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AladynPi – Adaptive Neural Network Molecular Dynamics Simulation Code with Physically Informed Potential: Computational Materials Mini-Application

This report provides an overview and description of commands used in the Computational Materials mini-application, AladynPi. AladynPi is an extension of a previously released mini-application, Aladyn (https://github.com/nasa/aladyn; Yamakov, V.I., and Glaessgen, E.H., NASA/TM-2018-220104). Aladyn and AladynPi are basic molecular dynamics codes written in FORTRAN 2003, which are designed to demonstrate the use of adaptive neural networks (ANNs) in atomistic simulations. The role of ANNs is to efficiently reproduce the very complex energy landscape resulting from the atomic interactions in materials with the accuracy of the more expensive quantum mechanics-based calculations. The ANN is trained on a large set of atomic structures calculated using the density functional theory method. An input for the ANN is a set of structure coefficients, characterizing the local atomic environment of each atom, for which the atomic energy is obtained in the ANN inference process. In Aladyn, the ANN gives directly the energy of interatomic interactions. In AladynPi, the ANN gives optimized parameters for a predefined empirical function, known as bond-order-potential (BOP). The parameterized BOP function is then used to calculate the energy. AladynPi code is being released to serve as a training testbed for students and professors in academia to explore possible optimization algorithms for parallel computing on multicore central processing unit (CPU) computers or computers utilizing manycore architectures based on graphic processing units (GPUs). The effort is supported by the High Performance Computing incubator (HPCi) project at NASA Langley Research Center.

Yamakov, Vesselin I.↗

Investigation of Magmatic Activities on Early Mars Using Igneous Mineral Chemistry in Gale Crater, Mars

