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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

A mechanistic damage model for solid oxide fuel cell ceramic materials - Part I: Constitutive modeling

A multiscale mechanistic damage model for solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) ceramics that combines micromechanics of stiffness reduction due to material porosity change and microcracking with a continuum damage mechanics (CDM) description for the evolution of microcracks up to fracture is developed in this work. The model also accounts for volumetric swelling of the anode due to redox cycling. Porosity change and swelling during redox combined with normal operating thermomechanical loads could increase the stress, strain and damage distributions in SOFC stacks leading them to failure. The proposed model involves three governing parameters: (i) the porosity in terms of the pore or void volume fraction, (ii) material swelling magnitude prescribed at a given loading step, and (iii) the damage variable that describes microcracking caused by thermomechanical loads and swelling. Pores and microcracks in the ceramics are modeled as randomly distributed ellipsoidal inclusions with negligible stiffness by an Eshelby-Mori-Tanaka formulation combined with an inclusion orientation distribution method. Microcracking damage evolution is described by a CDM formulation. Volumetric swelling is treated in a similar way to thermal expansion in the constitutive relations. After validation and numerical checks, the damage model is used to analyze a simplified SOFC positive-electrode/electrolyte/negative-electrode (PEN) structure subjected a redox cycle in addition to thermomechanical loads experienced during normal operation of a SOFC stack.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Molecular Simulation of Lithium Carbonate Reactive Vapor–Liquid Equilibria Using a Deep Potential Model

We developed a first-principles machine learning model for the reactive vapor–liquid phase behavior of molten Li 2 CO 3 . The model was trained on ab initio electronic density functional theory data using the Deep Potential (DP) methodology, and its accuracy was evaluated by comparing model predictions of density and viscosity to experimental measurements. Direct coexistence simulations with the DP model over time scales of tens of nanoseconds were used to observe equilibrium dissociation of Li 2 CO 3 into CO 2 residing primarily in the vapor phase and Li 2 O which remains dissolved in the liquid. The simulations covered a range of temperatures, overall system sizes, and vapor-to-liquid volume ratios. Results were analyzed in terms of the observed chemical composition of the liquid and vapor phases, product structure, and CO 2 partial pressures. In addition, we calculated equilibrium constants for the dissociation reaction by assuming ideal-solution behavior for the liquid. As expected on the basis of thermodynamic arguments and prior experiments for this system, the observed partial pressure of CO 2 in the gas phase depends on both the temperature and the ratio of vapor to liquid volumes, while the calculated equilibrium constants only depend on temperature. DP model predictions for the equilibrium constant of the reaction are generally consistent with the available experimental measurements. Furthermore, the present study establishes the validity of the DP methodology for the description of reactive, multiphase equilibria from first principles, with possible applications to many other systems of scientific and technological interest even in the absence of relevant experimental measurements.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Eliminating Imaginary Vibrational Frequencies in Quantum-Chemical Cluster Models of Enzymatic Active Sites

In constructing finite models of enzyme active sites for quantum-chemical calculations, atoms at the periphery of the model must be constrained to stop unphysical rearrangements during geometry relaxation. A simple fixed-atom or “coordinate-lock” approach is commonly employed but leads to undesirable artifacts in the form of small imaginary frequencies. These preclude evaluation of finite-temperature free-energy corrections, limiting thermochemical calculations to enthalpies only. Full-dimensional vibrational frequency calculations are possible by replacing the fixed-atom constraints with harmonic confining potentials. Here, we compare that approach to an alternative strategy in which fixed-atom contributions to the Hessian are simply omitted. While the latter strategy does eliminate imaginary frequencies, it tends to underestimate both the zero-point energy and the vibrational entropy while introducing artificial rigidity. Harmonic confining potentials eliminate imaginary frequencies and provide a flexible means to construct active-site models that can be used in unconstrained geometry relaxations, affording better convergence of reaction energies and barrier heights with respect to the model size, as compared to models with fixed-atom constraints.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Improved Models for Metallic Nanoparticle Cores from Atomic Pair Distribution Function (PDF) Analysis

