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At least 1,027 records · Page 57

Comparision of the different probability distributions for earthquake hazard assessment in the North Anatolian Fault Zone

In this study we examined and compared the three different probabilistic distribution methods for determining the best suitable model in probabilistic assessment of earthquake hazards. We analyzed a reliable homogeneous earthquake catalogue between a time period 1900-2015 for magnitude M ≥ 6.0 and estimated the probabilistic seismic hazard in the North Anatolian Fault zone (39°-41° N 30°-40° E) using three distribution methods namely Weibull distribution, Frechet distribution and three-parameter Weibull distribution. The distribution parameters suitability was evaluated Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) goodness-of-fit test. We also compared the estimated cumulative probability and the conditional probabilities of occurrence of earthquakes for different elapsed time using these three distribution methods. We used Easyfit and Matlab software to calculate these distribution parameters and plotted the conditional probability curves. We concluded that the Weibull distribution method was the most suitable than other distribution methods in this region.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Effect of Torque-Tube Parameters on Rear-Irradiance and Rear-Shading Loss for Bifacial PV Performance on 1-Axis Tracking Systems

The emergence of cost-competitive bifacial PV modules has raised the question of the additional value of bifacial modules in 1-axis tracking arrays, in particular when considering rear-irradiance losses from the tracker system itself. In this work, the effect of different geometries and materials of torque tubes is evaluated and found to reduce rear-irradiance averages without any torque-tube shading by 0.1 to 12% for metallic and black absorptive torque tubes respectively for a clear-sky day. This paper will compare modeled to measured rear-irradiance profiles, and propose a recommended range of rear-shading loss factors for different geometry conditions. The effect of rear-irradiance distribution into electrical mismatch loss will also be explored. shading by 0.1 to 12% for metallic and black absorptive torque tubes respectively for a clear-sky day. This paper will compare modeled to measured rear-irradiance profiles, and propose a recommended range of rear-shading loss factors for different geometry conditions. The effect of rear-irradiance distribution into electrical mismatch loss will also be explored.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Electron kinetics in a positive column of AC discharges in a dynamic regime

Abstract We have performed hybrid kinetic-fluid simulations of a positive column in alternating current (AC) argon discharges over a range of driving frequencies f and gas pressure p for the conditions when the spatial nonlocality of the electron energy distribution function (EEDF) is substantial. Our simulations confirmed that the most efficient conditions of plasma maintenance are observed in the dynamic regime when time modulations of mean electron energy (temperature) are substantial. The minimal values of the root mean square electric field and the electron temperature have been observed at f/p values of about 3 kHz Torr −1 in a tube of radius R = 1 cm. The ionization rate and plasma density reached maximal values under these conditions. The numerical solution of a kinetic equation allowed accounting for the kinetic effects associated with spatial and temporal nonlocality of the EEDF. Using the kinetic energy of electrons as an independent variable, we solved an anisotropic tensor diffusion equation in phase space. We clarified the role of different flux components during electron diffusion in phase space over surfaces of constant total energy. We have shown that the kinetic theory uncovers a more exciting and rich physics than the classical ambipolar diffusion (Schottky) model. Non-monotonic radial distributions of excitation rates, metastable densities, and plasma density have been observed in our simulations at pR > 6 Torr cm. The predicted off-axis plasma density peak in the dynamic regime has never been observed in experiments so far. We hope our results stimulate further experimental studies of the AC positive column. The kinetic analysis could help uncover new physics even for such a well-known plasma object as a positive column in noble gases.

Physics↗

Comparison of gamma-gamma Phase Coarsening Responses of Three Powder Metal Disk Superalloys