One objective of rover missions is exploring the geological context of the surroundings. Over the years, igneous petrology and sedimentology have been disconnected, the first investigating magmatic processes and volcanic activities, and the second seeking environmental conditions in the past and assessing the habitability of the planet. Although different, one is related to the other: igneous rocks are altered and broken down, leading to the formation of sedimentary rocks, which can in turn be used to back out the nature of their magmatic source. The Curiosity rover that landed in the 3.7 Gyr old impact crater Gale is traveling through sedimentary rocks. About fifty float rocks have been observed, and several of them with ambiguous texture and composition have been classified as igneous or sedimentary depending on studies such as Jake_M. The composition of several unambiguous igneous rocks has been analyzed [4- 6] but their heterogeneity at a larger instrumental (measurement size < 2 cm) scale prevents the measurement of a bulk composition as performed on Earth. An original approach avoiding these two last issues is to consider igneous mineral chemistry analyzed within igneous and sedimentary rocks to assess magmatic processes that could have formed them. Most Curiosity data are used to explore ancient environmental conditions, and a significant number of compositional analyses are under-explored for constraining magmatic activities. We will present how we can make use of sedimentary data for investigating igneous processes in the vicinity of Gale crater. Geological Context: We focus on the first 750 martian days, corresponding to measurements in a coherent lacustrine sedimentary unit called Bradbury, because all sedimentary rocks were sourced from the same watershed and appear to have a consistent source with minimal alteration [2-3]. Igneous detrital minerals including feldspar and pyroxene, are observed in sedimentary rocks. Monte Carlo models showed that minimal cation loss is observed based on the composition of all Bradbury rocks, implying negligible weathering [3]. Although clay minerals are detected in few rocks [7], chemical compositions of rocks can be explained by a mixture of primary igneous minerals [3]. Variation of composition within Bradbury rocks can be explained by mineral sorting and one distinct source component. While a common magmatic source is suggested, Bradbury sediments likely come from several volcanic eruptions from a single magmatic chamber [9- 10]. The occurrence of alkali minerals like sanidine and K-rich rocks throughout Bradbury supports the presence of a potassic component, likely trachytic, while plagioclase and a mafic composition suggest a basaltic component [8-9]. Instruments: Mineral chemistry can be estimated by three instruments onboard Curiosity. The CheMin instrument enables detection of mineral assemblages using X-ray diffraction (XRD). Using Rietveld refinement, each mineral is identified according to their 1D XRD pattern [11]. Note that distinction between pyroxene minerals is challenging with the CheMin instrument due to overlapping peaks on XRD patterns and low angular resolution of the instrument [12]. Then, using least square regression and optimization algorithms based on unit-cell parameters, mineral chemistry has been estimated by [11]. Plagioclase composition has been estimated using the NaAlSi3O8- CaAl2Si2O8 system and alkali feldspar is based on the NaAlSi3O8-KAlSi3O8 system (stars in Fig.1). Two mudstone samples (John Klein and Cumberland) and one sandstone sample (Windjana) were analyzed by CheMin at Yellowknife Bay and Kimberley, respectively. Figure 1. Ternary diagrams of feldspars (top) and pyroxene (bottom) quadrilateral. Stars correspond to CheMin composition and the gray patches to ChemCam composition. The colored dots are the composition of feldspar and pyroxene that crystallized during fractional crystallization at FMQ+1 of a melt extracted at distinct melting degree during the adiabatic ascent of a primitive mantle composition, without any water (left panels) and with 0.5 wt.% of water (right panels) at distinct pressure. The ChemCam instrument enables the analysis of the chemical compositions of rocks at hundreds of micrometer scale (350-550 μm) using laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS), which may provide the composition of minerals when they are larger than the beam spot (>550 μm) [13]. Within >5000 LIBS points, we performed a typical stoichiometric filtering allowing us to distinguish 56 feldspar and 10 pyroxene mineral compositions (grey patches in Fig. 1). Finally, the Alpha Particle X-ray Spectrometer (APXS) analyzes the composition of rocks with a 1.6 cm diameter spot size. Monte Carlo mass balance modeling allowed [3] to decipher a feldspar range varying between An30 and An40 (Fig. 1). Discussion: Although there could be a more complex history and other ways to form the whole compositional range of igneous minerals analyzed within the Bradbury formation, we are presenting here simple magmatic pathways commonly occurring on Earth using the thermodynamical softwares pMELTS and rhyoliteMELTS [14]. The objective is to find reasonable igneous processes that produce minerals that parallel the compositions of feldspar and pyroxene analyzed by the Curiosity rover. As commonly observed for mid-ocean ridge basalts, the adiabatic ascent of a primitive mantle composition [15] partially melting at 2 GPa has been modeled, followed by the extraction of a liquid at distinct degrees of partial melting, which undergoes fractional crystallization at an oxygen fugacity +1 log unit above the fayalite-magnetite-quartz (FMQ) buffer within the crust (0.02-0.4 GPa) with H2O = 0- 0.5 wt. %. These latter conditions correspond to those recorded within igneous clasts from the Noachian martian breccia NWA 7034 and paired and within Gale igneous rocks (colored dots in Fig. 1) [16-17]. To check the reliability of these 2-step models, we also tested fractional crystallization at similar conditions (FMQ+1; P=0.02-0.4 GPa; H2O = 0-0.5 wt. %) of starting compositions corresponding to that of magmas with distinct melting degrees obtained from isobaric experiments at 2 GPa [18]. Mineral compositions obtained from both models are similar. As shown on Fig. 1, the whole range of observed feldspar compositions cannot be reproduced by fractionation of one magma only. Indeed, while alkali feldspar and Na-plagioclase likely crystallized from fractional crystallization of a low-degree melt (here <15%), plagioclase and pyroxene can only be formed by fractional crystallization of a higher degree melt (here >19%). The corresponding liquid descent lines are broadly in agreement with compositions estimated by ChemCam corresponding to float igneous rocks (Fig. 2) [4-6]. Figure 2. Silica versus alkali content. Lines show the liquid lines of descent from magmas with distinct degrees of melting. Gray patches represents the composition of Gale igneous rocks [4-6]. Trachytic to rhyolitic magmas crystallize alkali feldspar, and andesite to dacite magmas likely form plagioclase. Therefore, at least two starting magmas at distinct melting degrees, which could easily come from a single mantle source, are necessary to explain the whole compositional range of feldspar and pyroxene analyzed within Bradbury rocks. Conclusion: Because rocks from the Bradbury formation are likely originating from the same magmatic source with minimal weathering as supported by several studies using different approaches, igneous mineral chemistry analyzed by CheMin and ChemCam allows us to back out reasonable magmatic pathways that could have crystallized them. Fractional crystallization of at least two starting magmas originating from distinct melting degrees of a single mantle source can explain the whole range of feldspar and pyroxene composition. Both alkaline and sub-alkaline liquids can be produced, with compositions corresponding to those of the igneous rocks analyzed by ChemCam within the Bradbury formation, highlighting the complexity of Mars magmatism.