X-ray atomic pair distribution functions (PDFs) were collected from a range of canonical metallic nanomaterials, both elemental and alloyed, prepared using different synthesis methods and exhibiting drastically different morphological properties. Widely applied shape-tuned attenuated crystal (AC) fcc models proved inadequate, yielding structured, coherent, and correlated fit residuals. However, equally simple discrete cluster models could account for the largest amplitude features in these difference signals. A hypothesis testing based approach to nanoparticle structure modeling systematically ruled out effects from crystallite size, composition, shape, and surface faceting as primary factors contributing to the AC misfit. On the other hand, decahedrally twinned cluster cores were found to be the origin of the AC structure misfits for a majority of the nanomaterials reported here. It is further motivated that the PDF can readily differentiate between the arrangement of domains in these multiply twinned motifs. Most of the nanomaterials surveyed also fall within the sub-5 nm size regime where traditional electron microscopy cannot easily detect and quantify domain structures, with sampling representative of the average nanocrystal synthesized. Here, the results demonstrate that PDF analysis is a powerful method for understanding internal atomic interfaces in small noble metallic nanomaterials. Such core cluster models, easily built algorithmically, should serve as starting structures for more advanced models able to capture atomic positional disorder, ligand induced or otherwise, near nanocrystal surfaces.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Exploring topography-based methods for downscaling subgrid precipitation for use in Earth System Models

Topography exerts major control on land surface processes. To improve representation of topographic impacts on land surface processes, a new topography-based subgrid structure has been introduced to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model to represent the subgrid heterogeneity of surface elevation. To take advantage of the new subgrid structure for improving land surface modeling, this study explores four variations of topography-based methods for downscaling grid precipitation to the corresponding subgrids. In the first three methods, the deviation of the subgrid precipitation from the grid’s is equal to the grid precipitation multiplied by the ratio of the elevation difference between the subgrid and grid mean to a specified elevation equals to the grid elevation, the difference between the maximum and minimum subgrid elevation, and the maximum subgrid elevation, respectively. The second method limits the ratio to 0.5 to avoid extreme values on mountains and the third method accounts for the slope effect. The fourth method is similar to the third method except that the Froude Number is used to limit the numerator in a blocking regime of the ambient flow. The downscaled precipitation is evaluated using the PRISM precipitation data over the U.S. using statistical metrics. Results show that by accounting for topographic slope besides elevation, the third and fourth methods show clear advantages over the first and second methods. Furthermore, introducing the Froude Number in the fourth method improves downscaling skill and shows consistent advantages over the third method in areas with larger subgrid heterogeneity across different grids sizes.

Tesfa, Teklu K.↗

Using an Explainable Machine Learning Approach to Characterize Earth System Model Errors: Application of SHAP Analysis to Modeling Lightning Flash Occurrence

Abstract Computational models of the Earth System are critical tools for modern scientific inquiry. Efforts toward evaluating and improving errors in representations of physical and chemical processes in these large computational systems are commonly stymied by highly nonlinear and complex error behavior. Recent work has shown that these errors can be effectively predicted using modern Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques. In this work, we go beyond these previous studies to apply an explainable A.I. technique to not only predict model errors but also move toward understanding the underlying reasons for successful error prediction. We use XGBoost classification trees and SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis to explore the errors in the prediction of lightning occurrence in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System model, a widely used Earth System Model. This explainable error prediction system can effectively predict the model error and indicates that the errors are strongly related to convective processes and the characteristics of the land surface.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DiffESM: Conditional Emulation of Temperature and Precipitation in Earth System Models With 3D Diffusion Models

Earth system models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the robust analysis of risks associated with extreme weather events. While low-cost climate emulators have emerged as an alternative to emulate ESMs and enable rapid analysis of future climate, many of these emulators only provide output on at most a monthly frequency. This temporal resolution is insufficient for analyzing events that require daily characterization, such as heat waves or heavy precipitation. We propose using diffusion models, a class of generative deep learning models, to effectively downscale ESM output from a monthly to a daily frequency. Trained on a handful of ESM realizations, reflecting a wide range of radiative forcings, our DiffESM model takes monthly mean precipitation or temperature as input, and is capable of producing daily values with statistical characteristics close to ESM output. Combined with a low-cost emulator providing monthly means, this approach requires only a small fraction of the computational resources needed to run a large ensemble. We evaluate model behavior using a number of extreme metrics, showing that DiffESM closely matches the spatio-temporal behavior of the ESM output it emulates in terms of the frequency and spatial characteristics of phenomena such as heat waves, dry spells, or rainfall intensity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The GFDL‐CM4X Climate Model Hierarchy, Part I: Model Description and Thermal Properties