The phase microstructures of several powder metal (PM) disk superalloys were quantitatively evaluated. Contents, chemistries, and lattice parameters of gamma and gamma strengthening phase were determined for conventionally heat treated Alloy 10, LSHR, and ME3 superalloys, after electrolytic phase extractions. Several of long term heat treatments were then performed, to allow quantification of the precipitation, content, and size distribution of gamma at a long time interval to approximate equilibrium conditions. Additional coarsening heat treatments were performed at multiple temperatures and shorter time intervals, to allow quantification of the precipitation, contents and size distributions of gamma at conditions diverging from equilibrium. Modest differences in gamma and gamma lattice parameters and their mismatch were observed among the alloys, which varied with heat treatment. Yet, gamma coarsening rates were very similar for all three alloys in the heat treatment conditions examined. Alloy 10 had higher gamma dissolution and formation temperatures than LSHR and ME3, but a lower lattice mismatch, which was slightly positive for all three alloys at room temperature. The gamma precipitates of Alloy 10 appeared to remain coherent at higher temperatures than for LSHR and ME3. Higher coarsening rates were observed for gamma precipitates residing along grain boundaries than for those within grains in all three alloys, during slow-moderate quenching from supersolvus solution heat treatments, and during aging at temperatures of 843 C and higher.

Superalloys↗

Rehydration of metastudtite in the alteration kinetics of α– and β–U 3 O 8 in dilute aqueous solutions of hydrogen peroxide

The formation of alteration phases on uranium ore concentrates and used nuclear fuels under oxidizing conditions is key to understanding the potential mobility of radionuclides in the environment and designing optimal storage conditions of materials. However, the time-dependent distribution of alteration phases on α– and β–U 3 O 8 under oxidizing conditions has yet to be explored. Here, in this study, crystalline powders of α– and β–U 3 O 8 were submerged in aqueous solutions of hydrogen peroxide (1.6 × 10 −1 to 5.4 × 10 −5 M) with aliquots of solution and solid removed for analysis at 1, 8, 15, 22, 29, 36, 46, 58, 71, and 83 days. Within one day there is significant alteration of U 3 O 8 to the uranyl peroxide metastudtite, [(UO 2 )(O 2 )(H 2 O) 2 ], that is replaced by studtite, [(UO 2 )(O 2 )(H 2 O) 2 ]·2H 2 O, within a week regardless of the polymorph of U 3 O 8 or the initial concentration of H 2 O 2 in solution, as determined by partial least squares regression (PLSR) of Raman spectra collected from the solids. A dissolution/reprecipitation mechanism is proposed for both the alteration of U 3 O 8 to metastudtite and the subsequent alteration of both U 3 O 8 and metastudtite to studtite. The two polymorphs of U 3 O 8 exhibit similar rates and extents of alteration over time. The rehydration of metastudtite to studtite has not been previously reported and highlights the need for future work to determine the mechanism by which metastudtite is converted to studtite and what other conditions facilitate this rehydration.

Alteration of U3O8↗

Convective motion and the structure of the Jupiter magnetosphere

The convective motion and its relation to the electric field in the magnetosphere of Jupiter are investigated. It is shown that the electric field is induced in the Jovian ionosphere due to the corotating action of the ionospheric gases and further is communicated into the magnetosphere along the magnetic lines of force which connect between the ionosphere and the magnetosphere. This electric field drives the plasma to corotate with the planet in the magnetosphere. The distribution of the electric field and its effect on the plasma motion is estimated in the magnetosphere. The shape of the magnetosphere is then estimated considering the equilibrium condition. Discussion is given on the equilibrium plasma distribution in the magnetosphere and on the condition for the excitation of wave-particle interaction at the Io orbit.

Sakurai, K.↗

Recent advances in understanding secondary organic aerosol: Implications for global climate forcing: Advances in Secondary Organic Aerosol

Anthropogenic emissions and land use changes have modified atmospheric aerosol concentrations and size distributions over time. Understanding preindustrial conditions and changes in organic aerosol due to anthropogenic activities is important because these features (1) influence estimates of aerosol radiative forcing and (2) can confound estimates of the historical response of climate to increases in greenhouse gases. Secondary organic aerosol (SOA), formed in the atmosphere by oxidation of organic gases, represents a major fraction of global submicron-sized atmospheric organic aerosol. Over the past decade, significant advances in understanding SOA properties and formation mechanisms have occurred through measurements, yet current climate models typically do not comprehensively include all important processes. Our review summarizes some of the important developments during the past decade in understanding SOA formation. We also highlight the importance of some processes that influence the growth of SOA particles to sizes relevant for clouds and radiative forcing, including formation of extremely low volatility organics in the gas phase, acid-catalyzed multiphase chemistry of isoprene epoxydiols, particle-phase oligomerization, and physical properties such as volatility and viscosity. Several SOA processes highlighted in this review are complex and interdependent and have nonlinear effects on the properties, formation, and evolution of SOA. Current global models neglect this complexity and nonlinearity and thus are less likely to accurately predict the climate forcing of SOA and project future climate sensitivity to greenhouse gases. Efforts are also needed to rank the most influential processes and nonlinear process-related interactions, so that these processes can be accurately represented in atmospheric chemistry-climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A 3D DLM/FD method for simulating the motion of spheres and ellipsoids under creeping flow conditions