Payre, V.↗

Thermal Property Estimation of Fibrous Insulation: Heat Transfer Modeling and the Continuous Genetic Algorithm

Thermal properties of high-temperature fibrous insulation materials were estimated from transient thermal tests using an inverse heat transfer technique. Transient temperature data from an experimental set up was collected and a simple, one-dimensional numerical model was constructed to replicate the temperatures within the test assembly. The Continuous Genetic Algorithm optimization technique in conjunction with a numerical thermal model and transient test data was used to estimate coefficients of a functional representation of the thermal property. The thermal properties, i.e., thermal conductivity and specific heat, of an alumina insulation felt were estimated over the temperature range of 300 K to 1700 K at various constant static pressures in nitrogen gas and compared with published data. The resulting thermal property estimates were within 10% of published values over the entire temperature range at various pressures. The methodology, application, and results are presented.

Frye, Elora↗

Towards Sheaf Theoretic Analyses for Delay Tolerant Networking

The goal of Delay Tolerant Networking (DTN) is to take a collection of heterogeneous, disparate connections between satellites, space assets, ground stations, and ground infrastructure and bring it together into a cohesive, functioning overlay network. Depending on the systems being considered, one can find links with a one-way light time exceeding minutes (and hours),periodic links which can sometimes be predicted by orbital mechanics, and restrictions based on the variety of capabilities built into these systems. These characteristics preclude traditional network models and routing techniques and have classically led to either rigid routing tables or purely probabilistic models. As the deeper underlying structures remain unknown, development of more DTN-optimized algorithms has lacked the necessary foundation. In a continuation of previous work, the goal of this paper is to identify and study these fundamental structures that exist in delay tolerant networks (DTN), with a focus on space networks. The current routing methodology has been to use contact graph routing (CGR) algorithms. CGR models a series of known contacts as a static graph. For CGR to work, this graph must be globally consistent and must have an accurate picture of the network. Because this is a globally controlled structure, there is little room for flexibility in the event of changes to the network which would naturally occur as the network grows. As a response to the desire for flexibility as the network changes, we introduced the mathematical structure known as sheaves to DTNs last year. The tag-line for sheaves is that they are a mathematically precise way of gluing local data together into unique global data. Thus, sheaves lend extra power to traditional models(and routing algorithms) by taking additional information and merging it, in as consistent a manner as possible, with the representation itself. The clearest example of how Earth-bound networks exhibit behavior that is “sheafy” is link state routers, which build a local-to-global picture of their network by gluing local information together into a global network, exactly as a sheaf would do. For routing within delay tolerant networks to truly exploit this structure, a deeper structure than a graph is required. In this paper, we develop sheaves that can work over directed graphs such as temporal flow networks, we construct a sheaf representation for Dijkstra’s algorithm, and we outline a construction for routing sheaves capable of modeling multicast scenarios. Finally, there is a section of future work suggesting follow-on research.

Robert Short↗

Determining Planetary Boundary Layer Height by Micro-pulse Lidar with Validation by UAV Measurements

Planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) is often used to characterize the structure of the lower atmosphere. Aerosol lidar, a ground-based remote sensing method, provides the vertical distribution of aerosol at a high temporal resolution observation data, from which, the PBL structure and the position of the PBL top can be comprehensively studied. PBLH determination with lidar data depends primarily on the characteristic turbulent motions in the atmosphere and the geophysical location. However, lidar determination of PBLH over densely populated subtropical locations has rarely been discussed; thus, developing retrieval techniques suitable to these areas is necessary. In this study, four PBLH determination methods (Gradient, δ–threshold, Haar wavelet transform, and hybrid image processing) are applied to estimate the PBLH from lidar observations over an urban area in East Asia, and one—the Gradient method—relied on potential temperature measurements from an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flights to validate our results. Our results indicate that a combination of the gradient method and δ-threshold method can provide better results, in terms of diurnal pattern, than using either method individually. Furthermore, the Haar wavelet and the Hybrid image processing can detect the PBL development comparably well, but both methods are dependent on their initial conditions and optimized algorithm settings. In addition, the accompanying UAV observations are conclusively shown to have a high degree of efficacy for validating the lidar data. This research highlights that a combination of PBLH determination methods can better describe the PBLH evolution throughout a day in some cases, while in others less common determination methods are proving useful, and a suite of retrieval methods should still be explored for precisely mapping the PBL in densely populated subtropical areas.

Yueh-Chen Wang↗

SmallSat Ka-band Operations User Terminal (SKOUT)

SKOUT is a Ka-band communications system for future NASA mission spacecraft that operates with both NASA and commercial relay satellite constellations in GEO and potentially LEO as well as direct-to-Earth (DTE) networks. This project encompasses the development and demonstration of commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) 5G, Ka band, phased array technologies compatible with commercial space networks, including actively phases array antennas, software defined modems, power optimization algorithms, and high data rate to ground using the DVB-S2 standard.

space communications↗

A Generalized Approach to Aircraft Trajectory Prediction via Supervised Deep Learning

As research advances diverse forms and missions of aircraft, the National Airspace System (NAS) will become increasingly crowded, limiting current communications resources to accommodate aviation operations. Ongoing research proposes a paradigm of airspace communications, such that resources are autonomously and dynamically allocated via intelligent agents; this allocation requires accurate representations of the NAS, including the predicted positions of aircraft. State-of-the-art research emphasizes the importance of a hybrid-recurrent framework for trajectory prediction and compares the impact of commonly considered weather data on prediction accuracy. However, current research has been limited in its scope of efforts, frequently utilizing a unique flight route, architecture, set of weather data, and date range. This article considers the challenges of generalizing hybrid-recurrent predictive models for flight trajectories. Results illustrate an increase in error variance when identical models are trained over a generalized set of flights; this may be mitigated with careful tuning of hyperparameters, both in the network structure and optimization algorithms. Even so, an irreducible vertical error was identified, resulting from the complex takeoff and landing procedures which can not be correlated to functions of weather or additional assumptions of aircraft behavior. Finally, the use of a test route indicates that generalized models still do not possess sufficient knowledge for general aircraft predictions, with mean error increases ranging from 70-500%. These results illustrate the need for continued efforts on improving model versatility, as well as potential limitations for spectrum allocation near airports and other centers.

Nathan Schimpf↗

Dynamical Decoupling of Crosstalk on Superconducting Qubit Devices

Current NISQ devices are prone to errors. In order to be used for practical applications or achieve fault-tolerant thresholds, strategies to suppress error rates will be needed to maximize the potential of noisy devices. Dynamical decoupling (DD) is one such strategy for suppressing — or at least alleviating — the effects of decoherence, in which sequences of pulses are applied to qubits to decouple their interaction with the environment. Through experimental runs performed on several Rigetti quantum computing units (QPUs), we first demonstrate that DD is capable of improving coherence times for isolated qubits, as well as suppressing errors caused by the ZZ coupling between pairs of qubits. Extending this framework to cycles containing2-qubit gates, we show that DD can be inserted to decouple qubits from crosstalk occurring during neighboring 2-qubit gates, and demonstrate the efficacy of this procedure on quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) circuits. We also explore the usage of tailored DD sequences for the suppression of characterized error channels. We are grateful for support from the NASA Ames Research Center and from the DARPA ONISQ program under interagency agreement IAA 8839,Annex 114. HYH is supported by the USRA Feynman QuantumAcademy funded by the NAMS R&D Student Program and a UCHellman Fellowship. JS, ZGI and ZW are supported by USRA NASAAcademic Mission Service (NNA16BD14C).