We present the GFDL‐CM4X (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model version 4X) coupled climate model hierarchy. The primary application for CM4X is to investigate ocean and sea ice physics as part of a realistic coupled Earth climate model. CM4X utilizes an updated MOM6 (Modular Ocean Model version 6) ocean physics package relative to CM4.0, and there are two members of the hierarchy: one that uses a horizontal grid spacing of 0.25° (referred to as CM4X‐p25) and the other that uses a grid 0.125° (CM4X‐p125). CM4X also refines its atmospheric grid from the nominally 100 km (cubed sphere C96) of CM4.0–50 km (C192). Finally, CM4X simplifies the land model to allow for a more focused study of the role of ocean changes to global mean climate. CM4X‐p125 reaches a global ocean area mean heat flux imbalance of -0.02 W m -2 within $\mathcal{O}$ (150) years in a pre‐industrial simulation, and retains that thermally equilibrated state over the subsequent centuries. This 1850 thermal equilibrium is characterized by roughly 400 ZJ less ocean heat than present‐day, which corresponds to estimates for anthropogenic ocean heat uptake between 1870 and present‐day. CM4X‐p25 approaches its thermal equilibrium only after more than 1000 years, at which time its ocean has roughly 1100 ZJ more heat than its early 21st century ocean initial state. Furthermore, the root‐mean‐square sea surface temperature bias for historical simulations is roughly 20% smaller in CM4X‐p125 relative to CM4X‐p25 (and CM4.0). We offer the mesoscale dominance hypothesis for why CM4X‐p125 shows such favorable thermal equilibration properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluation of scenario-specific modeling approaches to predict plane of array solar irradiation

The two main objectives of this study are to evaluate the extent to which the prediction of plane of array irradiance is improved when diffuse radiation is predicted using location-specific regression models developed from onsite measured data as against using generalized models and to estimate the expected uncertainties associated with plane of array irradiance predictions under different data collection scenarios likely to be encountered in practical situations.

Moslehi, Salim↗

Characterization of the arc in crossflow using a two-temperature nonequilibrium plasma flow model

Diverse industrial applications such as circuit breakers and wire arc spraying involve the interaction between an electric arc and a stream of gas impinging perpendicular to it, a configuration commonly referred to as the arc in crossflow. The arc in crossflow is simulated using a three-dimensional time-dependent two-temperature (heavy-species and electrons) plasma flow model to better capture plasma-gas interactions and deviations from Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium (LTE). The coupled fluid-electromagnetic flow model is solved in a monolithic manner using Variational Multiscale Finite Element Method. Simulation findings are validated with experimental findings and contrasted against results obtained with a LTE model. Results from the two-temperature model corroborate experimental observations while providing quantification of the deviation between heavy-species and electron temperatures. The model is used to characterize the arc in crossflow as a function of the Reynolds and Enthalpy dimensionless numbers, which encapsulate the inter-dependence among the main parameters total current, inflow velocity, and inter-electrode spacing. Furthermore, the characterization revealed the behavior of arc shape, voltage drop, arc power, the degree of nonequilibrium, as well as the characteristic plasma front thickness, with varying controlling parameters.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Calibration of the 2-Phase Bubble Tracking Model for Liquid Mercury Target Simulation with Machine Learning Surrogate Models

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is one of the most powerful accelerator-driven neutron sources in the world. The intense protons strike on SNS's mercury target to provide bright neutron beams, which also leads to severe fluid-structure interactions inside the target. Prediction of resultant loading on the target is difficult particularly when helium gas is injected into mercury to reduce the loading and mitigate the pitting damage on vessel walls. A 2-phase material model that incorporates the Rayleigh-Plesset (R-P) model is expected to address this multi-physics problem. However, several uncertain parameters in the R-P model require intensive simulations to determine their optimal values. With the help of machine learning and the measured target strain, we have studied the major uncertain parameters in this R-P model and developed a framework to identify optimal parameters that significantly reduce the discrepancy between simulations and experimental strains. The preliminary results show the possibility of using this mercury/helium mixture and surrogate models to predict a better match of target strain response when the helium gas is injected.