We present in this article a novel distributed Lagrange multiplier/fictitious domain (DLM/FD) method for simulating fluid-particle interaction in three-dimensional (3D) Stokes flow. The methodology is validated by comparing the numerical results for a neutrally buoyant particle, of either spherical or prolate shape, with the associated Jeffrey's solutions for a simple shear flow. The results concerning two balls, interacting under creeping flow conditions in a bounded shear flow, are consistent with those available in the literature. We will discuss also the interactions of two balls in a bounded shear flow, when these balls are very close initially. For a prolate ellipsoid rotating in a shear flow under the sole effect of the particle inertia, shear plane tumbling is stable, while log-rolling is unstable. For two prolate ellipsoids interacting in a bounded shear flow, the results are similar to those for two balls if the major axes are initially orthogonal to the shear plane (a result not at all surprising considering that the intersections of the ellipsoids with the shear pane are circular).

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Effects of the Chodura sheath on tungsten ionization and emission in tokamak divertors

The decay of the electric potential in the sheath region in tokamak divertors occurs on a scale length on the order of the main ion gyroradius (Chodura sheath) due to magnetic fields lines intersecting the divertor plates at grazing incidence. As a consequence, high-Z impurities like tungsten ionize within the sheath region in attached plasma conditions. The modification of the electron distribution in the sheath region must thus be taken into account to accurately model ionization and emission of impurities within the sheath region. To that end, an analytical expression of the distribution of the vertical ionization path for impurities sputtered from divertor plasma-facing components is derived. This expression is then used to estimate the fraction of neutral impurities ionizing within the sheath and the average vertical ionization path, and to derive an effective SXB (the number of ionizations per emitted photon) coefficient which includes the effects of the variation of the electron distribution in the sheath region. These results are applied to tungsten impurities sputtered from divertor plates. It is shown that the SXB coefficient for neutral tungsten is significantly reduced in high-density attached divertor plasma conditions (n e ≳ 5 × 10 13 cm -3 ) because of the ionization of neutral tungsten well within the sheath region.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

CyDER – an FMI-based co-simulation platform for distributed energy resources

The increased integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) is bringing a number of challenges to the power grid. These include reverse power flows in distribution systems and potentially transmission systems and grid stability. So far, specialized tools have been developed to capture some of the impact of DERs at the distribution level. However, distribution system operators lack visibility into the overall system conditions. Furthermore, the impact of increasing DERs is not limited to the distribution level but also influences the transmission grid. To support the planning and operation of the grid, we developed a co-simulation platform called CyDER (A Cyber Physical Co-simulation Platform for Distributed Energy Resources in Smart Grids) that integrates various domain-specific simulation tools. CyDER is based on the functional mock-up interface standard. This paper gives an overview of CyDER and demonstrates its use based on two applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Detecting Passing Valves at Scale Across Different Buildings and Systems: A Brick Enabled and Mortar Tested Application

Heating hot water distribution systems are typically used in commercial buildings to condition spaces to provide occupant thermal comfort. However, recent research shows significant distribution losses within these systems that drive down the overall hot water plant efficiency. This research focuses on detecting passing valves in reheat coils found in variable air volume (VAV) terminal units to reduce distribution losses. A passing valve allows hot water flow when the actuator on the valve is commanded to be closed. The fluid causes unintentional heating or cooling to occur, causing comfort and control issues, and wasting energy. We developed the passing valve detection algorithm using a framework based on the Brick schema and Mortar platform to ensure that the application is portable and can scale to many buildings. We applied the same application to analyze 1,335 VAV reheat terminal units in 20 buildings. The diversity found in these large datasets increases confidence that any building with VAV reheat terminal units with the required sensors and Brick data model can run our open-source algorithm with little or no modification. In aggregate, 5% of VAV units analyzed were categorized as having a sensor fault, 14% with potential passing valve fault, and 81% with no faults detected. However, there is a significant variation in the proportion of VAV units with a passing valve detected (1% to 83%) of each building’s analyzed units.