Dynamical decoupling↗

Modeling EUV Intensity at the Top of the Transition Region Using SPICE Data on Board Solar Orbiter

The Spectral Imaging of Coronal Environment (SPICE; SPICE Consortium et al. 2020) provides an extraordinary opportunity to study the chromosphere and transition region using EUV wavelengths, e.g., Ne VIII 770 Å, CIII 977 Å, OVI 1032 Å, and Lyman-𝛽 025 Å. We present results modeling Ne VIII 770 Å intensity using images from SPICE and the COronal DEnsity and Temperature (CODET) model. This model is based on relationships between the magnetic field, density, and temperature. It uses a flux transport model, the Potential Field Extrapolation model (PFSS), an emission model based on Chianti atomic database 10.0.2, and an optimization algorithm. In addition, we assume that the emission from the top of the transition region (Ne VIII 770 Å) can be described using the magnetic field in the coronal base at 1.014𝑅⨀ (from PFSS). We found the mean full disc electron density in the transition region obtained from the CODET model for Ne VIII 770 Å (𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑇[𝐾] = 5.8) corresponds to ∼ 𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑁 𝑐𝑚−3 >9, and temperature value is 𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑇[𝐾]~6. This value agrees with the Ne VIII 770 Å temperature formation 𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑇[𝐾]~5.8. The density above sunspots (𝐵 > 50 𝐺) corresponds to 𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑁 𝑐𝑚−3 > 9, while in quiet Sun regions (𝐵 < 50 𝐺) the mean density is 𝑙𝑜𝑔10𝑁[𝑐𝑚−3 ] = 8 .

Jenny M Rodriguez Gomez↗

Automation of the ICME Workflow Incorporating Material Digital Twins at Different Length Scales Within a Robust Information Management System

Recent successes in Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) have demonstrated the potential in designing fit-for-purpose materials for a given application in a cost and time efficient manner. However, the material design process must contain a level of automation in the material decision process, implementing some optimization algorithms, to truly enable the full benefits of ICME, particularly when considering materials at multiple length/time scales. In this work, we will demonstrate how the GRC ICME schema and Python framework automates a workflow that captures, analyzes, maintains, and disseminates the digital footprint in the context of tailoring resin material at the nanoscale of a woven composite Y-joint at the macroscale for an Aurora D8 double bubble fuselage. This digital footprint incorporates the interaction of both structural digital twins and material twins at various length scales.

Brandon L. Hearley↗

IMPACTing Medical System Design with a Risk Analysis Tool [“IMPACT” sur la Conception du Système Médical avec un Outil d'Analyse des Risques]

Background: Following the success of Artemis I, NASA is preparing for human extended duration missions. Ongoing efforts are focused on mitigating mission-related risks, including those affecting crew health and performance. Communication latency, logistics of resupply and time frame of medical evacuation are barriers to provision of healthcare for these missions, especially with respect to constraints in mass, volume, and crew training. An in-depth assessment of medical risks, capabilities and resources for a specific mission design is necessary to determine an optimal balance that maximizes likelihood of mission success. Overview: IMPACT (Informed Mission Planning via Analysis of Complex Tradespaces) is a dynamic tool designed to estimate medical risk and outcomes for a specific mission design. In its current iteration, a list of medical conditions selected based on likelihood of occurrence and/or consequence was linked to a set of clinical capabilities and resources necessary for diagnosis and management. A probabilistic risk analysis tool was then used to identify and estimate the likelihood and consequence of risks through the following outcome metrics: loss of crew life (inflight mortality due to medical conditions), need for medical evacuation (return to definitive care), and crew disability (task time affected based on how medical conditions influence the ability to perform specific exploration mission crew tasks). Finally, the model’s optimization algorithm provides recommendations for medical capabilities that maximize risk mitigation relative to mass and volume constraints. In the Spring of 2023, IMPACT was utilized to estimate outcome metrics for a design reference mission that would be representative of an extended duration Artemis mission. Notional data generated were then used to determine a recommended set of medical capabilities and resources relative to user-defined mass and volume constraints. A multidisciplinary team has also been updating IMPACT to strengthen the model’s fidelity. Figure 1 shows how updates to outcome metric inputs for the conditions resulted in different capability and resource allocation recommendations. Discussion: This presentation will discuss the IMPACT tool and share the latest data generated for a representative extended duration Artemis mission. Efforts to improve the fidelity of data generated by the model’s algorithm will also be discussed.