Lin, Lianshan↗

Masked Particle Modeling on Sets: Towards Self-Supervised High Energy Physics Foundation Models

Abstract We propose masked particle modeling (MPM) as a self-supervised method for learning generic, transferable, and reusable representations on unordered sets of inputs for use in high energy physics (HEP) scientific data. This work provides a novel scheme to perform masked modeling based pre-training to learn permutation invariant functions on sets. More generally, this work provides a step towards building large foundation models for HEP that can be generically pre-trained with self-supervised learning and later fine-tuned for a variety of down-stream tasks. In MPM, particles in a set are masked and the training objective is to recover their identity, as defined by a discretized token representation of a pre-trained vector quantized variational autoencoder. We study the efficacy of the method in samples of high energy jets at collider physics experiments, including studies on the impact of discretization, permutation invariance, and ordering. We also study the fine-tuning capability of the model, showing that it can be adapted to tasks such as supervised and weakly supervised jet classification, and that the model can transfer efficiently with small fine-tuning data sets to new classes and new data domains.

Heinrich, Lukas (ORCID:0000000240487584)↗

Correlations between azimuthal anisotropy Fourier harmonics in PbPb collisions at sNN =2.76 TeV in the HYDJET++ model and in the multiphase transport model

Correlations between azimuthal anisotropy Fourier harmonics vn (n=2,3,4) are studied using the events from PbPb collisions at sNN=2.76 TeV generated by the HYDJET++ and multiphase transport (AMPT) models, and compared to the corresponding experimental results obtained by the ATLAS Collaboration. The Fourier harmonics vn are measured over a wide centrality range using the two-particle azimuthal correlation method. The slopes of the v2-v3 correlation from both models are in a good agreement with the ATLAS data. The HYDJET++ model predicts a stronger slope for the v2-v4 and v3-v4 correlations than the ones experimentally measured, while the results from the AMPT model are in a rather good agreement with the experimental results. In contrast to the HYDJET++ predictions, the AMPT model predicts a boomeranglike shape in the structure of the correlations as found in the experimental data. © 2020 American Physical Society.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Model-independent versus model-dependent interpretation of the SDSS-III BOSS power spectrum: Bridging the divide

The traditional clustering analyses of galaxy redshift surveys compress the clustering data into a set of late-time physical variables in a model-independent way. This approach has recently been extended by an additional shape variable encoding early-time physics information. Here we apply this new technique, ShapeFit, to SDSS-III BOSS data and show that it matches the constraining power of alternative, model-dependent approaches, which directly constrain the model’s parameters adopting a cosmological model ab initio. ShapeFit is ~30 times faster, model independent, naturally splits early- and late-time variables, and enables a better control of observational systematics.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Modeling Discrete Forest Anisotropic Reflectance Over a Sloped Surface With an Extended GOMS and SAIL Model

Topographic effects on canopy reflectance play a pivotal role in the retrieval of surface biophysical variables over rugged terrain. In this paper, we proposed a new canopy anisotropic reflectance model for discrete forests, Geometric Optical and Mutual Shadowing and Scattering-from-Arbitrarily-Inclined-Leaves model coupled with Topography (GOSAILT), which considers the effects of slope, aspect, geotropic nature of tree growth, multiple scattering, and diffuse skylight. GOSAILT-simulated areal proportions of four scene components (i.e., sunlit crown, shaded crown, sunlit background, and shaded background) were evaluated using the Geometric Optical model for Sloping Terrains (GOST) model. The canopy reflectances simulated by GOSAILT were validated against two reflectance data sets: Discrete anisotropic radiative transfer (DART) simulations and wide-angle infrared dual-model line/area array scanner (WIDAS) observations. Compared with a horizontal surface, the forest canopy reflectance over a steep slope (60°) is significantly distorted with absolute (relative) bias values of 0.048 (79.60%) and 0.056 (12.02%) for the red and near-infrared (NIR) bands, respectively. The GOSAILT-simulated component areal proportions show close agreements with GOST. Moreover, GOSAILT simulations have high overall accuracy (red band: coefficient of determination (R²) = 0.96; root-mean-square error (RMSE) = 0.003; and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) = 3.91%; and NIR band: R² = 0.78, RMSE = 0.019; MAPE = 3.94%) when compared with the DART simulations. In conclusion, these extensive validations indicate good performances of GOSAILT in canopy reflectance simulations over sloped surfaces.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