Roa, Carlos Duarte↗

Energy and pitch angle distributions for auroral ions using the current sheet acceleration model

Using a dipole-plus-tail magnetic field model, H(+), He(+2), and O(+6) ions are followed numerically, backward in time, from an output plane perpendicular to the axis of the geomagnetic tail, to their point of entrance to the magnetosphere as solar wind particles in the magnetosheath. An adiabatic or guiding center approximation is used in regions where the particles do not interact directly with the current sheet. A Maxwellian distribution with bulk flow is assumed for solar wind particles in the magnetosheath. Bulk velocity, density, and temperature along the magnetopause are taken from the fluid calculations of Spreiter. Using Liouville's theorem, and varying initial conditions at the output plane, the distribution function is found as a function of energy and pitch angle at the output plane. These results are then mapped to the auroral ionosphere using guiding center theory.

Jaeger, E. F.↗

Germanium-silicon solid solutions

An experiment on melting and directional crystallization of an antimony (Sb) doped germanium silicon (GeSi) solid solution was designed for the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project (ASTP) to study the possibility of using zero-g conditions for obtaining solid-solution monocrystals with uniformly distributed components. Crystallization in the zero-g environment did not occur under ideal stationary growth and segregation conditions. Crystallization under zero-g conditions revealed the heterogeneous nature of Si and Sb distribution in the cross sections of crystals. The presence of the radial thermal gradient in the multipurpose furnace could be one of the reasons for such Si and Sb distribution. The structure of space-grown crystals correlates with the nature of heterogeneities of Si and Sb distribution in crystals. The type of surface morphology and the contour observed in space-grown crystals were never observed in ground-based crystals and indicate the absence of wetting of the graphitized walls of the ampoule by the melt during melting and crystallization.

Zemskov, V. S.↗

A procedure for designing forebodies with constraints on cross-section shape and axial area distribution

A method is described for designing a forebody with cross sections which vary smoothly from an initial prescribed nose shape to a different prescribed base shape in such a way that the cross-section areas conform to a preassigned axial area distribution. It is shown that these conditions can be satisfied with a remaining degree of freedon, which can be used to accomplish a modest amount of geometric or pressure tailoring of the forebody. An example is provided which involves modifying the pressure distribution along a given meridian line of the forebody.

Barger, R. L.↗

Computational methods for frictional contact with applications to the Space Shuttle orbiter nose-gear tire: Comparisons of experimental measurements and analytical predictions

A computational procedure is presented for the solution of frictional contact problems for aircraft tires. A Space Shuttle nose-gear tire is modeled using a two-dimensional laminated anisotropic shell theory which includes the effects of variations in material and geometric parameters, transverse-shear deformation, and geometric nonlinearities. Contact conditions are incorporated into the formulation by using a perturbed Lagrangian approach with the fundamental unknowns consisting of the stress resultants, the generalized displacements, and the Lagrange multipliers associated with both contact and friction conditions. The contact-friction algorithm is based on a modified Coulomb friction law. A modified two-field, mixed-variational principle is used to obtain elemental arrays. This modification consists of augmenting the functional of that principle by two terms: the Lagrange multiplier vector associated with normal and tangential node contact-load intensities and a regularization term that is quadratic in the Lagrange multiplier vector. These capabilities and computational features are incorporated into an in-house computer code. Experimental measurements were taken to define the response of the Space Shuttle nose-gear tire to inflation-pressure loads and to inflation-pressure loads combined with normal static loads against a rigid flat plate. These experimental results describe the meridional growth of the tire cross section caused by inflation loading, the static load-deflection characteristics of the tire, the geometry of the tire footprint under static loading conditions, and the normal and tangential load-intensity distributions in the tire footprint for the various static vertical-loading conditions. Numerical results were obtained for the Space Shuttle nose-gear tire subjected to inflation pressure loads and combined inflation pressure and contact loads against a rigid flat plate. The experimental measurements and the numerical results are compared.