K A Shair↗

IMPACTing Medical System Design with a Risk Analysis Tool

Background: Following the success of Artemis I, NASA is preparing for human extended duration missions. Ongoing efforts are focused on mitigating mission-related risks, including those affecting crew health and performance. Communication latency, logistics of resupply and time frame of medical evacuation are barriers to provision of healthcare for these missions, especially with respect to constraints in mass, volume, and crew training. An in-depth assessment of medical risks, capabilities and resources for a specific mission design is necessary to determine an optimal balance that maximizes likelihood of mission success. Overview: IMPACT (Informed Mission Planning via Analysis of Complex Tradespaces) is a dynamic tool designed to estimate medical risk and outcomes for a specific mission design. In its current iteration, a list of medical conditions selected based on likelihood of occurrence and/or consequence was linked to a set of clinical capabilities and resources necessary for diagnosis and management. A probabilistic risk analysis tool was then used to identify and estimate the likelihood and consequence of risks through the following outcome metrics: loss of crew life (inflight mortality due to medical conditions), need for medical evacuation (return to definitive care), and crew disability (task time affected based on how medical conditions influence the ability to perform specific exploration mission crew tasks). Finally, the model’s optimization algorithm provides recommendations for medical capabilities that maximize risk mitigation relative to mass and volume constraints. In the Spring of 2023, IMPACT was utilized to estimate outcome metrics for a design reference mission that would be representative of an extended duration Artemis mission. Notional data generated were then used to determine a recommended set of medical capabilities and resources relative to user-defined mass and volume constraints. A multidisciplinary team has also been updating IMPACT to strengthen the model’s fidelity. Figure 1 shows how updates to outcome metric inputs for the conditions resulted in different capability and resource allocation recommendations. Discussion: This presentation will discuss the IMPACT tool and share the latest data generated for a representative extended duration Artemis mission. Efforts to improve the fidelity of data generated by the model’s algorithm will also be discussed.

K A Shair↗

Design of a Propeller with Global Minimum Torque

Academia, industry, and Government are actively working towards a future where dozens of small to large Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) are present within urban environments. In this environment, high noise pollution and inefficiencies have the potential to render these new technologies impractical due to public annoyance and nonacceptance. This study aims to design and analyze a novel propeller design for minimum global torque using an optimization algorithm to find the full three dimensional solution of maximum efficiency. This resulted in a 𝐶 𝑙 distribution defining the global minimum torque solution for propeller design which corresponded with moving as much lift inboard as possible and reducing lift rapidly at the blade tip. The novel propeller (dubbed "Prandtl" propeller) was then compared with the current gold standard in propeller design, a minimum induced loss (MIL) propeller, which had all the same geometric properties except for blade twist and produced the same amount of thrust at the same advance ratio. The results of multiple iterations of Prandtl propellers showed an increase in efficiency of 2.0-3.3% for the Prandtl blade when compared to the equivalent MIL blade. A potential added benefit of this blade design is lower noise generation due to the lower lift loading at the tip reducing the large shear layer intensity which is the point source of noise in propellers. Two major breakthroughs for enabling widespread use of UAS in urban environments are noise reduction and vehicle efficiency, and this new propeller design has the potential to provide both.

Propeller↗

Design of a Propeller with Global Minimum Torque

Academia, industry, and Government are actively working towards a future where dozens of small to large Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) are present within urban environments. In this environment, high noise pollution and inefficiencies have the potential to render these new technologies impractical due to public annoyance and nonacceptance. This study aims to design and analyze a novel propeller design for minimum global torque using an optimization algorithm to find the full three dimensional solution of maximum efficiency. This resulted in a 𝐶 𝑙 distribution defining the global minimum torque solution for propeller design which corresponded with moving as much lift inboard as possible and reducing lift rapidly at the blade tip. The novel propeller (dubbed "Prandtl" propeller) was then compared with the current gold standard in propeller design, a minimum induced loss (MIL) propeller, which had all the same geometric properties except for blade twist and produced the same amount of thrust at the same advance ratio. The results of multiple iterations of Prandtl propellers showed an increase in efficiency of 2.0-3.3% for the Prandtl blade when compared to the equivalent MIL blade. A potential added benefit of this blade design is lower noise generation due to the lower lift loading at the tip reducing the large shear layer intensity which is the point source of noise in propellers. Two major breakthroughs for enabling widespread use of UAS in urban environments are noise reduction and vehicle efficiency, and this new propeller design has the potential to provide both.

