtained estimates of galactic background emissions in the signals of both spacecraft.

Shemansky, D. E.↗

Seeing the forest for all the trees: Mycorrhizal‐associated nutrient economies are modulated by stem density and the synchrony between overstorey and understorey communities

1. Identifying relationships between plant communities and soil characteristics is a critical step in understanding the consequences of species gains and losses in ecosystems. The mycorrhizal associated nutrient economy (MANE) hypothesis predicts that the degree to which tree species and their mycorrhizal associates affect soil properties is driven by the relative dominance of different mycorrhizal types (often measured by relative basal area). While this approach emphasizes the importance of canopy trees, it does not account for how other factors (e.g. the density and composition of understorey trees) may alter tree–soil relationships. 2. We analysed tree–soil data from an eastern deciduous forest in southern Indiana, USA that contains >29,000 georeferenced stems, including 21 species that associate with arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi and 14 that associate with ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungi. We sampled soils (upper 5 cm) from across the plot and modelled soil characteristics to tree communities. Given differences in soil characteristics among AM-dominated and ECM-dominated neighbourhoods, we hypothesized that relationships between tree-mycorrhizal dominance and soils would be affected by both the density of stems in the plot (owing to ‘Zinke’ individual plant effects) and composition of the understorey trees (owing to ‘trait divergence effects’) 3. In support of our Zinke hypothesis, we found that the relationships between tree-mycorrhizal dominance and soil variables (soil pH, nitrification rates and carbon to nitrogen ratio) were strengthened as stand density increased. In support of the trait divergence hypothesis, we found that as the mismatch between overstorey and understorey composition increased (e.g. AM-dominated understories beneath ECM-dominated overstories and vice versa), the relationship between tree dominance and soil variables weakened. We were able to use these insights to create mycorrhizal metrics to predict soil variables that were sensitive to the structural composition of neighbourhoods. 4. Synthesis. Our results indicate that relationships between plants and soils in forests are not only shaped by dominant overstorey trees but also the density and composition of understorey trees. Thus, efforts to predict the ecosystem consequences of species gains and losses may benefit from considering these elements of forest structure and not only the basal area of the dominant trees.

MANE framework↗

Strong Dark Matter Self-interactions Diversify Halo Populations within and surrounding the Milky Way

Abstract We perform a high-resolution cosmological zoom-in simulation of a Milky Way (MW)–like system, which includes a realistic Large Magellanic Cloud analog, using a large differential elastic dark matter self-interaction cross section that reaches ≈100 cm 2 g −1 at relative velocities of ≈10 km s −1 , motivated by the diverse and orbitally dependent central densities of dwarf galaxies within and surrounding the MW. We explore the effects of dark matter self-interactions on satellite, splashback, and isolated halos through their abundance, central densities, maximum circular velocities, orbital parameters, and correlations between these variables. We use an effective constant cross section model to analytically predict the stages of our simulated halos’ gravothermal evolution, demonstrating that deviations from the collisionless R max – V max relation can be used to select deeply core-collapsed halos, where V max is a halo’s maximum circular velocity, and R max is the radius at which it occurs. We predict that a sizable fraction (≈20%) of subhalos with masses down to ≈10 8 M ⊙ is deeply core collapsed in our SIDM model. Core-collapsed systems form ≈10% of the isolated halo population down to the same mass; these isolated, core-collapsed halos would host faint dwarf field galaxies with extremely steep central density profiles. Finally, most halos with masses above ≈10 9 M ⊙ are core-forming in our simulation. Our study thus demonstrates how self-interactions diversify halo populations in an environmentally dependent fashion within and surrounding MW-mass hosts, providing a compelling avenue to address the diverse dark matter distributions of observed dwarf galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The deep structure of lunar basins - Implications for basin formation and modification

Models for the crustal structure in the vicinity of nine impact basins, from an inversion of gravity and topographic data from the lunar nearside are presented. The models display a low-density nonmare crustal layer and a mare basalt layer, both of variable thicknesses. Assuming that topography in mare areas is isostatically compensated before the emplacement of mare basalts and that compensation of mare basalt units may be neglected, a decomposition of the gravity anomaly into contributions from Moho relief and mare fill is permitted. Minimum values for mare basalt thicknesses are obtained but because mare basalts and mantle material are similar in density, the thicknesses of the nonmare crust are estimated. An important constraint is the crustal thickness inferred from the Apollo 12 and 14 landing sites from seismic observations. The crustal thickness model indicates that the crust is thinner beneath each of the major nearside basins than in surrounding areas. New bounds on the volume of material ejected from each basin are derived. The geological implications of structural differences among basins for the processes of basin formation and modification are evaluated as functions of time on the moon.

Bratt, S. R.↗

A Pockels cell enabled heterodyne phase contrast imaging diagnostic for detection of ion cyclotron emission

This work describes a novel optical heterodyne detection scheme that significantly extends the frequency response of the phase contrast imaging method to detect electron density fluctuations in tens of megahertz frequency range. The system employs a variable frequency electro-optic modulator to allow operation at any frequency in the range 10–40 MHz without the need to realign the system. The frequency coverage of the system makes it suitable to measure the radial structure of the electron density component of ion cyclotron emission on devices having confining magnetic field of a few tesla, thus extending the purely temporal measurements provided so far by magnetic probes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Understanding Clinical Mammographic Breast Density Assessment: a Deep Learning Perspective

Mammographic breast density has been established as an independent risk marker for developing breast cancer. Breast density assessment is a routine clinical need in breast cancer screening and current standard is using the Breast Imaging and Reporting Data System (BI-RADS) criteria including four qualitative categories (i.e., fatty, scattered density, heterogeneously dense, or extremely dense). In each mammogram examination, a breast is typically imaged with two different views, i.e., the mediolateral oblique (MLO) view and cranial caudal (CC) view. The BI-RADS-based breast density assessment is a qualitative process made by visual observation of both the MLO and CC views by radiologists, where there is a notable inter- and intra-reader variability. In order to maintain consistency and accuracy in BI-RADS-based breast density assessment, gaining understanding on radiologists’ reading behaviors will be educational. In this study, we proposed to leverage the newly emerged deep learning approach to investigate how the MLO and CC view images of a mammogram examination may have been clinically used by radiologists in coming up with a BI-RADS density category. We implemented a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based deep learning model, aimed at distinguishing the breast density categories using a large (15,415 images) set of real-world clinical mammogram images. Our results showed that the classification of density categories (in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) using MLO view images is significantly higher than that using the CC view. This indicates that most likely it is the MLO view that the radiologists have predominately used to determine the breast density BI-RADS categories. Our study holds a potential to further interpret radiologists’ reading characteristics, enhance personalized clinical training to radiologists, and ultimately reduce reader variations in breast density assessment.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