Tanner, John A.↗

RWPV bioreactor mass transport: earth-based and in microgravity

Mass transport and mixing of perfused scalar quantities in the NASA Rotating Wall Perfused Vessel bioreactor are studied using numerical models of the flow field and scalar concentration field. Operating conditions typical of both microgravity and ground-based cell cultures are studied to determine the expected vessel performance for both flight and ground-based control experiments. Results are presented for the transport of oxygen with cell densities and consumption rates typical of colon cancer cells cultured in the RWPV. The transport and mixing characteristics are first investigated with a step change in the perfusion inlet concentration by computing the time histories of the time to exceed 10% inlet concentration. The effects of a uniform cell utilization rate are then investigated with time histories of the outlet concentration, volume average concentration, and volume fraction starved. It is found that the operating conditions used in microgravity produce results that are quite different then those for ground-based conditions. Mixing times for microgravity conditions are significantly shorter than those for ground-based operation. Increasing the differential rotation rates (microgravity) increases the mixing and transport, while increasing the mean rotation rate (ground-based) suppresses both. Increasing perfusion rates enhances mass transport for both microgravity and ground-based cases, however, for the present range of operating conditions, above 5-10 cc/min there are diminishing returns as much of the inlet fluid is transported directly to the perfusion exit. The results show that exit concentration is not a good indicator of the concentration distributions in the vessel. In microgravity conditions, the NASA RWPV bioreactor with the viscous pump has been shown to provide an environment that is well mixed. Even when operated near the theoretical minimum perfusion rates, only a small fraction of the volume provides less than the required oxygen levels. 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Models, Biological↗

Tool-Enabled Changes in Terminal Air Traffic Controller Task and Workload Distribution

A human-in-the-loop simulation was conducted that examined an approach to adjusting airport arrivals in such a way as to enable higher departure throughput while maintaining arrival throughput. This approach, referred to as Departure-Sensitive Arrival Spacing (DSAS), leverages the capabilities of the Terminal Sequencing and Spacing (TSS) system with an additional Decision Support Tool (DST) to assign more precise arrival spacing interval. This presentation will focus on the changes observed in the task distribution and control strategies among three Terminal Radar Approach Control (TRACON) controller participants and the workload associated with those changes across three conditions: Baseline, TSS, and DSAS. Results showed that the application of the DSTs in the TSS condition and those in the DSAS condition enabled a progressive reduction in the number of clearances issued and for the clearances to be issued earlier, further away from the airport. In doing so, there was also a greater use of speed control versus vectoring and altitude for schedule conformance in the TSS and DSAS conditions respectively and relative to Baseline. Workload also shifted in conjunction with the clearance distribution with an overall reduction across conditions. The changes in task and workload distribution enabled a shift from tactical to strategic control, which allowed for a more predictable and efficient delivery of arrivals.

task↗

Interpreting the solar wind ionization state

The ionization state of the solar coronal expansion is frozen within a few solar radii of the solar photosphere, and spacecraft measurements of the solar wind heavy ion charge state can therefore yield information about coronal conditions (e.g., electron temperature). Previous interpretations of the frozen-in ionization state have always assumed that in the coronal freezing-in region, (1) all heavy ions flow at the same bulk speed as protons, (2) the electron velocity distribution function is Maxwellian, and (3) conditions vary in space but not in time. The consequences of relaxing these assumptions for the interpretation of solar wind charge state measurements are examined. It is found that: (1) the temperature inferred by traditional interpretation of the interplanetary ionization state overestimates (underestimate) the actual coronal electron temperature if higher ion charge stages flow systematically faster (slower) than lower stages at the coronal freezing radius; (2) temperatures inferred from relative abundance measurements of ion-charge-stages with high ionization potentials moderately overestimate the actual coronal electron temperature if the high-energy tail of the coronal electron velocity distribution is enhanced relative to a Maxwellian distribution; (3) the propagation of a disturbance, e.g., a shock wave, through the corona can strongly affect the frozen-in charge state, but only over a time (a few times ten minutes) corresponding to the coronal transit time for the disturbance.

Owocki, S. P.↗