Propeller↗

Economic Assessment of Nuclear Hybrid Energy Systems: Nuclear-Renewable-Water Integration in Arizona

One of the goals of the Nuclear-Renewable Hybrid Energy Systems (N-R HES) modeling and simulation (M&S) project is to assess the economic viability of N-R HES in a market that contains Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) sources like solar. The N-R HES M&S project is a multi-laboratory effort, led by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and supported by Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Development of the N-R HES software framework was initiated at INL in 2016 [1] and has reached some level of maturity such that it can be applied to more than simple demonstration cases, e.g. real industry problems. Nevertheless, more capabilities are constantly added to accommodate the special needs of challenging, real-life problems. The N-R HES framework is built on the Risk Analysis Virtual ENvironment (RAVEN) code [2], which it uses as a driver and workflow manager for all calculations. There are four main cornerstones of the N-R HES simulation framework: 1) The generation of stochastic synthetic time series. 2) A set of probabilistic analysis and optimization algorithms available in RAVEN. 3) A set of models for representing the physical behavior of N-R HES. These can be reduced-order models or high-fidelity Modelica [3] models. 4) The RAVEN plug-in called CashFlow [4] that maps physical performance into economic performance. Within this framework, a broad spectrum of questions related to N-R HES can be addressed. One of the challenges currently of high interest is the increasing penetration of VRE altering the profile of the net demand (demand after removing all non-curtailable renewable energy sources, e.g. rooftop solar). The N-R HES software framework is capable of analyzing the potential feasibility of mitigating the resultant volatility in the net electricity demand. One possible solution to manage net demand volatility is adding stabilizing loads to the grid. These loads can be external industrial processes that are able to ramp production up and down quickly, or for regulated markets, adding variable internal loads that will effectively increase the baseload of the power plant and therefore reduce the risk of internal demand that is lower than the capacity of the power plant. The latter is a possible solution currently being considered by Arizona Public Service (APS), the operating owner of the Palo Verde (PV) Nuclear Power Plant (NPP).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Reading Error Analysis (REA) Software Version 1

This is training presentation for REA (Reading Error Analysis) software. REA is designed for analyzing UGT scope reading errors and for developing reading points optimization algorithms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Peer-to-Peer Market-Based Control Strategy for a Smart Residential Community with Behind-the-Meter Distributed Energy Resources: Preprint

This paper presents a distributed peer-to-peer market control strategy to manage and to enable resource sharing of behind-the-meter distributed energy resources in a residential community. In the proposed strategy, each consumer or prosumer determines the flexibility of their point of connection to the power network such that the obtained flexibility is network-feasible. Based on the feasible flexibility, the consumers and the prosumers trade power among each other at each time instance to fulfill their preferred load requirements while maximizing their payoffs and helping to regulate node voltages inside the community. Because the problem to be solved is non-convex, a distributed particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to coordinate the consumers/prosumers in a fully autonomous manner without any centralized or hierarchical coordination. Numerical simulations performed on a community of 48 homes demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach.

behind-the-meter↗

Posterior Regularized Bayesian Neural Network

Traditional NNs often lack the ability for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian NNs(BNNs) could help measure the confidence level by using distributions in NNs modeling. Besides, knowledge is commonly available and could improve the performance of BNNs if it can be properly incorporated. In this work, we propose a novel Posterior-Regularized BNN(PR-BNN) model by incorporating soft and hard constraints as a posterior regularization term. We also propose an augmented Lagrangian method and stochastic optimization algorithm for efficient updating via Monte Carlo sampling. The simulations and case studies in solar energy prediction have shown the performance improvement of the proposed model over traditional BNNs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